The DOI matches its Crossref record; 197 of the 197 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Problems for Judgment and Decision Making
Abstract
▪ Abstract This review examines recent developments during the past 5 years in the field of judgment and decision making, written in the form of a list of 16 research problems. Many of the problems involve natural extensions of traditional, originally rational, theories of decision making. Others are derived from descriptive algebraic modeling approaches or from recent developments in cognitive psychology and cognitive neuroscience. “Wir müssen wissen. Wir werden wissen.” (We must know. We will know.) David Hilbert, Mathematische Probleme ( 1900 )
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1914185 · Cited by 48,524
Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1988) · Decision, Probability and Utility · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511609220.014 · Cited by 32,474
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 · Cited by 28,810
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1975) · Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making · doi:10.1007/978-94-010-1834-0_8 · Cited by 22,650
Axelrod, R., & Hamilton, W. D. (1981) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.7466396 · Cited by 20,065
Theory of games and economic behavior
(2019) · 100 Years of Math Milestones · doi:10.1090/mbk/121/32 · Cited by 16,632
Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1007/bf00122574 · Cited by 15,467
Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference
Pearl, J. (2009) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511803161 · Cited by 11,653
DESCARTES' ERROR: Emotion, Reason, and the Human Brain
Marg, E. (1995) · Optometry and Vision Science · doi:10.1002/j.1538-9235.1995.tb03988.x · Cited by 8,118
Feeling and thinking: Preferences need no inferences.
Zajonc, R. B. (1980) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.35.2.151 · Cited by 8,094
Illusion and well‐being: A social psychological perspective on mental health
Taylor, S. E., & Brown, J. D. (1988) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193 · Cited by 7,814
Well-being : the foundations of hedonic psychology
Kahneman, D. J., Diener, E. F., & Schwarz, N. (1999) · Cited by 7,466
(2001) · Empirical Direction in Design and Analysis · doi:10.4324/9781410600004-24 · Cited by 6,808
Anderson, J. R. (2013) · doi:10.4324/9781315799438 · Cited by 6,761
Nielsen, R. P., & Axelrod, R. (1985) · The Academy of Management Review · doi:10.2307/257983 · Cited by 6,321
Newell, A. (1972) · Cited by 6,222
McClelland, J. L., McNaughton, B. L., & O'Reilly, R. C. (1995) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.102.3.419 · Cited by 5,256
The Adapted mind : evolutionary psychology and the generation of culture
Barkow, J. H., Cosmides, L., & Tooby, J. (1992) · Cited by 5,221
(1983) · Cited by 5,041
The Economic Approach to Human Behavior
Becker, G. S. (1976) · University of Chicago Press eBooks · doi:10.7208/chicago/9780226217062.001.0001 · Cited by 5,027
Unrealistic optimism about future life events
Weinstein, N. D. (1980) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.39.5.806 · Cited by 4,999
(1998) · Cited by 4,875
CAUSALITY: MODELS, REASONING AND INFERENCE
Hitchcock, C. (2001) · The Philosophical Review · doi:10.1215/00318108-110-4-639 · Cited by 4,741
The Psychology of Survey Response
Tourangeau, R., Rips, L. J., & Rasinski, K. (2000) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511819322 · Cited by 4,734
The Foundations of Statistics.
Good, I. J., & Savage, L. J. (1955) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2343133 · Cited by 4,582
The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life
LeDoux, J. E. (2004) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 4,212
The empirical case for two systems of reasoning.
Sloman, S. A. (1996) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.119.1.3 · Cited by 3,848
The unbearable automaticity of being
Bargh, J. A., & Chartrand, T. L. (1999) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.54.7.462 · Cited by 3,699 · cited 1×
“An interactive model that assumes a constant mixture of intuitive-analytic modes (e.g. Anderson 1983, Jacoby 1991) seems more plausible than an independent channel model (e.g. Bargh & Chartrand 1999, Schacter 1994, Sloman 1996).”
MethodA process dissociation framework: Separating automatic from intentional uses of memory
Jacoby, L. L. (1991) · Journal of Memory and Language · doi:10.1016/0749-596x(91)90025-f · Cited by 3,696
Emotion, Decision Making and the Orbitofrontal Cortex
Bechara, A. (2000) · Cerebral Cortex · doi:10.1093/cercor/10.3.295 · Cited by 3,589
Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart
Gigerenzer, G., & Todd, P. M. (1999) · Cited by 3,550
Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.
