The DOI matches its Crossref record; 131 of the 131 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 24 of the 96 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias?
Open accessAbstract
Confirmation bias is one of the most widely discussed epistemically problematic cognitions, challenging reliable belief formation and the correction of inaccurate views. Given its problematic nature, it remains unclear why the bias evolved and is still with us today. To offer an explanation, several philosophers and scientists have argued that the bias is in fact adaptive. I critically discuss three recent proposals of this kind before developing a novel alternative, what I call the ‘reality-matching account’. According to the account, confirmation bias evolved because it helps us influence people and social structures so that they come to match our beliefs about them. This can result in significant developmental and epistemic benefits for us and other people, ensuring that over time we don’t become epistemically disconnected from social reality but can navigate it more easily. While that might not be the only evolved function of confirmation bias, it is an important one that has so far been neglected in the theorizing on the bias.
Overview
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This theoretical paper critically examines three adaptationist accounts of confirmation bias and proposes a novel “reality-matching” account: confirmation bias evolved partly because it helps people influence social reality so that it matches their beliefs. It argues this can yield developmental and epistemic benefits by making social cognition more tractable, predictable, and cooperative.
Key findings
- The paper proposes the reality-matching (RM) account: confirmation bias helps subjects become and remain convinced about social beliefs, including trait ascriptions, thereby increasing the likelihood of self-fulfilling prophecies (SFPs) that align social reality with those beliefs.
- It argues this is adaptive especially for positive social beliefs, but can also support social conformity and predictability when beliefs are negative, such as stereotypes, even if ethically problematic.
- It critically discusses three alternatives: the argumentative-function account, the group-cognition account, and the intention-alignment account, raising reservations about each.
- Empirical examples cited include Hall et al. (2012), where 69% of participants (N = 160) failed to detect at least one meaning reversal in moral statements; Trouche et al. (2016), where about half did not notice their own arguments presented as another’s and more than half rejected their own invalid arguments; and evidence that about 70% of the general population has a positive self-conception.
Methods
- Conceptual and philosophical analysis: the paper develops an evolutionary account of confirmation bias and compares it with three recent adaptationist proposals.
- It reviews and synthesizes empirical literature from psychology and related fields, including studies on SFPs, self-verification, political belief processing, power and stereotyping, and social versus non-social belief domains.
- No new empirical data are collected; the argument is theoretical, using existing findings as support for the proposed reality-matching account.
Limitations
- The paper states that its criticisms of the three alternative accounts are not meant to be conclusive and may be answerable within their frameworks.
- It states that there are no systematic comparative studies on whether confirmation bias is more frequent or stronger for social versus non-social beliefs.
- The paper notes that SFPs are neither pervasive nor all-powerful and depend on conditions such as target changeability, believability of ascriptions, and power differences; it also acknowledges that the RM account is not claimed to be the only evolved function of confirmation bias.
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Claims the paper makes
85 Own interpretation · 38 No full text of the sources · 11 Partly supported · 7 Supported · 4 No basis given · 3 Supported so far · 3 Couldn’t confirm · 3 Not checked yet · 1 Sources not found · accuracy not yet measured
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Moreover, they subsequently tended to justify positions they thought they held despite just having chosen the opposite.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 2 Is Confirmation Bias Real?
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Hall et al. (2012) source
The Introduction describes participants explaining survey answers after two statements were secretly reversed. The Results (Accepted Trials) report that manipulated verbal explanations supported the opposite of participants’ original positions; 53% argued unequivocally for the opposite position in at least one manipulated trial. (LLM, conf=0.94)
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Surprisingly, 69% of the study participants failed to detect at least one of the changes.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 2 Is Confirmation Bias Real?
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Hall et al. (2012) source
The Results (‘Corrected Trials’) state that 69% of participants accepted at least one of two altered statement/rating relations. The Methods (‘Measures’) define accepted trials as showing no sign that participants noticed the reversal, supporting the paraphrase that they failed to detect at least one change. (LLM, conf=0.94)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“In fueling one-sided information processing to support one's own view, the bias makes people less able to anticipate and adequately respond to their interlocutor's point of view (Dutilh Novaes 2018: 520).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.3 The Intention-Alignment Account
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Dutilh Novaes 2018 source
In §3.2, Dutilh Novaes calls myside bias a form of “mind-reading failure” and emphasizes the importance of appreciating an interlocutor’s perspective. She also argues that anticipating an audience’s responses helps an arguer tailor their arguments. These passages support the paraphrase; our copy does not provide a page number for them. (LLM, conf=0.88)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“While I have sympathies with this proposal, several researchers have noted that the concept of 'group selection' is problematic (West et al. 2007;Pinker 2012).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
What the sources say
- Supportedcites West et al. 2007 source
In “There is no formal theory of group selection,” the authors call the lack of a proper definition a “huge problem” and argue that the concept itself fails to yield a formal theory. The Conclusions also describe the approach as fostering confusion. These passages directly support the broad claim that the concept is problematic. (LLM, conf=0.95)
- Not matchedcites Pinker 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“A significant amount of our beliefs are thus likely to be social ones (Tomasello 2014: 190f).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.2 The Distribution of Social Beliefs and Role of Prosociality in Humans
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Tomasello 2014 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The “Implications for Cognition and Morality” section (page unavailable in our copy) describes human thinking as shaped by social perspectives, shared intentionality, and group norms. That supports the idea that some beliefs are social, but the paper does not establish that a significant amount of our beliefs are social ones. (LLM, conf=0.78)
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Studies suggest that people have a strong readiness to favorably respond to babies' distinctive facial features.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Zebrowitz and Montepare 2008 source
