Cited by 79Smoking Behavior and CessationSubstance Abuse Treatment and OutcomesChronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research

Evaluating Long-term Outcomes of NHS Stop Smoking Services (ELONS): a prospective cohort study

Open access
Dobbie, Fiona, Hiscock, Rosemary, Leonardi-Bee, Jo, Murray, Susan, Shahab, Lion, Aveyard, Paul, Coleman, Tim, McEwen, Andy +3 more·2015·Health Technology Assessment

Abstract

Background: NHS Stop Smoking Services (SSSs) provide free at the point of use treatment for smokers who would like to stop. Since their inception in 1999 they have evolved to offer a variety of support options. Given the changes that have happened in the provision of services and the ongoing need for evidence on effectiveness, the Evaluating Long-term Outcomes for NHS Stop Smoking Services (ELONS) study was commissioned. Objectives: The main aim of the study was to explore the factors that determine longer-term abstinence from smoking following intervention by SSSs. There were also a number of additional objectives. Design: The ELONS study was an observational study with two main stages: secondary analysis of routine data collected by SSSs and a prospective cohort study of service clients. The prospective study had additional elements on client satisfaction, well-being and longer-term nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) use. Setting: The setting for the study was SSSs in England. For the secondary analysis, routine data from 49 services were obtained. For the prospective study and its added elements, nine services were involved. The target population was clients of these services. Participants: There were 202,804 cases included in secondary analysis and 3075 in the prospective study. Interventions: A combination of behavioural support and stop smoking medication delivered by SSS practitioners. Main outcome measures: Abstinence from smoking at 4 and 52 weeks after setting a quit date, validated by a carbon monoxide (CO) breath test. Results: Just over 4 in 10 smokers (41%) recruited to the prospective study were biochemically validated as abstinent from smoking at 4 weeks (which was broadly comparable with findings from the secondary analysis of routine service data, where self-reported 4-week quit rates were 48%, falling to 34% when biochemical validation had occurred). At the 1-year follow-up, 8% of prospective study clients were CO validated as abstinent from smoking. Clients who received specialist one-to-one behavioural support were twice as likely to have remained abstinent than those who were seen by a general practitioner (GP) practice and pharmacy providers [odds ratio (OR) 2.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2 to 4.6]. Clients who received group behavioural support (either closed or rolling groups) were three times more likely to stop smoking than those who were seen by a GP practice or pharmacy providers (OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.7 to 6.7). Satisfaction with services was high and well-being at baseline was found to be a predictor of abstinence from smoking at longer-term follow-up. Continued use of NRT at 1 year was rare, but no evidence of harm from longer-term use was identified from the data collected. Conclusions: Stop Smoking Services in England are effective in helping smokers to move away from tobacco use. Using the 52-week CO-validated quit rate of 8% found in this study, we estimate that in the year 2012–13 the services supported 36,249 clients to become non-smokers for the remainder of their lives. This is a substantial figure and provides one indicator of the ongoing value of the treatment that the services provide. The study raises a number of issues for future research including (1) examining the role of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) in smoking cessation for service clients [this study did not look at e-cigarette use (except briefly in the longer-term NRT study) but this is a priority for future studies]; (2) more detailed comparisons of rolling groups with other forms of behavioural support; (3) further exploration of the role of practitioner knowledge, skills and use of effective behaviour change techniques in supporting service clients to stop smoking; (4) surveillance of the impact of structural and funding changes on the future development and sustainability of SSSs; and (5) more detailed analysis of well-being over time between those who successfully stop smoking and those who relapse. Further research on longer-term use of non-combustible nicotine products that measures a wider array of biomarkers of smoking-related harm such as lung function tests or carcinogen metabolites. Funding: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme. The UK Centre for Tobacco and Alcohol Studies provided funding for the longer-term NRT study.

AI snapshot

Written from a shortened version of the paper’s full text (it is longer than we read).

TL;DR

The ELONS study combined secondary analysis of routine NHS Stop Smoking Services data with a prospective cohort to examine short- and longer-term abstinence. It found 4-week CO-validated quit rates of 34% in routine data and 41.2% weighted in the prospective cohort, falling to 7.7% weighted CO-validated abstinence at 52 weeks.

Key findings

  • In the secondary analysis of routine data from 49 services (202,804 records; analysis n = 177,291), 4-week quit rates were 48% self-reported and 34% CO-validated; CO-validation rate was 74.3%. Services reached 5–10% of their local smoking populations, and estimated overall impact was 184 ex-smokers per 100,000 population.
  • In the prospective cohort of 3,075 clients from nine services, 4-week CO-validated quit was 44.1% raw and 41.2% weighted; 52-week CO-validated quit was 9.3% raw and 7.7% weighted. Lost to follow-up was 22.6% at 4 weeks and 45.2% at 52 weeks, with those lost assumed to be smoking.
  • Longer-term abstinence was higher with group support (aOR 3.4, 95% CI 1.7 to 6.7 vs GP/pharmacy) and one-to-one specialist support (aOR 2.3, 95% CI 1.2 to 4.6). Other predictors included older age, affluence, lower tobacco dependence, varenicline use, higher well-being, spouse/partner support, and fewer smokers in the social network.
  • In the longer-term NRT element, 61.5% reported NRT use during the quit attempt, 21.5% used NRT longer than 3 months, and 8.4% still used non-combustible nicotine products at 12 months; e-cigarette use at 1 year was 2.9%. Long-term ex-smokers were more likely than relapsers to still use non-combustible nicotine (14.0% vs 3.7%).

Methods

  • Observational study with two main stages: secondary analysis of routine QuitManager data from 49 English SSSs, and a prospective cohort of 3,075 clients from nine SSSs followed at baseline, 4 weeks, and 52 weeks.
  • Outcomes were self-reported and CO-validated abstinence at 4 and 52 weeks, with 52-week CO-validated abstinence as the primary outcome; analyses used multilevel logistic regression at 4 weeks and single-level logistic regression at 52 weeks, with weighting to an “all cases” routine dataset.
  • Additional elements included a client satisfaction survey (996 respondents), a well-being study using the WHO-5 Well-being Index, and a longer-term NRT study with saliva biomarkers (1,047 provided NRT information; 258 provided baseline and follow-up saliva samples).

Limitations

  • The paper states that secondary-analysis reach estimates relied on modelled PCT smoking and population estimates, assumed a uniform 4% smoking decline, and sometimes assumed unique clients; routine data also limited SES measurement, did not disaggregate ethnicity, and included only PCTs using QuitManager.
  • The paper states that prospective recruitment was the most substantial limitation: only 9% of qualifying quit attempts were recruited, consent was cumbersome, service and policy changes affected participation, and some behavioural-support comparisons were underpowered despite weighting.
  • The paper also notes low postal-survey response, exploratory well-being analysis, small biomarker samples with dropout, unmeasured group effects, and local variation in data definitions/accuracy; the observational design cannot establish causality.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.3310/hta19950

Cites

97 of 97 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 111 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    In the prospective study of just over 3000 smokers attending NHS Stop Smoking Services in nine areas of England, 41.2% were biochemically validated as abstinent from smoking at 4 weeks post quit date.

    “From our prospective study of just over 3000 smokers attending SSSs in nine areas of England, we found that just over 4 in 10 (41.2%) were biochemically validated as abstinent from smoking at 4 weeks post quit date.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Just fewer than 8% of smokers were still abstinent from smoking 1 year after setting a quit date.

    “We found that just fewer than 8% of smokers were still abstinent from smoking 1 year after setting a quit date.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Cotinine levels for those who relapsed to smoking had not changed from baseline to follow-up, irrespective of NRT use.

    “Cotinine levels for smokers who had stopped at follow-up but who used NRT long term had not changed from baseline to follow-up and neither did cotinine levels for those who had relapsed to smoking (irrespective of NRT use).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Most clients who started on NRT used it for at least 8 weeks.

    “Most clients who started on NRT used it for at least 8 weeks and more than one in five (21.5%) used it for longer than the standard 3 months.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Fewer than 1 in 10 participants (8.4%) were still using non-combustible nicotine products at the 12-month follow-up.

    “Long-term use was relatively rare with fewer than 1 in 10 participants still using non-combustible nicotine products at the 12-month follow-up (8.4%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 302
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 182
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 28
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    More than 60 of approximately 150 English primary care trusts use QuitManager and 49 of these gave permission to the National Centre for Smoking Cessation and Training for their data to be used for research.

    “More than 60 out of the ≈ 150 English PCTs use QuitManager and 49 of these gave permission to the NCSCT for their data to be used for research purposes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingreasoning

    The months included were July-November 2010 and January-May 2011 (n = 19,481).

    “Thus, the months included were July-November 2010 and January-May 2011 (n = 19,481).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    One primary care trust included only clients who saw practitioners through the specialist service in QuitManager, so it was not possible to provide an estimate of reach for this primary care trust.

    “Third, a PCT was known to include only clients who saw practitioners through the specialist service in QuitManager.Thus it was not possible to provide an estimate of reach for this PCT.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Inspection of the QuitManager database suggested that the narrow 25-42 day range may be underestimating the number of quitters, so all clients who self-reported as quit were included in the analysis.

    “Inspection of the QuitManager database suggested that this narrow range may be underestimating the number of quitters, so all clients who self-reported as quit were included in the analysis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Self-report quitters who set quit dates in January were most likely to be carbon monoxide validated and November quitters were least likely.

    “Self-report quitters who set quit dates in January were most likely to be CO validated and November quitters were least likely.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The self-report quit rate of unique clients was 49.8%.

    “the self-report quit rate was 49.8%”
    • Also stated in: § Summary of key points · plain
      “The self-reported and CO-validated quit rates were 49% and 34% respectively at 4 weeks post quit date.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    These primary care trusts' Stop Smoking Services used the QuitManager database to record and report on their routine data.

    “These PCTs' SSSs used the QuitManager database to record and report on their routine data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The self-report quit rate for unique clients aged ≥ 16 years was 50.0%.

    “and the self-report quit rate was 50.0%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The highest odds ratios were for clients who took varenicline alone; these people were more than twice as likely to self-report and carbon monoxide validate as quit.

    “The highest ORs were for clients who took varenicline alone.These people were more than twice as likely to self-report and CO validate as quit.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Two London PCTs displayed high quit rates but low throughput whereas three others displayed particularly high throughput but low CO-validated quit rates.

    “Two London PCTs displayed high quit rates but low throughput whereas three others displayed particularly high throughput but low CO-validated quit rates.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Men and pregnant women were more likely to quit than non-pregnant women.

    “Men and pregnant women were more likely to quit than non-pregnant women.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Clients who had used the service once before were less likely to quit than those who had never used the service before, and those who had used the service four or more times were more likely to quit.

    “Clients who had used the service once before were less likely to quit than those who had never used the service before and those who had used the service four or more times were more likely to quit.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    When the impact was calculated using all self-report quitters, two services were estimated to have a negative impact, as did six services when only carbon monoxide validated quitters were included.

    “When the impact was calculated using all self-report quitters, two services were estimated to have a negative impact as did six services when only CO-validated quitters were included.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Overall, the self-report quit rate comfortably passed the 35% level and the carbon monoxide validated quit rate almost reached this level.

    “Overall, the self-report quit rate comfortably passed this level and the CO-validated quit rate almost reached this level.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Quit rates and impact measures were normally distributed.

    “and quit rates and impact measures were normally distributed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The carbon monoxide validation rate of the database was 73.9% and was 74.3% among clients with gender, age and practitioner identified.

    “The CO-validation rate (self-reports that were CO validated) of the database was 73.9% and was 74.3% among clients with gender, age and practitioner identified (see Table 3).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Closed-group clients were significantly more likely to self-report as quit than those who undertook one-to-one counselling, but the difference did not quite reach significance for carbon monoxide validation.

    “Closed-group clients were significantly more likely to self-report as quit than those who undertook one-to-one counselling but the difference did not quite reach significance for CO validation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    When extreme primary care trusts were excluded, the variance between primary care trusts halved and there was no longer significant variation between practitioners.

    “When extreme PCTs were excluded the variance between PCTs halved and there was no longer significant variation between practitioners.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Some subgroups met the 35% target for carbon monoxide validated quitting: clients who were working or retired or caring for the home, prisoners, clients who paid for prescriptions, clients in primary care trusts that were not particularly disadvantaged or affluent, clients who set quit dates in January or February, clients who took combination NRT or just varenicline, clients who attended groups,,

    “Some subgroups met this target for CO-validated quitting, they were: clients who were working or who were retired or caring for the home, prisoners, clients who paid for prescriptions, clients in PCTs who were not particularly disadvantaged or affluent, clients who set quit dates in January or February, clients who took combination NRT or just varenicline, clients who attended groups and clients”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The distribution of client records and unique clients among the PCTs was skewed.

    “The distribution of client records and unique clients among the PCTs were skewed”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The quit rates of the sample used in the analysis were 48.8% self-report and 34.1% carbon monoxide validated.

    “The quit rates of the sample used in the analysis were 48.8% (self-report) and 34.1% (CO validated).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Excluding clients from the lowest ranked primary care trust made little difference to the results.

    “Further exploration (not shown) suggested that excluding clients from the lowest ranked PCT made little difference to the results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Full models did not converge in either Stata xt or MLwiN Markov chain Monte Carlo.

    “Full models did not converge in either Stata xt or MLwiN Markov chain Monte Carlo.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Varenicline and combination NRT were both used frequently and increased the chances of quitting compared with a single NRT product.

    “Varenicline and combination NRT were both used frequently and increased the chances of quitting compared with a single NRT product.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    Some sites found this easier to manage than others, depending on how they delivered their service.

    “Some sites found this easier to manage than others, depending on how they delivered their service.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Six sites recruited level 2 service providers. The number of individual providers recruited varied between 4 and 23.

    “Six sites recruited level 2 service providers.The number of individual providers recruited varied between 4 and 23.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In some of the services, clients were recruited to the study when they registered with the SSS, which was sometimes before they set a quit date. Some of these clients never did set a quit date.

    “In some of the services, clients were recruited to the study when they registered with the SSS, which was sometimes before they set a quit date.Some of these clients never did set a quit date.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The recruitment start date was staggered by site.

    “In addition, the recruitment start date was staggered by site.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The main reasons for declining were that they perceived available service support costs to be inadequate, it was an onerous consent process and there were factors related to service reorganisation.

    “The main reasons for declining were that they perceived available service support costs to be inadequate, it was an onerous consent process and there were factors related to service reorganisation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Some practitioners, particularly pharmacy employees, reported that clients simply did not want to take part.

    “Some practitioners, particularly pharmacy employees, reported that clients simply did not want to take part.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Highest quit rates were found among older people, men and clients with higher SES.

    “Highest quit rates were found among older people, men and clients with higher SES.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    Eight services were initially recruited to the study.

    “Eight services were initially recruited to the study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Practitioner feedback suggests that the main reasons were that clients did not have time to go through the recruitment process (particularly for working people who scheduled appointments) or did not want to be contacted for follow-up (often older people).

    “Practitioner feedback suggests that the main reasons were that clients did not have time to go through the recruitment process (particularly for working people who scheduled appointments) or did not want to be contacted for follow-up (often older people).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    The process of site recruitment took longer than expected (it was common for this process to take months rather than weeks).

    “However, the process of site recruitment took longer than expected (it was common for this process to take months rather than weeks)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The ELONS study mostly relied on practitioners to recruit clients and some were more confident and committed to this than others.

    “The ELONS study mostly relied on practitioners to recruit clients and some were more confident and committed to this than others.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Overall, impact was significantly positively associated with CO-validated quitting, self-report quitting and impact, taking into account either only CO-validated quits or taking into account all self-report quits.

    “Overall, impact was significantly positively associated with CO-validated quitting, self-report quitting and impact, taking into account either only CO-validated quits or taking into account all self-report quits.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The data collected in QuitManager did not consistently differentiate between behavioural support types.

    “The initial hurdle was that the data collected in QuitManager did not consistently differentiate between behavioural support types.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The main ambiguity was between one-to-one specialist practitioner support and level 2 support and, to a lesser extent, between one to one and drop-in.

    “The main ambiguity was between one-to-one specialist practitioner support and level 2 support and, to a lesser extent, between one to one and drop-in.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Almost 80% of the service clients received one-to-one counselling.

    “In total, almost 80% of the service clients received one-to-one counselling”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    January was the month with the highest number of quit dates set and the most successful quitters.

    “January was the month with the highest number of quit dates set and the most successful quitters.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    Client recruitment started later than planned, after the busy New Year period had ended.

    “As a result of this, client recruitment started later than planned, after the busy New Year period had ended.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    The estimated number of clients treated by SSSs from mid-2010 to mid-2011 was 5-10% of their smoking population.

    “The estimated number of clients treated by SSSs from mid-2010 to mid-2011 was 5-10% of their smoking population.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The number of quit dates set in SSSs in England for 2011/12 was 816,444 and in 2012/13 this has decreased by 11% to 724,247.

    “The number of quit dates set in SSSs in England for 2011/12 was 816,444 and in 2012/13 this has decreased by 11% to 724,247.31”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2013

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    Despite efforts to boost recruitment, the challenges described above meant that our initial target baseline sample of 5000 (as set out in our original research proposal) was too ambitious.

