Cited by 219Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances researchFluorine in Organic ChemistryToxic Organic Pollutants Impact

What is the effect of phasing out long-chain per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances on the concentrations of perfluoroalkyl acids and their precursors in the environment? A systematic review

Open access
Land, Magnus, de Wit, Cynthia A., Bignert, Anders, Cousins, Ian T., Herzke, Dorte, Johansson, Jana H., Martin, Jonathan W.·2018·Environmental Evidence

Abstract

Background: There is a concern that continued emissions of man-made per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) may cause environmental and human health effects. Now widespread in human populations and in the environment, several PFASs are also present in remote regions of the world, but the environmental transport and fate of PFASs are not well understood. Phasing out the manufacture of some types of PFASs started in 2000 and further regulatory and voluntary actions have followed. The objective of this review is to understand the effects of these actions on global scale PFAS concentrations. Methods: Searches for primary research studies reporting on temporal variations of PFAS concentrations were performed in bibliographic databases, on the internet, through stakeholder contacts and in review bibliographies. No time, document type, language or geographical constraints were applied in the searches. Relevant subjects included human and environmental samples. Two authors screened all retrieved articles. Dual screening of 10% of the articles was performed at title/abstract and full-text levels by all authors. Kappa tests were used to test consistency. Relevant articles were critically appraised by four reviewers, with double checking of 20% of the articles by a second reviewer. Meta-analysis of included temporal trends was considered but judged to not be appropriate. The trends were therefore discussed in a narrative synthesis. Results: Available evidence suggests that human concentrations of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), perfluorodecane sulfonate (PFDS), and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) generally are declining, while previously increasing concentrations of perfluorohexane sulfonate (PFHxS) have begun to level off. Rapid declines for PFOS-precursors (e.g. perfluorooctane sulfonamide, FOSA) have also been consistently observed in human studies. In contrast, limited data indicate that human concentrations of PFOS and PFOA are increasing in China where the production of these substances has increased. Human concentrations of longer-chained perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids (PFCAs) with 9–14 carbon atoms are generally increasing or show insignificant trends with too low power to detect a trend. For abiotic and biological environmental samples there are no clear patterns of declining trends. Most substances show mixed results, and a majority of the trends are insignificant with low power to detect a trend. Conclusions: For electrochemically derived PFASs, including PFOS and PFOA, most human studies in North America and Europe show consistent statistically significant declines. This contrasts with findings in wildlife and in abiotic environmental samples, suggesting that declining PFOS, PFOS-precursor and PFOA concentrations in humans likely resulted from removal of certain PFASs from commercial products including paper and board used in food packaging. Increasing concentrations of long-chain PFCAs in most matrices, and in most regions, is likely due to increased use of alternative PFASs. Continued temporal trend monitoring in the environment with well-designed studies with high statistical power are necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of past and continuing regulatory mitigation measures. For humans, more temporal trend studies are needed in regions where manufacturing is most intense, as the one human study available in China is much different than in North America or Europe.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This systematic review finds that human concentrations of PFOS, PFDS, and PFOA generally declined after phase-outs, while PFHxS increases have begun to level off and longer-chain PFCAs generally increase or show insignificant trends. Environmental abiotic and biological samples show no clear global declines, with most trends insignificant and underpowered.

Key findings

  • Human PFOS, PFDS, and PFOA concentrations generally declined, and rapid declines were consistently observed for PFOS precursors such as FOSA; previously increasing PFHxS concentrations began to level off. In contrast, limited data from China indicated increasing human PFOS and PFOA, with >40% and >20% annual changes respectively in Shenyang serum.
  • Human concentrations of longer-chain PFCAs with 9–14 carbons generally increased or showed insignificant trends with too little power to detect a trend; no evidence supported significantly declining trends globally.
  • For abiotic and biological environmental samples, there were no clear patterns of declining trends; most substances showed mixed results, and a majority of trends were insignificant with low power. Some coastal surface waters showed significant PFOS and PFOA declines, while many sediment cores showed increasing trends.
  • The review included 92 articles and 227 time trend datasets, extracting data for 42 different PFASs or precursors; PFOS was the most frequently analyzed substance, followed by PFOA.

Methods

  • Systematic review with PICO elements: population/subject was abiotic and biological samples including general human populations; intervention was legislative or voluntary phase-out of long-chain PFASs starting in 2000; comparator was before intervention; outcome was change in concentrations of phased-out substances, precursors, and substitutes.
  • Searches were run in seven bibliographic databases and Google Scholar, plus grey literature, specialist websites, and stakeholder contacts; searches had no time, document type, language, or geographical constraints, but articles in languages other than English, French, German, and Scandinavian languages were excluded during screening. Searches identified 10,170 unique records; 564 were screened at full text; after critical appraisal and removal of redundant articles, 92 articles remained, yielding 227 time trend datasets.
  • Two reviewers screened all articles, with 10% double-screened at title/abstract and full-text levels and kappa tests for consistency; four reviewers critically appraised studies, with 20% double-checked. Meta-analysis was judged inappropriate due to heterogeneity, so results were narratively synthesized and independently reanalyzed using log-linear regression and change-point detection, with statistical power assessed for detecting a 10% annual trend.

Limitations

  • The paper states that searches used a limited number of languages and specialist websites in a limited number of countries, so evidence may have been overlooked, especially from Asia and the southern hemisphere; all identified grey literature was excluded during critical appraisal due to lack of methodological detail. The evidence base itself is limited in Asia and the southern hemisphere, has little data on alternatives to phased-out long-chain PFCAs and PFSAs, and many studies have low power to detect trends due to short study periods and low sampling frequency.
  • The paper also states that different authors used different statistical methods, making trends difficult to compare; there is no proper baseline throughout study periods, so only before-and-after comparisons are possible, not what would have happened without intervention. The review lacked quantitative synthesis because meta-analysis was not feasible.
  • Evident from the text: many extracted datasets were not independent (e.g., same individuals or overlapping studies), and the review’s independent reanalyses sometimes diverged from original authors’ reported trends, illustrating sensitivity to statistical method choice.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1186/s13750-017-0114-y

Cites

140 of 140 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 99 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    For abiotic and biological environmental samples there are no clear patterns of declining trends.

    “For abiotic and biological environmental samples there are no clear patterns of declining trends.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingnone given

    Rapid declines for PFOS-precursors such as perfluorooctane sulfonamide (FOSA) have been consistently observed in human studies.

    “Rapid declines for PFOS-precursors (e.g.perfluorooctane sulfonamide, FOSA) have also been consistently observed in human studies.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingcitation

    Limited data indicate that human concentrations of PFOA are increasing in China where the production of these substances has increased.

    “In contrast, limited data indicate that human concentrations of PFOS and PFOA are increasing in China where the production of these substances has increased.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [60] Zhang L, Liu JG, Hu JX, Liu C, Guo WG, Wang Q, Wang H. The inventory of sources, environmental releases and risk assessment for perfluorooctane sulfonate in China. Environ Pollut. 2012;165:193–8. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Findingcitation

    Limited data indicate that human concentrations of PFOS are increasing in China where the production of these substances has increased.

    “In contrast, limited data indicate that human concentrations of PFOS and PFOA are increasing in China where the production of these substances has increased.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [60] Zhang L, Liu JG, Hu JX, Liu C, Guo WG, Wang Q, Wang H. The inventory of sources, environmental releases and risk assessment for perfluorooctane sulfonate in China. Environ Pollut. 2012;165:193–8. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Findingown data

    Human concentrations of perfluorodecane sulfonate (PFDS) generally are declining.

    “Available evidence suggests that human concentrations of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), perfluorodecane sulfonate (PFDS), and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) generally are declining”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 2
  • May combine two claims. 96
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 67
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Human concentrations of longer-chained perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids (PFCAs) with 9-14 carbon atoms are generally increasing.

    “Human concentrations of longer-chained perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids (PFCAs) with 9-14 carbon atoms are generally increasing or show insignificant trends with too low power to detect a trend.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    A majority of the trends are insignificant with low power to detect a trend.

    “Most substances show mixed results, and a majority of the trends are insignificant with low power to detect a trend.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Human concentrations of longer-chained PFCAs with 9-14 carbon atoms show insignificant trends with too low power to detect a trend.

    “Human concentrations of longer-chained perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids (PFCAs) with 9-14 carbon atoms are generally increasing or show insignificant trends with too low power to detect a trend.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Nine of the twelve PFOS human datasets (75%), all in Europe, had a significant change point, and most change points were detected between 1998 and 2003.

    “Nine of these twelve datasets (75%), all in Europe, had a significant change point and most change points were detected between 1998 and 2003.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    For PFOS in human samples, twelve datasets containing at least 7 time points were evaluated by change point analysis.

    “For PFOS in human samples, twelve datasets containing at least 7 time points were evaluated by change point analysis (Fig. 6).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Among females in Munster, plasma concentrations of PFHpA significantly increased after the change point in 1998, whereas in plasma of males from Munster PFHpA concentrations decreased after the change point in 2002.

    “Among females in Munster, plasma concentrations of PFHpA significantly increased after the change point in 1998, whereas in plasma of males from Munster PFHpA concentrations decreased after the change point in 2002 [146].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingcitation

    The PFOS isomer pattern (linear:branched) in eggs became more linear over time, increasing from approximately 1:1 in year 2000 to approximately 3:1 in year 2010.