The ‘Impressions Created by Variations in Babyfaceness’ section says facial cues elicit favorable responses to babies and describes a strong prepared response to infantile facial cues. This supports the citing sentence’s hedged claim. (LLM, conf=0.93)
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“as noted, we are ultra-social and ultra-cooperative, and our beliefs about people's social standing, knowledge, intentions, abilities, etc. are critical for our flourishing (Sterelny 2007: 720;Tomasello 2014: 190f;Henrich 2016).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Sterelny 2007: 720 source
- Supportedcites Tomasello 2014: 190f source
In “Implications for Cognition and Morality” (page unavailable), Tomasello says people’s well-being depends on their collaborative partners and that choosing partners wisely matters. The paper also discusses judging others’ intentions, skills, trustworthiness, and reputation, supporting the citing sentence’s broad paraphrase. (LLM, conf=0.88)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Henrich 2016 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“In sustaining SFPs of these conceptions, which might have included various stereotypes or ethnocentric, prejudicial attitudes that we today consider offensive negative trait ascriptions (e.g., gender or racist stereotypes) (Whitaker et al. 2018), confirmation bias would have been adaptive in the past.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Whitaker et al. 2018 source
The citation is attached to the examples of prejudicial attitudes, not to the citing authors’ conclusion about confirmation bias. The Introduction (page unavailable) describes prejudice as negative prejudgment and explicitly includes sexism and ethnic and racial prejudice; it also describes socially transmitted prejudicial beliefs that can sustain groups. (LLM, conf=0.88)
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“given what we know about the cognitive effect of the bias, the more affected you are by the bias, the stronger your belief in your trait ascriptions to A (Rabin and Schrag 1999)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Rabin and Schrag 1999 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section 3, “Confirmatory Bias and Belief Formation” (page unavailable), says the bias leads agents to be overconfident in a favored hypothesis. The Introduction (page unavailable) adds that sufficiently strong bias can drive an agent toward believing more strongly in a false hypothesis. These findings support the proposed tendency, but not the unqualified claim that greater bias always produces stronger belief in a trait ascription. (LLM, conf=0.84)
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Partly supported
The cited sources that could be checked couldn’t confirm or dispute this claim.
In the paper
“In fact, in psychology, attitude strength, especially, in politically relevant domains of thinking has long been and still is widely accepted to increase the kind of selective exposure constitutive of confirmation bias (Knobloch-Westerwick et al. 2015: 173).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Could not verifycites Knobloch-Westerwick et al. 2015: 173 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The available passage is a bibliographic entry, not a discussion of attitude strength or selective exposure. Searches for the claimed relationship and for preferences for attitude-consistent political information returned no substantive passage, so our copy does not establish whether the paper supports the claim. (LLM, conf=0.72)
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Could not verify
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“The account can also explain why confirmation bias is particularly strong in groups in which shared ideologies are at stake (Taber and Lodge 2006;Gerken 2019).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Taber and Lodge 2006 source
- Partly supportedcites Gerken 2019 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The accepted manuscript (pp. 9–10) describes motivated cognition as favoring antecedent views and says identity-protective cognition may explain backfire effects in groups whose social identities are implicated. It does not establish that confirmation bias is generally *particularly strong* in such groups; on p. 19, it cautions against overestimating backfire effects. (LLM, conf=0.82)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“I noted that the concept of 'group selection' is problematic when it comes to traits threatening an individual's fitness (West et al. 2007;Pinker 2012)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
What the sources say
- Supportedcites West et al. 2007 source
In “There is no formal theory of group selection” (page unavailable), the paper says that describing behaviours that reduce an individual’s direct fitness using within- and between-group effects is informal and can cause confusion. This supports the claim that group selection is problematic in this context. (LLM, conf=0.88)
- Not matchedcites Pinker 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“It is also because subjects who are highly confident about their political beliefs are more likely to be able to convince other people of them too (Kappes et al. 2020).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Kappes et al. 2020 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Abstract says people are generally more influenced by opinions expressed with high confidence. But the paper does not establish this specifically for political beliefs, and its results section finds that participants used another person's confidence when the opinion confirmed their own judgment, not when it contradicted it. Page numbers are not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Relatedly, neuroscientific data show that a positive view of one's own traits tends to correlate with a reduced activation of the right inferior prefrontal gyrus, which is the area of the brain processing selfrelated content, when the subject receives negative self-related information(Sharot et al. 2011).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Sharot et al. 2011 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Results section ('Trait optimism, biased updating, and BOLD signal'; page unavailable) reports that participants high in trait optimism showed weaker right-IFG tracking of undesirable estimation errors. The study concerns information about the likelihood of adverse events in one's future, not negative information about one's traits. It also does not establish that the right IFG is an area for processing self-related content generally. (LLM, conf=0.88)
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“That is, optimists about themselves display a diminished sensitivity for negative information that is in tension with self-related trait optimism (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Sharot et al. 2011 source
The Discussion (page not provided) says participants high in trait optimism were worse at tracking undesirable information about their personal future and relatively dismissed information that contradicted their optimism. The Results section likewise reports weaker right-IFG tracking of undesirable estimation errors in high versus low optimists. (LLM, conf=0.91)
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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- Supported
In the paper
“Moreover, they typically involve integrating diverse data from different disciplines (e.g., psychology, biology, anthropology etc.), and thereby contribute to the development of a more complete understanding of the traits at play and human cognition, in general (Tooby and Cosmides 2015).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3 Evolutionary Accounts of the Bias