    “Despite efforts to boost recruitment, the challenges described above meant that our initial target baseline sample of 5000 (as set out in our original research proposal) was too ambitious.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    Recruitment was a particular challenge for the prospective study.

    “Recruitment was a particular challenge for the prospective study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This procedure and the length of the consent form was undoubtedly a barrier to participation and SSSs reported that it resulted in serious time implications.

    “This procedure and the length of the consent form was undoubtedly a barrier to participation and SSSs reported that it resulted in serious time implications”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Only three PCTs that the research team approached declined to participate in the study.

    “Despite this, only three PCTs that the research team approached declined to participate in the study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The PCTs with the highest impact were generally those with high quit-rates and vice versa.

    “The PCTs with the highest impact were generally those with high quit-rates and vice versa.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There were 202,084 client records in the QuitManager database used here.

    “compared with the 202,084 client records in the QuitManager database used here.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Outcomes for full-time students were among the poorest and had the largest gap between self-report and CO-validated quits (41% compared with 23%).

    “Outcomes for full-time students were among the poorest and also had the largest gap between self-report and CO-validated quits (41% compared with 23%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Data were available from 3075 clients; six pregnant participants were excluded, leaving 3069 cases.

    “Data were available from 3075 clients; there were, however, six participants that were excluded from this preliminary analysis because they were pregnant, leaving 3069 cases.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients in the other/unknown ethnicity category were significantly more likely to quit than Asians (59% compared with 27%; p < 0.001), although the numbers are very small.

    “Clients in this final category were significantly more likely to quit than Asians (59% compared with 27%; p < 0.001) although the numbers are very small.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The 4-week CO-validated quit rate was 44%.

    “the 4-week CO-validated quit rate was 44%.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Over half (51%) of clients were extremely determined to quit and they had the highest quit rates, with 62% self-reported abstinence at 4 weeks.

    “Over half (51%) of clients were extremely determined to quit and they had the highest quit rates, with 62% self-reported abstinence at 4 weeks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The highest quit rates were associated with quitting between 6 and 60 minutes after waking (47-49% in preliminary analysis); quit rates of clients who smoked over 60 minutes after waking had quit rates similar to clients who smoked within 5 minutes of waking (42% and 41% respectively).

    “However, the highest quit rates were associated with quitting between 6 and 60 minutes after waking (47-49% in preliminary analysis); quit rates of clients who smoked over 60 minutes after waking had quit rates similar to clients who smoked within 5 minutes of waking (42% and 41% respectively).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Initial analysis of dependence showed that high daily consumption of cigarettes and smoking within 5 minutes of waking were associated with low quit rates.

    “Initial analysis of dependence showed that high daily consumption of cigarettes and smoking within 5 minutes of waking were associated with low quit rates.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Heart, blood and circulation conditions were 25 times more prevalent in the oldest age group than in the youngest age group (49% compared with 2%; p < 0.001).

    “Heart, blood and circulation conditions were 25 times more prevalent in the oldest age group than in the youngest age group (49% compared with 2%; p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The Heaviness of Smoking Index was of only borderline significance in preliminary analysis and had a non-linear relationship with quitting.

    “Thus the Heaviness of Smoking Index was of only borderline significance in preliminary analysis and had a non-linear relationship with quitting.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    67% of those who smoked for ≥ 40 years had quit, compared with 49% of those who smoked for ≤ 10 years (p < 0.001).

    “67% of those smoked for ≥ 40 years had quit, in comparison with just 49% of those who smoked for ≤ 10 years (p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There was no relationship for respiratory conditions or other medical conditions.

    “There was no relationship for respiratory conditions or other medical conditions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Older clients were more likely to attend GP practices than other clients (12% of 65- to 85-year-olds received GP practice services compared with 6% of 16- to 17-year-olds), whereas younger clients were more likely to attend pharmacy services (5% of 16- to 17-year-olds received pharmacy services compared with 2% of 65- to 85-year-olds; p = 0.026).

    “Older clients were more likely to attend GP practices than other clients (12% of 65-to 85-year-olds received GP practice services compared with 6% of 16-to 17-year-olds), whereas younger clients were more likely to attend pharmacy services (5% of 16-to 17-year-olds received pharmacy services compared with 2% of 65-to 85-year-olds; p = 0.026).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There were 234 practitioners in the prospective study and the median number of clients recruited was four.

    “There were 234 practitioners in the prospective study and the median number of clients recruited was four.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Having a medical condition was not related to abstinence at 4 weeks, and neither was having a more severe medical condition.

    “Having a medical condition was not related to abstinence at 4 weeks and neither was having a more severe medical condition.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Initial multilevel modelling revealed no evidence of variance between practitioners; the practitioner made no difference to the chances of long-term quitting.

    “Initial multilevel modelling revealed that there was consistently no evidence of variance between practitioners (i.e. the practitioner made no difference to the chances of long-term quitting)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    There were no SES or gender differences in determination to quit.

    “There were no SES or gender differences in determination to quit.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients in midlife were most dependent on tobacco (4-9% had the highest dependency score compared with 3% in the oldest and youngest age groups; p < 0.001) but were also the most determined to quit (50-54% compared with 44-47%; p = not available).

    “clients in midlife were most dependent on tobacco (4-9% had the highest dependency score compared with 3% in the oldest and youngest age groups; p < 0.001) but were also the most determined to quit (50-54% compared with 44-47%; p = not available).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    30% of clients who reported that all their friends and family smoked were CO validated as quit at 4 weeks, compared with 53% who reported that none of their friends or family members smoked (p < 0.001).

    “30% of clients who reported that all their friends and family were CO validated as quit at 4 weeks compared with 53% who reported that none of their friends or family members smoked (p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Of those who smoked ≤ 10 cigarettes per day, 65% reported that they were abstinent at 4 weeks, compared with 45% of those who smoked ≥ 31 cigarettes per day.

    “Of those who smoked ≤ 10 cigarettes per day, 65% reported that they were abstinent at 4 weeks in comparison with just 45% of those who smoked ≥ 31 cigarettes per day.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients who did not answer questions about their previous quit attempt were less likely to quit (25%), but there was little difference between clients who had and had not made a quit attempt (44-45%).

    “Clients who did not answer questions about their previous quit attempt were less likely to quit (25%) but there was little difference between clients who had and had not made a quit attempt (44-45%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Sick/unemployed clients (p < 0.001), males (p = 0.002) and middle-age groups (p < 0.001) reported higher nicotine dependency than other groups.

    “The sick/unemployed (p < 0.001), males (p = 0.002) and middle-age groups (p < 0.001) reported higher nicotine dependency than other groups.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    'Stoptober' was mentioned as a route into the service for 81 clients.

    “'Stoptober' (a government-supported campaign to encourage smokers to quit for at least the month of October) was mentioned as a route into the service for 81 clients.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Single NRT and combination NRT tended to be recorded on one or two occasions; varenicline and other/mixed medication were more likely to be recorded on three or more occasions.

    “Single NRT and combination NRT tended to be recorded on one or two occasions.Varenicline and other/mixed medication were more likely to be recorded on three or more occasions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    CIs overlapped for all forms of behavioural support, but there were only about 100 clients who received closed group support or pharmacy service support, leading to very wide CIs.

    “CIs overlapped for all forms of support but there were only about 100 clients who received closed group support or pharmacy service support leading to very wide CIs.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The raw quit rate at 1 year was 9.3%, but after weighting this reduced marginally to 7.7% (95% CI 6.6% to 9.0%).

    “The raw quit rate in the longer term, at 1 year, was 9.3% but after weighting this reduced marginally to 7.7% (95% CI 6.6% to 9.0%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The final ELONS study sample consisted of 3057 SSS clients, once pregnant clients and clients whose advisor was unclear had been excluded.

    “The final ELONS study sample consisted of 3057 SSS clients, once pregnant clients and clients whose advisor was unclear had been excluded.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients in the ELONS study set quit dates between March 2012 and March 2013, clustered with most being set between July and November 2012.

    “Clients in the ELONS study set quit dates between March 2012 and March 2013, as shown in Table 18.These were clustered, however, with most being set between July and November 2012.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Varenicline use varied by study site (p < 0.001) and by NSSEC (33% sick/unemployed clients compared with 53% clients with routine and manual occupations and 51% clients with professional, managerial and intermediate occupations; p < 0.001).

    “Varenicline use also varied by study site (p < 0.001) and by NSSEC (33% sick/unemployed clients compared with 53% clients with routine and manual occupations and 51% clients with professional, managerial and intermediate occupations; p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    At 52 weeks, there were no significant seasonality effects.

    “At 52 weeks, there were no significant seasonality effects.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    One per cent of clients were seen by other types of practitioners, mostly GP practice staff in administration/reception and/or those working in a general well-being improvement field.

    “One per cent of clients were seen by other types of practitioners.Most of these were GP practice staff who worked in roles such as administration and receptionists and/or those who worked in a general well-being improvement field”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients who saw pharmacy assistants were least likely to be CO validated as quit, and clients who saw pharmacy managers or pharmacists were most likely to have a CO-validated quit compared with all other practitioner types (p = 0.0003).

    “Clients who saw pharmacy assistants were least likely to be CO validated as quit, and clients who saw pharmacy managers or pharmacists were most likely to have a CO-validated quit compared with all other practitioner types (p = 0.0003).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    There were 150 clients who did not set a quit date from only three of the nine sites.

    “There were 150 clients who did not set a quit date from only three of the nine sites.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Recruitment rates were higher for the specialist service (14%) than the level 2 providers (2%), at least partly because not all level 2 providers took part and those that did recruited for different periods.

    “Recruitment rates were higher for the specialist service (14%) than the level 2 providers (2%) at least partly because not all level 2 providers took part and those that did recruited for different periods.”
    • Also stated in: § PROSPECTIVE STUDY FINDINGS · hedged
      “Recruitment rates were higher for the specialist service (14%) than the level 2 providers (2%) at least partly because not all level 2 providers took part and those that did recruited for different periods.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Two-thirds of clients gave a saliva sample.

    “Two-thirds of clients gave a saliva sample, as Table 18 illustrates.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    About 8% of clients were seen by practice nurses and health-care assistants based in GP practices.

    “About 8% of clients were seen by practice nurses and health-care assistants based in GP practices.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Pharmacy practitioners had the most extreme quit rates (i.e. the highest and lowest), but altogether pharmacy practitioners recruited only 97 clients so subgroups are very small.

    “Pharmacy practitioners had the most extreme quit rates (i.e. the highest and lowest), but altogether pharmacy practitioners recruited only 97 clients so subgroups are very small.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Younger clients were more likely to give a saliva sample (68% compared with 55% and 57% for the two oldest age groups).

    “Younger clients were more likely to give a saliva sample (68% compared with 55% and 57% for the two oldest age groups).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Quit rates were approximately 32% or below if medications were recorded only on one or two occasions but were over 60% if they were noted on three or more occasions (p < 0.001).

    “Quit rates were approximately 32% or below if medications were recorded only on one or two occasions but were over 60% if they were noted on three or more occasions (p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Only 1% took bupropion.

    “Only 1% took bupropion.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There were 22 clients, from five of the nine sites, who were recruited twice to the ELONS study, meaning they had more than one quit attempt with the service during the study period.

    “There were 22 clients, from five of the nine sites, who were recruited twice to the ELONS study.This means they had more than one quit attempt with the service during the study periodthey were 'repeat' attenders”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Participants lost to follow-up were 22.6% at 4 weeks and 45.2% at 52 weeks.

    “Participants who were lost to follow-up (22.6% at 4 weeks and 45.2% at 52 weeks) were assumed to be smoking”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Participants who were lost to follow-up were assumed to be smoking, consistent with an intention-to-treat analysis.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients who received one-to-one or drop-in specialist support had intermediate quit rates, 10.2% (95% CI 7.6% to 13.7%) and 7.6% (95% CI 5.1% to 11.0%), respectively.

    “Clients who received one-to-one or drop-in specialist support quit rates were intermediate, 10.2% (95% CI 7.6% to 13.7%) and 7.6% (95% CI 5.1% to 11.0%), respectively.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There were no significant gender or ethnic differences at 52 weeks.

    “There were no significant gender or ethnic differences.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    About 3% of clients were seen by pharmacy practitioners.

    “About 3% of clients were seen by pharmacy practitioners.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the short term, at 4 weeks, quit rates were higher among older people and clients with higher levels of well-being.

    “In the short term, at 4 weeks, quit rates were higher among older people and clients with higher levels of well-being.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Over half of the ELONS study participants were seen in GP practices (52%) and one-fifth (21%) in a community-oriented building such as a community centre.

    “Over a half of the ELONS study participants were seen in GP practices (52%) and one-fifth (21%) in a community-oriented building such as a community centre.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There were no significant gender, socioeconomic or ethnic differences in short-term quit rates.

    “There were no significant gender, socioeconomic or ethnic differences.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Younger people took medication on fewer occasions; only 30% took medication on three or more occasions compared with 44% or more in the other age groups (p < 0.001).

    “younger people took medication on fewer occasions.Only 30% took medication on three or more occasions compared with 44% or more in the other age groups (p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The CO-validated raw quit rate at 4 weeks was 44.1%, but after weighting this reduced marginally to 41.2% (95% CI 34.9% to 47.9%).

    “The CO-validated raw quit rate at 4 weeks was 44.1% but after weighting this reduced marginally to 41.2% (95% CI 34.9% to 47.9%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients who attended sessions in a children's centre were most likely quit (51%) and those who attended a dedicated SSS shop or stall were least likely to quit (27%; p = 0.003).

    “Clients who attended sessions in a children's centre were most likely quit (51%) and those who attended a dedicated SSS shop or stall were least likely to quit (27%; p =0 .003).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Site 6 had the highest helpfulness of CO test (81%) and site 1 the lowest (57%).

    “There was a significant difference between location, with respondents from site 6 reporting highest levels of helpfulness (81%) and site 1 respondents were least likely to say that the CO-validation test was very helpful (57%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There were 1006 questionnaires received and the final CSS data set had 996 cases.

    “There were 1006 questionnaires received and the final data set had 996 cases (one was removed because of missing data and nine discarded because they had been completed twice).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    94% said it was easy to contact the SSS and 88% were given an appointment date or told how long they would need to wait.

    “The majority of respondents (94%) said it was easy to contact the SSS and the majority (88%) were given an appointment date or told how long they would need to wait to receive one.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    There were no significant differences in quitting detected at 4 or 52 weeks for medication recorded in week 1.

    “There were no significant differences in quitting detected at 4 or 52 weeks.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    94% would return to a SSS if they started smoking again and 86% felt they would be welcomed back.

    “A further 94% would return to a SSS should they start smoking again and 86% felt that they would be welcomed back:”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    41.5% were given the choice of whether they would like an individual or group appointment.

    “Two-fifths (41.5%) were given the choice of whether they would like an individual or group appointment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Ethnicity and determination to quit were eliminated from the 1-year abstinence model by the backwards-stepwise procedure.

    “Ethnicity and determination to quit were eliminated from the model by the backwards-stepwise procedure.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Open-ended comments highlighted a lack of information on the side effects of medication and difficulty obtaining medication.

    “However, analysis of open-ended comments highlighted two areas for consideration: a lack of information on the side effects of medication and difficulty obtaining medication.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Predictors of abstinence at 52 weeks included attending group behavioural support or receiving one-to-one support from a specialist practitioner, taking varenicline, attending SSS in the New Year, being older, being more affluent, having a lower dependence on tobacco, having a higher well-being score, having support from a spouse or partner, and having a social network not populated with smokers.

    “Predictors of abstinence at 52 weeks were largely similar and included: ¢ attending group behavioural support or receiving one-to-one support from a specialist practitioner ¢ taking varenicline ¢ attending SSS in the New Year ¢ being older ¢ being more affluent ¢ having a lower dependence on tobacco ¢ having a higher well-being score ¢ having support from a spouse or partner ¢ having a social”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    94% found information about different types of stop smoking medication helpful and 92% reported it was easy to obtain their medication of choice, with 49.8% via GP prescription.

    “Respondents indicated that the information given about different types of stop smoking medication was helpful (94%) and 92% reported that it was easy to obtain their medication of choice [with a half (49.8%) via GP prescription]”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Of CSS respondents, 71% were CO-validated abstinent at 4 weeks, compared with 44% in the overall ELONS sample.

    “Of the respondents who completed a CSS, 71% were CO validated as abstinent from smoking 4 weeks after their quit date.In the overall ELONS study sample, the proportion of clients who had a CO-validated quit was a lot lower (44%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The difference in lost to follow-up occurred at all stages (4-week follow-up, 52-week telephone and 52-week validation) but was highest for the 52-week telephone interview.

    “The difference in lost to follow-up occurred at all stages (4-week follow-up, 52-week telephone and 52-week validation) but was highest for the 52-week telephone interview.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    83% of the sample said child care costs were irrelevant.

    “Child care costs were irrelevant for 83% of the sample.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The previous English evaluation in Nottingham and North Cumbria had a higher CO-validated quit rate at 52 weeks (14.6%) than the ELONS study and a lower lost to follow-up rate (37.5%).

