Cited by 132Misinformation and Its ImpactsJob Satisfaction and Organizational BehaviorParanormal Experiences and Beliefs

Suspicion in the workplace: Organizational conspiracy theories and work‐related outcomes

Open access
Douglas, Karen M., Leite, Ana C.·2017·British Journal of Psychology

Abstract

Belief in conspiracy theories about societal events is widespread and has important consequences for political, health, and environmental behaviour. Little is known, however, about how conspiracy theorizing affects people's everyday working lives. In the present research, we predicted that belief in conspiracy theories about the workplace would be associated with increased turnover intentions. We further hypothesized that belief in these organizational conspiracy theories would predict decreased organizational commitment and job satisfaction. Finally, we hypothesized that these factors would mediate the relationship between organizational conspiracy theories and turnover intentions. In three studies (one correlational and two experiments, Ns = 209, 119, 202), we found support for these hypotheses. The current studies therefore demonstrate the potentially adverse consequences of conspiracy theorizing for the workplace. We argue that managers and employees should be careful not to dismiss conspiracy theorizing as harmless rumour or gossip.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1111/bjop.12212

Cites

74 of 74 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

0 of 31 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    Study 1's total effect from organizational conspiracy belief to turnover intentions was b=0.49, SE=0.09, t=5.56, p<.001, 95% CI 0.32,0.67.

    “the significant total effect of organizational conspiracy belief on turnover intentions (b = 0.49, SE = 0.09, t = 5.56, p < .001,95% CI 0.32, 0.67)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In Study 1, organizational conspiracy belief predicted turnover intentions, β=.393, t(196)=5.96, p<.001.

    “we found the predicted relationship between organizational conspiracy belief and turnover intentions, β = .393,t(196) = 5.96, p < .001.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    After mediators were included, Study 1's direct path from organizational conspiracy belief to turnover intentions was b=0.17, SE=0.09, t=1.88, p=.061, 95% CI -0.01,0.34.

    “was reduced in the direct model (b = 0.17, SE = 0.09, t = 1.88, p = .061,95% CI -0.01, 0.34).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Across three studies (one correlational and two experiments; Ns=209,119,202), the authors found support for their hypotheses.

    “In three studies (one correlational and two experiments, Ns = 209, 119, 202), we found support for these hypotheses.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Organizational commitment and job satisfaction significantly and sequentially mediated the effect of organizational conspiracy theories on turnover intentions (b = 1.06, SE = 0.18, 95% CI 0.75, 1.44).

    “In other words, organizational commitment and job satisfaction significantly and sequentially mediated the effect of organizational conspiracy theories on turnover intentions (b = 1.06,SE = 0.18, 95% CI 0.75, 1.44).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 10
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 5
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 15
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Study 1 found that belief in organizational conspiracies correlated significantly with every organizational outcome and with turnover intentions.

    “As expected, organizational conspiracy belief was significantly correlated with all of the organizational outcomes and turnover intentions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Study 2 found no significant direct path from organizational conspiracy belief to job satisfaction, b=-.16, SE=.13, t=-1.27, p=.205, CI -.42,0.10.

    “the first model shows that the direct path between organizational conspiracy belief and job satisfaction is not significant, b = -.16,SE = .13,t = -1.27,p = .205,CI -.42, 0.10”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    In Study 2, the alternative serial mediation order (organizational climate -> organizational conspiracy belief -> job satisfaction -> organizational commitment -> turnover intentions) was weaker than the proposed order, b=0.11, SE=0.07, 95% CI 0.02,0.29.

    “The test of this specific indirect path was weaker than in the order described above (b = 0.11, SE = 0.07, 95% CI 0.02, 0.29).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The alternative mediation order (conspiracy theories → job satisfaction → organizational commitment → turnover intentions) had a weaker indirect path (b = 0.25, SE = 0.09, 95% CI 0.11, 0.44) than the model with commitment first.

    “Again, the indirect path was weaker than in the model described above, b = 0.25, SE = 0.09, 95% CI 0.11, 0.44.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Study 1 found that general conspiracy belief correlated with turnover intentions but not with the remaining organizational outcomes.

    “Belief in general conspiracy theories was significantly correlated with turnover intentions (but not any of the other organizational outcomes), and we included this variable as a covariate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The research experimentally demonstrates the effect of organizational conspiracies on turnover intentions, extending prior work.

    “we extend upon previous research (van Prooijen & de Vries, in press) by (1) experimentally demonstrating the effect of organizational conspiracies on turnover intentions”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites van Prooijen & de Vries, in press

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Van Prooijen and de Vries reported that commitment was linked to workplace conspiracy beliefs and mediated their connection with turnover intentions.

    “Further, van Prooijen and de Vries (in press) found that organizational commitment was associated with belief in workplace-related conspiracies and that it mediated the association between organizational conspiracy belief and turnover intentions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites van Prooijen & de Vries, in press

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Conspiracy theories may have negative societal consequences including discouraging voting, vaccination, contraception, and climate-friendly behaviours.

