Naturally enhanced neutralizing breadth against SARS-CoV-2 one year after infection
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
More than one year after its inception, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) remains difficult to control despite the availability of several working vaccines. Progress in controlling the pandemic is slowed by the emergence of variants that appear to be more transmissible and more resistant to antibodies 1,2 . Here we report on a cohort of 63 individuals who have recovered from COVID-19 assessed at 1.3, 6.2 and 12 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, 41% of whom also received mRNA vaccines 3,4 . In the absence of vaccination, antibody reactivity to the receptor binding domain (RBD) of SARS-CoV-2, neutralizing activity and the number of RBD-specific memory B cells remain relatively stable between 6 and 12 months after infection. Vaccination increases all components of the humoral response and, as expected, results in serum neutralizing activities against variants of concern similar to or greater than the neutralizing activity against the original Wuhan Hu-1 strain achieved by vaccination of naive individuals 2,5–8 . The mechanism underlying these broad-based responses involves ongoing antibody somatic mutation, memory B cell clonal turnover and development of monoclonal antibodies that are exceptionally resistant to SARS-CoV-2 RBD mutations, including those found in the variants of concern 4,9 . In addition, B cell clones expressing broad and potent antibodies are selectively retained in the repertoire over time and expand markedly after vaccination. The data suggest that immunity in convalescent individuals will be very long lasting and that convalescent individuals who receive available mRNA vaccines will produce antibodies and memory B cells that should be protective against circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In a longitudinal cohort of 63 SARS-CoV-2 convalescent individuals, antibody reactivity, neutralizing activity, and RBD-specific memory B cells remained relatively stable between 6 and 12 months after infection in the absence of vaccination, while mRNA vaccination boosted humoral responses by roughly 30- to 50-fold. Over time, memory B cells continued to evolve through somatic mutation and clonal turnover, producing antibodies with increased potency and breadth against SARS-CoV-2 variants.
Key findings
- Among unvaccinated convalescent individuals, anti-RBD IgM, IgG, and IgA titres were maintained at 103%, 82%, and 72% between 6 and 12 months, whereas anti-N titres decreased significantly; vaccination increased anti-RBD IgG titres nearly 30-fold.
- At 12 months, unvaccinated individuals had a geometric mean neutralizing titre (NT50) of 75, not significantly different from 6.2 months; vaccinated individuals had a geometric mean NT50 of 3,684, nearly 50-fold higher. After vaccination, geometric mean NT50 values against variants were 11,493 for B.1.351, 48,341 for B.1.1.7, 22,109 for B.1.526, and 26,553 for P.1.
- RBD-specific memory B cells were 1.35-fold lower at 12 versus 6.2 months in unvaccinated individuals (P = 0.027), but vaccinated individuals showed an average 8.6-fold increase. Among 89 clones detected at 12 months, 61% were not previously detected and 39% were present at an earlier time point.
- Of 174 monoclonal antibodies tested at 12 months, 173 bound RBD; geometric mean ELISA EC50 was 2.6 ng ml−1, lower than at 6 months. Neutralizing IC50 improved from 171 ng ml−1 at 1.3 months to 116 ng ml−1 at 6 months to 79 ng ml−1 at 12 months. For matched clonal antibody pairs, 10 of 15 antibodies at 12 months neutralized all tested mutants versus 1 of 15 at 1.3 months, with IC50 values as low as 1 ng ml−1 against K417N/E484K/N501Y.
Methods
- Longitudinal cohort of 63 adults aged 26–73 years (median 47; 43% female; 10% hospitalized) assessed at 1.3, 6.2, and 12 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection; 26 participants (41%) had received at least one dose of Moderna mRNA-1273 or Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2, on average 40 days before the visit (range 2–82 days) and 311 days after illness onset (range 272–373 days). All tested negative for active infection by saliva PCR at 12 months.
- Plasma ELISAs measured RBD and N antibody binding; neutralizing activity was measured with HIV-1 pseudotyped with SARS-CoV-2 spike and with authentic SARS-CoV-2 WA1/2020 and B.1.351. Flow cytometry counted RBD-specific memory B cells; single-cell sorting, antibody sequencing, cloning, and expression generated monoclonal antibodies. Biolayer interferometry assessed epitope competition and affinity; computational analyses assessed clonal relationships, somatic hypermutation, and phylogenetics.