    “As Table 27 shows, the previous English evaluation in Nottingham and North Cumbria had a higher CO-validated quit rate at 52 weeks (14.6%) than the ELONS study and a lower lost to follow-up rate (37.5%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The raw 1-year quit rate was 9.3%; after weighting this reduced to 7.7%.

    “For smoking cessation in the longer term, the raw quit rate at 1 year was 9.3% but after weighting this reduced to 7.7%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among clients who quit at 4 weeks, adherence has no discernible effect on quitting at 52 weeks as confidence intervals overlap.

    “These results suggest that adherence has no discernible effect on quitting as CIs overlap.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    60% waited 5 or fewer days for their first appointment, 22% were seen within 24 hours, and 92.5% felt the time they waited was acceptable.

    “Three-fifths (60%) waited 5 or fewer days for their first appointment (22% were seen straight or away or within 24 hours) and the majority (92.5%) felt the time they waited was acceptable.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    One-third (33%) of ELONS study participants completed the CSS.

    “This means that one-third (33%) of the ELONS study participants completed this survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    63% of GP practice respondents were from site 1 and 96% of open-group respondents were from site 6.

    “Nearly two-thirds (63%) of GP practice respondents were from site 1 and 96% of open-group respondents were from site 6.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Quit rates for 4 and 52 weeks from the ELONS prospective study were lower than those identified in the previous national evaluation in England, but higher than a recent study in Glasgow that examined closed-group and pharmacy-based services.

    “Quit rates for 4 and 52 weeks from the ELONS prospective study were lower than those identified in the previous national evaluation in England, but higher than a recent study in Glasgow that examined closed-group and pharmacy-based services.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The raw 4-week quit rate was 44.1%; with weighting this reduced marginally to 41.2%.

    “In terms of smoking cessation in the short term, the raw quit rate at 4 weeks was 44.1%.With weighting this reduced marginally to 41.2%.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Predictors of smoking abstinence at 4 weeks included attending an open group, attending SSS in the New Year, being older, being more affluent, having a lower dependence on tobacco, being determined to quit, having a higher well-being score, having support from a spouse or partner, and having a social network not populated with smokers.

    “Predictors of smoking abstinence at 4 weeks were: ¢ attending an open group ¢ attending SSS in the New Year ¢ being older ¢ being more affluent ¢ having a lower dependence on tobacco ¢ being determined to quit ¢ having a higher well-being score ¢ having support from a spouse or partner ¢ having a social network not populated with smokers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    There were no significant differences at 52 weeks in quit rates by combination NRT use.

    “There were no significant differences at 52 weeks.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    90% rated the information and advice they received as very helpful or helpful and 82% found the written advice helpful or very helpful.

    “Nine out of 10 (90%) rated the information and advice they received as very helpful or helpful and a further 82% found the written advice helpful/very helpful.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Two-fifths of clients took varenicline and one-fifth took either only single or combination NRT at any point.

    “If we consider what type of medication clients took at any point (Table 25), two-fifths of clients took varenicline and one-fifth took either only single or combination NRT.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    95% reported appointment times were convenient and 97% reported the venue was convenient.

    “Appointment times and venues were rated very highly with 95% of respondents reporting that appointment times were convenient, and a further 97% stating that the venue was also convenient”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    At 52 weeks, differences in cessation by adherence were smaller but still significant for both number of sessions and medication taken.

    “At 52 weeks differences were smaller but still significant for both number of sessions and medication taken.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Additional comments highlighted the importance of practitioner/client rapport, and multilevel modelling suggests this is an important factor in a successful quit attempt, at least in the short term.

    “Additional comments highlighted the importance of practitioner/client rapport, and multilevel modelling of the ELONS study secondary analysis and prospective study data sets suggests that this is an important factor in a successful quit attempt, at least in the short term.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The vast majority who replied to the questionnaire indicated that they would recommend the service to others and return should the need arise.

    “The vast majority who replied to the questionnaire indicated that they would recommend the service to others and return should the need arise.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The most consistent factors associated with well-being at baseline, 4 weeks and 52 weeks were not having a diagnosed mental health condition, low dependence on tobacco, and young or older age.

    “The most consistent factors associated with well-being at baseline, 4 weeks and 52 weeks were: not having a diagnosed mental health condition; low dependence on tobacco; and young or older age.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    If the ontological security items were not entered into the model, well-being was associated with cessation at 52 weeks and with baseline age, low dependence, and not having either a lung/respiratory or a mental health condition.

    “However, if the ontological security items were not entered into the model, well-being was associated with cessation at 52 weeks and also the following variables collected at baseline: age, low dependence and not having either a lung/respiratory or a mental health condition (see Table 47).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Confidence intervals did not overlap for 4-week quitters and non-quitters, and for 52-week quitters vs non-quitters, indicating significant differences between these client groups.

    “CIs did not overlap for 4-week quitters and non-quitters, and CIs of clients who did manage to quit for 52 weeks did not overlap with those who did not manage to quit for 52 weeks, 4 weeks and the sample overall.This indicates that there were significant differences between these client groups.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients who had higher levels of well-being were consistently more likely to agree that they enjoyed a challenge, were doing well in life and felt more in control than other clients.

    “Clients who had higher levels of well-being were consistently more likely to agree that they enjoyed a challenge, were doing well in life and felt more in control than other clients.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
    • Rests on an assumption: The ontological security items measure ontological security.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    87% of open-group clients vs 59% of GP practice clients found the CO test very helpful.

    “This may reflect the behavioural support type: 87% of open-group clients said that a CO test during each session was very helpful, compared with 59% of GP practice clients.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Open-group clients were happier about staff supportiveness, returning to the service and CO testing; GP practice clients were least comfortable with CO testing; open-group clients were mostly recruited from a single site.

    “Open-group clients were happier about staff supportiveness, returning to the service and CO testing.GP practice clients were least comfortable with CO testing.It must be noted that open-group clients were mostly recruited from a single site.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Absence of a mental health condition had the strongest association with baseline well-being; clients without a mental health condition had well-being scores nearly 10 points higher than those with a condition.

    “At baseline, multivariable modelling suggested that the factor with the strongest association with well-being was absence of a mental health condition.Thus, clients without a mental health condition had well-being scores nearly 10 points higher than those with a condition”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Despite quantitative findings suggesting that medication was easy to acquire, additional comments pointed to a more complex picture where the process of obtaining medication was overcomplicated and time-consuming for some respondents.

    “Despite quantitative findings suggesting that medication was easy to acquire, additional comments pointed to a more complex picture where the process of obtaining medication was overcomplicated and time-consuming for some respondents.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Well-being scores at 4 weeks were associated with successful cessation, age, Asian ethnicity, absence of heart, blood and circulatory diseases, and five ontological security items.

    “Well-being scores at 4 weeks were associated with: successful cessation; age; Asian ethnicity (compared with non-British whites); absence of heart, blood and circulatory diseases; and five ontological security items (I enjoy a challenge; I feel I'm doing well in life; I feel in control; I can deal with stress; and most people would like a life like mine)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Asian clients had significantly higher well-being than non-British white clients, although numbers of these clients were very small.

    “Asian clients had significantly higher well-being than non-British white clients, although numbers of these clients were very small.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The weighted well-being mean of the sample was 53.15 (95% CI 51.96 to 54.34).

    “The weighted well-being mean of the sample was 53.15 (95% CI 51.96 to 54.34) (Table 37).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Support from spouse or partner, determination to quit, lower dependence on tobacco, taking varenicline and absence of a physical medical condition were all significantly associated with well-being at baseline.

    “Support from spouse or partner, determination to quit, lower dependence on tobacco, taking varenicline and the absence of a physical medical condition (such as not having heart, blood or circulatory problems) were all significantly associated with well-being at baseline.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Suggested improvements centred on evening appointment times, having a choice of group or one-to-one support and a longer period of support.

    “Suggested improvements centred on evening appointment times, having a choice of group or one-to-one support and a longer period of support.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There was a linear rise in the levels of well-being among quitters, but the CIs of quitters' well-being at baseline, 4 weeks and 52 weeks overlapped.

    “There was a linear rise in the levels of well-being among quitters, however, the CIs of quitters' well-being at baseline, 4 weeks and 52 weeks overlapped.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Feeling in control partly attenuated the relationship between well-being and quitting but the association still remained significant.

    “Feeling in control partly attenuated the relationship between well-being and quitting but the association still remained significant.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Quitters were more likely to be satisfied with staff supportiveness and happier to return to the services if needed, with the information provided and CO validation.

    “Quitters were more likely to be satisfied with staff supportiveness and happier to return to the services if needed, with the information provided and CO validation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only lower dependence at baseline had an association with greater follow-up alpha-amylase activity (p = 0.004) but none of the other covariates or factors were associated.

    “Only lower dependence at baseline had an association with greater follow-up alpha-amylase activity (p = 0.004) but none of the other covariates or factors were associated.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In addition to older age (p = 0.011), dependence as measured by the Heaviness of Smoking Index was the only other significant predictor (p < 0.001).

    “In addition to older age (p = 0.011), dependence as measured by the Heaviness of Smoking Index was the only other significant predictor (p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There was a clear difference between groups in follow-up cotinine levels (p < 0.001), confirmed in adjusted analysis (p < 0.001).

    “There was a clear difference between groups in follow-up cotinine levels (p < 0.001), confirmed in adjusted analysis (p < 0.001).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Overall, e-cigarettes were the most popular product followed by the nicotine lozenge, patch and gum. Microtab and nasal spray were the least popular products. Around 20% of clients were using multiple products.

    “Overall, e-cigarettes were the most popular product followed by the nicotine lozenge, patch and gum.Microtab (Nicorette ® , McNeil) and nasal spray were the least popular products.Around 20% of clients were using multiple products.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Compared with current smokers, there was a significant reduction in cotinine values only among quitters who did not use NRT; smoking status did not have an impact on cotinine values among those who used NRT but did among those who did not.

    “Compared with current smokers, there was a significant reduction in cotinine values only among quitters who did not use NRT or put differently, smoking status did not have an impact on cotinine values among those who used NRT but did among those who did not.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Non-NRT users who were abstinent had significantly lower cotinine values than smokers with (p = 0.017) or without concurrent NRT use (p < 0.001) but not compared with quitters who used NRT (p = 0.232).

    “Non-NRT users who were abstinent had significantly lower cotinine values than smokers with (p = 0.017) or without concurrent NRT use (p < 0.001) but not compared with quitters who used NRT (p = 0.232).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Our secondary analysis of routine data from 49 of 150 services in England found 4-week quit rates of 48% when self-reported data were included, falling to 34% when biochemical validation had occurred.

    “Our secondary analysis of routine data from 49 of 150 services in England found 4-week quit rates of 48% when self-reported data were included, falling to 34% when biochemical validation had occurred.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Both lower baseline nicotine dependence and non-white ethnicity were associated with an increase in alpha-amylase activity across time.

    “Both lower baseline nicotine dependence and non-white ethnicity were associated with an increase in alpha-amylase activity across time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This was confirmed in adjusted analysis (p = 0.185), which showed that older age (p = 0.001), being non-white (p = 0.021) and having any medical condition (p = 0.002) were associated with higher alpha-amylase activity at baseline.

    “This was confirmed in adjusted analysis (p = 0.185), which showed that older age (p = 0.001), being non-white (p = 0.021) and having any medical condition (p = 0.002) were associated with higher alpha-amylase activity at baseline.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Long-term ex-smokers were much more likely still to be using non-combustible nicotine products at 12-month follow-up than relapsers (OR 4.25, 95% CI 2.15 to 8.40); concurrent use among relapsers stood at 3.7% (95% CI 2.0% to 6.5%, n = 12) compared with 14.0% (95% CI 10.3% to 18.7%, n = 38) among continuous abstainers.

    “However, long-term ex-smokers were much more likely still be using non-combustible nicotine products at 12-month follow-up than relapsers (OR 4.25, 95% CI 2.15 to 8.40); concurrent use among relapsers stood at 3.7% (95% CI 2.0% to 6.5%, n = 12) compared with 14.0% (95% CI 10.3% to 18.7%, n = 38) among continuous abstainers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There were some differences in baseline cotinine levels between groups (p = 0.025).

    “As can be seen in Table 44, there were some differences in baseline cotinine levels between groups (p = 0.025).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There was a marginal effect of dependence (p = 0.062) and ethnicity (p = 0.052) on changes in alpha-amylase activity.

    “However, there was a marginal effect of dependence (p = 0.062) and ethnicity (p = 0.052) on changes in alpha-amylase activity.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The difference between ex- and current smokers was attenuated but remained significant when excluding those who used e-cigarettes only (OR 2.91, 95% CI 1.38 to 6.11) with 3.5% (95% CI 1.9% to 6.3%, n = 10) of relapsers and 9.5% (95% CI 6.4% to 13.8%, n = 25) of abstainers still using NRT.

    “The difference between ex-and current smokers was attenuated but remained significant when excluding those who used e-cigarettes only (OR 2.91, 95% CI 1.38 to 6.11) with 3.5% (95% CI 1.9% to 6.3%, n = 10) of relapsers and 9.5% (95% CI 6.4% to 13.8%, n = 25) of abstainers still using NRT.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This same analysis found that services were reaching up to 10% of smokers in their area in the year from July 2010, with the majority coming from more-deprived areas.

    “This same analysis found that services were reaching up to 10% of smokers in their area in the year from July 2010, with the majority coming from more-deprived areas.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Most clients who started on NRT used it for at least 8 weeks and more than one in five (21.5%, 95% CI 18.3% to 25.0%, n = 137) used it for longer than the standard 3 months.

    “As can be seen, most clients who started on NRT used it for at least 8 weeks and more than one in five (21.5%, 95% CI 18.3% to 25.0%, n = 137) used it for longer than the standard 3 months.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The use of the nicotine patch appeared particularly prevalent among current smokers, while the use of e-cigarettes, gum and the inhaler was more common among ex-smokers.

    “However, the use of the nicotine patch appeared particularly prevalent among current smokers, while the use of e-cigarettes, gum and the inhaler was more common among ex-smokers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Prevalence of NRT use was even lower when excluding participants who used e-cigarettes only (6.0%, 4.3% to 8.3%; n = 35) and use of e-cigarettes was also relatively uncommon (2.9%, 1.8% to 4.7%; n = 18).

    “Prevalence of NRT use was even lower when excluding participants who used e-cigarettes only (6.0%, 4.3% to 8.3%; n = 35) and use of e-cigarettes was also relatively uncommon (2.9%, 1.8% to 4.7%; n = 18).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Outcomes were influenced by characteristics of clients and there was also a clear link with service characteristics such as the type of behavioural support received, and the background and training of the smoking cessation practitioner.

    “Outcomes were influenced by characteristics of clients and there was also a clear link with service characteristics such as the type of behavioural support received, and the background and training of the smoking cessation practitioner.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    No differences were apparent in alpha-amylase levels at follow-up (p = 0.684), confirmed in adjusted analysis (p = 0.734).

    “No differences were apparent in alpha-amylase levels at follow-up (p = 0.684), confirmed in adjusted analysis (p = 0.734).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The vast majority of participants who replied to the questionnaire indicated that they would recommend the service to others and return should the need arise.

    “The vast majority of participants who replied to the questionnaire indicated that they would recommend the service to others and return should the need arise.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Although some predictors of relapse to smoking identified in previous studies did not quite reach significance here (e.g. level of dependence on smoking, lower levels of determination to quit), others did, including deprivation.

    “Although some predictors of relapse to smoking identified in previous studies did not quite reach significance here (e.g. level of dependence on smoking, lower levels of determination to quit), others did, including deprivation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In our analysis we did not find that levels of well-being changed significantly over time, unlike a previous systematic review.

    “In our analysis we did not find that levels of well-being changed significantly over time, unlike a previous systematic review.50”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [50] May, 2009, How to examine client satisfaction with stop smoking services: a pilot study in the NHS, J Smok Cessat source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Open-group clients were also more positive about staff supportiveness, returning to the service and CO testing.

    “Open-group clients were also more positive about staff supportiveness, returning to the service and CO testing.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Well-being was low among many smokers approaching the SSS, and well-being is a predictor of smoking cessation success.

    “Well-being was low among many smokers approaching the SSS, and well-being is a predictor of smoking cessation success.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Despite many clients finding stop smoking medication easy to acquire, additional comments pointed to a more complex picture where the process of obtaining medication was overcomplicated and time-consuming for some respondents.

    “In addition, despite many clients finding stop smoking medication easy to acquire, additional comments pointed to a more complex picture where the process of obtaining medication was overcomplicated and time-consuming for some respondents.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Individuals with higher levels of well-being when they began their quit attempt were more likely to be successful in the longer term, as were those who had fewer smokers in their social network.

    “Individuals with higher levels of well-being when they began their quit attempt were more likely to be successful in the longer term, as were those who had fewer smokers in their social networkneither of these findings are surprising but being aware of these factors may be useful for practitioners treating smokers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Clients attending open groups achieved the highest quit rates and maintained the highest ORs compared with other forms of behavioural support, even after controls.