Gigerenzer, G., & Goldstein, D. G. (1996) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.103.4.650 · Cited by 3,504
Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Johnson, E. J. (1993) · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139173933 · Cited by 3,487
Mood and judgment: The affect infusion model (AIM).
Forgas, J. P. (1995) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.117.1.39 · Cited by 3,470
Leave, C. (1994) · Journal of the Operational Research Society · doi:10.1057/jors.1994.133 · Cited by 3,309
Theory of Games and Economic Behavior
ROWLAND, E. (1946) · Nature · doi:10.1038/157172a0 · Cited by 3,280
Thaler, R. H. (1999) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199909)12:3<183::aid-bdm318>3.0.co;2-f · Cited by 3,166
The psychology of fear and stress
(1988) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.26-2399 · Cited by 3,122
The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk
Friedman, M., & Savage, L. J. (1948) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/256692 · Cited by 3,077
Causality: models, reasoning, and inference
(2000) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.38-1494a · Cited by 2,873
The nature of emotion: Fundamental questions.
Ekman, P., & Davidson, R. J. (1994) · Oxford University Press eBooks · Cited by 2,835
Miller, G. A., & Cantor, N. (1982) · Social Cognition · doi:10.1521/soco.1982.1.1.83 · Cited by 2,816
The theory of decision making.
Edwards, W. (1954) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0053870 · Cited by 2,697
Out of Control: Visceral Influences on Behavior
Loewenstein, G. (1996) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1996.0028 · Cited by 2,610
All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects
Levin, I. P., Schneider, S. L., & Gaeth, G. J. (1998) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1998.2804 · Cited by 2,592
Newell, A. (1982) · Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.1016/0004-3702(82)90012-1 · Cited by 2,589
Back to Bentham? Explorations of Experienced Utility
Kahneman, D., Wakker, P. P., & Sarin, R. (1997) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355397555235 · Cited by 2,513
Rabin, M. (1997) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 2,459
A primer on decision making : how decisions happen
Heath, C., & March, J. G. (1994) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 2,404
A neuropsychological theory of positive affect and its influence on cognition.
Ashby, F. G., Isen, A. M., & Turken, A. U. (1999) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.3.529 · Cited by 2,270 · cited 1×
“…one (dopamine mediated) assessing positivity and one (acetycholine mediated) assessing negativity [the so-called “bivariate evaluative response system” (Ashby et al 1999, Cacioppo & Berntson 1994, Coombs & Avrunin 1977, Gray 1971, Ito & Cacioppo 1999, Lieberman 2000, Russell & Carroll 1999)]?”
BackgroundDescartes’ Error. Emotion, Reason and the Human Brain. New York (Grosset/Putnam) 1994.
Damasio, A. R. (1994) · Cited by 2,264
The Adaptive Character of Thought
Massaro, D. W., Friedman, D., & Anderson, J. R. (1991) · The American Journal of Psychology · doi:10.2307/1423253 · Cited by 2,174
Foundations of Information Integration Theory
Carroll, J. S., & Anderson, N. H. (1982) · The American Journal of Psychology · doi:10.2307/1422202 · Cited by 2,112
The Handbook of Experimental Economics
(1995) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.1515/9780691213255 · Cited by 2,051
The construction of preference.
Slovic, P. (1995) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.50.5.364 · Cited by 2,009
The Probability Weighting Function
Prelec, D. (1998) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/2998573 · Cited by 1,983
Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey.
Simon, H. A., Luce, R. D., & Raiffa, H. (1958) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.2307/2089260 · Cited by 1,944
Decision field theory: A dynamic-cognitive approach to decision making in an uncertain environment.
Busemeyer, J. R., & Townsend, J. T. (1993) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037//0033-295x.100.3.432 · Cited by 1,934
Cacioppo, J. T., & Berntson, G. G. (1994) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.115.3.401 · Cited by 1,882
Affect, generalization, and the perception of risk.
