A registered replication study on oxytocin and trust
Open accessAbstract
In an influential paper, Kosfeld et al. (2005) showed that intranasal administration of oxytocin (OT) increases the transfers made by investors in the trust game-suggesting that OT increases trust in strangers. Subsequent studies investigating the role of OT in the trust game found inconclusive effects on the trusting behaviour of investors but these studies deviated from the Kosfeld et al. study in an important way-they did not implement minimal social contact (MSC) between the investors and the trustees in the trust game. Here, we performed a large double-blind and placebo-controlled replication study of the effects of OT on trusting behaviour that yields a power of more than 95% and implements an MSC condition as well as a no-social-contact (NoC) condition. We find no effect of OT on trusting behaviour in the MSC condition. Exploratory post hoc analyses suggest that OT may increase trust in individuals with a low disposition to trust in the NoC condition, but this finding requires confirmation in future research. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION: The stage 1 protocol for this Registered Report was accepted in principle on 19 October 2018. The protocol, as accepted by the journal, can be found at https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.11980368.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This registered replication protocol proposes a large, double-blind, placebo-controlled 2×2 experiment (oxytocin vs. placebo × minimal social contact vs. no contact) to test whether intranasal oxytocin increases trust in the trust game, and whether minimal social contact moderates that effect. No results are reported; the paper presents the rationale, design, hypotheses, and a priori power analysis.
Key findings
- The paper reports no empirical results; it states three a priori hypotheses: H1, OT has a positive influence on trust in the minimal social contact (MSC) condition (β1 + β3 > 0), replicating Kosfeld et al.; H2, the OT effect on trust is larger in MSC than in no contact (NoC) (β3 > 0); H3, under placebo, trust is higher in MSC than NoC (β2 > 0).
- Planned sample of n = 704 (352 in Antwerp, 352 in Magdeburg) is stated to provide statistical power of more than 95% for all main hypotheses, and 99.65% based on the Kosfeld et al. effect size d = 0.514; a Simonsohn "small telescopes" robustness check indicates n = 488 already yields an adequate replication.
- The authors cite prior evidence that intranasal OT significantly increased coordination on a mutually beneficial strategy only when participants first introduced themselves to the group (N = 254 study), while without prior contact OT significantly reduced coordination.
- The paper notes that of six studies in Nave et al.'s meta-analysis (besides Kosfeld et al.), four used fictional partners, one had no human contact, and one was likely confounded by a preceding dictator game.
Methods
- Design: 2×2 between-subjects factorial (OT/placebo × minimal social contact/no contact), double-blind, with randomization stratified on social value orientation (SVO) measured two weeks prior; participants self-administer 24 IU OT or placebo and wait 50 minutes before the trust game.
- Sample: 704 male students aged 18–25 recruited at two sites; exclusion criteria include psychiatric disorders, nasal surgery or severe NOSE scores, VAS nasal obstruction ≥ 8, non-compliance with spray administration, and failure to solve trust game payoff examples.
- Trust game and analysis: investors receive a 12 euro endowment and can send 0, 4, 8, or 12 euros to a trustee (tripled by the experimenter); each participant plays twice (once as investor, once as trustee). Main analysis is OLS regression with generalized trust and risk attitude as covariates, with Bayesian hypothesis testing (Bayes Factor R package, JZS/Cauchy prior r = 0.354) if results are non-significant.
Limitations
- Stated by the paper: the design "does not allow us to make broad conclusions about the general effects of OT on social cognition, empathy or behavior in other experimental paradigms."
- Stated by the paper: the original Kosfeld et al. effect may be overstated due to publication bias and other reasons, which motivated the "small telescopes" robustness check.
- Evident from the text: this is a preregistration/protocol with no data or outcomes reported, so no effect of OT on trust is yet established; the male-only sample (chosen to replicate Kosfeld et al. and avoid sex-specific variation) limits generalizability to females.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 57 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
In pilot studies, the gender composition of the social group had a significant impact on subsequent trusting behavior.
“Finally, in pilot studies (see Supplementary Table 3a) conducted to develop an appropriate minimal social contact condition that avoids ceiling effects, we noted that the gender composition of the social group had a significant impact on subsequent trusting behavior (Supplementary Table 3b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Supplementary Table 3b
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- Findingown data
Pilot studies conducted between December 2017 and March 2018 revealed very similar trusting behaviors between Magdeburg and Antwerp.
“In addition, pilot studies conducted during the time span December 2017-March 2018 revealed very similar trusting behaviors between the two locations (Supplementary Table 3a and Supplementary Figure 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In several of the first 6 pilot sessions, there were substantial gender differences in trust.
