Cited by 1,108Dementia and Cognitive Impairment ResearchAlzheimer's disease research and treatmentsPsychological Testing and Assessment

Accuracy of the Clinical Diagnosis of Alzheimer Disease at National Institute on Aging Alzheimer Disease Centers, 2005–2010

Open access
Beach, Thomas G., Monsell, Sarah E., Phillips, Leslie E., Kukull, Walter·2012·Journal of Neuropathology & Experimental Neurology

Abstract

The neuropathologic examination is considered to provide the gold standard for Alzheimer disease (AD). To determine the accuracy of currently used clinical diagnostic methods, clinical and neuropathologic data from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center, which gathers information from the network of National Institute on Aging (NIA)-sponsored Alzheimer Disease Centers (ADCs), were collected as part of the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center Uniform Data Set (UDS) between 2005 and 2010. A database search initially included all 1198 subjects with at least one UDS clinical assessment and who had died and been autopsied; 279 were excluded as being not demented or because critical data fields were missing. The final subject number was 919. Sensitivity and specificity were determined based on "probable" and "possible" AD levels of clinical confidence and 4 levels of neuropathologic confidence based on varying neuritic plaque densities and Braak neurofibrillary stages. Sensitivity ranged from 70.9% to 87.3%; specificity ranged from 44.3% to 70.8%. Sensitivity was generally increased with more permissive clinical criteria and specificity was increased with more restrictive criteria, whereas the opposite was true for neuropathologic criteria. When a clinical diagnosis was not confirmed by minimum levels of AD histopathology, the most frequent primary neuropathologic diagnoses were tangle-only dementia or argyrophilic grain disease, frontotemporal lobar degeneration, cerebrovascular disease, Lewy body disease and hippocampal sclerosis. When dementia was not clinically diagnosed as AD, 39% of these cases met or exceeded minimum threshold levels of AD histopathology. Neurologists of the NIA-ADCs had higher predictive accuracy when they diagnosed AD in subjects with dementia than when they diagnosed dementing diseases other than AD. The misdiagnosis rate should be considered when estimating subject numbers for AD studies, including clinical trials and epidemiologic studies.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1097/nen.0b013e31824b211b

Cites

56 of 56 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

21 of 46 cited sources checked · 4 supported · 1 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    The last diagnostic accuracy studies utilizing a complete ADC dataset were performed in 1998 and 1999.

    “the last diagnostic accuracy studies utilizing a complete ADC dataset were performed in 1998 and 1999 (4, 23)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [4] source

      The Subjects section describes a diagnostic study using patients from 26 Alzheimer's disease centers, and the Results report diagnostic sensitivity and specificity. The Results also say complete information was available for only 2,188 of 3,177 patients. This 1998 paper does not establish that its dataset was complete or that the last such studies were performed in 1998 and 1999. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [23] source
  • Premisecitation

    NIA-Reagan provides instructions for classification of only 3 of 25 possible combinations of CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak stage.

    “Because of 25 possible combinations of CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak neurofibrillary stage, NIA-Reagan provides instructions for classification of only 3 (32, 38).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [32] source

      The Introduction (page unavailable) describes three NIA-Reagan likelihood categories and says off-diagonal plaque–tangle pairings are not clearly addressed. It does not support the count of 25 possible combinations: it describes four CERAD tiers and Braak stages 0–VI. The three categories also cover ranges of Braak stages, rather than just three individual combinations. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [38] source
  • Interpretationcitation

    Phenotype is not rigidly linked to etiology and may be moldable to a large extent by an individual's genetic and epigenetic background and/or total environmental exposure.

