Time to Recovery, Chronicity, and Levels of Psychopathology in Major Depression: A 5-Year Prospective Follow-up of 431 Subjects
Abstract
The course of illness of 431 subjects with major depression participating in the National Institute of Mental Health Collaborative Depression Study was prospectively observed for 5 years. Twelve percent of the subjects still had not recovered by 5 years. There were decreasing rates of recovery over time. For example, 50% of the subjects recovered within the first 6 months, and then the rate of recovery declined markedly. Instantaneous probabilities of recovery reflect that the longer a patient was ill, the lower his or her chances were of recovering. For patients still depressed, the likelihood of recovery within the next month declined from 15% during the first 3 months of follow-up to 1% to 2% per month during years 3, 4, and 5 of this follow-up. The severity of current psychopathology predicted the probability of subsequent recovery. Subjects with moderately severe depressive symptoms, minor depression, or dysthymia had an 18-fold greater likelihood of beginning recovery within the next week than did subjects who were at full criteria for major depressive disorder. Many subjects who did not recover continued in an episode that looked more like dysthymia than major depressive disorder.
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At least 6 months of drug treatment appear to be necessary for most patients to reach a satisfactory level of remission.
“At least 6 months of drug treatment appear to be necessary for most patients to reach a satisfactory level of remission.62”
From May antidepressant drugs worsen the conditions they are supposed to treat? The clinical foundations of the oppositional model of tolerance (2020) · cites this paper as [62]
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Rottenberg, J., Devendorf, A. R., Kashdan, T. B., & Disabato, D. J. (2018) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/1745691618769868 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Conradi, H. J., Bos, E. H., Kamphuis, J. H., & de Jonge, P. (2017) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2017.03.064 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Daskalakis, Z. J., Tamminga, C., Throop, A., Palmer, L., Dimitrova, J., Farzan, F., Thorpe, K. E., McClintock, S. M., & Blumberger, D. M. (2021) · Trials · doi:10.1186/s13063-021-05730-7 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
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Predictors of recurrence in a sample of 508 outpatients with major depressive disorder
Serafini, G., Santi, F., Gonda, X., Aguglia, A., Fiorillo, A., Pompili, M., Carvalho, A. F., & Amore, M. (2019) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2019.04.015 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
- Authors
- Keller, M. B.
- Affiliations
- National Institute of Mental Health (US)
- Corresponding author
- Keller, Martin B.
- ORCID
- Keller, Martin B.
- Venue
- Archives of General Psychiatry
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 1992-10-01
- Volume
- 49
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 809
- ISSN
- 0003-990X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2088803718
- Cited by
- 864
- References
- 33
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 37 · 2014: 34 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 20
- FWCI
- 16.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Archives of General Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH025478)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Treatment of Major Depression
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Mental Health Treatment and Access
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
- Keywords
- major depressive disorder, recovery from depression, chronicity of depression, clinical course, minor depression, dysthymia, long-term follow-up
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Ambulatory Care, Antidepressive Agents, Chronic Disease, Depressive Disorder, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hospitalization, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Probability, Prospective Studies, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Severity of Illness Index, Survival Analysis, Treatment Outcome
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