A century of trends in adult human height
Open accessAbstract
Being taller is associated with enhanced longevity, and higher education and earnings. We reanalysed 1472 population-based studies, with measurement of height on more than 18.6 million participants to estimate mean height for people born between 1896 and 1996 in 200 countries. The largest gain in adult height over the past century has occurred in South Korean women and Iranian men, who became 20.2 cm (95% credible interval 17.5–22.7) and 16.5 cm (13.3–19.7) taller, respectively. In contrast, there was little change in adult height in some sub-Saharan African countries and in South Asia over the century of analysis. The tallest people over these 100 years are men born in the Netherlands in the last quarter of 20th century, whose average heights surpassed 182.5 cm, and the shortest were women born in Guatemala in 1896 (140.3 cm; 135.8–144.8). The height differential between the tallest and shortest populations was 19-20 cm a century ago, and has remained the same for women and increased for men a century later despite substantial changes in the ranking of countries.
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A previous study also observed a notable increase in Danish men's body height among those born between 1940 and 1980.
“This observation is in line with a previous study, which also observed a notable increase in Danish men’s body height among those born between 1940 and 1980 [26].”
From The secular trend of intelligence test scores: The Danish experience for young men born between 1940 and 2000 (2021) · cites this paper as [26]
The Results report gains in European men’s height and state that Danish men born in 1996 averaged over 181 cm. They do not report a height increase specifically among Danish men born between 1940 and 1980, so the cited paper does not establish the claimed cohort trend. (LLM, conf=0.76)
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- Authors
- NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
- Venue
- eLife
- Publisher
- eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd
- Published
- 2016-07-26
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- e13410
- ISSN
- 2050-084X (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4961475
- OpenAlex
- W2461148724
- Cited by
- 1,558
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 38 · 2025: 42 · 2024: 63 · 2023: 58 · 2022: 55 · 2021: 305 · 2020: 316 · 2019: 218 · 2018: 207 · 2017: 210 · 2016: 46
- FWCI
- 441.77
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- eLife (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Americanae (AECID Library) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (publishedVersion)
- RECERCAT (Consorci de Serveis Universitaris de Catalunya) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Middlesex University Research Repository (Middlesex University Of London) (acceptedVersion)
- Universiti Sains Malaysia Institutional Repository (Universiti Sains Malaysia) (acceptedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (acceptedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- St George's Online Research Archive (St George's University of London) (acceptedVersion)
- LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
- Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB) (submittedVersion)
- UTUPub (University of Turku) (submittedVersion)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion)
- Homo Politicus (Academy of Humanities and Economics in Lodz) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Jagiellonian University Repository (Jagiellonian University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- OAR@UM (University of Malta) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (submittedVersion)
- Diva portal (Dalarna University Library) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- KTH Publication Database DiVA (KTH Royal Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- Americanae (AECID Library) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Arca - Repositório Institucional da Fiocruz (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Ghent University Academic Bibliography (Ghent University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- CINECA IRIS Institutial research information system (University of Pisa) (submittedVersion)
- Portuguese National Funding Agency for Science, Research and Technology (RCAAP Project by FCT) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Mary Immaculate Research Repository (Mary Immaculate College) (submittedVersion)
- UEF eRepo (University of Eastern Finland) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Loughborough University Research Repository (Loughborough University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja (submittedVersion)
- The HKU Scholars Hub (University of Hong Kong) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Institutional Research Information System University of Ferrara (University of Ferrara) (submittedVersion)
- Nova Science Publishers (Nova Science Publishers, Inc.) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Jyväskylä University Digital Archive (University of Jyväskylä) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Lithuanian University of Health Sciences (submittedVersion)
- Pure Amsterdam UMC (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Explorer (The University of Manchester) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Portuguese National Funding Agency for Science, Research and Technology (RCAAP Project by FCT) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Kyoto University Research Information Repository (Kyoto University) (submittedVersion)
- Kyoto University Research Information Repository (Kyoto University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ResearchSpace (University of Auckland) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- CINECA IRIS Institutional Research Information System (University of Bari Aldo Moro) (submittedVersion)
- Seoul National University Open Repository (Seoul National University) (submittedVersion)
- SUNScholar (Stellenbosch University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion)
- VinaR (Institute of Nuclear Sciences "Vinča") (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Apollo (cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Funders
- Grand Challenges Canada
- Wellcome Trust (101506/Z/13/Z)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Historical Economic and Social Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Birth, Development, and Health
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Archeology › Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies
- Keywords
- adult height, secular trends, sex differences in height, longevity, South Korea, Iran, Netherlands, Guatemala, sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Body Height, Humans, Global Health
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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