Johnson, E. J., & Tversky, A. (1983) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.45.1.20 · Cited by 1,850
Smith, E. R., & DeCoster, J. (2000) · Personality and Social Psychology Review · doi:10.1207/s15327957pspr0402_01 · Cited by 1,784
Neural correlates of decision variables in parietal cortex
Platt, M. L., & Glimcher, P. W. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/22268 · Cited by 1,721
An introduction to behavioural ecology
Krebs, J. R., & Davies, N. (1981) · Cited by 1,705
BOUNDED RATIONALITY, AMBIGUITY, AND THE ENGINEERING OF CHOICE
March, J. G. (1988) · Decision Making · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511598951.004 · Cited by 1,688
An Introduction to Behavioural Ecology
Royle, N. J. (2013) · Animal Behaviour · doi:10.1016/j.anbehav.2013.01.003 · Cited by 1,612
Contingent weighting in judgment and choice.
Tversky, A., Sattath, S., & Slovic, P. (1988) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.95.3.371 · Cited by 1,567
Bounded rationality, ambiguity and the engineering of choice
March, J. G. (1978) · The Bell Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/3003600 · Cited by 1,539
On the bipolarity of positive and negative affect.
Russell, J. A., & Carroll, J. M. (1999) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.125.1.3 · Cited by 1,481 · cited 1×
“…one (dopamine mediated) assessing positivity and one (acetycholine mediated) assessing negativity [the so-called “bivariate evaluative response system” (Ashby et al 1999, Cacioppo & Berntson 1994, Coombs & Avrunin 1977, Gray 1971, Ito & Cacioppo 1999, Lieberman 2000, Russell & Carroll 1999)]?”
BackgroundMaking Hard Decisions, an Introduction to Decision Analysis
Liu, S. T., & Clemen, R. T. (1992) · Technometrics · doi:10.2307/1270059 · Cited by 1,450
Motivational and emotional controls of cognition
Simon, H. A. (1967) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/h0024127 · Cited by 1,410
On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function
Gonzalez, R., & Wu, G. (1999) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1006/cogp.1998.0710 · Cited by 1,387
Cosmides, L. (1996) · Cognition · doi:10.1016/0010-0277(95)00664-8 · Cited by 1,293
Rolls, E. T. (1998) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198524649.001.0001 · Cited by 1,257
A Behavioral Approach to Law and Economics
Jolls, C., Sunstein, C. R., & Thaler, R. (1998) · Stanford Law Review · doi:10.2307/1229304 · Cited by 1,222
Hilbert, D. (1902) · Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society · doi:10.1090/s0002-9904-1902-00923-3 · Cited by 1,182
Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability
Tversky, A., & Koehler, D. J. (1994) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.101.4.547 · Cited by 1,167
The mind in the middle: A practical guide to priming and automaticity research.
Bargh, J. A., & Chartrand, T. L. (2000) · Cited by 1,136
The Handbook of Experimental Economics
(2020) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.2307/j.ctvzsmff5 · Cited by 1,105
PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTIONPreprint
al‐Nowaihi, A., & Dhami, S. (2005) · SSRN Electronic Journal · Cited by 1,077
Memory consolidation and the medial temporal lobe: a simple network model.
Alvarez, P., & Squire, L. R. (1994) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.91.15.7041 · Cited by 1,072
Optimistic Biases About Personal Risks
Weinstein, N. D. (1989) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.2686031 · Cited by 1,032
Heath, C., Larrick, R. P., & Wu, G. (1999) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1006/cogp.1998.0708 · Cited by 1,009
Camerer, C. (2020) · The Handbook of Experimental Economics · doi:10.2307/j.ctvzsmff5.12 · Cited by 992
Cognitive processes underlying context effects in attitude measurement.
Tourangeau, R., & Rasinski, K. A. (1988) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.103.3.299 · Cited by 969
Appraisal Determinants of Emotions: Constructing a More Accurate and Comprehensive Theory
Roseman, I. J. (1996) · Cognition & Emotion · doi:10.1080/026999396380240 · Cited by 923
Models of Working Memory: Mechanisms of Active Maintenance and Executive Control
(1999) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139174909 · Cited by 908
Osherson, D. N., Smith, E. E., Wilkie, O., López, A., & Shafir, E. (1990) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.97.2.185 · Cited by 900
Psychological Science Can Improve Diagnostic Decisions
Swets, J. A., Dawes, R. M., & Monahan, J. (2000) · Psychological Science in the Public Interest · doi:10.1111/1529-1006.001 · Cited by 868
Human Judgment and Social Policy: Irreducible Uncertainty, Inevitable Error, Unavoidable Injustice
Hammond, K. R. (1996) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780195097344.001.0001 · Cited by 851
Mellers, B., Schwartz, A., & Ritov, I. (1999) · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General · doi:10.1037/0096-3445.128.3.332 · Cited by 839
Intuition: A social cognitive neuroscience approach.
