Cited by 155Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive ProcessesPsychotherapy Techniques and ApplicationsPsychological Treatments and Assessments

The search for universal transdiagnostic and trans-therapy change processes: Evidence for intolerance of uncertainty

Open access
McEvoy, Peter M., Erceg-Hurn, David M.·2016·Journal of Anxiety Disorders

Abstract

The search for universal processes associated with symptom change across emotional disorders and different forms of psychotherapy offers hope of increased theoretical parsimony and treatment efficiencies. This study investigated whether intolerance of uncertainty (IU) is a universal process by examining whether changes in IU were associated with changes in symptoms across three different cognitive behavior therapy protocols for depression (n = 106), social anxiety disorder (n = 88), or generalized anxiety disorder (n = 62) in a community mental health clinic. IU was associated with reductions in repetitive negative thinking in all treatments, which is consistent with IU being a transdiagnostic and ‘trans-therapy’ process of change. Changes in IU were also associated with symptom relief in the social anxiety disorder and generalized anxiety disorder groups, but not in the depression group. Implications of these findings are discussed within the broader literature of transdiagnostic approaches to emotional disorders. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This study tested whether intolerance of uncertainty (IU) acts as a change process across emotional disorders and different cognitive-behavioral protocols. IU changes tracked reductions in repetitive negative thinking in all three treatment groups and predicted symptom improvement in social anxiety and generalized anxiety, but not depression.

Key findings

  • Within-person reductions in IU were associated with reductions in repetitive negative thinking across all protocols: GAD group RTQ estimate .35 without negative affect control and .25 with it; SAD group .35 and .31; depression group .39 and .39.
  • IU change predicted symptom relief in SAD and GAD but not depression. For GAD worry, the IU coefficient was .47 without and .31 with negative affect control; for SAD social interaction anxiety it was .59 without and .47 with control, and for social phobia .57 and .45. For depression, the BDI-II association was weak and non-significant (.19 without control, .16 with control).
  • IU was not related to treatment attendance/dropout in any group: correlations were r < .01 for GAD, r = -.02 for SAD, and r = .06 for depression, all non-significant.
  • In the GAD group, prospective IU remained a significant predictor of worry after controlling for negative affect, whereas inhibitory IU just missed significance.

Methods

  • Patients were treated in a community mental health clinic in three group programs: metacognitive therapy for GAD (n = 62), imagery-enhanced CBT for SAD (n = 88), and traditional CBT for depression (abstract reports n = 108; method/table describe 106 in the mood management group). Diagnoses were established with the MINI for DSM-IV disorders.
  • Measures included the IUS-12, RTQ-10, PANAS negative affect subscale, SIAS/SPS, BDI-II, and PSWQ, completed pre-treatment, post-treatment, and at one-month follow-up.
  • Analyses were intent-to-treat mixed-effects models with IU and negative affect as time-varying covariates, separating within-person from between-person effects; standardized mean changes were calculated.

Limitations

  • The paper states the design is correlational, so causal conclusions cannot be drawn; IU changes could be a cause, consequence, or epiphenomenon of symptom and repetitive negative thinking change.
  • The paper notes reliance on self-report outcomes vulnerable to social desirability, absence of a control group, and restriction to CBT protocols and a limited set of emotional disorders, limiting causal and generalization claims.
  • The paper also states that IU, repetitive negative thinking, and negative affect are only a subset of possible universal change processes, so their relative contribution could not be evaluated.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.janxdis.2016.02.002

Cites

107 of 107 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

7 of 39 cited sources checked · 5 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    Intolerance of uncertainty is common across several emotional disorders, including OCD, social anxiety, panic disorder and agoraphobia, and depression.

