Cited by 247Multiple Sclerosis Research StudiesGenetic Associations and EpidemiologyPsoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 111 of the 115 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 48 of the 61 sources its claims cite were checked for support.

Locus for severity implicates CNS resilience in progression of multiple sclerosis

Open access
International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium, Harroud, Adil, Stridh, Pernilla, McCauley, Jacob L., Saarela, Janna, van den Bosch, Aletta M. R., Engelenburg, Hendrik J., Beecham, Ashley H., Alfredsson, Lars, Alikhani, Katayoun, Amezcua, Lilyana, Andlauer, Till F. M., Ban, Maria, Barcellos, Lisa F., Barizzone, Nadia, Berge, Tone, Berthele, Achim, Bittner, Stefan, Bos, Steffan D., Briggs, Farren B. S., Caillier, Stacy J., Calabresi, Peter A., Caputo, Domenico, Carmona-Burgos, David X., Cavalla, Paola, Celius, Elisabeth G., Cerono, Gabriel, Chinea, Angel R., Chitnis, Tanuja, Clarelli, Ferdinando, Comabella, Manuel, Comi, Giancarlo, Cotsapas, Chris, Cree, Bruce C. A., D’Alfonso, Sandra, Dardiotis, Efthimios, De Jager, Philip L., Delgado, Silvia R., Dubois, Bénédicte, Engel, Sinah, Esposito, Federica, Fabis-Pedrini, Marzena J., Filippi, Massimo, Fitzgerald, Kathryn C., Gasperi, Christiane, Gomez, Lissette, Gomez, Refujia, Hadjigeorgiou, Georgios, Hamann, Jörg, Held, Friederike, Henry, Roland G., Hillert, Jan, Huang, Jesse, Huitinga, Inge, Islam, Talat, Isobe, Noriko, Jagodic, Maja, Kermode, Allan G., Khalil, Michael, Kilpatrick, Trevor J., Konidari, Ioanna, Kreft, Karim L., Lechner-Scott, Jeannette, Leone, Maurizio, Luessi, Felix, Malhotra, Sunny, Manouchehrinia, Ali, Manrique, Clara P., Martinelli-Boneschi, Filippo, Martinez, Andrea C., Martinez-Maldonado, Viviana, Mascia, Elisabetta, Metz, Luanne M., Midaglia, Luciana, Montalban, Xavier, Oksenberg, Jorge R., Olsson, Tomas, Oturai, Annette, Pääkkönen, Kimmo, Parnell, Grant P., Patsopoulos, Nikolaos A., Pericak-Vance, Margaret A., Piehl, Fredrik, Rubio, Justin P., Santaniello, Adam, Santoro, Silvia, Schaefer, Catherine, Sellebjerg, Finn, Shams, Hengameh, Shchetynsky, Klementy, Silva, Claudia, Siokas, Vasileios, Søndergaard, Helle B., Sorosina, Melissa, Taylor, Bruce, Vandebergh, Marijne, Vasileiou, Elena S., Vecchio, Domizia, Voortman, Margarete M., Weiner, Howard L., Wever, Dennis, Yong, V. Wee, Hafler, David A., Stewart, Graeme J., Compston, Alastair, Zipp, Frauke, Harbo, Hanne F., Hemmer, Bernhard, Goris, An, Smolders, Joost, Hauser, Stephen L., Kockum, Ingrid, Sawcer, Stephen J., Baranzini, Sergio E., MultipleMS Consortium, Harroud, Adil, Jónsdóttir, Ingileif, Blanco, Yolanda, Llufriu, Sara, Madireddy, Lohith, Saiz, Albert, Villoslada, Pablo, Stefánsson, Kári·2023·Nature

Published version of a preprint

Abstract

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disease of the central nervous system (CNS) that results in significant neurodegeneration in the majority of those affected and is a common cause of chronic neurological disability in young adults^ 1 , 2 . Here, to provide insight into the potential mechanisms involved in progression, we conducted a genome-wide association study of the age-related MS severity score in 12,584 cases and replicated our findings in a further 9,805 cases. We identified a significant association with rs10191329 in the DYSF–ZNF638 locus, the risk allele of which is associated with a shortening in the median time to requiring a walking aid of a median of 3.7 years in homozygous carriers and with increased brainstem and cortical pathology in brain tissue. We also identified suggestive association with rs149097173 in the DNM3–PIGC locus and significant heritability enrichment in CNS tissues. Mendelian randomization analyses suggested a potential protective role for higher educational attainment. In contrast to immune-driven susceptibility^ 3 , these findings suggest a key role for CNS resilience and potentially neurocognitive reserve in determining outcome in MS. A genome-wide association study including 22,389 cases of multiple sclerosis finds an association with disease progression at the DYSF–ZNF638 and DNM3–PIGC loci and identifies a potential of higher educational attainment in slowing disease progression.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This genome-wide association study of multiple sclerosis severity in 12,584 discovery cases and 9,805 replication cases identified rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus as a genome-wide significant modifier of long-term disability. The findings implicate CNS resilience and neurocognitive reserve, rather than immune susceptibility, in MS progression.