    “These include discouraging people from voting (Jolley & Douglas, 2014a), having their children vaccinated (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b), using contraception (Bird & Bogart, 2003;Bogart & Thorburn, 2006), and engaging in climate-friendly behaviours (Jolley & Douglas, 2014a; see also Douglas & Sutton, 2015;Douglas, Sutton, Jolley & Wood, 2015).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Jolley & Douglas, 2014a

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Study 2 indicated that conspiracy belief predicts turnover intentions through commitment and job satisfaction, and that these variables serially mediate the climate-turnover link.

    “So far, we have therefore demonstrated that conspiracy belief predicts turnover intentions via organizational commitment and job satisfaction, and that organizational conspiracy belief, organizational commitment and job satisfaction also sequentially mediate the effect of organizational climate on turnover intentions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Conspiracy theories are everywhere and are a fundamental by-product of how people perceive the world around them.

    “This again reinforces the idea that conspiracy theories are everywhere and are a fundamental by-product of the way people perceive the world around them (Douglas et al., 2016;Oliver & Wood, 2014).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Douglas et al., 2016

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Oliver & Wood, 2014

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    In Study 1, general conspiracy belief was included as a covariate.

    “and we included this variable as a covariate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    The measures used in Study 3 had high internal reliability: organizational commitment α = .98, job satisfaction α = .91, and turnover intentions α = .96.

    “organizational commitment (α = .98),and job satisfaction (α = .91).7 We also measured turnover intentions (DV; α = .96).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Previous work has shown that organizational identification and organizational commitment have different psychological meanings.

    “However, previous work has shown that these variables have different psychological meanings (van Knippenberg & Sleebos, 2006).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites van Knippenberg & Sleebos, 2006

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    Study 1 suggests that normative commitment, rather than affective commitment, drives the effects observed in this research.

    “Similarly, Study 1 suggests that normative commitment (vs.affective commitment) is driving the effects we observed in the current research.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Organizational identification is associated with turnover intentions.

    “most relevant to the current investigation, turnover intentions (Mael & Ashforth, 1995;Van Dick, 2004).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Mael & Ashforth, 1995

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Van Dick, 2004

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Serial mediation models do not provide definitive evidence of causal relations between variables.

    “serial mediation models do not provide definitive evidence of causal relations between variables.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Van Dick et al. (2004) found support for a mediation process in which organizational identification predicts turnover intentions via job satisfaction.

    “Dick et al. (2004) have found support for a mediation process through which organizational identification predicts turnover intentions via job satisfaction.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Dick et al. (2004)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Prior work connects organizational climate with satisfaction, commitment, and turnover intentions.

    “It has been linked to job satisfaction (Friedlander & Margulies, 1969;Ostroff, 1993;Pritchard & Karasick, 1973), commitment (Ostroff, 1993) and turnover intentions (Ostroff, 1993;Schwepker, 2001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Ostroff, 1993

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Schwepker, 2001

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Turnover carries potential costs.

    “Considering the potential costs of turnover (Cascio, 2006;Weisberg & Kirschenbaum, 1991)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Cascio, 2006

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Weisberg & Kirschenbaum, 1991

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Among salespeople, a positive ethical climate predicts higher job satisfaction, stronger commitment, and lower turnover intentions.

    “Specifically, it has been found that ethical climate influences organizational behaviour, such that a positive ethical climate is a key predictor of greater job satisfaction, stronger organizational commitment and consequently lower turnover intentions amongst salespeople (Schwepker, 2001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Schwepker, 2001

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    Participants were randomly assigned to read one of the three conspiracy scenarios or the control scenario.

    “There were three scenarios and participants were randomly assigned to read one”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The mediation analyses controlled for belief in other conspiracy theories.

    “PROCESS macro (Model 4, 10,000 bootstraps; Hayes, 2013), controlling for belief in other conspiracy theories.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hayes, 2013

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Crowdsourcing has been considered a viable source of participants for organizational psychology research and a good alternative to university samples.

    “the crowdsourcing method has been considered a viable source of participants in the study of organizational psychology and a good alternative to university samples (Behrend, Sharek, Meade, & Wiebe, 2011)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Behrend, Sharek, Meade, & Wiebe, 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Organizational commitment is a significant predictor of turnover intentions.

    “Research suggests that commitment is also a significant predictor of turnover intentions (e.g., Eby, Freeman, Rush & Lance, 1999;Loi, Hang-yue, & Foley, 2006;Mathieu & Zajac, 1990;Meyer & Allen, 1997;Meyer, Stanley, Herscovitch, & Topolnytsky, 2002;Schwepker, 2001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Eby et al., 1999

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Schwepker, 2001

      Not checked in the free run.

24 of 24
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Little is known about how conspiracy theorising affects people's everyday working lives and about the relationship between organizational conspiracy theorising and workers' intentions to leave.