“The above table shows that in several of the first 6 sessions there were substantial gender differences in trust.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
In Social 1*, the procedures led to very high trust levels.
“This led to very high trust levels.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
Subsequent studies investigating the role of oxytocin in the trust game found inconclusive effects on the trusting behavior of investors.
“While subsequent studies investigating the role of OT in the trust game found inconclusive effects on the trusting behavior of investors, they deviated from the Kosfeld et al. study in an important way as they did not implement a minimal social contact between the investors and the trustees in the trust game.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Study design and conductnone given
The proposed sample generates a statistical power of more than 95% to detect a true effect of oxytocin on trusting behavior in the trust game.
“The sample generates a power of more than 95% to detect a true effect of OT on trusting behavior in the trust game.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
The mounting popularity of studying oxytocin in the social sciences is associated with waves of criticism because papers often suffered from small sample size, low statistical power, inflated effect sizes, inconsistent experimental procedures, and publication bias.
“However, the mounting popularity of studying OT in the social sciences is currently associated with waves of criticism, because papers often have suffered from small sample size, low statistical power, inflated effect sizes, inconsistent experimental procedures , and publication bias 18,19 .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [18] Walum, H., Waldman, I. D. & Young, L. J. Statistical and methodological considerations for the interpretation of intranasal oxytocin studies. Biol. Psychiatry 79, 251–257 (2016). source
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- cites [19] Lane, A., Luminet, O., Nave, G. & Mikolajczak, M. Is there a publication bias in behavioural intranasal oxytocin research on humans? Opening the file drawer of one Laboratory. J. Neuroendocrinol. https://doi.org/10.1111/jne.12384 (2016). source
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- Premisenone given
Subsequent studies deviated from the Kosfeld et al. study by not implementing minimal social contact between investors and trustees in the trust game.
“While subsequent studies investigating the role of OT in the trust game found inconclusive effects on the trusting behavior of investors, they deviated from the Kosfeld et al. study in an important way as they did not implement a minimal social contact between the investors and the trustees in the trust game.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Kosfeld et al. reported an effect size d = 0.514 for comparing a placebo and an oxytocin group in a trust experiment with minimal social contact.
“Comparing a placebo and an OT group in a trust experiment with minimal social contact corresponded to an effect size d = 0.514 (r = 0.249 in a common effect size language).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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- Premisecitation
Without prior contact, oxytocin significantly reduced coordination on the alternative strategy.
“Without this prior contact, OT significantly reduced coordination on the alternative strategy.31”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Kiyonari, T. Oxytocin and cooperation under conditions of uncertainty: the modulating role of incentives and social information. Horm. Behav. 57, 368–374 (2010). source
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- Premisecitation
Communication is known to substantially increase cooperation in social dilemma games such as the trust game.
“The following two conditions thus needed to be fulfilled: (i) the social contact took place before participants knew they would play the trust game so that they could not communicate about it, as communication is known to substantially increase cooperation in social dilemma games (such as the trust game) 24 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Balliet, D. Communication and cooperation in social dilemmas: a meta‐analytic review. J. Confl. Resolut. 54, 39–57 (2009). source
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- Premisereasoning
Replication studies so far neglected several key features of the trust game played in Kosfeld et al.
“In fact, replication studies so far neglected several key features of the trust game played in Kosfeld et al. 8”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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- Premisecitation
The importance of establishing some minimal social contact with real partners was corroborated in a large N = 254 behavioral study in which participants, who did not know each other's identity, needed to trust each other to jointly solve a coordination game.
“The importance of establishing some minimal social contact with real partners was corroborated in a large (N = 254) behavioral study 31 in which participants, who did not know each other's identity, needed to trust each other to jointly solve a coordination game.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Kiyonari, T. Oxytocin and cooperation under conditions of uncertainty: the modulating role of incentives and social information. Horm. Behav. 57, 368–374 (2010). source
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- Premisecitation
Kosfeld et al. reported an effect size d = 0.701 for comparing the oxytocin group in the trust experiment to the oxytocin group in a risk experiment.
“They compared the OT group in the trust experiment to the OT group in a risk experiment in which they hypothesized OT would not exert an influence.This yielded an effect size of d = 0.701 (r = 0.331), which corresponds to an intermediate effect 37 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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- Interpretationreasoning
Each of the six additional studies in Nave et al. had one or more problematic features.
