Matching Methods for Causal Inference: A Review and a Look Forward
Open accessAbstract
When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be achieved by choosing well-matched samples of the original treated and control groups, thereby reducing bias due to the covariates. Since the 1970's, work on matching methods has examined how to best choose treated and control subjects for comparison. Matching methods are gaining popularity in fields such as economics, epidemiology, medicine, and political science. However, until now the literature and related advice has been scattered across disciplines. Researchers who are interested in using matching methods-or developing methods related to matching-do not have a single place to turn to learn about past and current research. This paper provides a structure for thinking about matching methods and guidance on their use, coalescing the existing research (both old and new) and providing a summary of where the literature on matching methods is now and where it should be headed.
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Rosenbaum and Rubin demonstrated that treated and control subjects with the same propensity score have the same distribution relative to the observed covariates.
“Rosenbaum and Rubin demonstrated that treated and control subjects with the same propensity score have the same distribution relative to the observed covariates.32”
From The Impact of Library Resource Utilization on Undergraduate Students’ Academic Performance: A Propensity Score Matching Design (2015) · cites this paper as [32]
Given the advantages and disadvantages of matching techniques and the small number of available covariates, the choice of calliper matching in this study is valid.
“In view of the advantages and disadvantages of the various matching techniques and due to the small number of available possible covariates, we consider that the choice of calliper method for the matching purpose in the present study is valid [48].”
Variables thought to be related to the outcome were preferred for matching to reduce variance from including unrelated variables.
“Preference was given to the variables believed to be related to the outcome of interest; thereby reducing the variance engendered due to the inclusion of variables which are unrelated to the outcome [48,58].”
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Yamakawa, S., Nagayama, H., Tomori, K., Ikeda, K., & Niimi, A. (2023) · Frontiers in Rehabilitation Sciences · doi:10.3389/fresc.2022.1045231 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Rivano Fischer, M., Schult, M.-L., Löfgren, M., & Stålnacke, B.-M. (2021) · Journal of International Medical Research · doi:10.1177/03000605211027435 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“and in recommendations by Gewandter et al.(18,19) It is important to select appropriate covariates to include in the matching process.”
BackgroundAlruwaili, A., Nayeemullah, R., Engin, B., Malaikah, S., James, L., Sanders, J. P., Thivel, D., Thackray, A. E., Stensel, D. J., King, J. A., et al. (2025) · Appetite · doi:10.1016/j.appet.2025.108194 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
- Authors
- Stuart, E. A.
- Affiliations
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Stuart, Elizabeth A.
- ORCID
- Stuart, Elizabeth A.
- Venue
- Statistical Science
- Publisher
- Institute of Mathematical Statistics
- Published
- 2010-02-01
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-21
- ISSN
- 0883-4237 (ISSN-L)
- 2168-8745
- PMC
- PMC2943670
- OpenAlex
- W2155163959
- Cited by
- 5,478
- References
- 157
- Citations by year
- 2026: 516 · 2025: 559 · 2024: 504 · 2023: 471 · 2022: 483 · 2021: 544 · 2020: 455 · 2019: 410 · 2018: 351 · 2017: 267 · 2016: 248 · 2015: 216 · 2014: 199 · 2013: 126 · 2012: 77
- FWCI
- 66.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Statistical Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- Project Euclid (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Funders
- Harvard University
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute of Mental Health (K25MH083846)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Inference
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Optimal Experimental Design Methods
- Keywords
- matching methods, causal inference, observational data, covariate balance, propensity score matching, causal effect estimation, bias mitigation
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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