Locus for severity implicates CNS resilience in progression of multiple sclerosis
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disease of the central nervous system (CNS) that results in significant neurodegeneration in the majority of those affected and is a common cause of chronic neurological disability in young adults^ 1 , 2 . Here, to provide insight into the potential mechanisms involved in progression, we conducted a genome-wide association study of the age-related MS severity score in 12,584 cases and replicated our findings in a further 9,805 cases. We identified a significant association with rs10191329 in the DYSF–ZNF638 locus, the risk allele of which is associated with a shortening in the median time to requiring a walking aid of a median of 3.7 years in homozygous carriers and with increased brainstem and cortical pathology in brain tissue. We also identified suggestive association with rs149097173 in the DNM3–PIGC locus and significant heritability enrichment in CNS tissues. Mendelian randomization analyses suggested a potential protective role for higher educational attainment. In contrast to immune-driven susceptibility^ 3 , these findings suggest a key role for CNS resilience and potentially neurocognitive reserve in determining outcome in MS. A genome-wide association study including 22,389 cases of multiple sclerosis finds an association with disease progression at the DYSF–ZNF638 and DNM3–PIGC loci and identifies a potential of higher educational attainment in slowing disease progression.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This genome-wide association study of multiple sclerosis severity in 12,584 discovery cases and 9,805 replication cases identified rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus as a genome-wide significant modifier of long-term disability. The findings implicate CNS resilience and neurocognitive reserve, rather than immune susceptibility, in MS progression.
Key findings
- rs10191329 in DYSF-ZNF638 reached genome-wide significance in meta-analysis (P = 3.6×10⁻⁹); the risk allele shortened median time to requiring a walking aid by up to 3.7 years and was associated with faster 24-week confirmed disability worsening (HR = 1.1, 95% CI 1.02–1.18, P = 7.9×10⁻³).
- Homozygous rs10191329 risk carriers had 1.83-fold more brainstem lesions (95% CI 1.09–3.06, P = 0.023) and a 1.76-fold higher rate of cortical lesions (95% CI 1.15–2.69, P = 0.001).
- rs149097173 in DNM3-PIGC showed suggestive association (P = 2.3×10⁻⁷) and replicated at P = 0.010 but did not reach genome-wide significance; it was associated with a 3.3-year shorter median time to requiring a walking aid in sensitivity analysis.
- SNP-based heritability for MS severity was 0.13 (s.e. 0.04), with significant enrichment exclusively in CNS tissues; Mendelian randomization supported higher educational attainment as protective (β = −0.15, P = 0.005) and heavier smoking as detrimental (β = 0.23, P = 0.005), with no causal role for 25-hydroxyvitamin D or BMI.
Methods
- Discovery GWAS used age-related MS severity score (ARMSS) in 12,584 European-ancestry MS cases from 21 cohorts, analyzing 7.8 million autosomal variants with MAF > 0.01; replication tested variants in 9,805 cases from nine independent cohorts, with fixed-effects meta-analysis.
- Longitudinal analyses included 8,325 patients with EDSS at three or more timepoints (54,113 visits up to 13.9 years), using generalized linear mixed models and Cox proportional hazards models for 24-week confirmed disability worsening and time to EDSS 6.0.
- Neuropathology analyses used 4,652 tissue blocks from 290 autopsy cases; additional analyses included LD score regression for heritability/tissue enrichment, fine-mapping, gene prioritization, polygenic scores, and two-sample Mendelian randomization for education, smoking, BMI, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
Limitations
- The paper states that EDSS has shortcomings including non-linear ordinal nature, rater variability, overemphasis on ambulation, and inadequate capture of cognitive impairment; survival events were observed only at clinic visits, not in real time.
- The paper notes that Mendelian randomization assumes linearity and may not apply at trait extremes, collider bias is possible, horizontal pleiotropy cannot be entirely excluded, and genetic predisposition for education/smoking may not equal environmental modification; broader social determinants were not tested.
- The text also makes evident that the autopsy cohort was too small for meaningful analysis of rs149097173, and the African-American and Hispanic analyses were underpowered and imprecise.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
48 of 61 cited sources checked · 27 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationreasoning
An independent genetic architecture determines the clinical course of MS.
“These findings, together with the concordance for outcome within families7, suggest that an independent genetic architecture determines the clinical course of the disease”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Chataway, J. et al. Multiple sclerosis in sibling pairs: an analysis of 250 families. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry 71, 757–761 (2001). source
- Premisecitation
MS susceptibility risk variants do not appear to have any impact on disease severity.
“Although these risk variants have been found to reduce the age at onset5, it is notable that they do not appear to have any impact on disease severity6.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [5] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Genetic risk and a primary role for cell-mediated immune mechanisms in multiple sclerosis. Nature 476, 214–219 (2011). source
- cites [6] George, M. F. et al. Multiple sclerosis risk loci and disease severity in 7,125 individuals from 10 studies. Neurol. Genet. 2, e87 (2016). source
The Discussion (page unavailable) says that 52 established non-MHC MS risk variants were not convincingly shown to affect severity measured by MSSS. The claim extends that finding to susceptibility risk variants generally and to any impact on disease severity; the paper notes that modest effects and other severity outcomes remain possible. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
Repeating the heritability enrichment analysis for MS susceptibility revealed strong enrichment in lymphoid organs, immune lymphoid and myeloid cells, and tissues with immunological functions.
“In contrast, repeating the same analysis for MS susceptibility3 revealed strong enrichment in lymphoid organs, immune lymphoid and myeloid cells, as well as in tissues with recognized immunological functions and microbiota interactions (pharynx, lung, terminal ileum and endocervix; Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table 8).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Multiple sclerosis genomic map implicates peripheral immune cells and microglia in susceptibility. Science 365, eaav7188 (2019). source
- Interpretationown data
These findings indicate a key role of CNS resilience and neurocognitive reserve in determining outcome in MS.
“In contrast to immune-driven susceptibility3, these findings indicate a key role of CNS resilience and neurocognitive reserve in determining outcome in MS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Multiple sclerosis genomic map implicates peripheral immune cells and microglia in susceptibility. Science 365, eaav7188 (2019). source
- Findingown data
Partitioned heritability analysis by functional annotation with 53 categories did not identify strong enrichment in any category after correction for multiple testing.
“Partitioned heritability analysis by functional annotation with 53 categories14 did not identify strong enrichment in any category after correction for multiple testing (Supplementary Table 6), likely due to insufficient power.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Finucane, H. K. et al. Partitioning heritability by functional annotation using genome-wide association summary statistics. Nat. Genet. 47, 1228–1235 (2015). source
- Findingown data
The lead variant rs10191329 (MAF = 0.17) was not close to or in LD with any of the lead MS susceptibility variants.
“The lead variant rs10191329 (MAF = 0.17) was not close to (> 3 Mb) or in LD with (r2 ≤ 0.006) any of the lead MS susceptibility variants3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Multiple sclerosis genomic map implicates peripheral immune cells and microglia in susceptibility. Science 365, eaav7188 (2019). source
The Discovery and replication of genetic associations section reports MS susceptibility variants, but the passages do not identify rs10191329 or compare its distance or linkage disequilibrium with those variants. Searches for rs10191329 and the stated distance and LD values found no passage addressing that comparison. (LLM, conf=0.74)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
rs10191329 displayed a methylation quantitative trait locus effect in the promoter region of DYSF in the dorsolateral prefrontal cerebral cortex.
“This variant also displayed a methylation quantitative trait locus (QTL) effect in the promoter region of DYSF (ENSR00001922663) in the dorsolateral prefrontal cerebral cortex21 (Supplementary Table 13).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [21] Ng, B. et al. An xQTL map integrates the genetic architecture of the human brain’s transcriptome and epigenome. Nat. Neurosci. 20, 1418–1426 (2017). source
The Introduction and Results > xQTL Discovery describe methylation QTL analyses in dorsolateral prefrontal cortex tissue. However, searches for rs10191329, DYSF, and ENSR00001922663 found no passage in our copy identifying the claimed variant–promoter methylation effect. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
The lead variant rs149097173 did not overlap with known MS susceptibility loci.
“The lead variant (rs149097173) did not overlap with known MS susceptibility loci3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Multiple sclerosis genomic map implicates peripheral immune cells and microglia in susceptibility. Science 365, eaav7188 (2019). source
The Discovery and replication of genetic associations section describes MS susceptibility regions and prioritized SNPs, but the retrieved passages do not mention rs149097173 or locate it relative to previously known loci. Searches for the variant identifier and for overlap with known loci did not establish the claimed non-overlap. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
Statistical fine-mapping supported the replicated lead variants to be causal at their respective loci (rs10191329 PIP = 0.75, rs149097173 PIP = 0.95).
“Statistical fine-mapping16 supported the replicated lead variants to be causal at their respective loci (rs10191329 posterior inclusion probability (PIP) = 0.75, rs149097173 PIP = 0.95; Supplementary Fig. 5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] Benner, C. et al. FINEMAP: efficient variable selection using summary data from genome-wide association studies. Bioinformatics 32, 1493–1501 (2016). source
- Interpretationcitation
The magnitude of the effect on time to needing a walking aid matches that of treatment with a disease modifying agent such as beta-interferon.
“Although not comparable in terms of likely mechanism, the magnitude of this effect matches that of treatment with a disease modifying agent such as beta-interferon35.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Palace, J. et al. Assessing the long-term effectiveness of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate in multiple sclerosis: final 10-year results from the UK multiple sclerosis risk-sharing scheme. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry 90, 251–260 (2019). source
- Findingcitation
These prioritized genes were differentially expressed in MS brain lesion types relative to control white matter.
“These prioritized genes were differentially expressed in MS brain lesion types relative to control white matter26,27 (Supplementary Note, Supplementary Fig. 6).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [26] Jäkel, S. et al. Altered human oligodendrocyte heterogeneity in multiple sclerosis. Nature 566, 543–547 (2019). source
The Methods section, ‘Differential expression analysis between MS Lesions and Control’ (page unavailable), describes a differential-expression analysis of oligodendrocyte-lineage cells. The passage comparing lesion types with control white matter (page unavailable) reports expression differences for several named genes. Our copy does not establish that those genes are the citing document’s ‘prioritized genes,’ so it supports the general finding but not that specific identification. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [27] Absinta, M. et al. A lymphocyte-microglia-astrocyte axis in chronic active multiple sclerosis. Nature 597, 709–714 (2021). source
The section “MIMS and AIMS at the chronic active lesion edge” reports genes differentially expressed at that edge relative to control white matter. Extended Data Fig. 9 also maps a list of prioritized MS susceptibility genes, but does not establish that the citing document’s prioritized genes were differentially expressed across MS lesion types. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationreasoning
The findings may partly explain why immunosuppressive therapies have thus far had little or no effect on disability accumulation in progressive MS trials.
“It may also partly explain why immunosuppressive therapies have thus far had little or no effect on disability accumulation in progressive MS trials4.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Hauser, S. L. & Cree, B. A. C. Treatment of multiple sclerosis: a review. Am. J. Med. 133, 1380–1390.e2 (2020). source
- Interpretationcitation
The null MR result for BMI agrees with a recent prospective study that found no association between BMI and clinical disability.