    “However, evidence has since accumulated that IU is common across multiple emotional disorders, including obsessive compulsive disorder (OCD, Holaway, Heimberg, & Coles, 2006;Tolin, Abramowitz, Brigidi, & Foa, 2003), social anxiety (Boelen & Reijntjes, 2009;Carleton, Collimore, & Asmundson, 2010;Riskind, Tzur, Williams, Mann, & Shahar, 2007), panic disorder and agoraphobia (Carleton, Hackl, Fetzner”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Holaway, Heimberg, & Coles, 2006 source
    • cites Boelen & Reijntjes, 2009 source
    • cites Carleton, Hackl, Fetzner, & McEvoy, 2013 source
  • Findingcitation

    Our finding that changes in IU explained unique variance in RNT in all three groups, and symptoms in the social anxiety and worry/rumination groups, is consistent with previous studies.

    “Our finding that changes in IU explained unique variance in RNT in all three groups, and symptoms in the social anxiety and worry and rumination groups, is consistent with previous studies (McEvoy & Mahoney, 2013;Sexton et al., 2003).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites McEvoy & Mahoney, 2013 source

      The Discussion (section 4.0; page unavailable) reports that IU mediated repetitive negative thinking and worry for patients with GAD, supporting a broad connection between IU and these outcomes. It also says IU did not mediate those outcomes for patients without GAD. The paper therefore supports the citing authors’ claim of consistency only in part: it does not establish a corresponding finding across all three groups or examine changes in IU. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Sexton et al., 2003 source
  • Premisecitation

    In people with primary anxiety disorders who received a unified transdiagnostic treatment that did not target IU, reductions in IU correlated with reductions in comorbid depression symptoms.

    “However, Boswell, Thompson-Hollands, Farchione, and Barlow (2013) reported that reductions in IU were correlated with reductions in comorbid depression symptoms in individuals with primary anxiety disorders who completed a unified (transdiagnostic) treatment that did not explicitly target IU.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Boswell, Thompson-Hollands, Farchione, and Barlow (2013) source
      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    There is evidence that acceptance-based approaches also impact on multiple constructs including IU.

    “There is evidence, however, that acceptance-based approaches also impact on multiple constructs including IU (Treanor, Erisman, Salters-Pedneault, Roemer, & Orsillo, 2011).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Treanor, Erisman, Salters-Pedneault, Roemer, & Orsillo, 2011 source
  • Findingown data

    In the study's clinical sample, change in intolerance of uncertainty was related to decreases in repetitive negative thinking across all three treatment protocols.

    “IU was associated with reductions in repetitive negative thinking in all treatments, which is consistent with IU being a transdiagnostic and 'trans-therapy' process of change.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 48
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 32
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 2
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Intolerance of uncertainty is higher in people with generalized anxiety disorder than in non-anxious controls and acts as a cognitive vulnerability for worry and GAD.

    “Consistent with this model, IU is elevated in individuals with GAD compared to non-anxious controls and is a cognitive vulnerability factor for worry and GAD (Dugas, Gagnon, Ladouceur, & Freeston, 1998;Koerner & Dugas, 2008;Dugas et al., 2007;Laugesen, Dugas, & Bukowski, 2003;Sexton, Norton, Walker, & Norton, 2003).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Dugas, Gagnon, Ladouceur, & Freeston, 1998 source
    • cites Koerner & Dugas, 2008 source
    • cites Dugas et al., 2007 source

      The Abstract says people with GAD are more intolerant of uncertainty than people with other anxiety disorders, but it does not give the claimed comparison with non-anxious controls. It also says intolerance of uncertainty may be a causal risk factor for worry/GAD; the claim states that vulnerability more definitively. The Discussion reports an association with GAD and worry severity, not a test of vulnerability. Page numbers are not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.87)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    RNT is a well-established vulnerability factor for depression symptoms.

    “RNT is a well-established vulnerability factor for depression symptoms (Nolen-Hoeksema, Wisco, & Lyubomirsky, 2008).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Nolen-Hoeksema, Wisco, & Lyubomirsky, 2008 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    The disorder-specific foci of our treatments may more specifically target IU within each problem area, and there is evidence that disorder-specific IU explains unique variance in symptoms above and beyond trait IU.