Lieberman, M. D. (2000) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.126.1.109 · Cited by 803
Hsee, C. K., Loewenstein, G. F., Blount, S., & Bazerman, M. H. (1999) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.125.5.576 · Cited by 778
The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life
Evans, H. M. (2000) · Neuropsychoanalysis · doi:10.1080/15294145.2000.10773288 · Cited by 759
A Behavioral Approach to Law and Economics
Jolls, C., Sunstein, C. R., & Thaler, R. H. (2000) · Behavioral Law and Economics · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139175197.002 · Cited by 749
Reference points, anchors, norms, and mixed feelings
Kahneman, D. (1992) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/0749-5978(92)90015-y · Cited by 728
Human judgment and social policy: irreducible uncertainty, inevitable error, unavoidable injustice
(1997) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.34-4545 · Cited by 719
Judgment analysis : theory, methods, and applications
Cooksey, R. (1996) · Academic Press eBooks · Cited by 696
Methods of information integration theory
Anderson, N. H. (1982) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 695
Mood effects on subjective probability assessment
Wright, W. F., & Bower, G. H. (1992) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/0749-5978(92)90039-a · Cited by 681
Loewenstein, G. F., & Elster, J. (1992) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 635
Measurement in Psychology: A Critical History of a Methodological Concept
Michell, J. (1999) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511490040 · Cited by 617
Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics.
Hogarth, R. M. (1981) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.90.2.197 · Cited by 613
Baron, J., & Spranca, M. (1997) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1997.2690 · Cited by 595
Probabilistic classification learning in amnesia.
Knowlton, B. J., Squire, L. R., & Gluck, M. A. (1994) · Learning & Memory · doi:10.1101/lm.1.2.106 · Cited by 590
Organizational Decision Making
(1996) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511584169 · Cited by 566
McFadden, D., Machina, M. J., & Baron, J. (1999) · Elicitation of Preferences · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-1406-8_4 · Cited by 560
Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey.
Vajda, S., Luce, R. D., & Raiffa, H. (1958) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2342906 · Cited by 559
Value elicitation: Is there anything in there?
Fischhoff, B. (1991) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.46.8.835 · Cited by 544
A componential analysis of cognitive effort in choice
Bettman, J. R., Johnson, E. J., & Payne, J. W. (1990) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/0749-5978(90)90007-v · Cited by 539
Food Sharing Among Ache Foragers: Tests of Explanatory Hypotheses [and Comments and Reply]
Kaplan, H., Hill, K., Cadeliña, R. V., Hayden, B., Hyndman, D. C., Preston, R. J., Smith, E. A., Stuart, D. E., & Yesner, D. R. (1985) · Current Anthropology · doi:10.1086/203251 · Cited by 539
Wouldn’t it be nice? Predicting future feelings
Loewenstein, G. F., & Schkade, D. A. (1999) · Cited by 516
Economic Preferences or Attitude Expressions?: An Analysis of Dollar Responses to Public Issues
Kahneman, D., Ritov, I., Schkade, D., Sherman, S. J., & Varian, H. R. (1999) · Elicitation of Preferences · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-1406-8_8 · Cited by 509
Source credibility in social judgment: Bias, expertise, and the judge's point of view.
Birnbaum, M. H., & Stegner, S. E. (1979) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.37.1.48 · Cited by 508
The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning.
FH, & Schum, D. A. (1995) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2291371 · Cited by 506
Mood-congruent judgment is a general effect.
Mayer, J. D., Gaschke, Y. N., Braverman, D. L., & Evans, T. W. (1992) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.63.1.119 · Cited by 499
Progress in Behavioral Game Theory
Camerer, C. F. (1997) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.11.4.167 · Cited by 496
Do positive illusions foster mental health? An examination of the Taylor and Brown formulation.