“This agrees with the inconclusive results of randomized trials of vitamin D supplementation in MS46 and a recent prospective study that found no association between BMI and clinical disability47.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [47] Manuel Escobar, J. et al. Body mass index as a predictor of MS activity and progression among participants in BENEFIT. Mult. Scler. 28, 1277–1285 (2022). source
- Findingcitation
Cell expression of ZNF638 was proportionally enriched in control brain tissue and chronic inactive MS lesions compared to other MS lesions.
“Moreover, cell expression of ZNF638 was proportionally enriched in control brain tissue and chronic inactive MS lesions compared to other MS lesions26.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] Jäkel, S. et al. Altered human oligodendrocyte heterogeneity in multiple sclerosis. Nature 566, 543–547 (2019). source
The passage discussing lesion markers reports that the proportion of cells expressing several genes was enriched in control white matter and chronic inactive lesions, but not other lesions. It does not name ZNF638 among those genes, and a search for ZNF638 found no supporting passage in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
In single-nucleus RNA sequencing from brain white matter areas in MS patients and controls, ZNF638 was preferentially expressed in an oligodendrocyte cluster with a predicted actively myelinating phenotype.
“In single-nucleus RNA sequencing from brain white matter areas in MS patients and controls, ZNF638 was preferentially expressed in an oligodendrocyte cluster with a predicted actively myelinating phenotype26.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] Jäkel, S. et al. Altered human oligodendrocyte heterogeneity in multiple sclerosis. Nature 566, 543–547 (2019). source
The paper reports single-nucleus RNA sequencing of white matter from controls and people with MS (Abstract; page unavailable). It also describes Oligo3 and Oligo4 as clusters predicted by gene-ontology analysis to be actively myelinating (Abstract; page unavailable). Our copy does not identify ZNF638 as preferentially expressed in either cluster, so the gene-specific finding is not supported. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationown data
The observation of distinct tissue enrichment for MS severity versus susceptibility is unique to MS.
“Although divergent genetic determinants of susceptibility and progression have been noted in other conditions8,9,36, the observation of distinct tissue enrichment is to our knowledge unique to MS.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [8] Lee, J. C. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies distinct genetic contributions to prognosis and susceptibility in Crohn’s disease. Nat. Genet. 49, 262–268 (2017). source
- cites [9] Liu, G. et al. Genome-wide survival study identifies a novel synaptic locus and polygenic score for cognitive progression in Parkinson’s disease. Nat. Genet. 53, 787–793 (2021). source
- cites [36] van Rheenen, W. et al. Common and rare variant association analyses in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis identify 15 risk loci with distinct genetic architectures and neuron-specific biology. Nat. Genet. 53, 1636–1648 (2021). source
- Findingcitation
PIGC is expressed in neuronal and glial cells including oligodendrocyte lineage cells in brain white matter tissue.
“Single nuclear RNA expression from 4 progressive MS patients and 5 non-neurological controls26 confirms PIGC expression in neuronal and glial cells including oligodendrocyte lineage cells.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] Jäkel, S. et al. Altered human oligodendrocyte heterogeneity in multiple sclerosis. Nature 566, 543–547 (2019). source
The paper reports single-nucleus RNA sequencing of white matter from four people with progressive MS and five non-neurological controls (Abstract; page unavailable). It identifies neuronal and glial cell clusters, including oligodendrocyte-lineage cells, but our copy does not report PIGC expression in those cells (searched: “PIGC” and a cell-type expression paraphrase). (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
The risk allele at rs10191329 increases brainstem and cortical pathology in brain tissue.
“increasing brainstem and cortical pathology in brain tissue”
- Also stated in: § Severity locus impacts CNS tissue injury · plain
“homozygous carriers displayed a 1.83-fold higher number of lesions in the brainstem (95% CI 1.09 to 3.06, P = 0.023; Methods), as well as a 1.76-fold higher rate of cortical lesions across sampled supratentorial tissue (95% CI 1.15 to 2.69, P = 0.001; Fig. 4)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Severity locus impacts CNS tissue injury · plain
- Findingown data
There is significant enrichment for MS severity heritability in CNS tissues across multiple brain regions and the C1 segment of the cervical spinal cord.
“significant enrichment for expression in CNS tissues”
- Also stated in: § Heritability and tissue enrichment · plain
“We observed a significant enrichment, adjusted for multiple testing, exclusively in CNS tissues across multiple brain regions and the C1 segment of the cervical spinal cord (Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table 7).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Heritability and tissue enrichment · plain
- Findingown data
A suggestive association with rs149097173 in the DNM3-PIGC locus was identified (P=2.3×10−7).
“We also identified suggestive association with rs149097173 in the DNM3-PIGC locus (P=2.3×10−7)”
- Also stated in: § Discovery of an MS severity locus · hedged
“A suggestive association signal in the DNM3-PIGC locus replicated (P = 0.010) but did not reach genome-wide significance in the combined analysis (P = 2.3×10−7, Table 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discovery of an MS severity locus · hedged
- Findingown data
The risk allele at rs10191329 shortens the median time to require a walking aid by up to 3.7 years.
“the risk allele shortening the median time to require a walking aid by up to 3.7 years”
- Also stated in: § Modifiers of longitudinal outcomes in MS · plain
“In homozygous carriers, the lead variant also conferred a 3.7-year shorter median time to using a walking aid (EDSS 6.0; HR = 1.22, 95% CI 1.09–1.38, P = 9.3×10−4; Fig. 3c)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Modifiers of longitudinal outcomes in MS · plain
- Findingown data
Mendelian randomization analyses indicated a protective role for higher educational attainment in MS severity.
“Mendelian randomization analyses indicated a protective role for higher educational attainment.”
- Also stated in: § Education, smoking modulate MS severity · hedged
“the main inverse-variance weighted MR estimate provided support for an association between higher years of education and milder MS severity (β = −0.15, PIVW = 0.005)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Education, smoking modulate MS severity · hedged
- Findingown data
A genome-wide association study of the age-related MS severity score in 12,584 cases identified a significant association with rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus (P=3.6×10−9).
“We identified a significant association with rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus (P=3.6×10−9)”
- Also stated in: § Discovery of an MS severity locus · plain
“The DYSF–ZNF638 locus was confirmed in the replication population and retained genome-wide significance in fixed-effects meta-analysis (P = 3.6×10−9, Table 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discovery of an MS severity locus · plain
- Findingown data
The SNP-based heritability estimate for MS severity for variants with MAF > 0.01 is 0.13 (s.e. 0.04).
“The SNP-based heritability estimate (h2SNP) for variants with a MAF > 0.01 was 0.13 (s.e. 0.04) (Supplementary Table 5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Eleven additional loci showed suggestive association with ARMSS score (P < 5×10−6).
“Eleven additional loci showed suggestive association with ARMSS score (P < 5×10−6; Fig. 2), thereby identifying 12 independent loci that were brought forward for replication”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
DYSF-ZNF638 risk allele carriers displayed faster disability progression in a generalized linear mixed model analysis of serial EDSS across all visits (P = 0.002).
“A generalized linear mixed model (LMM) analysis of serial EDSS across all visits revealed that DYSF–ZNF638 risk allele carriers displayed faster disability progression (P = 0.002; Fig. 3a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The ten other suggestive loci were not replicated.
“The ten other suggestive loci were not replicated.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There is only weak non-significant genetic correlation between MS severity and susceptibility (rg = 0.17, p = 0.25).
“First, we observed only weak non-significant genetic correlation between MS severity and susceptibility (rg = 0.17, p = 0.25).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Adding a polygenic score of genome-wide significant MS susceptibility variants to a regression of ARMSS score on baseline covariates yielded a weak but statistically significant positive correlation (incremental R2 = 0.001, P = 7.1×10−5).
“We found a weak but statistically significant positive correlation with ARMSS score (incremental R2 = 0.001, P = 7.1×10−5) across MHC and non-MHC regions (Supplementary Fig. 8).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A polygenic score for MS severity was not associated with other neurological diseases in the UK Biobank.
“A polygenic score (PGS) for MS severity was not associated with other neurological diseases in the UK Biobank (Supplementary Note).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Conditional and joint analysis did not identify secondary signals at the DYSF-ZNF638 locus.
“Conditional and joint analysis did not identify secondary signals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Even after adjusting for indicators of socioeconomic status and their interactions, years of education remained associated with MS severity.
“Even after adjusting for these indicators and their interactions, years of education remained associated with MS severity (Fig. 5b–e, Supplementary Tables 20 and 21, Methods).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Carriage of the low frequency risk allele rs149097173T at the DNM3-PIGC locus was nominally associated with accelerated disability accrual (P = 0.041).
“Carriage of the low frequency (MAF = 0.01) risk allele rs149097173T at the DNM3-PIGC locus was only nominally associated with accelerated disability accrual (P = 0.041)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In African-American (n = 1,407) and Hispanic (n = 1,718) cohorts, the associations of rs10191329 and rs149097173 with severity were not significant.
“In addition, we examined rs10191329 and rs149097173 for their association with severity in African-American (n = 1,407) and Hispanic (n = 1,718) cohorts. Results were not significant, but the analysis was limited by a lack of statistical power owing to small sample size (median 28%) compounded by substantial imprecision in outcome measures”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Predicted expression of ZNF638 in the dorsolateral prefrontal cerebral cortex associated with MS severity (Z = 3.1, P = 0.002).
“Predicted expression of ZNF638 in the dorsolateral prefrontal cerebral cortex also associated with MS severity (Z = 3.1, P = 0.002; Methods).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The proportion of susceptibility variants showing concordant direction of effect in the severity GWAS was not different from that expected by chance (Pbinom = 0.097).
“Next, the proportion of susceptibility variants showing concordant direction of effect in the severity GWAS was not different from that expected by chance (Pbinom = 0.097).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Comparing individuals in the highest PGSMS quartile to those in the lowest, there were no differences in their longitudinal outcomes.
“Comparing individuals in the highest PGSMS quartile to those in the lowest, we detected no differences in their longitudinal outcomes (Extended Data Fig. 10).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Carriage of rs149097173T was nominally associated with faster 24-week confirmed disability worsening (HR = 1.29, 95% CI 1.02-1.65, P = 0.037).
“faster 24-week confirmed disability worsening (HR = 1.29, 95% CI 1.02–1.65, P = 0.037)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The main inverse-variance weighted MR estimate provided support for an association between higher years of education and milder MS severity (β = −0.15, PIVW = 0.005).
“the main inverse-variance weighted MR estimate provided support for an association between higher years of education and milder MS severity (β = −0.15, PIVW = 0.005)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The main inverse-variance weighted MR estimate provided support for an association between heavier smoking and worse MS severity (β = 0.23, PIVW = 0.005).
“and between heavier smoking and worse MS severity (β = 0.23, PIVW = 0.005; Fig. 5a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
None of the susceptibility variants showed consistent nominal association (P < 0.05) across outcomes.
“Furthermore, none showed consistent nominal association (P < 0.05) across outcomes (Extended Data Fig. 9d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Homozygous carriers of rs10191329 displayed a 1.76-fold higher rate of cortical lesions across sampled supratentorial tissue (95% CI 1.15 to 2.69, P = 0.001).
“as well as a 1.76-fold higher rate of cortical lesions across sampled supratentorial tissue (95% CI 1.15 to 2.69, P = 0.001; Fig. 4)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The association with education persisted in multivariable MR adjusting for smoking (β = −0.13, P = 0.04).