    “It may be that the disorder-specific foci of our treatments more specifically target IU within each problem area, and indeed there is evidence that disorder-specific IU explains unique variance in symptoms above and beyond trait IU (Mahoney & McEvoy, 2012a;Thibodeau et al., 2015).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Mahoney & McEvoy, 2012a

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Thibodeau et al., 2015 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the same sample, change in intolerance of uncertainty was related to symptom reduction in the social anxiety and generalized anxiety groups, but not in the depression group.

    “Changes in IU were also associated with symptom relief in the social anxiety disorder and generalized anxiety disorder groups, but not in the depression group.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, there were very large reductions on the PSWQ and RTQ during treatment, and patients continued to improve over the follow-up period.

    “There were very large reductions on the PSWQ and RTQ during treatment, and patients continued to improve over the follow up period.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, change on the IUS-12 was associated with change on the RTQ, with an estimate of .35 (95% CI .16-.53, p<.001), and the association remained after controlling for PANAS, with an estimate of .25 (95% CI .06-.45, p=.011).

    “Change on the IUS-12 was associated with change on the RTQ, Est = .35,95% CI [.16, .53],p <.001, and the association was still present after controlling for PANAS, Est = .25,95% CI [.06, .45],p = .011.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, IUS-12 and PANAS scores improved substantially, with effect sizes exceeding 1 SD by follow-up.

    “IUS-12 and PANAS scores also improved substantially, with effect sizes exceeding 1 SD by follow up.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, within-person change on the IUS-12 was associated with PSWQ scores over treatment, with a coefficient of .47 (95% CI .21-.72, p=.001) without PANAS and .31 (95% CI .06-.56, p=.015) after controlling for PANAS.

    “Within-person change on the IUS-12 was associated with PSWQ scores over the course of treatment, and this association persisted even after controlling for change on PANAS scores.”
    • Also stated in: § 3.1 Worry and Rumination Group · plain
      “The relevant regression coefficient (for the IUS-12 deviation term) was .47 for the model without the PANAS, 95% CI [.21, .72],p = .001,and .31after controlling for the PANAS, 95% CI [.06, .56],p = .015.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, change on the IUS-12 between post-treatment and follow-up continued at the same rate as during treatment, whereas the rate of change on other variables slowed somewhat.

    “The figure suggests that change on the IUS-12 between post-treatment and follow up continued at the same rate as was observed during treatment, whereas the rate of change on other variables slowed somewhat.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The confidence intervals for Inhibitory IU after controlling for PANAS in both cases are wide and consist almost entirely of positive values.

    “While the p-values for Inhibitory IU after controlling for the PANAS in both cases are above .05,the confidence intervals are wide and consist almost entirely of positive values.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The hypothesis that changes in IU would be consistently associated with changes in RNT and symptoms across disorders and treatments was supported for RNT and partially supported for symptoms, with the exception being depression symptoms.

    “It was hypothesized that changes in IU would be consistently associated with changes in RNT and symptoms across disorders and treatments, which was supported for RNT and partially supported for symptoms with the exception being depression symptoms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the social anxiety group, there were very large reductions on the SIAS and SPS, a large reduction on the PANAS and RTQ, and moderate to large reductions on the IUS-12.

    “There were very large reductions on the SIAS and SPS, a large reduction on the PANAS and RTQ, and moderate to large reductions on the IUS-12.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, Prospective IU was a statistically significant predictor of RTQ after controlling for PANAS, with an estimate of .44 (95% CI .14-.74, p=.005), while Inhibitory IU was not, with an estimate of .35 (95% CI -.07-.77, p=.102).

    “Prospective IU was a statistically significant predictor after controlling for the PANAS (Est = .44,95% CI [.14, .74],p = .005)while Inhibitory IU was not (Est = .35,CI [-.07, .77],p = .102.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the mood management group, there was a large change on the BDI-II, while changes on the RTQ and PANAS were more modest than for the other groups, and change on the IUS-12 was small.

    “There was a large change on the BDI-II, while changes on the RTQ and PANAS were more modest than for the other groups, and change on the IUS-12 was small.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the worry and rumination group, change in Prospective IU was a statistically significant predictor of PSWQ scores after controlling for PANAS, with an estimate of .50 (95% CI .10-.89, p=.014), whereas Inhibitory IU just failed to achieve statistical significance, with an estimate of .50 (95% CI -.04-1.04, p=.071).