    “Clients attending open groups achieved the highest quit rates and maintained the highest ORs compared with other forms of behavioural support, even after controls.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Additional comments highlighted the importance of practitioner/client rapport.

    “Additional comments highlighted the importance of practitioner/client rapport.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In our satisfaction survey of SSS clients, those who responded had a positive experience, and this was true both for those who were successful in stopping smoking and those who were not.

    “In our satisfaction survey of SSS clients, we found that those who responded had a positive experience, and this was true both for those who were successful in stopping smoking and those who were not.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Those who had stopped smoking were more likely to be satisfied with staff supportiveness and happier to return to the services if needed, with the information provided and CO validation.

    “Those who had stopped smoking were more likely to be satisfied with staff supportiveness and happier to return to the services if needed, with the information provided and CO validation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Suggested improvements to the SSS centred on evening appointment times, having a choice of group or one-to-one support and a longer period of support.

    “Suggested improvements to the SSS centred on evening appointment times, having a choice of group or one-to-one support and a longer period of support.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients in an open (rolling) group, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 65.5% and the CO-validated quit rate was 52.1%.

    “| Open (rolling) group | 4780 | 2.7 | 65.5 | 52.1 | 3130 | 85.3 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Long-term use of NRT did not appear to have a detrimental effect on the chronic stress response among smokers or ex-smokers and did not increase exposure to nicotine among smokers.

    “Long-term use of NRT did not appear to have a detrimental effect on the chronic stress response among smokers or ex-smokers and did not increase exposure to nicotine among smokers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients using varenicline only, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 60.2% and the CO-validated quit rate was 43.0%.

    “| Varenicline only | 45,149 | 25.5 | 60.2 | 43.0 | 27,167 | 75.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Services were reaching up to 10% of smokers in their area in the year from July 2010, with the majority coming from more deprived areas.

    “This same analysis found that services were reaching up to 10% of smokers in their area in the year from July 2010, with the majority coming from more deprived areas.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Smoking declined uniformly by 4% in all PCTs between 2003 and 2005, and also in 2009.
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingown data

    Assessment of well-being using a standard set of questions could be included in routine monitoring.

    “We found that assessment of well-being using a standard set of questions could be included in routine monitoring and that smokers who had higher levels of well-being when they first started attending services were more likely to be non-smokers at 4 weeks and 1 year later.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients who attended one session, the self-report quit rate was 19.8% and the CO-validated quit rate was 14.7%.

    “| One session | 449 | 14.6 | 19.8 | 14.7 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients aged 16-24, the self-report quit rate was 41.2% and the CO-validated quit rate was 24.9%.

    “| 16-24 | 330 | 10.8 | 41.2 | 24.9 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients using no medication or with missing medication data, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 42.8% and the CO-validated quit rate was 21.0%.

    “| No medication or | 18,224 | 10.3 | 42.8 | 21.0 | 7804 | 52.9 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients seen by a nurse, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 42.3% and the CO-validated quit rate was 28.3%.

    “| Nurse | 18,091 | 10.2 | 42.3 | 28.3 | 7660 | 69.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients without a mental health condition, the self-report quit rate was 57.7% and the CO-validated quit rate was 45.0%.

    “| Does not have mental health condition | 2583 | 84.2 | 57.7 | 45.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients seen by a specialist practitioner, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 55.6% and the CO-validated quit rate was 37.7%.

    “| Specialist | 55,603 | 31.4 | 55.6 | 37.7 | 30,902 | 74.6 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The finding that combination NRT was not as effective as other medication forms was not carried through into the 52-week results, where results were more consistent with previous research.

    “This finding was not carried through into the 52-week results, where we saw results that were more consistent with previous research.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingown data

    CO-validated quit rates differed significantly by practitioner type (p < 0.001).

    “| p-value | - | - | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | - | < 0.001 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients aged 65-85, the self-report quit rate was 69.2% and the CO-validated quit rate was 60.8%.

    “| 65-85 | 214 | 7.0 | 69.2 | 60.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients who attended nine or more sessions, the self-report quit rate was 97.3% and the CO-validated quit rate was 84.5%.

    “| Nine or more sessions | 374 | 12.2 | 97.3 | 84.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients with a heart/blood/circulation condition, the self-report quit rate was 61.3% and the CO-validated quit rate was 51.1%.

    “| Has heart/blood/circulation condition(s) | 532 | 17.3 | 61.3 | 51.1 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingown data

    Quit rates differed significantly by age (p < 0.001).

    “| p-value | - | - | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Those who responded to the satisfaction survey were positive about the support they received and would recommend SSSs to others.

    “Overall, we found that those who responded to the satisfaction survey were positive about the support they received and would recommend SSSs to others.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients using single NRT, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 37.5% and the CO-validated quit rate was 25.4%.

    “| Single NRT | 40,607 | 22.9 | 37.5 | 25.4 | 15,222 | 74.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingown data

    CO-validated quit rates differed significantly by medication used (p < 0.001).

    “| p-value | - | - | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | - | < 0.001 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients receiving one-to-one intervention, the self-report 4-week quit rate was 47.6% and the CO-validated quit rate was 33.8%.

    “| One to one | 140,119 | 79.0 | 47.6 | 33.8 | 66,621 | 74.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Greater alpha-amylase activity at follow-up and an increase in alpha-amylase activity across time were both associated with lower nicotine dependence.

    “The somewhat paradoxical finding that greater activity in alpha-amylase at follow-up and an increase in alpha-amylase activity across time were both associated with lower nicotine dependence is likely because tobacco smoke has been shown to acutely inhibit alpha-amylase activity.117”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The secondary analysis of routine data from 49 of 150 services in England found 4-week quit rates of 48% when self-reported data were included, falling to 34% when biochemical validation had occurred.

    “The secondary analysis of routine data from 49 of 150 services in England found 4-week quit rates of 48% when self-reported data were included, falling to 34% when biochemical validation had occurred.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients with a mental health condition, the self-report quit rate was 50.8% and the CO-validated quit rate was 38.9%.

    “| Has mental health condition | 486 | 15.8 | 50.8 | 38.9 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The 4-week quit rate for the prospective study was 41.2%, which is remarkably similar to the quit rate for England from April 2012 to March 2013 (37%).

    “However, it is should be remembered that the 4-week quit rate for the prospective study was 41.2%, which is remarkably similar to the quit rate for England from April 2012 to March 2013 (37%) 31 given the impact profile of the PCTs that enrolled in the study (see Chapter 4).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2013

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    8% of clients used the SSS more than once during the year.

    “For all but the impact analysis we assumed that each client in the database was unique when we estimated that 8% of clients used the SSS more than once during the year.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 60.4% waited 0-5 days for an appointment.

    “| 0-5 | 568 | 60.4 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients exempt from prescription charges, the self-report quit rate was 46.2% and the CO-validated quit rate was 33.0%.

    “| Exempt | 104,304 | 58.8 | 46.2 | 33.0 | 48,194 | 75.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 93.7% found it easy to contact the SSS.

    “| Yes | 926 | 93.7 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients with a Heaviness of Smoking Index score of 0 (little or no dependence), the self-report quit rate was 67.4% and the CO-validated quit rate was 49.3%.

    “| 0 -little or no dependence | 144 | 4.7 | 67.4 | 49.3 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among CO-verified quitters with no self-reported NRT use, mean follow-up cotinine was 45.8 ng/ml, significantly lower than smokers using NRT (280.6 ng/ml) and smokers not using NRT (333.1 ng/ml).

    “| Cotinine (ng/ml), mean (SEM) | 280.6 (36.6) a | 333.1 (22.3) a | 324.4 (102.5) | 45.8 (9.7) b,c,d |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 97.0% found the place convenient.

    “| Yes | 955 | 97.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 95.2% found the appointment time convenient.

    “| Yes | 936 | 95.2 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, mentioning Stoptober was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (48.2% vs 56.9%, p<0.001) but no significant difference in CO-validated quit rate (44.4% vs 44.0%, p=0.933).

    “| Mentioned Stoptober | 81 | 2.6 | 48.2 | 44.4 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| No mention of Stoptober | 2988 | 97.4 | 56.9 | 44.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, having saliva collected was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (54.5% vs 60.0%, p=0.003) and lower CO-validated quit rate (41.5% vs 48.0%, p<0.001) than not having saliva collected.

    “| Saliva collected | 1874 | 61.1 | 54.5 | 41.5 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Saliva not collected | 1195 | 38.9 | 60.0 | 48.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the weighted ELONS sample, the short-term (4-week) CO-validated quit rate was 41.3% (95% CI 34.9 to 48.0), self-report not CO validated 12.2% (8.3 to 17.5), relapsed 23.9% (15.8 to 34.5), and lost to follow-up 22.6% (15.1 to 32.4).

    “| CO validated | | | | 41.3 (34.9 to 48.0) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Self-report not CO validated | | | | 12.2 (8.3 to 17.5) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Relapsed (including quit refuted by CO validation) | | | | 23.9 (15.8 to 34.5) |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, quitters were more likely to feel welcomed back (88.2% vs 79.2%, p<0.001).

    “| Quit (CO validated) | 88.2 | 11.8 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Not CO validated as quit | 79.2 | 20.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    In weighted analyses, among clients CO-validated as quit at 4 weeks, 52-week quit rates were higher for those with no medication occasions recorded (44.5%) than for those with four or more occasions (13.3%).

    “| No occasions | 16 | 44.5 (6.2 to 90.6) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Four or more occasions | 613 | 13.3 (10.0 to 17.5) |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, NRT combination use was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (52.1% vs 59.1%) and lower CO-validated quit rate (38.8% vs 46.7%) than not using NRT combination (p<0.001).

    “| NRT combination | 962 | 31.4 | 52.1 | 38.8 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not take NRT combination | 2092 | 68.2 | 59.1 | 46.7 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the prospective study, among clients with a self-assessment of health as not good, the self-report quit rate was 51.1% and the CO-validated quit rate was 38.8%.

    “| Not good | 658 | 21.4 | 51.1 | 38.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients in prison, the self-report quit rate was 48.0% and the CO-validated quit rate was 42.4%.

    “| In prison | 2223 | 1.3 | 48.0 | 42.4 | 1066 | 90.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients with a spouse supporting the quit attempt, the self-report quit rate was 61.1% and the CO-validated quit rate was 48.3%.

    “| Spouse supporting attempt | 1556 | 50.7 | 61.1 | 48.3 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Mean WHO-5 well-being scores were higher among quitters than non-quitters at 4 weeks (59.93 vs 51.82) and 52 weeks (65.29 vs 49.01).

    “| Quit | 55.48 (53.80 to 57.16) | 59.93 (57.60 to 62.26) | - |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Not quit | 52.62 (51.36 to 53.88) | 56.40 (54.11 to 58.69) | 49.01 (45.72 to 52.31) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Quit | 59.31 (56.47 to 62.14) | 61.80 (57.82 to 65.77) | 65.29 (61.29 to 69.28) |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, those with 3-10 medication occasions had higher self-reported quit rates (81.5%) than those with 1-2 occasions (38.2%) or no occasions (24.7%) (p<0.001).

    “| 1 or 2 occasions | 1614 | 52.6 | 38.2 | 25.8 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| 3-10 occasions | 1349 | 44.0 | 81.5 | 68.1 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the weighted ELONS sample, the longer-term (52-week) CO-validated quit rate was 7.7% (95% CI 6.6 to 9.0), self-report not CO validated 5.6% (5.1 to 6.1), relapsed at 4 or 52 weeks 41.6% (31.0 to 53.0), and lost to follow-up at 4 or 52 weeks 45.2% (34.6 to 56.2).

    “| CO validated | | | | 7.7 (6.6 to 9.0) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Self-report not CO validated | | | | 5.6 (5.1 to 6.1) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Relapsed at 4 or 52 weeks (including quit refuted by CO validation) | | 41.6 (31.0 to 53.0) | | |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In unweighted comparison, ELONS 4-week CO-validated quit rate (44.1%) was lower than Nottingham/North Cumbria 2002 (54.6%) and higher than Glasgow 2007 (22.5%).

    “| 1. CO-validated quit | 1129 (54.6) | 401 (22.5) | 1349 (44.1) |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients who used some form of support in their latest previous attempt, the self-report quit rate was 59.6% and the CO-validated quit rate was 46.1%.

    “| Used some form of support | 1045 | 34.1 | 59.6 | 46.1 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The range of well-being scores was between 0 and 100 and so could be viewed as a percentage.

    “The range of well-being scores was between 0 and 100 and so could be viewed as a percentage.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, varenicline only use was associated with higher CO-validated quit rate (51.9%) than single NRT only (41.6%), combination NRT only (27.1%), and no medication (17.2%), but similar to other/mixed medication (52.0%) (p<0.001).

    “| Varenicline only | 1313 | 42.8 | 65.4 | 51.9 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Single NRT only | 596 | 19.4 | 51.5 | 41.6 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Combination NRT only | 573 | 18.7 | 40.8 | 27.1 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the prospective study, among clients with a good level of well-being (WHO-5), the self-report quit rate was 59.9% and the CO-validated quit rate was 47.3%.

    “| Good level of well-being | 1325 | 43.2 | 59.9 | 47.3 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients without a heart/blood/circulation condition, the self-report quit rate was 55.7% and the CO-validated quit rate was 42.5%.

    “| Does not have heart/blood/circulation condition(s) | 2537 | 82.7 | 55.7 | 42.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 92.5% found the length of time to appointment acceptable.

    “| Yes | 902 | 92.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Across 40 PCTs, the mean throughput was 1487 (SD 521).

    “| Throughput | 1487 (521) | - | | - | | - |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, CO-validated quit rates increased with the number of occasions on which medication was recorded, from 17.2% for no occasions to 77.5% for 5-10 occasions (p<0.001).

    “| No occasions | 93 | 3.0 | 24.7 | 17.2 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| 5-10 occasions | 338 | 11.0 | 89.9 | 77.5 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, self-reported quit rates increased with the number of occasions on which medication was recorded, from 24.7% for no occasions to 89.9% for 5-10 occasions (p<0.001).

    “| No occasions | 93 | 3.0 | 24.7 | 17.2 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| 5-10 occasions | 338 | 11.0 | 89.9 | 77.5 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    In the prospective study, CO-validated quit rates differed significantly by WHO-5 well-being level (p = 0.002).

    “| p-value | - | - | < 0.001 | = 0.002 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, quitters were more likely to say they would return to SSS (96.3% vs 89.3%, p<0.001).

    “| Quit (CO validated) | 96.3 | 3.7 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Not CO validated as quit | 89.3 | 10.7 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, lozenge use was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (55.4% vs 57.1%) and lower CO-validated quit rate (40.3% vs 44.8%) than not using lozenge (p<0.001).

    “| Took lozenge | 390 | 12.7 | 55.4 | 40.3 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not take Lozenge | 2666 | 86.9 | 57.1 | 44.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, taking bupropion was associated with lower CO-validated quit rate (31.3% vs 44.3%, p=0.002) and lower self-reported quit rate (53.1% vs 56.9%, p<0.001) than not taking bupropion.

    “| Took bupropion | 32 | 1.0 | 53.1 | 31.3 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not take bupropion | 3024 | 98.5 | 56.9 | 44.3 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, spray use was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (50.5% vs 57.6%) and lower CO-validated quit rate (35.3% vs 45.2%) than not using spray (p<0.001).

    “| Used spray | 303 | 9.9 | 50.5 | 35.3 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not use mouth/nasal spray | 2753 | 89.7 | 57.6 | 45.2 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, inhaler use was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (48.4% vs 58.7%) and lower CO-validated quit rate (36.9% vs 45.8%) than not using inhaler (p<0.001).

    “| Used inhaler | 545 | 17.8 | 48.4 | 36.9 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not use an inhalator | 2511 | 81.8 | 58.7 | 45.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, quitters were more likely to be very satisfied than non-quitters (64.4% vs 51.1%, p=0.001).

    “| Quit (CO validated) | 64.4 | 23.8 | 11.8 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Not CO validated as quit | 51.1 | 33.3 | 15.6 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    In weighted analyses, quit rates at 4 and 52 weeks increased with the number of sessions attended, from 9.2% at 4 weeks and 3.4% at 52 weeks for 1 session to 84.0% at 4 weeks and 16.1% at 52 weeks for 9 or more sessions.

    “| 1 | 447 | 14.6 | 9.2 (2.3 to 30.0) | 3.4 (0.8 to 13.3) |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| 9 or more | 374 | 12.2 | 84.0 (74.7 to 90.3) | 16.1 (10.8 to 23.3) |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingown data

    CO-validated quit rates were significantly higher among clients with spousal support (p < 0.001).

    “| p-value | - | - | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, those with 3-10 medication occasions had higher CO-validated quit rates (68.1%) than those with 1-2 occasions (25.8%) or no occasions (17.2%) (p<0.001).

    “| 1 or 2 occasions | 1614 | 52.6 | 38.2 | 25.8 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| 3-10 occasions | 1349 | 44.0 | 81.5 | 68.1 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients with no spousal support, the self-report quit rate was 53.0% and the CO-validated quit rate was 40.3%.