“The association with education persisted in multivariable MR adjusting for smoking (β = −0.13, P = 0.04).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The risk allele rs10191329A at the DYSF-ZNF638 locus was associated with faster 24-week confirmed disability worsening (HR = 1.1 per unit increase in allele dosage, 95% CI 1.02-1.18, P = 7.9×10−3).
“adjusted Cox proportional hazards analyses showed that the risk allele rs10191329A at the DYSF–ZNF638 locus was associated with faster 24-week confirmed disability worsening (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.1 per unit increase in allele dosage, 95% CI 1.02–1.18, P = 7.9×10−3; Fig. 3b)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Reverse analysis did not support an effect of genetic liability to MS severity on the traits considered.
“Reverse analysis did not support an effect of genetic liability to MS severity on the traits considered (Supplementary Table 19).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
DNM3 is preferentially expressed in the CNS, specifically in neurons and oligodendrocyte lineage cells.
“is preferentially expressed in the CNS, specifically in neurons and oligodendrocyte lineage cells (Extended Data Fig. 5 and 6).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
A sensitivity analysis revealed a statistically significant association with time to sustained EDSS 6.0 for rs149097173 that withstood correction for multiple testing (HR = 1.85, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.76, P = 0.0029).
“although a sensitivity analysis revealed a statistically significant association that withstood correction for multiple testing with time to sustained EDSS 6.0 (HR = 1.85, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.76, P = 0.0029; Methods)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Individually, none of the susceptibility variants influenced longitudinal disability outcomes after adjusting for the number tested.
“Individually, none of the variants influenced these outcomes after adjusting for the number tested (Extended Data Fig. 9a–c and Supplementary Table 22).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
After adjusting for age at onset, the effect of PGSMS on ARMSS score was substantially attenuated (incremental R2 = 3.9×10−4, P = 0.014).
“we repeated this analysis adjusting for age at onset and observed that the effect of PGSMS on ARMSS score was substantially attenuated (incremental R2 = 3.9×10−4, P = 0.014; Supplementary Fig. 8).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was a 3.3-year shorter median time to require a walking aid for risk allele carriers (for rs10191329, HR = 1.25, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.41, P = 0.0006).
“and a 3.3-year shorter median time to require a walking aid for risk allele carriers (for rs10191329, HR = 1.25, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.41, P = 0.0006).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Genome-wide, there is no evidence of a shared genetic contribution between MS severity and a range of neurological, psychiatric, and autoimmune disorders.
“Genome-wide, we found no evidence of a shared genetic contribution between MS severity and a range of neurological, psychiatric, and autoimmune disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Carriage of rs149097173T was nominally associated with shorter time to EDSS 6.0 (HR = 1.56, 95% CI 1.05-2.34, P = 0.029).
“shorter time to EDSS 6.0 (HR = 1.56, 95% CI 1.05–2.34, P = 0.029; Extended Data Fig. 4)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
An association signal in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus reached genome-wide significance in the discovery GWAS (P = 9.7×10−9).
“An association signal in the DYSF–ZNF638 locus reached genome-wide significance (P = 9.7×10−9; Fig. 2 and Table 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Cognitive phenotypes and aging traits displayed inverse genetic correlations with MS severity.
“In contrast, cognitive phenotypes and aging traits displayed inverse genetic correlations with MS severity (Extended Data Fig. 8 and Supplementary Table 17).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Homozygous carriers of rs10191329 displayed a 1.83-fold higher number of lesions in the brainstem (95% CI 1.09 to 3.06, P = 0.023).
“Pathologically, homozygous carriers displayed a 1.83-fold higher number of lesions in the brainstem (95% CI 1.09 to 3.06, P = 0.023; Methods)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Negative genetic correlations with cognitive traits and aging further support the role of neurocognitive reserve.
“This is further supported by negative genetic correlations with cognitive traits and aging, a factor previously implicated in MS progression immunology and neurobiology33.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
DNM3 expression is preferentially in oligodendrocytes lineage cells and neurons.
“As with other prioritized genes, expression is preferentially in oligodendrocytes lineage cells and neurons.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The prioritized MS severity genes displayed shared cell type specificity in oligodendrocyte lineage cells.
“Moreover, the prioritized MS severity genes displayed shared cell type specificity in oligodendrocyte lineage cells.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Our MR results do not support a causal role for BMI on MS severity.
“Our MR results do not support a causal role for serum 25OHD levels or BMI on MS severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.
- Findingown data
Our MR results do not support a causal role for serum 25OHD levels on MS severity.
“Our MR results do not support a causal role for serum 25OHD levels or BMI on MS severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.
- Findingcitation
DYSF is specifically expressed in oligodendrocytes and excitatory neurons.
“DYSF is also specifically expressed in oligodendrocytes and excitatory neurons, and the protein has been found to accumulate in Aβ-containing extracellular neuritic plaques, in proportion to Alzheimer’s disease severity44.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
rs149097173 is located in intron 20 of DNM3.
“The suggestive variant rs149097173 is located in intron 20 of DNM3, which encodes dynamin-3 and mediates synaptic vesicle endocytosis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The effect size was substantial, with 4 years of additional education predicted to reduce disability rank by a quintile.
“The effect size was substantial, with 4 years of additional education (equivalent to an undergraduate degree) predicted to reduce disability rank by a quintile.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
No individual MS susceptibility variant showed consistent association across three or more longitudinal disability outcomes.
“no variant showed consistent association across three or more outcomes”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
After removing population outliers, all remaining MS cases in the discovery and replication populations were of European ancestry.
“After removing population outliers, all remaining cases were of European ancestry.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Carriers of rs149097173 had a 2.2-year shorter median time to require a walking aid.
“carriers had a 2.2-year shorter median time to require a walking aid”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The association of rs149097173 with longitudinal disability outcomes was not significant after adjusting for multiple testing across two variants and three outcomes (P < 0.05/6).
“Results were not significant after adjusting for multiple testing across two variants (see Fig. 3 for rs10191329 associations) and three outcomes (P < 0.05/6)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The three longitudinal disability outcomes are not expected to be independent.
- Findingown data
Three of the nominated MS severity genes show specificity for oligodendrocyte lineage cells.
“We note that three of the genes show specificity for oligodendrocyte lineage cells.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Human Protein Atlas77
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
The MS susceptibility PGS had no influence on longitudinal disability outcomes across all analyses.
“Across all analyses, the MS susceptibility PGS had no influence on longitudinal outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The two MS severity variants rs10191329 and rs149097173 were successfully replicated with minimal heterogeneity between centers (n = 9,805 participants).
“Forest plots show successful replication of the two variants with minimal heterogeneity between centers as indicated by the Cochran’s Q and I2 statistics (n = 9,805 participants).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The risk allele at the DYSF-ZNF638 locus is associated with worse injury at key brain locations.
“confirming that the risk allele at the DYSF-ZNF638 locus is associated with worse injury at key brain locations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The direction of effect at the DYSF-ZNF638 locus was consistent across all replication centers without evidence of heterogeneity (Q-statistic = 1.5, P = 0.99; I2 = 0%).
“The direction of effect was consistent across all replication centers without evidence of heterogeneity (Q-statistic = 1.5, P = 0.99; I2 = 0%; Extended Data Fig. 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
This GWAS, including over 22,000 people with MS, identified the first genome-wide significant modifier of long-term outcome in MS.
“In this GWAS, which included over 22,000 people with MS, we have identified the first genome-wide significant modifier of long-term outcome in MS”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
These MR results were substantiated by pleiotropy-robust MR sensitivity analyses at different P value thresholds for instrument selection, in the absence of heterogeneity or outliers.
“These results were substantiated by pleiotropy-robust MR sensitivity analyses at different P value thresholds for instrument selection, in the absence of heterogeneity or outliers (Supplementary Table 19).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The cross-sectional GWAS of ARMSS scores showed only modest inflation of test statistics (λGC = 1.016).
“We observed only modest inflation of the test statistics (λGC = 1.016; Supplementary Fig. 4)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
These results for rs149097173 were not significant after correction for multiple testing (P > 0.05/6).
“These results were not significant after correction for multiple testing (P > 0.05/6)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Genetic susceptibility burden has little influence on cross-sectional and longitudinal outcomes outside of its effect on age at onset.
“Furthermore, we show that genetic susceptibility burden has little influence on cross-sectional and longitudinal outcomes outside of its effect on age at onset.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
There is no evidence that susceptibility variants exert a meaningful effect on the outcome of MS.
“In short, we found no evidence that susceptibility variants exert a meaningful effect on the outcome of the disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Convergent evidence supports a role, still to be determined, for ZNF638 in the CNS, including in the context of MS.
“Furthermore, convergent evidence supports a role, still to be determined, for ZNF638 in the CNS, including in the context of MS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
At least 13% of the variance in long-term MS severity can be attributed to common and low frequency single nucleotide variation.
“Our findings demonstrate that at least 13% of the variance in long-term MS severity can be attributed to common and low frequency single nucleotide variation, explaining some of the considerable variability in MS outcome.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The persistence of the education-MS severity association following adjustment for smoking and income may suggest direct biological effects.
“The persistence of this association following adjustment for smoking and income may suggest direct biological effects.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Our findings identify CNS resilience and reserve as likely determinants of MS progression.
“Our findings identify CNS resilience and reserve as likely determinants of MS progression, and may have broader implications for neurodegeneration.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Results were unchanged when using a LMM or untransformed ARMSS scores.
“Results were unchanged when using a LMM or untransformed ARMSS scores (Supplementary Table 23).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Neuronal and glial mechanisms are key determinants of MS progression.
“This strongly implicates neuronal and glial mechanisms as key determinants of MS progression”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Our results provide evidence for a causal effect of smoking on worsening disability.
“In contrast, our results provide evidence for a causal effect of smoking on worsening disability, in line with strong observational evidence of faster disability progression in smokers that reverses following cessation48.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.
- Interpretationcitation
The null MR result for serum 25OHD agrees with inconclusive results of randomized trials of vitamin D supplementation in MS.
“This agrees with the inconclusive results of randomized trials of vitamin D supplementation in MS46 and a recent prospective study that found no association between BMI and clinical disability47.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] Bhargava, P. et al. The vitamin D to ameliorate multiple sclerosis (VIDAMS) trial: study design for a multicenter, randomized, double-blind controlled trial of vitamin D in multiple sclerosis. Contemp. Clin. Trials 39, 288–293 (2014). source
- Interpretationown data
This heritability was enriched in the brain and spinal cord, in marked contrast to the immune signal seen for MS susceptibility.
“Notably, this heritability was enriched in the brain and spinal cord, in marked contrast to the immune signal seen for MS susceptibility.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
We have found genetic support for educational attainment having a causal effect on reducing long-term MS severity.
“In accordance with these data, we have found genetic support for educational attainment having a causal effect on reducing long-term MS severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.
- Interpretationown data
Variation in genes preferentially expressed within the CNS modulate MS severity.
“Here, we show that variation in genes preferentially expressed within the CNS modulate MS severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Gene prioritization analyses implicated four biologically plausible genes at the identified loci, including ZNF638 upstream of rs10191329.
“Our gene prioritization analyses implicated four biologically plausible genes at the identified loci, including ZNF638 upstream of rs10191329.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
This study presents robust evidence for the role of genetic variation in influencing MS progression.
“In conclusion, this study presents robust evidence for the role of genetic variation in influencing MS progression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Sensitivity analysis found no evidence of bias introduced by including participants who partially overlapped with the ARMSS score-based GWAS.
