Genetic architectures of psychiatric disorders: the emerging picture and its implications
Open accessAbstract
Psychiatric disorders are among the most intractable enigmas in medicine. In the past 5 years, there has been unprecedented progress on the genetics of many of these conditions. In this Review, we discuss the genetics of nine cardinal psychiatric disorders (namely, Alzheimer's disease, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, alcohol dependence, anorexia nervosa, autism spectrum disorder, bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, nicotine dependence and schizophrenia). Empirical approaches have yielded new hypotheses about aetiology and now provide data on the often debated genetic architectures of these conditions, which have implications for future research strategies. Further study using a balanced portfolio of methods to assess multiple forms of genetic variation is likely to yield many additional new findings.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This review synthesizes genetic findings across nine psychiatric disorders and concludes that both rare and common variation contribute across an allelic spectrum, with most disorders being highly polygenic. It argues that larger, balanced genomic studies with statistical rigor are needed to complete the “parts list” and generate biological hypotheses.
Key findings
- For Alzheimer’s disease, 10 loci identified to date account for ~20% of total variation in risk or ~33% of genetic risk, with APOE the major contributor; pathway analyses implicate cholesterol metabolism and innate immune response.
- In schizophrenia, a PGC mega-analysis of 9,394 cases and 12,462 controls identified seven genome-wide significant loci; in bipolar disorder, 7,481 cases and 9,250 controls identified two loci. Common polygenic variation in hundreds of loci contributes to schizophrenia and partially overlaps bipolar disorder, with risk profile scores explaining between a quarter and a third of liability variance.
- In autism spectrum disorder, 5.8% of probands had ≥1 rare de novo structural variant versus 1.7% of unaffected siblings (OR=3.5); exome studies estimate 400–1000 genes, and common variation remains unresolved.
- A major depressive disorder PGC mega-analysis of 9,240 cases and 9,519 controls found no genome-wide significant findings; ADHD shows increased structural variant burden (OR=2.1; OR=5.7 with mental retardation).
Methods
- Narrative review of nine psychiatric disorders (Alzheimer’s disease, ADHD, alcohol dependence, anorexia nervosa, autism spectrum disorder, bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, nicotine dependence, schizophrenia) selected because they have been intensively studied and have published genome-wide results.
- Synthesizes published genome-wide association, structural variation, linkage, candidate gene, and exome/sequencing studies, emphasizing findings that meet community standards for replication.
- Uses tables, figures, and an allelic spectrum synthesis; no new primary data or meta-analysis are reported.
Limitations
- Stated: many published GWAS are small and underpowered (e.g., ASD, ADHD, AN, ALC); MDD null results likely reflect high heterogeneity and lower heritability; no comprehensive “parts list” exists for any psychiatric disorder; pathway analyses have limitations in pathway definition, significance thresholds, and null expectations.
- Stated: exonic variation studies face background neutral variation and false-positive concerns, requiring large samples and statistical rigor; funding constraints are noted.
- Evident: as a narrative review, it does not conduct a systematic search or quantitative synthesis, so conclusions depend on the selected literature and available published data.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 164 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingcitation
The proportion of variance explained by the risk profile score increased with relaxation of the significance thresholds.
“The proportion of variance explained by the risk profile score increased with relaxation of the significance thresholds.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [69] Yue, W. H. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies a susceptibility locus for schizophrenia in Han Chinese at 11p11.2. Nature Genet. 43, 1228–1231 (2011). source
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- Findingcitation
The SCZ risk profile was not predictive of case status for any of six non-psychiatric diseases.
“As an important test of specificity, the SCZ risk profile was not predictive of case status for any of six non-psychiatric diseases. 177”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [177] The Wellcome Trust Case Control Consortium. Genome-wide association study of 14,000 cases of seven common diseases and 3,000 shared controls. Nature 447, 661–678 (2007). source
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- Findingcitation
In three independent GWAS, SCZ cases had significantly higher risk profile scores than controls.
