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Belief in conspiracy theories and intentions to engage in everyday crime
Open accessAbstract
Belief in conspiracy theories is associated with negative outcomes such as political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction. The current studies – one cross‐sectional ( N = 253) and one experimental ( N = 120) – tested the hypothesis that belief in conspiracy theories would increase intentions to engage in everyday crime. Study 1 demonstrated that belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty–Humility). Study 2 demonstrated that exposure to conspiracy theories (vs. control) increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future, through an increased feeling of anomie. The perception that others have conspired may therefore in some contexts lead to negative action rather than inaction.
Checked 2026-10-09 · 1 reference not checked yet
Overview
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
Belief in conspiracy theories predicted greater everyday crime in a cross-sectional UK sample, and experimental exposure to conspiracy material increased future everyday crime intentions via anomie. The findings suggest conspiracy beliefs can promote active antisocial behavior, not only disengagement or inaction.
Key findings
- Study 1: conspiracy beliefs were positively correlated with everyday crime behaviors (r = .26, p < .001) and uniquely predicted them in hierarchical regression (β = .15, p < .05; Step 3 R² = .35, ΔR² = .02), controlling for demographics, HEXACO traits, and moral identity. Honesty-Humility was the strongest predictor (β = −.39, p < .001).
- Study 2: exposure to a conspiracy article increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future (conspiracy M = 2.50, SD = 1.39 vs. control M = 2.02, SD = .93; t(118) = −2.2464, p = .027, d = 0.41).
- Study 2 mediation: conspiracy exposure marginally increased anomie (conspiracy M = 4.32, SD = .97 vs. control M = 3.96, SD = 1.07; t(118) = −1.916, p = .058, d = 0.34), and anomie mediated the effect on everyday crime intentions (mean estimate = .12, SE = .07, 95% CI [.0060, .3012]). Disillusionment did not differ between conditions (t(118) = .118, p = .906).
- Manipulation check: conspiracy endorsement was higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 4.28, SD = 1.15) than control (M = 3.84, SD = 1.20; t(118) = −2.03, p = .044, d = 0.37).
Methods
- Study 1: cross-sectional online UK Prolific sample (abstract reports N = 252; Method reports N = 253: 93 male, 157 female, 3 transgender; M age = 36.97, SD = 11.71). Measures included HEXACO-60, Moral Identity Scale, general and specific conspiracy beliefs, and the Everyday Crime Scale for past behavior and intentions; conspiracy items were combined into one scale (α = .96) and everyday crime items into one scale (α = .84). Main analysis was hierarchical regression entering age/gender, HEXACO and moral identity, then conspiracy beliefs.
- Study 2: experimental UK Prolific sample of N = 120 (32 male, 88 female; M age = 33.88, SD = 10.35), randomized to a conspiracy article (n = 60) or control (n = 60). Measures included a conspiracy manipulation check, anomie, disillusionment, and future everyday crime intentions; mediation was tested with PROCESS Model 4 using 5,000 bootstraps.
Limitations
- Stated: social desirability may have affected self-reports; the outcome was intentions rather than actual behavior; financial situation could not be ruled out; the design could not test whether conspiracy theories appeal to those already predisposed to immoral behavior or alter perceived norms; longitudinal designs, alternative causal paths (e.g., anomie → conspiracy), and other mediators/moderators (e.g., moral disengagement, social identity) remain untested.
- Stated: Study 2 effect sizes were moderate, and Honesty-Humility explained the largest variance in Study 1.
- Evident from the text: Study 1 sample size is inconsistent (abstract N = 252 vs. Method N = 253), and Study 2’s anomie condition difference is only marginal (p = .058) even though the mediation confidence interval excludes zero.
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Claims the paper makes
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Study 2 demonstrated that exposure to conspiracy theories (vs.control) increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future”
- Also stated in: § Conspiracy theories and everyday crime · plain
“Next, a t-test revealed that being exposed to a conspiracy article (vs. control) influenced participants' levels of intention to engage in everyday crime in the future, t(118) = -2.2464,p = .027,d = 0.41.”
