Cited by 140Stellar, planetary, and galactic studiesAstrophysics and Star Formation StudiesAstro and Planetary Science

PLANETARY CONSTRUCTION ZONES IN OCCULTATION: DISCOVERY OF AN EXTRASOLAR RING SYSTEM TRANSITING A YOUNG SUN-LIKE STAR AND FUTURE PROSPECTS FOR DETECTING ECLIPSES BY CIRCUMSECONDARY AND CIRCUMPLANETARY DISKS

Open access
Mamajek, Eric E., Quillen, Alice C., Pecaut, Mark J., Moolekamp, Fred, Scott, Erin L., Kenworthy, Matthew A., Cameron, Andrew Collier, Parley, Neil R.·2012·The Astronomical Journal

Abstract

The large relative sizes of circumstellar and circumplanetary disks imply that they might be seen in eclipse in stellar light curves. We estimate that a survey of ~10^4 young (~10 million year old) post-accretion pre-main-sequence stars monitored for ~10 years should yield at least a few deep eclipses from circumplanetary disks and disks surrounding low-mass companion stars. We present photometric and spectroscopic data for a pre-main-sequence K5 star (1SWASP J140747.93-394542.6 = ASAS J140748-3945.7), a newly discovered ~0.9 M_sun member of the ~16 Myr old Upper Centaurus-Lupus subgroup of Sco-Cen at a kinematic distance of 128 +/- 13 pc. This star exhibited a remarkably long, deep, and complex eclipse event centered on 2007 April 29 (as discovered in Super Wide Angle Search for Planets (SuperWASP) photometry, and with portions of the dimming confirmed by All Sky Automated Survey (ASAS) data). At least five multi-day dimming events of >0.5 mag are identified, with a >3.3 mag deep eclipse bracketed by two pairs of ~1 mag eclipses symmetrically occurring +/-12 days and +/-26 days before and after. Hence, significant dimming of the star was taking place on and off over at least a ~54 day period in 2007, and a strong >1 mag dimming event occurring over a ~12 day span. We place a firm lower limit on the period of 850 days (i.e., the orbital radius of the eclipser must be >1.7 AU and orbital velocity must be <22 km s^-1).

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1088/0004-6256/143/3/72

Cites

100 of 100 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

43 of 93 cited sources checked · 19 supported · 2 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    Among the binaries found in young clusters, stars in different stages of disk evolution are not rare.

    “Among the binaries found in young clusters, stars in different stages of disk evolution are not rare”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Hartigan & Kenyon 2003 source

      The Introduction explicitly says that mixed pairs—young binaries with one disk-bearing star and one without a detectable disk—are rare. Section 4.1 estimates their frequency at about 15%, and the paper reports four mixed pairs among 20 close Taurus-Auriga binaries. Although such pairs exist, the paper's characterization is contrary to the claim that they are not rare. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites McCabe et al. 2006 source

      The Results (page unavailable) report that five of six passive-disk systems are mixed binaries, with a passive-disk star paired with a star showing different accretion properties. This supports the existence of such pairs in the surveyed star-forming regions, but the paper says the sample is small and the tendency is not statistically significant; it does not establish how common different disk-evolution stages are among young binaries generally. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Monin et al. 2007

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Premisecitation

    In units of Jupiter masses and days, the normalization constant C is 1.4 × 10^-3.

    “In units corresponding to measuring planet masses in Jupiter masses and orbital periods in days, the value of the normalization is C = 1.4 × 10 -3 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Cumming et al. 2008 source

      Section 4, “Summary and Conclusions” (page not provided), gives the normalization in Jupiter masses and days as C = 1.04 × 10^-3, not 1.4 × 10^-3. (LLM, conf=0.94)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Estimates of the size ratio ξ for circumplanetary disks range from about 0.1 to about 0.4.

    “Based on a centripetal radius argument, Quillen & Trilling (1998) estimated that an accreting circumplanetary disk would have ξ = 1/3.Hydrodynamic simulations of planets embedded in circumstellar disks also can find ξ ∼ 0.3 (Ayliffe & Bate 2009).A tidal truncation argument suggests ξ ∼ 0.4 (Martin & Lubow 2011).Theoretical models for Jupiter's circumplanetary disk accounting for Galilean satellite”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Quillen & Trilling 1998 source
    • cites Ayliffe & Bate 2009 source
    • cites Martin & Lubow 2011 source
  • Premisecitation

    There has been negligible investigation of the observability of the dense proto-satellite disks that likely existed during the first about 10^7 years.

    “there has been negligible investigation of the observability of the dense proto-satellite disks that likely existed during the first ∼10 7 years.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Barnes & Fortney 2004 source

      Section 2.2 discusses how the prevalence of planetary rings might vary with stellar age, and the Abstract addresses detecting Saturn-like rings in transit light curves. Neither passage addresses whether dense proto-satellite disks existed during the first ~10^7 years or how much their observability has been investigated. Searches for proto-satellite disks and that timescale found no relevant passage in our copy; page numbers were unavailable. (LLM, conf=0.72)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Ohta et al. 2009 source

      The Abstract and §5.4 discuss the detectability of planetary rings, including earlier work on rings and satellites. Searches for proto-satellite disks and their observability found no passage addressing dense disks in the first ∼10^7 years or how much they had been investigated. (LLM, conf=0.74)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    The multiplicity of class I young stellar objects in embedded clusters and pre-MS stars in young associations is high and ranges from 20% to 60% for the about 10^1.5-10^2.5 AU separation range and mass ratios of about 0.1-1.

    “The multiplicity of class I young stellar objects (YSOs) in embedded clusters and pre-MS stars in young associations is high and ranges from 20% to 60% for the ∼10 1.5 -10 2.5 AU separation range and mass ratios of ∼0.1-1”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Duchêne et al. 2007

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Kraus et al. 2011 source

      The Introduction describes a high companion frequency for Class II/III stars in sparse young associations, and Section 5.4 reports a high companion frequency in Taurus. But the paper’s survey sample excludes most Class 0/I sources (Section 2); the cited passages do not establish a 20%–60% multiplicity range for Class I objects in embedded clusters and pre-main-sequence stars across the specified separation and mass-ratio ranges. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 44
  • May combine two claims. 73
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 3
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Recent explorations of circumplanetary disks separate the disk evolution into two phases.

    “Recent explorations of circumplanetary disks separate the disk evolution into two phases (Alibert et al. 2005;Ward & Canup 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Alibert et al. 2005

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Ward & Canup 2010 source

      The Abstract describes a transition from a spin-out disk to an accretion disk, supporting a broad two-phase description. But Section 3.2 (Inflow Stages) says the planet–disk configuration passes through three stages, and the Conclusion describes an intermediate period when both spin-out and direct inflow supply the disk. The paper therefore does not separate its full disk evolution into only two phases. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The lack of differentiation of Callisto suggests that the accretion or formation timescale for all the Galilean satellites was prolonged and would have happened during the second phase of evolution after the circumstellar disk dissipated.