    “For the worry and rumination group, change in Prospective IU was a statistically significant predictor of PSWQ scores after controlling for the PANAS, Est = .50,95% CI [,10, .89],p = .014,whereas Inhibitory IU just failed to achieve statistical significance, Est = .50,95% CI [-.04, 1.04], p = .071.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For the Mood Management Group, all changes in outcome during treatment had p-values less than .001 except the pre-treatment to follow-up change on IUS-12, which had p = .005.

    “P-values for all changes in outcome during treatment were < .001except for pre-treatment to follow-up change on the IUS-12 (p = .005).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This study found evidence that IU was associated with reductions in RNT across different group treatment protocols for GAD, SAD, and depression, and with reductions in symptoms of GAD and SAD, even after controlling for negative affectivity.

    “This study found evidence that IU was associated with reductions in RNT across different group treatment protocols for GAD, SAD, and depression, and with reductions in symptoms of GAD and SAD, even after controlling for negative affectivity.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    For the Social Anxiety Group, all changes in outcome during treatment had p-values less than .001.

    “P-values for all changes in outcome during treatment were < .001.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    For the Worry and Rumination Group, all changes in outcome during treatment had p-values less than .001.

    “P-values for all changes in outcome during treatment were < .001.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Negative affectivity was a unique predictor of symptom change (and the sole predictor for depression symptoms) in our study, which is consistent with Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) findings.

    “Notwithstanding the differences in findings in relation to IU, it is noteworthy that negative affectivity was a unique predictor of symptom change (and the sole predictor for depression symptoms) in our study, which is consistent with Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) findings.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The observed pattern supports viewing intolerance of uncertainty as a process that operates across diagnoses and across therapies.

    “IU was associated with reductions in repetitive negative thinking in all treatments, which is consistent with IU being a transdiagnostic and 'trans-therapy' process of change.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Intolerance of uncertainty and repetitive negative thinking are two central constructs in the Intolerance of Uncertainty Model that have been shown to be transdiagnostic.

    “IU and RNT are therefore two key constructs in the Intolerance of Uncertainty Model (Freeston et al., 1994) that have been demonstrated to be transdiagnostic.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Freeston et al., 1994 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Higher intolerance of uncertainty is a risk factor for anxiety symptoms and anxiety disorders, with people higher on this trait more likely to react negatively to ambiguity or uncertainty.

    “IU is argued to be a risk factor for anxiety symptoms and anxiety disorders, such that individuals higher on this dimension are more likely to experience negative emotions in response to ambiguity or uncertainty (Koerner & Dugas, 2008).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Koerner & Dugas, 2008 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In a GAD trial comparing IU therapy, metacognitive therapy, and delayed treatment, both active therapies were highly effective, but metacognitive therapy produced larger reductions in IU than IU therapy.

    “While both treatments were highly effective, metacognitive therapy was associated with larger reductions on a measure of IU compared to IU therapy.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites van der Heiden et al.'s (2012) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Recent evidence indicates that treatments from alternative cognitive behavioural frameworks may reduce intolerance of uncertainty, making it a candidate trans-therapy mechanism.

    “Recent evidence that IU may be modified by treatments deriving from alternative cognitive behavioural frameworks suggests that IU could be a candidate trans-therapy mechanism of change.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Self-reported IU significantly reduces and is associated with symptom change during CBT protocols that do not explicitly target IU.

    “with evidence that self-reported IU significantly reduces and is associated with symptom change during CBT protocols that do not explicitly target IU (Mahoney & McEvoy, 2012b;van der Heiden et al., 2012).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Mahoney & McEvoy, 2012b

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites van der Heiden et al., 2012 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The significant relationships remained after controlling for negative affectivity, supporting the discriminant validity of IU from negative affect and suggesting that changes in IU were incrementally associated with changes in RNT and symptoms for social anxiety and worry beyond reductions in general negative affect.