“Sensitivity analysis found no evidence of bias introduced by including participants who partially overlapped with the ARMSS score-based GWAS (Supplementary Note).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The scree plots for the principal component analysis in the discovery and replication populations confirm that the first few principal components capture most of the variance attributable to the minimal population structure remaining after quality control.
“The scree plots for our principal component analysis in the discovery (c) and replication (d) populations confirm that the first few principal components capture most of the variance attributable to the minimal population structure remaining after quality control.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 33
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 38
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPublished efforts to systematically interrogate MS severity have only involved modest numbers of cases and have not identified any convincingly associated genetic variants.
“published efforts to systematically interrogate severity have, thus far, only involved modest numbers of cases, and unanimously fall short of identifying any convincingly associated genetic variants5,10,11.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [5] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Genetic risk and a primary role for cell-mediated immune mechanisms in multiple sclerosis. Nature 476, 214–219 (2011). source
The paper reports that its analysis found no evidence of genetic associations with MS severity (Abstract; page unavailable), supporting the claim about the absence of convincing variants in this study. It does not establish that published severity studies involved only modest numbers of cases; its reference to modestly powered studies concerns disease susceptibility, not severity. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [10] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Genome-wide association study of severity in multiple sclerosis. Genes Immun. 12, 615–625 (2011). source
- cites [11] International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium. Analysis of immune-related loci identifies 48 new susceptibility variants for multiple sclerosis. Nat. Genet. 45, 1353–1360 (2013). source
Online Methods, ‘Secondary analyses’ (page unavailable), confirms that this paper performed a case-only analysis of MS severity using MSSS. Our copy does not give the number of cases in that analysis or report whether it identified any convincingly associated variants, so it does not substantiate those parts of the claim. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationHomozygous rs10191329 risk allele carriers demonstrated more severe MS-specific brainstem and cortical pathology, which result in axonal and neuronal degeneration respectively and drive progression.
“Besides these clinical differences, homozygous rs10191329 risk allele carriers also demonstrated more severe MS-specific brainstem and cortical pathology, which result in axonal and neuronal degeneration respectively and drive progression18,19.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [18] Schirmer, L. et al. Neuronal vulnerability and multilineage diversity in multiple sclerosis. Nature 573, 75–82 (2019). source
The Results report degeneration and selective loss of upper-layer excitatory neurons in cortical MS lesions, and the Discussion links cortical neurodegeneration to regions involved in progression. The paper does not establish that homozygous rs10191329 carriers have more severe pathology, nor does it report brainstem pathology or show that these changes drive progression. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [19] Absinta, M., Lassmann, H. & Trapp, B. D. Mechanisms underlying progression in multiple sclerosis. Curr. Opin. Neurol. 33, 277–285 (2020). source
The 'Neuropathology of progressive MS' section links cortical lesions to disability, and 'Final pathways of neuro-axonal dysfunction and death' discusses axonal degeneration and cortical neuronal loss (page numbers unavailable). But the paper does not report that homozygous rs10191329 risk-allele carriers have more severe brainstem or cortical pathology, nor does it link brainstem pathology specifically to their axonal degeneration. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIntegrated analysis of genetically regulated and compound-perturbed gene expression revealed significant enrichment for CNS-acting compounds and identified chromatin remodeling via histone deacetylase inhibitors as a potential therapeutic strategy for slowing progression.
“Integrated analysis of genetically regulated and compound-perturbed gene expression28 revealed significant enrichment for CNS-acting compounds and, along with an alternative locus-based approach, identified chromatin remodeling via histone deacetylase inhibitors as a potential therapeutic strategy for slowing progression”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [28] Konuma, T., Ogawa, K. & Okada, Y. Integration of genetically regulated gene expression and pharmacological library provides therapeutic drug candidates. Hum. Mol. Genet. 30, 294–304 (2021). source
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationDYSF is implicated in membrane repair; ZNF638 mediates the silencing of unintegrated viral DNA.
“DYSF is implicated in membrane repair22; ZNF638 mediates the silencing of unintegrated viral DNA23.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationDNM3 participates in the morphogenesis of the postsynaptic density and excitatory synaptic transmission.
“DNM3 participates in the morphogenesis of the postsynaptic density and excitatory synaptic transmission24”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Lu, J. et al. Postsynaptic positioning of endocytic zones and AMPA receptor cycling by physical coupling of dynamin-3 to Homer. Neuron 55, 874–889 (2007). source
The section “The Endocytic Zone Sustains Excitatory Synaptic Transmission” (p. 9) reports that dynamin-3 knockdown reduces excitatory postsynaptic currents, supporting its role in excitatory transmission. The paper shows dynamin-3 positions the endocytic zone near the postsynaptic density (p. 3), but does not establish a role in morphogenesis of the postsynaptic density itself. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationFocal lesions such as those in the brainstem result in axonal loss, and cortical demyelination is associated with selective neuronal loss; both are prominent determinants of progression.
“It is well established that focal lesions such as those in the brainstem result in axonal loss, and that cortical demyelination, which occurs independently of white matter lesions, is associated with selective neuronal loss18; both these degenerative features are prominent determinants of progression18,19.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [18] Schirmer, L. et al. Neuronal vulnerability and multilineage diversity in multiple sclerosis. Nature 573, 75–82 (2019). source
The Abstract links focal plaques with progressive white-matter axonal damage, and the Results report selective loss of CUX2-expressing neurons in demyelinated cortical lesions (page numbers unavailable). The copy does not establish the brainstem-specific example, that cortical demyelination occurs independently of white-matter lesions, or that both degenerative features are prominent determinants of progression. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [19] Absinta, M., Lassmann, H. & Trapp, B. D. Mechanisms underlying progression in multiple sclerosis. Curr. Opin. Neurol. 33, 277–285 (2020). source
The Neuropathology of progressive MS section (page unavailable) says subpial cortical demyelination can develop independently of white-matter lesions and identifies cortical lesions as a major substrate of disability. The Final pathways section (page unavailable) reports significant cortical neuronal loss, but says neuronal loss was not correlated with cortical demyelination in the myelocortical patients discussed. It describes axonal injury in white matter, not specifically brainstem lesions, and does not establish the claimed association with selective neuronal loss. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationThe intergenic MS severity variant rs10191329 is nearest to DYSF (3,692 base pairs to the transcription start site), and DYSF was prioritized by the combined SNP-to-gene (cS2G) strategy based on enhancer-gene linking.
“The intergenic MS severity variant rs10191329 is nearest to DYSF (3,692 base pairs to the transcription start site), and this gene was prioritized by the combined SNP-to-gene (cS2G)20 strategy based on enhancer-gene linking.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [20] Gazal, S. et al. Combining SNP-to-gene linking strategies to identify disease genes and assess disease omnigenicity. Nat. Genet. 54, 827–836 (2022). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationGenetic determinants of education may partly operate through indirect familial influences and socioeconomic factors.
“Genetic determinants of education may partly operate through indirect familial influences and socioeconomic factors34.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [34] Okbay, A. et al. Polygenic prediction of educational attainment within and between families from genome-wide association analyses in 3 million individuals. Nat. Genet. 54, 437–449 (2022). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationSimilar protective effects of education have been observed in Alzheimer's disease and frontotemporal dementia, indicating some commonality with other neurodegenerative conditions.
“Similar protective effects of education have been observed in Alzheimer’s disease and frontotemporal dementia50,51, indicating some commonality with other neurodegenerative conditions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [50] Gazzina, S. et al. Education modulates brain maintenance in presymptomatic frontotemporal dementia. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry 90, 1124–1130 (2019). source
- cites [51] Cabeza, R. et al. Maintenance, reserve and compensation: the cognitive neuroscience of healthy ageing. Nat. Rev. Neurosci. 19, 701–710 (2018). source
The Reserve section (page unavailable) describes education as promoting reserve that attenuates cognitive decline, and the paper discusses reserve in relation to Alzheimer’s disease. It does not report protective effects of education in frontotemporal dementia, so it does not support that part of the claim. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA few observational studies have documented an inverse association between educational attainment and subsequent MS disability.
“Furthermore, a few observational studies have documented an inverse association between educational attainment and subsequent MS disability31 as well as retinal neurodegeneration49.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] D’hooghe, M. B., Haentjens, P., Van Remoortel, A., De Keyser, J. & Nagels, G. Self-reported levels of education and disability progression in multiple sclerosis. Acta Neurol. Scand. 134, 414–419 (2016). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA few observational studies have documented an inverse association between educational attainment and retinal neurodegeneration.
“Furthermore, a few observational studies have documented an inverse association between educational attainment and subsequent MS disability31 as well as retinal neurodegeneration49.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [49] Vasileiou, E. S. et al. Socioeconomic disparity is associated with faster retinal neurodegeneration in multiple sclerosis. Brain 144, 3664–3673 (2021). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationNeurocognitive reserve is a complex construct that is operationalized using proxies such as education, but it cannot be directly measured.
“We caution that neurocognitive reserve is a complex construct that is operationalized using proxies such as education, but it cannot be directly measured51.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [51] Cabeza, R. et al. Maintenance, reserve and compensation: the cognitive neuroscience of healthy ageing. Nat. Rev. Neurosci. 19, 701–710 (2018). source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationZNF638 encodes the DNA-binding zinc finger protein 638, which mediates transcriptional repression of unintegrated retroviral DNA through recruitment of the HUSH complex and SETDB1.
“ZNF638 encodes the DNA-binding zinc finger protein 638, which mediates transcriptional repression of unintegrated retroviral DNA through recruitment of the human silencing hub (HUSH) complex and the histone methyltransferase SETDB123.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] Zhu, Y., Wang, G. Z., Cingöz, O. & Goff, S. P. NP220 mediates silencing of unintegrated retroviral DNA. Nature 564, 278–282 (2018). source
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThese findings would be consistent with education promoting neurocognitive reserve, increasing resilience to neuronal degeneration resulting from MS injury and aging.
“These findings would be consistent with education promoting neurocognitive reserve51, increasing resilience to neuronal degeneration resulting from MS injury and aging.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [51] Cabeza, R. et al. Maintenance, reserve and compensation: the cognitive neuroscience of healthy ageing. Nat. Rev. Neurosci. 19, 701–710 (2018). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationParalogue dynamin-2 participates in membrane repair by wound-induced endocytosis in skeletal muscle.
“Interestingly, the paralog dynamin-2 participates in membrane repair by wound-induced endocytosis in skeletal muscle45, which may point to a convergence of mechanisms with DYSF.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] McDade, J. R., Naylor, M. T. & Michele, D. E. Sarcolemma wounding activates dynamin-dependent endocytosis in striated muscle. FEBS J. 288, 160–174 (2021). source
The Introduction reports that wounding stimulates dynamin-dependent endocytosis in adult skeletal muscle fibers and identifies dynamin-2 as an isoform highly expressed in that muscle. But the Discussion says it remains unclear whether wound-induced endocytosis contributes to membrane resealing or is a detrimental consequence of wounding. The claim presents participation in repair as established when the paper describes it as a potential role. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationSeveral exogenous and endogenous viruses have been considered in MS pathogenesis, with the most compelling evidence implicating EBV and HERV-W.