    “The lack of differentiation of Callisto (Anderson et al. 1996) suggests that the accretion or formation timescale for all the Galilean satellites was prolonged (Canup & Ward 2002) and would have happened during the second phase of evolution after the circumstellar disk dissipated”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Anderson et al. 1996 source
    • cites Canup & Ward 2002 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For ξ = 0.2 this gives a planet mass ratio of 2 × 10^-5 and for ξ = 0.1 of 2 × 10^-4, hence ranging from Saturn to Neptune mass and lower than estimated by Chiang et al. (2009) but consistent with that predicted by Quillen (2006).

    “For ξ = 0.2 this gives a planet mass ratio of 2 × 10 -5 and for ξ = 0.1 of 2 × 10 -4 , hence ranging from Saturn to Neptune mass and lower than estimated by Chiang et al. (2009) but consistent with that predicted by Quillen (2006).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Chiang et al. (2009) source

      The Summary (section 4.1; page unavailable) gives Chiang et al.'s conservative constraint as less than 3 Jupiter masses, an upper limit above the Saturn-to-Neptune masses in the citing sentence. It does not estimate a specific mass above that range; the paper also models a 0.1-Jupiter-mass planet (Table 1). Thus the comparison with Chiang's upper limit is supported, but saying the proposed range is lower than Chiang's estimated mass overstates the source. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Quillen (2006) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The spectral energy distribution for J1407 is consistent with a lightly reddened K5 star (E(B-V) = 0.09, A_V about 0.32 mag), with no evidence for infrared excess.

    “The spectral energy distribution for the star (plotted in Figure 1) is consistent with a lightly reddened K5 star (E(B -V ) = 0.09, A V 0.32 mag), with no evidence for infrared excess”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Skrutskie et al. 2006 source

      Section 5.2.4, Photometric Accuracy, describes 2MASS stellar photometry, but does not analyze J1407. Searches for J1407, the stated reddening values, a K5 spectral-energy-distribution fit, and infrared excess found no passage addressing those conclusions in our copy; page numbers were not available. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Wright et al. 2010 source

      The Instrument section discusses WISE flux corrections for G–K dwarfs, but does not analyze J1407. Searches for J1407, the K5 classification, the stated reddening values, and infrared excess found no passage addressing this star. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Sco-Cen is the nearest OB association to the Sun (mean subgroup distances d about 118-145 pc) and consists of three subgroups with ages of about 11-17 Myr.

    “Sco-Cen is the nearest OB association to the Sun (mean subgroup distances of d 118-145 pc; de Zeeuw et al. 1999) and consists of three subgroups with ages of ∼11-17 Myr (Pecaut et al. 2011;Preibisch & Mamajek 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites de Zeeuw et al. 1999 source
    • cites Pecaut et al. 2011 source
    • cites Preibisch & Mamajek 2008

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    J1407 is located in the vicinity of the Upper Centaurus-Lupus subgroup of the Sco OB2 association, and its proper motion is statistically consistent with moving toward the UCL convergent point (peculiar velocity 0.9 ± 1.8 km s^-1), with a kinematic distance of 128 ± 13 pc.

    “its proper motion is statistically consistent with moving toward the UCL convergent point (a negligible peculiar velocity of 0.9 ± 1.8 km s -1 ), with a kinematic distance of 128 ± 13 pc”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites de Zeeuw et al. 1999 source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 1 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    A separation of 10 AU at a distance of 130 pc corresponds to 77 mas, resolvable perhaps with aperture-masking interferometry on large telescopes.

    “For example, a separation of 10 AU at a distance of 130 pc corresponds to 77 mas, resolvable perhaps with aperture-masking interferometry on large telescopes (e.g., Ireland & Kraus 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ireland & Kraus 2008 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    A K5-type star with rotation period 3.20 days would be predicted to have soft X-ray emission around the saturation level (log(L_X/L_bol) = -3.2 +/- 0.3), perfectly consistent with the observed ROSAT X-ray flux (log(L_X/L_bol) = -3.2), and consistent with other Sco-Cen pre-MS stars.

    “A K5-type star with rotation period of 3.20 days would be predicted to have soft X-ray emission around the saturation level (log(L X /L bol ) -3.2 ± 0.3; Pizzolato et al. 2003), perfectly consistent with the observed ROSAT X-ray flux (log(L X /L bol ) -3.2), and consistent with other Sco-Cen pre-MS stars (Mamajek et al. 2002).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Pizzolato et al. 2003 source
    • cites Mamajek et al. 2002 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    During some nights the SuperWASP photometry shows unphysical jumps between two photometric levels at the tenths of magnitude level, a systematic effect seen in other SuperWASP studies.

    “During some nights the SuperWASP photometry shows (unphysical) jumps between two photometric levels at the tenths of magnitude level-a systematic effect seen in other SuperWASP studies (e.g., Norton et al. 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Norton et al. 2011 source

      The paper reports systematic contamination of SuperWASP light curves and spurious periodic signals (Section 2, p. 2). It does not describe nightly jumps between two photometric levels or establish their size as tenths of a magnitude, so it supports only the general point that SuperWASP photometry can have systematic effects. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Variations in eclipse depth in EE Cep are attributed to a possible third companion that tilts the orbital plane of the eclipsing system.

    “Variations in eclipse depth in this system are attributed to a possible third companion that tilts the orbital plane of the eclipsing system (Torres & Stefanik 2000).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Torres & Stefanik 2000 source

      The Discussion (§8; page unavailable) explains that a third star can change the inner orbit’s inclination and thereby alter eclipses. But the paper applies this explanation to SS Lac, not EE Cep; it does not establish the claimed cause of EE Cep’s eclipse-depth variations. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The number of binaries is flat in log period or semi-major axis space, and young binaries are similar to the field population in this respect.

    “The number of binaries is flat in log period or semi-major axis space (Halbwachs et al. 2003;Kraus et al. 2011), and young binaries are similar to field population in this respect (Duchêne et al. 2007).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Halbwachs et al. 2003

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Kraus et al. 2011 source

      Section 6.1 reports an approximately log-flat separation distribution for young solar-mass binaries in loose associations over 3–5000 AU, supporting the flat-distribution part attributed to Kraus et al. The citing sentence leaves out those population and separation limits. Its separate comparison with the field is cited to Duchêne et al., not Kraus et al. (LLM, conf=0.87)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Duchêne et al. 2007

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The LSST survey design should enable estimation of sub-mas/yr proper motions that will allow kinematic membership assignments of newly discovered pre-MS stars to young clusters and associations of determinable distance and age.