“Thus each of the six additional studies in Nave et al.21 had one or more problematic features.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Nave et al.21 Nave, G., Camerer, C. & McCullough, M. Does oxytocin increase trust in humans? A critical review of research. Perspect. Psychol. Sci. 10, 772–789 (2015). source
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- Study design and conductreasoning
The power analysis shows that with α = .05, β = .95, and a one-tailed t-test, 166 observation units must be recruited to detect a significant difference of oxytocin in the minimal contact condition.
“The power analysis shows that with α = .05,β = .95,and a one-tailed ttest we must recruit 166 observation units to detect a significant difference of OT in the minimal contact condition of the proposed experiment (i.e., replicating effect (i), see Supplementary Table 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Since the proposed experiment will also include a no contact condition, the total necessary sample size is 166 × 2 = 332.
“Since the proposed experiment will also include a no contact condition, the total necessary sample size is 166×2 = 332.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
According to the small telescopes method, an overall sample size of n = 488 yields an adequate replication of the Kosfeld study.
“According to this method, already an overall sample size of n = 488 yields an adequate replication of the Kosfeld study 8 (see Supplementary Table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld study 8
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- Study design and conductreasoning
Based on the reported effect size in result (i) of Kosfeld et al., the overall sample size of n = 704 will provide a statistical power of 99.65%.
“Based on the reported effect size in result (i) of Kosfeld et al. 8 , the overall sample size of n = 704 will provide a statistical power of 99.65%.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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- May combine two claims. 29
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 37
- The quote only partly states this claim. 3
May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe six studies that failed to replicate the Kosfeld et al. findings were not direct replications; they did not use the same methods and procedures as the original study.
“These studies were, however, not direct replications, i. e., they did not use the same methods and procedures as the original study.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Premisenone givenMoney transfers in the trust game indicate that investors are willing to tolerate a certain level of uncertainty.
“Money transfers in the trust game indicate that investors are willing to tolerate a certain level of uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe Kosfeld et al. study suggested that oxytocin increased trusting decisions in the trust game but did not augment risk-taking in an identically framed risk game played against a computer.
“The Kosfeld et al. study 8 already suggested this: OT increased trusting decisions in the trust game, but did not augment risk-taking in an identically framed risk game played against a computer.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Kosfeld, M., Heinrichs, M., Zak, P. J., Fischbacher, U. & Fehr, E. Oxytocin increases trust in humans. Nature 435, 673–676 (2005). source
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PremisecitationIn humans, oxytocin can alleviate social stress by lowering salivary cortisol levels, increasing parasympathetic control of the heart, and attenuating amygdala activation in response to seeing faces.
“In humans, OT is mostly known for its functions in childbirth and breastfeeding, but it can also alleviate social stress, for example, by lowering salivary cortisol levels 4 , increasing parasympathetic control of the heart 5 , and attenuating amygdala activation in response to seeing faces 6,7 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [4] Heinrichs, M., Baumgartner, T., Kirschbaum, C. & Ehlert, U. Social support and oxytocin interact to suppress cortisol and subjective responses to psychosocial stress. Biol. Psychiatry 54, 1389–1398 (2003). source
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- cites [5] Norman, G. J. et al. Oxytocin increases autonomic cardiac control: moderation by loneliness. Biol. Psychol. 86, 174–180 (2011). source
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- cites [6] Kirsch, P. Oxytocin modulates neural circuitry for social cognition and fear in humans. J. Neurosci. 25, 11489–11493 (2005). source
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- cites [7] Lambert, B., Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Parizel, P. M. A functional MRI study on how oxytocin affects decision making in social dilemmas: cooperate as long as it pays off, aggress only when you think you can win. Horm. Behav. 94, 145–152 (2017). source
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Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAdministering a single dose of intranasal oxytocin compared to placebo increases the willingness to trust in a dyadic economic game with real monetary stakes.
“This question has sparked more than a decade of research ever since the first report that administering a single dose of intranasal OT (compared to placebo) increases the willingness to trust in a dyadic economic game with real monetary stakes 8 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Kosfeld, M., Heinrichs, M., Zak, P. J., Fischbacher, U. & Fehr, E. Oxytocin increases trust in humans. Nature 435, 673–676 (2005). source
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationOther critics have pointed out that there is no overarching theory to explain the diverse findings resulting from intranasal oxytocin administration.
“Other critics have pointed out that there is no overarching theory to explain the diverse findings resulting from intranasal OT administration 20 .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [20] Churchland, P. S. & Winkielman, P. Modulating social behavior with oxytocin: how does it work? What does it mean? Horm. Behav. 61, 392–399 (2012). source
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InterpretationreasoningThe effect of oxytocin in humans is expected to be limited to social situations where initiating or establishing partnership is important to realize synergy.