Colvin, C. R., & Block, J. (1994) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.116.1.3 · Cited by 489
(1994) · The MIT Press eBooks · doi:10.7551/mitpress/4545.001.0001 · Cited by 483
Structure of self-reported current affect: Integration and beyond.
Yik, M. S. M., Russell, J. A., & Barrett, L. F. (1999) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.77.3.600 · Cited by 476
New Challenges to the Rationality Assumption
Kahneman, D. (2000) · Choices, Values, and Frames · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511803475.043 · Cited by 474
Variable risk preferences and the focus of attention.
March, J. G., & Shapira, Z. (1992) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037//0033-295x.99.1.172 · Cited by 465
Experimental Methods: A Primer for Economists.
Starmer, C., Friedman, D., & Sunder, S. (1996) · Economica · doi:10.2307/2554770 · Cited by 457
Hastie, R., Penrod, S., & Pennington, N. (1983) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 446
Self-citationRead, D., Loewenstein, G., & Rabin, M. (1999) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007879411489 · Cited by 440
Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory.
Rottenstreich, Y., & Tversky, A. (1997) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.104.2.406 · Cited by 425
Food Sharing among Ache Foragers: Tests of Explanatory Hypotheses'
Kaplan, H. S., & Hill, K. R. (1985) · Cited by 425
Economic Preferences or Attitude Expressions?: An Analysis of Dollar Responses to Public Issues
Kahneman, D., Ritov, I., & Schkade, D. (1999) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007835629236 · Cited by 422
Hastie, R., Penrod, S. D., & Pennington, N. (1983) · Harvard University Press eBooks · doi:10.4159/harvard.9780674865945 · Cited by 411
Self-citationBeyond valence in the perception of likelihood: The role of emotion specificity.
DeSteno, D., Petty, R. E., Wegener, D. T., & Rucker, D. D. (2000) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037//0022-3514.78.3.397 · Cited by 405
Experimental Methods: A Primer for Economists
Friedman, D., & Sunder, S. (1994) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139174176 · Cited by 403
Utility of Gains and Losses: Measurement-Theoretical and Experimental Approaches
Luce, R. D. (2000) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 396
McFadden, D. (1999) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007863007855 · Cited by 393
Measuring Constructed Preferences: Towards a Building Code
Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., Schkade, D. A., Schwarz, N., & Gregory, R. (1999) · Elicitation of Preferences · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-1406-8_9 · Cited by 383
A functional theory of cognition
(1997) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.34-3025 · Cited by 381
Lopes, L. L., & Oden, G. C. (1999) · Journal of Mathematical Psychology · doi:10.1006/jmps.1999.1259 · Cited by 379
Animal choice behavior and the evolution of cognitive architecture
Real, L. A. (1991) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1887231 · Cited by 377
The Logic of Plausible Reasoning: A Core Theory
Collins, A., & Michalski, R. (1989) · Cognitive Science · doi:10.1207/s15516709cog1301_1 · Cited by 360
Emotional Trade-Off Difficulty and Choice
Luce, M. F., Payne, J. W., & Bettman, J. R. (1999) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.1177/002224379903600201 · Cited by 347
Single-peaked functions and the theory of preference.
Coombs, C. H., & Avrunin, G. S. (1977) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037//0033-295x.84.2.216 · Cited by 309
Naive probability: A mental model theory of extensional reasoning.
Johnson-Laird, P. N., Legrenzi, P., Girotto, V., Legrenzi, M. S., & Caverni, J.-P. (1999) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037//0033-295x.106.1.62 · Cited by 305
Miswanting: Some Problems in the Forecasting of Future Affective States
Gilbert, D. T., & Wilson, T. D. (2006) · The Construction of Preference · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511618031.031 · Cited by 289
Gobet, F. (2000) · Swiss Journal of Psychology · doi:10.1024//1421-0185.59.3.211b · Cited by 284
An Introduction To the Logic of Psychological Measurement
Michell, J. (2014) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315807614 · Cited by 277
Utility Theories: Measurements and Applications
(1992) · Studies in Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1007/978-94-011-2952-7 · Cited by 277
Measuring Constructed Preferences: Towards a Building Code
Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Schkade, D. A. (1999) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007843931054 · Cited by 277
Experimental Foundations of Political Science
(1993) · University of Michigan Press eBooks · doi:10.3998/mpub.12857 · Cited by 273
Markman, A. B. (2013) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780203763698 · Cited by 273
Baron, J. (1994) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x0003301x · Cited by 268
Measurement issues in emotion research.