- Also stated in: § Conspiracy theories and everyday crime · plain
“Specifically, intentions to engage in everyday crime were significantly higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 2.50, SD = 1.39) than the control condition (M = 2.02, SD = .93).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Abstract
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Also stated in: § Conspiracy theories and everyday crime · plain
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Study 1 demonstrated that belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty-Humility).”
- Also stated in: § Results and discussion · boosted
“These results provide empirical evidence that belief in conspiracy theories plays a unique role in predicting a person's everyday crime behaviour when controlling for the effects of other known predictors.”
- Also stated in: § Results and discussion · plain
“Specifically, belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours, alongside Honesty-Humility, Agreeableness, Extraversion, and Openness to Experience.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Abstract
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Also stated in: § Results and discussion · boosted
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“There was, however, no difference in the measure of disillusionment, t(118) = .118,p = .906.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Testing mediation
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As expected, belief in conspiracy theories was significantly positively correlated with everyday crime behaviours.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Results and discussion
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Based on bootstrapping with 5000 resamples using PROCESS Model 4, the mean estimates effect is .12(SE .07)with 95% confidence interval of .0060 to .3012.”
- Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
“However, whilst we found that anomie was a significant mediator of the relationship between conspiracy theories and criminal behaviour (Study 2), feelings of disillusionment did not mediate.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Testing mediation
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“There were no significant effects involving participant age or gender on the dependent measure (p > .05),so these factors are not discussed further.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Results and discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Reading a conspiracy article (vs. control) influenced participants' levels of anomie, t(118) = -1.916,p = .058,d = 0.34.Specifically, anomie was marginally significantly higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 4.32, SD = 0.97) than the control condition (M = 3.96, SD = 1.07).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Testing mediation
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In addition, men were also more likely to engage in everyday crime.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Results and discussion
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It is worth noting, however, that Honesty-Humility was shown to explain the largest variance in predicting everyday crime, and in Study 2, the effect sizes, whilst robust, were of moderate size.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesA result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In Study 1, belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known psychological predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty-Humility).”
- Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
“| 3 | Conspiracy beliefs | | | .15* |”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passes- Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
- It may state two separate claims as one. 20
- Probably not a substantial claim. 32
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Criminal behaviours were also negatively associated with Honesty-Humility, Agreeableness-Anger, Conscientiousness, Openness to Experience and Moral Identity (symbolisation), and positively associated with Extraversion.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Results and discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Honesty-Humility was negatively correlated conspiracy beliefs, and Moral Identity (internalisation) was positively correlated with conspiracy beliefs.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Results and discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Using oblique rotation (promax), we conducted an exploratory factor analysis of the individual items of both scales.Statistical assumptions were met, and the analysis revealed one factor (eigenvalue 4.23), explaining 52.81 per cent of the variance.We therefore combined the items into one measure of everyday crime (α = .84).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Materials and procedure
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It is worth noting, however, that Honesty-Humility was shown to explain the largest variance in predicting everyday crime, and in Study 2, the effect sizes, whilst robust, were of moderate size.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Everyday crimes are common offences that most people are likely to commit at some point in their lives (Karstedt & Farrall, 2006).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Karstedt & Farrall, 2006
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“Conspiracy theories appear to increase feelings of powerlessness and disillusionment (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b) rather than making people feel better.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Belief in conspiracy theories
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“They can fuel intergroup conflict and prejudice (e.g., Bilewicz, Winiewski, Kofta, & Wójcik, 2013;Kofta & Sedek, 2005;Golec de Zavala & Cichocka, 2012), which in turn can even generalize to other out-groups who are not involved in the alleged conspiracies (Jolley, Meleady, & Douglas, under review).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Belief in conspiracy theories
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Bilewicz et al., 2013
- Not checked yetcites Kofta & Sedek, 2005
- Not checked yetcites Golec de Zavala & Cichocka, 2012
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Moreover, belief in organisational conspiracy theories-that is, believing that powerful groups act secretly to achieve objectives at the cost of employees-is associated with decreased commitment to the organisation, and with increased job dissatisfaction and willingness to leave the organisation (Douglas & Leite, 2017).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Belief in conspiracy theories
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Douglas & Leite, 2017
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“For example, conspiracy theories appear to discourage people from voting, from reducing their carbon footprint, and from vaccinating their children (Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Belief in conspiracy theories
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Belief in conspiracy theories is associated with negative outcomes such as political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction.”