“Several exogenous and endogenous viruses have been considered in MS pathogenesis, with the most compelling evidence implicating respectively Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)40 and human endogenous retrovirus type-W (HERV-W)41.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [40] Bjornevik, K., Münz, C., Cohen, J. I. & Ascherio, A. Epstein–Barr virus as a leading cause of multiple sclerosis: mechanisms and implications. Nat. Rev. Neurol. 19, 160–171 (2023). source
- cites [41] Kremer, D. et al. Human endogenous retrovirus type W envelope protein inhibits oligodendroglial precursor cell differentiation. Ann. Neurol. 74, 721–732 (2013). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationAs SNP-heritability can be sensitive to LD and allele frequency assumptions, we also fitted a model with ten GRMs.
“As SNP-heritability can be sensitive to LD and allele frequency assumptions63, we also fitted a model with ten GRMs (GREML-LDMS) constructed from variants assigned to five MAF bins (0.01–0.1, 0.1–0.2, 0.2–0.3, 0.3–0.4 and 0.4–0.5) each divided into two by the median LD score in each bin.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [63] Evans, L. M. et al. Comparison of methods that use whole genome data to estimate the heritability and genetic architecture of complex traits. Nat. Genet. 50, 737–745 (2018). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDYSF protein accumulates in Aβ-containing extracellular neuritic plaques, in proportion to Alzheimer's disease severity.
“the protein has been found to accumulate in Aβ-containing extracellular neuritic plaques, in proportion to Alzheimer’s disease severity44.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [44] Galvin, J. E., Palamand, D., Strider, J., Milone, M. & Pestronk, A. The muscle protein dysferlin accumulates in the Alzheimer brain. Acta Neuropathol. 112, 665–671 (2006). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe same chromatin repressors are involved in epigenetic silencing of endogenous retroviruses.
“The same chromatin repressors are involved in epigenetic silencing of endogenous retroviruses39.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] Robbez-Masson, L. et al. The HUSH complex cooperates with TRIM28 to repress young retrotransposons and new genes. Genome Res. 28, 836–845 (2018). source
The Discussion (Figure 7 model; page unavailable) says TRIM28 is required to repress endogenous retroviruses, and FAM208A also binds to them. It explicitly says FAM208A is not required for their repression, so the paper does not support the claim that both repressors silence endogenous retroviruses. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationStrong observational evidence shows faster disability progression in smokers that reverses following cessation.
“in line with strong observational evidence of faster disability progression in smokers that reverses following cessation48.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [48] Manouchehrinia, A. et al. Tobacco smoking and disability progression in multiple sclerosis: United Kingdom cohort study. Brain 136, 2298–2304 (2013). source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationZNF638 is highly expressed in the brain, particularly in oligodendrocytes and their precursor cells, and has been implicated in large-scale genetic studies of intelligence and general cognitive ability.
“The gene is highly expressed in the brain, particularly in oligodendrocytes and their precursor cells, and has been implicated in large-scale genetic studies of intelligence and general cognitive ability43.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [43] Savage, J. E. et al. Genome-wide association meta-analysis in 269,867 individuals identifies new genetic and functional links to intelligence. Nat. Genet. 50, 912–919 (2018). source
The Letters report brain-expression and intelligence associations for groups of genes, but the passages found do not identify ZNF638 among them. A figure label lists oligodendrocytes and their precursors without linking either cell type to ZNF638. Searches for ZNF638 and its claimed cell-specific expression found no passage addressing the gene-specific claim. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe variants included were examined for instrument strength (mean F-statistic > 10).
“The variants included were examined for instrument strength79 (mean F-statistic > 10; Supplementary Table 18).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [79] Bowden, J. et al. Improving the accuracy of two-sample summary-data Mendelian randomization: moving beyond the NOME assumption. Int. J. Epidemiol. 48, 728–742 (2019). source
May combine two claims.
Findingown datars10191329 showed correlation (r2 > 0.6) with fine-mapped expression QTLs for ZNF638 and weaker correlation with splicing QTLs for the same gene in brain (r2 0.3 to 0.4).
“In addition, rs10191329 showed correlation (r2 > 0.6) with fine-mapped expression QTLs for the upstream gene ZNF638 (Supplementary Table 14) and weaker correlation with splicing QTLs for the same gene in brain (r2 0.3 to 0.4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataPGS analysis of lifetime smoking index (β = 0.022 per standard deviation score increase, P = 0.004) and education indicated consistent and independent associations with MS severity.
“PGS analysis of lifetime smoking index (β = 0.022 per standard deviation score increase, P = 0.004) and education also indicated consistent and independent associations with MS severity (Fig. 5b–c, Supplementary Tables 20 and 21, Methods).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataBoth DYSF and ZNF638 are highly expressed in neuronal and glial cells in the CNS with shared specificity for oligodendrocytes.
“Both these genes are highly expressed in neuronal and glial cells in the CNS with shared specificity for oligodendrocytes (Extended Data Fig. 5 and 6)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMR analyses did not indicate a causal role for either 25OHD levels or BMI in MS severity.
“MR analyses did not indicate a causal role for either 25OHD levels or BMI in MS severity (Fig. 5a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe suggestive variant rs149097173 is intronic to DNM3 and PIGC, the latter also being nominated by cS2G.
“The suggestive variant rs149097173 is intronic to DNM3 and PIGC, the latter also being nominated by cS2G.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataHomozygous risk allele carriers in an independent MS autopsy cohort had experienced a 4-year shorter median time to EDSS 6.0, although differences were not significant.
“Consistent with estimates from our longitudinal analysis, homozygous risk allele carriers had experienced a 4-year shorter median time to EDSS 6.0, although differences were not significant in this smaller cohort (Supplementary Table 11).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown datars10191329A has been inversely associated with intelligence, whereas for rs149097173 association is limited to height.
“Among other traits, rs10191329A has been inversely associated with intelligence, whereas for rs149097173 association is limited to height (Supplementary Tables 15 and 16).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingcitationrs149097173 is also intronic to PIGC.
“Variant rs149097173 is also intronic to PIGC, mutations in which can lead to intellectual disability and epilepsy25.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe first two principal components respectively captured the north-to-south and east-to-west gradients of European genetic structure.
“The first two principal components respectively captured the north-to-south and east-to-west gradients of European genetic structure.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationDYSF, ZNF638, DNM3 and PIGC are expressed in the brain.
“DYSF, ZNF638, DNM3 and PIGC are expressed in the brain.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites GTEx73
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataUS and Canadian participants overlapped with those from other countries.
“US and Canadian participants overlapped with those from other countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataBased on self-reported ancestry, East European and Ashkenazi Jewish individuals constituted the majority of the predominantly US subcluster located at the bottom right of the discovery population.
“Based on self-reported ancestry, East European and Ashkenazi Jewish individuals constituted the majority of the predominantly US subcluster located at the bottom right of the discovery population (a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPIGC initiates biosynthesis of the glycosylphosphatidylinositol anchor.
“PIGC initiates biosynthesis of the glycosylphosphatidylinositol anchor25 (Extended Data Fig. 7).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] Edvardson, S. et al. Mutations in the phosphatidylinositol glycan C (PIGC) gene are associated with epilepsy and intellectual disability. J. Med. Genet. 54, 196–201 (2017). source
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataBoth severity variants had a clinically meaningful impact on time to needing a walking aid, with the median interval from onset shortened by 3.7 years for homozygous risk allele carriers of rs10191329 and 3.3 years for risk allele carriers of rs149097173.
“Both severity variants had a clinically meaningful impact on time to needing a walking aid, with the median interval from onset shortened by 3.7 years for homozygous risk allele carriers of the DYSF-ZNF638 variant (rs10191329) and 3.3 years for risk allele carriers of the DNM3-PIGC variant (rs149097173).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThese results demonstrate a detrimental effect of smoking in people with MS and implicate educational attainment as a potential protective factor.
“Together, these results demonstrate a detrimental effect of smoking in people with MS and implicate educational attainment as a potential protective factor.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataLD score regression yielded an intercept not significantly different from 1 (1.006, 95% CI 0.993 to 1.019), consistent with polygenicity driving inflation.
“linkage disequilibrium (LD) score regression (LDSC) yielded an intercept not significantly different from 1 (1.006, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.993 to 1.019), consistent with polygenicity driving inflation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataMR analyses provide evidence for smoking and educational attainment as potential modifiable risk factors for MS progression.
“MR analyses also provide evidence for smoking and educational attainment as potential modifiable risk factors for MS progression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe lead variant and an additional suggestive association replicated and showed concordant effects in a range of MS-specific longitudinal outcomes across tens of thousands of patient visits, likely reflecting progressive mechanisms.
“The lead variant and an additional suggestive association replicated and showed concordant effects in a range of MS-specific longitudinal outcomes across tens of thousands of patient visits, likely reflecting progressive mechanisms (Supplementary Note).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe pattern of immune enrichment for susceptibility recapitulates the immune-related nature of susceptibility associations and highlights the difference from severity heritability.
“This pattern faithfully recapitulates the immune-related nature of susceptibility associations, further highlighting the striking difference from the heritability pattern observed for disease severity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningGenetic predisposition may not have the same biological consequences as environmental changes (through policy), such that the predicted effect may not be realized.
“Educational attainment and smoking are complex traits influenced by both genetic and environmental factors, and genetic predisposition may not have the same biological consequences as environmental changes (through policy), such that the predicted effect may not be realized.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataWe have identified genetic drivers of disability in MS, providing new directions for functional characterization and drug development targeted on the neurodegenerative component of the disease.
“We have identified genetic drivers of disability in MS, providing new directions for functional characterization and drug development targeted on the neurodegenerative component of the disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDYSF functions mainly characterized in skeletal muscle where it participates in calcium-mediated membrane repair and regeneration.
“Although widely expressed, its functions are mainly characterized in skeletal muscle where it participates in calcium-mediated membrane repair and regeneration22.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [22] Bansal, D. et al. Defective membrane repair in dysferlin-deficient muscular dystrophy. Nature 423, 168–172 (2003). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningAlthough the MR sensitivity analyses did not find evidence of horizontal pleiotropy, it can only be tested indirectly and violation of this instrumental variable assumption cannot be entirely excluded.
“Although the MR sensitivity analyses did not find evidence of horizontal pleiotropy, it can only be tested indirectly and violation of this instrumental variable assumption cannot be entirely excluded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenWe have not tested the robustness of these findings to alternative measures of educational attainment or additional proxies of neurocognitive reserve.
“We have not tested the robustness of these findings to alternative measures of educational attainment (e.g., on a continuous scale) or additional proxies of neurocognitive reserve.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationDisease modifying therapy was not included as it is not a confounder and may instead introduce collider bias.
“Disease modifying therapy was not included as it is not a confounder (i.e. does not influence genotype) and may instead introduce collider bias57.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [57] Aschard, H., Vilhjálmsson, B. J., Joshi, A. D., Price, A. L. & Kraft, P. Adjusting for heritable covariates can bias effect estimates in genome-wide association studies. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 96, 329–339 (2015). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationRecessive pathogenic variants in DYSF lead to muscular dystrophies.
“Recessive pathogenic variants lead to muscular dystrophies (OMIM 254130, 253601, 606768).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites OMIM 254130, 253601, 606768
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningOur findings may have broader implications for neurodegeneration.
“Our findings identify CNS resilience and reserve as likely determinants of MS progression, and may have broader implications for neurodegeneration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationThe observations are in concordance with the proposed enhanced penetrance of monogenic causes of neurological disease reported to result from comorbidity with MS.