    “| No spousal support | 1435 | 46.8 | 53.0 | 40.3 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In adjusted analyses, each additional year of age was associated with higher 4-week (OR 1.032, 95% CI 1.026 to 1.039) and 52-week (OR 1.011, 95% CI 1.002 to 1.020) CO-validated quit.

    “| Age (in years) | - | - | 1.032 (1.026 to 1.039) | 1.011 (1.002 to 1.020) |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients with a Heaviness of Smoking Index score of 6 (higher dependence), the self-report quit rate was 46.4% and the CO-validated quit rate was 36.9%.

    “| 6 -higher dependence | 179 | 5.8 | 46.4 | 36.9 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, taking varenicline was associated with higher self-reported quit rate (64.3% vs 50.2%) and CO-validated quit rate (50.7% vs 38.3%) than not taking varenicline (p<0.001).

    “| Took varenicline | 1445 | 47.1 | 64.3 | 50.7 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not take varenicline | 1611 | 52.5 | 50.2 | 38.3 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients who paid prescription charges, the self-report quit rate was 54.2% and the CO-validated quit rate was 38.1%.

    “| Pays | 56,903 | 32.1 | 54.2 | 38.1 | 30,843 | 74.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among clients who used nothing in their latest previous attempt, the self-report quit rate was 45.2% and the CO-validated quit rate was 33.2%.

    “| Used nothing in LPA | 208 | 6.8 | 45.2 | 33.2 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, NRT patch use was associated with lower self-reported quit rate (52.7% vs 60.1%) and lower CO-validated quit rate (41.2% vs 46.5%) than not using NRT patch (p<0.001).

    “| Used NRT patch | 1321 | 43.0 | 52.7 | 41.2 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not use NRT patch | 1735 | 56.5 | 60.1 | 46.5 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 41.5% were able to choose group or one-to-one support.

    “| Yes | 403 | 41.5 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In adjusted analyses, taking varenicline in week 1 was associated with higher 4-week (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.4 to 1.9) and 52-week (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.3 to 2.3) CO-validated quit than not taking varenicline.

    “| Took varenicline | 1396 | 45.7 | 1.6 (1.4 to 1.9) | 1.7 (1.3 to 2.3) |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, NRT single use was associated with higher CO-validated quit rate (47.2% vs 42.8%, p=0.024) but not significantly different self-reported quit rate (58.7% vs 56.0%, p=0.168).

    “| NRT single | 1003 | 32.7 | 58.7 | 47.2 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not take NRT single | 2051 | 66.8 | 56.0 | 42.8 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the prospective study, among clients with a concerning level of well-being (WHO-5), the self-report quit rate was 55.1% and the CO-validated quit rate was 41.9%.

    “| Concerning level of well-being | 1646 | 53.6 | 55.1 | 41.9 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    CSS responders had a higher proportion of CO-validated quitters (71.4% vs 44.0%) and males (56.0% vs 44.2%) than the recruited ELONS sample.

    “| CO-validated quit | 1350 | 44.0 | 711 | 71.4 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Male | 1355 | 44.2 | 558 | 56.0 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, varenicline only use was associated with higher self-reported quit rate (65.4%) than single NRT only (51.5%), combination NRT only (40.8%), and no medication (24.7%), but similar to other/mixed medication (65.5%) (p<0.001).

    “| Varenicline only | 1313 | 42.8 | 65.4 | 51.9 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Single NRT only | 596 | 19.4 | 51.5 | 41.6 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Combination NRT only | 573 | 18.7 | 40.8 | 27.1 |”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Among CSS responders, 87.6% were given an appointment date.

    “| Yes | 852 | 87.6 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Among ELONS participants, gum use was associated with higher self-reported quit rate (59.0% vs 56.7%, p<0.001) but lower CO-validated quit rate (43.7% vs 44.1%, p=0.006) than not using gum.

    “| Took gum | 222 | 7.2 | 59.0 | 43.7 |”
    • Also stated in: § Hiscock R, Murray S, Brose LS, McEwen · plain
      “| Did not use gum | 2834 | 92.3 | 56.7 | 44.1 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the prospective study, among clients with a self-assessment of health as good, the self-report quit rate was 61.9% and the CO-validated quit rate was 47.4%.

    “| Good | 1003 | 32.7 | 61.9 | 47.4 |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Well-being analysed as a continuous variable predicted abstinence but not as a dichotomous variable.

    “Well-being analysed as a continuous variable did predict abstinence but not as a dichotomous variable.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Those providing saliva samples at baseline were younger than those not providing samples.

    “As can be seen, those providing samples at baseline were younger, more likely to be male and non-white, and slightly less likely to be cohabiting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Those providing saliva samples at baseline were more likely to be non-white.

    “As can be seen, those providing samples at baseline were younger, more likely to be male and non-white, and slightly less likely to be cohabiting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    A total of 258 participants (8.5% of the whole sample) provided baseline and follow-up saliva samples and formed the analytic sample for the biomarker analysis.

    “A total of 258 participants (8.5% of the whole sample) provide baseline and follow-up saliva samples and therefore formed the analytic sample for the biomarker analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Those providing saliva samples at baseline were slightly less likely to be cohabiting.

    “As can be seen, those providing samples at baseline were younger, more likely to be male and non-white, and slightly less likely to be cohabiting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Those providing saliva samples at baseline were more likely to be male.

    “As can be seen, those providing samples at baseline were younger, more likely to be male and non-white, and slightly less likely to be cohabiting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Those providing saliva samples at baseline were less likely to have used varenicline.

    “There were also some differences in the treatment sought (they were less likely to have used varenicline or gone to a drop-in clinic) but there were few differences in terms of smoking characteristics.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Those providing saliva samples at baseline were less likely to have gone to a drop-in clinic.

    “There were also some differences in the treatment sought (they were less likely to have used varenicline or gone to a drop-in clinic) but there were few differences in terms of smoking characteristics.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    It is possible for clients who relapse to have more than one treatment episode in a year.

    “It is possible for clients who relapse to have more than one treatment episode in a year.33”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Department of Health (DH), 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Large differences have been identified between the quit rates achieved by services in different locations, which may be partly because of the quality of behavioural support delivered by the practitioner who offers it.

    “Large differences have now been identified between the quit rates achieved by services in different locations, which may be partly because of the quality of behavioural support delivered by the practitioner who offers it.[26][27][28]”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [26] Hiscock, 2013, Behavioural therapy for smoking cessation: the effectiveness of different intervention types for disadvantaged and affluent smokers, Addict Behav source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [27] Brose, 2012, Does it matter who you see to help you stop smoking? Short-term quit rates across specialist stop smoking practitioners in England, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [28] Bauld, 2009

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Increasingly, Stop Smoking Services outsource management of routine data to private companies, most commonly QuitManager.

    “Increasingly, however, SSS outsource management of these data to private companies.The most commonly used is QuitManager (North 51, Nottingham, UK).7,27”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [7] Brose, 2011, What makes for an effective stop-smoking service?, Thorax source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [27] Brose, 2012, Does it matter who you see to help you stop smoking? Short-term quit rates across specialist stop smoking practitioners in England, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisenone given

    To understand the reach of services it is necessary to know the target population: the number of smokers in the primary care trust.

    “To understand the reach of services it is necessary to know the target population: the number of smokers in the PCT.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Cases were excluded if the practitioner who provided behavioural support was missing (n = 5573) because of the multilevel structure of the data.

    “Additionally, cases were excluded if the practitioner who provided behavioural support was missing (n = 5573) because of the multilevel structure of the data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    It was not possible to calculate impact for some primary care trusts and for others there were caveats, generally where there were issues in calculating uptake.

    “It was not possible to calculate impact for some PCTs and for others there were caveats, generally this was where there were issues in calculating uptake.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The 61.5% figure for reported NRT use during the quit attempt likely includes over-the-counter use, because it is substantially higher than the 34.4% recorded as using NRT by the services.

    “However, this is likely to include over-the-counter use, as this number is substantially higher than the number of participants recorded as using NRT by the services (34.4%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Owing to marked differences between carbon monoxide validation rates of primary care trusts and different services having a negative impact depending on whether the carbon monoxide validated or self-report quit rate was used, an overall impact score was calculated as the average of the carbon monoxide validated impact score and the self-report impact score.

    “Owing to first to marked differences between CO-validation rates of PCTs and second to different services having a negative impact depending on whether or not the CO-validated or the self-report quit rate was used in the calculation, for this report an overall impact score was calculated.The overall impact score was the average of the CO-validated impact score and the self-report impact score.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Clients setting quit dates in December 2010 and June 2011 were excluded because they would not have reached 4 weeks post quit date when the data were downloaded.

    “Clients setting quit dates in December 2010 and June 2011 were therefore excluded from the analysis as they would not have reached 4 weeks post quit date (when self-report quit and CO validation occurs) when the data were downloaded.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    Colleagues from University College London and the UK National Centre for Smoking Cessation and Training developed the methodology for measuring impact.

    “Colleagues from University College London and the UK NCSCT have developed the methodology for measuring impact.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Primary care trusts may elect not to ask clients questions, and clients may not answer every question, leading to missing data.

    “PCTs may elect not to ask clients questions, and clients themselves may not answer every question, leading to missing data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    The Department of Health considers clients to be quitters only if self-report data are collected between 25 and 42 days after the quit date.

    “The DH considers clients to be quitters only if self-report data are collected between 25 and 42 days after the quit date.33”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Department of Health (DH), 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Department of Health guidelines suggest 85% of clients should be carbon monoxide validated.

    “The DH guidelines suggest 85% of clients should be CO validated.33”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Department of Health (DH), 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    Between 2004 and 2009 the smoking rate for Great Britain fell from 25% to 21%, so primary care trust smoking rate estimates were reduced by 4% to estimate more recent smoking rates.

    “Between 2004 and 2009 the smoking rate for Great Britain fell from 25% to 21%, thus PCT smoking rate estimates were reduced by 4% to estimate more recent smoking rates.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Self-report quit was included because carbon monoxide validation rates vary, so using both outcomes renders the results more robust.

    “We included self-report quit because some CO-validation rates vary so by using both of these outcomes, the results are rendered more robust.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    A previous national evaluation of NHS Stop Smoking Services in England found that the services were effective in supporting smokers to quit in the short term (at 4 weeks) and the longer term (at 1 year), and were reaching smokers from more deprived groups.

    “The evaluation found that the services were effective in supporting smokers to quit in the short term (at 4 weeks) 17 and the longer term (at 1 year), 18 and were reaching smokers from more deprived groups.19”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [17] Judge, 2005, The English smoking treatment services: short-term outcomes, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [18] Ferguson, 2005, The English smoking treatment services: one-year outcomes, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [19] Chesterman, 2005, How effective are the English smoking treatment services in reaching disadvantaged smokers?, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    The data have a multilevel structure: clients received behavioural support interventions from practitioners and practitioners are employed through Stop Smoking Services.

    “The data have a multilevel structure: clients received behavioural support interventions from practitioners and practitioners are employed through SSSs.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Services are continuing to effectively reach smokers and support them to stop.

    “These results provide a useful indicator that (a) routine data provide a helpful and not inaccurate indicator of short-term smoking cessation outcomes and (b) services are continuing to effectively reach smokers and support them to stop.”
    • Also stated in: § Short-and longer-term cessation rates in context · plain
      “and (b) services are continuing to effectively reach smokers and support them to stop.”
    • Also stated in: § Chapter 11 Conclusions · hedged
      “These results provide a useful indicator that (a) routine data provide a helpful and not inaccurate indicator of short-term smoking cessation outcomes and (b) services are continuing to effectively reach smokers and support them to stop.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The 49 services providing routine data are representative of all 150 NHS Stop Smoking Services in England.
    • Rests on an assumption: The nine prospective study services are representative of all NHS Stop Smoking Services in England.
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    Carbon monoxide validated quit was included because some clients may state they have quit when they have not quit.

    “We included CO-validated quit because some clients may state they have quit when they have not quit.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Cases were excluded from the main analysis if they were missing age (n = 201) and gender (n = 43) because too few were missing to include as a separate category.

    “Cases were also excluded from the main analysis if they were missing age (n = 201) and gender (n = 43) because too few were missing to include as a separate category.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    Smoking is not asked in the UK census, so estimates have to be made from smoking rates collected by government surveys and populations updated from 2001 census data.

    “Smoking is not asked in the UK census thus estimates have to be made from smoking rates collected by government surveys and populations that have been updated from 2001 census data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    For self-reported quits minus 35 is used because of average differences between Stop Smoking Service self-report and carbon monoxide validated quit rates.

    “For self-reported quits minus 35 is used because of average differences between SSS self-report and CO-validated quit rates.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    It is possible that other primary care trusts may not include all their clients on QuitManager, but none of the other primary care trusts contacted regarding the prospective study raised this as an issue.

    “It is possible that other PCTs may not include all their clients on QuitManager.So far, however, none of the other PCTs contacted regarding the prospective study have raised this as an issue.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Within primary care trusts, clients whose data are collected on paper forms may answer a slightly different set of questions to those whose data are entered electronically.

    “Within PCTs clients whose data are collected on paper forms may answer a slightly different set of questions to those whose data are entered electronically.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    QuitManager is an online database for recording information on NHS Stop Smoking Service clients, including sociodemographic and treatment characteristics, in accordance with Department of Health standard monitoring requirements.

    “QuitManager 32 is an online database for recording information on NHS SSS clients, including sociodemographic and treatment characteristics, in accordance with the DH's standard SSS monitoring requirements.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [32] North 51, 2010

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    Originally each primary care trust had its own Stop Smoking Service although now some primary care trusts have a joint Stop Smoking Service so a few practitioners worked for more than one primary care trust.

    “Originally each PCT had its own SSS although now some PCTs have a joint SSS so a few practitioners worked for more than one PCT, usually where both PCTs had a joint SSS.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    25% of smokers trying to quit are estimated to be carbon monoxide verified quit at 4 weeks unaided or by use of medication alone without behavioural support.

    “The reason for CO-verified quit minus 25 being used in the calculation is that 25% of smokers trying to quit are estimated to be CO-verified quit at 4 weeks unaided or by use of medication alone without behavioural support.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Differences between these months and the other months were not always significant, suggesting this had a minimal effect.

    “However, differences between these months and the other months were not always significant, suggesting this had a minimal effect.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    In preliminary analysis, MLwiN IGLS multilevel models were compared with Stata Survey Suite models.

    “In preliminary analysis (not shown) MLwiN IGLS multilevel models were compared with Stata Survey Suite models.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The results that were produced tended to support IGLS results, so only MLwiN IGLS models are presented.

    “However, the results that were produced tended to support IGLS results; thus only MLwiN IGLS models are presented here.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Lower chances of quitting in May and November might partly be because of late quit information not being included in the database owing to cut off points at the end of December and June.

    “Lower chances of quitting in May and November might partly be because of late quit information not being included in the database owing to cut off points at the end of December and June.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Further analysis suggested that the majority of GPs worked in one primary care trust (Warwickshire) where quit rates were similar to other practitioner types, but in most other primary care trusts, with more than 20 clients seen by GPs, GPs were achieving fewer carbon monoxide validated quits than other practitioner types.

    “Further analysis (not shown) suggested this was because the majority of GPs worked in one PCT (Warwickshire) where quit rates were similar to other practitioner types, but in most other PCTs, with more than 20 clients seen by GPs, GPs were achieving fewer CO-validated quits than other practitioner types.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    So that practitioner should completely nest within a primary care trust, primary care trusts that shared practitioners were merged; there were 63 practitioners who worked in more than one primary care trust.

    “So that practitioner should completely nest within a PCT, PCTs that shared practitioners were merged.There were 63 practitioners who worked in more than one PCT.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    Further analysis suggested this was caused by a number of factors such as the practitioner, socioeconomic status and medication.

    “Further analysis (not shown) suggested this was caused by a number of factors such as the practitioner, SES and medication.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    All variance inflation factors and tolerances were below 3.20, so there was no significant multicollinearity in the data.

    “All were below 3.20, so there was no significant multicollinearity in the data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The Department of Health has recommended that Stop Smoking Services should aim to carbon monoxide validate 85% of clients.

    “The DH has recommended that SSSs should aim to CO validate 85% of clients.33”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Department of Health (DH), 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    The graph suggests that impact is more strongly related to quit rates than throughput.

    “The graph suggests that impact is more strongly related to quit rates than throughput.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    All variance inflation factors were below 2.54 for self-reported and carbon monoxide validated models, so there was no significant multicollinearity in the data.

    “All vifs were below 2.54 for self-reported and CO-validated models so there was no significant multicollinearity in the data (concerns are raised if a vif is ≥ 10).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Odds ratios for Index of Multiple Deprivation at primary care trust level and multilevel variance changes suggested that some primary care trusts were having a disproportionate effect on the results, as an intermediate quintile was most associated with quitting and including this variable in the model was associated with a major reduction in primary care trust-level variance.

    “Odds ratios for IMD at PCT level and multilevel variance changes suggested that some PCTs were having a disproportionate effect on the results, as an intermediate quintile was most associated with quitting (see Table 4) and including this variable in the model was associated with a major reduction in PCT-level variance (see Table 7).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    The Stop Smoking Services target is at least 35% for self-report and carbon monoxide validated quit.