- Statistical comparisons used Kruskal–Wallis with Dunn’s multiple comparisons, Friedman, Mann–Whitney, Wilcoxon, and Spearman tests as indicated. The paper states that no statistical methods were used to predetermine sample size, experiments were not randomized, and investigators were not blinded.
Limitations
- Stated in the paper: no statistical methods were used to predetermine sample size; experiments were not randomized; investigators were not blinded to allocation during experiments and outcome assessment.
- Evident from the text: the cohort was small (n = 63), mostly had mild initial infections (only 10% hospitalized), and 41% had received mRNA vaccination, with vaccination occurring at variable times before the 12-month visit (range 2–82 days).
- Evident from the text: follow-up ends at 12 months, so conclusions about very long-lasting immunity and protection against future variants are inferred from this interval and from in vitro antibody measurements rather than direct clinical protection data.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 35 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
Without vaccination, the number of RBD-specific memory B cells present 12 months after infection was 1.35-fold lower than at the 6.2-month time point (P = 0.027).
“Without vaccination, the number of RBD-specific memory B cells present 12 months after infection was 1.35-fold lower than the earlier 6.2-month time point (P = 0.027, Fig. 2a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Neutralizing breadth increased between 1.3 and 12 months for all 15 pairs of antibodies, even when neutralizing activity against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 was unchanged or decreased.
“However, neutralizing breadth increased between 1.3 and 12 months for all 15 pairs, even when neutralizing activity against the wild-type was unchanged or decreased (Fig. 4g, Supplementary Table 8).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
After vaccination, the geometric mean NT50 against B.1.351, B.1.1.7, B.1.526 and P.1 was 11,493, 48,341, 22,109 and 26,553, respectively.
“After vaccination the geometric mean NT50 increased to 11,493, 48,341, 22,109 and 26,553 against B.1.351, B.1.1.7, B.1.526 and P.1, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Increased neutralizing activity was evident against the RBD mutants K417N, N440K, A475V, E484K and N501Y.
“Increased activity was evident against K417N, N440K, A475V, E484K and N501Y (Fig. 4d, Supplementary Table 6).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
13 of 15 neutralizing antibodies obtained after 12 months interfered only with C121, a class 2 antibody.
“In contrast to the earlier time point, 13 of 15 neutralizing antibodies obtained after 12 months interfered only with C121, a class 2 antibody3,23 (Fig. 4c, Extended Data Fig. 9).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [3] Robbiani, D. F. et al. Convergent antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 in convalescent individuals. Nature 584, 437–442 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [23] Barnes, C. O. et al. SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody structures inform therapeutic strategies. Nature 588, 682–687 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
Somatic hypermutation of antibody genes continued between 6 and 12 months after infection.
“Somatic hypermutation of antibody genes continued between 6 and 12 months after infection (Fig. 2c).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
All individuals assayed at 12 months showed expansion of RBD-binding memory cell clones that expressed closely related IGHV and IGLV genes.
“All individuals assayed at 12 months showed expansion of RBD-binding memory cell clones that expressed closely related IGHV and IGLV genes (Fig. 2b, Extended Data Fig. 3d, e).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
RBD-specific memory B cell clones were re-expanded upon vaccination in all six convalescent individuals examined.
“Thus, RBD-specific memory B cell clones were re-expanded upon vaccination in all six convalescent individuals examined (Fig. 2b, Extended Data Figs. 3d, 5a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Anti-N antibody titres decreased significantly between 6 and 12 months after infection, independently of vaccination status.
“In contrast to anti-RBD antibody titres that were relatively stable, anti-N antibody titres decreased significantly between 6 and 12 months in this assay, independently of vaccination status (Fig. 1b, Extended Data Fig. 2l–n).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Only 1 out of 15 antibodies obtained after 1.3 months neutralized all the mutants tested.
“Only 1 out of the 15 antibodies obtained after 1.3 months neutralized all the mutants tested (Fig. 4g).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Antibodies obtained from clonally expanded B cells 12 months after infection were more potent than antibodies obtained from unique B cells at the same time point (P = 0.029).
“Consistent with this observation, antibodies obtained from clonally expanded B cells 12 months after infection were more potent than antibodies obtained from unique B cells at the same time point (P = 0.029) (Fig. 3b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Convalescent individuals who received mRNA vaccines showed an average increase of 8.6-fold in the number of circulating RBD-specific memory B cells.