“Because animal research has documented that OT is primarily a social bonding hormone that activates socio-emotional neural pathways in the brain 22,23 , we would also expect the effect of OT in humans to be limited to social situations where initiating or establishing partnership is important to realize synergy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe worry that another person may not reciprocate influences transfers beyond the perceived riskiness of the game, and betrayal aversion inhibits investors' trust.
“Interestingly, the worry that another person may not reciprocate appears to influence transfers beyond the perceived riskiness of the game 9,10 , i.e., it is not just the risk of losing money but the fear of being cheated (i.e., betrayal aversion) that inhibits the investors' trust.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [9] Bohnet, I., Greig, F., Herrmann, B. & Zeckhauser, R. Betrayal aversion: evidence from Brazil, China, Oman, Switzerland, Turkey, and the United States. Am. Econ. Rev. 98, 294–310 (2008). source
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- cites [10] Fehr, E. On the economics and biology of trust. J. Eur. Econ. Assoc. 7, 235–266 (2009). source
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Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationNave and colleagues have raised doubt on the robustness of the oxytocin-trust association, pointing out that six studies failed to replicate the initial findings reported by Kosfeld et al.
“More specifically, Nave and colleagues 21 have raised doubt on the robustness of the oxytocin-trust association, pointing out that six studies failed to replicate the initial findings reported by Kosfeld et al. 8 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [21] Nave, G., Camerer, C. & McCullough, M. Does oxytocin increase trust in humans? A critical review of research. Perspect. Psychol. Sci. 10, 772–789 (2015). source
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- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAnimal research has documented that oxytocin is primarily a social bonding hormone that activates socio-emotional neural pathways in the brain.
“Because animal research has documented that OT is primarily a social bonding hormone that activates socio-emotional neural pathways in the brain 22,23 , we would also expect the effect of OT in humans to be limited to social situations where initiating or establishing partnership is important to realize synergy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [22] Ross, H. E. & Young, L. J. Oxytocin and the neural mechanisms regulating social cognition and affiliative behavior. Front. Neuroendocrinol. 30, 534–547 (2009). source
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- cites [23] Young, L. J. & Wang, Z. The neurobiology of pair bonding. Nat. Neurosci. 7, 1048–1054 (2004). source
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationOxytocin is a neuropeptide with a central role in regulating social approach and attachment behaviors in many non-human mammals.
“To learn more about the biological basis of trust, researchers have investigated the potential causal link with the hormone oxytocin (OT), a neuropeptide with a central role in regulating social approach and attachment behaviors in many non-human mammals [1][2][3] .”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1][2][3]
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Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationKosfeld et al. (2005) showed that intranasal administration of oxytocin increases the transfers made by investors in the trust game, suggesting that oxytocin increases trust in strangers.
“In an influential paper, Kosfeld et al. (2005) showed that intranasal administration of Oxytocin (OT) increases the transfers made by investors in the trust game -suggesting that OT increases trust in strangers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. (2005) source
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InterpretationreasoningMinimal social contact is the cue that enhances the prosocial approach potential of oxytocin and reduces social apprehension, thereby enhancing trust in an environment where approach behavior is a precondition for a mutually advantageous exchange.
“We propose that minimal social contact is the cue that enhances the prosocial approach potential of OT and reduces social apprehension, thereby enhancing trust in an environment where approach behavior is a precondition for a mutually advantageous exchange.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationKosfeld et al. reported an η2 = 0.071 for the global difference between all four experimental groups under consideration.
“To bolster their results, Kosfeld et al. 8 assessed the global difference between all four experimental groups under consideration (trust/Placebo, trust/OT, risk/Placebo, and risk/OT) to ensure a family-wise error of α = 5%.The reported findings correspond to an η² = 0.071 (r = 0.267).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Premisenone givenDespite the enormous resonance of the Kosfeld et al. study, the minimal social contact feature of the study has often been overlooked or neglected.
“Despite the enormous resonance of the Kosfeld 8 et al. study, the minimal social contact feature of the study has often been overlooked or neglected.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisereasoningParticipants in the trust game had some minimal social face-to-face contact with each other in groups prior to playing the game against someone whose exact identity would not be revealed.
“To enhance the saliency of the social context, participants in the trust game had some minimal social (faceto-face) contact with each other in groups prior to playing the game against someone whose exact identity would not be revealed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe proposed study will overcome the drawbacks of non-parametric testing because it will recruit a large sample that will enable the use of OLS regression techniques.