    “The significant relationships remained after controlling for the higher order construct of negative affectivity, thus supporting the discriminant validity of IU from negative affect and suggesting that changes in IU were incrementally associated with changes in RNT and symptoms for social anxiety and worry beyond reductions in general negative affect.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Talkovsky and Norton (2014) found that within their transdiagnostic clinical sample anxiety sensitivity and IU failed to explain unique variance in state anxiety beyond negative affect.

    “In contrast, Talkovsky and Norton (2014) recently found that within their transdiagnostic clinical sample anxiety sensitivity and IU failed to explain unique variance in state anxiety beyond negative affect.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Talkovsky and Norton (2014) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The literature showing IU is transdiagnostic and evidence that IU changes across therapies suggest IU may be a universal process linked to change across emotional disorders and treatments.

    “The vast literature demonstrating that IU is transdiagnostic, together with evidence that IU changes across different therapies (trans-therapy), suggests that IU may be a universal process associated with change across different emotional disorders and treatments.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Another potential explanation for the lack of association between IU changes and depression symptoms is that the magnitude of change in IU was smaller in the mood management group than other groups, which may have attenuated the association.

    “Another potential explanation for the lack of association between changes in IU and changes in depression symptoms is that the magnitude of change in IU was smaller in the mood management group than for the other groups, which may have attenuated the association.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    All three treatments in the current study titrated uncertainty by using a graded approach to cognitive and behavioural change, which may have increased treatment acceptability for high IU individuals.

    “All three treatments in the current study titrated uncertainty by using a graded approach to cognitive and behavioural change (i.e., least to most challenging), which may have increased treatment acceptability for high IU individuals.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Reductions in IU should reduce the tendency to expect negative outcomes as likely, which should positively impact depression symptoms.

    “Reductions in IU should therefore reduce the tendency to expect negative outcomes as being likely, which, in turn, should positively impact on depression symptoms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In traditional group CBT for social phobia, IU decreased and these decreases were linked to symptom improvement even though the protocol did not mention IU.

    “Another study by Mahoney and McEvoy (2012b) also found that IU reduced during traditional group cognitive behaviour therapy (CBT) for social phobia, and these reductions were associated with symptom improvement, despite the fact that IU was not explicitly mentioned in the protocol.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mahoney and McEvoy (2012b)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    These findings are broadly consistent with IU being a universal process of change, defined as both a transdiagnostic and trans-therapy construct.

    “These findings are broadly consistent with IU being a universal process of change, defined here as both a transdiagnostic and trans-therapy construct.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The three group protocols used in this study had previously been evaluated, found highly effective, and met international benchmarks.

    “protocols used in this study have previously been evaluated and found to be highly effective and to meet international benchmarks (i.e.efficacy and effectiveness trials).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites McEvoy et al., 2015

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites McEvoy & Saulsman, 2014 source
    • cites McEvoy & Nathan, 2007 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    While IU may increase vulnerability to anxiety and depression via RNT, additional intermediate processes may be particularly important for understanding the relationship between IU and depression symptoms.

    “Therefore, while IU may increase vulnerability to anxiety and depression via RNT, additional intermediate processes may be particularly important for more fully understanding the relationship between IU and depression symptoms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    In the current study, the PANAS negative affect subscale had high internal consistency.

    “Internal consistency in the current study was high (α = .84).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    In the current study, the SIAS and SPS had high internal consistency.

    “Internal consistencies in the current study were high for the SIAS (α = .85)and the SPS (α = .90).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) transdiagnostic intervention may operate more broadly on NA compared to treatments in the current study.

    “Second, although there are commonalities in the techniques used across the treatments (e.g., forms of exposure and cognitive restructuring), Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) transdiagnostic intervention may operate more broadly on NA compared to the treatments in the current study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The treatment protocols did not explicitly discuss intolerance of uncertainty, which allowed the study to assess whether IU changes through standard procedures while reducing social desirability bias.

    “Importantly, the concept of IU is not explicitly discussed in any of the protocols, thereby allowing an assessment of whether IU changes as a consequence of implementing the standard procedures within each treatment whilst minimizing social desirability biases.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    In the current study, the PSWQ had high internal consistency.

