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The global distribution of ecosystems in a world without fire
Abstract
This paper is the first global study of the extent to which fire determines global vegetation patterns by preventing ecosystems from achieving the potential height, biomass and dominant functional types expected under the ambient climate (climate potential). To determine climate potential, we simulated vegetation without fire using a dynamic global-vegetation model. Model results were tested against fire exclusion studies from different parts of the world. Simulated dominant growth forms and tree cover were compared with satellite-derived land- and tree-cover maps. Simulations were generally consistent with results of fire exclusion studies in southern Africa and elsewhere. Comparison of global 'fire off' simulations with landcover and treecover maps show that vast areas of humid C(4) grasslands and savannas, especially in South America and Africa, have the climate potential to form forests. These are the most frequently burnt ecosystems in the world. Without fire, closed forests would double from 27% to 56% of vegetated grid cells, mostly at the expense of C(4) plants but also of C(3) shrubs and grasses in cooler climates. C(4) grasses began spreading 6-8 Ma, long before human influence on fire regimes. Our results suggest that fire was a major factor in their spread into forested regions, splitting biotas into fire tolerant and intolerant taxa.
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“Wildfires are essential to ecosystem function across the globe [1], influencing a wide spectrum of ecosystem components and natural processes [2], among which is the hydrological cycle.”
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Self-citationFire effects on the persistence of soil organic matter and long-term carbon storage
Pellegrini, A. F. A., Harden, J. W., Georgiou, K., Hemes, K. S., Malhotra, A., Nolan, C. J., & Jackson, R. B. (2021) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00867-1 · Cited by 262
Flammable biomes dominated by eucalypts originated at the Cretaceous–Palaeogene boundary
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A full greenhouse gases budget of Africa: Synthesis, uncertainties, and vulnerabilities
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Tamm Review: Shifting global fire regimes: Lessons from reburns and research needs
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Biome: evolution of a crucial ecological and biogeographical concept
Mucina, L. (2018) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/nph.15609 · Cited by 259
High-severity fire: evaluating its key drivers and mapping its probability across western US forests
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Fire and the spread of flowering plants in the Cretaceous
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Self-citationEnvironmental drivers of large, infrequent wildfires: The emerging conceptual model
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Galbraith, D. R., Levy, P., Sitch, S. A., Huntingford, C., Cox, P. M., Williams, M., & Meir, P. (2010) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03350.x · Cited by 237
Integrating geospatial information into fire risk assessment
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REVIEW: Refuges for fauna in fire‐prone landscapes: their ecological function and importance
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Metadata
- Authors
- Bond, W. J., Woodward, F. I., & Midgley, G. F.
- Affiliations
- University of Cape Town (ZA)
- University of Sheffield (GB)
- Conservation International (US)
- Venue
- New Phytologist
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2004-11-12
- Volume
- 165
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 525-538
- ISSN
- 0028-646X (ISSN-L)
- 1469-8137
- OpenAlex
- W2110659496
- Cited by
- 1,942
- References
- 118
- Citations by year
- 2026: 58 · 2025: 94 · 2024: 82 · 2023: 101 · 2022: 107 · 2021: 121 · 2020: 92 · 2019: 115 · 2018: 114 · 2017: 112 · 2016: 112 · 2015: 119 · 2014: 110 · 2013: 118 · 2012: 95
- FWCI
- 32.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- New Phytologist (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Andrew W. Mellon Foundation
- National Research Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Keywords
- fire, fire suppression, dynamic global vegetation models, tree cover, C4 grasslands, savanna, forest expansion, fire tolerance
- MeSH terms
- Biological Evolution, Fires, Models, Biological, Population Dynamics, Ecosystem, Plant Physiological Phenomena, Biomass
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