Association of sedentary time with mortality independent of moderate to vigorous physical activity
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Sedentary behavior has emerged as a novel health risk factor independent of moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA). Previous studies have shown self-reported sedentary time to be associated with mortality; however, no studies have investigated the effect of objectively measured sedentary time on mortality independent of MVPA. The objective our study was to examine the association between objectively measured sedentary time and all-cause mortality. METHODS: 7-day accelerometry data of 1906 participants aged 50 and over from the U.S. nationally representative National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2003-2004 were analyzed. All-cause mortality was assessed from the date of examination through December 31, 2006. RESULTS: Over an average follow-up of 2.8 years, there were 145 deaths reported. In a model adjusted for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, multiple morbidities, mobility limitation, and MVPA, participants in third quartile (hazard ratio (HR):4.05; 95%CI:1.55-10.60) and fourth quartile (HR:5.94; 95%CI: 2.49-14.15) of having higher percent sedentary time had a significantly increased risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that sedentary behavior is a risk factor for mortality independent of MVPA. Further investigation, including studies with longer follow-up, is needed to address the health consequences of sedentary behavior.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In a nationally representative sample of US adults aged 50 and older, objectively measured sedentary time was associated with higher all-cause mortality after adjustment that included moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA). The association persisted in sensitivity analyses, but follow-up was short.
Key findings
- Over an average 2.8 years of follow-up, 145 deaths occurred among 1,906 participants. In the fully adjusted model, the highest quartile of sedentary hours had an HR of 3.26 (95% CI: 1.59–6.69) for mortality compared with the lowest quartile.
- For percent sedentary time, fully adjusted mortality HRs were 4.05 (95% CI: 1.55–10.60) in the third quartile and 5.94 (95% CI: 2.49–14.15) in the fourth quartile compared with the lowest quartile.
- MVPA was also associated with mortality: the lowest quartile of MVPA had an HR of 5.60 (95% CI: 2.25–13.96) compared with the highest quartile in a model adjusted for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, morbidities, and mobility limitation.
- Sensitivity analyses excluding participants with mobility limitation, diabetes/coronary heart disease/congestive heart failure/stroke, cancer, or the first year of follow-up showed that positive associations between sedentary time and mortality remained; results were similar when selecting participants with 4 or more valid accelerometry days.
Methods
- The study analyzed 2003–2004 NHANES accelerometry data from 1,941 participants aged 50 and older with at least 1 valid day of accelerometry data (≥10 hours wear time); 35 participants with missing mortality or covariate data were excluded, leaving 1,906 for analysis.
- Sedentary time was measured with a uniaxial ActiGraph AM-7164 accelerometer and defined as counts per minute below 100; percent sedentary time was total sedentary time divided by total wear time; MVPA was defined as counts per minute ≥2020. Mortality was assessed through December 31, 2006 via linkage to the National Death Index.
- Cox proportional hazard models estimated hazard ratios by gender-specific quartiles of sedentary time, with progressive adjustment for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, morbidities, mobility limitation, and MVPA; interactions with gender and age were not statistically significant (all p>0.10), and analyses accounted for the complex survey design and sample weights.
Limitations
- The paper states that accelerometers are not sensitive to all activities, such as standing still, upper body movements, and biking; the MVPA cutpoint based primarily on younger adults may underestimate MVPA in older adults, potentially leading to residual confounding; and the sedentary cutpoint’s accuracy may vary by age, though small cutpoint variations were judged unlikely to affect quartile classification.
- The paper states that the short follow-up may increase the risk of reverse causation, that unknown or unmeasured factors may account for some associations, and that longer follow-up and larger studies are needed.
- Evident from the text: the observational design cannot establish causality, and the sample is restricted to US adults aged 50 and older with only 2.8 years average follow-up and 145 deaths, limiting precision and generalizability.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 9 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
After excluding the first year of follow-up, the positive association between sedentary time and mortality remained.
“Further, after excluding the first year of follow-up to exclude deaths (n = 55) in the first year of the study the positive association between sedentary time and mortality remained (Table 3, Model 4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Mortality risk increased significantly with greater sedentary time adjusted for sociodemographic factors.
“Figure 1 shows that mortality risk increased significantly with greater sedentary time adjusted for sociodemographic factors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In model 3, participants in the third quartile of percent sedentary time had a significantly increased risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile (HR 4.05; 95% CI 1.55-10.60).