“In three independent GWAS, SCZ cases had significantly higher risk profile scores than controls.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [69] Yue, W. H. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies a susceptibility locus for schizophrenia in Han Chinese at 11p11.2. Nature Genet. 43, 1228–1231 (2011). source
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- Findingcitation
A novel association for SCZ is in Ensembl gene RP11-490G2.1 which encodes the primary transcript for miR-137 (MIR137).
“A novel association for SCZ is in Ensembl gene RP11-490G2.1 which encodes the primary transcript for miR-137 (MIR137). 62”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [62] Zhong, L., Cherry, T., Bies, C. E., Florence, M. A. & Gerges, N. Z. Neurogranin enhances synaptic strength through its interaction with calmodulin. EMBO J. 28, 3027–3039 (2009). source
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- Findingnone given
For SCZ, the strongest association is in the extended MHC region (chr6:27-33 Mb).
“For SCZ, the strongest association is in the extended MHC region (chr6:27–33 Mb).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingcitation
Karyotyping studies suggested that on the order of 5% of ASD cases have one of a large number of rare but relatively gross chromosomal abnormalities.
“Karyotyping studies suggested that on the order of 5% of ASD cases have one of a large number of rare but relatively gross chromosomal abnormalities. 14,78”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [14] Vorstman, J. A. et al. Identification of novel autism candidate regions through analysis of reported cytogenetic abnormalities associated with autism. Mol. Psychiatry 11, 18–28 (2006). source
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- cites [78] Stahl, E. A. et al. Bayesian inference analyses of the polygenic architecture of rheumatoid arthritis. Nature Genet. 44, 483–489 (2012). source
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- Findingnone given
Combined analysis of the PGC BIP and SCZ samples strengthened the association in the CACNA1C region.
“Combined analysis of the PGC BIP and SCZ samples strengthened the association in the CACNA1C region.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Multiple voltage gated calcium channel subunits were among the top 34 loci followed up in the BIP GWAS.
“Indeed, multiple voltage gated calcium channel subunits were among the top 34 loci followed up in the BIP GWAS.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Simplex and multiplex ASD pedigrees show relatively similar de novo mutation rates for SV and exonic variation.
“Unexpectedly, simplex and multiplex ASD pedigrees show relatively similar de novo mutation rates for SV 80,81 and exonic variation. 83–85”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 5 sources checked- cites [80] Betancur, C. Etiological heterogeneity in autism spectrum disorders: more than 100 genetic and genomic disorders and still counting. Brain Res. 1380, 42–77 (2011). source
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- cites [81] Sanders, S. J. et al. Multiple recurrent de novo CNVs, including duplications of the 7q11.23 Williams syndrome region, are strongly associated with autism. Neuron 70, 863–885 (2011). There have been many excellent studies of CNVs in autism. This is one of the largest and is particularly technically well done. The authors report compelling findings regarding specific CNVs and a greater burden of rare CNVs in cases with ASD. source
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- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
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- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
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- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
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- Findingcitation
The PGC GWAS mega-analysis of 9,240 MDD cases and 9,519 controls (replication in 6,783 MDD cases) revealed no findings of genome-wide significance.
“The PGC GWAS mega-analysis of 9,240 MDD cases and 9,519 controls (replication in 6,783 MDD cases) revealed no findings of genome-wide significance. 108”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [108] Fowler, C. D., Lu, Q., Johnson, P. M., Marks, M. J. & Kenny, P. J. Habenular α5 nicotinic receptor subunit signalling controls nicotine intake. Nature 471, 597–601 (2011). source
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- Findingcitation
The MDD serotonin transporter gene-environment interaction association did not replicate in an independent but similar study from the same geographic region.
