Cited by 490Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology ResearchPancreatitis Pathology and TreatmentGlobal Cancer Incidence and Screening

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 124 of the 127 references it cites were found in a registry or an index, and 1 are not checked yet; 10 of the 155 sources its claims cite were checked for support.

Early detection of pancreatic cancer

Open access

Abstract

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is most frequently detected at an advanced stage. Such late detection restricts treatment options and contributes to a dismal 5-year survival rate of 3–15%. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is relatively uncommon and screening of the asymptomatic adult population is not feasible or recommended with current modalities. However, screening of individuals in high-risk groups is recommended. Here, we review groups at high risk for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, including individuals with inherited predisposition and patients with pancreatic cystic lesions. We discuss studies aimed at finding ways of identifying pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in high-risk groups, such as among individuals with new-onset diabetes mellitus and people attending primary and secondary care practices with symptoms that suggest this cancer. We review early detection biomarkers, explore the potential of using social media for detection, appraise prediction models developed using electronic health records and research data, and examine the application of artificial intelligence to medical imaging for the purposes of early detection.

Verified 2026-10-06 · 1 reference not checked yet

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/s2468-1253(19)30416-9

Cites

124 of 125 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

88 Not checked yet · 29 Own interpretation · 3 Partly supported · 2 Mixed support · 2 Sources not found · 1 Couldn’t confirm · 1 No basis given · accuracy not yet measured

Verify all 142 references — free account

Show all 77 claims

  • Probably not a substantial claim. 20
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 32
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  • The paper relies on this without support.

    In some cases, the definitive diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is only possible after surgery, when sufficient tumour material is available for histological diagnosis.

    “In some cases, the definitive diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is only possible following surgery (when there is sufficient tumour material to make the histological diagnosis), which carries the risk of substantial morbidity and mortality.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Some hereditary cancer syndromes, including HBOC, Lynch syndrome 2, FAMMM, Peutz-Jegher’s syndrome, and Li-Fraumeni syndrome, are associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “Some hereditary cancer syndromes—including hereditary breast-ovarian cancer syndrome (HBOC), Lynch syndrome 2, familial atypical multiple mole melanoma (FAMMM), Peutz-Jegher’s syndrome, and Li-Fraumeni syndrome—are associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Not all pancreatic cystic lesions are intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms or mucinous cystic neoplasms; many have no risk of malignant transformation and do not require surveillance.

    “First, not all pancreatic cystic lesions are intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystic neoplasms. Many are cystic lesions with no risk of malignant transformation and thus do not require surveillance.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Most intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystic neoplasms do not progress to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “Second, most intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystic neoplasms do not progress to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Currently available clinical tools are imperfect at differentiating benign pancreatic cysts that are safe to discharge, mucinous cystic lesions that harbour high-grade dysplasia or pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and require surgical resection, and mucinous cystic lesions with low-grade dysplasia that are safe to watch.

    “Currently available clinical tools are imperfect at differentiating between benign cysts that are safe to discharge, mucinous cystic lesions that harbour high-grade dysplasia or pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and require surgical resection, and mucinous cystic lesions that have low-grade dysplasia and are safe to watch.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Different types of pancreatic cysts have specific mutational profiles that can be used to identify the type of cyst with a high level of confidence.

    “We now know that different types of pancreatic cysts have specific mutational profiles that can be used to identify the type of cysts with a high level of confidence.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    People with long-standing type 2 diabetes of more than 5 years have a 1–1.5-fold increased risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma compared with the general population.

    “People with long-standing type 2 diabetes (more than 5 years) have a 1–1·5-fold increased risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma compared with the general population.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Individuals with new-onset diabetes are the highest risk group for sporadic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “and individuals with new-onset diabetes are the highest risk group for sporadic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Approximately 0.8–1% of individuals aged over 50 years with new-onset diabetes have diabetes secondary to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “Approximately 0·8–1% of individuals aged over 50 years with new-onset diabetes have diabetes secondary to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    For newly identified high-risk groups such as patients with new-onset diabetes, there are no established guidelines or screening programmes.