- Also stated in: § Belief in conspiracy theories and intentions to engage in everyday crime · plain
“including political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction (see Douglas et al., 2017 for a review).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Douglas et al., 2017
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Also stated in: § Belief in conspiracy theories and intentions to engage in everyday crime · plain
In the paper
“In a similar vein, van Gelder and de Vries (2016) found that Honesty-Humility and Conscientiousness predicted White Collar Crime (WCC) behaviours, which are crimes committed by employees against their employing organisation.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites van Gelder and de Vries (2016)
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“Specifically, in the HEXACO model of personality (Lee & Ashton, 2004), Honesty-Humility (which embodies people's moral conscience) is an important predictor of unethical business decisions (Lee & Ashton, 2008).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Lee & Ashton, 2008
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Specifically, conspiracy theories are associated with increased levels of mistrust (Einstein & Glick, 2015;Jolley & Douglas, 2014b), cynicism (Swami, Chamorro-Premuzic, & Furnham, 2010) and anomie-or a general feeling of unrest and dissatisfaction (Abalakina-Paap, Stephan, Craig, & Gregory, 1999).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Einstein & Glick, 2015
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
- Not checked yetcites Swami, Chamorro-Premuzic, & Furnham, 2010
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“For example, moral identity predicts a lower likelihood of lying in a salary negotiation and a greater likelihood of acting in a prosocial way (Aquino, Freeman, Reed, Lim, & Felps, 2009;Winterich, Aquino, Mittal, & Swartz, 2013).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Aquino, Freeman, Reed, Lim, & Felps, 2009
- Not checked yetcites Winterich, Aquino, Mittal, & Swartz, 2013
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“In a recent review, Douglas et al. (2017) suggested that social factors, such as anomie and feelings of alienation, are likely to be exacerbated by conspiracy theories.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Douglas et al. (2017)
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“It is also a robust individual-level correlate of criminal behaviour (Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990;Pratt & Cullen, 2000), alongside Agreeableness and Conscientiousness, which consistently predict criminal and anti-social behaviour (Miller & Lynam, 2001).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990
- Not checked yetcites Pratt & Cullen, 2000
- Not checked yetcites Miller & Lynam, 2001
Strength:boosted· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes? Load-bearing: unclear✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Specifically, the imbalance between cultural goals (i.e., what is expected at the individual level) and the means available to individuals to achieve what is expected, are is likely to result in anomie, which in turn increases deviant behaviour and crime.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Merton (1938Merton ( , 1957) )
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Given that social reality is often uncertain, people will often look to others to infer what the expected attitudes, beliefs and behaviours are that will help them navigate the social world (Festinger, 1950;Reynolds, Subašić, & Tindall, 2014).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Unethical behaviours and everyday crime
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Festinger, 1950
- Not checked yetcites Reynolds, Subašić, & Tindall, 2014
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Specifically, we know that conspiracy theories are associated with anomie (Abalakina-Paap et al., 1999) and that anomie, in turn, is associated with unethical behaviours (Ramaseshan & Ewing, 2001).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Study 2
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Abalakina-Paap et al., 1999
- Not checked yetcites Ramaseshan & Ewing, 2001
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Following recommendations regarding sample size calculations to receive stable correlations (n = 250; Schönbrodt & Perugini, 2013), 253 participants (93 male, 157 female and three transgender; Mage = 36.97,SD = 11.71) were recruited via the online recruitment platform, Prolific Academic.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Method Participation and design
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Schönbrodt & Perugini, 2013
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedn = 253Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These scales were presented in random order.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Materials and procedure
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Participants were randomly assigned to one of two conditions (conspiracy theory article [n = 60] vs. control [n = 60]).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Participation and design
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
In the paper
“Participants were then asked to read twelve statements about conspiracy theories, which were used as a manipulation check (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b, α = .91).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Materials and procedure
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Presentation of the scales was counterbalanced.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Materials and procedure
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“A small-medium effect size determined from previous research (e.g., Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b) required a sample size of approximately 120 for 80% power of detecting the effect.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Participation and design