“Our observations are also in concordance with the proposed enhanced penetrance of monogenic causes of neurological disease reported to result from comorbidity with MS37,38.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [37] Kellar-Wood, H., Robertson, N., Govan, G. G., Compston, D. A. & Harding, A. E. Leber’s hereditary optic neuropathy mitochondrial DNA mutations in multiple sclerosis. Ann. Neurol. 36, 109–112 (1994). source
- cites [38] Ismail, A. et al. Concurrence of multiple sclerosis and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in patients with hexanucleotide repeat expansions of C9ORF72. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry 84, 79–87 (2013). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationEDSS has several shortcomings including its non-linear ordinal nature, variability between raters, overemphasis on ambulation, and inadequate capture of cognitive impairment.
“Despite its widespread use and regulatory precedent, the EDSS has several shortcomings including its non-linear ordinal nature, variability between raters, overemphasis on ambulation, and inadequate capture of cognitive impairment52.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] Cohen, J. A., Reingold, S. C., Polman, C. H., Wolinsky, J. S. & International Advisory Committee on Clinical Trials in Multiple Sclerosis. Disability outcome measures in multiple sclerosis clinical trials: current status and future prospects. Lancet Neurol. 11, 467–476 (2012). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenIn survival analyses, events could only be observed at clinic visits and not in real-time.
“In the survival analyses, events could only be observed at clinic visits and not in real-time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenCollider bias may occur when considering risk factors affecting both disease onset and progression.
“Also, collider bias may occur when considering risk factors affecting both disease onset and progression.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMutations in PIGC can lead to intellectual disability and epilepsy.
“Variant rs149097173 is also intronic to PIGC, mutations in which can lead to intellectual disability and epilepsy25.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] Edvardson, S. et al. Mutations in the phosphatidylinositol glycan C (PIGC) gene are associated with epilepsy and intellectual disability. J. Med. Genet. 54, 196–201 (2017). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningObserving events only at clinic visits may bias survival time estimates from clinical settings where follow-up intervals can vary.
“This may bias survival time estimates from clinical settings where follow-up intervals can vary.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenPathological characterization was undertaken blind to genotype status.
“Pathological characterization was undertaken blind to genotype status.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe proportional hazards assumption was examined by inspection of scaled Schoenfeld residuals.
“The proportional hazards assumption was examined by inspection of scaled Schoenfeld residuals.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenP values < 0.0083 were considered significant following Bonferroni correction for the number of variants and outcomes tested.
“P values < 0.0083 were considered significant following Bonferroni correction for the number of variants and outcomes tested.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenP values less than 0.025 were considered significant (adjusting for two pathological variables).
“P values less than 0.025 were considered significant (adjusting for two pathological variables).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenWe applied FDR correction for multiple testing within each enrichment analysis.
“We applied FDR correction for multiple testing within each enrichment analysis, and FDR-corrected P < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The independent MS autopsy cohort is representative of the broader MS population for assessing the effect of rs10191329 on CNS pathology.
“we examined the variant’s association with disease-relevant markers of tissue injury in an independent MS autopsy cohort comprising 4,652 tissue blocks in 290 individuals.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The ARMSS score is comparable across the discovery and replication cohorts.
“individual EDSS measures were converted to the age-related MS severity (ARMSS) score by ranking disability within age-specific strata13 (Methods).”
“Replication of variant associations was tested in existing data from nine independent cohorts totaling 9,805 cases”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.
“The MR analysis assumes linearity and may not be applicable to individuals at the extremes of trait distributions, including for vitamin D and BMI.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The instrumental variable assumption of no horizontal pleiotropy holds.
“Although the MR sensitivity analyses did not find evidence of horizontal pleiotropy, it can only be tested indirectly and violation of this instrumental variable assumption cannot be entirely excluded.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
There is no sample overlap between the MS severity GWAS and the exposure GWAS, and no shared population stratification.
“Since we expect no sample overlap with our within-case GWAS, the LDSC intercept was constrained on the assumption of no shared population stratification.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The three longitudinal disability outcomes are not expected to be independent.
“although the latter are not expected to be independent”
Statistics recomputed
Every reported test result, recomputed from its test statistic and degrees of freedom. A result shows as not adding up only once an independent check has confirmed it.
- Consistentz = 3.1reported p = .002 · recomputed p = .002
“(Z = 3.1, p = .002”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Figure caption gives a different genotype measure for rs149097173
MinorThe Extended Data Fig. 4 caption says its Cox-model hazard ratios used imputed allele dosage, but the Methods say hazard ratios for rs149097173 were calculated using carrier status.
“HR and two-sided P values were obtained from Cox proportional hazards models using imputed allele dosage (b–c; Methods).”
“Hazard ratios were calculated using dosages for rs10191329 and carrier status for rs149097173 given its low frequency.”
PIGC expression figure is cited as a genetic-correlations figure
MinorThe Extended Data Fig. 6 caption directs readers to Fig. 8 for PIGC expression, but Fig. 8 is labeled as genetic correlations. PIGC expression is instead the subject of Extended Data Fig. 7.
“PIGC expression in brain neuronal and glial cells, missing here, is demonstrated in Extended Data Fig. 8.”
“Figure: Extended Data Fig. 8 | Genetic correlations with MS severity.”
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“Because low-grade inflammation has been excellently reviewed elsewhere 61–63 , we focus here on the role of neuron-intrinsic actuators — a concept that has recently gained momentum with the identification of MS-risk loci adjacent to neuronal genes in genome-wide association studies 64 .”
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“29,30 Although an association observed in vitro, in vivo, and ex vivo studies does not necessarily imply a mechanistic causal relationship, cautioning against drawing de fi ni-tive conclusions, the pathological drivers of smouldering disease in MS potentially include several major categories, such…”
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Self-citationsnRNA-seq stratifies multiple sclerosis patients into distinct white matter glial responses
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“A recent genome-wide association study (GWAS) has highlighted several CNS genes, including DNM3, DYSF, and ZNF638, that are linked to disease progression and predominantly enriched in oligodendroglial cells [128].”
BackgroundArtificial Intelligence and Multiple Sclerosis
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Self-citationMendelian Randomization Applied to Neurology
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“34 Regarding drug repurposing opportunities, 1 MR analysis identi fi ed interleukin-6 signaling as a potential causal risk factor of MS. 35 Subsequent mediation analysis revealed that altered interleukin-6 signaling explained more than 40% of the observed e ect of body mass index on MS risk.”
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Patient iPSC models reveal glia-intrinsic phenotypes in multiple sclerosis
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Understanding multiple sclerosis as a disease spectrum: above and below the clinical threshold
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“…while specific genetic markers and protein signatures have not yet been fully realized in MS [20], a genetics-informed approach in MS may ultimately enable us to better determine not only who is at risk of developing MS, but the genetics of resilience, to further expressions of disease [21 ].”
BackgroundToward identifying key mechanisms of progression in multiple sclerosis
Husseini, L., Geladaris, A., & Weber, M. S. (2023) · Trends in Neurosciences · doi:10.1016/j.tins.2023.11.005 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Disease-associated oligodendroglia: a putative nexus in neurodegeneration
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“Potential confounding was assessed by comparing the scores on the dimensions of donors with and without at least one observation of the disease-modifying or MS-relevant immunosuppressive drug categories; the association with year of death and age at death was analysed similarly.”
InfluentialSelf-citationKocot, J., Kosa, P. F., Ashida, S., Pirjanian, N., Goldbach‐Mansky, R. T., Peterson, K. E., Fossati, V., Holland, S. M., & Bielekova, B. (2025) · Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1172/jci183941 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Disease-modifying therapies for Parkinson disease: lessons from multiple sclerosis
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Limited overlap between genetic effects on disease susceptibility and disease survival
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“1–9). the central nervous system in disease outcome, as opposed to the enrichment of immunological-related signals observed for disease susceptibility 7 .”
Tomofuji, Y., Edahiro, R., Sonehara, K., Shirai, Y., Kock, K. H., Wang, Q. S., Namba, S., Moody, J., Ando, Y., Suzuki, A., et al. (2024) · Cell Genomics · doi:10.1016/j.xgen.2024.100625 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
“Although the X chromosome has often been excluded from the largest-scale GWAS meta-analyses due to technical difficulties, 38,39 there is a need to actively conduct GWAS of the X chromosome, share sumstats, and promote secondary use in order to overcome this technical difficulty.”
Multiple Sclerosis: An Overview of Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Serological Biomarkers
Shi, M.-C., Liu, Y., Gong, Q., & Xu, X.-R. (2024) · Acta Neurologica Scandinavica · doi:10.1155/2024/7372789 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
A Genetic Risk Variant for Multiple Sclerosis Severity is Associated with Brain Atrophy
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Self-citationThe case for targeting latent and lytic Epstein-Barr virus infection in multiple sclerosis
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Relevance of Multiple Sclerosis Severity Genotype in Predicting Disease Course: A Real‐World Cohort
Kreft, K. L., Uzochukwu, E., Loveless, S., Willis, M., Wynford‐Thomas, R., Harding, K. E., Holmans, P., Lawton, M., Tallantyre, E. C., & Robertson, N. P. (2023) · Annals of Neurology · doi:10.1002/ana.26831 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Self-citationThe effects of intermittent fasting for patients with multiple sclerosis (MS): a systematic review
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Self-citationVitamin D affects the risk of disease activity in multiple sclerosis
Giordano, A., Clarelli, F., Pignolet, B., et al. (2024) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp-2024-334062 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
“29 In addition, the effect of genetic variants was predominantly detected for patients in the highest quartile of VitD PRS, further supporting the importance of a cut-off value.”
Self-citationEngelenburg, H. J., van den Bosch, A. M. R., Chen, J. Q. A., Hsiao, C., Melief, M., Harroud, A., Huitinga, I., Hamann, J., & Smolders, J. (2025) · iScience · doi:10.1016/j.isci.2025.112430 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Self-citationWang, W., Huang, M., Ge, W., Feng, J., Zhang, X., Li, C., & Wang, L. (2024) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2024.1300457 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Brieva, L., Calles, C., Landete, L., & Oreja-Guevara, C. (2025) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2025.1543649 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Premorbid Sociodemographic Status and Multiple Sclerosis Outcomes in a Universal Health Care Context
He, A. H., Manouchehrinia, A., Glaser, A., Ciccarelli, O., Butzkueven, H., Hillert, J. A., & McKay, K. A. (2023) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.34675 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
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Self-citationCurrent state and perspectives of CAR T cell therapy in central nervous system diseases
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Multiple Sclerosis: Glial Cell Diversity in Time and Space
Kooistra, S. M., & Schirmer, L. (2024) · Glia · doi:10.1002/glia.24655 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Increased EBNA1-specific antibody response in primary-progressive multiple sclerosis
Comabella, M., Hegen, H., Villar, L. M., Rejdak, K., Sao‐Avilés, A., Behrens, M., Sastre‐Garriga, J., Mongay‐Ochoa, N., Berek, K., Martínez‐Yélamos, S., et al. (2024) · Journal of Neurology · doi:10.1007/s00415-024-12763-w · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Self-citationLearning CNS immunopathology from therapeutic interventions
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Self-citationThe refined Pathways to Cures Research Roadmap for multiple sclerosis cures
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Self-citationExploring the role of EBV in multiple sclerosis pathogenesis through EBV interactome
Ballerini, C., Amoriello, R., Maghrebi, O., Bellucci, G., Addazio, I., Betti, M., Aprea, M. G., Masciulli, C., Caporali, A., Penati, V., et al. (2025) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2025.1557483 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Microglia from patients with multiple sclerosis display a cell-autonomous immune activation statePreprint
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Determinants of long‐term paramagnetic rim lesion evolution in people with multiple sclerosis
Reeves, J. A., Bartnik, A., Mohebbi, M., Ramanathan, M. K., Bergsland, N., Jakimovski, D., Wilding, G. E., Salman, F., Schweser, F., Weinstock‐Guttman, B., et al. (2024) · Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology · doi:10.1002/acn3.52253 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
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Early depressive symptoms and disability accrual in Multiple Sclerosis: a UK MS Register study
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“The exact cause of MS is unknown, but a variety of genetic and environmental factors, such as lifestyle and viral infections, may contribute to the onset of the disease [3,11].”