    “One inconsistent result is that the PFOS isomer pattern (linear: branched) in eggs has become more linear over time, increasing from approximately 1:1 in year 2000 to approximately 3:1 in the year 2010 [99].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In our independent analysis, no overall statistical temporal trend was detected for PFOA, and the overall dataset was underpowered to detect a significant trend in both males and females.

    “Thus, in our independent analysis no overall statistical temporal trend was detected (Additional file 7, Figure S15), and the overall dataset was underpowered to detect a significant trend in both males and females.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    All other datasets for PFNA, PFDA, PFUnDA and PFDoDA in the US showed no significant changes over the time periods examined but were also all underpowered to detect a trend.

    “All other datasets for PFNA, PFDA, PFUnDA and PFDoDA in the US showed no significant changes over the time periods examined but were also all underpowered to detect a trend.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    For PFHxS in human samples, the same twelve datasets as for PFOS were evaluated by change point analysis.

    “For PFHxS in human samples, the same twelve datasets as for PFOS were evaluated by change point analysis (Additional file 7, Figure S2).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    PFDS was only detected in up to 50% of the samples, and in later years (after 2005) the frequency of detection decreased, which prevented a quantitative temporal trend analysis across the whole dataset.

    “PFDS was only detected in up to 50% of the samples, and in later years (i.e. after 2005) the frequency of detection decreased which prevented a quantitative temporal trend analysis across the whole dataset.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Similar to the trends for PFHxS, PFOA concentrations did not continue to decline and may have risen in 2007-2008, particularly for males.

    “Similar to the trends for PFHxS, PFOA concentrations did not continue to decline and may have risen in 2007-2008, particularly for males.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    One Canadian sediment core study (Kempenfeldt Bay, Lake Simcoe) showed a significantly increasing temporal trend before the change point in 2002 and an insignificant trend (power < 0.8) after the change point.

    “One of the Canadian sediment core studies (Kempenfeldt Bay, Lake Simcoe [33]) showed a significantly increasing temporal trend in a sediment core before the change point (in 2002) and an insignificant trend (power < 0.8) after the change point.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Armitage J, Cousins IT, Buck RC, Prevedouros K, Russell MH, MacLeod M, Korzeniowski SH. Modeling global-scale fate and transport of perfluorooctanoate emitted from direct sources. Environ Sci Technol. 2006;40(22):6969–75. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    No significant temporal trends for PFOS were observed in only 6 datasets of human samples and two datasets of dietary items, but in each case the power to detect a trend was low.

    “No significant temporal trends for PFOS were observed in only 6 datasets of human samples [89, 102, 115, 121, 143], and two datasets of dietary items [99,142], but in each case the power to detect a trend was low.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Change points were detected for PFOS in a snow core from Tibet and in three sediment cores from Canada.

    “For PFOS in abiotic samples, change points were detected in a snow core sampled in Tibet [38] and in three sediment cores sampled in Canada in two separate studies [93] (Fig. 8).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [38] Wang X, Halsall C, Codling G, Xie Z, Xu B, Zhao Z, Xue Y, Ebinghaus R, Jones KC. Accumulation of perfluoroalkyl compounds in Tibetan Mountain snow: temporal patterns from 1980 to 2010. Environ Sci Technol. 2014;48(1):173–81. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [93] Helm PA, Milne J, Hiriart-Baer V, Crozier P, Kolic T, Lega R, Chen T, MacPherson K, Gewurtz S, Winter J, et al. Lake-wide distribution and depositional history of current- and past-use persistent organic pollutants in Lake Simcoe, Ontario, Canada. J Great Lakes Res. 2011;37:132–41. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Based on NHANES data, Calafat et al. reported statistically significant decreases in PFHxS for 2003-2004 compared to 1999-2000 while accounting for age, sex and race/ethnicity; one exception was PFHxS in Mexican Americans, which was not significantly different between years.

    “Based on NHANES data, Calafat et al. [74] reported statistically significant decreases in PFHxS for 2003-2004 (post phase-out) compared to 1999-2000 (pre phase-out) while accounting for age, sex and race/ethnicity (Additional file 8, Figure S5); one exception was PFHxS in Mexican Americans which was not significantly different between years.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    PFOS showed statistically significant declining trends in several surface waters: Tokyo Bay between 2004 and 2006, marine and fresh waters on the west coast of South Korea between 2008 and 2012, and Bohai Bay on the east coast of China between 2011 and 2013.

    “PFOS showed statistically significant declining trends in several surface waters, namely; in Tokyo Bay between 2004 and 2006 [129], in marine and fresh waters on the west coast of South Korea between 2008 and 2012 [95] and in Bohai Bay on the east coast of China between 2011 and 2013 [140].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [129] Sakurai T, Serizawa S, Kobayashi J, Kodama K, Lee J-H, Maki H, Zushi Y, Sevilla-Nastor Janice B, Imaizumi Y, Suzuki N, et al. Temporal trends for inflow of perfluorooctanesulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) to Tokyo Bay, Japan, estimated by a receptor-oriented approach. Sci Total Environ. 2015;539:277–85. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [95] Hong S, Khim Jong S, Wang T, Naile Jonathan E, Park J, Kwon B-O, Song Sung J, Ryu J, Codling G, Jones Paul D, et al. Bioaccumulation characteristics of perfluoroalkyl acids (PFAAs) in coastal organisms from the west coast of South Korea. Chemosphere. 2015;129:157–63. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [140] Wang S, Wang H, Zhao W, Cao Y, Wan Y. Investigation on the distribution and fate of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) in a sewage-impacted bay. Environ Pollut. 2015;205:186–98. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For Norwegian men (40-50 years), a significant increase of FOSA between 1977 and 1985 was followed by a statistically significant decline to 2006, with later concentrations being non-detectable.

    “For Norwegian men (40-50 year) [92], a significant increase of FOSA between 1977 and 1985 (change-point) was followed by a statistically significant decline to 2006, with later concentrations being non-detectable.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In our independent analysis of datasets from Kato et al., no significant temporal trend was detected for PFHxS for males nor females, consistent with our analysis of two other US datasets, all of which had low power to detect a trend.

    “Thus, in our independent analysis of datasets from Kato et al. [103], no significant temporal trend was detected for males nor females (Additional file 7, Figure S2), consistent with our analysis of two other datasets for the US (female serum from 6 cities, and combined males and females from the same 6 cities [120]), all of which had low power to detect a trend.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Among PFHxS datasets with a significant change point, five had change points detected between 2000 and 2005, while the three others had change points between 1985 and 1993.

    “Among datasets with a significant change point, five had change points detected between 2000 and 2005, while the three others had change points between 1985 and 1993 [68,92,145].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Analysis of hen eggs and of the broader Swedish diet between 1999 and 2010 showed no significant temporal trends for PFNA, PFDA or PFUnDA in food during this critical time period, however statistical power was also low in most cases.

    “Analysis of hen eggs and of the broader Swedish diet between 1999 and 2010 showed no significant temporal trends for PFNA, PFDA or PFUnDA in food during this critical time period [99], however statistical power was also low in most cases.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The exception was for PFDoDA, where a statistically significant increase in the Swedish diet was seen, consistent with the rate of increase of serum PFDoDA in adult females from Uppsala, Sweden over a similar time period.

    “The exception was for PFDoDA where a statistically significant increase in the Swedish diet was seen [142], consistent with the rate of increase of serum PFDoDA in adult females from Uppsala, Sweden [85] over a similar time period.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The increasing temporal trend of PFOA between 1983 and 1998 in adult male serum (but not females) from Kyoto, Japan, was similar in magnitude (~10% annual change) to what was observed before the change-points in Stockholm or Norway, but the lack of any samples after year 2000 in Kyoto prevents any extrapolation beyond this time.

    “The increasing temporal trend of PFOA between 1983 and 1998 in adult male serum (but not females) from Kyoto, Japan, is similar in magnitude (~ 10% annual change) to what was observed before the change-points in Stockholm (milk of primiparous women) or Norway (serum of adults), but the lack of any samples after year 2000 in Kyoto prevents any extrapolation beyond this time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In the Greenland Inuit serum study, the authors reported some age-dependent statistically significant temporal trends for PFOS, but after age adjustment no significant temporal trends were evident for PFOS, nor for any other PFAS.

    “While the authors reported some 'age-dependent' statistically significant temporal trends for PFOS, after ageadjustment no significant temporal trends were evident for PFOS, nor for any other PFAS.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In 6 cities in the United States, PFHpA declined significantly in plasma of females, whereas no significant trend was detected for males.

    “In 6 cities in the United States, PFHpA declined significantly in plasma of females, whereas no significant trend was detected for males [120].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In Germany (Halle and Munster), declining concentrations of three PFOS-precursors (MeFOSAA, EtFOSAA, FOSAA) in human plasma were observed after 1995, whereas concentrations of Di-SAm-PAP showed no temporal trend at either location.

    “Also, in Germany (Halle and Munster), declining concentrations of three PFOS-precursors (MeFOSAA, EtFOSAA, FOSAA) in human plasma were observed after 1995, whereas concentrations of another PFOS precursor (Di-SAm-PAP) showed no temporal trend at either location [145].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    For PFOA in human samples, eleven datasets were evaluated by change point analysis.