    “The SSSs target is at least 35% for self-report and CO-validated quit.33”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Department of Health (DH), 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    Further exploration suggested that the change in the multivariable results was attributed to pregnant women being less likely to take medication.

    “Further exploration (not shown) suggested that the change in the multivariable results was attributed to pregnant women being less likely to take medication.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The analysis included a large number of predictors and three measures of socioeconomic status, so variance inflation factor and corresponding tolerance were calculated from a logistic regression using interaction expansion to assess potential multicollinearity.

    “The analysis included a large number of predictors and three measures of SES, so in order to assess potential multicollinearity in multivariable models, the variance inflation factor (vif) and corresponding tolerance were calculated from a logistic regression using interaction expansion (part of the Stata xi suite).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Multilevel modelling allows primary care trust and practitioner to be treated as separate levels (random effects), giving three levels in the models: client, practitioner and primary care trust.

    “Multilevel modelling (see Tables 5 and 6) allows PCT and practitioner to be treated as separate levels in the analysisotherwise known as random effects.Thus there were three levels in the models: client (level 1), practitioner (level 2) and PCT (level 3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    This quit rate was based on the previous evaluation of long-term outcomes of the English services.

    “This quit rate was based on the previous evaluation of long-term outcomes of the English services.18”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] Ferguson, 2005, The English smoking treatment services: one-year outcomes, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Initial power calculations suggested that we needed data from quit attempts made by 5000 individuals, with at least 370 quit attempts within each behavioural support type with 90% power and an average quit rate of 15%.

    “In order to compare behavioural support types, initial power calculations suggested that we needed data from quit attempts made by 5000 individuals, with at least 370 quit attempts within each behavioural support type with 90% power and an average quit rate of 15%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The NIHR HTA agreed the revised sample size of 3000 and the study was also granted a 7-month extension to allow us to successfully recruit this number of participants.

    “The NIHR HTA agreed the revised sample size of 3000 and the study was also granted a 7-month extension to allow us to successfully recruit this number of participants.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    In consultation with the chairperson of the NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Board and statistical practitioner we revised our sample size calculation to a more realistic target sample of 3000, which allowed us to maintain a sufficient level of power to detect meaningful effect sizes between the intervention groups (90% to 80% power).

    “Therefore, in consultation with the chairperson of the NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Board and statistical practitioner we revised our sample size calculation to a more realistic target sample of 3000, which allowed us to maintain a sufficient level of power to detect meaningful effect sizes between the intervention groups (90% to 80% power).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The self-report quit rate used was not as narrow as the DH quit rate regarding time of data collection but was more stringent in that it was an intention-to-treat analysis.

    “It must be noted that the self-report quit rate used was not as narrow as the DH quit rate regarding time of data collection but was more stringent in that it was an intention-to-treat analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Sometimes the chi-squared test result was invalid owing to low numbers of expected cases in cells, in which case significance was recorded as p = not available.

    “Sometimes the chi-squared test result was invalid owing to low numbers of expected cases in cells, in which case significance was recorded as p = not available.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The Research Ethics Committee required a consent form for each client with a section relating to each element of the study.

    “For the ELONS study, the Research Ethics Committee required a consent form for each client with a section relating to each element of the study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    We have taken a finding to be significant at the traditional p < 0.05 level.

    “We have taken a finding to be significant at the traditional p < 0.05 level.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Level 2 provision has grown over the past decade and thus it was important to involve these providers as well as specialists.

    “Level 2 provision has grown over the past decade 44 and thus it was important to involve these providers as well as specialists.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [44] McDermott, 2013, Factors associated with differences in quit rates between ‘specialist’ and ‘community’ stop-smoking practitioners in the English stop-smoking services, Nicotine Tob Res source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In the previous English longer-term evaluation, clients were included in a study only if they 'set a quit date'.

    “In the previous English longer-term evaluation, 18 clients were included in a study only if they 'set a quit date'”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] Ferguson, 2005, The English smoking treatment services: one-year outcomes, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    PCTs with a better throughput did have a higher increase in the number of self-reported smokers in the population but such PCTs were not CO validating sufficiently to be sure that the number of ex-smokers is increasing with a higher number of clients.

    “Thus, PCTs with a better throughput did have a higher increase in the number of self-reported smokers in the population but such PCTs were not CO validating sufficiently to be sure that the number of ex-smokers is increasing with a higher number of clients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The ELONS study added additional time to each consultation, which affected the number of people that the service could see.

    “This meant that the ELONS study added additional time to each consultation, which affected the number of people that the service could see.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Open group forms of behavioural therapy were more successful than one-to-one counselling [main effect aOR 1.26 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.41)] except among some of the most disadvantaged clients (prisons and long-term unemployed).

    “but open group forms of behavioural therapy were more successful [main effect aOR 1.26 (95% CI 1.12 to 1.41)] except among some of the most disadvantaged clients (prisons and long-term unemployed).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] Hiscock, 2013, Behavioural therapy for smoking cessation: the effectiveness of different intervention types for disadvantaged and affluent smokers, Addict Behav source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The North 51 PCTs that allowed their data for research purposes comprised roughly one-quarter of the total and have similar self-report quit and CO-validation rates.

    “Thus, the North 51 PCTs that allowed their data for research purposes comprised roughly one-quarter of the total and have similar self-report quit and CO-validation rates.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The decline continued after recruitment was completed, and much or at least some of this has been attributed to more smokers using electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) for cutting down or quitting rather than more established methods.

    “The decline continued after recruitment was completed, and much or at least some of this has been attributed to more smokers using electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) for cutting down or quitting rather than more established methods.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The decline in quit dates set in SSSs in England after recruitment was completed is attributed to more smokers using electronic cigarettes for cutting down or quitting rather than more established methods.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The level of support available did vary across the nine ELONS study sites.

    “However, as PCRNs are organised by area and each have their own budget, the level of support available did vary across the nine ELONS study sites.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Clients who had agreed to be recruited to the ELONS study but where there was no record of quit date set were included in the analysis.

    “Clients who had agreed to be recruited to the ELONS study but where there was no record of quit date set were included in the analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    In order for our PCTs to be representative we also approached services with a range of short-term (4 week) quit rates and geographies (urban and rural areas, affluent and disadvantaged areas, and include areas from most regions of England).

    “In order for our PCTs to be representative we also approached services with a range of short-term (4 week) quit rates and geographies (urban and rural areas, affluent and disadvantaged areas, and include areas from most regions of England).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The self-reported quit rate for all English SSSs from April 2010 to March 2011 was 49%, with 70% of these CO validated.

    “The self-reported quit rate for all English SSSs from April 2010 to March 2011 was also 49%, with 70% of these CO validated 43”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [43] NHS Information Centre, 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Closed groups were little deployed and they were not significantly more successful than one-to-one behavioural therapy after controls.

    “Closed groups were little deployed and they were not significantly more successful than one-to-one behavioural therapy after controls.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] Hiscock, 2013, Behavioural therapy for smoking cessation: the effectiveness of different intervention types for disadvantaged and affluent smokers, Addict Behav source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    As the requirements for detailed consent (along with the other pressures on services outlined above) meant that it was not possible to recruit a high proportion of clients, weighting was undertaken to correct for non-response so that the quit rates would take into account any differences in important variables such as demographics between the ELONS study sample and the population.

    “As the requirements for detailed consent (along with the other pressures on services outlined above) meant that it was not possible to recruit a high proportion of clients, weighting was undertaken to correct for non-response so that the quit rates would take into account any differences in important variables such as demographics between the ELONS study sample and the population.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The same rim weights were used for the 12-month quit rates as the 4-week quit rates to allow our estimates to be generalisable to the nine services that took part in the ELONS study.

    “The same rim weights were used for the 12-month quit rates as the 4-week quit rates to allow our estimates to be generalisable to the nine services that took part in the ELONS study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The weights were created using these variables: behavioural support type, age, gender and SES (measured by NSSEC).

    “The weights were created using these variables: behavioural support type, age, gender and SES (measured by NSSEC).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Thus in the final models two levels were included: the first level was client quit attempt and the second level was practitioner.

    “Thus in the final models two levels were included: the first level was client quit attempt and the second level was practitioner.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Concerns arose that the true importance of being dependent might be missed if the Heaviness of Smoking Index was used to represent dependence in the analysis, so instead a dichotomous variable was used: clients who smoked > 30 cigarettes per day or who smoked within 5 minutes of waking were coded as dependent and contrasted with all other clients.

    “Thus concerns arose that the true importance of being dependent might be missed if the Heaviness of Smoking Index was used to represent dependence in the analysis, so instead a dichotomous variable was used: clients who smoked > 30 cigarettes per day or who smoked within 5 minutes of waking were coded as dependent and contrasted with all other clients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    As an alternative, quit rates were calculated taking into account clustering by location.

    “As an alternative, quit rates were calculated taking into account clustering by location.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The 'all cases' database was used to develop weights in order to calculate quit rates generalisable to the nine services that took part in the ELONS study.

    “The 'all cases' database was used to develop weights in order to calculate quit rates generalisable to the nine services that took part in the ELONS study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    This may be because one of the more successful sites and the only user of open groups used very little combination NRT.

    “This may be because one of the more successful sites and the only user of open groups used very little combination NRT.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Weighting is not recommended in multilevel modelling, including variables where differential recruitment has occurred is preferred. Thus all final models using prospective study data needed to include behavioural support types and locations.

    “Weighting is not recommended in multilevel modelling, including variables where differential recruitment has occurred is preferred.46 Thus all final models using prospective study data needed to include behavioural support types and locations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] Salmond, 2006

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Practitioner had the ELONS study clients who did not set a quit date (non-significant in multivariable analysis).

    “l Practitioner had the ELONS study clients who did not set a quit date (non-significant in multivariable analysis).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Clients lost to follow-up were coded as still smoking, consistent with conducting an intention-to-treat analysis as set out in the Russell Standard.

    “Clients lost to follow-up were coded as still smoking, consistent with conducting an intention-to-treat analysis as set out in the Russell Standard.30”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [30] West

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Multicollinearity was not present in the multivariable model; the standard error did not increase by 50% or more.

    “If the standard error increased by 50% or more multicollinearity was present.This did not occur.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    We also intended to weight for location (study site) but there were large differences in proportions recruited by location, which led to instability in the weighting and so the decision was made to exclude this, with behavioural support used to explain some of the differences by location.

    “We also intended to weight for location (study site) but there were large differences in proportions recruited by location, which led to instability in the weighting and so the decision was made to exclude this, with behavioural support used to explain some of the differences by location.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The model was then tested for multicollinearity by comparing the size of the CI when each variable was added individually with the CI when each variable was added simultaneously. If the standard error increased by 50% or more multicollinearity was deemed to be present. This did not occur.

    “The model was then tested for multicollinearity by comparing the size of the CI when each variable was added individually with the CI when each variable was added simultaneously.46 If the standard error increased by 50% or more multicollinearity was deemed to be present.46 This did not occur.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] Salmond, 2006

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Serious previous quit attempt with or without quitting aids (clients who had made a quit attempt in the last 12 months but had not used aids were less likely to quit than both those who had not made a quit attempt and those who had made a quit attempt with quitting aids. Owing to the non-intuitive results and the desire for simplicity, this variable was excluded).

    “l Serious previous quit attempt with or without quitting aids (clients who had made a quit attempt in the last 12 months but had not used aids were less likely to quit than both those who had not made a quit attempt and those who had made a quit attempt with quitting aids.Owing to the non-intuitive results and the desire for simplicity, this variable was excluded).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Varenicline at week 1 was measured because abstinence from smoking was strongly associated with higher numbers of records of smoking medication and clients who had more records had more opportunity to change medication.

    “Varenicline at week 1 was measured because abstinence from smoking was strongly associated with higher numbers of records of smoking medication and clients who had more records had more opportunity to change medication”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Data were collected from all nine study sites.

    “Data were collected from all nine study sites.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Four other fixed effects were tested because preliminary bivariable analysis suggested they might be of importance but were excluded from the final model: Marital status (non-significant in multivariable analysis).

    “Four other fixed effects were tested because preliminary bivariable analysis (see Chapter 6) suggested they might be of importance but were excluded from the final model: l Marital status (non-significant in multivariable analysis).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    There were potentially five levels: client quit attempt; client (only 22 clients were recruited to the ELONS study twice, so the client level was not included); practitioner; service provider (the models failed to run because of conflicts with practitioner and location); location (there was no significant level 2 variance as there were only nine locations, so location was included as a fixed效应).

    “There were potentially five levels: l client quit attempt l clientonly 22 clients were recruited to the ELONS study twice, so the client level was not included l practitioner l service providerthe models failed to run because of conflicts with practitioner and location l locationthere was no significant level 2 variance as there were only nine locations, so location was included as a fixed effect.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    We could not explore this further because of multicollinearity between site and medication.

    “We could not explore this further because of multicollinearity between site and medication.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    We cannot tell from the chi-squared tests whether there were significant differences in quitting by self-assessed health or well-being.

    “Thus we cannot tell from the chi-squared tests whether or not there were significant differences in quitting by self-assessed health or well-being.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Saliva collected (non-significant in multivariable analysis).

    “l Saliva collected (non-significant in multivariable analysis).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The power calculations were based on a quit rate of 15% rather than 8%.

    “Furthermore, the power calculations were based on a quit rate of 15% rather than 8%.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Initially, the sample design was powered so that the smallest group size was 100 and the next group size was 500.

    “Initially, the sample design was powered so that the smallest group size was 100 and the next group size was 500.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The finding that combination NRT was associated with lower 4-week quit is not consistent with evidence on the effectiveness of combination NRT and raises questions about the recording of combination therapy use in the study.

    “This is not consistent with evidence on the effectiveness of combination NRT and raises some questions about the recording of combination therapy use in the study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The quit rate for England from April 2012 to March 2013 was 37%.

    “In comparison, the quit rate for England from April 2012 to March 2013 was 37%. 31”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2013

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Clients who were motivated to complete the survey were also more likely to have had a successful quit attempt, meaning the views of those who did not quit are under-represented.

    “Finally, despite an encouraging response rate (response to self-completion postal surveys are generally low, even with repeated reminders) clients who were motivated to complete the survey were also more likely to have had a successful quit attempt.This means the views of those who did not quit are under-represented.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Cutting down with NRT is associated with both increased motivation to stop and improved quit rates.

    “Cutting down with NRT is associated with both increased motivation to stop and improved quit rates 64,66”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [64] Wang, 2008, Cut down to quit with nicotine replacement therapies in smoking cessation: a systematic review of effectiveness and economic analysis, Health Technol Assess source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [66] Beard, 2011, Association between use of nicotine replacement therapy for harm reduction and smoking cessation: a prospective study of English smokers, Tob Control source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    NRT in the UK is licensed for smoking reduction, that is, dual use, and available to smokers who cannot or are unwilling to stop smoking completely, as a long-term harm reduction measure.

    “For this reason, NRT in the UK is licensed for smoking reduction, that is, dual use, and available to smokers who cannot or are unwilling to stop smoking completely, as a long-term harm reduction measure 70”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [70] Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency, 2010

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    Services could ask about well-being if useful for monitoring purposes.

    “This suggests services could ask about well-being if useful for monitoring purposes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    In clinical trials, NRT is provided free together with behavioural support, which may affect normal usage patterns.

    “and in which NRT is provided free together with behavioural support, which may affect normal usage patterns.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Most data on long-term NRT use come from clinical trials, which have samples that tend to differ in important ways from general population samples.

    “Most data come from clinical trials, which have samples that tend to differ in important ways from general population samples 79”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [79] Le Strat, 2011, How generalisable to community samples are clinical trial results for treatment of nicotine dependence: a comparison of common eligibility criteria with respondents of a large representative general population survey, Tob Control source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Studies that have looked at long-term NRT use suggest it is safe and any associated health risks are small, certainly compared with continued smoking.

    “the studies that have looked at this issue suggest that long-term NRT use is safe and any associated health risks are small, 76 certainly compared with continued smoking.77,78”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [76] Eliasson, 1996, Long-term use of nicotine gum is associated with hyperinsulinemia and insulin resistance, Circulation source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [77] Murray, 2009, Does nicotine replacement therapy cause cancer? Evidence from the Lung Health Study, Nicotine Tob Res source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [78] Sims, 2002, Pharmacotherapy for treating tobacco dependence: what is the ideal duration of therapy?, CNS Drugs source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The WHO-5 Well-being Index was integrated successfully into routine questions asked of service clients at baseline.

    “The WHO-5 Well-being Index was integrated successfully into routine questions asked of service clients at baseline.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The burning of tobacco causes the most harm and not nicotine per se.

    “The reason for focusing on NRT is that the burning of tobacco causes the most harm and not nicotine per se.73”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [73] Stratton, 2001

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Most NRT in the UK is used without advice and bought over the counter.

    “By contrast, most NRT in the UK is used without advice and bought over the counter, 80”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [80] Shiffman, 2008, Ten years after the Rx-to-OTC switch of nicotine replacement therapy: what have we learned about the benefits and risks of non-prescription availability?, Health Policy source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    This request to provide a saliva sample resulted in 1875 useable saliva samples for analysis (which represents 61% of the ELONS study participants).