“Our study will overcome these drawbacks because we will recruit a large sample that will enable us to use OLS regression techniques.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationBy boosting the dopaminergic signal in the mesolimbic network, oxytocin is thought to enhance the salience of social cues that emphasize the value of approach behavior.
“By boosting the dopaminergic signal in the mesolimbic network, OT is thought to enhance the salience of social cues that emphasize the value of approach behavior 7,35,36 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [7] Lambert, B., Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Parizel, P. M. A functional MRI study on how oxytocin affects decision making in social dilemmas: cooperate as long as it pays off, aggress only when you think you can win. Horm. Behav. 94, 145–152 (2017). source
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- cites [35] Love, T. M. Oxytocin, motivation and the role of dopamine. Pharmacol. Biochem. Behav. 119, 49–60 (2014). source
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- cites [36] Shamay‐Tsoory, S. G. & Abu‐Akel, A. The social salience hypothesis of oxytocin. Biol. Psychiatry 79, 194–202 (2016). source
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InterpretationreasoningSocial contact had to be minimal to avoid elevating trust to a level beyond which no further increase could reasonably be expected after oxytocin administration.
“Importantly, the social contact had to be minimal to avoid elevating trust to a level beyond which no further increase could reasonably be expected after OT administration.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premiseown dataIn that study, intranasal oxytocin significantly increased coordination on the mutually beneficial alternative strategy, but only if participants first had the opportunity to introduce themselves to the whole group of participants from which one was randomly drawn to become the partner.
“It turned out that intranasal OT significantly increased coordination on the mutually beneficial alternative strategy, but only if participants first had the opportunity to introduce themselves to the whole group of participants from which one was randomly drawn to become the partner.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Kiyonari, T. Oxytocin and cooperation under conditions of uncertainty: the modulating role of incentives and social information. Horm. Behav. 57, 368–374 (2010). source
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningSocial contact was not intense enough to cause strong feelings of social familiarity, as this might generate a ceiling effect in trust.
“(ii) Social contact was not intense enough to cause strong feelings of social familiarity, as this might also generate a ceiling effect in trust.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIncreasing evidence suggests that oxytocin's function is not always consistent with facilitating social approach, but that administering intranasal oxytocin can also lead to parochial, competitive, and envious behaviors and behaviors that appear to be driven by schadenfreude, which have an anti-social dimension.
“Since the publication of this study, increasing evidence suggests that OT's function is not always consistent with facilitating social approach, but that administering intranasal OT can also lead to parochial, competitive, and envious behaviors and behaviors that appear to be driven by schadenfreude 16,17,32 , which have an anti-social dimension.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [16] De Dreu, C. K. W. Oxytocin modulates cooperation within and competition between groups: an integrative review and research agenda. Horm. Behav. 61, 419–428 (2012). source
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- cites [17] De Dreu, C. K. W. & Kret, M. E. Oxytocin conditions intergroup relations through upregulated in group empathy, cooperation, conformity, and defense. Biol. Psychiatry 79, 165–173 (2016). source
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- cites [32] Shamay-Tsoory, S. G. et al. Intranasal administration of oxytocin increases envy and schadenfreude (gloating). Biol. Psychiatry 66, 864–870 (2009). source
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PremisecitationThe tests described in (ii) and (iii) in the Kosfeld study are about comparisons between a trust and a risk game, which differ substantially from the current design that does not have a risk game.
“Note, however, that the tests described in (ii) and (iii) in the Kosfeld study 8 are about comparisons between a trust and a risk game, which differ substantially from the current design which does not have a risk game (i.e., a game played against a computer).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld study 8
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Study design and conductcitationThe a priori power analysis is based on the effect size d = 0.514 reported in test (i) of Kosfeld et al. and the requirement of a one-tailed test, which is justified when testing a directional hypothesis.
“We base our a priori power analysis on the effect size d = 0.514, reported in test (i) of Kosfeld et al. 8 and the requirement of a one-tailed test, which is justified when testing a directional 38 hypothesis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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- cites [38] Aron, A., Aron, E. N. & Smollan, D. Inclusion of other in the self scale and the structure of interpersonal closeness. J. Pers. Soc. Psychol. 63, 596–612 (1992). source
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Study design and conductown dataAccording to the a priori power analysis and robustness check, a sample size of n = 704 will provide statistical power of more than 95% for all main hypotheses and exceeds the sample size recommendations of Nave et al.