    “These findings suggest that phenotype is not rigidly linked to etiology and may be moldable to a large extent by an individual's genetic and epigenetic background and/or total environmental exposure.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 4 sources checked
    • cites [44] source

      The introductory passage following the Abstract conclusion says GRN-associated frontotemporal lobar degeneration is clinically heterogeneous even among relatives with the same mutation, and identifies nonmendelian genetic risk factors. This supports the suggestion that phenotype is not rigidly determined by the causal mutation, but the paper does not establish a large effect of epigenetic background or environmental exposure. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [45] Larner, 2009, Genotype-phenotype relationships of presenilin-1 mutations in Alzheimer's disease: An update, J Alzheimer Dis source
    • cites [46] source

      The Comment section (page unavailable) reports marked clinical heterogeneity among family members likely to share a single disease-causing mutation, supporting the point that this disease’s phenotype is not fixed by its apparent etiology. The paper does not attribute that variation to genetic or epigenetic background or environmental exposure, nor establish how extensively those factors mold phenotype. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [47] Wszolek, 2009, Frontotemporal dementia and parkinsonism linked to chromosome 17 (FTDP-17), Orphanet J Rare Dis source

      The Abstract and Genetic counseling sections (pages not supplied) report that the FTDP-17 phenotype can vary even among people with the same mutation, supporting the point that phenotype is not rigidly determined by etiology. Unresolved questions suggests that genetic modifiers and environmental factors may influence its expression, but does not mention epigenetic background, total environmental exposure, or influence 'to a large extent.' (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Correlation studies between molecular genetics and neuropathology indicate that for several autosomal dominant dementias, the presenting clinical phenotype may vary widely, from various dementia subtypes to parkinsonism to motor neuron disease-like, even among individuals with the same causative mutation.

    “Correlation studies between molecular genetics and neuropathology also indicate that for several autosomal dominant dementias, the presenting clinical phenotype may vary widely, from various dementia subtypes to parkinsonism to motor neuron disease-like, even among individuals with the same causative mutation (44-47).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 4 sources checked
    • cites [44] source

      The introductory passage following the Abstract conclusion (page unavailable) says GRN-associated frontotemporal lobar degeneration is clinically heterogeneous even among family members with the same mutation. The Results report dementia and parkinsonian diagnoses, but describe motor neuron disease as uncommon and concomitant, not a typical presenting phenotype. This paper addresses GRN-associated disease, so it does not by itself establish the claim across several autosomal dominant dementias. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [45] Larner, 2009, Genotype-phenotype relationships of presenilin-1 mutations in Alzheimer's disease: An update, J Alzheimer Dis source
    • cites [46] source

      The Results (Clinical features) and Comment describe markedly different presentations—including FTD, ALS and Parkinsonism—within one family with autosomal dominant FTD/ALS. But the Genetics section identifies a shared chromosome 9p21 haplotype, not a causative mutation, and the paper does not establish this pattern across several autosomal dominant dementias. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [47] Wszolek, 2009, Frontotemporal dementia and parkinsonism linked to chromosome 17 (FTDP-17), Orphanet J Rare Dis source

      The Abstract says FTDP-17 phenotypes vary even within families carrying the same mutation. The Clinical description (Phenotype-genotype correlations; Symptoms and signs) describes dementia-predominant and parkinsonism-predominant presentations and motor neuron dysfunction. The paper addresses FTDP-17, not several autosomal dominant dementias, and does not establish motor neuron disease-like illness as a presenting phenotype. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    The new NIA criteria use the same combination of moderate or frequent neuritic plaques and Braak stage III-VI as the minimum lesion density necessary for attributing the cause of dementia to AD.

    “The new NIA criteria use the same combination of NPs and Braak stage as the minimum lesion density necessary for attributing the cause of dementia to AD (39, 40).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [39] source

      The Classification section defines moderate or frequent neuritic plaques and Braak stages III–VI as scores used by the new criteria. But it requires a third measure, Aβ plaque score, to classify AD neuropathologic change; the Reporting section says an intermediate or high overall level, rather than the stated two-measure combination alone, is an adequate explanation of dementia. Our copy provides no page numbers for these passages. (LLM, conf=0.87)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [40] source

      The Classification section says the new criteria use Braak stage and neuritic-plaque score, but also require an Aβ-plaque score as part of the ABC score. The Reporting section says intermediate or high AD neuropathologic change can adequately explain dementia; the passages do not establish moderate or frequent neuritic plaques plus Braak stage III–VI as the minimum sufficient combination. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims. 27
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 25
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    One study has reported no evident selection bias between autopsied and non-autopsied subjects among an incident community-diagnosed dementia series, suggesting that dementia case composition may not be substantially different in different settings.