    “For PFOA in human samples, eleven datasets were evaluated by change point analysis (Additional file 7, Figure S15).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Two other more contemporary datasets from Asia, Hokkaido Japan (2003-2011) and Busan Korea (1994-2008), did not show a significant temporal trend but were both underpowered to detect a trend.

    “Two other more contemporary datasets from Asia, Hokkaido Japan (2003-2011) and Busan Korea (1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008), did not show a significant temporal trend but were both underpowered to detect a trend.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Among sufficiently powered PFHxS datasets with a change point, all (six) showed a significant increasing trend prior to the change point, two showed a significant decrease after the change point, and one study showed no change after the change point.

    “Among sufficiently powered datasets with a change point, all (six) showed a significant increasing trend prior to the change point, two showed a significant decrease after the change point, and one study showed no change after the change point.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The other significant downward trends for PFOS were observed in digested sewage sludge in Hinwil, Switzerland between 1998 and 2008, in a snow core from the Devon ice cap, and in a sediment core in the Haihe River (core S6, dated 1952-2006) in China.

    “The other significant downward trends for PFOS were observed in a digested sewage sludge sampled in Hinwil in Switzerland between 1998 and2008 [136], in a Snow core from the Devon ice cap [91] and in a sediment core in the Haihe River (core S6, dated 1952-2006) in China [149].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [136] Sun HW, Gerecke AC, Giger W, Alder AC. Long-chain perfluorinated chemicals in digested sewage sludges in Switzerland. Environ Pollut. 2011;159(2):654–62. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [91] Hart K, Kannan K, Isobe T, Takahashi S, Yamada TK, Miyazaki N, Tanabe S. Time trends and transplacental transfer of perfluorinated compounds in melon-headed whales stranded along the Japanese coast in 1982, 2001/2002, and 2006. Environ Sci Technol. 2008;42(19):7132–7. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [149] Zhao X, Xia X, Zhang S, Wu Q, Wang X. Spatial and vertical variations of perfluoroalkyl substances in sediments of the Haihe River, China. J Environ Sci China. 2014;26:1557–66. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Three human PFDS datasets for adult German serum (Munster and Halle) showed no significant trends, but were underpowered.

    “Three of these were for adult German serum (Munster and Halle [145]) and showed no significant trends, but were underpowered.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Kato et al. continued the NHANES analysis into 2005-2006 and 2007-2008 and confirmed the initial decline in PFHxS from 1999 to 2005, but by 2007-08 the concentrations had again increased.

    “Kato et al. [103] continued the NHANES analysis into 2005-2006 and 2007-2008 and confirmed the initial decline, from 1999 to 2005, but by 2007-08 the concentrations had again increased.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The two other PFDS datasets were for Uppsala, Sweden, and significant declining trends (>10% per year) were shown in both cases.

    “The two other datasets were for Uppsala, Sweden [62,85], and significant declining trends (> 10% per year) were shown in both cases.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The Tibetan snow core dataset had a change point in 1984, but showed no significant trend and low power over the whole period sampled.

    “The Tibetan snow core dataset had a change point in 1984, but showed no significant trend and low power over the whole period sampled.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Our analysis showed statistically significant downward trends (and in some cases large annual changes) for PFHpA, PFNA, PFDA, PFUnDA and PFDoDA in various products, whereas other products showed no significant trends (the statistical power to detect trends was however low in those cases).

    “Our analysis showed statistically significant downward trends (and in some cases large annual changes) for PFHpA, PFNA, PFDA, PFUnDA and PFDoDA in various products (see Additional file 7, Figures S14, S22, S27, S32, S36 for details), whereas other products showed no significant trends (the statistical power to detect trends was however low in those cases).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    One study was available from Japan, otherwise no other studies from Asia nor from the southern hemisphere were available.

    “One study was available from Japan, otherwise no other studies from Asia nor from the southern hemisphere were available.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    PFOA showed statistically significant declining trends in the same surface waters for which declining PFOS trends were also observed: Tokyo Bay between 2004 and 2006, marine and fresh waters on the west coast of Korea between 2008 and 2012, and Bohai Bay on the east coast of China between 2011 and 2013.

    “PFOA showed statistically significant declining trends in the same surface waters for which declining PFOS trends were also observed, namely; in Tokyo Bay between 2004 and 2006 [129], in marine and fresh waters on the west coast of Korea between 2008 and 2012 [95] and in Bohai Bay on the east coast of China between 2011 and 2013 [140].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [129] Sakurai T, Serizawa S, Kobayashi J, Kodama K, Lee J-H, Maki H, Zushi Y, Sevilla-Nastor Janice B, Imaizumi Y, Suzuki N, et al. Temporal trends for inflow of perfluorooctanesulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) to Tokyo Bay, Japan, estimated by a receptor-oriented approach. Sci Total Environ. 2015;539:277–85. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [95] Hong S, Khim Jong S, Wang T, Naile Jonathan E, Park J, Kwon B-O, Song Sung J, Ryu J, Codling G, Jones Paul D, et al. Bioaccumulation characteristics of perfluoroalkyl acids (PFAAs) in coastal organisms from the west coast of South Korea. Chemosphere. 2015;129:157–63. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [140] Wang S, Wang H, Zhao W, Cao Y, Wan Y. Investigation on the distribution and fate of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) in a sewage-impacted bay. Environ Pollut. 2015;205:186–98. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    FOSA, a PFOS precursor, showed significantly increasing trends in two sediment cores from Canada in two separate studies, which is consistent with the increasing PFOS trends observed in the same sediment cores.

    “FOSA, a PFOS precursor, showed significantly increasing trends in two sediment cores from Canada in two separate studies [70,93], which is consistent with the increasing PFOS trends observed in the same sediment cores.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [70] Benskin JP, Phillips V, St Louis VL, Martin JW. Source elucidation of perfluorinated carboxylic acids in remote alpine lake sediment cores. Environ Sci Technol. 2011;45(17):7188–94. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [93] Helm PA, Milne J, Hiriart-Baer V, Crozier P, Kolic T, Lega R, Chen T, MacPherson K, Gewurtz S, Winter J, et al. Lake-wide distribution and depositional history of current- and past-use persistent organic pollutants in Lake Simcoe, Ontario, Canada. J Great Lakes Res. 2011;37:132–41. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For PFNA and PFDA significant increasing trends were observed before the change point and significant decreasing trends after the change point.

    “For PFNA and PFDA significant increasing trends were observed before the change point and significant decreasing trends after the change point.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    There is some indication of declines of N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamides and N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamidoethanols in the global atmosphere, but FTOHs appeared to be stable or even to have increased between 2006 and 2012.

    “There is some indication of declines of N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamides and N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamidoethanols (precursors of both PFSAs and PFCAs) in the global atmosphere, but FTOHs (precursors of PFCAs) appeared to be stable or even to have increased between 2006 and 2012 [83] (see also AMAP, 2016 [153]).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [83] Gawor A, Shunthirasingham C, Hayward SJ, Lei YD, Gouin T, Mmereki BT, Masamba W, Ruepert C, Castillo LE, Shoeib M, et al. Neutral polyfluoroalkyl substances in the global atmosphere. Environ Sci-Process Impacts. 2014;16:404–13. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [153] AMAP. Assessment 2015: temporal trends in persistent organic pollutants in the Arctic. Oslo: Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme; 2016.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Similar to PFOS, sediment cores tended to show statistically significant increasing temporal trends for PFOA, although there were a few exceptions where no significant trend or a declining trend was observed (Haihe River).

    “Similar to PFOS, sediment cores tended to show statistically significant increasing temporal trends for PFOA, although there were a few exceptions where no significant trend or a declining trend was observed (Haihe River).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For PFNA and PFUnA there was no significant temporal trend before the change point (Power < 0.8) and a statistically significant increasing trend afterwards.

    “For PFNA and PFUnA there was no significant temporal trend before the change point (Power < 0.8) and a statistically significant increasing trend afterwards.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Statistically significant increasing trends were observed for PFNA and PFUnDA until a change point (in 1993) in Lake Opabin cores, after which there was no significant temporal trend observed.

    “Statistically significant increasing trends were observed for PFNA and PFUnDA until a change point (in 1993) in Lake Opabin cores, after which there was no significant temporal trend observed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For PFHpA, PFNA, PFDA and PFUnDA statistically significant declining trends were also observed in marine waters on the west coast of South Korea between 2008 and 2012, but most surface water sampled showed no significant trends for PFCAs other than PFOA.

    “For PFHpA, PFNA, PFDA and PFUnDA statistically significant declining trends were also observed in marine waters on the west coast of South Korea between 2008 and 2012 [95], but most surface water sampled showed no significant trends for PFCAs other than PFOA.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [95] Hong S, Khim Jong S, Wang T, Naile Jonathan E, Park J, Kwon B-O, Song Sung J, Ryu J, Codling G, Jones Paul D, et al. Bioaccumulation characteristics of perfluoroalkyl acids (PFAAs) in coastal organisms from the west coast of South Korea. Chemosphere. 2015;129:157–63. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    PFHxS showed a statistically significant declining trend in marine water on the west coast of South Korea between 2008 and 2012, and PFDS showed a significantly increasing trend in the same seawater.