    “Internal consistency in the current study was high (α=.92).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Overall, patients in all three programs were less fearful of (Prospective IU) and paralyzed by (Inhibitory IU) the unknown following treatment, and these changes were associated with reductions in RNT and anxiety symptoms.

    “Overall, our findings suggest that patients in all three programs were less fearful of (Prospective IU) and paralyzed by (Inhibitory IU) the unknown following treatment, and these changes were associated with reductions in RNT and anxiety symptoms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The STAI shared 74% of variance with the PANAS negative affect subscale in Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) study, leaving little variance to be explained by IU.

    “Moreover, the STAI shared a substantial proportion of variance (74%) with the PANAS negative affect subscale in Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) study, leaving little variance to be explained by IU.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Patients in the social anxiety program regularly engage in inherently uncertain social situations, and patients in the worry and rumination group are required to disengage from habitual RNT, which may result in a larger dose of uncertainty than CBT for depression.

    “In contrast, patients in the social anxiety program regularly engage in inherently uncertain social situations with unfamiliar conversational partners and where the outcomes of the interactions are largely unknown.Likewise, patients in the worry and rumination group are required to disengage from habitual RNT and overcontrol strategies, which may result in a larger dose of uncertainty than CBT for”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    In the current study, the RTQ had high internal consistency.

    “Internal consistency in the current study was high (α = .88).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    In the current study, the IUS-12 subscales and total score had high internal consistency.

    “Internal consistencies in the current study were high for the subscales (Prospective IU α = .88,Inhibitory IU α = .87),and for the total score (α = .92).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    One potential explanation for the lack of association between IU changes and depression symptoms is that the impact of IU on depression symptoms is indirect, perhaps via other constructs such as negative thoughts about the certainty of negative outcomes and absence of positive outcomes.

    “One potential explanation for the lack of an association in this study is therefore that the impact of IU on depression symptoms is indirect, perhaps via other constructs such as negative thoughts about the certainty of negative outcomes and absence of positive outcomes (Miranda, Rontes, & Marroquín, 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Miranda, Rontes, & Marroquín, 2008

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Behavioral activation within traditional CBT for depression involves a lower dose of exposure to uncertainty than the other treatments.

    “It is plausible that behavioral activation within traditional CBT for depression involves a lower dose of exposure to uncertainty that the other treatments, as patients are encouraged to engage with activities known to be previously associated with pleasure and achievement.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Talkovsky and Norton (2014) used the state anxiety scale of the STAI as outcome variable, which may have been differentially sensitive to disorder-specific symptom changes than measures used in this study.

    “First, Talkovsky and Norton (2014) used the state anxiety scale of the State Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI, Spielberger, Gorsuch, Lushene, Vagg, & Jacobs, 2003) as the outcome variable, which may have been differentially sensitive to disorder-specific symptom changes than the measures used in this study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Spielberger, Gorsuch, Lushene, Vagg, & Jacobs, 2003

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These forms of depressive certainty may be acquired with increasing fluency via RNT and lead to hopelessness and worsening symptoms.

    “These forms of depressive certainty may be acquired with increasing fluency via RNT and, in turn, lead to hopelessness and worsening symptoms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Changes in Inhibitory IU across therapy probably are associated with changes in RNT and worry after controlling for negative affect, but the sample size in the current study was too small to demonstrate a statistically significant relationship.

    “This suggest that changes in Inhibitory IU across therapy probably are associated with changes in RNT and worry after controlling for negative affect, but that the sample size in the current study was too small to demonstrate a statistically significant relationship.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Miranda and colleagues (2008) found evidence that while both anxiety and depression are characterized by pessimistic certainty about negative events, pessimistic certainty about the absence of positive events is unique to depression, and these beliefs may be more proximal than IU to depression symptoms.

    “Miranda and colleagues (2008) found evidence that while both anxiety and depression are characterized by pessimistic certainty about negative events, pessimistic certainty about the absence of positive events is unique to depression, and that these beliefs may be more proximal than IU to depression symptoms.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Miranda et al., 2008 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    All analyses used an intent-to-treat approach with all available data.

