The gateway belief model: a large-scale replication
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In one experiment, Republicans who received a message indicating that a clear majority of fellow Republicans agreed that the climate is changing and are taking action to combat climate change were more likely to report believing in climate change and to have climate-friendly intentions than those who did not receive this message.
“In one experiment, Republicans received a message indicating that a clear majority of fellow Republicans agreed that the climate is changing and are taking action to combat climate change. These individuals — relative to those who did not receive this message — were more likely to report believing in climate change and to have climate-friendly intentions323,324.”
From Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022) · cites this paper as [323]
Section 5.1 (page not supplied) says the message reported that 97% of climate scientists—not a majority of fellow Republicans—concluded that human-caused global warming is happening. Section 6 reports increased belief in global warming and support for more public action after the message, and the paper reports effects among conservatives. It does not report a message about Republicans taking action or measure climate-friendly intentions as such. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn that study, consensus messages decreased ideological polarization by being more effective among conservatives than among liberals.
“Moreover, the consensus messages in this study decreased ideological polarization by being more effective among conservatives than among liberals.”
From Factual belief polarization between Democrats and Republicans: source or epiphenomenon of ideological and affective polarization? (2024) · cites this paper as Van der Linden et al., 2019
Another study found that consensus messages effectively increased people's belief in global warming, as well as their support for climate action.
“another study, however, found that consensus messages effectively increased people's belief in global warming, as well as their support for climate action (Van der Linden et al., 2019).”
From Factual belief polarization between Democrats and Republicans: source or epiphenomenon of ideological and affective polarization? (2024) · cites this paper as Van der Linden et al., 2019
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- Authors
- van der Linden, S., Leiserowitz, A., & Maibach, E.
- Affiliations
- Yale University (US)
- George Mason University (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Environmental Psychology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2019-04
- Volume
- 62
- Pages
- 49-58
- ISSN
- 0272-4944 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2914105364
- Cited by
- 262
- References
- 107
- Citations by year
- 2026: 18 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 34 · 2023: 25 · 2022: 43 · 2021: 53 · 2020: 37 · 2019: 15 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 69.75
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Locations
- Journal of Environmental Psychology (publishedVersion)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion)
- Apollo
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Keywords
- climate change attitudes, belief updating, political ideology, conservatives, replication
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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