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Tooby and Cosmides 2015 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“This suggests that subjects are less critical of their own arguments than of other people's, indicating that confirmation bias is real and perhaps often operative when we are considering our own claims and arguments.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Trouche et al. (2016) source
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Crucially, ancestral 'hunter-gather' groups are perhaps unlikely to have displayed a diversity of viewpoints.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, the proposal seems at odds with the finding that the bias inclines subjects to ignore or misconstrue their opponents' objections.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.3 The Intention-Alignment Account
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If human reasoning emerged for argumentative purposes, the existence of the bias remains puzzling.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.1 The Argumentative-Function Account
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
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In the paper
“About half of the participants didn't notice that by the experimenter's intervention, in some trials, they were in fact presented with their own arguments again; the arguments appeared to these participants as if they were someone else's.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Trouche et al. (2016) source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Even today groups often display such homogeneity, as calls for diversity in academia, companies etc. indicate.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The point equally applies to the proposal that confirmation bias was selected for its group-level benefits.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For instance, an anticipated objection is likely to be answered more convincingly than an immediate response from one's audience.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.1 The Argumentative-Function Account
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These points provide reasons to doubt that ancestral groups provided the kind of conditions in which confirmation bias could have produced the benefits that the group-cognition account highlights rather than maladaptive effects tied to group polarization.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“I call this process reality matching and contend that it frequently occurs when the beliefs at issue are about people and social structures (i.e., relationships between individuals, groups, and socio-political institutions).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
In the paper
“One common explanation of this asymmetry is that SFPs typically depend on whether the targets of the trait ascriptions involved accept the expectations imposed on them via the ascriptions (Snyder and Klein 2007).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Snyder and Klein 2007 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“I discuss three recent proposals of the adaptationist kind, mention reservations about them, and develop a novel account of the evolution of confirmation bias that challenges a key assumption underlying current research on the bias, namely that the bias thwarts reliable belief formation and truth tracking.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Due to its role in helping us make social reality match our beliefs, confirmation bias is adaptive, or so I will argue.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4 Towards an Alternative
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Indeed, there is evidence that even today, positive SFPs in individual, dyadic interactions are more likely and pronounced than negative ones.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.2 The Distribution of Social Beliefs and Role of Prosociality in Humans
What the sources say
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“All three proposals of the adaptive role of confirmation bias considered so far thus raise questions.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.3 The Intention-Alignment Account
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Relatedly, the more convinced you are about your trait ascription to A, the clearer your signaling of the corresponding expectations to A in your behavior (Tormala 2016)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Tormala 2016 source
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This makes SFPs of these beliefs more likely than if the ascriber merely verbally attributed the traits without committing to the truth of the ascriptions, or believed in them but readily revised the beliefs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3 From SFPs to Confirmation Bias
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Crucially, if A too is confident that he has T, he will be more likely to conform to the corresponding expectations than if he doesn't believe the ascription, say, because he notices that you only say but don't believe that he has T.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Importantly, SFPs can be pernicious when the beliefs at the center of them capture negative social conceptions, for instance, stereotypes, anxious expectations, fear, or hostility (Darley and Gross 1983;Downey et al. 1998;Madon et al. 2018).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.2 The Distribution of Social Beliefs and Role of Prosociality in Humans
What the sources say
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“This is well established when it comes to one's beliefs about oneself (about 70% of the general population has a positive self-conception; Talaifar and Swann 2017: 4) and one's family members (Wenger and Fowers 2008).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.2 The Distribution of Social Beliefs and Role of Prosociality in Humans
What the sources say
boosted- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If we combine these considerations with the assumption that in ancestral groups of heavily interdependent subjects, positive social beliefs about in-group members (in-group favoritism) are likely to have been more prevalent than negative ones, then there is reason to hold that the SFPs of the social conceptions in the groups at issue were more often than not adaptive.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
- The authors state this as an assumption: In ancestral groups of heavily interdependent subjects, positive social beliefs about in-group members (in-group favoritism) are likely to have been more prevalent than negative ones.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“According to the account, confirmation bias evolved because it helps us influence people and social structures so that they come to match our beliefs about them.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, reality doesn't always remain unchanged when we form beliefs about it.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4 Towards an Alternative
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“SFPs of initially false positive trait ascriptions emerge in many other situations too.They also occurred, for instance, when adults ascribed to children traits such as being tidy (Miller et al. 1975), charitable (Jensen and Moore 1977), or cooperative (Grusec et al. 1978).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Due to that effect, the bias arguably makes an intention alignment with others (especially with one's opponents) harder, not easier.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.3 The Intention-Alignment Account
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Additionally, the better you are at conveying to A your conviction that he has T, the more confident he himself will be that he has that trait (assuming he trusts you) (Sniezek and Van Swol 2001).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Sniezek and Van Swol 2001 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- The authors state this as an assumption: A trusts the ascriber.