    “For the newly identified high-risk groups (such as patients with new-onset diabetes), there are no established guidelines or screening programmes.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Despite thousands of published papers, no single candidate biomarker has translated to clinical use for the early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “However, despite thousands of published papers, no single candidate biomarker has translated to clinical use for the early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The low incidence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma makes acquiring the quantity of samples necessary for biomarker development difficult, requiring large national and international collaborations.

    “The low incidence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma means that acquiring the quantity of samples necessary for biomarker development is not easy, and large national and international collaborations are required.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Currently, biomarker studies do not account well for the finding that a high proportion of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma have diabetes, so emerging biomarkers could have an association with diabetes rather than with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “Currently, biomarker studies do not account well for the finding that a high proportion of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma have diabetes;50 thus, emerging biomarkers could have an association with diabetes rather than with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    A pronounced deficit in early detection studies for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma has been the absence of bespoke pre-diagnostic cohorts.

    “Finally, a pronounced deficit in early detection studies for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma has been the absence of bespoke pre-diagnostic cohorts.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No biomarkers are currently validated for early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “Currently, there are no biomarkers validated for early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    CA19-9 is elevated in benign and malignant diseases other than pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “and the marker is increased in other benign and malignant diseases.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    CA19-9 is not expressed in people with a Lewis-negative genotype.

    “CA19–9 is not expressed in individuals with a Lewis-negative genotype”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Onset of diabetes after age 50 is the best available clinical marker for early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

    “Onset of diabetes after age 50 was chosen as the best clinical marker available for early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma first experience subtle, vague symptoms that can precede diagnosis by years.

    “Because patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma first experience subtle, vague symptoms that can precede the diagnosis by years”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Visual assessment by imaging physicians is qualitative, subjective, and prone to errors and intra-observer and inter-observer variability.

    “However, visual assessment by imaging physicians is qualitative, subjective, and prone to errors and intra-observer and inter-observer variabilities.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Many distinguishing features of medical images are hidden from human observers.

    “More importantly, many distinguishing features of images are hidden from human observers.”
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Metadata

Authors
Pereira, S. P., Oldfield, L., Ney, A., Hart, P. A., Keane, M. G., Pandol, S. J., Li, D., Greenhalf, W., Jeon, C. Y., Koay, E. J., Almario, C. V., Halloran, C., Lennon, A. M., & Costello, E.
Affiliations
  • University College London (GB)
  • University of Liverpool (GB)
  • The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center (US)
  • Johns Hopkins University (US)
  • Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (US)
  • The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
Corresponding author
Costello, Eithne
Venue
The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-07
Volume
5
Issue
7
Pages
698-710
ISSN
  • 2468-1156 (ISSN-L)
  • 2468-1253
OpenAlex
W2304258614
Cited by
482
References
127
Citations by year
2026: 47 · 2025: 76 · 2024: 88 · 2023: 89 · 2022: 99 · 2021: 61 · 2020: 22
FWCI
7.28
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • The Lancet. Gastroenterology & hepatology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (U01CA196403–01, 1R01CA218004–01A1, 1U01CA200468–01, UL1TR001881–01, U54CA210181–01)
  • Royal College of Surgeons of Edinburgh
  • Pancreatic Cancer Action
  • Cancer Research UK (C52547/A28210, C7690/A26881)
  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (U01DK108327, R01CA230442, U01DK108314, R21CA220073)
  • National Institutes of Health (P50-CA062924)
  • National Cancer Institute
  • Pancreatic Cancer Research Fund
  • Pancreatic Cancer UK
  • National Institute for Health Research
  • National Pancreas Foundation
  • Pancreatic Cancer Action Network
  • Lustgarten Foundation
  • Atlanta Clinical and Translational Science Institute
  • Department of Health, Australian Government
  • North West Cancer Research Fund
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Pancreatitis Pathology and Treatment
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
Keywords
pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, early detection, high-risk groups, genetic susceptibility, pancreatic cysts, new-onset diabetes, early diagnosis biomarkers, social media, prediction model, electronic health records, artificial intelligence, diagnostic imaging
MeSH terms
Deep Learning, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Artificial Intelligence, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Diagnostic Imaging, Female, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Middle Aged, Pancreatic Cyst, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Risk Factors, Biomarkers, Tumor, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal, Early Detection of Cancer, Electronic Health Records, Social Media

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