BackgroundFrom progression to progress: The future of multiple sclerosis
Oh, J., Giacomini, P. S., Yong, V. W., Costello, F., Blanchette, F., & Freedman, M. S. (2024) · Journal of Central Nervous System Disease · doi:10.1177/11795735241249693 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
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Self-citationNeuronal somatic mutations are increased in multiple sclerosis lesions
Motyer, A., Jackson, S., Yang, B., Harliwong, I., Tian, W., Shiu, W., Shao, Y., Wang, B., McLean, C., Barnett, M. H., et al. (2025) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/s41593-025-01895-5 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Self-citationUnlocking Multiple Sclerosis Genetics
Sahi, N., Ciccarelli, O., Houlden, H., & Chard, D. (2025) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000214141 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Sex- and species-specific contribution of CD99 to T cell costimulation during multiple sclerosis
Winschel, I., Willing, A., Engler, J. B., Walkenhorst, M., Meurs, N., Binkle-Ladisch, L., Woo, M. S., Pfeffer, L. K., Sonner, J. K., Borgmeyer, U., et al. (2024) · Biology of Sex Differences · doi:10.1186/s13293-024-00618-y · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“Although recent GWAS partially included analysis of sex chromosomes, no protein-coding X-or Y-linked risk variants were detected [37, 38].”
BackgroundSiffrin, V. (2025) · Glia · doi:10.1002/glia.70044 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Prediction of long-term outcome in Multiple Sclerosis: A systematic review
Mrabet, S., Garcia, E. C., & Giovannoni, G. (2025) · Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.msard.2025.106667 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Obesity and Multiple Sclerosis Severity: A Mendelian Randomization Study
Alzamanan, F., Ding, Y., & Harroud, A. (2024) · Annals of Neurology · doi:10.1002/ana.27112 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“However, as patients received a range of therapies, 9 the observed effect is unlikely to depend on any single therapy.”
Self-citationde Mol, C. L., Lamballais, S., Muetzel, R. L., Duijts, L., Smolders, J., White, T. J. H., & Neuteboom, R. F. (2024) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp-2024-335053 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Self-citationHost control of persistent Epstein–Barr virus infection
Schmidt, A., Alawathurage, T. M., David, F. S., Ogawa, Y., Frach, L., Richter, S., Schaefer, M., Mathey, C. M., Henne, S. K., Japan COVID-19 Task Force, et al. (2026) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-026-10274-4 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
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Embodiment of structural racism and multiple sclerosis risk and outcomes in the USA
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“Despite exhaustive searches in large cohorts of white individuals, genetic factors have shown only minor associations with MS outcomes, and these associations could not be reproduced in Black or Hispanic cohorts 12 .”
Autoimmune neuroinflammation leads to neuronal death via MIF nuclease-mediated parthanatos
Mace, J. W., Gadani, S. P., Smith, M. D., Galleguillos, D., Kang, B. G., Roy, M., Liu, M., Summers, B. S., Garton, T. P., Gharagozloo, M., et al. (2026) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/s41593-026-02201-7 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“No statistical methods were used to predetermine mouse censuses, but our sample sizes are aligned with those reported in previous publications 105 .”
Self-citationLoonstra, F. C., Sirvent, D. Á., Tesi, N., et al. (2024) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000209663 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Arneth, B. M. (2024) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms252312906 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
“Genes and gene loci Genes and gene loci, such as rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus, increase the susceptibility of young adults to MS [9].”
InfluentialGWAS highlights the neuronal contribution to multiple sclerosis susceptibilityPreprint
Zeng, L., Khan, A., Lama, T. D., Chitnis, T., Weiner, H. L., Wang, G. T., Fujita, M., Zipp, F., Taga, M. F., Kiryluk, K., et al. (2024) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2024.12.04.24318500 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
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Education, Lifestyle Risk Factors, and Treatment Choices and Multiple Sclerosis Progression
Guo, J., Olsson, T. P., Hillert, J. A., et al. (2025) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.20142 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
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“…to influence age of disease onset, but no effect could be seen on disease burden after adjusting for the earlier onset, at least in progressive MS. 19 HLA-A*03:01 has been suggested as an additional MS risk allele, 20,21 but larger studies have shown that this is mostly due to two indirect…”
InfluentialSelf-citationThe rs10191329 Risk Allele Is Associated With Pronounced Retinal Layer Atrophy in Multiple Sclerosis
Bsteh, G., Tanavade, R., Krajnc, N., Föttinger, F., König, T., Krenn, M., Haider, L., Kornek, B., Leutmezer, F., Ludwig, K. U., et al. (2025) · Annals of Clinical and Translational Neurology · doi:10.1002/acn3.70157 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Imputed genotypes of the MS severity locus (rs10191329) were used for downstream analyses, encoded as homozygous risk allele (A-A), heterozygous carriers (A-C) or noncarriers (C-C) [4].”
InfluentialBarbuti, E., Piervincenzi, C., Ruggieri, S., & Petracca, M. (2025) · Brain Sciences · doi:10.3390/brainsci15101097 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“Both sociocultural education and genetic determinants of intelligence, as suggested by Mendelian randomization, have been linked to disability outcomes [238].”
Disability progression in multiple sclerosis: a latent class analysis of predictors
Guo, J., Olsson, T., Alfredsson, L. S., et al. (2026) · Journal of Neurology · doi:10.1007/s00415-026-13704-5 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationDNA damage burden causes selective CUX2 neuron loss in neuroinflammation
Morcom, L. R., Xia, W., Xu, Z., Awasthi, Y., Geywitz, C., Ellis, M. O., Noli, T., Zulji, A., Yamamoto, D., Girdler, G. C., et al. (2026) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-026-10310-3 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
HLA-DRB1*01:03 in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: a genotype–phenotype association study
Zhang, Q., Shakweh, E., Sharip, M. T., et al. (2026) · The Lancet. Gastroenterology & hepatology · doi:10.1016/s2468-1253(26)00113-5 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
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Adaptive and Innate Immunity Are Key Drivers of Age at Onset of Multiple Sclerosis
Misicka, E., Huang, Y., Loomis, S. J., Sadhu, N., Fisher, E., Gafson, A., Runz, H., Tsai, E. A., Jia, X., Herman, A. H., et al. (2024) · Neurology Genetics · doi:10.1212/nxg.0000000000200159 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationJacobs, B. M., Schalk, L., Dunne, A., Scalfari, A., Nandoskar, A., Gran, B., Mein, C. A., Sellers, C., Spilker, C., Rog, D. J., et al. (2023) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-071656 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationMultiple sclerosis and the intestine: Chasing the microbial offender
Peters, A., Gerdes, L. A., & Wekerle, H. (2024) · Immunological Reviews · doi:10.1111/imr.13357 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
How do different cell populations orchestrate myelin regeneration?
Grassi, S., & Prinetti, A. (2025) · Biochemical Society Transactions · doi:10.1042/bst20231085 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Microglia from patients with multiple sclerosis display a cell-autonomous immune activation state
Hyvärinen, T., Lotila, J., Giudice, L., Tujula, I., Nylund, M., Ohtonen, S., Scoyni, F., Jäntti, H., Virtanen, L., Pihlava, S., et al. (2025) · Journal of Neuroinflammation · doi:10.1186/s12974-025-03575-4 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
“This finding underscores the importance of CNS-specific pathological mechanisms in modulating the severity of MS [4].”
A HIF1A variant impacts long-term disability and smoldering inflammation in multiple sclerosis
Giordano, A., Stridh, P., Preziosa, P., Pisa, M., Lerma-Martin, C., Sorosina, M., Mascia, E., Santoro, S., Misra, K., Clarelli, F., et al. (2026) · Acta Neuropathologica · doi:10.1007/s00401-026-02984-w · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationGenetic influences on disease course and severity, 30 years after a clinically isolated syndrome
Sahi, N., Haider, L., Chung, K. K., Prados, F., Kanber, B., Samson, R. S., Thompson, A. J., Wheeler‐Kingshott, C. A. M. G., Trip, S. A., Brownlee, W. J., et al. (2023) · Brain Communications · doi:10.1093/braincomms/fcad255 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Recently, the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium conducted a GWAS that has identified a variant (rs10191329) associated with age-related MS severity.(6) A longitudinal GWAS has also identified two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (rs10967273 in females and rs698805 in males) associated with Mul…”
BackgroundZarghami, A., Hussain, M. A., van der Mei, I. A. F., Simpson, S., Ponsonby, A., Lechner‐Scott, J., Broadley, S., Lucas, R. M., Zhou, Y., Lin, X., et al. (2024) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp-2024-333632 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationEvaluating multiple sclerosis severity loci 30 years after a clinically isolated syndrome
Sahi, N., Haider, L., Chung, K. K., et al. (2024) · Brain Communications · doi:10.1093/braincomms/fcae443 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Nataf, S., Guillen, M., & Pays, L. (2024) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms25073803 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Zhang, L., Liu, Y.-X., Chu, Y., You, Y., Zhou, L., Yang, S., Dong, M., Zhang, H., Pang, X., Chen, L., et al. (2025) · Translational Psychiatry · doi:10.1038/s41398-025-03437-w · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Advances in Multiple Sclerosis
Hauser, S. L. (2026) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmra2501195 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationThe lung-brain axis in multiple sclerosis: Mechanistic insights and future directions
Kular, L. (2024) · Brain Behavior & Immunity - Health · doi:10.1016/j.bbih.2024.100787 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Zeng, L., Khan, A., Fitzgerald, K. C., Lama, T., Chen, J., Li, R., Harroud, A., Compston, A., Sawcer, S. J., Kermode, A. G., et al. (2026) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-026-02731-7 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationLudwig, R., Malla, B., Höhrhan, M., Infante‐Duarte, C., & Anderhalten, L. (2023) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms25010261 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“Very recent evidence implies that MS severity is substantially associated with genetic variants related to CNS resilience genes [26].”
