The mass distribution and gravitational potential of the Milky Way
Open accessAbstract
We present mass models of the Milky Way created to fit observational constraints and to be consistent with expectations from theoretical modelling. The method used to create these models is that demonstrated in our previous study, and we improve on those models by adding gas discs to the potential, considering the effects of allowing the inner slope of the halo density profile to vary, and including new observations of maser sources in the Milky Way amongst the new constraints. We provide a best-fitting model, as well as estimates of the properties of the Milky Way. Under the assumptions in our main model, we find that the Sun is R0 = 8.20 ± 0.09 kpc from the Galactic Centre, with the circular speed at the Sun being v0 = 232.8 ± 3.0 km s−1; and that the Galaxy has a total stellar mass of (54.3 ± 5.7) × 109 M⊙, a total virial mass of (1.30 ± 0.30) × 1012 M⊙ and a local dark-matter density of 0.40 ± 0.04 GeV cm−3, where the quoted uncertainties are statistical. These values are sensitive to our choice of priors and constraints. We investigate systematic uncertainties, which in some cases may be larger. For example, if we weaken our prior on R0, we find it to be 7.97 ± 0.15 kpc and that v0 = 226.8 ± 4.2 km s−1. We find that most of these properties, including the local dark-matter density, are remarkably insensitive to the assumed power-law density slope at the centre of the dark-matter halo. We find that it is unlikely that the local standard of rest differs significantly from that found under assumptions of axisymmetry. We have made code to compute the force from our potential, and to integrate orbits within it, publicly available.
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Most studies that assume an NFW profile for the Galactic halo argue that the halo has a very high concentration, typically ∼14 or higher.
“Such studies argue that the Galactic halo has a very high concentration, typically ∼ 14 or higher”
From The milky way total mass profile as inferred from Gaia DR2 (2020) · cites this paper as McMillan 2017
Section 5 (pp. 6–7) says McMillan’s main model assumes an NFW halo and gives its best-fitting concentration as 15.4, supporting one instance above ∼14. The paper does not establish that NFW-based studies typically find concentrations of ∼14 or higher; its concentration prior is 12.9 with about 30% uncertainty (p. 4). (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe stellar mass M⋆ ∼ 4×10^10 M⊙ is in good agreement with estimates for the MW.
“This stellar mass is in good agreement with estimates for the MW (e.g. Bovy & Rix 2013; McMillan 2017, and Section 5)”
From The milky way total mass profile as inferred from Gaia DR2 (2020) · cites this paper as McMillan 2017
McMillan’s main model estimates the Milky Way’s total stellar mass at (5.43 ± 0.57) × 10^10 M⊙ (Abstract, p. 1; Section 5, p. 7). That is the same broad scale as 4 × 10^10 M⊙, but it is higher and the quoted statistical range does not include 4 × 10^10 M⊙, so the claimed good agreement is qualified. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredEven more flexible formulae, such as the generalised NFW profile, struggle to describe the radial profile of the contracted halo.
“and even more flexible formulae, such as the generalised NFW profile (gNFW, which has been used to model the MW halo - McMillan 2017; Karukes et al. 2019b), struggle to describe the radial profile of the contracted halo.”
From The milky way total mass profile as inferred from Gaia DR2 (2020) · cites this paper as McMillan 2017
The HI mass is 1.1 × 10^10 M_sun and the molecular gas mass is 10 percent of the HI mass.
“They correspond to an HI mass of 1 . 1 × 10 10 M ⊙ and a molecular gas mass of 10 percent of the HI mass.”