“According to the a priori power analysis presented in detail below and the robustness check reported in Supplementary Information 1 and 2, a sample size of n = 704 will provide a statistical power of more than 95% for all main hypotheses and also exceeds the sample size recommendations of Nave et al.21 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Nave et al.21 Nave, G., Camerer, C. & McCullough, M. Does oxytocin increase trust in humans? A critical review of research. Perspect. Psychol. Sci. 10, 772–789 (2015). source
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PremisecitationOf the six studies in Nave et al.'s meta-analysis, four had fictional partners, one was completely devoid of human contact with other participants, and the sixth had participants' previous experience in a dictator game likely to confound the decision to trust.
“Of the six studies that entered the meta-analysis in Nave et al.21 -in addition to the Kosfeld 8 et al. study -four studies had fictional partners [25][26][27][28] , one was completely devoid of human contact with other participants 29 , and participants' previous experience in a dictator game was likely to confound the decision to trust in the sixth study 30 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [25][26][27][28]
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- cites [29] Baumgartner, T., Heinrichs, M., Vonlanthen, A., Fischbacher, U. & Fehr, E. Oxytocin shapes the neural circuitry of trust and trust adaptation in humans. Neuron 58, 639–650 (2008). source
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- cites [30] Barraza, J. A. The physiology of empathy: linking oxytocin to empathic responding. Diss. Abstr. Int. Sect. B Sci. Eng. 71, 4537 (2011).
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PremisecitationKosfeld et al. were forced to use non-parametric tests because their sample did not comply with assumptions made in parametric tests, and the smallest sample size in testing was n = 29.
“Kosfeld et al. 8 were forced to use non-parametric tests in their study because their sample did not comply with assumptions made in parametric tests.Specifically, the smallest sample size in testing (i)-(iii) was n=29.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
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PremisecitationA current leading theory rests on neurological evidence that oxytocin modulates mesolimbic dopaminergic neurons, thereby affecting both incentive motivation and attention re-orienting.
“A current leading theory to account for why OT can stimulate both prosocial and anti-social behaviors rests on neurological evidence that OT modulates mesolimbic dopaminergic neurons, thereby affecting both incentive motivation as well as attention re-orienting.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [7] Lambert, B., Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Parizel, P. M. A functional MRI study on how oxytocin affects decision making in social dilemmas: cooperate as long as it pays off, aggress only when you think you can win. Horm. Behav. 94, 145–152 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [35] Love, T. M. Oxytocin, motivation and the role of dopamine. Pharmacol. Biochem. Behav. 119, 49–60 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [36] Shamay‐Tsoory, S. G. & Abu‐Akel, A. The social salience hypothesis of oxytocin. Biol. Psychiatry 79, 194–202 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Study design and conductnone givenThe proposed study will be carried out with the approval of the Medical Ethics Commissions of the Universities of Antwerp and Magdeburg.
“The proposed study will be carried out with the approval of the Medical Ethics Commissions of the Universities of Antwerp and Magdeburg.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningInformation about compliance behaviors is deliberately collected immediately after the experiment, after participants have been paid, so that they have no incentive to lie.
“We deliberately collect information about these behaviors immediately after the experiment (i.e., after participants have been paid) so that they have no incentive to lie.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenAdding generalized trust and general risk attitude as covariates will reduce standard errors in treatment estimates and correct for potential imbalances from imperfect randomization.
“Adding these two covariates will also reduce the standard errors in our treatment estimates -thus allowing sharper estimates -and correct for potential imbalances in the samples that occur through imperfect randomization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Study design and conductreasoningThe stratification ensures that the distribution of individuals' social value orientations will be the same in each treatment condition.
“This stratification ensures that the distribution of individuals' SVOs will be the same in each treatment condition.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenA final inclusion criterion is participants' understanding of the trust game instructions, checked by requiring both hypothetical payoff examples to be solved correctly.
“A final criterion is participants' understanding of the trust game instructions.We will check this by letting them compute the monetary payoffs for both players in two hypothetical examples of the trust game.Both examples need to be solved correctly to be included in the data analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationMeasuring trust with a single decision rather than averaging several consecutive decisions prevents hedge betting and may encourage intuitive thinking, which is the decision-making type oxytocin is most likely to influence.