    “All analyses were intent-to-treat, with all available data used in each analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    In the current sample, the BDI-II had high internal consistency.

    “Internal consistency in the current sample was high (α = .88).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The use of self-reported outcomes, which are vulnerable to social desirability biases, is a limitation.

    “The use of self-reported outcomes, which are vulnerable to social desirability biases, is another limitation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Rescaling the symptom measures for plotting only changes the y-axis labels, not the shape of the change trajectories.

    “The rescaling only affects the numbers printed on the y-axis for these measures, not the shape of the trajectories.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Patients who were more likely to report lower symptoms at post-treatment to please clinicians may have been more likely to also report lower IU, even though IU was not explicitly mentioned as a treatment target.

    “Patients who were more likely to report lower symptoms at post-treatment to please the clinicians may have been more likely to also report lower IU, even though IU was not explicitly mentioned as a treatment target.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The inclusion of anxiety sensitivity within Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) model may have usurped variance that would have been captured by IU.

    “Third, the inclusion of anxiety sensitivity within Talkovsky and Norton's (2014) model may have usurped variance that would have been captured by IU.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    The déjà-variable phenomenon is alive and well in the clinical psychology literature, which can result in inefficiencies and obfuscations that retard the accumulation and synthesis of knowledge.

    “We argue that the déjà-variable phenomenon is alive and well in the clinical psychology literature, which can result in considerable inefficiencies and obfuscations that retard the accumulation and synthesis of knowledge.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The absence of a control group is a limitation of this study.

    “The absence of a control group is another limitation of this study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    IU, RNT, and NA are only a subset of potential universal change processes, which precluded evaluation of the relative contribution of these factors to other potentially important change processes.

    “Another limitation was that IU, RNT, and NA are only a subset of potential universal change processes, which precluded an evaluation of the relative contribution of these factors to other potentially important change processes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    IU may provide a useful framework within which to target these common processes in therapy.

    “IU may therefore provide a useful framework within which to target these common processes in therapy.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The correlational nature of this study is an important limitation, so we are unable to draw any causal conclusions about the relationship between changes in IU and outcomes.

    “The correlational nature of this study is an important limitation, so we are unable to draw any causal conclusions about the relationship between changes in IU and outcomes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The treatment protocols in the current study were limited to forms of cognitive behavior therapy and to a restricted range of emotional disorders, so the findings may not generalize to other treatment approaches or disorders.

    “The treatment protocols in the current study were also limited to forms of cognitive behavior therapy and to a restricted range of emotional disorders, so the findings may not generalize to other treatment approaches or disorders.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The associations found in our study are necessary for a universal process and provide some empirical justification for further research in this area.

    “Although insufficient, the associations found in our study are necessary for a universal process and provide some empirical justification for further research in this area.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationown data

    The findings from our study suggest that applying techniques to contexts, attentional biases, and cognitive content associated with IU may be important for promoting behavioral adaptation for individuals high on this dimension.

    “The findings from our study suggest that applying techniques to contexts, attentional biases, and cognitive content associated with IU may be important for promoting behavioral adaption for individuals high on this dimension.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Exposure to uncertainty may be important for reducing relapse in emotional disorders.

    “Exposure to uncertainty may also be important for reducing relapse in emotional disorders (Arch & Abramowitz, 2015), so assessing the relationship between reductions in IU and longer-term outcomes is another important future research direction.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Arch & Abramowitz, 2015 source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Changes in IU may be a cause, consequence, or epiphenomenon of RNT and symptom change.

    “Changes in IU may be a cause, consequence, or epiphenomenon of RNT and symptom change.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
68 of 68
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Interventions based on a particular theoretical model rarely modify only the processes specified by that model.

    “The search for trans-therapy processes of change is predicated on the assumption that interventions deriving from a particular theoretical model will rarely exclusively modify processes identified within that model.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No treatment study has examined the link between changes in IU and symptoms in a primary depressive disorder sample, whether or not the treatment targeted IU.