“By contrast, and consistent with previous reports5,8,20, individuals who recovered from COVID-19 and received mRNA vaccines showed an average increase of 8.6-fold in the number of circulating RBD-specific memory B cells (Fig. 2a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] Goel, R. R. et al. Distinct antibody and memory B cell responses in SARS-CoV-2 naïve and recovered individuals following mRNA vaccination. Sci. Immunol. 6, eabi6950 (2021). 10 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Reynolds, C. J. et al. Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection rescues B and T cell responses to variants after first vaccine dose. Science eabh1282 (2021).
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [20] Stamatatos, L. et al. mRNA vaccination boosts cross-variant neutralizing antibodies elicited by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Science eabg9175 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
In convalescent individuals who had not been vaccinated, anti-RBD IgM, IgG and IgA titres were maintained at 103%, 82% and 72% of their 6-month values, respectively, between 6 and 12 months after infection.
“Convalescent participants who had not been vaccinated maintained most of their anti-RBD IgM (103%), IgG (82%) and IgA (72%) titres between 6 and 12 months after infection (Fig. 1a, Extended Data Fig. 2a–k).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
There was an overall increase in the apparent avidity of plasma antibodies between 1.3 and 12 months (P < 0.0001).
“Consistent with this observation, there was an overall increase in the apparent avidity of plasma antibodies between 1.3 and 12 months3,4 (P < 0.0001) (Extended Data Fig. 7c).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [3] Robbiani, D. F. et al. Convergent antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 in convalescent individuals. Nature 584, 437–442 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [4] Gaebler, C. et al. Evolution of antibody immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Nature 591, 639–644 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
Increased potency was most evident in antibodies expressed by expanded clones of B cells that were conserved for the entire observation period independently of vaccination status (P = 0.014).
“This increased potency was most evident in the antibodies expressed by expanded clones of B cells that were conserved for the entire observation period independently of vaccination status (P = 0.014) (Fig. 3b, right, Extended Data Fig. 7e–h, Supplementary Table 5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Vaccinated convalescent individuals showed a geometric mean NT50 of 3,684 at 12 months, nearly 50-fold higher than that of unvaccinated individuals.
“By contrast, the vaccinated individuals showed a geometric mean NT50 of 3,684, which was nearly 50-fold higher than that of unvaccinated individuals and slightly higher than the 30-fold increase in anti-RBD IgG antibodies (Fig. 1a, c, d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Plasma RBD antibodies are strongly correlated with neutralizing activity.
“We limited our analysis to RBD because plasma RBD antibodies are strongly correlated with neutralizing activity3,10–12.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [3] Robbiani, D. F. et al. Convergent antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 in convalescent individuals. Nature 584, 437–442 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [10] Brouwer, P. J. M. et al. Potent neutralizing antibodies from COVID-19 patients define multiple targets of vulnerability. Science 369, 643–650 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Cao, Y. et al. Potent neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 identified by high-throughput single-cell sequencing of convalescent patients’ B cells. Cell 182, 73–84 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Ju, B. et al. Human neutralizing antibodies elicited by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Nature 584, 115–119 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Convalescent individuals who are vaccinated should enjoy high levels of protection against emerging variants without a need to modify existing vaccines.
“The notable evolution of neutralizing breadth after infection with SARS-CoV-2 and the robust enhancement of serologic responses and B cell memory achieved with mRNA vaccination suggests that convalescent individuals who are vaccinated should enjoy high levels of protection against emerging variants without a need to modify existing vaccines.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 63 convalescent participants are representative of the broader population of individuals who have recovered from COVID-19.
- Rests on an assumption: Neutralizing antibody titres are a correlate of protection against SARS-CoV-2 variants in vivo.
- Rests on an assumption: In vitro neutralization breadth measured with pseudotyped viruses predicts protection against authentic circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.
- Interpretationown data
Evolution of the antibody repertoire results in acquisition of neutralization breadth over time.
“These data indicate that evolution of the antibody repertoire results in acquisition of neutralization breadth over time.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The overall clonal composition of the memory B cell repertoire differed between 6 and 12 months after infection in all individuals, suggesting ongoing clonal evolution.