BackgroundNan, H. (2024) · Frontiers in Nutrition · doi:10.3389/fnut.2024.1410745 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Genetics of multiple sclerosis severity: The importance of statistical power in replication studies
Harroud, A., Sawcer, S. J., & Baranzini, S. E. (2024) · Multiple Sclerosis Journal · doi:10.1177/13524585241264472 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationCortical CD200–CD200R and CD47–SIRPα expression is associated with multiple sclerosis pathology
van den Bosch, A. M. R., Wever, D. D., Schonewille, P., Schuller, S. L., Smolders, J., Hamann, J., & Huitinga, I. (2024) · Brain Communications · doi:10.1093/braincomms/fcae264 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationPark, B., Nicaise, A., Tsitsipatis, D., Pirvan, L., Prasad, P., Novales, M. L. L. D., Whitten, J., Culig, L., Llewellyn, J., Ionescu, R.-B., et al. (2024) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1101/2024.02.09.579648 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Polygenic risk scores for eGFR are associated with age at kidney failure
Collins, K. E., Gilbert, E. H., Mauduit, V., et al. (2025) · Journal of Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s40620-025-02207-7 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
- Authors
- International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium, Harroud, A., Stridh, P., McCauley, J. L., Saarela, J., van den Bosch, A. M. R., Engelenburg, H. J., Beecham, A. H., Alfredsson, L., Alikhani, K., Amezcua, L., Andlauer, T. F. M., Ban, M., Barcellos, L. F., Barizzone, N., Berge, T., Berthele, A., Bittner, S., Bos, S. D., Briggs, F. B. S., Caillier, S. J., Calabresi, P. A., Caputo, D., Carmona-Burgos, D. X., Cavalla, P., Celius, E. G., Cerono, G., Chinea, A. R., Chitnis, T., Clarelli, F., Comabella, M., Comi, G., Cotsapas, C., Cree, B. C. A., D’Alfonso, S., Dardiotis, E., De Jager, P. L., Delgado, S. R., Dubois, B., Engel, S., Esposito, F., Fabis-Pedrini, M. J., Filippi, M., Fitzgerald, K. C., Gasperi, C., Gomez, L., Gomez, R., Hadjigeorgiou, G., Hamann, J., Held, F., Henry, R. G., Hillert, J., Huang, J., Huitinga, I., Islam, T., Isobe, N., Jagodic, M., Kermode, A. G., Khalil, M., Kilpatrick, T. J., Konidari, I., Kreft, K. L., Lechner-Scott, J., Leone, M., Luessi, F., Malhotra, S., Manouchehrinia, A., Manrique, C. P., Martinelli-Boneschi, F., Martinez, A. C., Martinez-Maldonado, V., Mascia, E., Metz, L. M., Midaglia, L., Montalban, X., Oksenberg, J. R., Olsson, T., Oturai, A., Pääkkönen, K., Parnell, G. P., Patsopoulos, N. A., Pericak-Vance, M. A., Piehl, F., Rubio, J. P., Santaniello, A., Santoro, S., Schaefer, C., Sellebjerg, F., Shams, H., Shchetynsky, K., Silva, C., Siokas, V., Søndergaard, H. B., Sorosina, M., Taylor, B., Vandebergh, M., Vasileiou, E. S., Vecchio, D., Voortman, M. M., Weiner, H. L., Wever, D., Yong, V. W., Hafler, D. A., Stewart, G. J., Compston, A., Zipp, F., Harbo, H. F., Hemmer, B., Goris, A., Smolders, J., Hauser, S. L., Kockum, I., Sawcer, S. J., Baranzini, S. E., MultipleMS Consortium, Harroud, A., Jónsdóttir, I., Blanco, Y., Llufriu, S., Madireddy, L., Saiz, A., Villoslada, P., & Stefánsson, K.
- Affiliations
- Karolinska University Hospital (SE)
- University of Miami (US)
- University of Helsinki (FI)
- Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience (NL)
- University of Calgary (CA)
- University of Southern California (US)
- Technical University of Munich (DE)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- University of California, Berkeley (US)
- Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale “Amedeo Avogadro” (IT)
- Oslo University Hospital (NO)
- Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (DE)
- Case Western Reserve University (US)
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Don Carlo Gnocchi Foundation (IT)
- University of Turin (IT)
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele (IT)
- Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (ES)
- Broad Institute (US)
- University of Thessaly (GR)
- Universitair Ziekenhuis Leuven (BE)
- Vita-Salute San Raffaele University (IT)
- University of Cyprus (CY)
- Kyushu University (JP)
- Murdoch University (AU)
- Medical University of Graz (AT)
- The Royal Melbourne Hospital (AU)
- Erasmus MC (NL)
- Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza (IT)
- Copenhagen University Hospital (DK)
- The University of Sydney (AU)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- Kaiser Permanente (US)
- University of Copenhagen (DK)
- University of Tasmania (AU)
- KU Leuven (BE)
- Munich Cluster for Systems Neurology (DE)
- deCODE Genetics (Iceland) (IS)
- Hospital Clínic de Barcelona (ES)
- Corresponding author
- Sawcer, Stephen J.
- Baranzini, Sergio E.
- ORCID
- Stridh, Pernilla
- McCauley, Jacob L.
- Saarela, Janna
- Engelenburg, Hendrik J.
- Beecham, Ashley H.
- Alfredsson, Lars
- Alikhani, Katayoun
- Amezcua, Lilyana
- Andlauer, Till F. M.
- Ban, Maria
- Barcellos, Lisa F.
- Barizzone, Nadia
- Berge, Tone
- Berthele, Achim
- Bittner, Stefan
- Bos, Steffan D.
- Briggs, Farren B. S.
- Caillier, Stacy J.
- Calabresi, Peter A.
- Caputo, Domenico
- Carmona-Burgos, David X.
- Cavalla, Paola
- Celius, Elisabeth G.
- Cerono, Gabriel
- Chinea, Angel R.
- Chitnis, Tanuja
- Clarelli, Ferdinando
- Comabella, Manuel
- Cotsapas, Chris
- Cree, Bruce C. A.
- D’Alfonso, Sandra
- Dardiotis, Efthimios
- Delgado, Silvia R.
- Dubois, Bénédicte
- Engel, Sinah
- Esposito, Federica
- Filippi, Massimo
- Fitzgerald, Kathryn C.
- Gasperi, Christiane
- Gomez, Refujia
- Hadjigeorgiou, Georgios
- Hamann, Jörg
- Held, Friederike
- Henry, Roland G.
- Hillert, Jan
- Huang, Jesse
- Huitinga, Inge
- Islam, Talat
- Isobe, Noriko
- Jagodic, Maja
- Kermode, Allan G.
- Khalil, Michael
- Kilpatrick, Trevor J.
- Konidari, Ioanna
- Kreft, Karim L.
- Leone, Maurizio
- Luessi, Felix
- Malhotra, Sunny
- Manouchehrinia, Ali
- Mascia, Elisabetta
- Metz, Luanne M.
- Midaglia, Luciana
- Oksenberg, Jorge R.
- Olsson, Tomas
- Pääkkönen, Kimmo
- Parnell, Grant P.
- Patsopoulos, Nikolaos A.
- Piehl, Fredrik
- Rubio, Justin P.
- Santaniello, Adam
- Santoro, Silvia
- Schaefer, Catherine
- Sellebjerg, Finn
- Shams, Hengameh
- Shchetynsky, Klementy
- Siokas, Vasileios
- Søndergaard, Helle B.
- Sorosina, Melissa
- Taylor, Bruce
- Vandebergh, Marijne
- Vecchio, Domizia
- Voortman, Margarete M.
- Weiner, Howard L.
- Wever, Dennis
- Yong, V. Wee
- Hafler, David A.
- Compston, Alastair
- Zipp, Frauke
- Harbo, Hanne F.
- Hemmer, Bernhard
- Goris, An
- Smolders, Joost
- Hauser, Stephen L.
- Kockum, Ingrid
- Sawcer, Stephen J.
- Baranzini, Sergio E.
- Jónsdóttir, Ingileif
- Blanco, Yolanda
- Saiz, Albert
- Villoslada, Pablo
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2023-06-28
- Volume
- 619
- Issue
- 7969
- Pages
- 323-331
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- PMC
- PMC10602210
- OpenAlex
- W4382394400
- Semantic Scholar
- 69e4ed42c45dbea6fe4d5c4bc9018e4a7b0c984f
- Cited by
- 243
- References
- 115
- Citations by year
- 2026: 62 · 2025: 69 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 40.76
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Pure Amsterdam UMC (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- KNAW research portal (Royal Academy of Art and Sciences (KNAW)) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca (Universita Degli Studi Di Milano) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Open access LMU (Ludwid Maxmilian's Universitat Munchen) (submittedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UWA Profiles and Research Repository (UWA) (submittedVersion)
- UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) (submittedVersion)
- Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca - Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele (submittedVersion)
- Institutional Research Information System University of Turin (University of Turin) (submittedVersion)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion)
- Lirias (KU Leuven) (submittedVersion)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- NOVA (University of Newcastle Australia) (submittedVersion)
- Apollo (cc-by)
- Funders
- National Multiple Sclerosis Society (733161, RG‐1707‐28657, FAN-1808-32256, JF-1808-32223)
- Bristol-Myers Squibb Foundation
- Amgen
- Bristol-Myers Squibb
- Eli Lilly and Company
- Sanofi
- Yale University
- Biogen
- Kaiser Permanente
- Teva Pharmaceutical Industries
- Alexion Pharmaceuticals
- Celgene
- Helsingin Yliopisto
- Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
- TG Therapeutics
- Race to Erase MS
- International Progressive MS Alliance (PA-1604-08492)
- Disarm Therapeutics
- Multiple Sclerosis Society of Canada (FAN-1808-32256)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research
- Multiple Sclerosis Society (JF-1808-32223, RG-1707-28657, PA-1604-08492)
- European Commission (733161, HORIZON2020)
- University of Tasmania
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (TR‐128, EXC 2145, EXC 2145SyNergy, 390857198, CRC TR-128)
- Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
- Sun Yat-sen University
- Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (FWO G.07334.15, G.07334.15, 11ZZZ21N)
- Ministero della Salute (RF-2016-02361294)
- KU Leuven (C24/16/045)
- Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse
- Max-Planck-Gesellschaft
- Vetenskapsrådet (2020-01638)
- Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale (733161)
- Forskningsrådet om Hälsa, Arbetsliv och Välfärd
- Red Española de Esclerosis Múltiple (RD16/0015/0002,, RD16/0015/0003)
- Vlaamse regering
- Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation
- Menzies Institute for Medical Research
- Idorsia Pharmaceuticals
- Multiple Sclerosis Society of Western Australia
- National Institutes of Health (RG-1707-28657, JF-1808-32223, R01ES017080, R01NS049510, R01AI076544, R01NS099240)
- Genentech
- EMD Serono
- University of California, San Francisco
- Sanofi Genzyme
- Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research
- Instituto de Salud Carlos III (PI15/00587, PI18/01030, RD16/0015/0002, RD16/0015/0003)
- Erasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum Rotterdam
- NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre
- National Institute of Nursing Research (R01 NR017431)
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (R01AI076544)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (R01 NS096212, R01 NS099240, R35 NS111644, R01 NS 049510)
- National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (R01 ES017080)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Multiple Sclerosis Research Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Psoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis
- Keywords
- multiple sclerosis, disease progression, disease severity, neurodegeneration, educational attainment, brainstem pathology, cortical pathology, heritability enrichment
- MeSH terms
- Dysferlin, Aging, Brain, Brain Stem, DNA-Binding Proteins, Educational Status, Hexosyltransferases, Homozygote, Humans, Membrane Proteins, Multiple Sclerosis, Time Factors, Transcription Factors, Case-Control Studies, RNA-Binding Proteins, Disease Progression, Mobility Limitation, Genome-Wide Association Study, Young Adult, Cognitive Reserve, Protective Factors
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-13.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-13.
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Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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