Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
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The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways are tacitly founded on the assumption that the future will be devoid of economic growth distortions, political instability, and armed conflict.
“the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, which are widely used in climate change impact assessments to explore societal implications of alternative climate change and development trajectories (186-188), are tacitly founded on the assumption that the future will be devoid of economic growth distortions, political instability, and armed conflict.”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [186]
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- Authors
- Dellink, R., Chateau, J., Lanzi, E., & Magné, B.
- Affiliations
- Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Economiques (FR)
- Corresponding author
- Dellink, Rob
- Venue
- Global Environmental Change
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-01
- Volume
- 42
- Pages
- 200-214
- ISSN
- 0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W793980422
- Cited by
- 893
- References
- 36
- Citations by year
- 2026: 50 · 2025: 92 · 2024: 121 · 2023: 106 · 2022: 117 · 2021: 129 · 2020: 69 · 2019: 85 · 2018: 56 · 2017: 37 · 2016: 24 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 93.18
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Global Environmental Change (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic Growth and Productivity
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Keywords
- Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, GDP per capita, convergence, total factor productivity, population growth, physical capital, employment, human capital, fossil fuel resources, energy resources, economic crisis
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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