“This association did not replicate in an independent but similar study from the same geographic region, casting particular doubt on the reported association. 115”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [115] Risch, N. et al. Interaction between the serotonin transporter gene (5-HTTLPR), stressful life events, and risk of depression: a meta-analysis. JAMA 301, 2462–2471 (2009). source
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- Interpretationreasoning
The genetic findings now strongly point to altered immune function and lipid metabolism as causation rather than reverse causation in AD.
“The genetic findings now strongly point to the former.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Pathway analysis is based on the assumption that risk variants for a disease will converge on sets of genes whose functions are more closely related to each other than to random sets of genes.
- Premisecitation
Since 2007, numerous robust and replicable genetic findings have been reported for psychiatric disorders.
“Since 2007, numerous robust and replicable genetic findings have been reported for psychiatric disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Chanock, S. J. et al. Replicating genotype–phenotype associations. Nature 447, 655–660 (2007). source
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- Premisecitation
Pathway analyses of AD implicate cholesterol metabolism and the innate immune response.
“Intriguingly, pathway analyses (Box 2) of AD implicate cholesterol metabolism and the innate immune response. 38”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] Jones, L. et al. Genetic evidence implicates the immune system and cholesterol metabolism in the aetiology of Alzheimer's disease. PLoS ONE 5, e13950 (2010). source
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- The authors state this as an assumption: Pathway analysis is based on the assumption that risk variants for a disease will converge on sets of genes whose functions are more closely related to each other than to random sets of genes.
- Premiseown data
Rare (frequency < 0.5%) but potent (genotypic relative risk, GRR, 5-20) SVs play a role in a small proportion of cases with SCZ.
“However, rare (frequency < 0.5%) but potent (genotypic relative risk, GRR, 5–20) SVs play a role in a small proportion of cases with SCZ (Table 2, Figure S1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
These estimates suggest that 'missing heritability' is merely hidden and imperfectly assayed by current genotyping technologies.
“These estimates suggest that “missing heritability” is merely hidden and imperfectly assayed by current genotyping technologies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Increased SV burden in SCZ cases has been reported by multiple groups.
“Increased SV burden in SCZ cases has been reported by multiple groups. 47,48,50”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [47] Walsh, T. et al. Rare structural variants disrupt multiple genes in neurodevelopmental pathways in schizophrenia. Science 320, 539–543 (2008). source
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- cites [48] International Schizophrenia Consortium. Rare chromosomal deletions and duplications increase risk of schizophrenia. Nature 455, 237–241 (2008). source
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- cites [50] Xu, B. et al. Strong association of de novo copy number mutations with sporadic schizophrenia. Nature Genet. 40, 880–885 (2008). source
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- Premisecitation
De novo SV are also more common in SCZ cases.
“De novo SV are also more common in SCZ cases. 45”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] Kirov, G. et al. De novo CNV analysis implicates specific abnormalities of postsynaptic signalling complexes in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia. Mol. Psychiatry 17, 142–153 (2011). source
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- Premisecitation
For SCZ and BIP, sign tests comparing the consistency of association tests from discovery GWAS and replication samples for sets of top signals are usually highly significant even if most loci do not meet genome-wide significance.
“For SCZ and BIP, sign tests comparing the consistency of association tests from discovery GWAS and replication samples for sets of top signals are usually highly significant even if most loci do not meet genome-wide significance. 58,59,174”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [58] Need, A. C. et al. Exome sequencing followed by large-scale genotyping suggests a limited role for moderately rare risk factors of strong effect in schizophrenia. Am. J. Hum. Genet. (in the press). In the largest study yet reported, the authors report exome resequencing of 166 cases with schizophrenia enriched for strong family histories of illness and treatment non-response. No definitive associations were identified: this intriguing finding makes the 'many Mendelians' model of this disorder far less tenable.
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- cites [59] Schizophrenia Psychiatric Genome-Wide Association Study Consortium. Genome-wide association study identifies five new schizophrenia loci. Nature Genet. 43, 969–976 (2011). source
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- cites [174] O'Donovan, M. et al. Identification of novel schizophrenia loci by genome-wide association and follow-up. Nature Genet. 40, 1053–1055 (2008). source
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- Interpretationreasoning
For ASD there is a notably strong prima facie case for there being a cardinal role for rare variation.