    “This request to provide a saliva sample resulted in 1875 useable saliva samples for analysis (which represents 61% of the ELONS study participants).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    There is good evidence from population studies and clinical trials that providing NRT to smokers who cut down their cigarette consumption results in more sustained decreases in cigarette consumption and improves their chances of stopping smoking completely.

    “There is good evidence from both population studies and clinical trials that the provision of NRT to smokers who cut down their cigarette consumption results in more sustained decreases in cigarette consumption and improves their chances of stopping smoking completely.64,65”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [64] Wang, 2008, Cut down to quit with nicotine replacement therapies in smoking cessation: a systematic review of effectiveness and economic analysis, Health Technol Assess source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [65] Moore, 2009, Effectiveness and safety of nicotine replacement therapy assisted reduction to stop smoking: systematic review and meta-analysis, BMJ source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    A random sample (n = 392) of participants who had given a saliva sample at baseline and were known to have relapsed at 4-week follow-up were contacted at 12-month follow-up and asked to provide a saliva sample; this resulted in saliva samples from 89 participations.

    “In addition a random sample (n = 392) of participants who had given a saliva sample at baseline and were known to have relapsed at 4-week follow-up were contacted at 12-month follow-up and asked to provide a saliva sample.This resulted in saliva samples from 89 participations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The ELONS study was designed to provide up-to-date evidence on the effectiveness of these SSSs, building on earlier research.

    “The ELONS study was designed to provide up-to-date evidence on the effectiveness of these SSSs, building on earlier research.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    This estimate is likely to include over-the-counter use, as this number is substantially higher than the number of participants recorded as using NRT by the services (34.4%, 95% CI 31.4% to 37.4%; n = 310).

    “However, this estimate is likely to include over-the-counter use, as this number is substantially higher than the number of participants recorded as using NRT by the services as shown in Table 41 (34.4%, 95% CI 31.4% to 37.4%; n = 310).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Despite rates of abstinence from smoking being lower in the ELONS study than in some previous studies with service clients, they remain significantly higher than in untreated populations.

    “Despite rates of abstinence from smoking being lower in the ELONS study than in some previous studies with service clients, they remain significantly higher than in untreated populations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    As we were concerned about the potential of confounders, we conducted a sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of these on the results.

    “As we were concerned about the potential of confounders, we conducted a sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of these on the results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The study took place during the financial year 2012-13. In that year, routine data returns from all SSSs in England showed that 724,247 quit dates were set.

    “The study took place during the financial year 2012-13.In that year, routine data returns from all SSSs in England showed that 724,247 quit dates were set.87”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [87] Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2014

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Thus the behavioural support and stop smoking medication provided by the services makes a significant difference and improves outcomes for individual smokers.

    “Thus the behavioural support and stop smoking medication provided by the services makes a significant difference and improves outcomes for individual smokers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    The ELONS study is consistent with previous studies in demonstrating this.

    “The ELONS study is consistent with previous studies in demonstrating this.7,17”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [7] Brose, 2011, What makes for an effective stop-smoking service?, Thorax source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [17] Judge, 2005, The English smoking treatment services: short-term outcomes, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Research design differences between the studies may also explain some of the difference.

    “Research design differences between the studies may also explain some of the difference.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    A total of 1047 participants (34.4% of the whole sample) provided information on long-term NRT use and therefore form the analytic sample for the prevalence analysis.

    “A total of 1047 participants (34.4% of the whole sample) provided information on long-term NRT use and therefore form the analytic sample for the prevalence analysis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    At 12-month follow-up, saliva samples were obtained from 169 of a potential 320 participants (i.e. those who took part in the follow-up telephone interview, were abstinent from smoking and had given a saliva sample at baseline).

    “At 12-month follow-up, salvia samples were obtained from 169 of a potential 320 participants (i.e.those who took part in the follow-up telephone interview, were abstinent from smoking and had given a saliva sample at baseline).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Some samples provided insufficient saliva or were contaminated and, therefore, cotinine and/or alpha-amylase levels could not be determined (5.7%). In addition, a number of participants (18.1%) provided only one rather than two saliva samples at either baseline or follow-up, which meant not all analytes could be assessed. However, in each of the relevant subgroups at least 50% of the analytic样本

    “Unfortunately, some samples provided insufficient saliva or were contaminated and, therefore, cotinine and/or alpha-amylase levels could not be determined (5.7%).In addition, a number of participants (18.1%) provided only one rather than two saliva samples at either baseline or follow-up, which meant not all analytes could be assessed.However, in each of the relevant subgroups at least 50% of the”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Given the complexity of study design, respondents were treated in the analysis according to their last status, that is, relapsers at 4 weeks who had stopped smoking by the 12-month follow-up were counted as quitters, and self-reported quitters at 12-months who failed CO assessment were counted as relapsers and analysed accordingly.

    “Please note that given the complexity of study design, respondents were treated in the analysis according to their last status, that is, relapsers at 4 weeks who had stopped smoking by the 12-month follow-up were counted as quitters, and self-reported quitters at 12-months who failed CO assessment were counted as relapsers and analysed accordingly.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Others have argued that the smoking population itself may have changed and that remaining smokers are more nicotine dependent and find it harder to stop.

    “Others have argued that the smoking population itself may have changed 84,85 and that remaining smokers are more nicotine dependent and find it harder to stop.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [84] Jarvis, 2003, Prevalence of hardcore smoking in England, and associated attitudes and beliefs: cross sectional study, BMJ source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [85] MacIntosh, 2006, Characteristics and prevalence of hardcore smokers attending UK general practitioners, BMC Fam Pract source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The ELONS study only assessed smoking status up to 1 year after an initial quit attempt, yet it is possible to extrapolate our results to estimate the number of life-long non-smokers achieved.

    “The ELONS study only assessed smoking status up to 1 year after an initial quit attempt, yet it is possible to extrapolate our results to estimate the number of life-long non-smokers achieved.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    We used a generalised linear model, which enabled adjustment for potential confounders with a gamma distribution and a log link (all 0 values were replaced with 0.001) to account for the non-normal distribution.

    “We used a generalised linear model, which enabled adjustment for potential confounders with a gamma distribution and a log link (all 0 values were replaced with 0.001) to account for the non-normal distribution.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Statistical significance was set at the standard level (p < 0.05), and the Bonferroni correction was applied in post-hoc analyses.

    “Statistical significance was set at the standard level (p < 0.05), and the Bonferroni correction was applied in post-hoc analyses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Those who were lost at follow-up were younger, had smoked for a shorter period of time, were less likely to have a medical condition and were less likely to be white or cohabiting.

    “As shown in Table 41, those who were lost at follow-up were younger, had smoked for a shorter period of time, were less likely to have a medical condition and were less likely to be white or cohabiting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    At 1 year, abstinence rates with self-quitters are approximately 3%, considerably lower than the 8% found here.

    “At 1 year, abstinence rates with self-quitters are approximately 3%, 86 considerably lower than the 8% found here.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [86] Hughes, 2004, Shape of the relapse curve and long-term abstinence among untreated smokers, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Routine data provide a useful and not inaccurate indicator of short-term smoking cessation outcomes.

    “These results provided suggest that (a) routine data provide a useful and not inaccurate indicator of short-term smoking cessation outcomes”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Previous research with 'self-quitters' not participating in a smoking treatment programme has estimated abstinence rates at 25% at 4 weeks, which is considerably lower than the overall 4-week quit rate (41%) and the lowest 95% CI boundary (36%).

    “Previous research with 'self-quitters' not participating in a smoking treatment programme has estimated abstinence rates at 25% at 4 weeks, 42 which is considerably lower than the overall 4-week quit rate (41%) and the lowest 95% CI boundary (36%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [42] West, 2013, Performance of English stop smoking services in first 10 years: analysis of service monitoring data, BMJ source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    NICE guidance previously recommended that services aim to reach at least 5% of their smoking population in a year.

    “NICE guidance previously recommended that services aim to reach at least 5% of their smoking population in a year.21”
    • Also stated in: § Chapter 11 Conclusions · plain
      “NICE guidance previously recommended that services aim to reach at least 5% of their smoking population in a year.21”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [21] National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), 2008

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The ELONS study purposively selected nine services that offered different types of interventions in a range of settings, some of which reported quit rates higher than the national average while others reported lower rates.

    “The ELONS study purposively selected nine services that offered different types of interventions in a range of settings, some of which reported quit rates higher than the national average while others reported lower rates.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    At follow-up, those who provided a saliva sample were older and more likely to be cohabiting. Again, there were some treatment differences (they were less likely to have used a drop-in clinic but more likely to have used varenicline). Clients for whom a follow-up sample was available had lower baseline levels of dependence (likely reflecting the lower response rate among those who smoked at 4 неде

    “At follow-up, those who provided a saliva sample were older and more likely to be cohabiting.Again, there were some treatment differences (they were less likely to have used a drop-in clinic but more likely to have used varenicline).Clients for whom a follow-up sample was available had lower baseline levels of dependence (likely reflecting the lower response rate among those who smoked at 4 weeks”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Even among CO-validated non-smokers at follow-up who indicated that they did not use NRT, over one in five had cotinine values above the usual cut-off level, suggesting either a high rate of deception in this group or undeclared use of other nicotine-containing products.

    “Yet, even among CO-validated non-smokers at follow-up who indicated that they did not use NRT, over one in five had cotinine values above the usual cut-off level, suggesting either a high rate of deception in this group or undeclared use of other nicotine-containing products.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    These services form an important part of a wider network of policies aimed to reduce smoking rates, including policies such as tobacco taxation, mass media campaigns, bans on advertising and Smokefree laws.

    “These services form an important part of a wider network of policies aimed to reduce smoking rates, including policies such as tobacco taxation, mass media campaigns, bans on advertising and Smokefree laws.15”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [15] Department of Health, 1998

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    Our earlier work was conducted with just two (albeit large) services that performed better than the national average based on comparisons with routine data.

    “Our earlier work was conducted with just two (albeit large) services that performed better than the national average based on comparisons with routine data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Smokers in these previous studies have reported experiencing more negative moods shortly after quitting that may be related to relapse.

    “Smokers in these previous studies have reported experiencing more negative moods shortly after quitting that may be related to relapse.98”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [98] Mendelsohn, 2012, Smoking and depression: a review, Aust Fam Physician

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    This suggests that the level of well-being at baseline is important as a predictor of who may quit smoking, and that this difference is maintained.

    “This suggests that the level of well-being at baseline is important as a predictor of who may quit smoking, and that this difference is maintained.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Time and resource pressures in settings such as GP practices and pharmacies may also contribute to poorer outcomes for clients of non-specialists.

    “Time and resource pressures in settings such as GP practices and pharmacies may also contribute to poorer outcomes for clients of non-specialists.94,95”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [94] Bhardwa, 2014

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [95] Tumilty D, Gilmore G. Improving Quality in Stop Smoking Services. UK National Smoking Cessation Conference, London, 12–13 June 2014.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Longer-term NRT use among smokers in the general population is rare.

    “This is in agreement with similar figures from the general population suggesting that longer-term NRT use among smokers is rare.108”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [108] Silla, 2014, Characterization of long-term users of nicotine replacement therapy: evidence from a national survey, Nicotine Tob Res source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Client characteristics cannot be easily modified, but service characteristics can, and our findings show that some interventions are more effective than others.

    “Client characteristics cannot be easily modified, but service characteristics can, and our findings show that some interventions are more effective than others.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    These results reflect those of our previously published paper on the success of open groups.

    “These results reflect those of our previously published paper 26 on the success of open groups.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] Hiscock, 2013, Behavioural therapy for smoking cessation: the effectiveness of different intervention types for disadvantaged and affluent smokers, Addict Behav source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Although SSSs are able to reach significant numbers of smokers living in disadvantaged areas, these smokers face additional barriers to quitting.

    “Thus, although SSSs are able to reach significant numbers of smokers living in disadvantaged areas, 19 these smokers face additional barriers to quitting.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [19] Chesterman, 2005, How effective are the English smoking treatment services in reaching disadvantaged smokers?, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Neurologically, this may be related to higher levels of cortisol and adrenocorticotrophic hormone as a response to stress.

    “Neurologically, this may be related to higher levels of cortisol and adrenocorticotrophic hormone as a response to stress.103”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [103] McKee, 2011, Stress decreases the ability to resist smoking and potentiates smoking intensity and reward, J Psychopharmacol source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Although few other studies have looked at positive well-being, research has found that psychological distress and mental health conditions can reduce the chances of successfully stopping smoking.

    “Although few other studies have looked at positive well-being, research has found that psychological distress and mental health conditions can reduce the chances of successfully stopping smoking.57,97,98”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [57] Seguire, 2000, Addressing the ‘costs of quitting’ smoking: a health promotion issue for adolescent girls in Canada, Health Promot Int source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [97] Leung, 2011, Psychological distress is associated with tobacco smoking and quitting behaviour in the Australian population: evidence from National Cross-Sectional Surveys, Aust N Z J Psychiatry source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [98] Mendelsohn, 2012, Smoking and depression: a review, Aust Fam Physician

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Other studies have found that stress is associated with higher levels of smoking.

    “Other studies have found that stress is associated with higher levels of smoking.101,102”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [101] Ng, 2003, Relationships between perceived stress and health behaviors in a sample of working adults, Health Psychol source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [102] Todd, 2004, Daily processes in stress and smoking: effects of negative events, nicotine dependence, and gender, Psychol Addict Behav source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Despite an encouraging response rate, clients who were motivated to complete the survey were also more likely to have had a successful quit attempt.

    “Despite an encouraging response rate (response to self-completion postal surveys are generally low, even with repeated reminders) clients who were motivated to complete the survey were also more likely to have had a successful quit attempt.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Despite smokers stating that they smoke to cope with stress, higher levels of stress have been found among smokers, which then declines with smoking cessation.

    “However, despite smokers stating that they smoke to cope with stress, higher levels of stress have been found among smokers, 104 which then declines with smoking cessation.105”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [104] Parrott, 1999, Does cigarette smoking cause stress?, Am Psychol source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [105] Hajek, 2010, The effect of stopping smoking on perceived stress levels, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Having financial difficulties, which could signify feelings of a lack of control, has been associated with fewer quit attempts and less success in the quit attempts that did take place.

    “In addition, having financial difficulties, which could signify feelings of a lack of control, has been associated with fewer quit attempts and less success in the quit attempts that did take place.100”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [100] Caleyachetty, 2012, Struggling to make ends meet: exploring pathways to understand why smokers in financial difficulties are less likely to quit successfully, Eur J Public Health source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Feelings of control have not received much attention in the context of smoking cessation, although perceived control has been found to positively influence intention to quit smoking.

    “Feelings of control have not received much attention in the context of smoking cessation, although perceived control has been found to positively influence intention to quit smoking.99”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [99] Curtis, 2012, Understanding tailored Internet smoking cessation messages: a reasoned action approach, Ann Am Acad Pol Soc Sci source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    This was possibly mediated by being unable to cope with stress.

    “This was possibly mediated by being unable to cope with stress.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    IMD was included at PCT level, which is large geographically and may explain the lack of significant results.

    “IMD was included at PCT level, which is large geographically and may explain the lack of significant results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The study design allowed clients to be their own control, thus further reducing confounding.

    “Moreover, the study design allowed clients to be their own control, thus further reducing confounding.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    CIs of quit rates for many behavioural support types were wide and some non-significant differences may be a consequence of the study being underpowered.

    “However, CIs of quit rates for many behavioural support types were wide and it may be that some non-significant differences are a consequence of the study being underpowered.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    In the analysis all ethnic minorities were compared with white people, and ethnicity was not disaggregated further because of small numbers.

    “In the analysis all ethnic minorities were compared with white people.Ethnicity was not disaggregated further because of small numbers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Long-term NRT use is not associated with increased health risks as assessed here, and is certainly safer than continued smoking.

    “It builds on earlier research indicating that long-term NRT use is not associated with increased health risks as assessed here, and is certainly safer than continued smoking.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Clinical trials suggest that permanent replacement of cigarettes with NRT among ex-smokers can result in 40% of baseline levels of nicotine being substituted by nicotine-replacement products.

    “Clinical trials suggest that permanent replacement of cigarettes with NRT among ex-smokers can result in 40% of baseline levels of nicotine being substituted by nicotine-replacement products.110,111”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [110] Tonnesen, 1999, Higher dosage nicotine patches increase one-year smoking cessation rates: results from the European CEASE trial. Collaborative European Anti-Smoking Evaluation. European Respiratory Society, Eur Respir J source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [111] Wennike, 2003, Smoking reduction promotes smoking cessation: results from a double blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of nicotine gum with 2-year follow-up, Addiction source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Assessment was carried out with established, ecologically valid measures and smoking status verified.

    “Assessment was carried out with established, ecologically valid measures and smoking status verified.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The secondary analysis includes only data from PCTs who agreed to their QuitManager data set being used for research purposes.

    “The secondary analysis includes only data from PCTs who agreed to their QuitManager data set being used for research purposes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    NSSEC is complicated to classify and may not reflect SES for clients who are not the chief income earner of the household.