    “PFHxS showed a statistically significant declining trend in marine water on the west coast of South Korea between 2008 and 2012 [95] and PFDS showed a significantly increasing trend in the same seawater.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [95] Hong S, Khim Jong S, Wang T, Naile Jonathan E, Park J, Kwon B-O, Song Sung J, Ryu J, Codling G, Jones Paul D, et al. Bioaccumulation characteristics of perfluoroalkyl acids (PFAAs) in coastal organisms from the west coast of South Korea. Chemosphere. 2015;129:157–63. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Remote air has been sampled and there are indications that levels of N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamides and N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamidoethanols have declined in the remote atmosphere, but that FTOH levels have increased between 2006 and 2012.

    “Remote air has been sampled and there are indications that levels of N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamides and N-alkyl perfluorooctane sulfonamidoethanols have declined in the remote atmosphere, but that FTOH levels have increased between 2006 and 2012.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Four of the six PFNA change point datasets showed insignificant change both prior and post change point, but concentrations after the change point were significantly higher than before the change point (stepwise increase rather than a continuous increase).

    “with four showing insignificant change both prior and post change point, but the concentrations after the change point were significantly higher than before the change point (stepwise increase rather than a continuous increase)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For the Chinese study, there was no significant temporal trend in one sediment core (core 1) before the change point in 1967, after which a significant increasing trend was observed.

    “For the Chinese study [64], there was no significant temporal trend in one sediment core (core 1) before the change point in 1967, after which a significant increasing trend was observed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [64] Sturludottir E, Gunnlaugsdottir H, Nielsen OK, Stefansson G. Detection of a change-point, a mean-shift accompanied with a trend change, in short time-series with autocorrelation. In: Statistical analysis of trends in data from ecological monitoring (PhD thesis). School of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Physical Sciences, Reykjavik; 2015.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For PFHpA no significant change was observed before the change point and a significant decrease was observed after the change point.

    “For PFHpA no significant change was observed before the change point and a significant decrease was observed after the change point.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    One study included seven herring gull datasets from seven Canadian Great Lakes colonies, with two showing increasing PFNA concentrations and five showing insignificant changes.

    “One of these studies included seven datasets for herring gulls from seven colonies in the Canadian Great Lakes, with two datasets showing increasing PFNA concentrations and five showing insignificant changes [84].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [84] Gebbink WA, Letcher RJ, Hebert CE, Weseloh DVC. Twenty years of temporal change in perfluoroalkyl sulfonate and carboxylate contaminants in herring gull eggs from the Laurentian Great Lakes. J Environ Monit. 2011;13(12):3365–72. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    PFOA showed statistically significant downward trends in several different consumer products, whereas it showed significant increasing trends in food contact paper.

    “PFOA showed statistically significant downward trends in several different consumer products, whereas it showed significant increasing trends in food contact paper (Category H in Additional file 7, Figure S17) [108].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [108] Liu X, Guo Z, Krebs Kenneth A, Pope Robert H, Roache Nancy F. Concentrations and trends of perfluorinated chemicals in potential indoor sources from 2007 through 2011 in the US. Chemosphere. 2014;98:51–7. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For PFUnDA a significant increasing trend was observed before the change point and no observable trend was observed after the change point.

    “For PFUnDA a significant increasing trend was observed before the change point and no observable trend was observed after the change point.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The large majority of included time trends show increasing concentrations or non-significant changes with low power to detect changes.

    “The large majority of included time trends show increasing concentrations or non-significant changes with low power to detect changes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    For 8 of the studies whose authors' statistical analyses were shown, the review could not perform change point or regression analyses.

    “For 8 of these, we were not able to perform change point or regression analyses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Overall, 18 of the 38 PFNA datasets showed increasing trends, two showed decreasing trends, and 18 showed insignificant trends over time.

    “Overall, 18 of the 38 PFNA datasets showed increasing trends, two showed decreasing trends and 18 showed insignificant trends over time”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For PFUnA (in Lake Oesa and Kempenfeldt Bay) and PFTrDA (in all cores) statistically significant increasing trends were observed for the entire time period sampled.

    “For PFUnA (in Lake Oesa [7] and Kempenfeldt Bay [33]) and PFTrDA (in all cores) statistically significant increasing trends were observed for the entire time period sampled.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [7] Smart BE, Dixon DA. Bond-energies and stabilities of poly(perfluoroethers). In: Abstracts of papers of the American chemical society, vol. 207. 1994. p 31–FLUO.

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [33] Armitage J, Cousins IT, Buck RC, Prevedouros K, Russell MH, MacLeod M, Korzeniowski SH. Modeling global-scale fate and transport of perfluorooctanoate emitted from direct sources. Environ Sci Technol. 2006;40(22):6969–75. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The general trend in mammals and birds indicates significantly increasing or insignificant trends, and only insignificant trends in other species.

    “The general trend in mammals and birds indicates significantly increasing or insignificant trends, and only insignificant trends in other species.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The systematic review included numerous studies using archived samples and directly highlights the value of such material.

    “The systematic review included numerous studies using archived samples and directly highlights the value of such material.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Differences between males and females have also recently been observed in Australia and the USA but were not fully understood.

    “Differences between males and females have also recently been observed in Australia and the USA [154] but were not fully understood.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [154] Gomis MI, Vestergren R, MacLeod M, Mueller JF, Cousins IT. Historical human exposure to perfluoroalkyl acids in the United States and Australia reconstructed from biomonitoring data using population-based pharmacokinetic modelling. Environ Int. 2017;108(Supplement C):92–102. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    In Shenyang, China, there was a significant increase in PFOS concentrations in females from 1999 to 2002, whereas it was statistically insignificant in males.

    “In Shenyang, China, there was a significant increase in PFOS concentrations in females from 1999 to 2002, whereas it was statistically insignificant in males.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In this review only two studies from the southern hemisphere were included, one on PFAAs in human populations in Australia and one on PFCA precursors in air in South America.

    “In this review only two studies from the southern hemisphere were included, one on PFAAs in human populations in Australia and one on PFCA precursors in air in South America.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Only one study from China is available; it shows increasing trends for PFOS and PFOA whereas studies in Europe and North America show declining trends.

    “Although there is only one study from China available, this study shows increasing trends for PFOS and PFOA whereas studies in Europe and North America show declining trends.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In Munster, Germany, the trend for PFHpA after a change-point was increasing in females whereas it was decreasing in males.

    “in Munster, Germany, the trend for PFHpA after a change-point was increasing in females whereas it was decreasing in males [145].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [145] Yeung Leo WY, Robinson Shona J, Koschorreck J, Mabury Scott A. Part II. A temporal study of PFOS and its precursors in human plasma from two german cities in 1982–2009. Environ Sci Technol. 2013;47:3875–82. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Taking NHANES data from the USA, there are significant decreasing trends for PFOS in all age groups, but for both females and males the magnitude of the decreasing trend increased with decreasing age.

    “Taking NHANES data from the USA, there are significant decreasing trends for PFOS in all age groups, but for both females and males the magnitude of the decreasing trend increased with decreasing age [144].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [144] Wong F, MacLeod M, Mueller Jochen F, Cousins Ian T. Enhanced elimination of perfluorooctane sulfonic Acid by menstruating women: evidence from population-based pharmacokinetic modeling. Environ Sci Technol. 2014;48:8807–14. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    There are indications that concentrations are increasing in regions with weaker voluntary phase-outs and regulations.

    “there are indications that concentrations are increasing in these regions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Production of PFASs has been picked up in regions with weaker voluntary phase-outs and regulations.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Concentrations of longer-chained PFCAs (PFNA, PFDA, PFUnDA, PFDoDA, PFTrDA, PFTeDA) in humans are generally increasing, with no evidence of significantly declining trends in any global region.

    “Concentrations of longer-chained PFCAs (PFNA, PFDA, PFUnDA, PFDoDA, PFTrDA, PFTeDA) in humans are generally increasing, with no evidence of significantly declining trends in any global region.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    A small number of studies on coastal surface waters close to urbanized areas have shown decreasing concentrations of PFOS and PFOA, but it is unknown whether trends are similar in more remote areas.

    “A small number of studies on coastal surface waters close to urbanized areas have shown decreasing concentrations of PFOS and PFOA, but it is unknown whether trends are similar in more remote areas.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Findingnone given

    It is not always clear what the substitutes are and what to look for.

    “However, it is not always clear what the substitutes are and what to look for.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    Other potential reasons for heterogeneity could not be evaluated based on the available evidence.

    “Other potential reasons for heterogeneity could not be evaluated based on the available evidence.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Most substances show mixed results, and a majority of the trends are insignificant with low power.

    “Most substances show mixed results, and a majority of the trends are insignificant with low power.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In a study on polar bears, concentrations of PFHpA and PFOA in adult females (mothers) decreased from 1998 to 2008, whereas no significant change was observed in cubs.

    “in a study on polar bears [73], it was shown that concentrations of PFHpA and PFOA in adult females (mothers) decreased from 1998 to 2008, whereas no significant change was observed in cubs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [73] Bytingsvik J, van Leeuwen SPJ, Hamers T, Swart K, Aars J, Lie E, Nilsen EME, Wiig O, Derocher AE, Jenssen BM. Perfluoroalkyl substances in polar bear mother-cub pairs: a comparative study based on plasma levels from 1998 and 2008. Environ Int. 2012;49:92–9. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    PFCAs are detected at low concentrations in the ambient atmosphere, where they may be directly emitted and/or formed indirectly by atmospheric oxidation of semivolatile PFCA-precursors such as fluorotelomer alcohols (FTOHs).