    “The LSST survey design should enable estimation of sub-mas/yr proper motions that will allow kinematic membership assignments of newly discovered pre-MS stars to young clusters and associations of determinable distance and age.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ivezic et al. 2008 source

      Section 2.1.4 (p. 7) gives a design target of 0.2 mas/yr proper-motion accuracy, supporting the sub-mas/yr estimate. Section 4.4 (pp. 33–35) says LSST will observe star-forming regions and survey faint populations there, but describes color and variability selection; it does not say that proper motions will enable kinematic membership assignments of newly discovered pre-main-sequence stars to young clusters or associations of determinable distance and age. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The existence of circumplanetary disks after the dissipation of the protosolar nebular disk has been postulated from formation scenarios for the Galilean satellites.

    “The existence of circumplanetary disks after the dissipation of the protosolar (circumstellar) nebular disk has been postulated from formation scenarios for the Galilean satellites (Canup & Ward 2002;Magni & Coradini 2004;Ward & Canup 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Canup & Ward 2002 source
    • cites Magni & Coradini 2004 source
    • cites Ward & Canup 2010 source

      The Introduction (page not provided) links circumplanetary disks to the formation of Jupiter’s regular satellites and describes satellite-formation disk models. It does not establish that those disks existed after the protosolar nebula dissipated; it also describes an accretion-disk scenario in which the solar nebula is still present. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Typical subgroups of OB associations have about 10^3 stars and ages of about 3-20 Myr.

    “Typical subgroups of OB associations have ∼10 3 stars and ages of ∼3-20 Myr (e.g., de Zeeuw et al. 1999;Briceño et al. 2007), during which the majority of stars have just recently ceased accreting from circumstellar disks (e.g., Mamajek 2009).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites de Zeeuw et al. 1999 source

      Section 4.1 reports an age of about 5 Myr for Upper Scorpius and about 20 Myr for the Sco OB2 complex, broadly supporting the stated age range; the approximately 3 Myr age in §4.3 refers to stars associated with the Lupus clouds, not a typical subgroup. Section 10.1 estimates a few thousand solar masses for entire OB associations, not about 1,000 stars per subgroup. Page numbers were not provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Briceño et al. 2007

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Binary identifications are not complete at mass ratios less than 0.1, and the number of secondaries hosting passive disks in the 10^7 year old age range is not well characterized.

    “However, this is difficult to formulate as binary identifications are not complete at mass ratios less than 0.1 (e.g., Kraus et al. 2011) and the number of secondaries hosting passive disks in the 10 7 year old age range is not well characterized.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Kraus et al. 2011 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    J1407 is a solar-mass pre-main-sequence non-accreting star exhibiting a long, unusual eclipse similar to those seen in EE Cep and Aurigae.

    “we present the discovery of a solar-mass premain-sequence (pre-MS) non-accreting star exhibiting a long, unusual eclipse similar to those seen in EE Cep and Aurigae.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The SuperWASP DR1 photometry for J1407 contains approximately 29,000 epochs during 206 dates between HJD 2453860 and HJD 2455399, with median photometric precision of 0.023 mag.

    “The SuperWASP DR1 photometry for J1407 contains photometry for approximately 29,000 epochs during 206 dates between HJD 2453860 (2006.34)and HJD 2455399 (2010.56),with median photometric precision of 0.023 mag.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    J1407 has a deep eclipse with maximum depth about 3 mag between HJD 2454213 (2007 April 23) and HJD 2454227 (2007 May 7), with a complex pattern of roughly symmetric dimming and brightening within ±26 days of 2007 April 29 HJD 2454220.

    “a deep eclipse with maximum depth ∼3 mag between HJD 2454213 (2007 April 23) and HJD 2454227 (2007 May 7), with a complex pattern of roughly symmetric dimming and brightening within ±26 days of 2007 April 29 HJD 2454220.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    J1407's light curve is dominated by a quasi-sinusoidal component with amplitude about 0.1 mag in the WASP-V photometric band, with periodicity of 3.21 days (consistent with rotational modulation of starspots, typical for young active stars).

    “The light curve is dominated by a quasi-sinusoidal component with amplitude ∼0.1 mag in the WASP-V photometric band, with periodicity of 3.21 days (consistent with rotational modulation of starspots, typical for young active stars)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    A comparison star J1407252.03-394415.1 of similar brightness (V = 12.24) situated 99.6 arcsec away shows no evidence for complex behavior similar to J1407.

    “Despite the appearance of some discrepant photometric points (with correspondingly large photometric errors), there is no evidence for any complex behavior similar to that seen for J1407.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Of about 350 Sco-Cen survey stars, at least 200 appear to be new bona fide pre-MS stars, and SuperWASP light curves were available for 138 of them.

    “Of our ∼350 Sco-Cen survey stars, at least 200 appear to be new bona fide pre-MS stars, and SuperWASP light curves were available for 138 of them.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The J1407 SuperWASP light curve is dominated by a sinusoidal component with amplitude about 0.1 mag in the WASP-V band and periodicity of 3.211 days.

    “The light curve for J1407 from the SuperWASP datafoot_6 is dominated by (1) a sinusoidal component with amplitude ∼0.1 mag in the WASP-V photometric band, with periodicity of 3.211 days”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There is no hint from the spectrum of J1407 that it could contain a giant star, a hot component, or constitute a symbiotic binary.

    “There is no hint from the spectrum of J1407 that it could contain a giant star, a hot component, or constitute a symbiotic binary.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    The tangential motion of J1407 on the sky is 32 mas yr^-1 or 20 km s^-1 at its predicted distance of 128 pc.

    “As a UCL member, the tangential motion of J1407 on the sky is 32 mas yr -1 or 20 km s -1 at its predicted distance of 128 pc.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    SuperWASP light curves of neighboring stars of similar magnitude, as well as J1407 outside of eclipse, show no such hourly variations.

    “We have examined SuperWASP light curves of neighboring stars of similar magnitude, as well as J1407 outside of eclipse, and seen no such variations”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Including the gradual dimming phase, the eclipse on J1407 lasted about 54 days.

    “Including the gradual dimming phase, the eclipse on J1407 lasted about 54 days.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    J1407's spectral appearance is consistent with being dwarf or pre-MS, but not a giant.

    “(5) spectral appearance consistent with being dwarf or pre-MS, but not a giant.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    We have not yet positively identified more than a single eclipse, so at present it is possible that the eclipse was a one-time occurrence.

    “We have not yet positively identified more than a single eclipse, so at present it is possible that the eclipse was a one-time occurrence.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There is no evidence for any eclipse events with photometric coverage up to 2330 days (6.4 years), and there are no eclipse events in any periods up to 850 days (2.3 years).

    “We conclude that there is no evidence for any eclipse events with photometric coverage up to 2330 days (6.4 years), and that there are no eclipse events in any periods up to 850 days (2.3 years).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Nightly averages of SuperWASP data exhibit two pairs of multiday dips, A1 and A2 separated by about 24 days, and B1 and B2 separated by about 51.5 days.