In the paper
“they respond more to positive than negative expectations (Madon et al. 1997: 792)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Madon et al. 1997: 792 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“I suggest that confirmation bias plays an important role: it allows subjects to become and remain convinced about their social beliefs (e.g., trait ascriptions) when the available evidence doesn't yet support their truth.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3 From SFPs to Confirmation Bias
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“since subjects tend to strive to think well of themselves (Talaifar and Swann 2017)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Talaifar and Swann 2017 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“I shall contend that a confirmation bias pertaining to social beliefs reinforces our confidence in these beliefs, therewith strengthening our tendency to behave in ways that cause changes in reality so that it corresponds to the beliefs, turning them (when they are initially inaccurate) into self-fulfilling prophecies (SFPs) (Merton 1948;Biggs 2009).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4 Towards an Alternative
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Merton 1948 source
- Not matchedcites Biggs 2009
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In these situations, confirmation bias is highly effective for us to be confident about our beliefs even when there is insufficient evidence or subjective motivation available to us to support them.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Given these points, in 'ultra-cooperative' social environments in which 'tribe' members held predominantly positive social conceptions and expectations about ingroup subjects, positive SFPs should have been overall more frequent and stronger than negative ones.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.2 The Distribution of Social Beliefs and Role of Prosociality in Humans
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
In the paper
“But they do (Nickerson 1998).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5 Supporting the RM Account
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Nickerson 1998 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“That is, interactions between powerful and powerless individuals are conducive to reality matching of the powerful individuals' social beliefs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Since this process is in ultra-social and ultra-cooperative groups more often than not adaptive (e.g., boosting the development of a positive trait in A), in facilitating a social extension of it, confirmation bias is adaptive too.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If we add to these points that SFPs of trait ascriptions were in developmental and educational contexts in ancestral tribal groups more often beneficial for the targets than not, then there is a basis for holding that confirmation bias might in fact have been selected for sustaining SFPs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“For instance, powerful individuals have been found to be more likely to prompt subordinates to behaviorally confirm their social conceptions than relatively powerless subjects (Copeland 1994;Leyens et al. 1999).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“According to the RM account, powerful individuals should display a stronger confirmation bias with respect to the relevant social beliefs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“Secondly, in ancestral groups, many of the social conceptions (e.g., beliefs about social roles, gender norms, stereotypes etc.) that subjects unreflectively acquired during their upbringing and socialization will have been geared toward preserving the group's function and status quo and aligning individuals with them (Sterelny 2006: 148).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Sterelny 2006: 148 source
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By helping subjects make social reality match their beliefs about it no matter whether they favor these beliefs or the latter are sufficiently evidentially supported, confirmation bias is adaptive:”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.3 Summing Up: The Reality-Matching Account
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Notice that when we automatically reinforce any of our views no matter whether we favor them, then our preferences won't be required for and undermine the reinforcement process and the SFPs promoted by it.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.2 Unmotivated Confirmation Bias and Negative Trait Ascriptions
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“when the bias targets positive social beliefs and trait ascriptions, it serves both the subject and the group by producing effects that (1) assist them in their development (to become, e.g., more communicative, cooperative, or knowledgeable) and (2) make social cognition more tractable (by increasing social conformity and predictability).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.3 Summing Up: The Reality-Matching Account
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Since it can operate independently of a subject's preferences, a confirmation bias in each member of the group would have helped the group enlist each of its members for re-producing social identities, social structures, traits, and roles in the image of the group's conceptions even when these individuals disfavored them.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“To be sure, when it targets negative trait ascriptions (pernicious stereotypes, etc.), the bias can have ethically problematic SFP effects.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.3 Summing Up: The Reality-Matching Account
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It only claims that facilitating the alignment of social reality with social beliefs (i.e., reality matching) is one of the important adaptive features for which the bias was selected that has so far been neglected.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Taken together, these considerations provide a basis for holding that confirmation bias was selected for promoting SFPs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.3 Summing Up: The Reality-Matching Account
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Importantly, these beliefs, unlike beliefs about the nonsocial world, are able to and frequently do initiate SFPs contributing to the outlined evolutionary benefits.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Second, it doesn't follow that because confirmation bias also affects beliefs that can't initiate SFPs that it could not have been selected for affecting beliefs that can and do initiate SFPs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As a general tendency to support any of one's beliefs rather than only favored ones, the bias thus enables a social 'ripple' effect in the process of making trait ascriptions match reality.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“For several studies found that SFPs of trait ascriptions occurred only when ascribers were certain of the ascriptions, not when they were less confident (Swann and Ely 1984;Pelham and Swann 1994;Swann 2012: 30).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
What the sources say
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Thirdly, in helping us make social affairs match our beliefs about them even when we don't favor them, confirmation bias also provides us with significant epistemic benefits in social cognition.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Assuming that confirmation bias operates on them nonetheless, the bias will frequently be adaptive in the ways just mentioned.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Confirmation bias operates on swift first impressions in everyday social interactions.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Thus, the more affected you are by the bias, the higher the likelihood of SFPs of the ascriptions because conviction about the ascriptions plays a key facilitative role for SFPs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“and the higher the normative impetus on him, as a cooperative subject, to conform so as to avoid disrupting interactions with you.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“But, as noted, especially in ancestral 'tribal' groups, it would perhaps still have contributed to social conformity, predictability, and sustaining the status quo, which would have been adaptive in these groups (Richerson and Boyd 2005) inter alia by facilitating social cognition.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.3 Summing Up: The Reality-Matching Account
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Richerson and Boyd 2005
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Finally, there is also evidence that confirmation bias is more pronounced with respect to social beliefs compared to non-social beliefs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“and so the lower the likelihood that you will reveal in your behavior a lack of conviction about them that could undermine SFPs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“I suggest that confirmation bias too was selected for making us effective 'nodes' in social networks by inclining us to create social reality that corresponds to these networks' conceptions even when we dislike them or they are harmful to others (e.g., out-group members).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“For, as Richerson and Boyd (2005: 121f) note too, in ancestral groups, selection pressure favored social conformity, predictability, and stability.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Richerson and Boyd 2005: 121f
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“The literature offers many examples of biological features or cognitive traits that were selected for fulfilling a certain function despite rarely doing so or even having maladaptive effects (Millikan 1984;Haselton and Nettle 2006).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
What the sources say
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This matters because if social beliefs are pervasive and SFPs of them significant for our flourishing, then a domain-general tendency to confirm any of our beliefs ensures that we don't miss opportunities to align social reality with our conceptions and to reap the related developmental and epistemic benefits.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This means that such a general tendency, i.e., a confirmation bias, can fulfil the function of facilitating SFPs more frequently than motivated cognitions, namely whenever the subject has acquired a social conception (e.g., as the result of upbringing, learning, or testimony).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.2 Unmotivated Confirmation Bias and Negative Trait Ascriptions