    “PFCAs are also detected at low concentrations in the ambient atmosphere, where they may be directly emitted [20], and/or formed indirectly by atmospheric oxidation of semivolatile PFCA-precursors such as the fluorotelomer alcohols (FTOHs) [21].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [20] Barton CA, Zarzecki CJ, Russell MH. A site-specific screening comparison of modeled and monitored air dispersion and deposition for perfluorooctanoate. J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2010;60(4):402–11. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [21] Ellis DA, Martin JW, De Silva AO, Mabury SA, Hurley MD, Sulbaek Andersen MP, Wallington TJ. Degradation of fluorotelomer alcohols: a likely atmospheric source of perfluorinated carboxylic acids. Environ Sci Technol. 2004;38(12):3316–21. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    PFCAs can be transported long distances by rivers and ocean currents and now occur in the open marine environment, including remote oceans.

    “PFCAs can thus be transported long distances by rivers and ocean currents and now occur in the open marine environment, even in the remote Northern Atlantic, Pacific, and Arctic Oceans [18,19].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [18] Benskin JP, Ahrens L, Muir DCG, Scott BF, Spencer C, Rosenberg B, Tomy G, Kylin H, Lohmann R, Martin JW. Manufacturing origin of perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) in Atlantic and Canadian Arctic Seawater. Environ Sci Technol. 2012;46(2):677–85. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [19] Yamashita N, Taniyasu S, Petrick G, Wei S, Gamo T, Lam PKS, Kannan K. Perfluorinated acids as novel chemical tracers of global circulation of ocean waters. Chemosphere. 2008;70(7):1247–55. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The perfluoroalkyl moiety of PFAS molecules is both hydrophobic and lipophobic.

    “The perfluoroalkyl moiety (C n F 2n+1 -) of PFAS molecules is both hydrophobic and lipophobic [1].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [1] Kissa E. Fluorinated surfactants and repellents, vol. 97. 2nd ed. New York: Marcel Dekker, Inc.; 2001.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    After the 3M phase-out of PFOA in 2002, other companies continued to manufacture PFOA mainly through the telomerization process, which produces a pure isomer product, typically the linear isomer.

    “After the 3M phase-out of PFOA in 2002, other companies continued to manufacture PFOA mainly through the telomerization process which produces a pure isomer product, typically the linear isomer [17].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [17] Benskin JP, Yeung LWY, Yamashita N, Taniyasu S, Lam PKS, Martin JW. Perfluorinated acid isomer profiling in water and quantitative assessment of manufacturing source. Environ Sci Technol. 2010;44(23):9049–54. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The ECF manufacturing process produces a mixture of linear (approximately 70%) and branched (approximately 30%) isomers.

    “The ECF manufacturing process produces a mixture of linear (approx.70%) and branched (approx.30%) isomers [17].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [17] Benskin JP, Yeung LWY, Yamashita N, Taniyasu S, Lam PKS, Martin JW. Perfluorinated acid isomer profiling in water and quantitative assessment of manufacturing source. Environ Sci Technol. 2010;44(23):9049–54. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The extreme strength and stability of the C-F bond renders perfluorinated carbon chains resistant to environmental degradation processes.

    “The extreme strength and stability of the C-F bond [7] renders perfluorinated carbon chains resistant to environmental degradation processes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [7] Smart BE, Dixon DA. Bond-energies and stabilities of poly(perfluoroethers). In: Abstracts of papers of the American chemical society, vol. 207. 1994. p 31–FLUO.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Bioaccumulation and trophic magnification occur in mammals and birds and increase with perfluoroalkyl chain length.

    “Bioaccumulation and trophic magnification have been shown to occur in mammals and birds, and increase with perfluoroalkyl chain length [22].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [22] Conder JM, Hoke RA, De Wolf W, Russell MH, Buck RC. Are PFCAs bioaccumulative? A critical review and comparison with regulatory lipophilic compounds. Environ Sci Technol. 2008;42(4):995–1003. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Kappa tests were used to test consistency.

    “Kappa tests were used to test consistency.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Both reviewers extracted data from 10 articles each, checked each other's data extraction, and reconciled any disagreements.

    “Both reviewers started by extracting data from 10 articles each (in total 20 articles were extracted).The reviewers then checked each other's data extraction and reconciled any disagreements.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Studies where the risk of bias was judged to be unclear or high for one or more quality aspects were excluded from the review.

    “Studies where the risk of bias was judged to be unclear (inadequate information) or high (see criteria in Table 1) for one or more of the quality aspects were excluded from the review.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    There is a high level of concern in Sweden that continued emissions of PFASs may cause environmental as well as human health effects.

    “There is a high level of concern in Sweden that continued emissions of PFASs may cause environmental as well as human health effects [61].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [61] Borg D, Håkansson H. Environmental and Health Risk assessment of perfluoroalkylated and polyfluoroalkylated substances (PFASs) in Sweden. Swedish Environmental Protection Agency: report 6513. ISBN 978-91-620-6513-3; 2012.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    No time, document type, language or geographical constraints were applied in the searches.

    “No time, document type, language or geographical constraints were applied in the searches.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Relevant articles were critically appraised by four reviewers, with double checking of 20% of the articles by a second reviewer.

    “Relevant articles were critically appraised by four reviewers, with double checking of 20% of the articles by a second reviewer.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    KEMI raised concerns about increasing concentrations of short-chain substances such as PFBS.

    “In later discussions KEMI raised concerns about increasing concentrations of short-chain substances such as PFBS [62].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [62] Glynn A, Berger U, Bignert A, Ullah S, Aune M, Lignell S, Darnerud PO. Perfluorinated alkyl acids in blood serum from primiparous women in Sweden: serial sampling during pregnancy and nursing, and temporal trends 1996–2010. Environ Sci Technol. 2012;46(16):9071–9. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    PFSAs are fully dissociated anions in environmental media and tend to accumulate in surface waters.

    “PFSAs are fully dissociated anions in environmental media [53] and tend to accumulate in surface waters [31]”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [53] Vierke L, Berger U, Cousins IT. Estimation of the acid dissociation constant of perfluoroalkyl carboxylic acids through an experimental investigation of their water-to-air transport. Environ Sci Technol. 2013;47(19):11032–9. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [31] Armitage JM, Schenker U, Scheringer M, Martin JW, MacLeod M, Cousins IT. Modeling the global fate and transport of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and precursor compounds in relation to temporal trends in wildlife exposure. Environ Sci Technol. 2009;43(24):9274–80. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    Statistical power was evaluated according to a method suggested by Nicholson & Fryer to detect a fixed average trend of 10% a year.

    “Instead, we evaluated the statistical power according to a method suggested by Nicholson & Fryer [63] to detect a fixed average trend of 10% a year, which the above-mentioned parameters affect, and indicated this for each time trend dataset in the results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [63] Nicholson MD, Fryer RJ. The statistical power of monitoring programs. Mar Pollut Bull. 1992;24(3):146–9. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Long-chain PFCAs are being incrementally phased out by the major manufacturers and to some extent are regulated in Japan, Western Europe and the United States.

    “Although long-chain PFCAs are being incrementally phased out by the major manufacturers and to some extent are regulated in Japan, Western Europe and the United States (US) [24,25,27], new manufacturers (largely in continental Asia) have begun to produce long-chain PFCAs and their precursors [28,29].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [24] 3M. Letter to US EPA Re phase-out plan for POSF-based products (226-0600). US EPA Admin Record. 2000;226:1–11.

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [25] 2010/2015 PFOA Stewardship Programme. http://www.epa.gov/oppt/pfoa/pubs/stewardship/index.html.

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [27] Ritter S. Fluorochemicals go short. Chem Eng News. 2010;88:12–7.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    PFSAs are persistent, bind weakly to organic phases compared to other persistent organic substances, bioaccumulate in laboratory studies, and biomagnify in food webs.

    “they are persistent, bind weakly to organic phases [54] compared to other persistent organic substances, bioaccumulate in laboratory studies [55,56] and biomagnify in food webs [57,58].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [54] Higgins CP, Luthy RG. Sorption of perfluorinated surfactants on sediments. Environ Sci Technol. 2006;40(23):7251–6. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [55] Fernandez-Sanjuan M, Faria M, Lacorte S, Barata C. Bioaccumulation and effects of perfluorinated compounds (PFCs) in zebra mussels (Dreissena polymorpha). Environ Sci Pollut Res. 2013;20(4):2661–9. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [56] Lasier PJ, Washington JW, Hassan SM, Jenkins TM. Perfluorinated chemicals in surface waters and sediments from northwest georgia, usa, and their bioaccumulation in lumbriculus variegatus. Environ Toxicol Chem. 2011;30(10):2194–201. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [57] Fang S, Chen X, Zhao S, Zhang Y, Jiang W, Yang L, Zhu L. Trophic magnification and isomer fractionation of perfluoroalkyl substances in the food web of Taihu Lake, China. Environ Sci Technol. 2014;48(4):2173–82. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [58] Kannan K, Tao L, Sinclair E, Pastva SD, Jude DJ, Giesy JP. Perfluorinated compounds in aquatic organisms at various trophic levels in a Great Lakes food chain. Arch Environ Contam Toxicol. 2005;48(4):559–66. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    To check consistency and compliance with inclusion/exclusion criteria, 10% of the retrieved articles were double screened by the other reviewers, and Kappa tests were used to evaluate consistency.