“Participants in the third quartile (hazard ratio (HR):4.05; 95%CI:1.55–10.60) and fourth quartile (HR:5.94; 95%CI:2.49–14.15) of percent sedentary time had a significantly increased risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In model 3 adjusted for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, multiple morbidities, mobility limitation, and MVPA, participants in the highest quartile of sedentary hours had a 3.3 times increased risk of mortality compared to those in the lowest quartile (95% CI 1.59-6.69).
“In model 3 that included sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, multiple morbidities, mobility limitation, and MVPA, those in the highest quartile of sedentary hours had a 3.3 times increased risk of mortality compared to participants in lowest quartile (95% confidence interval (CI):1.59–6.69).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
When selecting participants with 4 or more valid days of accelerometry data, results remained very similar.
“When we selected participants with 4 or more valid days (n = 1701) of accelerometry data instead of the 1 or more valid day in the current analysis, results remained very similar (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
Interactions with gender and age were not statistically significant (all p>0.10).
“Interactions with gender and age were not statistically significant (all p>0.10); therefore all results are shown for men and women and all ages combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Those in the lowest quartile of MVPA had 5.6 times greater mortality risk compared to those in the highest quartile of MVPA (95% CI 2.25-13.96) in a model adjusted for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, multiple morbidities, and mobility limitation.
“Those in the lowest quartile of MVPA had 5.6 times greater mortality risk compared to those in the highest quartile of MVPA (95%CI: 2.25–13.96) in a model that was adjusted for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle factors, multiple morbidities, and mobility limitation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Self-reported data are prone to reporting errors of physical activity duration and intensity.
“These studies are limited by their use of self-reported data, which is known to be prone to reporting errors of physical activity duration and intensity [13].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] JF Sallis, 2000, Assessment of physical activity by self-report: status, limitations, and future directions., Res Q Exerc Sport source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Self-reported sedentary time is positively associated with mortality.
“Previous studies have shown self-reported sedentary time to be associated with mortality”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“Additionally, self-reported sedentary time in several domains including sitting [8], [9], riding in a car [10], and TV watching [11], [12] is positively associated with mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [8] PT Katzmarzyk, 2009, Sitting time and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer., Med Sci Sports Exerc source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9] AV Patel, 2010, Leisure time spent sitting in relation to total mortality in a prospective cohort of US adults., Am J Epidemiol source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [10] TY Warren, 2010, Sedentary behaviors increase risk of cardiovascular disease mortality in men., Med Sci Sports Exerc source
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
- Interpretationown data
Time spent in sedentary behavior is positively associated with mortality in this representative sample of adults aged 50 and older.
“This study shows that time spent in sedentary behavior is positively associated with mortality in this representative sample of adults aged 50 and older.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
In conclusion, the study supports the importance of sedentary behavior as a novel risk factor of mortality independent of MVPA.
“In conclusion, our study supports the importance of sedentary behavior as a novel risk factor of mortality independent of MVPA.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The present study is the first to show that objectively measured sedentary time is an important risk factor of mortality, even after adjusting for MVPA.
“To our knowledge the present study is the first to show that objectively measured sedentary time also is an important risk factor of mortality, even after adjusting for MVPA.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: No studies have investigated the effect of objectively measured sedentary behavior on mortality and whether this association is independent of MVPA.
- Interpretationown data
The associations between sedentary time and mortality were independent of MVPA.
“Importantly, these associations were independent of MVPA.”
- Also stated in: § Conclusions · hedged
“Our study suggests that sedentary behavior is a risk factor for mortality independent of MVPA.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Conclusions · hedged
- Study design and conductown data
Sedentary behavior was measured objectively with accelerometry.
“An important strength of our study was that sedentary behavior was measured objectively with accelerometry.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- The quote only partly states this claim. 2
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 11
- May combine two claims. 6
The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataIn sensitivity analyses excluding participants with mobility limitation, diabetes, coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, and stroke, and cancer, sedentary time remained positively associated with mortality.
“In these groups of healthier individuals, sedentary time remained positively associated with mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataIn model 3, participants in the fourth quartile of percent sedentary time had a significantly increased risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile (HR 5.94; 95% CI 2.49-14.15).