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This coheres with the view that confirmation bias might serve the 'collective' to bring subjects into accordance with its social conceptions (positive or negative).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (a) Self-related Beliefs
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the reality-matching (RM) account, which holds that one of the adaptive features for which the bias evolved is that it helps us bring social reality into alignment with our beliefs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“and that confirmation bias would arguably only lead to the group-level benefits at issue in groups with viewpoint diversity.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This condition is satisfied even in groups with viewpoint homogeneity.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“And, as noted, the resulting group polarization itself can then be adaptive in strengthening the realitymatching process.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“While the socially constructive aspect of confirmation bias highlighted here may not be the main or only feature of the bias that led to its evolution, it is one that has so far been overlooked in the evolutionary theorizing on confirmation bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The RM account offers a different perspective, suggesting that when it is directed at beliefs about social affairs, confirmation bias does often help subjects correct their mistaken conceptions to the extent that it contributes to SFPs of them.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“First, it has greater explanatory power than the three alternative views outlined above.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“in contemporary societies, overall accumulative SFP effects of negative social beliefs capturing, e.g., stereotypes might be stronger than those of positive social beliefs in individual dyadic interactions(Madon et al. 2018).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Madon et al. 2018 source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“And the more widespread a political conviction in a population, the higher the probability that the population will adopt political structures that shape reality in line with it (Jost et al. 2003;Ordabayeva and Fernandes 2018).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
What the sources say
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“One problem with this view was that the bias seems to hinder an intention alignment of individuals by weakening their perspective-taking capacity, and inclining them to ignore or distort people's objections.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“it is to be expected that when it comes to ideological propositions in like-minded groups, confirmation bias is more pronounced.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Rests on an assumption: Subjects have a keen interest in reality corresponding to their ideological conceptions.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The RM account also differs from the intention-alignment view, which holds that confirmation bias evolved for allowing us to synchronize intentions with others.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Empirical data thus corroborate some of the predictions of the RM account.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In short, then, while there are currently no systematic comparative studies on whether confirmation bias is more frequent or stronger with respect to social beliefs, related empirical studies do suggest that when it comes to (positive or negative) social beliefs about oneself, other people, and social states of affairs that the subject can determine (e.g., political beliefs), confirmation bias is”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“But if the bias functions to boost primarily only one's own conviction about particular beliefs so as to facilitate SFPs then 'laziness' in critical thinking about one's own positions (Trouche et al. 2016) shouldn't be surprising.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Trouche et al. 2016 source
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If, as the RM account proposes, confirmation bias was selected for sustaining social beliefs for the sake of reality matching then the bias should be particularly strong when it comes to beliefs about political states of affairs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“SFPs can also accumulate when they occur across different interactions”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Madon et al. 2018 source
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“Brannon et al. (2007) found that stronger, more extreme political attitudes are correlated with higher ratings of interest in attitude-consistent versus attitude-discrepant political articles.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > (c) Non-personal, Social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Brannon et al. 2007 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Probably not a substantial claim. 31
- It may state two separate claims as one. 32
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Since individuals within their social groups depend on their reputation so as to find collaborators, anticipating one's audience's responses should be and have been more adaptive than having a confirmation bias (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.1 The Argumentative-Function Account
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Dutilh Novaes 2018 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section 3.2 argues that anticipating an audience’s objections seems plausibly more adaptive than myside bias, and connects the issue to reputation. It does not establish that this was historically more adaptive or say that reputation matters specifically for finding collaborators; the claim states those points more firmly and specifically than the paper does. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“They can create new perspectives on these traits that may allow developing means to reduce the traits' potential negative effects (Roberts et al. 2012;Johnson et al. 2013).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3 Evolutionary Accounts of the Bias
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Roberts et al. 2012 source
In “The Promise of Applying Evolutionary Psychology,” the authors argue that evolutionary insights can inform efforts to address behavioral problems and provide a framework for practical applications. “New Directions” gives examples of using those insights to reduce conflict and other harmful consequences. The claim appropriately describes this as a possibility, not an established effect. (LLM, conf=0.88)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Johnson et al. 2013 source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“Moreover, these effects don't necessarily take much time to unfold but can happen swiftly in a single interaction (e.g., in interview settings; Word et al. 1974) right after the ascription (Turnwald et al. 2018: 49).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Word et al. 1974 source
- Supportedcites Turnwald et al. 2018 source
The paper says a mindset may be shaped almost immediately upon learning genetic risk. Its Methods describe participants receiving risk information and then completing the test in the same session, supporting the claim that effects can unfold swiftly after an ascription. The cited paper concerns genetic-risk disclosure; the interview-setting example is attributed to Word et al., not Turnwald et al. (LLM, conf=0.87)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Moreover, some researchers have recently re-examined the relevant studies and found that confirmation bias is in fact less common and the evidence of it less robust than often assumed (Mercier 2016;Whittlestone 2017).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 2 Is Confirmation Bias Real?
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Mercier 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Supportedcites Whittlestone 2017
Section 2.2.5 says that, on closer examination, the case for confirmation bias is much weaker than generally appreciated and questions its characterization as persistent and ubiquitous. Section 2.5 concludes that the evidence is less convincing than it might seem, supporting the citing sentence’s summary. (LLM, conf=0.90)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
The cited sources that could be checked couldn’t confirm or dispute this claim.
In the paper
“Dardenne and Leyens (1995) reasoned that when testing a hypothesis about the personality of another individual (e.g., their being introverted or extroverted), a preference for questions that match the hypothesis (e.g., that the subject is introverted) indicates social skill, conveying a feeling of being understood to the individual and contributing to a smooth conversation.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Could not verifycites Dardenne and Leyens 1995 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The available passages are repository metadata and lists of related publications, not the paper’s argument or results. Searches for hypothesis-matching questions, feeling understood, and smooth conversation found no passage addressing those points, so the claim cannot be checked against our copy. (LLM, conf=0.74)
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Could not verify
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“While this overgeneralization tendency often leads to errors, it is thought to have evolved because failures to respond favorably to babies (i.e., false negatives) are evolutionarily more costly than overgeneralizing (i.e., false positives) (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Zebrowitz and Montepare 2008 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The “Impressions Created by Variations in Babyfaceness—Baby Face Overgeneralization” section (page unavailable) links favorable responses to babies with evolutionary importance and says prepared responses to infantile cues may be overgeneralized to non-babies. It does not say that failing to respond favorably to babies is evolutionarily more costly than overgeneralizing those responses. (LLM, conf=0.85)
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Partly supported
The cited sources that could be checked couldn’t confirm or dispute this claim.