    “However, one study has reported no evident selection bias between autopsied and non-autopsied subjects among an incident community-diagnosed dementia series, suggesting that dementia case composition may not be substantially different in different settings (48).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [48] source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 1 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The shortcomings of the NIA-Reagan criteria have been recognized and a revised set of criteria are currently in press.

    “The shortcomings of the NIA-Reagan criteria have been recognized and a revised set of criteria are currently in press (39, 40).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In a recent multivariate analysis, approximately two-thirds of the variation in cognitive ability of elderly subjects was accounted for by variation in CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak stage.

    “In a recent multivariate analysis, approximately two-thirds of the variation in cognitive ability of elderly subjects was accounted for by variation in CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak stage (41).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [41] source

      The Results section (page not provided) says that more than two-thirds of MMSE-score variability in the elderly autopsy cohort was associated with Alzheimer-type pathology, specifically neurofibrillary tangles and neuritic plaques. It does not attribute that figure to CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak stage as the two measures in the claim; the Discussion describes its findings as compatible with Braak staging. (LLM, conf=0.89)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    There is relatively close agreement with the last 2 prior assessments using total NIA-ADC dataset: Mayeux et al estimated sensitivity 93% and specificity 55% and Tsuang et al reported sensitivity 84% and specificity 50%.

    “There is also relatively close agreement with the last 2 prior assessments of diagnostic accuracy using the total NIA-ADC dataset: Mayeux et al estimated a sensitivity of 93% and a specificity of 55% (4) and Tsuang et al reported a sensitivity of 84% and a specificity of 50% (23).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [4] source
    • cites [23] source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Due to idiosyncratic assignment of NIA-Reagan categories from case to case, we instead stratified by all relevant combinations of CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak stage.

    “Due to the idiosyncratic assignment of these categories from case to case (32), we instead stratified by all relevant combinations of the deterministic histopathological scores, consisting of the CERAD-defined neuritic plaque density score (29) and the Braak neurofibrillary tangle stage (33).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [32] source

      The Results report relatively low consistency in NIA-Reagan category assignments for cases outside the guidelines, supporting the concern behind the citing authors’ choice. But they also report high consistency for cases that match the guidelines, so the source does not support describing assignments as idiosyncratic across cases generally. The decision to stratify by CERAD and Braak scores is the citing authors’ own method, not a finding attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Measures of all biomarkers studied to date have considerable overlap with those found in other types of dementia and cognitively normal elderly, making it difficult to determine whether cognitive impairment is due to AD or another process.

    “because measures of all biomarkers studied to date have considerable overlap with those found other types of dementia (as well the cognitively normal elderly population), it remains difficult to determine whether or not cognitive impairment is due to AD or another more dominant and concurrent process.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [1] source

      The section ‘Biomarker abnormalities precede clinical symptoms’ (page not provided) reports amyloid-biomarker abnormalities in 20–40% of cognitively normal elderly people, and ‘AD clinical features and pathological changes’ notes that dementia in older patients often has multiple underlying pathologies. The ‘Biomarkers of neurodegeneration’ section also says CSF tau is not specific to AD. These passages support diagnostic ambiguity, but not the broader assertion that all biomarkers studied have considerable overlap with both other dementias and cognitively normal elderly people. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In the revision of the 1997 criteria, combinations of plaque and tangle pathologies considered sufficient to cause dementia and qualify for the neuropathological diagnosis of AD are explicitly stated.