“Participants in the highest quartile of percentage of time spent sedentary, which corresponds to more than 73.5% of time in men and more than 70.5% in women, had more than 5 times greater risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataOver an average follow-up of 2.8 years, 145 deaths were reported.
“Over an average follow-up of 2.8 years, 145 deaths were reported.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataFigure 2 illustrates the shifted distribution of more time spent sedentary in those who died compared with those who survived.
“Figure 2 clearly illustrates the shifted distribution of more time spent sedentary in those who died compared with those who survived.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationRecent studies with objectively measured sedentary time data have shown that prolonged time in sedentary behaviors is a cardiometabolic risk factor independent of moderate to vigorous physical activity.
“Recent studies with objectively measured sedentary time data have shown that prolonged time in sedentary behaviors is a cardiometabolic risk factor independent of moderate to vigorous physical activity [6], [7].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [6] A Bankoski, 2011, Sedentary Activity Associated With Metabolic Syndrome Independent of Physical Activity., Diabetes Care source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] GN Healy, 2008, Objectively measured sedentary time, physical activity, and metabolic risk: the Australian Diabetes, Obesity and Lifestyle Study (AusDiab)., Diabetes Care source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe accuracy of the sedentary cutpoint may vary in different age groups.
“Similarly, while the cutpoint we used to define sedentary time has been evaluated for validity [17], it is possible that the accuracy of this threshold varies in different age groups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] CE Matthews, 2008, Amount of time spent in sedentary behaviors in the United States, 2003–2004., Am J Epidemiol source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe follow-up time of the study was short, which may increase the risk of reverse causation.
“The follow-up time of our study was short which may increase the risk of reverse causation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe analyses were adjusted for a wide range of potential confounding variables, but other unknown or unmeasured factors may account for some of the reported associations.
“We adjusted our analyses for a wide range of potential confounding variables, we can however not exclude that other unknown or unmeasured factors may account for some of the reported associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAccelerometers are not sensitive to detect all activities such as standing still, upper body movements and biking.
“However, accelerometers are not sensitive to detect all activities such as standing still, upper body movements and biking.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataData were analyzed using SAS and SUDAAN to account for complex survey design and incorporate sample weights.
“Data were analyzed using SAS Software 9.1 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC) and SUDAAN 10.0 (RTI International, Research Triangle Park, NC) to account for the complex survey design and incorporate sample weights.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitationThe NHANES data were linked to death certificate data from the National Death Index.
“The NHANES data were linked to death certificate data from the National Death Index”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] NHANES (1999–2004). Linked Mortality Files.
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenSmall variations in the cut-point selected (e.g., 50, 100, 150 counts per minute) would not be likely to affect the classification of individuals into quartiles of sedentary time, so results are unlikely to be affected by the cutpoint chosen.
“However, small variations in the cut-point selected (e.g., 50, 100, 150 counts per minute) would not be likely to affect the classification of individuals into quartiles of sedentary time. Thus, our results are unlikely to be affected by the cutpoint chosen to define sedentary time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe study used data from 2003-2004 NHANES, a nationally representative survey with a stratified, multistage design.
“This study used data from the 2003–2004 NHANES survey, a nationally representative survey with a stratified, multistage design [14].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] National Cancer Institute Risk factor monitoring and methods: SAS programs for analyzing NHANES 2003–2004 accelerometer data.
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningUse of an accelerometer definition of MVPA based on studies of primarily younger adults may lead to an underestimate of MVPA for older adults due to the decline in exercise capacity with age, which may lead to residual confounding.
“Use of an accelerometer definition of MVPA based on studies of primarily younger adults may lead to an underestimate of MVPA for older adults due to the decline in exercise capacity with age, which may lead to residual confounding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
No studies have investigated the effect of objectively measured sedentary behavior on mortality and whether this association is independent of MVPA.
“however, no studies have investigated the effect of objectively measured sedentary time on mortality independent of MVPA.”
“To our knowledge no studies have investigated the effect of objectively measured sedentary behavior on mortality and whether this association is independent of MVPA.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Five of the six studies also presented data for models without adjustment for physical activity, which allowed examination of associations between daily total sitting time and mortality risk with and without adjustment for physical activity.
“Five of the six studies also presented data for models without adjustment for physical activity[10,11,30,32,33], which allowed us to examine associations between daily total sitting time and mortality risk, with and without adjustment for physical activity.”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Five studies assessed daily total sitting time by self-report, and one study used objective measurement of daily sedentary time.