In the paper
“Dardenne and Leyens did find that matching questions pertaining to an introvert or an extrovert hypothesis were selected most by high self-monitors: socially skilled subjects displayed a stronger confirmatory tendency than less socially skilled subjects (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Could not verifycites Dardenne and Leyens 1995 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The indexed copy provides a publication record (p. 1229–1239), not passages from the study’s methods or results. Searches for high self-monitors, introvert/extrovert matching questions, and social skill found no passage addressing the claimed comparison, so the claim cannot be verified from this copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Could not verify
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“And this tendency is overgeneralized such that even adults are more readily viewed more favorably, treated as likeable (but also physically weak, and naïve) when they display babyface features.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
What the sources say
- Supportedcites Zebrowitz and Montepare 2008 source
The “Baby Face Overgeneralization” section says adults with babyfaces are perceived as naïve, weak, and warm, and experience social treatment consistent with those impressions. It also describes favorable responses to infantile facial cues being overgeneralized to non-babies. Page numbers were not provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.91)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Since the latter are shaping social reality via their impact on behavior and are more effective in doing so the more convinced people are about them (Kappes et al. 2020)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites Kappes et al. 2020 sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Abstract (page unavailable) says that confident judgments from others can influence behavior, illustrating this with a juror’s verdict and a patient’s treatment decision. It does not establish that ideological conceptions shape social reality or that people’s conviction in their own conceptions makes them more effective at doing so. The Discussion (page unavailable) addresses resistance to changing opinions, not that broader claim. (LLM, conf=0.82)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
In the paper
“One of the issues is that since individuals reproduce faster than groups, a trait T that is an adaptation that is good for groups but bad for an individual's fitness won't spread, because the rate of proliferation of groups is undermined by the evolutionary disadvantage of T within groups (Pinker 2012).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Pinker 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Furthermore, more than half of the subjects who believed they were assessing someone else's arguments now rejected those that were in fact their own, and were more likely to do so for invalid than for valid ones.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Trouche et al. (2016) source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These points equally apply when it comes to considering the origin of confirmation bias.They provide good reasons for searching for an evolutionary account of the bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3 Evolutionary Accounts of the Bias
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Evolutionary explanations might also stimulate novel, testable predictions that researchers who aren't evolutionarily minded would overlook (Ketelaar and Ellis 2000;De Bruine 2009).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3 Evolutionary Accounts of the Bias
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Ketelaar and Ellis 2000 source
- Not matchedcites De Bruine 2009
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“After all, their members traveled less, interacted less with strangers, and were less economically dependent on other groups (Simpson and Beckes 2010: 37).This should have homogenized them with respect to race, culture, and background (Schuck 2001(Schuck : 1915)).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
What the sources say
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Presumably, subjects accepted that they favored a particular position, didn't know the reasons, and so were now looking for support that would justify their position.They displayed a confirmation bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 2 Is Confirmation Bias Real?
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“And even if it is granted that objections depend on private information, they also often derive from obvious interests and public knowledge, making an anticipation of them easy (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.1 The Argumentative-Function Account
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Sterelny 2018 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Prima facie, the bias thus seems maladaptive.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3 Evolutionary Accounts of the Bias
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This can result in significant developmental and epistemic benefits for us and other people, ensuring that over time we don't become epistemically disconnected from social reality but can navigate it more easily.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“While that might not be the only evolved function of confirmation bias, it is an important one that has so far been neglected in the theorizing on the bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Even if confirmation bias is maladaptive for individuals, it might still be adaptive for groups.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.2 The Group-Cognition Account
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Social beliefs often lead to SFPs with beneficial outcomes.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.1 Social Beliefs and SFPs
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“SFPs are, however, neither pervasive nor all-powerful (Jussim 2012), and there are various conditions for them to occur (Snyder and Klein 2007).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“And the operation of the former can be understood as motivated reasoning itself, because it too involves partial information processing to buttress a view that one wants to be true (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 Confirmation Bias and Friends
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Nickerson 1998 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“For there is evidence that, for instance, disrupting the fluency in information processing (Hernandez and Preston 2013) or priming subjects for distrust (Mayo et al. 2014) reduces the bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 2 Is Confirmation Bias Real?