From The milky way total mass profile as inferred from Gaia DR2 (2020) · cites this paper as McMillan 2017
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Naiman, J., Pillepich, A., Springel, V., Ramirez-Ruiz, E., Torrey, P., Vogelsberger, M., Pakmor, R., Nelson, D., Marinacci, F., Hernquist, L., et al. (2017) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty618 · Cited by 693 · see citing works
The merger that led to the formation of the Milky Way’s inner stellar halo and thick disk
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Formation of Double Neutron Star Systems
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Self-citationThe GALAH+ survey: Third data release
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AGAMA: action-based galaxy modelling architecture
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A dynamically young and perturbed Milky Way disk
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Gaia EDR3 view on galactic globular clusters
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Evidence from the H3 Survey That the Stellar Halo Is Entirely Comprised of Substructure
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“We show that the contracted DM halo cannot be modelled as a pure NFW profile and even more flexible formulae, such as the generalised NFW profile (gNFW, which has been used to model the MW halo – McMillan 2017; Karukes et al. 2019), struggle to describe the radial profile of the contracted halo.”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialThe Milky Way total mass profile as inferred from Gaia DR2
Cautun, M., Benitez-Llambay, A., Deason, A. J., Frenk, C. S., Fattahi, A., Gómez, F. A., Grand, R. J. J., Oman, K. A., Navarro, J. F., & Simpson, C. M. (2019) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1911.04557 · Cited by 335
The second data release from the European Pulsar Timing Array
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The merger that led to the formation of the Milky Way's inner stellar halo and thick disk
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Stellar Streams Discovered in the Dark Energy Survey
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Bayesian Data Analysis in Astronomy
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Strong-Field Gravity Tests with the Double Pulsar
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Self-citationA precision search for WIMPs with charged cosmic rays
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A red giant orbiting a black hole
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Self-citationRotation Curve of the Milky Way from Classical Cepheids
Mróz, P., Udalski, A., Skowron, D. M., Skowron, J., Soszyński, I., Pietrukowicz, P., Szymański, M. K., Poleski, R., Kozłowski, S., & Ulaczyk, K. (2019) · The Astrophysical Journal Letters · doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aaf73f · Cited by 153 · see citing works
Characterization and history of the Helmi streams with Gaia DR2
Koppelman, H. H., Helmi, A., Massari, D., Roelenga, S., & Bastian, U. (2019) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201834769 · Cited by 153 · see citing works
The pattern speed of the Milky Way bar from transverse velocities
Sanders, J. L., Smith, L. C., & Evans, N. W. (2019) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stz1827 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Dynamical Relics of the Ancient Galactic Halo
Yuan, Z., Myeong, G. C., Beers, T. C., Evans, N. W., Lee, Y. S., Banerjee, P., Gudin, D., Hattori, K., Li, H., Matsuno, T., et al. (2020) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab6ef7 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
Almost closing the νMSM sterile neutrino dark matter window with NuSTAR
Perez, K., Ng, K. C. Y., Beacom, J. F., Hersh, C., Horiuchi, S., & Krivonos, R. (2017) · Physical review. D/Physical review. D. · doi:10.1103/physrevd.95.123002 · Cited by 146 · see citing works
The chemical characterization of halo substructure in the Milky Way based on APOGEE
Horta, D., Schiavon, R. P., Mackereth, J. T., Weinberg, D. H., Hasselquist, S., Feuillet, D. K., O'Connell, R. W., Anguiano, B., Prieto, C. A., Beaton, R. L., et al. (2022) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stac3179 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Searching for Primordial Black Holes in the Radio and X-Ray Sky
Gaggero, D., Bertone, G., Calore, F., Connors, R., Lovell, M. R., Markoff, S., & Storm, E. (2017) · Physical Review Letters · doi:10.1103/physrevlett.118.241101 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
3D kinematics and age distribution of the open cluster population
Tarricq, Y., Soubiran, C., Casamiquela, L., Cantat-Gaudin, T., Chemin, L., Anders, F., Antoja, T., Romero-Gómez, M., Figueras, F., Jordi, C., et al. (2021) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202039388 · Cited by 142 · see citing works
The shape of the Galactic halo with<i>Gaia</i>DR2 RR Lyrae. Anatomy of an ancient major merger
Iorio, G., & Belokurov, V. (2019) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty2806 · Cited by 139 · see citing works
“…by noticing that within 30 kpc, i.e. inside the apocentre of the “Gaia Sausage”, the MW mass is estimated to be ∼ 2.5 × 1011M (see e.g. Gibbons et al. 2014; Williams et al. 2017; Posti & Helmi 2018), of which at least 0.5×1011M can be attributed to the baryonic component (see McMillan 2017).”