    “Nightly averages of SuperWASP data (see Figure 5) exhibit two pairs of multiday dips, labeled A 1 and A 2 , separated by ∼24 days, and B 1 and B 2 , separated by ∼51.5 days.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    J1407's proper motion is statistically consistent with Sco-Cen membership, and its predicted kinematic distance is harmonious with pre-MS status.

    “(4) proper motion statistically consistent with Sco-Cen membership, and predicted kinematic distance harmonious with pre-MS status”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Long-term median magnitudes outside eclipse are V = 12.29 for ASAS and V = 12.45 for SuperWASP.

    “Long-term median magnitudes outside of eclipse are plotted with dotted lines (V = 12.29 for ASAS, V = 12.45 for SuperWASP).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The eclipse was deep for about 14 days but bookended by a gradual dimming covering about ±54 days.

    “The eclipse was deep for about 14 days but is bookended by a gradual dimming covering a period of about ±54 days.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The complex eclipse of J1407 that took place in 2007 is slightly asymmetric and contains significant substructure.

    “The complex eclipse of J1407 that took place in 2007 is slightly asymmetric and contains significant substructure, similar to the eclipses of the Be star EE Cep that have been interpreted in terms of an occulting planetary system (Galan et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Galan et al. 2010

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingown data

    A preliminary good fit (but by no means unique) to the daily averaged light curve for J1407 is shown in Figure 12.

    “A preliminary good fit (but by no means unique) to the daily averaged light curve for J1407 is shown in Figure 12”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Integrating over the masses gives dN = C P^0.26 d log P with C = 4.5×10^-3.

    “Integrating over the masses, we find dN = C P 0.26 d log P with C = 4.5×10 -3 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The distribution gives a probability of an FGK star hosting a gas giant between 1-5 AU (365-1825 days), interior to this (2-365 days), and from 5-20 AU, in each case of about f_g ~ 0.05 or 5%.

    “The distribution gives a probability of an FGK star hosting a gas giant between 1-5 AU (365-1825 days), interior to this (2-365 days), and from 5-20 AU, in each case of about f g ∼ 0.05 or 5%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    We have had success modeling the primary eclipse; however, the peripheral dips have been more difficult to model.

    “We have had success modeling the primary eclipse; however, the peripheral dips have been more difficult to model.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Dips A1 and A2 are about 51.5 days apart, and dips B1 and B2 are about 24 days apart.

    “Dips A 1 and A 2 are ∼51.5 days apart, and dips B 1 and B 2 are ∼24 days apart.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The midway dates for both the A and B dips coincide within a day of HJD 2454220 (2007 April 29).

    “The midway dates for both the”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Mosqueira et al. suggest that Iapetus' large separation from Saturn's principal satellite Titan is suggestive that the remnant circum-Saturnian nebula may have had two components: a dense inner disk that spawned most of Saturn's regular satellites, out to the centrifugal radius near Titan, and a disk of much lower density beyond the centrifugal radius.

    “Mosqueira et al. (2010) suggest that Iapetus' large separation from Saturn's principal satellite Titan is suggestive that the remnant circum-Saturnian nebula may have had two components: a dense inner disk that spawned most of Saturn's regular satellites, out to the centrifugal radius near Titan, and a disk of much lower density beyond the centrifugal radius-perhaps”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mosqueira et al. 2010 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Relaxing the assumptions about the size, mass, composition, and structure of the disk in the back-of-the-envelope calculation has little impact on the feasibility of the idea that dusty disks of high optical depth may be a common feature of young gas giant planets, and such objects may be observable via deep eclipses of young stars.

    “Relaxing the assumptions about the size, mass, composition, and structure of the disk in our back-of-theenvelope calculation has little impact on the feasibility of the idea that dusty disks of high optical depth may be a common feature of young gas giant planets, and such objects may be observable via deep eclipses of young stars.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because of the extended estimated circumplanetary disk lifetime, circumplanetary disks can be seen in eclipse against a young central star after the dissipation of the circumstellar disk.

    “Because of the extended estimated circumplanetary disk lifetime, we can consider the possibility that circumplanetary disks can be seen in eclipse against a young central star after the dissipation of the circumstellar disk.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the first phase the circumplanetary disk is fed by material from the circumstellar disk and acts like an accretion disk.

    “In the first phase the circumplanetary disk is fed by material from the circumstellar disk and the circumplanetary disk acts like an accretion disk.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The size of such a proto-moon disk would be a few solar radii, large enough and optically thick enough to potentially eclipse a star's light.

    “The size of such a proto-moon disk in this case would be a few solar radii-i.e., large enough and optically thick enough to potentially eclipse a star's light.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Emission lines and UV emission suggest that Aurigae's hidden object is a B-type star.

    “emission lines and UV emission suggest that the hidden object is a B-type star (see discussion by Chadima et al. 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Chadima et al. 2011 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the second phase the circumstellar disk has dissipated, and the viscosity of the circumplanetary disk both drives accretion onto the planet and causes the disk to spread outward.

    “In the second phase the circumstellar disk has dissipated, and the viscosity of the circumplanetary disk both drives accretion onto the planet and causes the disk to spread outward.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These circumplanetary disks would then evolve passively after the circumstellar reservoir was depleted, with matter accreting onto the planet, grain growth and proto-satellite accretion, and depletion through other mechanisms.

    “These disks would then evolve passively after the circumstellar reservoir was depleted (Section 2), with matter accreting onto the planet, grain growth and proto-satellite accretion, and depletion through other mechanisms”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The primary object of EE Cep is a B5e giant star, and only primary eclipses are seen.

    “The primary object is a B5e giant star, and only primary eclipses are seen (Mikolajewski & Graczyk 1999).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mikolajewski & Graczyk 1999

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Modeling of Iapetus suggests that it formed 3-5 Myr after the formation of Ca-Al inclusions.

    “modeling of Iapetus, the outermost regular satellite of Saturn, suggests that it formed 3-5 Myr after the formation of Ca-Al inclusions (Castillo-Rogez et al. 2009).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Castillo-Rogez et al. 2009 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    Callisto currently has a semi-major axis that is only a small fraction of Jupiter's Hill radius (a ≈ 0.0355 r_H).

    “Callisto, currently has a semi-major axis that is only a small fraction of Jupiter's Hill radius a ≈ 0.0355r H .”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These circumplanetary disks likely had outer radii of ξ > 0.01-0.05 and could have been detectable by eclipses with about 1-10 day timescales to observers along opportune lines of sight.

    “These circumplanetary disks likely had outer radii of ξ > 0.01-0.05and could have been detectable by eclipses with ∼1-10 day timescales to observers along opportune lines of sight.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The large relative sizes of circumstellar and circumplanetary disks imply that they might be seen in eclipse in stellar light curves.

