To Be Sure, To Be Sure: Intolerance of Uncertainty Mediates Symptoms of Various Anxiety Disorders and Depression
Abstract
The Intolerance of Uncertainty Model was initially developed as an explanation for worry within the context of generalized anxiety disorder. However, recent research has identified intolerance of uncertainty (IU) as a possible transdiagnostic maintaining factor across the anxiety disorders and depression. The aim of this study was to determine whether IU mediated the relationship between neuroticism and symptoms related to various anxiety disorders and depression in a treatment-seeking sample (N=328). Consistent with previous research, IU was significantly associated with neuroticism as well as with symptoms of social phobia, panic disorder and agoraphobia, obsessive-compulsive disorder, generalized anxiety disorder, and depression. Moreover, IU explained unique variance in these symptom measures when controlling for neuroticism. Mediational analyses showed that IU was a significant partial mediator between neuroticism and all symptom measures, even when controlling for symptoms of other disorders. More specifically, anxiety in anticipation of future uncertainty (prospective anxiety) partially mediated the relationship between neuroticism and symptoms of generalized anxiety disorder (i.e. worry) and obsessive-compulsive disorder, whereas inaction in the face of uncertainty (inhibitory anxiety) partially mediated the relationship between neuroticism and symptoms of social anxiety, panic disorder and agoraphobia, and depression. Sobel's test demonstrated that all hypothesized meditational pathways were associated with significant indirect effects, although the mediation effect was stronger for worry than other symptoms. Potential implications of these findings for the treatment of anxiety disorders and depression are discussed.
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This finding is consistent with previous evidence that Prospective but not Inhibitory IU mediates the relationship between neuroticism and worry in mixed anxiety disorder samples.
“This finding is consistent with previous evidence that Prospective but not Inhibitory IU mediates the relationship between neuroticism and worry in mixed anxiety disorder samples (McEvoy & Mahoney, 2012).”
From The search for universal transdiagnostic and trans-therapy change processes: Evidence for intolerance of uncertainty (2016) · cites this paper as McEvoy & Mahoney, 2012
There has been considerable support for a two-factor IUS-12 structure: a 7-item prospective IU scale and a 5-item inhibitory IU scale.
“there has been considerable support for a two-factor IUS-12 structure: (1) a 7-item prospective IU scale related to action/approach-oriented strategies in order to increase certainty (e.g. seeking more information), and (2) a 5-item inhibitory IU associated with inaction/avoidance-oriented thoughts and behaviours (e.g. delayed decision-making) [251, 259, 264–271].”
IU is a transdiagnostic dimension, with high levels of self-reported IU observed in a number of mental health disorders.
“Notably, IU is a transdiagnostic dimension, with high levels of self-reported IU observed in a number of mental health disorders, such as anxiety, obsessive-compulsive, trauma, and stress disorders (20,21).”
From I Doubt It Is Safe: A Meta-analysis of Self-reported Intolerance of Uncertainty and Threat Extinction Training (2021) · cites this paper as [20]
Several studies have demonstrated the stability of a two-factor structure for the IUS-12 and associations between these factors and different anxiety disorders.
“Several studies have demonstrated the stability of a two-factor structure for the IUS-12 and associations between these factors and different anxiety disorders. 11-13”
From Psychometric properties of the brazilian intolerance of uncertainty scale – short version (Ius-12) (2020) · cites this paper as [11]
A predominance of female participants appears to be a common occurrence in scientific studies of IU.
“This, however, appears to be a common occurrence in scientific studies of IU. 10,11,38”
From Psychometric properties of the brazilian intolerance of uncertainty scale – short version (Ius-12) (2020) · cites this paper as [11]
Intolerance of uncertainty is postulated as a central feature in development and maintenance of GAD.
“Intolerance of uncertainty is postulated as a central feature in development and maintenance of GAD”
From Psychometric properties of the brazilian intolerance of uncertainty scale – short version (Ius-12) (2020) · cites this paper as [11]
The Prospective IU subscale seems to be more related to GAD and OCD symptoms, while Inhibitory IU is more associated with symptoms of social phobia, panic disorder, PTSD, and depression.
“For example, the Prospective IU subscale seems to be more related to GAD and obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) symptoms, while Inhibitory IU is more associated with symptoms of social phobia, panic disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and depression. 10,11,14,15”
From Psychometric properties of the brazilian intolerance of uncertainty scale – short version (Ius-12) (2020) · cites this paper as [11]
Negative affect associated with IU is seen in generalized anxiety disorder, other anxiety disorders, depression and autism.
“The negative affect associated with IU is seen in generalized anxiety disorder but also other anxiety disorders, depression and autism (McEvoy and Mahoney, 2012; Einstein, 2014).”
From Sensory, emotional and cognitive contributions to anxiety in autism spectrum disorders (2017) · cites this paper as McEvoy and Mahoney, 2012
The finding that there was not a direct association between IU and depression in non-autistic young people does not mirror previous research with general population samples.
“In addition, our finding that there was not a direct association between IU and depression in non-autistic young people does not mirror previous research with general population samples (Carleton et al., 2012; McEvoy & Mahoney, 2012).”
From Investigating the Effects of Transdiagnostic Processes on Anxiety and Depression Symptoms in Autistic Young People: the Mediating Role of Emotion Dysregulation. (2025) · cites this paper as McEvoy & Mahoney, 2012
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“The negative affect associated with IU is seen in generalized anxiety disorder but also other anxiety disorders, depression and autism (McEvoy and Mahoney, 2012; Einstein, 2014).”
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“For example, selfreported IU accounts for unique variance in anxiety and depression symptoms when controlling for neuroticism (18,19) and has been shown to mediate the relationship between anxiety and depression symptoms and neuroticism (20).”
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Ventromedial Prefrontal Cortex Lesions Alter Neural and Physiological Correlates of Anticipation
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“Although IU is typically a factor associated with generalized anxiety disorder, IU has shown to negatively affect depression as well as other anxiety disorders (37, 38).”
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“Neurotic personality traits are a relatively stable tendency to react negatively to negative events, such as frustration, threats, or losses (McEvoy & Mahoney, 2012; Widiger & Oltmanns, 2017).”
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- Authors
- McEvoy, P. M., & Mahoney, A. E. J.
- Affiliations
- The University of Western Australia (AU)
- Corresponding author
- McEvoy, Peter M.
- Venue
- Behavior Therapy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2012-09
- Volume
- 43
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 533-545
- ISSN
- 0005-7894 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1972848592
- Cited by
- 468
- References
- 75
- Citations by year
- 2026: 27 · 2025: 29 · 2024: 44 · 2023: 44 · 2022: 39 · 2021: 51 · 2020: 38 · 2019: 34 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 25 · 2016: 34 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 25 · 2013: 18 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 21.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Behavior Therapy (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion)
- eSpace (Curtin University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Mental Health Research Topics
- Keywords
- intolerance of uncertainty, neuroticism, anxiety disorders, depression, generalized anxiety disorder, obsessive-compulsive disorder, social anxiety disorder, panic disorder, agoraphobia, worry, mediation
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Anxiety Disorders, Depressive Disorder, Female, Humans, Male, Models, Psychological, Personality Inventory, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Uncertainty
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