    “In the revision of the 1997 criteria, combinations of plaque and tangle pathologies considered sufficient to cause dementia and qualify for the neuropathological diagnosis of AD are explicitly stated (40, 41).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [40] source
    • cites [41] source

      The Neuropathology section describes how the study counted plaques and tangles, but does not state what combinations qualify for an AD diagnosis or are sufficient to cause dementia. Searches for the 1997 criteria, their revision, and diagnostic thresholds found no passage addressing that claim in our copy; the other relevant matches were in the References section. (LLM, conf=0.72)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    New clinical diagnostic consensus criteria have now been finalized under the auspices of the NIA and Alzheimer's Association, with novel features including recognition of a preclinical stage of AD and the incorporation of imaging and laboratory-based cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers.

    “New clinical diagnostic consensus criteria have now been finalized under the auspices of the NIA and Alzheimer's Association (52), with novel features including recognition of a preclinical stage of AD and the incorporation of imaging and laboratory-based cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [52] source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Amyloid staging may be of immediate clinical diagnostic utility when used to guide amyloid imaging as the progression of amyloid plaques beyond the cortex appears to be a useful marker of higher Braak tangle stage and of the presence of dementia.

    “Amyloid staging may be of immediate clinical diagnostic utility when used to guide amyloid imaging as the progression of amyloid plaques beyond the cortex appears to be a useful marker of higher Braak tangle stage and of the presence of dementia (49, 50).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [49] Thal, 2002, Phases of A beta-deposition in the human brain and its relevance for the development of AD, Neurology source
    • cites [50] Beach, 2012, Striatal amyloid plaque density predicts Braak neurofibrillary stage and clinicopathological Alzheimer's disease: Implications for amyloid imaging, J Alzheimer Dis source

      Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The most frequent primary neuropathological diagnoses in these 164 cases were frontotemporal lobar degeneration (60), Lewy body disease (39), Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (20), and progressive supranuclear palsy (18).

    “The most frequent primary neuropathological diagnoses in these cases were frontotemporal lobar degeneration (60 cases), followed by Lewy body disease (39 cases), Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (20 cases) and progressive supranuclear palsy (18 cases).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The mean age of the 'not AD' group was significantly lower than that of the probable or possible AD groups (72.8, 81.2 and 83.2 years, respectively).

    “The mean age of the “not AD” group was significantly lower than that of the probable or possible AD groups (72.8, 81.2 and 83.2 years, respectively).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Sensitivity of clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer disease ranged from 70.9% to 87.3% and specificity ranged from 44.3% to 70.8% across stratified clinical and neuropathological criteria.

    “Sensitivity ranged from 70.9% to 87.3%; specificity ranged from 44.3% to 70.8%.”
    • Also stated in: § Diagnostic Classification Comparison · plain
      “Sensitivity ranged from 70.9% to 87.3% and specificity ranged from 44.3% to 70.8%.”
    • Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
      “We found that sensitivity for AD diagnosis ranged from 70.9% to 87.3% whereas specificity ranged from 44.3% to 70.8%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The positive predictive value for clinical diagnosis of AD ranged from 46.0% to 83.3%, with best result for probable AD and moderate/frequent neuritic plaques with Braak stage III-VI.

    “The PPV for the clinical diagnosis of AD ranged from 46.0% to 83.3%, with the best result achieved when the clinical diagnosis was defined by probable AD and the neuropathological diagnosis as moderate or frequent neuritic plaques with Braak stage III-VI (the prevalence of subjects at or above this histopathological threshold was 67.2%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For the set of minimum neuropathological criteria (CERAD moderate/frequent and Braak III-VI), sensitivity and specificity of clinical diagnosis of probable AD were each approximately 71%, whereas for combined probable and possible AD sensitivity was about 83% with specificity about 55%.

    “For the set of minimum neuropathological criteria that are perhaps most commonly used to define AD (i.e. CERAD neuritic plaque density of ‘moderate” or “frequent” and Braak stage III-VI), the sensitivity and specificity of the clinical diagnosis of “probable AD” were each approximately 71%, whereas for “combined “probable” and possible AD” sensitivity was about 83% with specificity about 55%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Sensitivity generally increased with more permissive clinical criteria and specificity increased with more restrictive clinical criteria, whereas the opposite was true for neuropathological criteria.