“The overall clonal composition differed between 6 and 12 months after infection in all individuals, suggesting ongoing clonal evolution (Fig. 2b, Extended Data Fig. 3d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Clonal re-expansion of memory cells in response to vaccination is not associated with additional accumulation of large numbers of somatic mutations.
“We conclude that clonal re-expansion of memory cells in response to vaccination is not associated with additional accumulation of large numbers of somatic mutations as might be expected if the clones were re-entering and proliferating in germinal centres.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Vaccination after SARS-CoV-2 infection increases the number of RBD-binding memory cells by more than an order of magnitude by recruiting new B cell clones into memory and expanding persistent clones.
“Vaccination after SARS-CoV-2 infection increases the number of RBD-binding memory cells by more than an order of magnitude by recruiting new B cell clones into memory and expanding persistent clones.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 63 convalescent participants are representative of the broader population of individuals who have recovered from COVID-19.
- Study design and conductnone given
All study participants had a confirmed history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, either diagnosed during the acute infection by RT-PCR or retrospectively confirmed by seroconversion.
“All participants had a confirmed history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, either diagnosed during the acute infection by PCR with reverse transcription (RT–PCR) or retrospectively confirmed by seroconversion.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Vaccination boosts the neutralizing response by 1.5 orders of magnitude by inducing additional plasma cell differentiation from the memory B cell compartment.
“Vaccination boosts the neutralizing response by 1.5 orders of magnitude by inducing additional plasma cell differentiation from the memory B cell compartment5,7,35.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] Goel, R. R. et al. Distinct antibody and memory B cell responses in SARS-CoV-2 naïve and recovered individuals following mRNA vaccination. Sci. Immunol. 6, eabi6950 (2021). 10 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Krammer, F. et al. Antibody responses in seropositive persons after a single dose of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine. N. Engl. J. Med. 384, 1372–1374 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [35] Turner, J. et al. SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines induce a robust germinal centre reaction in humans. Research Square https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-310773/v1 (2021).
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- Study design and conductcitation
All participants tested negative for active infection at the 12-month time point as measured by a saliva-based PCR assay.
“All participants tested negative for active infection at the 12-month time point as measured by a saliva-based PCR assay4.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Gaebler, C. et al. Evolution of antibody immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Nature 591, 639–644 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- May combine two claims. 23
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 11
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe geometric mean IC50 of antibodies improved from 171 ng ml−1 at 1.3 months to 116 ng ml−1 at 6 months to 79 ng ml−1 at 12 months, with no significant difference between vaccinated and non-vaccinated individuals.
“When compared with the earlier time points from the same individuals, the geometric mean half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) improved from 171 ng ml−1 (at 1.3 months) to 116 ng ml−1 (at 6 months) to 79 ng ml−1 (at 12 months), with no significant difference between vaccinated and non-vaccinated individuals (Fig. 3b, Extended Data Fig. 7d, Supplementary Table 4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataTwelve months after infection, neutralizing activity against the variants B.1.1.7, B.1.351, B.1.526 and P.1 was generally lower than against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 in the same assay, with the greatest loss of activity against B.1.351.
“Twelve months after infection, neutralizing activity against the variants was generally lower than against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 virus in the same assay, with the greatest loss of activity against B.1.351 (Fig. 1e).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataNeutralizing activity was directly correlated with IgG anti-RBD but not with anti-N titres.
“Neutralizing activity was directly correlated with IgG anti-RBD (Extended Data Fig. 2p) but not with anti-N titres (Extended Data Fig. 2q, r).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe number of B cells cross-reacting with variant RBD was directly proportional to and 1.6- to 3.2-fold lower than the number of B cells binding to wild-type RBD.
“The number of B cells cross-reacting with variant RBD was directly proportional to and 1.6- to 3.2-fold lower than the number of B cells binding to wild-type RBD (Fig. 2a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAt 12 months after infection, the geometric mean NT50 for the 37 unvaccinated convalescent individuals was 75, which was not significantly different from the NT50 for the same individuals at 6.2 months after infection.
“Twelve months after infection, the geometric mean half-maximal neutralizing titre (NT50) for the 37 individuals who had not been vaccinated was 75, which was not significantly different from the NT50 for the same individuals at 6.2 months after infection (Fig. 1c).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown data10 out of 15 antibodies obtained from the same clones 12 months after infection neutralized all variants tested, with IC50 values as low as 1 ng ml−1 against the RBD triple mutant K417N/E484K/N501Y found in B.1.351.