“For ASD there is a notably strong prima facie case for there being a a cardinal role for rare variation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
There is also consistent evidence for increased SV burden in ASD.
“There is also consistent evidence for increased SV burden in ASD. 49,80–82”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [49] Sebat, J. et al. Strong association of de novo copy number mutations with autism. Science 316, 445–449 (2007). source
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- cites [80] Betancur, C. Etiological heterogeneity in autism spectrum disorders: more than 100 genetic and genomic disorders and still counting. Brain Res. 1380, 42–77 (2011). source
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- cites [81] Sanders, S. J. et al. Multiple recurrent de novo CNVs, including duplications of the 7q11.23 Williams syndrome region, are strongly associated with autism. Neuron 70, 863–885 (2011). There have been many excellent studies of CNVs in autism. This is one of the largest and is particularly technically well done. The authors report compelling findings regarding specific CNVs and a greater burden of rare CNVs in cases with ASD. source
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- cites [82] Pinto, D. et al. Functional impact of global rare copy number variation in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 466, 368–372 (2010). source
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- Interpretationcitation
The large-scale impact of large numbers of common variants may be a general feature of human complex traits.
“Indeed, the large-scale impact of large numbers of common variants may be a general feature of human complex traits 70–77”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 8 sources checked- cites [70] International Schizophrenia Consortium. Common polygenic variation contributes to risk of schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Nature 460, 748–752 (2009). source
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- Premisecitation
De novo exonic mutations in SCN2A, KATNAL2, and CHD8 play roles in the pathogenesis of ASD.
“Three recent papers describe the results from exome sequencing of ~600 trios, and identify roles for de novo exonic mutations in SCN2A, KATNAL2, and CHD8 in the pathogenesis of ASD. 83–85”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
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- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
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- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
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- Premisecitation
Only a minority of ASD cases had a de novo putatively functional variant.
“However, a central finding from these papers was that only a minority of cases had a de novo putatively functional variant”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
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- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
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- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
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- Interpretationcitation
ASD is highly polygenic, with estimates from de novo exonic mutations ranging from 400-1000 genes.
“estimates from de novo exonic mutations (similar to those from SV data) suggest that ASD is highly polygenic (estimates ranged from 400–1000 genes). 84,85”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
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- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
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- Premisecitation
Pathway analyses in two studies found that genes containing de novo exonic variation were more closely connected in reference to protein-protein interaction databases.
“pathway analyses reported in two of the studies found that genes containing de novo exonic variation were more closely connected in reference to protein-protein interaction databases. 83,84”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
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- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
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- Interpretationcitation
For SCZ, the available data are insufficient to resolve the issue of whether simplex/multiplex differences exist in de novo mutation rates.
“For SCZ, the available data are insufficient to resolve this issue. 45,50”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [45] Kirov, G. et al. De novo CNV analysis implicates specific abnormalities of postsynaptic signalling complexes in the pathogenesis of schizophrenia. Mol. Psychiatry 17, 142–153 (2011). source
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- cites [50] Xu, B. et al. Strong association of de novo copy number mutations with sporadic schizophrenia. Nature Genet. 40, 880–885 (2008). source
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- Interpretationreasoning
De novo exonic variation is unlikely fully to explain the clinical entity of ASD.
“suggesting that this class of genetic variation is unlikely fully to explain the clinical entity of ASD.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
It is currently not possible to discern or dismiss a role for common genetic variation in risk for ASD.
“It is currently not possible to discern or dismiss a role for common genetic variation in risk for ASD.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The association of ADH1B with ALC and alcohol consumption was extended to European ancestry subjects using a candidate gene approach.