BackgroundInfluentialApocenter Pile-up: Origin of the Stellar Halo Density Break
Deason, A. J., Belokurov, V., Koposov, S. E., & Lancaster, L. (2018) · The Astrophysical Journal Letters · doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aad0ee · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Wang, W., Han, J., Cautun, M., Li, Z., & Ishigaki, M. N. (2020) · Science China Physics Mechanics and Astronomy · doi:10.1007/s11433-019-1541-6 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Banik, I., & Zhao, H. (2022) · Symmetry · doi:10.3390/sym14071331 · Cited by 146 · see citing works
Discovery of a dormant 33 solar-mass black hole in pre-release Gaia astrometry
Panuzzo, P., Mazeh, T., Arenou, F., Holl, B., Caffau, E., Jorissen, A., Babusiaux, C., Gavras, P., Sahlmann, J., Bastian, U., et al. (2024) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202449763 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Rotation Curve of the Milky Way and the Dark Matter Density
Sofue, Y. (2020) · Galaxies · doi:10.3390/galaxies8020037 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Discovery of a nearby 1700 km s−1 star ejected from the Milky Way by Sgr A*
Koposov, S. E., Boubert, D., Li, T. S., Erkal, D., Costa, G. S. D., Zucker, D. B., Ji, A. P., Kuehn, K. W., Lewis, G. F., Mackey, D., et al. (2019) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stz3081 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
The dark matter profile of the Milky Way inferred from its circular velocity curve
Ou, X., Eilers, A., Necib, L., & Frebel, A. (2024) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stae034 · Cited by 132 · see citing works
Phat ELVIS: The inevitable effect of the Milky Way’s disc on its dark matter subhaloes
Kelley, T., Bullock, J. S., Garrison-Kimmel, S., Boylan-Kolchin, M., Pawlowski, M. S., & Graus, A. S. (2019) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stz1553 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Proper Motions, Orbits, and Tidal Influences of Milky Way Dwarf Spheroidal Galaxies
Pace, A. B., Erkal, D., & Li, T. S. (2022) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac997b · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Dynamical traceback age of theβPictoris moving group
Miret-Roig, N., Galli, P. A. B., Brandner, W., Bouy, H., Barrado, D., Olivares, J., Antoja, T., Romero-Gómez, M., Figueras, F., & Lillo-Box, J. (2020) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202038765 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
The hestia project: simulations of the Local Group
Libeskind, N. I., Carlesi, E., Grand, R. J. J., Khalatyan, A., Knebe, A., Pakmor, R., Pilipenko, S., Pawlowski, M. S., Sparre, M., Tempel, E., et al. (2020) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/staa2541 · Cited by 120 · see citing works
Measuring the Mass of the Large Magellanic Cloud with Stellar Streams Observed by S 5
Shipp, N., Erkal, D., Drlica-Wagner, A., Li, T. S., Pace, A. B., Koposov, S. E., Cullinane, L. R., Costa, G. S. D., Ji, A. P., Kuehn, K. W., et al. (2021) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac2e93 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Astrophysical Black Holes: A Compact Pedagogical Review
Bambi, C. (2018) · Annalen der Physik · doi:10.1002/andp.201700430 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Feuillet, D. K., Feltzing, S., Sahlholdt, C., & Casagrande, L. (2020) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/staa1888 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Discovery of new retrograde substructures: the shards of ω Centauri?