“By contrast, 10 out of the 15 antibodies obtained from the same clones 12 months after infection neutralized all variants tested, with IC50 values as low as 1 ng ml−1 against the RBD triple mutant K417N/E484K/N501Y found in B.1.351 (Fig. 4g, Supplementary Table 8).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe geometric mean ELISA EC50 of antibodies obtained 12 months after infection was 2.6 ng ml−1, significantly lower than after 6 months, independently of vaccination status.
“The geometric mean ELISA half-maximal concentration (EC50) of the antibodies obtained 12 months after infection was 2.6 ng ml−1, which was significantly lower than after 6 months, independently of vaccination status and suggestive of an increase in affinity (Fig. 3a, Extended Data Fig. 7a, b, Supplementary Tables 4, 5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong the 89 clones found 12 months after infection, 61% were not previously detected and 39% were present at one of the earlier time points.
“Among the 89 clones found 12 months after infection, 61% were not previously detected and 39% were present at one of the earlier time points (Fig. 2b, Extended Data Fig. 3d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationVaccination increased plasma RBD antibody levels in convalescent individuals, with IgG titres increasing by nearly 30-fold compared with unvaccinated individuals.
“Consistent with previous reports5–8, vaccination increased the plasma RBD antibody levels, with IgG titres increasing by nearly 30-fold compared with unvaccinated individuals (Fig. 1a, right).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [5] Goel, R. R. et al. Distinct antibody and memory B cell responses in SARS-CoV-2 naïve and recovered individuals following mRNA vaccination. Sci. Immunol. 6, eabi6950 (2021). 10 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [6] Saadat, S. et al. Binding and neutralization antibody titers after a single vaccine dose in health care workers previously infected with SARS-CoV-2. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 325, 1467–1469 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Krammer, F. et al. Antibody responses in seropositive persons after a single dose of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine. N. Engl. J. Med. 384, 1372–1374 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Reynolds, C. J. et al. Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection rescues B and T cell responses to variants after first vaccine dose. Science eabh1282 (2021).
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe overall increase in neutralizing activity among conserved clones was owing to accumulation of clones expressing antibodies with potent neutralizing activity and simultaneous loss of clones expressing antibodies with no measurable activity (P = 0.028).
“The overall increase in neutralizing activity among conserved clones was owing to accumulation of clones expressing antibodies with potent neutralizing activity and simultaneous loss of clones expressing antibodies with no measurable activity (P = 0.028) (Fig. 3b, bottom right).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationPersistent clones expand without accumulating large numbers of additional mutations, indicating that clonal expansion of human memory B cells does not require re-entry into germinal centres and occurs in the activated B cell compartment.
“The persistent clones expand without accumulating large numbers of additional mutations, indicating that clonal expansion of human memory B cells does not require re-entry into germinal centres and occurs in the activated B cell compartment17,27–31.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 6 sources checked- cites [17] Viant, C. et al. Antibody affinity shapes the choice between memory and germinal center B cell fates. Cell 183, 1298–1311 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [27] Elsner, R. A. & Shlomchik, M. J. Germinal center and extrafollicular b cell responses in vaccination, immunity, and autoimmunity. Immunity 53, 1136–1150 (2020). source
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- cites [28] Lau, A. W. & Brink, R. Selection in the germinal center. Curr. Opin. Immunol. 63, 29–34 (2020). source
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- cites [29] Victora, G. D. & Nussenzweig, M. C. Germinal centers. Annu. Rev. Immunol. 30, 429–457 (2012). source
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- cites [30] Inoue, T., Moran, I., Shinnakasu, R., Phan, T. G. & Kurosaki, T. Generation of memory B cells and their reactivation. Immunol. Rev. 283, 138–149 (2018). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [31] Taylor, J. J., Pape, K. A., Steach, H. R. & Jenkins, M. K. Humoral immunity. Apoptosis and antigen affinity limit effector cell differentiation of a single naïve B cell. Science 347, 784–787 (2015 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf memory responses evolve in a similar manner in naive individuals who receive vaccines, additional appropriately timed boosting with available vaccines should lead to protective immunity against circulating variants.