    “The large relative sizes of circumstellar and circumplanetary disks imply that they might be seen in eclipse in stellar light curves.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Such a disk need not be face-on; more likely the disk would have a non-zero inclination with respect to the planet-star orbital plane, so the star need not be completely geometrically eclipsed by such a circumplanetary disk.

    “Of course, such a disk need not be face-on-more likely the disk would have a non-zero inclination with respect to the planet-star orbital plane, so the star need not be completely geometrically eclipsed by such a circumplanetary disk.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    EE Cep exhibits long (30-90 day) asymmetric eclipses with a period of 5.6 years and depth of about 0.6-2.1 mag.

    “EE Cep exhibits long (30-90 day) asymmetric eclipses with a period of 5.6 years and depth of ∼0.6-2.1 mag.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mikolajewski & Graczyk 1999

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Presumably a disk of much higher optical depth and significant radial substructure existed during the epoch of satellite formation.

    “Presumably a disk of much higher optical depth and significant radial substructure existed during the epoch of satellite formation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Infrared emission from Aurigae's disk was detected with IRAS.

    “Infrared emission from the disk was detected with IRAS (Backman & Gillett 1985).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Backman & Gillett 1985 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    J1407 is being eclipsed by a low-mass object orbited by a dense inner disk, further girded by at least three dusty rings of optical depths near unity.

    “We suspect that this new star is being eclipsed by a low-mass object orbited by a dense inner disk, further girded by at least three dusty rings of optical depths near unity.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The large fraction of binary systems in young associations and clusters suggests that long-period eclipsing circumsecondary disk systems may be discovered in lower mass systems.

    “the large fraction of binary systems in young associations and clusters suggests that long-period eclipsing circumsecondary disk systems may be discovered in lower mass systems.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The mass of J1407 and the lack of detected infrared emission suggest that the host object for the eclipsing disk is low mass, possibly a low-mass star, brown dwarf, or giant planet.

    “The mass of the star and the lack of detected infrared emission suggest that the host object for the eclipsing disk is low mass, possibly a low-mass star, brown dwarf, or giant planet.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Jupiter's Hill radius is about 743 Jupiter radii.

    “Jupiter's Hill radius is about 743R Jup”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Discovering and characterizing eclipses by circumplanetary and circumsecondary disks will provide observational constraints on the conditions that spawn satellite systems around gas giant planets and planetary systems around stars.

    “discovering and characterizing eclipses by circumplanetary and circumsecondary disks will provide us with observational constraints on the conditions that spawn satellite systems around gas giant planets and planetary systems around stars.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Structure seen in the wings of EE Cep's eclipse has recently been interpreted in terms of rings and gaps in a forming planetary system around a lower mass secondary.

    “Structure seen in the wings of the eclipse has recently been interpreted in terms of rings and gaps in a forming planetary system around a lower mass secondary (Galan et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Galan et al. 2010

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    A good rough guideline covering a wide range of conditions is aspect ratio h/r about 0.05-0.1.

    “A good rough guideline covering a wide range of conditions is aspect ratio h/r ∼ 0.05-0.1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Edgar et al. 2007 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Kalas et al. suggest that Fomalhaut b hosts a circumplanetary ring akin to Saturn's, which would extend to at least 20 Jupiter radii for an assumed albedo of 0.4 to recover the observed fluxes.

    “These observations led Kalas et al. to suggest that the planet hosts a circumplanetary ring akin to Saturn's (see Arnold & Schneider 2004), which would extend to at least 20 Jupiter radii for an assumed albedo of 0.4 to recover the observed fluxes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Kalas et al. 2008 source
    • cites Arnold & Schneider 2004

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The lifetime of a circumplanetary disk at 25 AU could be about 10 times longer (of order 10^7 years) and at 100 AU (such as Fomalhaut b) 100 times longer (of order 10^8 years).

    “We estimate that the lifetime of a circumplanetary disk at 25 AU could be about 10 times longer (or of order 10foot_3 years) and at 100 AU (such as Fomalhaut b) 100 times longer (or of order 10 8 years).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Other environmental factors such as dispersal of the host molecular cloud, birth cluster density, and disk evaporation can influence multiplicity and disperse disks.

    “however, there are other environmental factors such as dispersal of the host molecular cloud, birth cluster density, and disk evaporation that can influence multiplicity and disperse disks (Monin et al. 2007;Prato & Weinberger 2010).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Monin et al. 2007

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Prato & Weinberger 2010

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The difference in magnitude between the reflected light of the disk and the star is about 9.8.

    “δm ∼ 9.8”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This level of magnitude difference is not extremely high, suggesting that it may be feasible to detect reflected light from circumplanetary disks with an adaptive optics system.

    “This level of magnitude difference is not extremely high, suggesting that it may be feasible to detect reflected light from circumplanetary disks with an adaptive optics system.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because of the large size of a circumplanetary or circumsecondary disk, the fraction f_orient of objects capable of giving eclipses, and that such eclipses will be seen, is not low.

    “Because of the large size of a circumplanetary or circumsecondary disk, the fraction f orient of objects capable of giving eclipses, and that such eclipses will be seen, is not low.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If J1407 were a K5 supergiant with M_V about -4.3, it would represent a young, massive star about 18 kpc away, about 6 kpc above the Galactic disk midplane, with a tangential velocity of about 2800 km s^-1.

    “If it shared the absolute magnitude of the K5Ib standard σ CMa (M V -4.3), then J1407 would represent a young, massive star ≈18 kpc away, ≈6 kpc above the Galactic disk midplane, with a tangential velocity of ≈2800 km s -1 .”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The period analysis suggests that the orbital period P > 850 days (2.33 yr), so the ratio of eclipse duration to orbital period must be less than 0.06.

    “As discussed in the previous section, the period analysis suggests that the orbital period P > 850 days (2.33 yr), so the ratio of eclipse duration to orbital period must be less than 0.06.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The hypothetical disk appears to produce some obscuration during a minimum of Delta t about 54 days, and hence the obscuration occurs during a fraction f_eclipse < 6.3% of the period.

    “The hypothetical disk appears to produce some obscuration during a minimum of Δt ≈ 54 days, and hence the obscuration occurs during a faction f eclipse < 6.3% of the period.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Both mass estimates suggest that the mass of the companion must be low and in the brown dwarf or low-mass M star regime.

    “Both this mass estimate and the previous one estimated from the 850 day period limit suggest that the mass of the companion must be low and in the brown dwarf or low-mass M star regime.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    EE Cep has a similar period and duration to J1407 and also exhibits variations in eclipse depth.

    “EE Cep has a similar period and duration and also exhibits variations in eclipse depth (Galan et al. 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Galan et al. 2010

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    J1407's total proper motion (32 mas yr^-1) would imply a tangential velocity of about 670 km s^-1 if it were a K5 giant at about 4.3 kpc, faster than the local Galactic escape velocity.