Myeong, G., Evans, N. W., Belokurov, V. A., Sanders, J. L., & Koposov, S. E. (2018) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty1403 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
The Milky Way Halo in Action Space
Myeong, G. C., Evans, N. W., Belokurov, V., Sanders, J. L., & Koposov, S. E. (2018) · The Astrophysical Journal Letters · doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aab613 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Snake in the Clouds: a new nearby dwarf galaxy in the Magellanic bridge*
Koposov, S. E., Walker, M. G., Belokurov, V. A., Casey, A. R., Geringer-Sameth, A., Mackey, D., Costa, G. D., Erkal, D., Jethwa, P., Mateo, M. L., et al. (2018) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty1772 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Novel Cosmic-Ray Electron and Positron Constraints on MeV Dark Matter Particles
Boudaud, M., Lavalle, J., & Salati, P. (2017) · Physical Review Letters · doi:10.1103/physrevlett.119.021103 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
Tests of gravitational symmetries with pulsar binary J1713+0747
Zhu, W., Desvignes, G., Wex, N., Caballero, R. N., Champion, D. J., Demorest, P. B., Ellis, J. A., Janssen, G. H., Krämer, M., Krieger, A., et al. (2018) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/sty2905 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
The last breath of the Sagittarius dSph
Vasiliev, E., & Belokurov, V. A. (2020) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/staa2114 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Detection of the Milky Way reflex motion due to the Large Magellanic Cloud infall
Petersen, M. S., & Peñarrubia, J. (2020) · Nature Astronomy · doi:10.1038/s41550-020-01254-3 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Shao, L., Sennett, N., Buonanno, A., Krämer, M., & Wex, N. (2017) · Physical Review X · doi:10.1103/physrevx.7.041025 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Klioner, S. A., Mignard, F., Lindegren, L., Bastian, U., McMillan, P. J., Hernández, J., Hobbs, D., Ramos-Lerate, M., Biermann, M., Bombrun, A., et al. (2021) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202039734 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Self-citationFIREbox: simulating galaxies at high dynamic range in a cosmological volume
Feldmann, R., Quataert, E., Faucher‐Giguère, C., Hopkins, P. F., Çatmabacak, O., Kereš, D., Bassini, L., Bernardini, M., Bullock, J. S., Cenci, E., et al. (2023) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stad1205 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Koposov, S. E., Erkal, D., Li, T. S., Da Costa, G. S., Cullinane, L. R., Ji, A. P., Kuehn, K., Lewis, G. F., Pace, A. B., Shipp, N., et al. (2023) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stad551 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
The Cloud Factory I: Generating resolved filamentary molecular clouds from galactic-scale forces
Smith, R. J., Treß, R. G., Sormani, M. C., Glover, S. C. O., Klessen, R. S., Clark, P. C., Izquierdo, A. F., Duarte-Cabral, A., & Zucker, C. (2019) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stz3328 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
Cameron, A. D., Champion, D. J., Krämer, M., Bailes, M., Barr, E. D., Bassa, C., Bhandari, S., Bhat, N. D. R., Burgay, M., Burke-Spolaor, S., et al. (2018) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Letters · doi:10.1093/mnrasl/sly003 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
3D kinematics and age distribution of the open cluster population
Tarricq, Y., Soubiran, C., Casamiquela, L., Cantat-Gaudin, T., Chemin, L., Anders, F., Antoja, T., Romero-Gómez, M., Figueras, F., Jordi, C., et al. (2021) · Springer Link (Chiba Institute of Technology) · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202039388/pdf · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Horta, D., Schiavon, R. P., Mackereth, J. T., Beers, T. C., Fernández-Trincado, J. G., Frinchaboy, P. M., García-Hernández, D. A., Geisler, D., Hasselquist, S., Jönsson, H., et al. (2020) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/staa478 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
The chemo-dynamical groups of Galactic globular clusters