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Presentation of the two scales was counterbalanced.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Materials and procedure
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The results demonstrated that being exposed to a pro-conspiracy account (vs.control) directly increase feelings of anomie, leading to an increased intention to engage in everyday crime in the future.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > Testing mediation
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“A key contextual factor may be feeling empowered by the action or inaction.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“This is consistent with recent theorising suggesting that social factors, such as alienation and anomie, may not only be psychological antecedents of belief in conspiracy theories, but they might also be exacerbated by exposure to conspiracy theories (Douglas et al., 2017).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Douglas et al., 2017
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Importantly, this finding also supports the idea that beliefs in conspiracy theories are dynamic and vary according to the social context, including being influenced by people's epistemic, existential, and social motives (Douglas et al., 2017).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Douglas et al., 2017
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Disillusionment may promote more passive responses to conspiracy theories (e.g., political inaction) rather than active responses (e.g., engaging in crime).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
In the paper
“Alongside predictors such as Honesty-Humility, which is a consistent predictor of everyday crime (van Gelder & de Vries, 2016), belief in conspiracy theories was also a significant positive predictor of such behaviour.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites van Gelder & de Vries, 2016
Strength:boosted· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For example, social desirability may have played a role in the participants' answers in our studies.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Previous research has demonstrated that conspiracy theories can lead to disengagement from politics, climate science, vaccination and the workplace (Douglas & Leite, 2017;Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Douglas & Leite, 2017
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b
Strength:boosted· not yet calibratedCausal:direct· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It demonstrates that conspiracy theories do not always lead to apathy and inaction.Instead, conspiracy theories might lead people to actively engage in antisocial behaviour.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesIt may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“This was surprising since previous research has found that disillusionment was influenced by conspiracy theories, and that disillusionment mediated the relationship between exposure to conspiracy theories and both political and environmental intentions (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
Tests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“This finding resonates with the work of Imhoff and Bruder (2014) who found that people who believed in conspiracy theories were more likely to take political action such as organizing a protest.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Imhoff and Bruder (2014)
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedCausal:correlational· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Furthermore, whilst in the current research we were able to provide casual evidence that conspiracy theories predict everyday crime via feelings of anomie, we were unable to examine the possibility that conspiracy theories appeal to those who are already predisposed to immoral behaviour.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“For example, research has shown that moral disengagement may account for decisions to engage in WCC behaviours (Egan, Hughes, & Palmer, 2015).”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
What the sources say
- Not checked yetcites Egan, Hughes, & Palmer, 2015
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It also allowed us to measure a range of everyday crime behavioural intentions instead of focusing on a single behavioural indicator.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Although participants on Prolific Academic are predominantly in fulltime employment (see Prolific Academic, 2018), differences in financial security could plausibly determine attitudes and behaviours associated with crime.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✗ Based: failsProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, it is plausible that a different causal path may also exist.That is, greater anomie might lead to higher conspiracy belief, which could predict intentions to engage in everyday crimes.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedCausal:conditional· not yet calibratedTests✗ Asserted: fails✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✗ Based: failsProbably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Another limitation of the current research is that we cannot rule out the possibility that participants' criminal behaviours were the result of their financial situation rather than their conspiracy beliefs.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Strength:hedged· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✗ Load-bearing: fails✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, the current investigation did allow us to study the sensitive topic of everyday crime whilst ensuring anonymity to participants who took part.”
§ CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND EVERYDAY CRIME 1 > General discussion
Load-bearingStrength:plain· not yet calibratedTests✓ Asserted: passes✓ Checkable: passes✓ Load-bearing: passes✓ Based: passesProbably not a substantial claim.
The paper relies on this without support.
The role of conspiracy theories in predicting everyday crime is unexplored, and researchers have paid less attention to whether conspiracy beliefs lead individuals to engage in unethical behaviours themselves.
“However, researchers have paid less attention to whether conspiracy beliefs lead individuals to engage in unethical behaviours themselves.”
“However, the role of conspiracy theories in predicting everyday crime remains unexplored.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“People holding stronger conspiracy theory beliefs are more open to everyday crimes [24]”
From The dark side of social movements: social identity, non-conformity, and the lure of conspiracy theories (2020) · cites this paper as [24]
Statistics recomputed
Every reported test result, recomputed from its test statistic and degrees of freedom. A result shows as not adding up only once an independent check has confirmed it.
- Consistentt(118) = -2.03reported p = .044 · recomputed p = .045
“t(118) = -2.03,p = .044”
- Consistentt(118) = -2.2464reported p = .027 · recomputed p = .027
“t(118) = -2.2464,p = .027”
- Consistentt(118) = -1.916reported p = .058 · recomputed p = .058
“t(118) = -1.916,p = .058”
- Consistentt(118) = 0.118reported p = .906 · recomputed p = .906
“t(118) = .118,p = .906”
- ConsistentF(1, 118) = 5reported p = .027 · recomputed p = .027
“F(1,118) = 5.00, p = .027”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Figure marks the total effect as p < .01 despite reporting p = .027
MinorThe figure marks the .48 total-effect estimate with two asterisks, defined as p < .01. The text reports p = .027 for the same conspiracy-versus-control effect on crime intentions.
“[0.48 (.22)**]”
“Next, a t-test revealed that being exposed to a conspiracy article (vs. control) influenced participants' levels of intention to engage in everyday crime in the future, t(118) = -2.2464,p = .027,d = 0.41.”
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- Jolley D., Exposure to intergroup conspiracy theories promotes generalized prejudice
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Sorted by citations
Understanding Conspiracy Theories
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“2014b) and health (Jolley and Douglas, 2014a) contexts, as well as to higher feelings of anomie (Jolley et al., 2019), which describes perceptions of alienation, the disorderliness of the (social) world and general dissatisfaction.”
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“…theories decreases intentions to engage in politics and civic behaviors (Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b) but increases intentions to engage in everyday crime (Jolley et al., 2019), a finding interpretable as a quid pro quo reaction to the perceived legal noncompliance on the side of the powerful.”
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Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Jolley, D., Douglas, K. M., Leite, A. C., & Schrader, T.
- Affiliations
- University of Staffordshire (GB)
- University of Kent (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Jolley, Daniel
- Venue
- British Journal of Social Psychology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2019-01-19
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 534-549
- ISSN
- 0144-6665 (ISSN-L)
- 2044-8309
- OpenAlex
- W2909408410
- Semantic Scholar
- c6166d1b0d39491fc8eb8cf3b070be4cc493289e
- Cited by
- 186
- References
- 55
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 38 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 37 · 2021: 33 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 4
- FWCI
- 46.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- Locations
- British Journal of Social Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Northumbria Research Link (Northumbria University) (acceptedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- Staffordshire Online Repository (Staffordshire University) (acceptedVersion)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent) (submittedVersion)
- OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- British Psychological Society
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Deception detection and forensic psychology
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Keywords
- conspiracy theories, everyday crime, anomie, honesty-humility, political disengagement, prejudice
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Anomie, Crime, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Politics, Social Behavior, Thinking
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-10-09, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-10-09 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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