Elite Influence on Public Opinion in an Informed Electorate
Abstract
An enduring concern about democracies is that citizens conform too readily to the policy views of elites in their own parties, even to the point of ignoring other information about the policies in question. This article presents two experiments that undermine this concern, at least under one important condition. People rarely possess even a modicum of information about policies; but when they do, their attitudes seem to be affected at least as much by that information as by cues from party elites. The experiments also measure the extent to which people think about policy. Contrary to many accounts, they suggest that party cues do not inhibit such thinking. This is not cause for unbridled optimism about citizens' ability to make good decisions, but it is reason to be more sanguine about their ability to use information about policy when they have it.
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A growing number of empirical studies have uncovered evidence that people update their political attitudes and beliefs in line with evidence and arguments presented to them.
“Consistent with this view, a growing number of empirical studies have uncovered evidence that people update their political attitudes and beliefs in line with evidence (e.g., refs. 4,13,27–29) and arguments23,30,31 presented to them.”
From Factual knowledge can reduce attitude polarization (2025) · cites this paper as [27]
Follow-up research indicated that the in-party policy proposal effect was true for Republican but not Democratic supporters.
“However, follow-up research indicated that this was true for Republican but not Democratic supporters86.”
From Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022) · cites this paper as [86]
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The Politics of Beauty: The Effects of Partisan Bias on Physical Attractiveness
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Heuristics Behaving Badly: Party Cues and Voter Knowledge
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How Political Parties Shape Public Opinion in the Real World
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Elite Communication and the Popular Legitimacy of International Organizations
Dellmuth, L., & Tallberg, J. (2020) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123419000620 · Cited by 183 · see citing works
How Gullible are We? A Review of the Evidence from Psychology and Social Science
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Climate change as a polarizing cue: Framing effects on public support for low-carbon energy policies
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Partisans in Robes: Party Cues and Public Acceptance of Supreme Court Decisions
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Partisan Elites as Culprits? How Party Cues Shape Partisan Perceptual Gaps
Bisgaard, M., & Slothuus, R. (2018) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12349 · Cited by 269 · see citing works
Brader, T. A., Tucker, J. A., & Duell, D. (2012) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414012453452 · Cited by 160 · see citing works
On the misplaced politics of behavioural policy interventions
Tannenbaum, D., Fox, C. R., & Rogers, T. (2017) · Nature Human Behaviour · doi:10.1038/s41562-017-0130 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Preference Change in Competitive Political Environments
Druckman, J. N., & Lupia, A. (2015) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-020614-095051 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Improving the External Validity of Conjoint Analysis: The Essential Role of Profile Distribution
Cuesta, B. D. L., Egami, N., & Imai, K. (2021) · Political Analysis · doi:10.1017/pan.2020.40 · Cited by 156 · see citing works
Evolutionary Political Psychology: On the Origin and Structure of Heuristics and Biases in Politics
Petersen, M. B. (2015) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12237 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Degrees of Acceptance: Variation in Public Attitudes toward Segments of the LGBT Community
Lewis, D. C., Flores, A. R., Haider‐Markel, D. P., Miller, P., Tadlock, B. L., & Taylor, J. K. (2017) · Political Research Quarterly · doi:10.1177/1065912917717352 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Local News, Information, and the Nationalization of U.S. Elections
MOSKOWITZ, D. J. (2021) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055420000829 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Bakker, B. N., Yphtach Lelkes, B., & Malka, A. (2019) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1086/707616 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
The Effects of Issue Salience, Elite Influence, and Policy Content on Public Opinion
Ciuk, D. J., & Yost, B. A. (2015) · Political Communication · doi:10.1080/10584609.2015.1017629 · Cited by 148 · see citing works
Partisanship in a Social Setting
Klar, S. (2014) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12087 · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Freeder, S., Lenz, G., & Turney, S. (2018) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1086/700005 · Cited by 142 · see citing works
Partisanship, Political Knowledge, and the Dunning‐Kruger Effect
Anson, I. G. (2018) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12490 · Cited by 142 · see citing works
Mullinix, K. J. (2015) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1007/s11109-015-9318-4 · Cited by 132 · see citing works
Partisan Barriers to Bipartisanship
Ehret, P. J., Leaf Van Boven, A., & Sherman, D. K. (2018) · Social Psychological and Personality Science · doi:10.1177/1948550618758709 · Cited by 132 · see citing works
Personal Experience and Public Opinion: A Theory and Test of Conditional Policy Feedback