“Measuring trust with a single decision (rather than averaging several consecutive decisions) has the advantage that it prevents hedge betting and may thus encourage intuitive thinking, which is the decision making type OT is most likely to influence, 7,47 rather than complicated deliberation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [7] Lambert, B., Declerck, C. H., Boone, C. & Parizel, P. M. A functional MRI study on how oxytocin affects decision making in social dilemmas: cooperate as long as it pays off, aggress only when you think you can win. Horm. Behav. 94, 145–152 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [47] MacDonald, K. S. Sex, receptors, and attachment: a review of individual factors influencing response to oxytocin. Front. Neurosci. 6, 194 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Study design and conductown dataUsing d = 0.32, the required total sample size for 80% power is 244 (122 per group), with actual power 0.802.
“Total sample size 244 Actual Power 0.802”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationSocial value orientation is a relatively stable personality feature describing a person's intrinsic willingness to behave prosocially, and it has been found to predict trusting decisions and sensitivity to social cues.
“SVO is a relatively stable personality feature describing a person's intrinsic willingness to behave prosocially 48 , that has been found to predict trusting decisions 49 and sensitivity to social cues 50 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [48] Van Zijl., F. V. W., Timman, R. & Datema, F. R. Adaptation and validation of the Dutch version of the nasal obstruction symptom evaluation (NOSE) scale. Eur. Arch. Otorhinolary. 274, 2469–2476 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [49] Lipan, M. J. & Most, S. P. Development of a severity classification system for subjective nasal obstruction. JAMA Facial Plast. Surg. 15, 358–361 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [50] Teixeira, R. U. F., Zappelini, C. E. M., Oliveira, L. G., Basile, L. C. G. & Costa, E. A. Correlation between the peak nasal inspiratory flow and the visual analogue scale (VAS) before and after using a nasal decongestant. Int. Arch. Otorhinolary. 15, 156–162 (2011).
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningSuch inter-individual differences might introduce excessive noise in the data which could obscure the results.
“Such inter-individual differences might introduce excessive noise in the data which could obscure the results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningParticipants will be randomly assigned to one of the four treatment conditions, but randomization will be stratified based on participants' social value orientation measured two weeks prior to the experiment.
“Participants will be randomly assigned to one of the four treatment conditions (no contact/Placebo, no contact/OT, minimal social contact/Placebo, minimal social contact/OT) but randomization will be stratified based on participants' social value orientation (SVO) which will be measured during registration two weeks prior to the experiment with an online survey.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe effect size required for the Kosfeld et al. study to have 33% power is d = 0.320.
“Effect size d 0.320”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 3
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenTo guarantee anonymity, participants' names will be replaced by a self-made, retrievable code through which they can be identified during the remainder of the study.
“To guarantee anonymity, their names will from then on be replaced by a self-made, retrievable code through which they can be identified during the remainder of the study.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenOxytocin/placebo administration will be double blind following a randomized block design, with a block corresponding to a session.
“OT/placebo administration will be double blind following a randomized block design (with a block corresponding to a session).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenSocial value orientation is controlled for via stratified randomization.
“We do not plan to include social value orientation 48 as a covariate because we control for SVO via stratified randomization.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe main motivation for the study is to replicate the Kosfeld et al. study, which was conducted only with males.
“First, the main motivation for the study is to replicate the Kosfeld et al. 8 study, which was conducted only with males.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kosfeld et al. 8
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationA recent study reports that a dose of 24 IU oxytocin is more effective in triggering an amygdala response and eliciting fear reduction compared to either lower 12 IU or higher 48 IU doses.
“A recent study investigating the dose dependency of oxytocin reports that a dose of 24 IU OT is more effective in triggering an amygdala response and eliciting fear reduction compared to either lower (12 IU) or higher (48 IU) doses 51 , although this contradicts an earlier study in which 8 IU was found to be the most effective 52 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [51] Hsu, H. C. et al. Evaluation of nasal patency by visual analogue scale/nasal obstruction symptom evaluation questionnaires and anterior active rhinomanometry after septoplasty: a retrospective one-year follow-up cohort study. Clin. Otolaryngol. 42, 53–59 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenIf participants are rated as non-compliant with the rules for self-administration or the self-administration is judged as problematic by the supervisor, the participant is ruled out from data analysis.
“If participants are rated as non-compliant with the rules for self-administration (category 5) or the self-administration is judged as problematic by the supervisor (category 4) the participant is ruled out from data analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationSex-specific gonadal steroids influence oxytocin-receptor binding in the brain, and intranasal oxytocin can affect the behavior of males and females differently, even in opposite directions.