    “We are not aware of any treatment studies that report the relationship between changes in IU and symptoms in a sample with primary depressive disorders, regardless of whether or not the treatment explicitly targeted IU.”
2 of 2

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Changes in IU are associated with symptom relief in social anxiety disorder and GAD across three different CBT protocols.

    “Further work also demonstrates that changes in IU are associated with symptom relief in social anxiety disorder and GAD across three different CBT protocols (McEvoy and Erceg-Hurn 2015).”

    From The Impact of Intolerance of Uncertainty and Cognitive Behavioural Instructions on Safety Learning (2020) · cites this paper as McEvoy and Erceg-Hurn 2015

    The Discussion (p. 22) reports that changes in IU were associated with symptom improvement in the GAD and social anxiety groups. The study used three treatment protocols, but the third was for depression, where the symptom association was not supported. Thus, the claim overstates the finding by saying symptom relief was associated with IU changes across all three protocols. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Intolerance of uncertainty treatment may be an important additional component for those with AN, enhancing current AN treatments.

    “In fact, seeing that validated treatments for IU directly target anxiety (Boswell, Thompson‐Hollands, Farchione, & Barlow, 2013; McEvoy & Erceg‐Hurn, 2016), IU treatment may be an important additional component for those with AN, enhancing current AN treatments.”

    From Do anxiety, depression, and intolerance of uncertainty contribute to social problem solving in adult women with anorexia nervosa? (2020) · cites this paper as McEvoy & Erceg‐Hurn, 2016

    Section 2.4 says the anxiety-related treatment protocols had been evaluated and found effective, but explicitly states that none discussed IU as a treatment target. The Discussion links changes in IU with reduced anxiety symptoms; it does not establish that validated treatments directly targeting IU treat anxiety. The proposed benefit for people with AN is the citing authors’ inference, not a finding attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Intolerance of uncertainty is considered a transdiagnostic factor for psychopathology.

    “Intolerance of uncertainty has been studied throughout the pandemic for its role in anxiety and mental health symptoms and is considered a transdiagnostic factor for psychopathology [66].”
  • Reductions in IU over the course of CBT treatment are related to reduced symptom levels across anxiety disorders.

    “These reductions in IU have been found to be related to reduced symptom levels across anxiety disorders following treatment (Boswell et al., 2013; Talkovsky and Norton, 2016; McEvoy and ErcegHurn, 2016).”
  • Intolerance of uncertainty is postulated as a central feature in development and maintenance of GAD.

    “Intolerance of uncertainty is postulated as a central feature in development and maintenance of GAD”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Percentage for two GAD-group patients is miscalculated

    Minor

    Two patients out of the stated 62 are 3.2% to one decimal place, not 3.4%.

    Reported 3.4 · recomputed 3.225806

  • Depression-group sample size differs

    Minor

    The abstract reports 108 patients in the depression group, while the participant description reports 106. Table 1 also lists 106 for the mood management group.

2 of 2

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

4 of the 111 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Wells, 1996, Modelling cognition in emotional disorder: the S-REF model, Behaviour Research and Therapy, 34, 881, 10.1016/S0005-7967(96)00050-2 · DOI · Paper page

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
McEvoy, P. M., & Erceg-Hurn, D. M.
Affiliations
Curtin University (AU)
Corresponding author
McEvoy, Peter M.
Venue
Journal of Anxiety Disorders
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2016-06
Volume
41
Pages
96-107
ISSN
0887-6185 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2265346543
Cited by
155
References
111
Citations by year
2026: 8 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 19 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 11 · 2016: 6
FWCI
24.13
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of Anxiety Disorders (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • eSpace (Curtin University) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychotherapy Techniques and Applications
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychological Treatments and Assessments
Keywords
intolerance of uncertainty, transdiagnostic mechanisms, cognitive behavioral therapy, depression, social anxiety disorder, generalized anxiety disorder, repetitive negative thinking, symptom change, emotional disorders
MeSH terms
Adolescent, Adult, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, Mood Disorders, Uncertainty, Young Adult

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-02.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-02.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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