“If memory responses evolve in a similar manner in naive individuals who receive vaccines, additional appropriately timed boosting with available vaccines should lead to protective immunity against circulating variants.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 63 convalescent participants are representative of the broader population of individuals who have recovered from COVID-19.
- Rests on an assumption: Neutralizing antibody titres are a correlate of protection against SARS-CoV-2 variants in vivo.
- Rests on an assumption: In vitro neutralization breadth measured with pseudotyped viruses predicts protection against authentic circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataContinued clonal evolution of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies over 12 months favours increasing potency and breadth, resulting in monoclonal antibodies with exceptional activity against a wide group of variants.
“In conclusion, continued clonal evolution of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies over 12 months favours increasing potency and breadth, resulting in monoclonal antibodies with exceptional activity against a wide group of variants.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAmong 174 tested antibodies, 173 bound to RBD, indicating that the flow cytometry method used to identify B cells expressing anti-RBD antibodies was efficient.
“Among the 174 antibodies tested, 173 bound to RBD, indicating that the flow cytometry method used to identify B cells expressing anti-RBD antibodies was efficient (Supplementary Tables 4, 5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataSARS-CoV-2 infection produces a memory compartment that continues to evolve more than 12 months after infection with accumulation of somatic mutations, emergence of new clones and increasing affinity.
“SARS-CoV-2 infection produces a memory compartment that continues to evolve more than 12 months after infection with accumulation of somatic mutations, emergence of new clones and increasing affinity, all of which are consistent with long-term persistence of germinal centres.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Antibody sequences obtained from 10 individuals are representative of the memory B cell repertoire.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataNeutralizing antibodies are retained and non-neutralizing antibodies targeting RBD surfaces that do not interact with ACE2 are removed from the repertoire over time.
“We conclude that neutralizing antibodies are retained and non-neutralizing antibodies targeting RBD surfaces that do not interact with ACE2 are removed from the repertoire over time.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAnti-RBD memory B cells are the most numerous and potent memory B cells.
“Although antibodies to the N-terminal domain and other parts of S can also be neutralizing, we limited our analysis to memory B cells that produce anti-RBD antibodies because they are the most numerous and potent18,19.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [18] Rogers, T. F. et al. Isolation of potent SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies and protection from disease in a small animal model. Science 369, 956–963 (2020). source
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- cites [19] Kreer, C. et al. Longitudinal isolation of potent near-germline SARS-CoV-2-neutralizing antibodies from COVID-19 patients. Cell 182, 1663–1673 (2020). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe investigators were not blinded to allocation during experiments and outcome assessment.
“the investigators were not blinded to allocation during experiments and outcome assessment”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationInfection with SARS-CoV-2 leads to persistent anti-RBD antibodies in serum and corresponding neutralizing responses.
“Consistent with the longevity of bone marrow plasma cells, infection with SARS-CoV-2 leads to persistent anti-RBD antibodies in serum, and corresponding neutralizing responses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [33] Petersen, M. S. et al. SARS-CoV-2 natural antibody response persists up to 12 months in a nationwide study from the Faroe Islands. Preprint at https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.19.21255720 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [34] Li, C. et al. Twelve-month specific IgG response to SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain among COVID-19 convalescent plasma donors in Wuhan. Preprint at https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.05.437224 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe experiments were not randomized.
“The experiments were not randomized”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationContinued antibody evolution in germinal centres requires antigen, which can be retained in these structures over long periods of time.
“Continued antibody evolution in germinal centres requires antigen, which can be retained in these structures over long periods of time29.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] Victora, G. D. & Nussenzweig, M. C. Germinal centers. Annu. Rev. Immunol. 30, 429–457 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAll experiments were performed at least in duplicate.
“All experiments were performed at least in duplicate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataA two-sided binomial test was used to test whether the number of sequences belonging to a specific IgHV or IgLV gene in the repertoire differed from the frequency of the same IgV gene in the database, with P values adjusted using false discovery rate correction.
“We used the two-sided binomial test to check whether the number of sequences belonging to a specific IgHV or IgLV gene in the repertoire is different according to the frequency of the same IgV gene in the database. Adjusted P values were calculated using the false discovery rate (FDR) correction.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenNo statistical methods were used to predetermine the sample size of the study.