    “Sensitivity was generally increased with more permissive clinical criteria and specificity was increased with more restrictive criteria, whereas the opposite was true for neuropathological criteria.”
    • Also stated in: § Diagnostic Classification Comparison · plain
      “In general, sensitivity was increased with more permissive clinical criteria and specificity was increased with more restrictive clinical criteria, whereas the opposite was true for neuropathological criteria.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Of 526 subjects diagnosed as clinically probable AD, 438 were confirmed as neuropathological AD and 88 did not meet neuropathological criteria.

    “Of the 526 subjects diagnosed as clinically probable AD, 438 were confirmed as neuropathological AD, as defined above, and 88 did not meet neuropathological criteria.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    A small number of cases received primary neuropathological diagnoses of progressive supranuclear palsy (3), corticobasal degeneration (2), neuroaxonal dystrophy/Hallervorden-Spatz-like disease (2), and several miscellaneous diagnoses (1 each).

    “A small number of cases received primary neuropathological diagnoses of progressive supranuclear palsy (3 cases), corticobasal degeneration (2 cases) and neuroaxonal dystrophy/Hallervorden-Spatz-like disease (2 cases); there were several other miscellaneous neuropathological diagnoses (1 case each) (Table 4).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    When a clinical diagnosis was not confirmed by minimum levels of AD histopathology, the most frequent primary neuropathological diagnoses were tangle-only dementia or argyrophilic grain disease, frontotemporal lobar degeneration, cerebrovascular disease, Lewy body disease and hippocampal sclerosis.

    “When a clinical diagnosis was not confirmed by minimum levels of AD histopathology, the most frequent primary neuropathological diagnoses were tangle-only dementia or argyrophilic grain disease, frontotemporal lobar degeneration, cerebrovascular”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Many cases had contributing neuropathological diagnoses in addition to their primary diagnosis; the most frequent contributing diagnoses were similar to the most frequent primary diagnoses.

    “Many cases had contributing neuropathological diagnoses in addition to their primary diagnosis; the most frequent contributing diagnoses were similar to the most frequent primary diagnoses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    There was a high rate of multiple neuropathological diagnoses in demented subjects, whereas clinicians rarely assign more than one diagnosis.

    “While not formally analyzed here, we did note a high rate of multiple neuropathological diagnoses in demented subjects whereas clinicians rarely assign more than one diagnosis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The excluded subjects significantly differed from the 919 included subjects in terms of age, gender distribution and AD-related histopathological scores, but not in the mean interval last clinical assessment and death.

    “The excluded subjects significantly differed from the 919 included subjects in terms of age, gender distribution and AD-related histopathological scores, but not in the mean interval last clinical assessment and death.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    There have been several changes in neuropathological diagnostic criteria, including Khachaturian 1985, Tierney 1988, CERAD 1991, NIA-Reagan 1997.

    “there have been several changes in neuropathological diagnostic criteria, including the “Khachaturian criteria” of 1985 (27), the “Tierney” criteria of 1988 (28), The Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (CERAD) criteria in 1991 (29), and the National Institute on Aging (NIA)-Reagan criteria in 1997 (30).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked
    • cites [27] source
    • cites [28] source
    • cites [29] source
    • cites [30] source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    Neuropathological examination is considered to provide the gold standard for Alzheimer disease.

    “The neuropathological examination is considered to provide the gold standard for Alzheimer disease (AD).”
    • Also stated in: § Introduction · boosted
      “it is generally accepted that histological examination is the best indicator of AD diagnosis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The NIA-Reagan criteria are the most current guidelines for neuropathological diagnosis of AD.

    “For the neuropathological diagnosis of AD, the NIA-Reagan criteria (30) are the most current guidelines”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [30] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    In most studies, sensitivity is relatively high while specificity is low and many studies have reported only sensitivity or positive predictive value, which has led to a false impression that the clinical diagnosis of AD is extremely accurate.