“Second, we know from the previous literature that sex-specific gonadal steroids influence OT-receptor binding in the brain, and that intranasal oxytocin can affect the behavior of males and females differently, even in opposite directions 40 .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [40] Berg, J., Dickhaut, J. & McCabe, K. Trust, reciprocity and social history. Games Econ. Behav. 10, 122–142 (1995). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAn earlier study found 8 IU to be the most effective, but that study used a Breath Powered device for oxytocin administration which is likely to have increased absorption significantly.
“The latter study, however, made use of a Breath Powered device for OT administration which is likely to have increased absorption significantly.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] Ten Velden, F. S., Daughters, K. & De Dreu, C. K. W. Oxytocin promotes intuitive rather than deliberated cooperation with the in‐group. Horm. Behav. 92, 164–171 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe trust and risk measures will serve as control variables when testing the primary a priori hypotheses.
“The trust and risk measures will serve as control variables when testing the primary (a priori) hypotheses (described in the next section), while the other variables will serve as moderators in further exploratory analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe post-experimental questionnaire queries participants' beliefs about treatment received (OT vs placebo), allowing testing for a placebo effect.
“Importantly, this questionnaire will query participants' beliefs regarding the treatment they received (OT versus placebo) which allows us to test the possibility of a placeboeffect.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Study design and conductcitationA priori sample size computation using G*Power with effect size d = 0.514, power 0.95, yields 83 participants per group (actual power 0.951).
“Actual power 0.951”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites G*Power 3.1.9.2 28
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningGuiding participants immediately to their cubicles upon arrival (sessions 6-11) minimizes contact with other participants before the experiment and increases control over subjects' social contacts.
“In sessions 6-11, participants were guided immediately to their cubicles upon arrival.This minimizes the contact with other participants before the experiment and increases our control over subjects social contacts.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIn Social 2, the complete lack of verbal interaction caused a strange and awkward situation that was associated with reduced investments.
“This complete lack of verbal interaction caused a strange and akward situation that was associated with reduced investments.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningQuestions assessing feelings of connectedness can be used to test whether the minimal social contact and no contact conditions differed in this respect.
“Finally, a number of questions assess participants' feelings of connectedness with others, which can be used to test if the minimal social contact and no contact condition differed in this respect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningFilling out the MDMS questionnaire a second time enables checking for mood changes following nasal spray administration.
“They will also fill out the MDMS questionnaire for a second time.This will enable us to check for mood changes following nasal spray administration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
OT's effect on trust does not differ between participants from Magdeburg and Antwerp.
“We pool the data obtained in Magdeburg and Antwerp because there is no a priori reason to expect that OT would affect individuals from these two locations differently.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Effect sizes of studies using intranasal oxytocin seem to be smaller than initially assumed, reflected in unsuccessful attempts to replicate earlier findings of oxytocin effects on trust and mind-reading in healthy populations.
“Generally, effect sizes of studies using intranasal oxytocin seem to be smaller than initially assumed99, a finding that is also reflected in unsuccessful attempts to replicate earlier findings of oxytocin effects on trust100,101 and mind-reading in healthy populations102.”
From Randomized clinical trial shows no substantial modulation of empathy-related neural activation by intranasal oxytocin in autism (2021) · cites this paper as [101]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Power is reported as β rather than 1 − β
MinorThe text states β = .95 for the power analysis, but its supplementary calculation identifies .95 as power (1 − β). Those statements imply different values of β.
“with α = .05,β = .95,and a one-tailed ttest”
“Power (1-β error prob) | 0.95”
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- Authors
- Declerck, C. H., Boone, C., Pauwels, L., Vogt, B., & Fehr, E.
- Affiliations
- University of Antwerp (BE)
- Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg (DE)
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Corresponding author
- Fehr, Ernst
- Venue
- Nature Human Behaviour
- Published
- 2020-06-08
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 646-655
- ISSN
- 2397-3374 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3033625555
- Semantic Scholar
- e8679506f7797f30e9aec3b00d06145627bbb626
- Cited by
- 137
- References
- 68
- Citations by year
- 2026: 15 · 2025: 20 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 7
- FWCI
- 23.49
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature Human Behaviour (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Funders
- Universität Zürich
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Neuroendocrine regulation and behavior
- Social Sciences › Safety Research › Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Sensory Systems › Olfactory and Sensory Function Studies
- Keywords
- oxytocin, trust, trust game, intranasal administration, social contact, disposition to trust
- MeSH terms
- Administration, Intranasal, Adolescent, Adult, Double-Blind Method, Games, Experimental, Humans, Male, Oxytocin, Reproducibility of Results, Trust, Young Adult
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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