“No statistical methods were used to predetermine sample size.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe memory B cell compartment accumulates mutations and undergoes clonal evolution over the initial six months after infection.
“The memory B cell compartment accumulates mutations and undergoes clonal evolution over the initial six months after infection4,9,21,22.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [4] Gaebler, C. et al. Evolution of antibody immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Nature 591, 639–644 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9] Muecksch, F. et al. Development of potency, breadth and resilience to viral escape mutations in SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies. Preprint at https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.07.434227 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [21] Sokal, A. et al. Maturation and persistence of the anti-SARS-CoV-2 memory B cell response. Cell 184, 1201–1213 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [22] Sakharkar, M. et al. Prolonged evolution of the human B cell response to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Sci. Immunol. 6, eabg6916 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenRelative luminescence units in the pseudotyped virus neutralization assay were normalized to those from cells infected with SARS-CoV-2 pseudotyped virus in the absence of plasma or monoclonal antibodies.
“The obtained relative luminescence units were normalized to those derived from cells infected with SARS-CoV-2 pseudotyped virus in the absence of plasma or monoclonal antibodies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSARS-CoV-2 protein and nucleic acids have been reported to remain in the gut for at least two months after infection.
“In addition, SARS-CoV-2 protein and nucleic acids have been reported to remain in the gut for at least two months after infection4.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Gaebler, C. et al. Evolution of antibody immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Nature 591, 639–644 (2021). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenA positive control (plasma from participant COV72) was added to every ELISA assay plate for validation, and the average of its signal was used to normalize all other values on the same plate.
“a positive control (plasma from participant COV72, diluted 66.6-fold and seven additional threefold serial dilutions in PBS) was added to every assay plate for validation. The average of its signal was used for normalization of all of the other values on the same plate”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe primers and probes used to amplify reverse-transcribed cDNA were validated by the CDC or by Columbia University Personalized Medicine Genomics Laboratory and approved by the FDA under the Emergency Use Authorization.
“Reverse-transcribed cDNA was amplified using primers and probes validated by the CDC or by Columbia University Personalized Medicine Genomics Laboratory, respectively and approved by the FDA under the Emergency Use Authorization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The 63 convalescent participants are representative of the broader population of individuals who have recovered from COVID-19.
“Here we report on a cohort of 63 individuals who have recovered from COVID-19 assessed at 1.3, 6.2 and 12 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, 41% of whom also received mRNA vaccines3,4.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Neutralizing antibody titres are a correlate of protection against SARS-CoV-2 variants in vivo.
“The data suggest that immunity in convalescent individuals will be very long lasting and that convalescent individuals who receive available mRNA vaccines will produce antibodies and memory B cells that should be protective against circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In vitro neutralization breadth measured with pseudotyped viruses predicts protection against authentic circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.
“Plasma neutralizing activity in 63 participants was measured using a human immunodeficiency virus 1 (HIV-1) pseudotyped with the SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) protein3,4,13”
The paper relies on this without support.
The mRNA vaccines used (Moderna mRNA-1273 and Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2) are representative of available mRNA vaccines.
“26 (41%) had received at least one dose of either the Moderna (mRNA-1273) or Pfizer-BioNTech (BNT162b2) vaccines”
The paper relies on this without support.
Antibody sequences obtained from 10 individuals are representative of the memory B cell repertoire.
“we obtained 1,105 paired antibody heavy- and light-chain sequences from 10 individuals who were also assessed at the earlier time points, 6 of whom were vaccinated”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
mRNA vaccines induced robust circulating antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein and spike RBD, with distinct early response patterns in naïve and recovered individuals.
“As reported previously by our group and others, mRNA vaccines induced robust circulating antibody responses to the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein and spike RBD with distinct patterns of early response in SARS-CoV-2–naïve and –recovered individuals (Fig. 1B) (16, 34–36).”
From mRNA vaccines induce durable immune memory to SARS-CoV-2 and variants of concern (2021) · cites this paper as [36]
The levels of neutralizing mAbs elicited by the mRNA vaccines has been high and in most persons are likely to be maintained for many months above the levels required for protection against even the most resistant circulating variants.
“The levels of neutralizing mAbs elicited by the mRNA vaccines has been high and in most persons are likely to be maintained for many months above the levels required for protection against even the most resistant circulating variants 164,239,240 .”