    “J1407's total proper motion (32 mas yr -1 ) would then imply a tangential velocity of ≈670 km s -1 , i.e., faster than the local Galactic escape velocity.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The period analysis suggests P > 850 days, which for m1 = 0.9 M_sun suggests an orbital radius of >1.7 AU and an orbital velocity of <21.7 km s^-1.

    “The period analysis above suggests that the orbital period P > 850 days (2.33 yr), which for m 1 = 0.9 M suggests an orbital radius of >1.7 AU and an orbital velocity of <21.7 km s -1 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If the shallow depression seen in early 2001 is an eclipse, then the period is 6.12 years and just about at the 2330 day limit.

    “If the shallow depression seen in early 2001 (see Figure 7) is an eclipse, then the period is 6.12 years and just about at the 2330 day limit.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If the 2001 dip was a true secondary eclipse, then the period should be 12.24 years and the next secondary eclipse would take place around 2013.46.

    “If it was a true secondary eclipse, then the period should be 12.24 years and the next secondary eclipse would take place around 2013.46.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The error at 12 microns is only 3% of the flux, so at best a disk could be emitting with a 12 micron infrared flux of lambda F_lambda about 5 x 10^-17 W m^-2.

    “The error at 12 μm is only 3% of the flux, so at best a disk could be emitting with a 12 μm infrared flux of λF λ ∼ 5 × 10 -17 W m -2 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If the dimming seen in 2001 corresponds to a secondary eclipse, then the fraction of the period spent in eclipse is f_eclipse about 0.024, corresponding to m2 about 1.2 M_J xi^-3.

    “m 2 ∼ 1.2M J ξ -3 . (9”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The ratio of the width of these gaps to one-half of the eclipse time is approximately 3/26 or 0.11, suggesting that the disk must have an aspect ratio h/r smaller than this ratio.

    “The ratio of the width of these gaps to one-half of the eclipse time is approximately 3/26 or 0.11, suggesting that the disk must have an aspect ratio h/r smaller than this ratio.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The longer the period, the lower f_eclipse, and the lower the estimated mass of the secondary.

    “The longer the period, the lower f eclipse , and the lower the estimated mass of the secondary.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    Future detection of another similar eclipse would negate the one-time circumstellar disk idea.

    “(3) the future detection of another similar eclipse would obviously negate the idea.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The disk radius is only weakly dependent on the period (proportional to P^-1/3) and would be smaller for a more distant companion.

    “The disk radius is only weakly dependent on the period (proportional to P -1/3 ) and would be smaller for a more distant companion.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    No plausible stellar or substellar companion can be responsible for dimming the K5 pre-MS star J1407 by more than 3 mag (>95% dimming), and eclipses by such an object would not explain the irregular shape, depth, and duration of the eclipse.

    “No plausible stellar or substellar companion can be responsible for dimming the K5 pre-MS star J1407 by more than 3 mag (>95% dimming), and eclipses by such an object would not explain the irregular shape, depth, and duration of the eclipse.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The eclipse-duration-to-period ratio is significantly lower than the ratios for either V718 Persei or KH 15D (0.2 and 0.3, respectively) and suggests that a circumbinary or circumstellar disk about the K star cannot account for the eclipse.

    “This is significantly lower than the ratios for either V718 Persei or KH 15D (0.2 and 0.3, respectively) and suggests that a circumbinary or circumstellar disk about the K star cannot account for the eclipse.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For xi about 0.2 expected for circumplanetary disks, this gives m2 about 0.1 M_sun and an M dwarf.

    “For ξ ∼ 0.2 expected for circumplanetary disks this gives m 2 ∼ 0.1 M and an M dwarf.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    J1407 may also exhibit large variations in eclipse duration and depth.

    “Hence, we should consider the possibility that J1407 also exhibits large variations in eclipse duration and depth.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Using the energy conversion factor of Fleming et al. (1995), the ROSAT X-ray flux translates to f_X = 2.9 x 10^-13 erg s^-1 cm^-2, and L_X = 10^29.8 erg s^-1 and log(L_X/L_bol) = -3.4 dex.

    “Using the energy conversion factor of Fleming et al. (1995), this translates to an X-ray flux in the ROSAT band of f X = 2.9 × 10 -13 erg s -1 cm -2 , and using our previous distance and bolometric luminosity estimates, L X = 10 29.8 erg s -1 and log(L X /L bol ) -3.4 dex.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Fleming et al. (1995) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If the secondary has a mass of 1 M_J, then the satellites in the disk could have mass lower than that of Earth, and if the secondary is an M star of mass 0.1 M_sun, then the gap opening satellites could have mass lower than Saturn.

    “If the secondary has a mass of 1 M J , then the satellites in the disk could have mass lower than that of Earth, and if the secondary is an M star of mass 0.1 M , then the gap opening satellites could have mass lower than Saturn.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Assuming the disk to be of similar size to typical planetary orbits (about 10 AU), this translates to sweeping the disk in the z-direction approximately 4(r_disk/10 AU) km per week.

    “Assuming the disk to be of similar size to typical planetary orbits (∼10 AU), this would translate to sweeping the disk in the z-direction approximately ∼4(r disk /10 AU) km per week.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: The disk is of similar size to typical planetary orbits (about 10 AU) in the one-time occultation scenario.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Substructure in the eclipse suggests that the disk is thin h/r 0.01 and has gaps that may contain satellites with mass ~10^-3 times that of the secondary.

    “Substructure in the eclipse suggests that the disk is thin h/r 0.01 and has gaps that may contain satellites with mass ∼10 -3 times that of the secondary.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because the lifetime of a circumplanetary disk could be longer for planets at large semi-major axis, light detected from outer exoplanets such as Fomalhaut b may arise from such a disk.

    “Because the lifetime of a circumplanetary disk could be longer for planets at large semi-major axis, light detected from outer exoplanets such as Fomalhaut b may arise from such a disk.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Regardless of the nature of the disked companion of J1407, detailed observations of future eclipses should provide useful constraints on either circumsecondary or circumplanetary disk structure and the early evolution of planets and/or satellites.

    “Regardless of the nature of the disked companion of J1407 (low-mass star, brown dwarf, or gas giant planet), detailed observations of future eclipses should provide useful constraints on either circumsecondary or circumplanetary disk structure and the early evolution of planets and/or satellites.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The densest of Saturn's named rings, the B ring, has a radially averaged optical depth of order unity and surface density of about 50 g cm^-2, implying an approximate opacity of kappa about 0.02 cm^2 g^-1.