Lerman, A. E., & McCabe, K. T. (2017) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1086/689286 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Saving Face: Identifying Voter Responses to Black Candidates and Female Candidates
Krupnikov, Y., Piston, S., & Bauer, N. M. (2015) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12261 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
The Contingent Effects of Candidate Sex on Voter Choice
Ono, Y., & Burden, B. C. (2018) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1007/s11109-018-9464-6 · Cited by 127 · see citing works
Shifting Republican views on climate change through targeted advertising
Goldberg, M. H., Gustafson, A., Rosenthal, S. A., & Leiserowitz, A. (2021) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01070-1 · Cited by 127 · see citing works
A Framework for the Study of Persuasion
Druckman, J. N. (2022) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-051120-110428 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Slothuus, R. (2015) · Political Communication · doi:10.1080/10584609.2015.1052892 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
Elite Cues and the Rapid Decline in Trust in Science Agencies on COVID-19
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Why national and international legitimacy beliefs are linked: Social trust as an antecedent factor
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How interest groups influence public opinion: Arguments matter more than the sources
Dür, A. (2018) · European Journal of Political Research · doi:10.1111/1475-6765.12298 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Like, Post, and Distrust? How Social Media Use Affects Trust in Government
Klein, E., & Robison, J. (2020) · Political Communication · doi:10.1080/10584609.2019.1661891 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Does Private Regulation Preempt Public Regulation?
MALHOTRA, N., MONIN, B., & TOMZ, M. (2019) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055418000679 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Making Space for Women: Explaining Citizen Support for Legislative Gender Quotas in Latin America
Barnes, T. D., & Córdova, A. (2016) · Journal of Politics · doi:10.1086/685379 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Source Cues and Public Support for the Supreme Court
Clark, T. S., & Kastellec, J. (2015) · American Politics Research · doi:10.1177/1532673x14560809 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Gun Ownership as a Social Identity: Estimating Behavioral and Attitudinal Relationships
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Individual Representation in a Community of Knowledge.
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Media Cues and Citizen Support for Right-Wing Populist Parties
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The Ideological Asymmetry of the American Party System
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Mini-publics and Public Opinion: Two Survey-Based Experiments
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Extra-judicial Actor Induced Change in Supreme Court Legitimacy
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Group Identity and Political Cohesion
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Who is Punished? Conditions Affecting Voter Evaluations of Legislators Who Do Not Compromise
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Congressional Representation: Accountability from the Constituent's Perspective
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Moral Concerns and Policy Attitudes: Investigating the Influence of Elite Rhetoric
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Evaluating Belief System Networks as a Theory of Political Belief System Dynamics
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Credible Sources and Sophisticated Voters: When Does New Information Induce Economic Voting?
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Pathologies of Studying Public Opinion, Political Communication, and Democratic Responsiveness
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Stories or Science? Facts, Frames, and Policy Attitudes
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Party, policy – or both? Partisan-biased processing of policy arguments in direct democracy
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“Do Something” Politics and Double-Peaked Policy Preferences
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The Limits of Partisan Loyalty
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The Role of the Information Environment in Partisan Voting
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Individual Differences in Group Loyalty Predict Partisan Strength
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Open versus Closed: Personality, Identity, and the Politics of Redistribution
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- Authors
- BULLOCK, J. G.
- Affiliations
- Yale University (US)
- Corresponding author
- BULLOCK, JOHN G.
- ORCID
- BULLOCK, JOHN G.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2011-08
- Volume
- 105
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 496-515
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W3124069454
- Cited by
- 777
- References
- 103
- Citations by year
- 2026: 42 · 2025: 73 · 2024: 46 · 2023: 90 · 2022: 88 · 2021: 49 · 2020: 66 · 2019: 64 · 2018: 70 · 2017: 60 · 2016: 25 · 2015: 34 · 2014: 31 · 2013: 20 · 2012: 16
- FWCI
- 154.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Political Science Review (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
- Keywords
- elite influence, public opinion, party cues, policy information, party identification, democratic decision-making
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