    “To check that the screening was consistent and complied with the agreed inclusion/exclusion criteria, 10% of the retrieved articles were double screened by the other reviewers, and Kappa tests were used to evaluate the consistency of the screening.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In 2000, 3M announced a global phase-out by 2002 of its production of products based on perfluoroalkyl chains containing 6, 8 and 10 carbon atoms, including PFOA.

    “In 2000, 3M announced a global phase-out by 2002 of its production of products based on perfluoroalkyl chains containing 6, 8 and 10 carbon atoms, including PFOA [24].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [24] 3M. Letter to US EPA Re phase-out plan for POSF-based products (226-0600). US EPA Admin Record. 2000;226:1–11.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    PFSAs and their precursors have been manufactured almost exclusively by ECF, which produced a mixture of linear (70%) and many branched (total 30%) isomers.

    “PFSAs and their precursors have been manufactured almost exclusively by ECF which produced a mixture of linear (70%) and many branched (total 30%) isomers [32].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [32] Martin JW, Asher BJ, Beesoon S, Benskin JP, Ross MS. PFOS or PreFOS? Are perfluorooctane sulfonate precursors (PreFOS) important determinants of human and environmental perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) exposure? J Environ Monit. 2010;12(11):1979–2004. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    In 2006, the EU adopted a Marketing and Use Directive (2006/122/EC) that banned the use of PFOS in semifinished products (maximum content 0.005% by weight) as of summer 2008.

    “In 2006 the EU adopted a Marketing and Use Directive (2006/122/EC) that banned the use of PFOS in semifinished products (maximum content of PFOS: 0.005% by weight) as of summer 2008.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The comprehensiveness of the searches was tested by cross-checking the obtained records with a list of papers the review team thought should be found and with bibliographies in relevant review articles.

    “The comprehensiveness of the searches was tested by cross-checking the obtained records with (1) a list of papers that the review team a priori thought should be found by the searches, and (2) bibliographies in relevant review articles (see Additional file 2).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    At the title and abstract level all retrieved articles were screened by two reviewers.

    “At the title and abstract level all retrieved articles were screened by two reviewers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    We chose not to perform meta-analyses because there were too many sources of heterogeneity to allow for any meaningful meta-analysis.

    “In contrast to what was set out in the protocol [9], we chose not to perform meta-analyses.This is because there were too many sources of heterogeneity to allow for any meaningful meta-analysis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [9] Land M, de Wit CA, Cousins IT, Herzke D, Johansson J, Martin JW. What is the effect of phasing out long-chain per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances on the concentrations of perfluoroalkyl acids and their precursors in the enironment? A systematic review protocol. Environ Evid. 2015;4(3):1–13.

      Not checked in the free run.

    • The authors state this as an assumption: There is a time lag between phase-out interventions and measurable effects on PFAS concentrations in the environment.
    • Rests on an assumption: The relative importance of direct and indirect sources of PFCAs to the environment is temporally variable, specific to each substance, and not well quantified.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    In 2009, PFOS and related substances derived from POSF were listed under Annex B of the Stockholm Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants.

    “In 2009, PFOS, and related substances derived from POSF, were listed under Annex B (restriction of production and use) of the Stockholm Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    PFOA, its ammonium salt APFO, and C9-C14 PFCAs were included in the Candidate list of substances of very high concern under REACH.

    “PFOA, its ammonium salt ammonium perfluorooctanoate (APFO), and C9-C14 PFCAs were included in the Candidate list of substances of very high concern and under the European chemicals regulation, REACH [26].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] ECHA. Candidate list of substances of very high concern for authorisation. 2014. http://echa.europa.eu/web/guest/candidate-list-table.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In 2000, the major US manufacturer of PFOS, 3M, announced it would cease production of C6, C8 and C10 PASF-based products and completed the phase-out in 2002.

    “In 2000 the major manufacturer of PFOS in the US (3M) announced they would cease the production of C6, C8 and C10 perfluoroalkane sulfonyl fluoride (PASF)based products and completed the phase out in 2002 [59].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [59] Olsen GW, Mair DC, Church TR, Ellefson ME, Reagen WK, Boyd TM, Herron RM, Medhdizadehkashi Z, Nobilett JB, Rios JA, et al. Decline in perfluorooctanesulfonate and other polyfluoroalkyl chemicals in American Red Cross adult blood donors, 2000–2006. Environ Sci Technol. 2008;42(13):4989–95. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    According to Zhang et al., the production volume of PFOS in China increased from 30 tonnes in 2002 to 247 tonnes in 2006.

    “according to Zhang et al. [60] the production volume of PFOS increased from 30 tonnes in 2002 to 247 tonnes in 2006.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [60] Zhang L, Liu JG, Hu JX, Liu C, Guo WG, Wang Q, Wang H. The inventory of sources, environmental releases and risk assessment for perfluorooctane sulfonate in China. Environ Pollut. 2012;165:193–8. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Dual screening of 10% of the articles was performed at title/abstract and full-text levels by all authors.

    “Dual screening of 10% of the articles was performed at title/abstract and full-text levels by all authors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The critical appraisal tool checklist highlights five aspects of quality directly affecting internal validity: selection bias, accuracy of dating of samples, sample integrity, analytical quality, and study design.

    “The checklist highlights five aspects of quality directly affecting the internal validity of a temporal PFAS trend study, including (1) selection bias (2) accuracy of dating of samples (3) sample integrity, (4) analytical quality, and (5) study design.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    An insignificant trend does not necessarily mean that there is no true trend.

    “It is especially important to note that an insignificant trend does not necessarily mean that there is no 'true' trend.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Articles with conflicting judgements and those for which a reviewer was uncertain during single critical appraisal were discussed by the entire review team before any decision was made.

    “Articles with conflicting judgements and those for which a reviewer was uncertain during single critical appraisal were discussed by the entire review team before any decision was made.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Critical appraisal of relevant studies was carried out by four reviewers.

    “Critical appraisal of relevant studies was carried out by four reviewers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Repeatability was tested qualitatively.

    “Repeatability was tested qualitatively.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Included studies were divided into Medium and Low risk of bias groups and compared qualitatively for systematic differences in study results.

    “To be able to evaluate the effects of including doubtful cases (where the risk of bias potentially is high) we divided the included studies into two groups.Studies where a majority of the quality aspects were doubtful were categorized as Medium risk of bias, and studies where a majority of the aspects had low risk of bias were categorized as Low risk of bias.These two groups were then compared and”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisereasoning

    Due to the historical dominance of POSF-based products, PFOS is usually the most abundant PFSA found.

    “Due to the dominance of POSF-based products historically, PFOS is usually the most abundant PFSA found.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    To ensure high consistency between reviewers, 20% of the included articles after full text screening were double-checked and Kappa tests were used to test consistency.

    “To ensure high consistency between the reviewers, 20% of the included articles after full text screening were double-checked and Kappa tests were used to test the consistency.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Sources of PFSAs include release during manufacture and use, as well as from the degradation of various precursor substances.

    “Similar to PFCAs, sources of PFSAs include release during manufacture and use, as well as from the degradation of various precursor substances [5,31].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [5] Paul AG, Jones KC, Sweetman AJ. A first global production, emission, and environmental inventory for perfluorooctane sulfonate. Environ Sci Technol. 2009;43(2):386–92. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [31] Armitage JM, Schenker U, Scheringer M, Martin JW, MacLeod M, Cousins IT. Modeling the global fate and transport of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and precursor compounds in relation to temporal trends in wildlife exposure. Environ Sci Technol. 2009;43(24):9274–80. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Full-text screening was conducted in the same manner as title/abstract screening, including double screening and kappa tests.

    “Screening at the full-text level was conducted in the same manner as at the title and abstract level, including double screening and kappa tests.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    PFOS and various salts were manufactured for direct use in products such as aqueous film-forming foams (AFFFs) for firefighting and mist suppressants in acid baths used for metal plating.

    “PFOS and various salts were manufactured for direct use in a variety of products {e.g.aqueous film-forming foams (AFFFs) for firefighting and mist suppressants in acid baths used for metal plating (see Paul et al. [5])}.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] Paul AG, Jones KC, Sweetman AJ. A first global production, emission, and environmental inventory for perfluorooctane sulfonate. Environ Sci Technol. 2009;43(2):386–92. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Commercial use of PFOS and its salts started around 1970, and estimated uses and emissions of PFSAs and their precursors steadily rose to the end of the twentieth century.

    “Commercial use of PFOS and its salts started around 1970 [5] and estimated uses and emissions of PFSAs and their precursors steadily rose to the end of the tweentienth century [5].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] Paul AG, Jones KC, Sweetman AJ. A first global production, emission, and environmental inventory for perfluorooctane sulfonate. Environ Sci Technol. 2009;43(2):386–92. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    PFOS and other PFSAs are widely distributed in the global environment, biota, and humans.