    “The densest of Saturn's named rings-the B ring-has a radially averaged optical depth of order unity and surface density of ∼50 g cm -2 (Zebker et al. 1985;de Pater & Lissauer 2001;Tiscareno 2012), implying an approximate opacity of κ ∼ 0.02 cm 2 g -1 .”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Zebker et al. 1985 source
    • cites de Pater & Lissauer 2001

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Tiscareno 2012

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Even given LSST's proposed field revisit time (~3 days, but twice per night), a J1407-like eclipse would have been easily detected.

    “Even given LSST's proposed field revisit time (∼3 days, but twice per night), a J1407-like eclipse would have been easily detected.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    The asymmetry of the eclipse could be due to the impact parameter of the disk with respect to the line of sight.

    “As has been proposed for this system, the asymmetry of the eclipse could be due to the impact parameter of the disk with respect to the line of sight (Mikolajewski & Graczyk 1999).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mikolajewski & Graczyk 1999

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Such eclipses seen among young stars may provide remarkable laboratories for testing satellite and planet formation scenarios.

    “Such eclipses seen among young stars may provide remarkable laboratories for testing satellite and planet formation scenarios.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    J1407 was selected to be in the appropriate age range and could host either a circumplanetary disk or a lower mass secondary star with a disk.

    “This star was selected to be in the appropriate age range and could host either a circumplanetary disk or a lower mass secondary star with a disk.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The systematic difference between SuperWASP and ASAS is mostly due to SuperWASP-V being calibrated to the Tycho V_T band and ASAS being converted to the Johnson V system via Hipparcos.

    “The systematic difference is mostly due to SuperWASP-V being calibrated to the Tycho V T band(Pollacco et al. 2006), whereas the ASAS is converted to the Johnson V system via Hipparcos(Pojmanski 2002).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Pollacco et al. 2006

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Pojmanski 2002

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The ratio of a few hours (or a quarter day) to the half eclipse length is about 0.01, suggesting that the disk has an extremely low aspect ratio of h/r about 0.01.

    “The ratio of a few hours (or a quarter day) to the half eclipse length is about 0.01, suggesting that the disk has an extremely low aspect ratio of h/r 0.01.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisenone given

    To estimate the probability of detecting a circumplanetary disk eclipse, one must consider the number of stars that host gas giant planets.

    “To estimate the probability of detecting a circumplanetary disk eclipse, we must consider the number of stars that host gas giant planets.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Adopting this mass opacity for J1407's dust annuli, the thick inner disk would have a mass of about 0.8 M_Moon, the two rings shown would have masses of about 0.2 and 0.1 M_Moon, and the outermost ring would contain about 0.5 M_Moon of dust mass.

    “Adopting this mass opacity for J1407's dust annuli, the thick inner disk would have a mass of ∼0.8 M Moon , the two rings shown would have masses of ∼0.2 and ∼0.1 M Moon , and the outermost ring would contain ∼0.5 M Moon of dust mass.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Eclipses from thick inner circumplanetary disks that spawn regular satellite systems around gas giants may last for days; tenuous outer disks of lower optical depths to larger fractions of the Hill radius could persist for weeks, depending on the planet's mass and semi-major axis.

    “We estimate that eclipses from the thick inner circumplanetary disks that spawn regular satellite systems around gas giants may last for days; however, tenuous outer disks of lower optical depths to larger fractions of the Hill radius could persist for weeks, depending on the planet's mass and semi-major axis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This probability is very low and implies that high-cadence monitoring of many stars is required to detect circumplanetary disk eclipses.

    “This probability is very low and implies that high-cadence monitoring of many stars is required to detect circumplanetary disk eclipses.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    A system with a recurring circumplanetary eclipse would make it possible to study eclipses in depth.

    “A system with a recurring circumplanetary eclipse would make it possible to study eclipses in depth, so discovery of systems with short orbital periods is important.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Constraints from gas giant satellite systems in our own solar system suggest that their circumplanetary disk structures could have produced quite complex eclipses if seen in transit, with dense inner regions, gaps where satellite formation is taking place, and low-density disks possibly extending to large fractions of the Hill radius.

    “Constraints from the gas giant satellite systems in our own solar system suggest that their circumplanetary disk structures could have produced quite complex eclipses if seen in transit, with dense inner regions, gaps where satellite formation is taking place, and low-density disks possibly extending to large fractions of the Hill radius.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
108 of 108
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The rings have optical opacity similar to Saturn's rings.

    “(if the rings have optical opacity similar to Saturn's rings)”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    ξ is similar for different circumplanetary disks.

    “If ξ is similar for different circumplanetary disks”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The radii of circumstellar and circumplanetary disks can vastly exceed those of stars and planets.

    “The radii of circumstellar and circumplanetary disks can vastly exceed those of stars and planets.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Natural satellites are a ubiquitous feature among the giant planets in our solar system, and most likely among extrasolar gas giants.

    “natural satellites are a ubiquitous feature among the giant planets in our solar system, and most likely among extrasolar gas giants.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The tidal deformations of the primary and secondary objects are negligible.

    “we assume the tidal deformations of both objects to be negligible because the length of the eclipse and minimum period implies a large disk and distance to the primary”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The disk and rings are thin debris disks of dust with uniform density and opacity.

    “The disk and rings are assumed to be thin debris disks of dust with uniform density and opacity.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The gaps in the disk are twice the Hill radius of an object embedded in the disk.

    “If we assume that the gaps are twice the Hill radius of an objected embedded in the disk”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The disk is of similar size to typical planetary orbits (about 10 AU) in the one-time occultation scenario.

    “Assuming the disk to be of similar size to typical planetary orbits (∼10 AU)”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The gas giant frequency f_g ~ 0.05 derived for FGK field stars applies to the young pre-MS sample considered.

    “The distribution gives a probability of an FGK star hosting a gas giant between 1-5 AU (365-1825 days), interior to this (2-365 days), and from 5-20 AU, in each case of about f g ∼ 0.05 or 5%.”
    “Restricting our study to planets between 1 and 5 AU (with f g ∼ 0.05) and monitoring them for 10 years (approximately the orbital time at 5 AU for ∼1 M ), the above fraction f c suggests that if we monitor 10 4 stars 10 7 years old, then ∼2 of them should exhibit circumplanetary disk eclipses.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Circumplanetary disks can persist after circumstellar disk dissipation with sufficient optical depth to produce detectable eclipses.

    “We consider a sample of stars restricted so that they have already depleted circumstellar disks (i.e., are post-accretion pre-MS stars) but are young enough that they could host circumplanetary disks of sufficient optical depth to produce detectable eclipses.”
10 of 10

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Given Keplerian circular orbits for J1407b, any period greater than 14 to 15 years is improbable because they cannot explain the high orbital velocity derived from the rate of change of the light curve.

    “Given Keplerian circular orbits for J1407b, any period greater than 14 to 15 years is improbable considering they cannot explain the high orbital velocity derived from the rate of change of the light curve (Mamajek et al. 2012; Kenworthy et al. 2015).”

