A meta‐analysis of coffee, myocardial infarction, and coronary death
Abstract
This paper presents a meta-analysis of 22 studies of coffee use and myocardial infarction or coronary death. In the eight case-control studies, a fairly homogeneous increased risk was found among coffee users (geometric mean rate ratio of 1.42 for 5 cups per day vs none, with 95% confidence limits of 1.30, 1.55, homogeneity P-value of 0.89). The 14 cohort studies tended to exhibit lower but very heterogeneous rate ratios, with a trend toward larger rate ratios in studies with longer follow-up periods and later publication dates (geometric mean rate ratio of 0.92 for the five cohort studies published up to 1981, 1.27 for the nine cohort studies published in 1986 or later; overall homogeneity P-value of 0.0008). The evidence thus remains ambiguous regarding both the existence and size of a coffee effect, and although a rate ratio of over 1.5 for 5 cups per day appears unlikely, stronger effects for 10-cup-per-day drinkers cannot be ruled out.
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Previous meta-analyses have consistently reported positive associations between habitual consumption of caffeine-containing foods and beverages, mostly coffee, and the risk of cardiovascular disease from case-control studies, but not from prospective cohort studies.
“Previous meta-analyses have consistently reported positive associations between habitual consumption of caffeine-containing foods and beverages (mostly coffee) and the risk of CVD from case-control studies, but not from prospective cohort studies (Greenland, 1993;Kawachi et al., 1994;Sofi et al., 2007).”
From Scientific Opinion on the safety of caffeine (2015) · cites this paper as Greenland, 1993
Case-control studies, which are prone to recall bias and selection bias, tended to show a positive association between coffee consumption and CVD risk, whereas cohort studies generally showed a null association.
“Case-control studies, which are prone to recall bias and selection bias, tended to show a positive association, whereas cohort studies generally showed a null association.10”
From Long-Term Coffee Consumption and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Systematic Review and a Dose–Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies (2014) · cites this paper as [10]
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- Authors
- Greenland, S.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- Corresponding author
- Greenland, Sander
- ORCID
- Greenland, Sander
- Venue
- Epidemiology
- Published
- 1993-07
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 366-374
- ISSN
- 1044-3983 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2039839041
- Cited by
- 163
- References
- 40
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 7 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 1.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Coffee research and impacts
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Alcohol Consumption and Health Effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Keywords
- coffee consumption, myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease mortality, cardiovascular risk, dose-response relationship
- MeSH terms
- California, Coffee, Female, Humans, Male, Myocardial Infarction, Regression Analysis, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies, Case-Control Studies
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