    “In most studies, sensitivity is relatively high while specificity is low and many studies have reported only sensitivity or positive predictive value, which has led to a false impression that the clinical diagnosis of AD is extremely accurate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    With an estimated response rate to a trial medication of 50%, a 20% misdiagnosis rate would lower the actual response rate to 40% (if non-AD dementia subjects do not respond to the medication), which would require an approximate doubling of subject recruitment to maintain statistical power.

    “For example, with an estimated response rate to a trial medication of 50%, a 20% misdiagnosis rate would lower the actual response rate to 40% (if non-AD dementia subjects do not respond to the medication), which would require an approximate doubling of subject recruitment to maintain statistical power.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    While the clinical diagnosis of AD often is validated by neuropathological examination, a clinical diagnosis of a non-AD dementia is often not verified by neuropathology.

    “While the clinical diagnosis of AD often is validated by neuropathological examination, a clinical diagnosis of a non-AD dementia is often not verified by neuropathology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    It is important, for current research and clinical usage, to obtain more appropriate figures.

    “it is important, for current research and clinical usage, to obtain more appropriate figures.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Premisereasoning

    Because many studies have reported only sensitivity or positive predictive value, a general impression has arisen that the clinical diagnosis of AD is extremely accurate.

    “Because many studies have reported only sensitivity or positive predictive value, a general impression has arisen that the clinical diagnosis of AD is extremely accurate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    The data analyzed in this study have been collected as part of NACC UDS since 2005 and thus represent the most current research practices.

    “The data analyzed in this study have been collected as part of the NACC Uniform Data Set (UDS) since 2005 (31) and thus represent the most current research practices.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The 3 groups did not significantly differ in the mean interval between last clinical assessment and death.

    “The 3 groups did not significantly differ in the mean interval between last clinical assessment and death.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Sensitivity estimates have ranged between 41% and 100% (median 87%), while specificity has ranged between 37% and 100% (median 58%).

    “Sensitivity estimates have ranged between 41% and 100% (median of 87%), while specificity has ranged between 37% and 100% (median of 58%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites 2-25

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    A large fraction of subjects are not classifiable by NIA-Reagan criteria and the neuropathologist is left to make an arbitrary assignment.

    “Thus, a large fraction of subjects are not classifiable by NIA-Reagan criteria and the neuropathologist is left to make an arbitrary assignment.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The gender distribution was generally skewed towards more males but did not significantly differ among groups.

    “The gender distribution was generally skewed towards more males but did not significantly differ among groups.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    The NIA-Reagan criteria do not give entirely specific guidelines for making the diagnosis, but rather set probability levels.

    “These, however, do not give entirely specific guidelines for making the diagnosis, but rather set probability levels, given threshold levels of histopathological severity (CERAD neuritic plaque density and Braak neurofibrillary stage) for when dementia may be due to AD.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Even a modest level of diagnostic misclassification could have a significant effect on clinical trial calculations for minimum subject number and thus should be considered in clinical trial planning.

    “However, even a modest level of diagnostic misclassification could have a significant effect on clinical trial calculations for minimum subject number and thus should be considered in clinical trial planning.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Nelson et al estimated that 18% of subjects with dementia fell outside of the NIA-Reagan guidelines.

    “In a recent examination of NACC data, Nelson et al estimated that 18% of subjects with dementia fell outside of the NIA-Reagan guidelines (34);”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [34] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    It is likely that individual subjects will vary in their ability to withstand a given lesion density (perhaps due to cognitive reserve), differences in genetic background or differences in environmental exposures.

    “It is likely that, just as some subjects with 90% coronary artery stenosis suffer myocardial infarctions and some do not, individual subjects will vary in their ability to withstand a given lesion density (perhaps due to “cognitive reserve”), differences in genetic background or differences in environmental exposures.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    For selecting subjects for clinical trials, the relatively high sensitivity is somewhat reassuring because it means that a relatively small percentage of non-AD subjects will be included in clinical trials.