Callingham, T. M., Cautun, M., Deason, A. J., Frenk, C. S., Grand, R. J. J., & Marinacci, F. (2022) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stac1145 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Detection of the LMC-induced sloshing of the Galactic halo
Erkal, D., Deason, A. J., Belokurov, V., Xue, X.-X., Koposov, S. E., Bird, S. A., Liu, C., Simion, I. T., Yang, C., Zhang, L., et al. (2021) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/stab1828 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
The artemis simulations: stellar haloes of Milky Way-mass galaxies
Font, A. S., McCarthy, I. G., Poole-McKenzie, R., Stafford, S. G., Brown, S. T., Schaye, J., Crain, R. A., Theuns, T., & Schaller, M. (2020) · Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society · doi:10.1093/mnras/staa2463 · Cited by 99 · see citing works
A Low-mass Stellar-debris Stream Associated with a Globular Cluster Pair in the Halo
Yuan, Z., Chang, J., Beers, T. C., & Huang, Y. (2020) · The Astrophysical Journal Letters · doi:10.3847/2041-8213/aba49f · Cited by 99 · see citing works
The Milky Way Halo in Action Space
Myeong, G., Evans, N. W., Belokurov, V. A., Sanders, J. L., & Koposov, S. E. (2018) · Apollo (University of Cambridge) · doi:10.17863/cam.20490 · Cited by 98 · see citing works
Constraining a Thin Dark Matter Disk with Gaia
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Self-citationS 5: The Orbital and Chemical Properties of One Dozen Stellar Streams
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Kinematics of Antlia 2 and Crater 2 from the Southern Stellar Stream Spectroscopic Survey (S 5)
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A pulsar in a binary with a compact object in the mass gap between neutron stars and black holes
Barr, E. D., Dutta, A., Freire, P. C. C., Cadelano, M., Gautam, T., Krämer, M., Pallanca, C., Ransom, S. M., Ridolfi, A., Stappers, B. W., et al. (2024) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.adg3005 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Dynamical constraints on a dark matter spike at the Galactic centre from stellar orbits
Lacroix, T. (2018) · Astronomy and Astrophysics · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201832652 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Fast Estimation of Orbital Parameters in Milky Way-like Potentials
Mackereth, J. T., & Bovy, J. (2018) · Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific · doi:10.1088/1538-3873/aadcdd · Cited by 89 · see citing works
In the Galactic Disk, Stellar [Fe/H] and Age Predict Orbits and Precise [X/Fe]
Ness, M., Johnston, K. V., Blancato, K., Rix, H., Beane, A., Bird, J. C., & Hawkins, K. (2019) · The Astrophysical Journal · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab3e3c · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Elevated r-process Enrichment in Gaia Sausage and Sequoia*
Aguado, D. S., Belokurov, V. A., Myeong, G. C., Evans, N. W., Kobayashi, C., Sbordone, L., Chanamé, J., Navarrete, C., & Koposov, S. E. (2021) · The Astrophysical Journal Letters · doi:10.3847/2041-8213/abdbb8 · Cited by 88 · see citing works
- Authors
- McMillan, P. J.
- Affiliations
- Lund University (SE)
- Corresponding author
- McMillan, Paul J.
- ORCID
- McMillan, Paul J.
- Venue
- Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2016-10-26
- Volume
- 465
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 76-94
- ISSN
- 0035-8711 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-2966
- OpenAlex
- W2485876312
- Cited by
- 1,099
- References
- 128
- Citations by year
- 2026: 104 · 2025: 165 · 2024: 154 · 2023: 126 · 2022: 120 · 2021: 121 · 2020: 118 · 2019: 88 · 2018: 64 · 2017: 36 · 2016: 3
- FWCI
- 30.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- arxiv.org
- Locations
- Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (publishedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- Lund University Publications (Lund University) (submittedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Astrophysical Phenomena and Observations
- Keywords
- Milky Way mass distribution, gravitational potential, dark matter halos, stellar mass, virial mass, local dark matter density, local standard of rest, halo density profiles, gas discs, orbit integration, axial symmetry
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