    “NSSEC is complicated to classify and may not reflect SES for clients who are not the chief income earner of the household.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The self-reported quit rate for all English SSSs from April 2010 to March 2011 was 49%, and 70% were CO validated.

    “Furthermore, the self-reported quit rate for all English SSSs from April 2010 to March 2011 was also 49%, and 70% were CO validated 43 compared with 74% in the secondary analysis sample suggesting that the sample were representative of the whole.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [43] NHS Information Centre, 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Smokers are very adept at titrating nicotine levels, with some nicotine otherwise obtained from cigarettes being replaced by nicotine from NRT.

    “These findings reflect that smokers are very adept at titrating nicotine levels, with some nicotine otherwise obtained from cigarettes being replaced by nicotine from NRT. 113”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [113] Fagerstrom, 1997, Aiding reduction of smoking with nicotine replacement medications: hope for the recalcitrant smoker?, Tob Control source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    For the well-being element, the analysis reported was largely exploratory and any conclusions can only be tentative.

    “For the well-being element in particular, it is also the case that the analysis reported was largely exploratory and any conclusions can only be tentative.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Concurrent NRT use among smokers, either for temporary abstinence or for cutting down, has remained relatively stable since 2002 and mostly reflects short-term use.

    “Indeed, concurrent NRT use among smokers, either for temporary abstinence or for cutting down, has remained relatively stable since 2002 109 and mostly reflects short-term use.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [109] West, 2005, Impact of UK policy initiatives on use of medicines to aid smoking cessation, Tob Control source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Despite an initial large sample size, dropout across the main study was substantial, resulting in relatively few clients with complete baseline and follow-up data on biomarkers.

    “Despite an initial large sample size, dropout across the main study was inevitably substantial, resulting in relatively few clients with complete baseline and follow-up data on biomarkers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Weighting was used in the assessment of long-term NRT use prevalence, which should account for differential dropout.

    “In addition, weighting was used in the assessment of long-term NRT use prevalence, which should account for differential dropout.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    To overcome the low response rate, weighting and multivariable analysis were used.

    “To overcome the low response rate we have used weighting and multivariable analysis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Eligibility for free prescriptions can be for medical or age reasons in addition to low income.

    “Eligibility for free prescriptions can be for medical or age reasons in addition to low income.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    We treated group clients as independent, whereas the chances of a group member quitting may depend to some extent on the other group members and the culture of the group.

    “We treated group clients as independent, whereas the chances of a group member quitting may depend to some extent on the other group members and the culture of the group.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The consistency of estimates between PCTs (majority between 5% and 12%) and consistency of quit rates calculated for unique clients and client records gives support to the technique used.

    “However, the consistency of our estimates between PCTs (the majority between 5% and 12%) and the consistency of quit rates calculated for unique clients and client records gives support to the technique used.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Long-term NRT use is safe and not associated with increased health risks, certainly compared with continued smoking.

    “Altogether, these findings suggest that long-term NRT use is safe and not associated with increased health risks, certainly compared with continued smoking.78”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [78] Sims, 2002, Pharmacotherapy for treating tobacco dependence: what is the ideal duration of therapy?, CNS Drugs source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The baseline sample differed from the sample followed up, but differences were relatively modest and unlikely to have substantially biased findings.

    “In addition, the baseline sample differed from the sample followed up.However, differences were relatively modest and therefore unlikely to have substantially biased findings.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Although clients self-selected into groups rather than being experimentally assigned, this reflects real-world use of NRT.

    “Although clients self-selected into groups rather than being experimentally assigned, this reflects real-world use of NRT.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    At follow-up, well-being questions were included in postal surveys sent to clients' home addresses, as was the satisfaction questionnaire; response rate was low and caution is required in interpreting results.

    “At follow-up the well-being questions were included in postal surveys sent to clients' home addresses, as was the satisfaction questionnaire.As with most postal surveys, the response rate was low and caution is therefore required in interpreting the results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    There was no evidence of variance between practitioners at baseline, so single-level models were used for modelling well-being at baseline.

    “There was no evidence of variance between practitioners at baseline, so single-level models were used for modelling well-being at baseline; however, practitioner was included a random effect at the second level for 4 weeks and 52 weeks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    For 52-week quitting, there was no evidence of variance between practitioners consistently, so single-level modelling was used.

    “For 52-week quitting, there was no evidence of variance between practitioners consistently, so single-level modelling was used.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Well-being may be a predictor of successful smoking cessation.

    “In addition, as well as being a desired outcome of a health interventions, well-being may also be a predictor of successful smoking cessation.[55][56][57][58][59]”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [55][56][57][58][59]

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Skew of well-being at baseline was below ±0.8 and could be disregarded so parametric statistics could be used.

    “Skew was below ± 0.8 and could be disregarded so parametric statistics could be used.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Multicollinearity was checked.

    “Non-significant optional variables were removed and multicollinearity was checked.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
435 of 435
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The 1-year abstinence rate observed in the ELONS prospective cohort is representative of all NHS Stop Smoking Services clients in England.

    “If these results are applied to all of England, then we estimate that in the year 2012-13 the services supported 36,249 clients to become non-smokers for the remainder of their lives.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Clients who are abstinent at 1 year will remain non-smokers for the remainder of their lives.

    “If these results are applied to all of England, then we estimate that in the year 2012-13 the services supported 36,249 clients to become non-smokers for the remainder of their lives.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The 49 services providing routine data are representative of all 150 NHS Stop Smoking Services in England.

    “Our secondary analysis of routine data from 49 of 150 services in England found 4-week quit rates of 48% when self-reported data were included, falling to 34% when biochemical validation had occurred.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The nine prospective study services are representative of all NHS Stop Smoking Services in England.

    “From our prospective study of just over 3000 smokers attending SSSs in nine areas of England, we found that just over 4 in 10 (41.2%) were biochemically validated as abstinent from smoking at 4 weeks post quit date.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No routine data exist for longer-term cessation outcomes at 1 year.

    “No routine data exist for longer-term cessation outcomes at 1 year and it is some time since a study in England has looked at this issue.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It is some time since a study in England has looked at longer-term cessation outcomes.

    “No routine data exist for longer-term cessation outcomes at 1 year and it is some time since a study in England has looked at this issue.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Stop Smoking Services in England are not required to routinely collect data on longer-term cessation outcomes.

    “Stop Smoking Services in England are not required to routinely collect data on longer-term cessation outcomes.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Only outcomes 4 weeks after a client's quit date are collected and reported by SSSs.

    “Only outcomes 4 weeks after a client's quit date are collected and reported.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The routine data collected by SSSs are limited in scope, and the quality and quantity of data collected varies between service providers.

    “Furthermore, the routine data collected by SSSs are limited in scope, and the quality and quantity of data collected varies between service providers.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The decline in quit dates set in SSSs in England after recruitment was completed is attributed to more smokers using electronic cigarettes for cutting down or quitting rather than more established methods.

    “The decline continued after recruitment was completed, and much or at least some of this has been attributed to more smokers using electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) for cutting down or quitting rather than more established methods.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Participants who were lost to follow-up were assumed to be smoking, consistent with an intention-to-treat analysis.

    “Participants who were lost to follow-up (22.6% at 4 weeks and 45.2% at 52 weeks) were assumed to be smoking, consistent with an intention-to-treat analysis.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Well-being is affected by outside, and therefore modifiable, sources rather than fixed personality traits.

    “The components, measuring protection, control, prestige and response to change, are theoretically related to ontological security but also implicitly assume that well-being is affected by outside, and therefore modifiable, sources rather than fixed personality traits.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    An important determinant of successful quit attempts is the extent to which service clients continue to attend sessions and also use stop smoking medication.

    “It is likely that an important determinant of successful quit attempts is the extent to which service clients continue to attend sessions and also use stop smoking medication.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There is little research on long-term NRT use.

    “There is little research in this topic,”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Routine data collected by the services report on only short-term outcomes and are limited in detail.

    “As routine data collected by the services report on only short-term outcomes and are limited in detail,”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The configuration of services has changed in the last decade and there is a greater reliance on community practitioners with lower short-term quit rates delivering support rather than specialist smoking cessation staff.

    “In addition, the configuration of services has changed in the last decade and there is clearly a greater reliance on community practitioners (such as pharmacists and practice nurses) with lower short-term quit rates delivering support rather than specialist smoking cessation staff.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The WHO-5 Well-being Index is a valid measure of well-being.

    “The WHO-5 Well-being Index was integrated successfully into routine questions asked of service clients at baseline.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The ontological security items measure ontological security.

    “only the ontological security items [I enjoy a challenge, I can do what I want when I want, I feel in control, I feel safe, I worry about things going wrong (reversed), I feel I'm doing well in life, My life has a sense of routine] and being abstinent from smoking at 52 weeks were associated with well-being”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Cotinine is a biomarker of nicotine exposure.

    “cotinine, the primary metabolite of nicotine as a biomarker of exposure”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Smoking declined uniformly by 4% in all PCTs between 2003 and 2005, and also in 2009.

    “We also assumed that smoking declined uniformly by 4% in all PCTs between 2003 and 2005, and also in 2009, when it is likely that the smoking rate declined more in PCTs with an affluent population and less in PCTs with a more disadvantaged population.118”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Each client in the database was unique (for all but the impact analysis) when estimating that 8% of clients used the SSS more than once during the year.

    “For all but the impact analysis we assumed that each client in the database was unique when we estimated that 8% of clients used the SSS more than once during the year.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No routine data exist on longer-term cessation at 1 year and it is some time since a study in England has looked at this issue.

    “No routine data exist on longer-term cessation at 1 year and it is some time since a study in England has looked at this issue.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No studies that we could identify had examined changes in well-being among clients of NHS SSSs.

    “No studies that we could identify had examined changes in well-being among clients of NHS SSSs and thus we decided to include a focus on this in the current study.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There is an association between many medical conditions and smoking.

    “Second, we wished to consider medical conditions because there is an association between many medical conditions and smoking.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Clients with higher well-being are more likely to be able to successfully quit smoking long term.

    “This may be helpful because clients with higher well-being are more likely to be able to successfully quit smoking long term.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Collecting data on well-being is not something normally done by stop smoking services.

    “A novel aspect of the ELONS study was that data on well-being was also collected from participants, not something normally done by the services.”
26 of 26

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The clinic's 1-year abstinence rate (38%) is higher than that of UK stop smoking services (~8%) and the Mayo clinic (28% at 6 months).

    “These are very high success rates compared for example with around 8% achieved in UK stop smoking services [25] (which also deliver a combination of behavioural support and pharmacotherapy, albeit usually restricted to a shorter period of time ) and compared with the Mayo clinic which uses a similar treatment model and reported 28% self-reported abstinence at 6 months [26].”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Table 3's overall self-report count conflicts with its rate

    Minor

    The stated 89,085 self-reported quitters are 48.8% of 182,603 cases, not the 44.1% shown in the same row.

    Reported 44.1 · recomputed 48.786165

  • Table 46 reverses the 52-week quit and non-quit counts

    Minor

    Table 46 labels 351 postal-survey respondents as quitters and 128 as non-quitters. Table 45 labels the same counts the other way round.

  • Table 3 source note excludes months displayed in the table

    Minor

    The source note says the table covers episodes from January through June 2011, but the table includes rows for July through November 2010.

  • Table 3's white-client self-report count is incompatible with its rate

    Minor

    The row gives 5,237 self-reported quitters among 158,377 white clients, which is 3.3%, rather than the stated 49.3%. The adjacent ethnic-minority row also lists 78,149 self-reported quitters despite having only 12,165 clients, suggesting the counts were interchanged.

    Reported 49.3 · recomputed 3.306667

  • Table 23 overstates the share with two medication recordings

    Minor

    The 616 participants in this row are 20.2% of the stated sample of 3,057, not 22.0%.

    Reported 22 · recomputed 20.150474

  • Table 16 gives the wrong percentage for missing single-NRT-use data

    Minor

    Fifteen missing cases out of 3,069 constitute about 0.5%, not the reported 32.7%.

    Reported 32.7 · recomputed 0.488759

  • Two different totals are given for the QuitManager database

    Minor

    The methods report 202,804 client records, whereas the summary calls the database 202,084 records.

  • Glasgow four-week self-report percentage uses the wrong denominator

    Minor

    Table 27 states a Glasgow sample of 1,785 and 552 self-reported quitters. That is 30.9% of the sample, not 70.3%.

    Reported 70.3 · recomputed 30.92437

8 of 8

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 31

  1. Office for National Statistics, 2014, Integrated Household Survey: January to December 2013, Smoking Prevalence
  2. World Health Organization, 2013, WHO Report on the Global Tobacco Epidemic: Enforcing Bans on Tobacco Advertising, Promotion, and Sponsorship
  3. Royal College of Physicians, 1962, Smoking and Health
  4. Royal College of Physicians of London, 1971, Smoking and Health Now: A New Report and Summary on Smoking and its Effects on Health, from the Royal College of Physicians of London
  5. Royal College of Physicians of London, 1977, Smoking or Health: The Third Report from the Royal College of Physicians of London
  6. Royal College of Physicians of London, 1983, Health or Smoking? Follow-up Report from the Royal College of Physicians of London
  7. Amos, 2009, A Review of Your People Smoking in England
  8. Department of Health, 1998, Smoking Kills: A White Paper on Tobacco
  9. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), 2008, Smoking Cessation Services, NICE Public Health Guidance 10
  10. National Centre for Smoking Cessation and Training (NCSCT), 2014, Local Stop Smoking Services: Service and Delivery Guidance 2014
  11. Bauld, 2009, Comparing Models of Smoking Treatment in Glasgow: Final Report
  12. West, Assessing Smoking Cessation Performance in NHS Stop Smoking Services: The Russell Standard (Clinical). Version 2
  13. Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2013, Statistics on NHS Stop Smoking Services, England – April 2012 to March 2013
  14. North 51, 2010, QuitManager: The Stop Smoking Database
  15. Department of Health (DH), 2011, NHS Stop Smoking Services – Service and Monitoring Guidance 2011/12
  16. NHS Information Centre, 2008, Model Based Estimates of Smoking (Adults)
  17. Department of Communities and Local Government, 2010, English Indices of Deprivation – Consultation
  18. Rasbash, 2009, A User’s Guide to MLwiN, v2.10
  19. Office for National Statistics, 2011, Mid-2010 Population Estimates for Primary Care Organisations in England by Broad Age and Sex
  20. Office for National Statistics, 2011, Smoking and Drinking Among Adults, 2009: A Report on the 2009 General Lifestyle Survey
  21. NHS Information Centre, 2011, Statistics on NHS Stop Smoking Services: England, April 2010 – March 2011
  22. Psychiactric Research Unit at the Medical Health Centre North Zealand, 2013, WHO-Five Well-being Index (WHO-5)
  23. Salmond, 2006, Fitting Complex Models using Health Survey Data 2006
  24. Higher Education Careers Services Unit, 2013, What Proportion of the Population has a Degree-Level Qualification?
  25. Lister, 2010, Value for Money of Health Trainer Services: Final Report
  26. Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency, 2010, MHRA Public Assessment Report: The Use of Nicotine Replacement Therapy to Reduce Harm in Smokers
  27. Health and Social Care Information Centre, 2014, NHS Stop Smoking Services Annual Return 2013–2014
  28. Bhardwa, 2014, Primary Care Funding Slipping 2014
  29. Tumilty D, Gilmore G. Improving Quality in Stop Smoking Services. UK National Smoking Cessation Conference, London, 12–13 June 2014.
  30. Department of Health, 2012, Stop Smoking Service: Monitoring and Guidance Update
  31. Amos, 2011, Tobacco Control, Inequalities in Health and Action at a Local Level

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Dobbie, F., Hiscock, R., Leonardi-Bee, J., Murray, S., Shahab, L., Aveyard, P., Coleman, T., McEwen, A., McRobbie, H., Purves, R., & Bauld, L.
Affiliations
  • University of Stirling (GB)
  • UK Centre for Tobacco & Alcohol Studies (GB)
  • UK Centre for Tobacco and Alcohol Studies, UK
  • University of Oxford (GB)
  • University of Nottingham (GB)
  • Queen Mary University of London (GB)
Corresponding author
Bauld, Linda
Venue
Health Technology Assessment
Published
2015-11
Volume
19
Issue
95
Pages
1-156
ISSN
  • 1366-5278 (ISSN-L)
  • 2046-4924
OpenAlex
W2179606242
Cited by
79
References
97
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 11 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 4
FWCI
10.56
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Health Technology Assessment (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Pure (University of Bath) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
  • Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (publishedVersion)
  • The University of Bath Online Publications Store (The University of Bath) (submittedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Stirling Online Research Repository (University of Stirling) (submittedVersion, public-domain)
  • UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Health Technology Assessment programme (09/161/01)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
Keywords
NHS Stop Smoking Services, smoking cessation, long-term abstinence, carbon monoxide breath test, behavioral support, nicotine replacement therapy, self-help materials, client satisfaction, well-being, England, NHS Health Scotland
MeSH terms
Adult, Behavior Therapy, Cost-Benefit Analysis, England, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, State Medicine, Smoking Cessation, Outcome Assessment, Health Care

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-06.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-06.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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