    “For selecting subjects for clinical trials, the relatively high sensitivity is somewhat reassuring because it means that a relatively small percentage of non-AD subjects will be included in clinical trials.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because ADCs are tertiary referral centers, diagnostic accuracy rates may differ from those achieved in secondary or primary care settings.

    “Because ADCs are tertiary referral centers, diagnostic accuracy rates may differ from those that may be achieved in secondary or primary care settings.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Patients with a more complex clinical syndrome are more likely to be referred to a tertiary care center.
    • Rests on an assumption: The greater level of neurological expertise at tertiary care centers contributes to more accurate diagnoses.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisereasoning

    Definitive recommendations on which of the 3 NIA-Reagan levels should be attained to justify conclusion that dementia is due primarily to AD have not been defined.

    “Thus there are “low,” “intermediate” and “high” probability designations for classifying autopsy subjects although definitive recommendations on which of these 3 levels should be attained to justify the conclusion that dementia is due primarily to AD have not been defined.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Although neuropathological consensus criteria for AD have changed several times over the last 3 decades, the clinical criteria have remained virtually unchanged since the NINCDS-ADRDA-sponsored criteria published in 1984.

    “Although neuropathological consensus criteria for AD have changed several times over the last 3 decades, the clinical criteria have remained virtually unchanged since the NINCDS-ADRDA-sponsored criteria published in 1984 (6).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [6] McKeel, 2004, Neuropathologic criteria for diagnosing Alzheimer disease in persons with pure dementia of Alzheimer type, J Neuropathol Exp Neurol source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    AD has generally been attributed to be the neuropathological cause in between 65% and 75% of dementia cases.

    “AD has generally been attributed to be the neuropathological cause in between 65% and 75% of dementia cases (42, 43).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [42] source
    • cites [43] Brayne, 2009, Neuropathological correlates of dementia in over-80-year-old brain donors from the population-based Cambridge city over-75s cohort (CC75C) study, J Alzheimer Dis source
43 of 43
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Biopsy has long been contraindicated for AD due to a high risk/benefit ratio.

    “For many disorders this is possible during life through biopsy but biopsy has long been contraindicated for AD due to a high risk/benefit ratio.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The consensus of expert opinion has required that the clinically documented presence of dementia be part of the definition of AD.

    “Indeed, until the present time the consensus of expert opinion has required that the clinically documented presence of dementia be part of the definition of AD.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It has been the common practice for both clinical and neuropathological diagnostic definitions of AD to require the presence of dementia.

    “Subjects without dementia were excluded because it has been the common practice for both clinical and neuropathological diagnostic definitions of AD to require the presence of dementia.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Non-demented subjects are not generally classified as AD.

    “Therefore, non-demented subjects are not generally classified as AD.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The available body of knowledge does not allow neuropathologists to be dogmatic about exactly how much plaque and tangle pathology is necessary to cause dementia.

    “We feel that our approach here has been cautious as the available body of knowledge does not allow neuropathologists to be dogmatic about exactly how much plaque and tangle pathology is necessary to cause dementia.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The clinical methods for diagnosing AD have not changed substantially since the introduction of NINDS-ADRDA criteria in 1984.

    “whereas the clinical methods for diagnosing AD have not changed substantially since the introduction of the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke-Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association (NINDS-ADRDA) criteria in 1984 (26)”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    A large fraction of cognitively unimpaired elderly possesses sparse neuritic plaques and/or Braak stages 0-II.

    “Lowering the lesion density threshold further (e.g. allowing sparse neuritic plaques and/or Braak stages 0-II) seemed counterintuitive because a large fraction of cognitively unimpaired elderly possesses such attributes.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Patients with a more complex clinical syndrome are more likely to be referred to a tertiary care center.

    “For example, patients with a more complex clinical syndrome are more likely to be referred to a tertiary care center.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The greater level of neurological expertise at tertiary care centers contributes to more accurate diagnoses.

    “On the other hand, the greater level of neurological expertise at these centers would presumably contribute to more accurate diagnoses.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Large reported autopsy series are only done in tertiary care settings.