From The biological and clinical significance of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants (2021) · cites this paper as [239]
The mRNA vaccines appear to often elicit memory B cells that undergo somatic hypermutation, which should broaden the response to viruses with variant spike proteins.
“In addition, the mRNA vaccines appear to often elicit memory B cells that undergo somatic hypermutation, which should broaden the response to viruses with variant spike proteins 239,240 .”
From The biological and clinical significance of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants (2021) · cites this paper as [239]
Convalescent individuals develop B cell lineages that mature over time, increasing their activity against SARS-CoV-2 variants.
“Convalescent individuals develop B cell lineages that mature over time, increasing their activity against SARS-CoV-2 variants (27).”
From Durability of mRNA-1273 vaccine–induced antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants (2021) · cites this paper as [27]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
One of the 174 tested antibodies did not bind RBD
MinorThe paper states that 173 of 174 tested antibodies bound RBD, but later calls all 174 RBD-binding antibodies.
“Among the 174 antibodies tested, 173 bound to RBD”
“All 174 RBD binding antibodies obtained from the 12-month time point were tested for neutralizing activity in a SARS-CoV-2 pseudotype-neutralization assay.”
Memory B-cell increase is described as both 8.6-fold and greater than tenfold
MinorAn 8.6-fold average increase is less than an order of magnitude, not more than one.
“individuals who recovered from COVID-19 and received mRNA vaccines showed an average increase of 8.6-fold in the number of circulating RBD-specific memory B cells”
“Vaccination after SARS-CoV-2 infection increases the number of RBD-binding memory cells by more than an order of magnitude”
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- Authors
- Wang, Z., Muecksch, F., Schaefer-Babajew, D., Finkin, S., Viant, C., Gaebler, C., Hoffmann, H. H., Barnes, C. O., Cipolla, M., Ramos, V., Oliveira, T. Y., Cho, A., Schmidt, F., Da Silva, J., Bednarski, E., Aguado, L., Yee, J., Daga, M., Turroja, M., Millard, K. G., Jankovic, M., Gazumyan, A., Zhao, Z., Rice, C. M., Bieniasz, P. D., Caskey, M., Hatziioannou, T., & Nussenzweig, M. C.
- Affiliations
- Rockefeller University (US)
- California Institute of Technology (US)
- Weill Cornell Medicine (US)
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Bieniasz, Paul D.
- Caskey, Marina
- Nussenzweig, Michel C.
- ORCID
- Wang, Zijun
- Muecksch, Frauke
- Schaefer-Babajew, Dennis
- Finkin, Shlomo
- Viant, Charlotte
- Gaebler, Christian
- Barnes, Christopher O.
- Cipolla, Melissa
- Ramos, Victor
- Oliveira, Thiago Y.
- Cho, Alice
- Schmidt, Fabian
- Bednarski, Eva
- Aguado, Lauren
- Yee, Jim
- Daga, Mridushi
- Turroja, Martina
- Millard, Katrina G.
- Gazumyan, Anna
- Zhao, Zhen
- Rice, Charles M.
- Bieniasz, Paul D.
- Caskey, Marina
- Hatziioannou, Theodora
- Nussenzweig, Michel C.
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2021-06-14
- Volume
- 595
- Issue
- 7867
- Pages
- 426-431
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- PMC
- PMC8277577
- OpenAlex
- W3167555428
- Semantic Scholar
- 0f7808971438f11ba057dd2209a3aa8f4c8d28c8
- Cited by
- 721
- References
- 63
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 41 · 2024: 71 · 2023: 150 · 2022: 281 · 2021: 154 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 51.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
- CaltechAUTHORS (California Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute (UL1TR001866)
- George Mason University (3 R01-AI091707-10S1)
- California Institute of Technology
- Wellcome Trust
- Fast Grants
- National Institutes of Health (P01-AI138398-S1, COVID-19, TR001866, UL1TR001866)
- Beckman Institute, California Institute of Technology
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (R01AI091707, R01AI078788, U19AI111825, R37AI064003)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (TR001866)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Immune responses and vaccinations
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › vaccines and immunoinformatics approaches
- Keywords
- SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 pandemic, natural immunity, convalescent patients, neutralizing antibodies, receptor binding domain, memory B cells, mRNA vaccines, variants of concern, monoclonal antibodies
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-06.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-06.
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