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Comparing the Areas under Two or More Correlated Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves: A Nonparametric Approach
Abstract
Methods of evaluating and comparing the performance of diagnostic tests are of increasing importance as new tests are developed and marketed. When a test is based on an observed variable that lies on a continuous or graded scale, an assessment of the overall value of the test can be made through the use of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The curve is constructed by varying the cutpoint used to determine which values of the observed variable will be considered abnormal and then plotting the resulting sensitivities against the corresponding false positive rates. When two or more empirical curves are constructed based on tests performed on the same individuals, statistical analysis on differences between curves must take into account the correlated nature of the data. This paper presents a nonparametric approach to the analysis of areas under correlated ROC curves, by using the theory on generalized U-statistics to generate an estimated covariance matrix.
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“The results showed that GRU-D++ was significantly better than SWIFT (p < 0.001).”
From AI-Driven Predictions of Readmission and Mortality for Improved Discharge Decisions in Critical Care: A Retrospective Study (2026) · cites this paper as [23]
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Artificial Intelligence Electrocardiogram and Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction in Kenya
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Validation of a Retrospective Computing Model for Mortality Risk in the Intensive Care Unit
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Criterion Validity of the WAIS-IV Cognitive Proficiency Index (CPI)
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Predicting Food Insecurity in a Pediatric Population Using the Electronic Health Record
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Development and Validation of Computable Social Phenotypes for Health‐Related Social Needs
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“All data, materials and code to reproduce the LLM data collection are publicly available at: https://osf.io/rcz6s/?view_only=82e087f3c0a64b0aaf6039094cfc5c9c.”
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Cross-Model Agreement as a Deployment-Time Reliability Signal for Automatic Polyp Segmentation
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“Pairwise comparisons between correlated ROC curves were performed using DeLong’s test [26] to determine whether observed differences between competing quality estimation methods were statistically significant.”
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Metadata
- Authors
- DeLong, E. R., DeLong, D. M., & Clarke-Pearson, D. L.
- Affiliations
- IQVIA (United States) (US)
- IQVIA (United Kingdom) (GB)
- ORCID
- DeLong, Elizabeth R.
- Venue
- Biometrics
- Publisher
- JSTOR
- Published
- 1988-09
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 837
- ISSN
- 0006-341X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2328176404
- Cited by
- 22,649
- References
- 12
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1897 · 2025: 1546 · 2024: 1644 · 2023: 1628 · 2022: 1861 · 2021: 1946 · 2020: 1651 · 2019: 1364 · 2018: 1193 · 2017: 1076 · 2016: 1001 · 2015: 924 · 2014: 775 · 2013: 745 · 2012: 621
- FWCI
- 4.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Biometrics (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Health Services Research and Development
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Keywords
- receiver operating characteristic, area under the ROC curve, diagnostic test comparison, nonparametric covariance estimation, sensitivity and false positive rate
- MeSH terms
- Algorithms, Analysis of Variance, Female, Humans, Intestinal Obstruction, Ovarian Neoplasms, Predictive Value of Tests, ROC Curve, Models, Statistical
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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