“Using a candidate gene approach, the association of ADH1B with ALC and alcohol consumption was extended to European ancestry subjects. 101”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [101] Schumann, G. et al. Genome-wide association and genetic functional studies identify autism susceptibility candidate 2 gene (AUTS2) in the regulation of alcohol consumption. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 108, 7119–7124 (2011). source
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- Premisecitation
There may be several independent associations to the nicotinic receptor gene cluster for smoking quantity.
“The strongest finding is an association of smoking quantity with a cluster of nicotinic receptor genes (CHRNA5-CHRNA3-CHRNB4) with an effect size corresponding to one cigarette per day, and there may be several independent associations. 104”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [104] Liu, J. Z. et al. Meta-analysis and imputation refines the association of 15q25 with smoking quantity. Nature Genet. 42, 436–440 (2010). source
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- Interpretationcitation
A hypothetical model of ASD caused by rare but fully penetrant mutations in 100 different genes could be confidently rejected.
“Importantly, a hypothetical model of ASD caused by rare but fully penetrant mutations in 100 different genes could be confidently rejected. 83”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
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- Premisecitation
AUTS2 was implicated in alcohol consumption in European subjects.
“and AUTS2 was implicated in alcohol consumption in European subjects. 100”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [100] Takeuchi, F. et al. Confirmation of ALDH2 as a major locus of drinking behavior and of its variants regulating multiple metabolic phenotypes in a Japanese population. Circ. J. 75, 911–918 (2011). source
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- Premisecitation
Chrna5 null mice had higher nicotine intake due to loss of an inhibitory effect on brain reward systems.
“A recent study showed that Chrna5 null mice had higher nicotine intake due to loss of an inhibitory effect on brain reward systems. 107”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [107] Truong, T. et al. Replication of lung cancer susceptibility loci at chromosomes 15q25, 5p15, and 6p21: a pooled analysis from the International Lung Cancer Consortium. J. Natl Cancer Inst. 102, 959–971 (2010). source
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- Premisenone given
Detailed studies of rare variation currently explain a fraction of risk for ASD.
“given that detailed studies of rare variation currently explain a fraction of risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Risk profile analysis suggested that larger samples would yield more associations for ALC.
“particularly given that risk profile analysis (Box 3) suggested that larger samples would yield more associations. 97”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [97] Heath, A. C. et al. A quantitative-trait genome-wide association study of alcoholism risk in the community: findings and implications. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 513–518 (2011). source
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- Premisecitation
The strongest finding for smoking behavior is an association of smoking quantity with a cluster of nicotinic receptor genes (CHRNA5-CHRNA3-CHRNB4) with an effect size corresponding to one cigarette per day.
“The strongest finding is an association of smoking quantity with a cluster of nicotinic receptor genes (CHRNA5-CHRNA3-CHRNB4) with an effect size corresponding to one cigarette per day, and there may be several independent associations. 104”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [104] Liu, J. Z. et al. Meta-analysis and imputation refines the association of 15q25 with smoking quantity. Nature Genet. 42, 436–440 (2010). source
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- Premisenone given
Evaluation of common variation in ASD is far more limited than evaluation of rare SV and exonic variation.
“Evaluation of rare SV and exonic variation in ASD is particularly advanced. In contrast, evaluation of common variation is far more limited (Figure 1a)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The published GWAS for ASD are small by current standards.
“the published GWAS for ASD are small by current standards. 86–89”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [86] Sanders, S. J. et al. De novo mutations revealed by whole-exome sequencing are strongly associated with autism. Nature 485, 237–241 (2012). These three papers report exome sequencing of trios with ASD. Support was found for 2–4 de novo mutations that are plausibly causal. However, as for schizophrenia (reference 58), an abundance of Mendelian variants was not identified. source
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- cites [87] Wang, K. et al. Common genetic variants on 5p14.1 associate with autism spectrum disorders. Nature 459, 528–533 (2009). source
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- cites [88] Weiss, L. A., Arking, D. E., Daly, M. J. & Chakravarti, A. A genome-wide linkage and association scan reveals novel loci for autism. Nature 461, 802–808 (2009). source
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- cites [89] Anney, R. et al. A genome-wide scan for common alleles affecting risk for autism. Hum. Mol. Genet. 19, 4072–4082 (2010). source
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- Premisenone given
There were few confident findings for GWAS of SCZ when the sample sizes were similar to those now available for ASD.