    “PFOS and other PFSAs are widely distributed in the global environment [34][35][36][37][38], biota [39][40][41][42][43][44] and humans [15,[45][46][47][48][49][50][51][52].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [34] Benskin JP, Muir DCG, Scott BF, Spencer C, De Silva AO, Kylin H, Martin JW, Morris A, Lohmann R, Tomy G, et al. Perfluoroalkyl acids in the Atlantic and Canadian Arctic Oceans. Environ Sci Technol. 2012;46(11):5815–23. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [35] Filipovic M, Berger U, McLachlan MS. Mass balance of perfluoroalkyl acids in the Baltic Sea. Environ Sci Technol. 2013;47(9):4088–95. source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [36] Hu JY, Yu J, Tanaka S, Fujii S. Perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) in water Environment of Singapore. Water Air Soil Pollut. 2011;216(1–4):179–91.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In 2006, eight major PFCA, fluoropolymer and fluorotelomer manufacturers joined the US EPA 2010/15 Stewardship Program to work towards the elimination of long-chain PFCAs and their precursors from emissions and products by 2015.

    “In 2006, eight major PFCA, fluoropolymer and fluorotelomer manufacturers joined the US EPA 2010/15 Stewardship Program to work towards the elimination of long-chain PFCAs and their precursors from emissions and products by 2015 [25].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [25] 2010/2015 PFOA Stewardship Programme. http://www.epa.gov/oppt/pfoa/pubs/stewardship/index.html.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Meta-analysis of included temporal trends was considered but judged to not be appropriate.

    “Meta-analysis of included temporal trends was considered but judged to not be appropriate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Some short-chain alternatives such as perfluorobutyl- or hexyl-based substances are persistent but do not bioaccumulate to the same extent because they are excreted rapidly from the organisms studied.

    “Some short-chain alternatives (e.g.perfluorobutyl-or hexyl-based) are also persistent, but do not bioaccumulate to the same extent, as they are excreted rapidly from the organisms studied [23].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [23] Russell MH, Nilsson H, Buck RC. Elimination kinetics of perfluorohexanoic acid in humans and comparison with mouse, rat and monkey. Chemosphere. 2013;93(10):2419–25. source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Two authors screened all retrieved articles.

    “Two authors screened all retrieved articles.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Data were extracted and recorded by two of the reviewers.

    “Data were extracted and recorded by two of the reviewers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    This suggested that the 3M Co. phase out had resulted in lower human exposure to PFOA in the US.

    “This suggested that the 3M Co. phase out had resulted in lower human exposure to PFOA in the US, however Kato et al. [103] continued the NHANES analysis for PFOA into 2005-2006 and 2007-2008.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The 3M Co. phase-out of PFOS and related chemicals occurred by 2002.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Although not statistically significant, the onset of the apparent PFBS decline corresponds with the phase-out of perfluorooctanesulfonyl chemistries, suggesting that the low levels of PFBS (pre 2001) may be due to the presence of residual PFBS in PFOS-containing products.

    “Although not statistically significant, the onset of this apparent decline corresponds with the phase-out of perfluorooctanesulfonyl chemistries, suggesting that the low levels of PFBS (pre 2001) may be due to the presence of residual PFBS in PFOS-containing products.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The 3M Co. phase-out of PFOS and related chemicals occurred by 2002.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The overall weight of evidence for datasets from Europe (Germany, Sweden, Norway) was that longer-chained PFCAs continue to increase, or have increased and have stabilized after a significant change point.

    “The overall weight of evidence for datasets from Europe (Germany, Sweden, Norway) was that longerchained PFCAs continue to increase, or have increased and have stabilized after a significant change point.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    The corresponding decrease for PFOS over the same period was 22%, and the overall temporal trends looked very similar for PFOA and PFOS, suggesting that PFOA exposure in this Norwegian population was largely of electrochemical origin.

    “The corresponding decrease for PFOS over the same period was 22%, and the overall temporal trends looked very similar for PFOA and PFOS, suggesting that PFOA exposure in this Norwegian population was largely of electrochemical origin.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    These results are generally in line with the results from the change point and regression analyses.

    “These results are generally in line with the results from the change point and regression analyses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These reductions in levels in consumer products have not apparently led to a reduction in the levels of PFCAs in digested sewage sludge where no temporal trends have been observed (the only decline was for PFOS).

    “These reductions in levels in consumer products have not apparently led to a reduction in the levels of PFCAs in digested sewage sludge where no temporal trends have been observed (the only decline was for PFOS).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These studies showed that there may have been recent reductions in releases of PFOS and PFOA that have led to statistically significant declines in surface water concentrations.

    “These studies showed that there may have been recent reductions in releases of PFOS and PFOA that have led to statistically significant declines in surface water concentrations.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    However, these observed declining temporal trends in PFOS and PFOA in surface waters may not have occurred in remote waters because water bodies remote from emission sources are expected to have a slower time response compared to water bodies nearer to sources.

    “However, these observed declining temporal trends in PFOS and PFOA in surface waters may not have occurred in remote waters because water bodies remote from emission sources are expected to have a slower time response compared to water bodies nearer to sources.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    It is possible that this review has overlooked some evidence, especially from Asia and the southern hemisphere.

    “It is therefore possible that this review has overlooked some evidence, especially from Asia and the southern hemisphere.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    In biological (non-human) and abiotic samples, study location may also be a reason for heterogeneity, but no clear patterns could be seen from the available evidence.

    “In biological (non-human) and abiotic samples the study location may also be a reason for heterogeneity, but no clear patterns could be seen from the available evidence.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Concentration trends in regions where interventions have not been implemented (e.g. China) may be regarded as a post-intervention baseline, but here data are very sparse and they may be affected by the interventions implemented elsewhere.

    “Concentration trends in regions where interventions have not been implemented (e.g.China) may be regarded as a post-intervention baseline, but here data are very sparse and they may be affected by the interventions implemented elsewhere.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The interventions are widely implemented and potentially have a global impact.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For humans, the exposure to some PFASs through commercial products and food contact paper has probably decreased, resulting in declining concentrations of these substances in humans.

    “For humans, the exposure to some PFASs through commercial products and food contact paper has probably decreased, resulting in declining concentrations of these substances in humans.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Different PFASs have different production histories and properties.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Since the interventions are widely implemented and potentially have a global impact, it is only possible to compare trends or concentrations before and after an intervention (BA study design), but there is no way to know what the concentrations or trends would have been in the absence of any intervention (CI or BACI study design).

    “Since the interventions are widely implemented and potentially have a global impact it is only possible to compare trends or concentrations before and after an intervention (BA study design), but there is no way to know what the concentrations or trends would have been in the absence of any intervention (CI or BACI study design).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The interventions are widely implemented and potentially have a global impact.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Considering a particular substance, one reason for heterogeneity in study results may be related to differences in the route of exposure to PFASs.

    “Considering a particular substance, one reason for heterogeneity in study results may be related to differences in the route of exposure to PFASs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Different PFASs have different production histories and properties.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Companies bound to the terms of the Stewardship program represent only 69% of the global capacity for fluoropolymer production, with the other 31% occurring mainly in China, India and Russia by non-signatory companies.

    “companies bound to the terms of the Stewardship program represent only 69% of the global capacity for fluoropolymer production, with the other 31% occurring mainly in China, India and Russia by non-signatory companies [155].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [155] European Chemical Agency. Annex XV restriction report. Proposal for a restriction. Substance name: perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA), PFOA salts and PFOA-related substances. 2014.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    If these substances are replaced by other equally harmful substances very little is gained.

    “If these substances are replaced by other equally harmful substances very little is gained.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    There was often also considerable between year variations, which is always a problem with wildlife studies, as there are many confounders that can affect contaminant levels.

    “There was often also considerable between year variations, which is always a problem with wildlife studies, as there are many confounders that can affect contaminant levels.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The review used a consistent and objective method.

    “we have used a consistent and objective method.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For humans, exposure to these PFASs through commercial products and food contact paper has probably decreased, resulting in declining concentrations in human blood serum.

    “For humans, exposure to these PFASs through commercial products and food contact paper has probably decreased, resulting in declining concentrations in human blood serum.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Different PFASs have different production histories and properties.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In January 2016 the United States Food and Drug Administration banned C8-C18 polyfluoroalkyl phosphate esters (PAPs) in food contact applications.

    “in January 2016 the United States Food and Drug Administration banned C8-C18 polyfluoroalkyl phosphate esters (PAPs) in food contact applications [156].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [156] US Food and Drug Administration. Federal register, 21 CFR Part 176. [Docket No. FDA–2015–F–0714] indirect food additives: paper and paperboard components. 2016.

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Another limitation of this review is the lack of quantitative synthesis, but the authors judged it was not feasible to conduct meta-analyses.

    “Another limitation of this review is the lack of quantitative synthesis, but for reasons explained in the Methods section we judged it was not feasible to conduct meta-analyses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The vast majority of reliable high quality data can be found in the academic literature and grey literature is less important for the question reviewed here.

    “We believe that the vast majority of reliable high quality data can be found in the academic literature and that grey literature is less important for the question reviewed here.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Due to the very limited degradation of PFAS in the environment, ecosystems will be exposed to already released PFASs for a long time and no clear impact on the environmental concentrations can yet be observed.

    “due to the very limited degradation of PFAS in the environment, ecosystems will be exposed to already released PFASs for a long time and no clear impact on the environmental concentrations can yet be observed.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Due to very limited degradation of PFAS in the environment, ecosystems continue to be exposed to PFASs already released.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Continued monitoring of PFOA and longer-chained PFCAs well beyond 2015 will allow the impact of the EPA 2010/2015 Stewardship Program to be properly evaluated.

    “Continued monitoring of PFOA and longer-chained PFCAs well beyond 2015 will allow the impact of the EPA 2010/2015 Stewardship Program to be properly evaluated.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    There are indications that the implemented phase-outs and regulations have had a positive effect, but not yet universally and not for all PFASs.