Key findings

  • rs10191329 in DYSF-ZNF638 reached genome-wide significance in meta-analysis (P = 3.6×10⁻⁹); the risk allele shortened median time to requiring a walking aid by up to 3.7 years and was associated with faster 24-week confirmed disability worsening (HR = 1.1, 95% CI 1.02–1.18, P = 7.9×10⁻³).
  • Homozygous rs10191329 risk carriers had 1.83-fold more brainstem lesions (95% CI 1.09–3.06, P = 0.023) and a 1.76-fold higher rate of cortical lesions (95% CI 1.15–2.69, P = 0.001).
  • rs149097173 in DNM3-PIGC showed suggestive association (P = 2.3×10⁻⁷) and replicated at P = 0.010 but did not reach genome-wide significance; it was associated with a 3.3-year shorter median time to requiring a walking aid in sensitivity analysis.
  • SNP-based heritability for MS severity was 0.13 (s.e. 0.04), with significant enrichment exclusively in CNS tissues; Mendelian randomization supported higher educational attainment as protective (β = −0.15, P = 0.005) and heavier smoking as detrimental (β = 0.23, P = 0.005), with no causal role for 25-hydroxyvitamin D or BMI.

Methods

  • Discovery GWAS used age-related MS severity score (ARMSS) in 12,584 European-ancestry MS cases from 21 cohorts, analyzing 7.8 million autosomal variants with MAF > 0.01; replication tested variants in 9,805 cases from nine independent cohorts, with fixed-effects meta-analysis.
  • Longitudinal analyses included 8,325 patients with EDSS at three or more timepoints (54,113 visits up to 13.9 years), using generalized linear mixed models and Cox proportional hazards models for 24-week confirmed disability worsening and time to EDSS 6.0.
  • Neuropathology analyses used 4,652 tissue blocks from 290 autopsy cases; additional analyses included LD score regression for heritability/tissue enrichment, fine-mapping, gene prioritization, polygenic scores, and two-sample Mendelian randomization for education, smoking, BMI, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D.

Limitations

  • The paper states that EDSS has shortcomings including non-linear ordinal nature, rater variability, overemphasis on ambulation, and inadequate capture of cognitive impairment; survival events were observed only at clinic visits, not in real time.
  • The paper notes that Mendelian randomization assumes linearity and may not apply at trait extremes, collider bias is possible, horizontal pleiotropy cannot be entirely excluded, and genetic predisposition for education/smoking may not equal environmental modification; broader social determinants were not tested.
  • The text also makes evident that the autopsy cohort was too small for meaningful analysis of rs149097173, and the African-American and Hispanic analyses were underpowered and imprecise.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41586-023-06250-x

Cites

111 of 111 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

60 Own result · 25 Own interpretation · 20 Supported · 16 Own method · 13 Partly supported · 7 No full text of the sources · 4 Couldn’t confirm · 3 Sources not found · 2 Supported so far · 2 Not checked yet · 1 No basis given · accuracy not yet measured

Show all 93 claims

  • It may state two separate claims as one. 33
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 38
60 of 60
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The independent MS autopsy cohort is representative of the broader MS population for assessing the effect of rs10191329 on CNS pathology.

    “we examined the variant’s association with disease-relevant markers of tissue injury in an independent MS autopsy cohort comprising 4,652 tissue blocks in 290 individuals.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The ARMSS score is comparable across the discovery and replication cohorts.

    “individual EDSS measures were converted to the age-related MS severity (ARMSS) score by ranking disability within age-specific strata13 (Methods).”
    “Replication of variant associations was tested in existing data from nine independent cohorts totaling 9,805 cases”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.

    “The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.

    “Although the MR sensitivity analyses did not find evidence of horizontal pleiotropy, it can only be tested indirectly and violation of this instrumental variable assumption cannot be entirely excluded.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    There is no sample overlap between the MS severity GWAS and the exposure GWAS, and no shared population stratification.