“Indeed, there were few confident findings for GWAS of SCZ when the sample sizes were similar to those now available for ASD.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
GWAS in East Asian samples confirmed the role of ALDH2 in alcohol consumption.
“For alcohol consumption, GWAS in East Asian samples confirmed the role of ALDH2, 98,99”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [98] Frank, J. et al. Genome-wide significant association between alcohol dependence and a variant in the ADH gene cluster. Addict. Biol. 17, 171–180 (2012). source
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- cites [99] Baik, I., Cho, N. H., Kim, S. H., Han, B. G. & Shin, C. Genome-wide association studies identify genetic loci related to alcohol consumption in Korean men. Am. J. Clin. Nutr. 93, 809–816 (2011). source
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- Premisecitation
Meta-analyses have supported the MDD serotonin transporter gene-environment interaction finding.
“Meta-analyses have supported 111,112 and not supported 113,114 this finding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [111] Caspi, A. et al. Influence of life stress on depression: moderation by a polymorphism in the 5-HTT gene. Science 301, 386–389 (2003). source
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- cites [112] Karg, K., Burmeister, M., Shedden, K. & Sen, S. The serotonin transporter promoter variant (5-HTTLPR), stress, and depression meta-analysis revisited: evidence of genetic moderation. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 68, 444–454 (2011). source
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- Premisecitation
One study found increased SV burden in MDD cases versus controls (OR=1.31).
“There are few published data on SV although one study found increased SV burden in MDD cases versus controls (OR=1.31). 109”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [109] Major Depressive Disorder Working Group of the PGC. A mega-analysis of genome-wide association studies for major depressive disorder. Mol. Psychiatry 3 Apr 2012 (doi:10.1038/mp.2012.21). Despite a heritability and lifetime prevalence that is not dissimilar to T2DM and in contrast to similarly sized studies of BIP and SCZ, this study of MDD is largely negative. Higher heterogeneity is a prime candidate for the divergent results.
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- Interpretationcitation
The failure to replicate casts particular doubt on the reported MDD serotonin transporter gene-environment interaction association.
“This association did not replicate in an independent but similar study from the same geographic region, casting particular doubt on the reported association. 115”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
In ADHD, increased SV burden has been reported (OR=2.1).
“In ADHD, increased SV burden has been reported (OR=2.1), 118,119”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [118] Wang, K. et al. A genome-wide association study on common SNPs and rare CNVs in anorexia nervosa. Mol. Psychiatry 16, 949–959 (2011). source
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- cites [119] Williams, N. M. et al. Rare chromosomal deletions and duplications in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder: a genome-wide analysis. Lancet 376, 1401–1408 (2010). source
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- Interpretationreasoning
Given low power, no conclusions about common variation can be made for ADHD and AN.
“Given low power, no conclusions about common variation can be made.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Meta-analyses have not supported the MDD serotonin transporter gene-environment interaction finding.
“Meta-analyses have supported 111,112 and not supported 113,114 this finding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [113] Uher, R. & McGuffin, P. The moderation by the serotonin transporter gene of environmental adversity in the etiology of depression: 2009 update. Mol. Psychiatry 15, 18–22 (2010). source
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- cites [114] Munafo, M. R., Durrant, C., Lewis, G. & Flint, J. Gene X environment interactions at the serotonin transporter locus. Biol. Psychiatry 65, 211–219 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The reason no common variants have yet confidently been implicated in ADHD by GWAS is lack of power, not lack of variants to be found.