    “Little is known, however, about how conspiracy theorising affects people's everyday working lives.”
    “As yet, however, much is unknown about the relationship between conspiracy theorising in organizations and workers' intentions to leave their workplace.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The negative organizational climate manipulation in Study 2 successfully induced organizational conspiracy belief.

    “Although this was a successful manipulation, the best test of the hypothesised causal relationship between organizational conspiracy theories and turnover intentions is to manipulate organizational conspiracy theories directly.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There is little consensus on the psychological process through which employees' attachment to their workplace and their satisfaction with their job affect their willingness to leave the organization.

    “There is little consensus on the psychological process through which employees' attachment to their workplace and their satisfaction with their job impact on their willingness to leave the organization.”
3 of 3

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Experimental exposure to conspiracy theories makes people less inclined to commit to their organizations and to engage in mainstream political processes such as voting and party politics.

    “Specifically, they are less inclined to commit to their organizations and to engage in mainstream political processes such as voting and party politics.”

    From The Psychology of Conspiracy Theories (2017) · cites this paper as Douglas & Leite, 2017

    The Study 3 table (Conclusions; page unavailable) shows lower organizational commitment after exposure to workplace conspiracy theories than in the control condition. The Psychology of conspiracy theories section reports reduced voting, and the Organizational commitment section reports weakened political engagement. Neither passage specifically addresses participation in party politics. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Experimental exposure to conspiracy theories immediately suppresses people's sense of autonomy and control.

    “On the contrary, experimental exposure to conspiracy theories appears to immediately suppress people’s sense of autonomy and control (Douglas & Leite, 2017; Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b).”

    From The Psychology of Conspiracy Theories (2017) · cites this paper as Douglas & Leite, 2017

    Study 3 describes an experiment exposing participants to workplace conspiracy theories, but its measured outcomes were turnover intentions, organizational commitment, and job satisfaction—not a sense of autonomy or control. A search for autonomy and control found autonomy only as a feature of the workplace climate described to participants; our copy does not report that exposure immediately suppressed either feeling. (LLM, conf=0.76)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Statistics recomputed

Every reported test result, recomputed from its test statistic and degrees of freedom. A result shows as not adding up only once an independent check has confirmed it.

  • Consistentt(196) = 5.96reported p < .001 · recomputed p < .001

    “t(196) = 5.96, p < .001”

  • Consistentt(118) = 17.96reported p < .001 · recomputed p < .001

    “t(118) = 17.96, p < .001”

  • Consistentt(201) = 11.36reported p < .001 · recomputed p < .001

    “t(201) = 11.36,p < .001”

3 of 3

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Study 2 conspiracy-belief total mean does not match the condition means

    Minor

    Participants were split in half between the two climate conditions. Their reported conspiracy-belief means average to 3.095, or about 3.10, rather than the table's 3.01.

    Reported 3.01 · recomputed 3.095

  • Reported turnover scores are below the minimum possible sum

    Minor

    The paper says the three turnover items, each scored from 1 to 5, were summed. A sum cannot be below 3, yet Table 1 reports a mean of 2.27; the scores appear to have been averaged instead.

  • General-belief adjustment is attributed to a study that did not measure it

    Minor

    The discussion describes the effects across the studies as observed after adjustment for general conspiracy belief. Study 3 explicitly says it did not measure that variable, so its effect could not have been adjusted for it.

  • Study 2 gives different tests for the climate effect

    Minor

    The results text reports a t value of 17.96 for climate predicting turnover intentions, while Table 2 reports 16.35 for the comparison of those same two conditions on turnover intentions.

4 of 4

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 75 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. Allport G. W., 1947, The psychology of rumor
  2. Douglas K. M., 2015, The psychology of conspiracy, 183
  3. 10.1007/s10869‐015‐9428‐3 · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Douglas, K. M., & Leite, A. C.
Affiliations
  • University of Kent (GB)
  • University of Roehampton (GB)
Corresponding author
Douglas, Karen M.
Venue
British Journal of Psychology
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2016-08-04
Volume
108
Issue
3
Pages
486-506
ISSN
  • 0007-1269 (ISSN-L)
  • 2044-8295
OpenAlex
W2498022885
Cited by
132
References
75
Citations by year
2026: 18 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 40 · 2017: 6
FWCI
48.61
Type
journal article
Language
en
Locations
  • British Journal of Psychology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion)
  • Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
  • Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent) (submittedVersion)
  • Durham Research Online (Durham University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Job Satisfaction and Organizational Behavior
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Paranormal Experiences and Beliefs
Keywords
conspiracy theories, workplace, turnover intention, organizational commitment, job satisfaction, rumors, gossip, work-related outcomes
MeSH terms
Adult, Female, Humans, Job Satisfaction, Deception, Male, Middle Aged, Personnel Turnover, Workplace, Intention

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