    “Since we expect no sample overlap with our within-case GWAS, the LDSC intercept was constrained on the assumption of no shared population stratification.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The three longitudinal disability outcomes are not expected to be independent.

    “although the latter are not expected to be independent”
6 of 6

Statistics recomputed

Every reported test result, recomputed from its test statistic and degrees of freedom. A result shows as not adding up only once an independent check has confirmed it.

  • Consistentz = 3.1reported p = .002 · recomputed p = .002

    “(Z = 3.1, p = .002”

1 of 1

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

2 of 2

Citations

Cites

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Items 201–247 of 247

Metadata

Authors
International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium, Harroud, A., Stridh, P., McCauley, J. L., Saarela, J., van den Bosch, A. M. R., Engelenburg, H. J., Beecham, A. H., Alfredsson, L., Alikhani, K., Amezcua, L., Andlauer, T. F. M., Ban, M., Barcellos, L. F., Barizzone, N., Berge, T., Berthele, A., Bittner, S., Bos, S. D., Briggs, F. B. S., Caillier, S. J., Calabresi, P. A., Caputo, D., Carmona-Burgos, D. X., Cavalla, P., Celius, E. G., Cerono, G., Chinea, A. R., Chitnis, T., Clarelli, F., Comabella, M., Comi, G., Cotsapas, C., Cree, B. C. A., D’Alfonso, S., Dardiotis, E., De Jager, P. L., Delgado, S. R., Dubois, B., Engel, S., Esposito, F., Fabis-Pedrini, M. J., Filippi, M., Fitzgerald, K. C., Gasperi, C., Gomez, L., Gomez, R., Hadjigeorgiou, G., Hamann, J., Held, F., Henry, R. G., Hillert, J., Huang, J., Huitinga, I., Islam, T., Isobe, N., Jagodic, M., Kermode, A. G., Khalil, M., Kilpatrick, T. J., Konidari, I., Kreft, K. L., Lechner-Scott, J., Leone, M., Luessi, F., Malhotra, S., Manouchehrinia, A., Manrique, C. P., Martinelli-Boneschi, F., Martinez, A. C., Martinez-Maldonado, V., Mascia, E., Metz, L. M., Midaglia, L., Montalban, X., Oksenberg, J. R., Olsson, T., Oturai, A., Pääkkönen, K., Parnell, G. P., Patsopoulos, N. A., Pericak-Vance, M. A., Piehl, F., Rubio, J. P., Santaniello, A., Santoro, S., Schaefer, C., Sellebjerg, F., Shams, H., Shchetynsky, K., Silva, C., Siokas, V., Søndergaard, H. B., Sorosina, M., Taylor, B., Vandebergh, M., Vasileiou, E. S., Vecchio, D., Voortman, M. M., Weiner, H. L., Wever, D., Yong, V. W., Hafler, D. A., Stewart, G. J., Compston, A., Zipp, F., Harbo, H. F., Hemmer, B., Goris, A., Smolders, J., Hauser, S. L., Kockum, I., Sawcer, S. J., Baranzini, S. E., MultipleMS Consortium, Harroud, A., Jónsdóttir, I., Blanco, Y., Llufriu, S., Madireddy, L., Saiz, A., Villoslada, P., & Stefánsson, K.
Affiliations
  • Karolinska University Hospital (SE)
  • University of Miami (US)
  • University of Helsinki (FI)
  • Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience (NL)
  • University of Calgary (CA)
  • University of Southern California (US)
  • Technical University of Munich (DE)
  • University of Cambridge (GB)
  • University of California, Berkeley (US)
  • Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale “Amedeo Avogadro” (IT)
  • Oslo University Hospital (NO)
  • Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (DE)
  • Case Western Reserve University (US)
  • University of California, San Francisco (US)
  • Johns Hopkins University (US)
  • Don Carlo Gnocchi Foundation (IT)
  • University of Turin (IT)
  • Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
  • IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele (IT)
  • Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (ES)
  • Broad Institute (US)
  • University of Thessaly (GR)
  • Universitair Ziekenhuis Leuven (BE)
  • Vita-Salute San Raffaele University (IT)
  • University of Cyprus (CY)
  • Kyushu University (JP)
  • Murdoch University (AU)
  • Medical University of Graz (AT)
  • The Royal Melbourne Hospital (AU)
  • Erasmus MC (NL)
  • Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza (IT)
  • Copenhagen University Hospital (DK)
  • The University of Sydney (AU)
  • The University of Melbourne (AU)
  • Kaiser Permanente (US)
  • University of Copenhagen (DK)
  • University of Tasmania (AU)
  • KU Leuven (BE)
  • Munich Cluster for Systems Neurology (DE)
  • deCODE Genetics (Iceland) (IS)
  • Hospital Clínic de Barcelona (ES)
Corresponding author
  • Sawcer, Stephen J.
  • Baranzini, Sergio E.
ORCID
Venue
Nature
Published
2023-06-28
Volume
619
Issue
7969
Pages
323-331
ISSN
  • 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
  • 1476-4687
OpenAlex
W4382394400
Cited by
243
References
115
Citations by year
2026: 62 · 2025: 69 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 30
FWCI
40.76