    From Constraining the period of the ringed secondary companion to the young star J1407 with photographic plates (2018) · cites this paper as Mamajek et al. 2012

    Section 3.5 constrains the eclipse period from photometric coverage, not from a light-curve-derived orbital velocity. More importantly, the Figure 12 caption presents a model with a 9,862-day orbital period—about 27 years—rather than treating periods above 14–15 years as improbable. The copy does not specify whether that model's orbit is circular, so the contradiction is limited to the claimed period cutoff. (LLM, conf=0.76)

    Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • The 2007 eclipse has been interpreted as the first detection of an eclipsing ring system circling a substellar object (J1407b).

    “This has been interpreted as the first detection of an eclipsing ring system circling a substellar object (dubbed J1407b).”

    From Mass and period limits on the ringed companion transiting the young star J1407 (2015) · cites this paper as Mamajek et al. 2012

    The Conclusion (page not provided) reports the 2007 eclipse of J1407 and interprets its substructure as a disk with gaps; the paper also models rings around an unseen companion. But it says the companion is only 'perhaps in the substellar regime' and could instead be a low-mass star. Our copy does not establish a first detection specifically around a substellar object or use the name J1407b. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • No other eclipses of J1407 are observed over the nine year span of data from WASP-South and ASAS, with a period search excluding all periods P < 850 d.

    “No other eclipses of J1407 are observed over the nine year span of data from WASP-South and ASAS as reported in Mamajek et al. (2012), with a period search excluding all periods P &lt; 850 d.”

    From Mass and period limits on the ringed companion transiting the young star J1407 (2015) · cites this paper as Mamajek et al. 2012

    Section 3.5 (page not provided) reports one detected deep eclipse and rules out eclipse periods up to 850 days. Section 3.2 and the Figure 7 caption (page not provided) describe an unusual 2001 dip in the roughly nine-year ASAS record as a possible, unconfirmed shallower eclipse. Thus, the claim is supported for deep eclipses but overstates the absence of any other observed eclipse-like event. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • J1407 is a weak-lined T Tauri star not hosting its own circumstellar disk.

    “The star therefore appears to be a weak-lined T Tauri star, not hosting its own circumstellar disk, and is a young ( ∼ 16 Myr) solar analogue ( M ∼ 0.9 M ⊙ ).”

    From Mass and period limits on the ringed companion transiting the young star J1407 (2015) · cites this paper as Mamajek et al. 2012

    Section 4.2 describes J1407 as possibly having a weak-lined T Tauri primary. Sections 3.1 and 3.6 report no infrared excess or evidence of an accretion disk, but they do not establish that the star hosts no circumstellar disk at all. (LLM, conf=0.85)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Observations were scheduled in blocks of three spectra on consecutive nights to approximately match the rotation period of the star, following Dumusque et al. (2011) to mitigate stellar astrophysical noise.

    “We then follow the observing techniques devised in Dumusque et al. (2011) to mitigate stellar astrophysical noise: observations were scheduled by blocks of three spectra obtained on consecutive nights, to approximately match the rotation period of the star (Mamajek et al. 2012).”

    From Mass and period limits on the ringed companion transiting the young star J1407 (2015) · cites this paper as Mamajek et al. 2012

    Section 3.4, “Rotation Period and X-Ray Emission” (page not provided), reports a 3.20-day periodicity for J1407, consistent with an approximately three-day rotation period. The paper does not say that spectra were scheduled on three consecutive nights or that this schedule mitigated stellar noise; Section 3.2 instead describes three photometric images taken nightly. (LLM, conf=0.83)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Ring-mass range differs between the abstract and main text

    Major

    For the same period range of 2.33-200 years, the abstract gives total ring masses of about 8-0.4 lunar masses, while Section 3.7 gives about 3.6-0.8 lunar masses. These are materially different estimates of the ring system's mass.

  • Inner-disk outer radius differs between model descriptions

    Minor

    The description of the model plotted in Figure 12 gives the inner disk an outer radius of 76 companion radii; Table 5 gives the corresponding Rochester ring an outer radius of 81 companion radii.

  • Observed X-ray luminosity ratio has two values

    Minor

    Section 3.4 reports the observed log X-ray-to-bolometric luminosity ratio as −3.4, then calls −3.2 the observed ratio in the same discussion. The latter also matches the predicted saturation value stated there, so the observed value is unclear.

  • Model orbital separation differs between figure and table

    Minor

    The figure describes a 9862-day (approximately 27-year) model orbit with a separation of 8.7 AU, while Table 5 assigns the 27-year model a separation of 9.7 AU.

4 of 4

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

7 of the 107 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 15

  1. Baraffe, 1998, A&A, 337, 403
  2. Cutri, 2003, VizieR Online Data Catalog, 2246, 0
  3. D'Antona, 1997, Mem. Soc. Astron. Ital., 68, 807
  4. de Pater, 2001, Planetary Sciences, 544
  5. Duchêne, 2007, Protostars and Planets V, 379
  6. Graczyk, 2011, Acta Astron., 61, 103
  7. Khaliullin, 2006, IBVS, 5722, 1
  8. Monin, 2007, Protostars and Planets V, 395
  9. Pecaut, 2011, ApJ
  10. Perryman, 1997, The Hipparcos and Tycho Catalogues, 1200
  11. Pojmanski, 2002, Acta Astron., 52, 397
  12. Preibisch, 2008, Handbook of Star Forming Regions, II, 235
  13. Siess, 2000, A&A, 358, 593
  14. Voges, 1999, A&A, 349, 389
  15. Voges, 2000, IAU Circ., 7432, 3

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Mamajek, E. E., Quillen, A. C., Pecaut, M. J., Moolekamp, F., Scott, E. L., Kenworthy, M. A., Cameron, A. C., & Parley, N. R.
Affiliations
  • University of Rochester (US)
  • Leiden University (NL)
  • University of St Andrews (GB)
Venue
The Astronomical Journal
Published
2012-02-10
Volume
143
Issue
3
Pages
72
ISSN
  • 0004-6256 (ISSN-L)
  • 1538-3881
OpenAlex
W2128350470
Cited by
140
References
107
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 1
FWCI
6.99
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • The Astronomical Journal (publishedVersion)
  • arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
  • Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • arXiv (Cornell University)
Funders
  • National Science Foundation (1008908, 0907841)
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration
  • California Institute of Technology
  • University of Rochester
  • University of Leicester
  • Queen's University Belfast
  • Queen's University
  • Keele University
  • Jet Propulsion Laboratory
  • Science and Technology Facilities Council (PP/F000065/1)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Astrophysics and Star Formation Studies
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Astro and Planetary Science
Keywords
circumplanetary disks, circumstellar disks, eclipses, stellar light curves, young Sun-like stars, pre-main-sequence stars, SuperWASP, planet formation, disk gaps, stellar kinematics

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-11.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-11.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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