Larsen, R. J., & Fredrickson, B. L. (1999) · Cited by 267
A Study of a Neglected Portion of the Field of Learning—the Development of Sensory Organization
Leeper, R. (1935) · The Pedagogical Seminary and Journal of Genetic Psychology · doi:10.1080/08856559.1935.10533144 · Cited by 260
Priming and multiple memory systems: Perceptual mechanisms of implict memory
Schacter, D. L., & Tulving, E. (1994) · Cited by 247
An introduction to the logic of psychological measurement
(1991) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.28-3564 · Cited by 233
Weber, E. U. (1994) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.115.2.228 · Cited by 226
Grossberg, S., & Gutowski, W. E. (1987) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.94.3.300 · Cited by 220
The Psychology of Fear and Stress
Vander Ark, S. D. (1973) · Journal of Music Therapy · doi:10.1093/jmt/10.2.110 · Cited by 206
Larrick, R. P., Nisbett, R. E., & Morgan, J. N. (1993) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1993.1058 · Cited by 198
Decision making in the short run.
Lopes, L. L. (1981) · Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning & Memory · doi:10.1037//0278-7393.7.5.377 · Cited by 187
Through a narrow window: Sample size and the perception of correlation.
Kareev, Y., Lieberman, I., & Lev, M. (1997) · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General · doi:10.1037//0096-3445.126.3.278 · Cited by 177
The evidential foundations of probabilistic reasoning
(1995) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.32-2700 · Cited by 174
Comparison and choice: Relations between similarity processes and decision processes
Medin, D. L., Goldstone, R. L., & Markman, A. B. (1995) · Psychonomic Bulletin & Review · doi:10.3758/bf03214410 · Cited by 163
(2015) · Encyclopedia of Computational Neuroscience · doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-6675-8_100494 · Cited by 162
Characteristics of Skilled Option Generation in Chess
Klein, G. A., Wolf, S., Militello, L. G., & Zsambok, C. E. (1995) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1995.1031 · Cited by 154
The Real World: What Good Is It?
Fischhoff, B. (1996) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1996.0024 · Cited by 147
A note on superadditive probability judgment.
Macchi, L., Osherson, D. N., & Krantz, D. H. (1999) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.106.1.210 · Cited by 142
Frequency, Probability, and Prediction: Easy Solutions to Cognitive Illusions?
Griffin, D. W., & Buehler, R. (1999) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1006/cogp.1998.0707 · Cited by 137
Amos Tversky and the Ascent of Behavioral Economics
Laibson, D., & Zeckhauser, R. (1998) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007717224343 · Cited by 136
Behavioral decision making and judgment.
Dawes, R. M. (1998) · Cited by 132
Decision theory as a branch of evolutionary theory: A biological derivation of the savage axioms.
Cooper, W. S. (1987) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.94.4.395 · Cited by 132
Decision problem structuring: generating options
Keller, L. R., & Ho, J. L. Y. (1988) · IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics · doi:10.1109/21.21599 · Cited by 130
Psychology and Economics: Perspectives on Risk, Cooperation, and the Marketplace
Lopes, L. L. (1994) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.ps.45.020194.001213 · Cited by 128
MacDonald, T. K., & Ross, M. (1999) · Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin · doi:10.1177/0146167299259007 · Cited by 126
Goldstein, W. M., & Weber, E. U. (1995) · Psychology of Learning and Motivation · doi:10.1016/s0079-7421(08)60308-4 · Cited by 119
The construction of preference.
Slovic, P. (1995) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037//0003-066x.50.5.364 · Cited by 116
Algebra and Process in the Modeling of Risky Choice
Lopes, L. L. (1995) · The Psychology of learning and motivation/The psychology of learning and motivation · doi:10.1016/s0079-7421(08)60310-2 · Cited by 111
Contingent weighting in judgment and choice.