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature (publishedVersion)
  • Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
  • EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Pure Amsterdam UMC (publishedVersion, other-oa)
  • KNAW research portal (Royal Academy of Art and Sciences (KNAW)) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
  • Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca (Universita Degli Studi Di Milano) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Open access LMU (Ludwid Maxmilian's Universitat Munchen) (submittedVersion)
  • eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
  • Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion)
  • UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) (submittedVersion)
  • Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca - Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele (submittedVersion)
  • Institutional Research Information System University of Turin (University of Turin) (submittedVersion)
  • Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion)
  • Lirias (KU Leuven) (submittedVersion)
  • Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • NOVA (University of Newcastle Australia) (submittedVersion)
  • Apollo (cc-by)
Funders
  • National Multiple Sclerosis Society (733161, RG‐1707‐28657, FAN-1808-32256, JF-1808-32223)
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb Foundation
  • Amgen
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb
  • Eli Lilly and Company
  • Sanofi
  • Yale University
  • Biogen
  • Kaiser Permanente
  • Teva Pharmaceutical Industries
  • Alexion Pharmaceuticals
  • Celgene
  • Helsingin Yliopisto
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
  • TG Therapeutics
  • Race to Erase MS
  • International Progressive MS Alliance (PA-1604-08492)
  • Disarm Therapeutics
  • Multiple Sclerosis Society of Canada (FAN-1808-32256)
  • National Institute for Health and Care Research
  • Multiple Sclerosis Society (JF-1808-32223, RG-1707-28657, PA-1604-08492)
  • European Commission (733161, HORIZON2020)
  • University of Tasmania
  • Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (TR‐128, EXC 2145, EXC 2145SyNergy, 390857198, CRC TR-128)
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
  • Sun Yat-sen University
  • Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (FWO G.07334.15, G.07334.15, 11ZZZ21N)
  • Ministero della Salute (RF-2016-02361294)
  • KU Leuven (C24/16/045)
  • Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse
  • Max-Planck-Gesellschaft
  • Vetenskapsrådet (2020-01638)
  • Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale (733161)
  • Forskningsrådet om Hälsa, Arbetsliv och Välfärd
  • Red Española de Esclerosis Múltiple (RD16/0015/0002,, RD16/0015/0003)
  • Vlaamse regering
  • Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation
  • Menzies Institute for Medical Research
  • Idorsia Pharmaceuticals
  • Multiple Sclerosis Society of Western Australia
  • National Institutes of Health (RG-1707-28657, JF-1808-32223, R01ES017080, R01NS049510, R01AI076544, R01NS099240)
  • Genentech
  • EMD Serono
  • University of California, San Francisco
  • Sanofi Genzyme
  • Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research
  • Instituto de Salud Carlos III (PI15/00587, PI18/01030, RD16/0015/0002, RD16/0015/0003)
  • Erasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum Rotterdam
  • NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre
  • National Institute of Nursing Research (R01 NR017431)
  • National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (R01AI076544)
  • National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (R01 NS096212, R01 NS099240, R35 NS111644, R01 NS 049510)
  • National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (R01 ES017080)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Clinical Neurology › Multiple Sclerosis Research Studies
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
  • Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Psoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis
Keywords
multiple sclerosis, disease progression, disease severity, neurodegeneration, educational attainment, brainstem pathology, cortical pathology, heritability enrichment
MeSH terms
Dysferlin, Aging, Brain, Brain Stem, DNA-Binding Proteins, Educational Status, Hexosyltransferases, Homozygote, Humans, Membrane Proteins, Multiple Sclerosis, Time Factors, Transcription Factors, Case-Control Studies, RNA-Binding Proteins, Disease Progression, Mobility Limitation, Genome-Wide Association Study, Young Adult, Cognitive Reserve, Protective Factors

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