The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes

Ross, Lee; Greene, David; House, Pamela

doi:10.1016/0022-1031(77)90049-x

Cited by 3,139Social and Intergroup PsychologyPersonality Traits and PsychologyPsychometric Methodologies and Testing

The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes

Ross, Lee, Greene, David, House, Pamela·1977·Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

DOI 10.1016/0022-1031(77)90049-x

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Naïve realism produces the false-consensus effect, the mistaken assumption that one's conclusions are widely shared by others.
“Naïve realism produces the “false-consensus effect,” or the mistaken assumption that one's conclusions are widely shared by others (Ross et al., 1977).”
From Lessons from the field: Isn't it just common sense? Naïve realism as a barrier to learning (2024) · cites this paper as Ross et al., 1977
In the Ross et al. (1977) survey, 99.7% of surveyed GPT-3.5 runs (1027 of 1030) chose to sign the release, and 0.3% (3) refused.
“However, in our GPT sample (N = 1030), 99.7% of surveyed GPT-3.5 runs (a total of 1027) chose to sign the release, and only 0.3% of them (a total of just three) refused.”
From Diminished diversity-of-thought in a standard large language model (2024) · cites this paper as Ross et al. (1977)
For the Ross et al. (1977) false-consensus traffic-ticket scenario and the Hsee (1998) less-is-better effect, the GPT sample successfully replicated both the original result and the corresponding Many Labs 2 result.
“For the study of Ross et al. (1977), testing the false-consensus effect on the traffic ticket scenario and the study of Hsee (1998) on the less-is-better effect, our GPT sample successfully replicated both the original result and the corresponding Many Labs 2 result.”
From Diminished diversity-of-thought in a standard large language model (2024) · cites this paper as Ross et al. (1977)

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Authors: Ross, L., Greene, D., & House, P.
Affiliations: Stanford University (US)
ORCID: Greene, David
Venue: Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Published: 1977-05
Volume: 13
Issue: 3
Pages: 279-301
ISSN: 0022-1031 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1016/0022-1031(77)90049-x
OpenAlex: W2088614984
Semantic Scholar: da68edc4476cdf2c0f223a77be86082ede9d6277
Cited by: 3,139
References: 30
Citations by year: 2026: 105 · 2025: 128 · 2024: 163 · 2023: 101 · 2022: 117 · 2021: 148 · 2020: 173 · 2019: 137 · 2018: 160 · 2017: 105 · 2016: 120 · 2015: 101 · 2014: 101 · 2013: 123 · 2012: 122
FWCI: 45.82
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
Locations: Journal of Experimental Social Psychology (publishedVersion)
Topics: Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Personality Traits and Psychology
Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
Keywords: false consensus effect, egocentric bias, social perception, attribution, perceived consensus, social inference, personality dispositions, cognitive biases, perceptual mechanisms

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