What the sources say
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Granted, even if the bias isn't an adaptation, we might still be able to explain why it is with us today.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3 Evolutionary Accounts of the Bias
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“So confirmation bias is also importantly different from motivated reasoning, as it can take effect in the absence of a preferred view and might lead one to support even beliefs that one wants to be false (e.g., when one believes the catastrophic effects of climate change are unavoidable; Steel 2018).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 Confirmation Bias and Friends
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Steel 2018 source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Unmotivated confirmation bias, however, operates when people process data in one-sided, partial ways that support their predetermined views no matter whether they favor them.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 Confirmation Bias and Friends
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Despite overlapping with motivated reasoning, confirmation bias can thus plausibly be (and typically is) construed as a distinctive cognition.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 Confirmation Bias and Friends
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Moreover, since our ancesteral groups are (as noted above) likely to have been largely viewpoint homogenous, in supporting intention-alignment in these social environments, confirmation bias would have again facilitated group polarization, which is prima facie evolutionarily disadvantageous.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 3.3 The Intention-Alignment Account
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Confirmation bias is typically taken to work against an individual's truth tracking (Mercier and Sperber 2017: 215;Peters 2018: 15), and indeed searching for information supporting one's beliefs and ignoring contradictory data is epistemically disadvantageous when what one takes to be reality is and stays different from what one believes it to be.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4 Towards an Alternative
What the sources say
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
In the paper
“By definition, dysfunctional traits should be more prone to extinction than functional ones (Nickerson 1998).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Nickerson 1998 source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“For instance, they tend to occur only when targets are able to change in accordance with the trait ascriptions, when the latter are believable rather than unrealistic (Alfano 2013: 91f), and when the ascriber holds more power than the ascribee (Copeland 1994: 264f).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Goodwin et al. (2000) found just that: powerful people, in particular, tend to fail to take into account data that may contradict their social beliefs (capturing, e.g., stereotypes) about subordinates and attend more closely to information that supports their expectations.Relative to the powerless, powerful people displayed a stronger confirmation bias in their thinking about subordinates (ibid: 2”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Goodwin et al. 2000 source
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“First, the RM account is compatible with the view that confirmation bias was also selected for adaptive effects related to non-social beliefs.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If, as the RM account proposes, confirmation bias was selected for facilitating the process of making reality match our beliefs, then the bias should be common and pronounced when (1) it comes to social beliefs, that is, beliefs (a) about oneself, (b) about other people, and (c) about social structures that the subject can determine, and when (2) social conditions are conducive to reality matching”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.2 Empirical Data
plaincorrelational- Asserted: fails — The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“This insignificant confirmation bias with respect to beliefs about non-social matters contrasts with findings of a significant confirmation bias with respect to beliefs about people (Talaifar and Swann 2017;Goodwin et al. 2000;Marks and Fraley 2006;Darley and Gross 1983), and, as I shall argue now, social affairs whose reality the subject can determine.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
What the sources say
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Jill's biased processing is thus more adaptive than Jack's approach: a confirmation bias provides her with certainty and simpler information processing that simultaneously facilitates accurate predictions (via contributing to SFPs).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If confirmation bias was selected for sustaining social beliefs for the sake of reality matching then the bias should also be particularly pronounced when it comes to beliefs about other people especially in situations conducive to reality matching.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plaincorrelational- Asserted: fails — The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true.
In the paper
“as mentioned above, motivated confirmation bias is an instance of motivated reasoning (Nickerson 1998)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 4.3.1 Motivated Confirmation Bias and Positive Trait Ascriptions
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Nickerson 1998 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Socially skilled people ('high self-monitors') should thus request 'matching questions', say, in an interview setting, for instance, when testing the introvert hypothesis, an interviewer could ask questions that are answered 'yes' by a typical introvert (e.g., 'Do you like to stay alone?'),confirming the presence of the hypothesized trait (ibid).”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the special role of social beliefs in our species (compared to others species) lends plausibility to the assumption that the costs of the bias' overgeneralizing might be lower than the costs of its failing to generalize.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The costs of the bias' overgeneralizing might be lower than the costs of its failing to generalize.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Similarly, if confirmation bias serves to facilitate social interaction by contributing to a match between beliefs and social reality then the bias should be increased with respect to trait attributions to other people in subjects who care about social interactions compared to other subjects.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
plainconditional- Asserted: fails — The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The RM account, on the other hand, proposes that the bias often facilitates social understanding: in making us less sensitive to our interlocutor's opposing perspective, it helps us remain confident about our social beliefs, which increases the probability of SFPs that in turn make people more predictable and mindreadable.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This was problematic because the bias hinders us in anticipating people's objections, which weakens our argumentative skill and increases the risk of us appearing incompetent in argumentative exchanges.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“And it casts new light on the epistemic character of confirmation bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“When the bias targets positive social beliefs, this serves both the subject and the group, assisting them in their development (to become, e.g., more communicative or knowledgeable) while also making their social cognition more effective and tractable.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If we attend to it, an account of the function of confirmation bias becomes available that coheres with data from across the psychological sciences, manages to avoid many of the shortcomings of competitor views, and has explanatory benefits that help advance the research on the function, nature, and epistemic character of the bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The RM account is preferable to the group-cognition view because it doesn't rely on a notion of group selection but concerns primarily individual-level benefits, and it doesn't tie the adaptive effects of the bias to conditions of viewpoint diversity.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“When it targets negative social beliefs, in promoting reality matching, the bias might contribute to ethically problematic outcomes, but it can then still support social conformity and predictability, which were perhaps especially in ancestral tribal groups adaptive.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For a general tendency to think that one's views rest on good reasons even when one doesn't know them is a tendency to favor and confirm these views while resisting balanced scrutiny of their basis.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For instance, the RM account pertains to the function of confirmation bias, not folk psychology.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It proposes instead that the adaptive SFP-related effects of the bias increase individuals' fitness (e.g., by facilitating their navigation of the social world, aligning them/others with their group's conceptions etc.) and can emerge whenever people hold beliefs about each other, interact, and fulfill social expectations.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, in ancestral, 'tribal' groups of highly interdependent subjects, even accumulative SFPs of, e.g., stereotypes would perhaps still have contributed to conformity and social stability.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If it is a general default tendency to assume that any view that one holds rests on good reasons, then that would again suggest the presence of a confirmation bias.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 6 Conclusion
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Second, it is consistent with, and provides new contributions to, different areas of evolutionary theorizing on human cognition.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The RM account avoids this problem because it suggests that by disregarding objections or counterevidence to one's beliefs, one can remain convinced about them, which helps align social reality (not only, e.g., people's intentions) with them, producing the adaptive outcomes outlined above.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The RM account avoids these problems: if confirmation bias was selected for reinforcing our preconceptions about people to promote SFPs then, since in one's own reasoning one only needs to justify one's beliefs to oneself, the first point one finds acceptable will suffice.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: unclear — It is unclear whether it could be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Yet, it is doubtful that ancestral groups met this condition.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.3 Explanatory Benefits
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The authors state this as an assumption.