    “there are indications that the implemented phase-outs and regulations have had a positive effect, but not yet universally and not for all PFASs.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Analysis of multiple PFASs (i.e. multiple PFAS classes, homologues within a class and their structural isomers) in the same temporal sample sets can provide useful information on sources.

    “analysis of multiple PFASs (i.e.multiple PFAS classes, homologues within a class and their structural isomers) in the same temporal sample sets can provide useful information on sources.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    As the temporal and spatial trends for most long-chain PFCAs were similar and showed increasing trends, even in the few terrestrial species studied, a widespread atmospheric transport of these or precursors that are degraded to these cannot be ruled out but needs to be confirmed.

    “as the temporal and spatial trends for most long-chain PFCAs were similar and showed increasing trends, even in the few terrestrial species studied, a widespread atmospheric transport of these or precursors that are degraded to these cannot be ruled out but needs to be confirmed.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    All identified grey literature was excluded during critical appraisal due to lack of detail in descriptions of methods, which could result in overlooking parts of the evidence base.

    “All identified grey literature was excluded during critical appraisal due to lack of detail in descriptions of methods, which also could result in overlooking parts of the evidence base.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
147 of 147
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The effect of phase-outs on PFAS concentrations will be smaller in regions close to present sources than in regions close to past sources where interventions have been implemented.

    “Since the interventions are not yet implemented globally, it is reasonable to assume that the effect will be smaller in regions close to present sources compared to regions close to past sources where the interventions have been implemented.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    There is a time lag between phase-out interventions and measurable effects on PFAS concentrations in the environment.

    “It is reasonable to assume that there is a time lag between the interventions and any measurable effects in the environment.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The relative importance of direct and indirect sources of PFCAs to the environment is temporally variable, specific to each substance, and not well quantified.

    “Overall, the direct and indirect sources (i.e.precursor degradation) of PFCAs to the environment are various, and the relative importance of each source is temporally variable, specific to each substance and not well quantified.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Plasma and serum are equivalent matrices for monitoring time trends of PFASs.

    “Plasma and serum are considered equivalent matrices for monitoring time trends of PFASs.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The 3M Co. phase-out of PFOS and related chemicals occurred by 2002.

    “Overall, the declining trends for PFOS generally coincide with the timing of the 3M Co. phase out by 2002.”
    “Overall, most temporal data for PFOS precursors in human samples show declining concentrations consistent with the time of the 3M Co. phase-out of these chemicals by 2002.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Temporal trends in PFAS concentrations can be used to assess the effect of phasing out long-chain PFASs.

    “Thus, PFOS concentrations do not yet appear to be declining on a global scale after the phase outs.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The change point analysis method used in this review is valid for detecting changes in temporal trends.

    “For PFOS in abiotic samples, change points were detected in a snow core sampled in Tibet [38] and in three sediment cores sampled in Canada in two separate studies [93] (Fig. 8).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The included studies' temporal trend data are comparable across studies and can be synthesized.

    “This illustrates the difficulties in choosing proper statistical methods in temporal trend studies that make it possible to compare the results of different studies.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The phase-out of long-chain PFASs is the main driver of observed temporal trends in PFAS concentrations.

    “Thus, PFOS concentrations do not yet appear to be declining on a global scale after the phase outs.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Different PFASs have different production histories and properties.

    “different PFASs have different production histories and properties.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The phase-outs and regulations have not been implemented in China, but the production of these substances has rather increased during recent years.

    “The phase-outs and regulations have not been implemented in China, but the production of these substances has rather increased during recent years”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Production of PFASs has been picked up in regions with weaker voluntary phase-outs and regulations.

    “production of PFASs has been picked up in regions with weaker voluntary phase-outs and regulations”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Due to very limited degradation of PFAS in the environment, ecosystems continue to be exposed to PFASs already released.

    “due to the very limited degradation of PFAS in the environment, ecosystems continue to be exposed to PFASs already released”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The stewardship program consisted of gradual phase-outs until 2015.

    “the stewardship program consisted of gradual phase-outs until 2015”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The interventions are widely implemented and potentially have a global impact.

    “the interventions are widely implemented and potentially have a global impact”
15 of 15

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • A systematic review suggested increasing trends for PFOS and some PFCAs in sediment core samples in the period 1850-2013.

    “A systematic review evaluated temporal trends and suggested increasing trends for PFOS and some PFCAs in sediment core samples in the period 1850e2013 [11].”
  • A systematic review of temporal trends reported a decrease in blood PFOS and PFOA levels in human samples from the Northern hemisphere, despite environmental media showing no clear decreasing trend.

    “A systematic review of temporal trends reported a decrease in blood PFOS and PFOA levels in human samples from the Northern hemisphere, despite the fact that environmental media have shown no such clear decreasing trend [11].”
  • In China, there has been an increasing trend in PFAS levels in both human blood and wildlife samples, close to sites where PFAS are currently manufactured.

    “In China, there has been an increasing trend in PFAS levels in both human blood and wildlife samples, close to sites where PFAS are currently manufactured [11,78].”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • PFOA analysis groups total 24, not 25

    Minor

    After replicate removal, the text reports 15 change-point and 9 regression datasets, totaling 24, but subsequently calls the total 25.

    Reported 25 · recomputed 24

  • Table 2 inland total does not match its categories

    Minor

    Table 2 lists 19 inland abiotic and 18 inland biota datasets, which total 37, not the reported inland total of 40.

    Reported 40 · recomputed 37

  • PFHxS decline count is given as both three and four

    Minor

    The PFHxS results first count four decreasing datasets, but the same summary later says only three datasets showed declines.

  • Southern-hemisphere study count differs between sections

    Minor

    The results say only one southern-hemisphere study was included, while the research implications say two were included.

  • FOSA analysis groups total 24, not 22

    Minor

    The stated 14 change-point datasets and 10 regression datasets total 24, whereas the paragraph says it evaluates 22 datasets.

    Reported 22 · recomputed 24

5 of 5

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 141 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 11

  1. Kissa E. Fluorinated surfactants and repellents, vol. 97. 2nd ed. New York: Marcel Dekker, Inc.; 2001.
  2. Smart BE, Dixon DA. Bond-energies and stabilities of poly(perfluoroethers). In: Abstracts of papers of the American chemical society, vol. 207. 1994. p 31–FLUO.
  3. Land M, de Wit CA, Cousins IT, Herzke D, Johansson J, Martin JW. What is the effect of phasing out long-chain per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances on the concentrations of perfluoroalkyl acids and their precursors in the enironment? A systematic review protocol. Environ Evid. 2015;4(3):1–13.
  4. EFSA. Opinion of the scientific panel on contaminants in the food chain on perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and their salts. EFSA J. 2008;653:1–131.
  5. 3M. Letter to US EPA Re phase-out plan for POSF-based products (226-0600). US EPA Admin Record. 2000;226:1–11.
  6. Ritter S. Fluorochemicals go short. Chem Eng News. 2010;88:12–7.
  7. Johansson JH. Sources, transport and fate of perfluoroalkyl acids in the atmosphere. PhD thesis. Stockholm: Stockholm University; 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-142116. ISBN 978-91-7649-700-5.
  8. Hu JY, Yu J, Tanaka S, Fujii S. Perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) in water Environment of Singapore. Water Air Soil Pollut. 2011;216(1–4):179–91.
  9. Sturludottir E, Gunnlaugsdottir H, Nielsen OK, Stefansson G. Detection of a change-point, a mean-shift accompanied with a trend change, in short time-series with autocorrelation. In: Statistical analysis of trends in data from ecological monitoring (PhD thesis). School of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Physical Sciences, Reykjavik; 2015.
  10. Petreas M, Park JS, Wang M, Wang Y, Guo W, Tarrant D, Rhee A, Harwani S. The california biomonitoring program: persistent organic pollutants in archived and contemporary serum. Glob Nest J. 2012;14(1):80–5.
  11. AMAP. Assessment 2015: temporal trends in persistent organic pollutants in the Arctic. Oslo: Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme; 2016.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Land, M., de Wit, C. A., Bignert, A., Cousins, I. T., Herzke, D., Johansson, J. H., & Martin, J. W.
Affiliations
  • Stockholm Environment Institute (SE)
  • Swedish Museum of Natural History (SE)
  • Stockholm University (SE)
  • The FRAM Centre (NO)
  • University of Alberta (CA)
Corresponding author
Land, Magnus
Venue
Environmental Evidence
Published
2018-01-22
Volume
7
Issue
1
ISSN
2047-2382 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4210977565
Cited by
219
References
141
Citations by year
2026: 14 · 2025: 29 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 40 · 2021: 31 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 3
FWCI
1.65
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Environmental Evidence (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • DiVA (Linkoping University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • Stiftelsen för Miljöstrategisk Forskning
  • University of Alberta
  • Stockholms Universitet
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Chemistry › Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances research
  • Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Pharmaceutical Science › Fluorine in Organic Chemistry
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Toxic Organic Pollutants Impact
Keywords
per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances, PFAS regulation, PFOS, perfluorooctanoic acid, PFHxS, perfluorooctane sulfonamide, perfluorinated carboxylic acids, temporal trends, human exposure, environmental concentrations, PFAS emissions

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-07.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-07.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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