“Five studies assessed daily total sitting time by self-report[10,11,32-34]. One study used objective measurement of daily sedentary time[30].”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Across study samples, effect sizes for all-cause mortality were similar across doses of daily total sitting time, except the accelerometer study (Koster et al.) showed considerably larger hazards among respondents whose total daily sitting time exceeded the first quartile (7.6 h/day for men, 7.2 h/day for women).
“We observed similar effect sizes for all study samples across dose of sitting, except in the accelerometer study[30], which showed considerably larger hazards of dying from all causes among respondents whose total daily sitting time exceeded the first quartile of the sample (7.6 h/day for men, 7.2 h/day for women).”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Individual study PAFs ranged from 1.9% (largest self-report study) to 58% (Koster et al. objective measure study).
“Individual study PAFs ranged from 1.9% for the largest study with self-report data [11] to 58% for the smaller objective measure study by Koster and colleagues[30].”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Excluding the Koster et al. study, the overall weighted PAF for all-cause mortality attributable to total daily sitting time was 4.4% (range 1.9%-15.6%), after accounting for physical activity.
“When the Koster et al study was excluded, the overall weighted PAF for all-cause mortality attributable to total daily sitting time was 4.4% (range: 1.9% - 15.6%), after accounting for physical activity.”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Another study's sensitivity analyses excluding participants with mobility limitations, cardio-metabolic disease, and cancer maintained associations.
“Another study conducted sensitivity analyses by excluding participants with mobility limitations, cardio-metabolic disease, and cancer and found that the associations between sedentary time and mortality were maintained[30].”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
All three studies with short follow-up conducted sensitivity analyses for reverse causality and reported similar associations.
“Nonetheless, all three studies that had a short follow up period conducted sensitivity analyses in order to check for potential reverse causality (at least by excluding people who died in the first year), and all three reported similar associations between sitting time and all-cause mortality in their sensitivity analyses[10,30,33].”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Excluding the Koster et al. study in a sensitivity analysis did not change the pooled HR (1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03) or improve heterogeneity (I2=81.0%, p<0.001).
“A sensitivity analysis excluding the results of the Koster et al [30] study did not change the pooled estimate (HR=1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.03), nor improve heterogeneity (I2=81.0%, p <0.001).”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
The objective-measure study was the smallest (145 deaths) and had relatively short follow-up (2.8 years), increasing risk of reverse causality.
“However, this was also the smallest study (145 deaths) and the average follow up was relatively short (2.8 years), which increases the risk of reverse causality.”
From Daily Sitting Time and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis (2013) · cites this paper as [30]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Conflicting sample sizes for the four-valid-day analysis
MinorThe Results give 1,701 participants, while Table 4 gives 1,711. The quartile counts in Table 4 also sum to 1,711.
“When we selected participants with 4 or more valid days (n = 1701) of accelerometry data”
“Table 4 Mortality rates and hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of mortality according to quartiles of sedentary time selecting participants with 4 or more valid days of accelerometry data (n = 1711).”
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- Authors
- Koster, A., Caserotti, P., Patel, K. V., Matthews, C. E., Berrigan, D., Van Domelen, D. R., Brychta, R. J., Chen, K. Y., & Harris, T. B.
- Affiliations
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- University of Southern Denmark (DK)
- National Institute on Aging (US)
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Koster, Annemarie
- ORCID
- Venue
- PLoS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2012-06-13
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- e37696
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC3374810
- OpenAlex
- W1978604479
- Semantic Scholar
- 572382a89975df5200d007cd85074febef10282f
- Cited by
- 340
- References
- 20
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 29 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 29 · 2018: 26 · 2017: 32 · 2016: 45 · 2015: 37 · 2014: 35 · 2013: 25 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 21.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, public-domain)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, public-domain)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- University of Southern Denmark Research Portal (University of Southern Denmark) (publishedVersion)
- Research Publications (Maastricht University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Research Publications (Maastricht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Physical Activity and Health
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition › Context-Aware Activity Recognition Systems
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Keywords
- sedentary behavior, all-cause mortality, moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, accelerometry, older adults, mortality risk factors, physical inactivity
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality, Motor Activity, Sedentary Behavior
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-09.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-09.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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