Cited by 260Land Use and Ecosystem ServicesConservation, Biodiversity, and Resource ManagementForest Management and Policy

Meeting the Food Security Challenge for Nine Billion People in 2050: What Impact on Forests?

Open access
Bahar, Nur H.A., Lo, Michaela, Sanjaya, Made, Van Vianen, Josh, Alexander, Peter, Ickowitz, Amy, Sunderland, Terry·2020·Global Environmental Change

Abstract

• Majority forecasts for feeding the future global population predict an increase in a croplands at the expense of forests and pastures. • A third of the forecasts shows that it is feasible to halt further agricultural expansion and mitigate climate change. • Policy that provides economic incentives for carbon stock conservation and enhancement is the only effective option to reverse the trend of forest loss.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102056

Cites

136 of 136 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The global demand for high-quality plant material for food and medicine is constantly rising owing to the growing global population.

    “The global demand for high-quality plant material for food and medicine is constantly rising owing to the growing global population [1].”

    From Somaclonal Variation and Clonal Fidelity in Commercial Micropropagation: Challenges and Perspectives (2025) · cites this paper as [1]

    The Introduction (p. 1) says that global demand for food is rising with population growth. It does not establish rising demand for high-quality plant material or for medicinal uses; searches for those terms found no supporting passage in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

6 of the 142 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 7

  1. FAO, 2015. In: Organization, U.F.A.A. (Ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment. Rome, Italy.
  2. FAO, 2017. The Future of Food and Agriculture - Trends and Challenges. Rome. http://refhub.elsevier.com/S0959-3780(1930929-X/sbref0028)
  3. FAOSTAT, 2016. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Statistics http://refhub.elsevier.com/S0959-3780(1930929-X/sbref0029)
  4. Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Stevanovic, M., Müller, C., Bodirsky, B.L., Bonsch, M., Dietrich, J.P., Lotze-campen, H., Weindl, I., Biewald, A., Rolinski, S., 2015. Land-use and carbon cycle responses to moderate climate change: implications for land-based http://refhub.elsevier.com/S0959-3780(1930929-X/sbref0046) mitigation. Environmental Science and Technology 49, 6731-6739. http://refhub.elsevier.com/S0959-3780(1930929-X/sbref0046)
  5. Katila, P., Pierce Colfer, C.J., Jong, W.D., Galloway, G., Pacheco, P., Winkel, G., 2019. Introduction. In: Pierce Colfer, C.J., Winkel, G., Galloway, G., Pacheco, P., Katila, P., de Jong, W. (Eds.), Sustainable Development Goals: Their Impacts On Forests and People. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. http://refhub.elsevier.com/S0959-3780(1930929-X/sbref0054)
  6. Searchinger, T., Waite, R., Hanson, C., Ranganathan, J. & Dumas, P., 2018. SYNTHESIS REPORT: creating a sustainable food future: a menu of solutions to feed nearly 10 billion people by 2050. In : Matthews, E. (ed.).
  7. TEEB, 2018. The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) For Agriculture & Food: Scientific and Economic Foundations. UN Environment, Geneva. http://refhub.elsevier.com/S0959-3780(1930929-X/sbref0122)

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Bahar, N. H. A., Lo, M., Sanjaya, M., Van Vianen, J., Alexander, P., Ickowitz, A., & Sunderland, T.
Affiliations
  • Center for International Forestry Research (ID)
  • University of Kent (GB)
  • University of Edinburgh (GB)
Corresponding author
Bahar, Nur H.A.
Venue
Global Environmental Change
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-05
Volume
62
Pages
102056
ISSN
0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3024846360
Cited by
259
References
142
Citations by year
2026: 46 · 2025: 59 · 2024: 62 · 2023: 35 · 2022: 33 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 5
FWCI
8.56
Type
journal article
Language
en
Update notices
erratum (2020-11-01)
Open access
Locations
  • Global Environmental Change (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Funders
University of Edinburgh
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
Keywords
food security, global population growth, cropland expansion, forest loss, agricultural expansion, climate change mitigation, economic incentives, forest conservation policy, 2050 projections

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review