    “Because large reported autopsy series are only done in tertiary care settings, it is not possible to know for certain whether such differences exist.”
10 of 10

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Physicians struggle with accurate and reliable diagnostics even when multimodality is present, as proven by histopathological correlation.

    “while physicians struggle with accurate and reliable diagnostics even when multimodality is present, as proven by histopathological correlation42.”

    From Fusion of medical imaging and electronic health records using deep learning: a systematic review and implementation guidelines (2020) · cites this paper as [42]

    The Results (Diagnostic Classification Comparison; page unavailable) show imperfect agreement between clinical Alzheimer disease diagnoses and neuropathological findings, supporting the point that clinicians can have difficulty diagnosing AD accurately against a histopathological standard. The Materials and Methods (Analysis Strategy; page unavailable) do not establish that the clinical diagnoses used multiple diagnostic modalities, and the study does not assess diagnostic reliability. Its findings concern AD at participating disease centers, not physicians’ diagnostics generally. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Common non-AD dementias such as vascular dementia, Lewy body dementia, and frontotemporal dementia widen the differential diagnosis of neurodegenerative conditions and contribute to variability in diagnostic sensitivity and specificity.

    “common causes of dementias outside of AD such as vascular dementia (VD), Lewy body dementia (LBD), and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) widen the differential diagnosis of neurodegenerative conditions and contribute to variability in diagnostic sensitivity and specificity12.”

    From Multimodal deep learning for Alzheimer's disease dementia assessment (2022) · cites this paper as [12]

    The Results (Analysis of Mismatched Clinical and Neuropathological Diagnoses; page unavailable) identify frontotemporal lobar degeneration, Lewy body disease, and cerebrovascular disease among non-AD findings. The Discussion says alternate causes make dementia diagnosis relatively nonspecific and reports varying sensitivity and specificity, but attributes those measured ranges to changes in diagnostic criteria, not specifically to the three named conditions. (LLM, conf=0.83)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Beach et al found that sensitivity of clinical AD diagnosis ranged from 70.9% to 87.3% and specificity from 44.3% to 70.8%.

    “Beach et al (6) found that sensitivity ranged from 70.9% to 87.3% and specificity from 44.3% to 70.8%.”

Cites

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Authors
Beach, T. G., Monsell, S. E., Phillips, L. E., & Kukull, W.
Affiliations
  • Banner Sun Health Research Institute (US)
  • University of Washington (US)
Corresponding author
Beach, Thomas G.
Venue
Journal of Neuropathology & Experimental Neurology
Published
2012-04
Volume
71
Issue
4
Pages
266-273
ISSN
  • 0022-3069 (ISSN-L)
  • 1554-6578
OpenAlex
W1974300727
Cited by
1,103
References
56
Citations by year
2026: 71 · 2025: 94 · 2024: 94 · 2023: 92 · 2022: 91 · 2021: 84 · 2020: 117 · 2019: 90 · 2018: 74 · 2017: 69 · 2016: 66 · 2015: 71 · 2014: 34 · 2013: 46 · 2012: 9
FWCI
36.35
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of Neuropathology & Experimental Neurology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
Funders
  • Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Research (P30 AG19610)
  • Arizona Department of Health Services (P30 AG19610, U01 AG016976)
  • National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (U01AG016976)
  • Arizona Biomedical Research Commission (P30 AG19610)
  • National Institute on Aging (U01AG016976, P30AG019610, U19AG010483)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Alzheimer's disease research and treatments
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Psychological Testing and Assessment
Keywords
Alzheimer's disease, diagnostic accuracy, neuropathologic diagnosis, sensitivity and specificity, neuritic plaques, misdiagnosis, dementia, Lewy body disease, frontotemporal lobar degeneration, argyrophilic grain disease, hippocampal sclerosis, cerebrovascular disease
MeSH terms
Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Alzheimer Disease, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, United States, Databases, Factual, National Institute on Aging (U.S.)

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