In ancestral groups of heavily interdependent subjects, positive social beliefs about in-group members (in-group favoritism) are likely to have been more prevalent than negative ones.
“If we combine these considerations with the assumption that in ancestral groups of heavily interdependent subjects, positive social beliefs about in-group members (in-group favoritism) are likely to have been more prevalent than negative ones, then there is reason to hold that the SFPs of the social conceptions in the groups at issue were more often than not adaptive.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Direct doxastic voluntarism is false.
“Assuming direct doxastic voluntarism is false (Matheson and Vitz 2014), how can they nonetheless be formed and confidently maintained?”
The authors state this as an assumption.
A trusts the ascriber.
“Additionally, the better you are at conveying to A your conviction that he has T, the more confident he himself will be that he has that trait (assuming he trusts you) (Sniezek and Van Swol 2001).”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Confirmation bias operates on swift first impressions in everyday social interactions.
“Assuming that confirmation bias operates on them nonetheless, the bias will frequently be adaptive in the ways just mentioned.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The costs of the bias' overgeneralizing might be lower than the costs of its failing to generalize.
“the special role of social beliefs in our species (compared to others species) lends plausibility to the assumption that the costs of the bias' overgeneralizing might be lower than the costs of its failing to generalize.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Subjects have a keen interest in reality corresponding to their ideological conceptions.
“For subjects have a keen interest in reality corresponding to their ideological conceptions.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“the potential harm of PST is (as will become clearer below) more closely linked to claims about negative than positive features.”
From Science Communication and the Problematic Impact of Descriptive Norms (2023) · cites this paper as Peters [2022]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Rated minor: it would not touch a result — a value no result rests on, a p-value that stays on the same side of the significance level, or a conflict that is clerical, resolved elsewhere in the paper, or outside its own findings.
In the paper
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 1 3
“(Willard and Madon 2016: 133)”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > References
“Interpersonal and intrapersonal expec- tancies (pp. 117-125). London: Routledge.”
Rated minor: it would not touch a result — a value no result rests on, a p-value that stays on the same side of the significance level, or a conflict that is clerical, resolved elsewhere in the paper, or outside its own findings.
In the paper
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
“it is worth taking seriously the possibility that these costs can often outweigh the benefits.”
§ What Is the Function of Confirmation Bias? > 5.1 From Social to Non-social Beliefs
“the costs of the bias' overgeneralizing might be lower than the costs of its failing to generalize.”
Citations
Cites
The case for motivated reasoning.
Kunda, Z. (1990) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.108.3.480 · Cited by 9,022 · cited 1×
“…Harries note that while all of these cognitions have been labeled ‘confirmation bias’, (1)–(4) are also sometimes viewed as components of ‘motivated reasoning’ (or ‘wishful thinking’) (ibid: 45), i.e., information processing that leads people to arrive at the conclusions they favor (Kunda 1990).”
BackgroundThe spandrels of San Marco and the Panglossian paradigm: a critique of the adaptationist programme
Gould, S. J., & Lewontin, R. C. (1979) · Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.1979.0086 · Cited by 7,770 · cited 1×
“We might, for instance, argue that it is a “spandrel”, a by-product of the evolution of another trait that is an adaptation (Gould and Lewontin 1979).”
BackgroundConfirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises
Nickerson, R. S. (1998) · Review of General Psychology · doi:10.1037/1089-2680.2.2.175 · Cited by 7,267
The Psychology of Learning and Motivation
(2021) · The Psychology of learning and motivation/The psychology of learning and motivation · doi:10.1016/s0079-7421(21)x0002-3 · Cited by 5,082
Political conservatism as motivated social cognition.
Jost, J. T., Glaser, J., Kruglanski, A. W., & Sulloway, F. J. (2003) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.129.3.339 · Cited by 4,904
Language, Thought, and Other Biological Categories: New Foundations for Realism
Millikan, R. G. (1984) · doi:10.7551/mitpress/4124.001.0001 · Cited by 4,758
Motivated Skepticism in the Evaluation of Political Beliefs
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“But, as noted, especially in ancestral ‘tribal’ groups, it would perhaps still have contributed to social conformity, predictability, and sustaining the status quo, which would have been adaptive in these groups (Richerson and Boyd 2005) inter alia by facilitating social cognition.”
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Cited by
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The Role of Artificial Intelligence in the Study of the Psychology of Religion
Alkhouri, K. I. (2024) · Religions · doi:10.3390/rel15030290 · Cited by 115
Survey on Machine Learning Biases and Mitigation Techniques
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Generalization Bias in Science
Peters, U., Krauss, A., & Braganza, O. (2022) · Cognitive Science · doi:10.1111/cogs.13188 · Cited by 63
“Many cognitive biases can be adaptive (Gigerenzer, 2018; Peters, 2022).”
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Cognitive bias in generative AI influences religious education
Zhang, J., Song, W., & Liu, Y. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-99121-6 · Cited by 73
Metadata
- Authors
- Peters, U.
- Affiliations
- University of Southern Denmark (DK)
- Corresponding author
- Peters, Uwe
- ORCID
- Peters, Uwe
- Venue
- Erkenntnis
- Published
- 2020-04-20
- Volume
- 87
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1351-1376
- ISSN
- 0165-0106 (ISSN-L)
- 1572-8420
- OpenAlex
- W3018395703
- Cited by
- 236
- References
- 129
- Citations by year
- 2026: 43 · 2025: 72 · 2024: 53 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 68.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Erkenntnis (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- University of Southern Denmark Research Portal (University of Southern Denmark) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Philosophy › Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Philosophy › Philosophy and Theoretical Science
- Keywords
- confirmation bias, adaptive function, belief formation, social influence, epistemic benefits, epistemology of belief
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-10-23, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-10-23 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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