Tversky, A., Sattath, S., & Slovic, P. (1988) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037//0033-295x.95.3.371 · Cited by 106
Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective
Klayman, J., & Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1993) · Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1002/for.3980120208 · Cited by 97
Chatterjee, S., & Heath, T. B. (1996) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1996.0070 · Cited by 92
Generic utility theory: Measurement foundations and applications in multiattribute utility theory
Miyamoto, J. M. (1988) · Journal of Mathematical Psychology · doi:10.1016/0022-2496(88)90019-3 · Cited by 91
Value as a Determiner of Subjective Probability
Slovic, P. (1966) · IEEE Transactions on Human Factors in Electronics · doi:10.1109/thfe.1966.231980 · Cited by 78
Positive illusions and well-being revisited: Separating fiction from fact.
Block, J., & Colvin, C. R. (1994) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.116.1.28 · Cited by 74
Task Complexity, Equilibrium Selection, and Learning: An Experimental Study
Ho, T., & Weigelt, K. (1996) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.42.5.659 · Cited by 70
Jaeger, D., & Jung, R. (2022) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-0716-1006-0_300520 · Cited by 70
Analysis of Choice Expectations in Incomplete Scenarios
Manski, C. F. (1999) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007806822876 · Cited by 67
The psychophysiology of utility appraisals.
Ito, T. A., & Cacioppo, J. T. (1999) · Cited by 61
The Paradoxes of Allais, Stochastic Dominance, and Decision Weights
Birnbaum, M. H. (1999) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4615-5089-1_3 · Cited by 60
Multiattribute Decision Making in Context: A Dynamic Neural Network Methodology
Leven, S. J., & Levine, D. S. (1996) · Cognitive Science · doi:10.1016/s0364-0213(99)80008-1 · Cited by 60
Osherson, D. N., Smith, E. E., Wilkie, O., López, A., & al., E. (1990) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037//0033-295x.97.2.185 · Cited by 60
Hammond, K. R., Hamm, R. M., & Grassia, J. (1986) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.100.2.257 · Cited by 55
Luce, R. D., Mellers, B. A., & Chang, S. J. (1993) · Insurance Mathematics and Economics · doi:10.1016/0167-6687(93)90925-f · Cited by 43
(2012) · SpringerReference · doi:10.1007/springerreference_135077 · Cited by 42
Construal Processes in Preference Assessment
Fischhoff, B., Welch, N., Frederick, S., Dominitz, J., & McDaniels, T. L. (1999) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-1406-8_6 · Cited by 38
Construal Processes in Preference Assessment
Fischhoff, B., Welch, N., & Frederick, S. (1999) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007823326511 · Cited by 34
Luce, R. D., Mellers, B. A., & Chang, S. J. (1993) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1007/bf01065354 · Cited by 32
THE UTILITY OF VERBAL AND BEHAVIORAL ASSESSMENTS OF VALUE
Bernstein, D. J., & Michael, R. L. (1990) · Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior · doi:10.1901/jeab.1990.54-173 · Cited by 30
The purpose of experiments: Ecological validity versus comparing hypotheses
Dawes, R. M. (1996) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x00041200 · Cited by 16
Chechile, R. A., & Butler, S. F. (2000) · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · doi:10.1023/a:1007833125015 · Cited by 12
Cited by
Entrepreneurial Action And The Role Of Uncertainty In The Theory Of The Entrepreneur
McMullen, J. S., & Shepherd, D. A. (2006) · Academy of Management Review · doi:10.5465/amr.2006.19379628 · Cited by 3,103
Probabilistic decision making by slow reverberation in cortical circuits
Wang, X.-J. (2002) · Neuron · doi:10.1016/s0896-6273(02)01092-9 · Cited by 1,242
The ecological dynamics of decision making in sport
Araújo, D., Davids, K., & Hristovski, R. (2006) · Psychology of Sport and Exercise · doi:10.1016/j.psychsport.2006.07.002 · Cited by 913
Mindful Judgment and Decision Making
Weber, E. U., & Johnson, E. J. (2009) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.psych.60.110707.163633 · Cited by 745
A unified framework for addiction: Vulnerabilities in the decision process
Redish, A. D., Jensen, S., & Johnson, A. (2008) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x0800472x · Cited by 501
Metadata
- Authors
- Hastie, R.
- Venue
- Annual Review of Psychology
- Publisher
- Annual Reviews
- Published
- 2001-02
- Volume
- 52
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 653-683
- ISSN
- 0066-4308 (ISSN-L)
- 1545-2085
- OpenAlex
- W2171258393
- Cited by
- 522
- References
- 197
- FWCI
- 4.08
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