“Thus, it appears that the reason no common variants have yet confidently been implicated in ADHD by GWAS is lack of power, not lack of variants to be found.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Pathway analysis in ADHD found association signals enriched in the same GO categories also overrepresented for large SV.
“Pathway analysis in ADHD found association signals enriched in the same GO categories also overrepresented for large SV. 120”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [120] Williams, N. M. et al. Genome-wide analysis of copy number variants in attention deficit hyperactivity disorder: the role of rare variants and duplications at 15q13.3. Am. J. Psychiatry 169, 195–204 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The effect of increased SV burden is higher in ADHD cases with MR (OR=5.7).
“an effect higher in ADHD cases with MR (OR=5.7). 118”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [118] Wang, K. et al. A genome-wide association study on common SNPs and rare CNVs in anorexia nervosa. Mol. Psychiatry 16, 949–959 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
The weak signals in ADHD GWAS are not randomly distributed but index the same pathophysiological pathways as rare SV.
“The weak signals in ADHD GWAS are not randomly distributed but index the same pathophysiological pathways as rare SV.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [120] Williams, N. M. et al. Genome-wide analysis of copy number variants in attention deficit hyperactivity disorder: the role of rare variants and duplications at 15q13.3. Am. J. Psychiatry 169, 195–204 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Knowledge of psychiatric genetics is vastly greater than it was five years ago.
“Knowledge of psychiatric genetics is vastly greater than it was five years ago.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Hypothesized genetic architectures consisting entirely of rare variants are inconsistent with the data for AD, ASD, BIP, and SCZ (as well as for multiple other complex biomedical diseases).
“Hypothesized genetic architectures consisting entirely of rare variants are inconsistent with the data for AD, ASD, BIP, and SCZ (as well as for multiple other complex biomedical diseases). 70–77”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 8 sources checked- cites [70] International Schizophrenia Consortium. Common polygenic variation contributes to risk of schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Nature 460, 748–752 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [71] Visscher, P. M., Brown, M. A., McCarthy, M. I. & Yang, J. Five years of GWAS discovery. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 90, 7–24 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [72] Voight, B. F. et al. Twelve type 2 diabetes susceptibility loci identified through large-scale association analysis. Nature Genet. 42, 579–589 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [73] Franke, A. et al. Genome-wide meta-analysis increases to 71 the number of confirmed Crohn's disease susceptibility loci. Nature Genet. 42, 1118–1125 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [74] Houlston, R. S. et al. Meta-analysis of three genome-wide association studies identifies susceptibility loci for colorectal cancer at 1q41, 3q26.2, 12q13.13 and 20q13.33. Nature Genet. 42, 973–977 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [75] Turnbull, C. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies five new breast cancer susceptibility loci. Nature Genet. 42, 504–507 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [76] Lango Allen, H. et al. Hundreds of variants clustered in genomic loci and biological pathways affect human height. Nature 467, 832–838 (2010). source
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- cites [77] Speliotes, E. K. et al. Association analyses of 249,796 individuals reveal 18 new loci associated with body mass index. Nature Genet. 42, 937–948 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
The Procrustean theory that common variant signals inevitably reflect "synthetic associations" to rare, high penetrance mutations is not credible.
“The Procrustean theory that common variant signals inevitably reflect “synthetic associations” 124 to rare, high penetrance mutations is not credible. 77,125–127”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [77] Speliotes, E. K. et al. Association analyses of 249,796 individuals reveal 18 new loci associated with body mass index. Nature Genet. 42, 937–948 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [125] Dickson, S. P., Wang, K., Krantz, I., Hakonarson, H. & Goldstein, D. B. Rare variants create synthetic genome-wide associations. PLoS Biol. 8, e1000294 (2010). source
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- cites [126] Wray, N. R., Purcell, S. M. & Visscher, P. M. Synthetic associations created by rare variants do not explain most GWAS results. PLoS Biol. 9, e1000579 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [127] Anderson, C. A., Soranzo, N., Zeggini, E. & Barrett, J. C. Synthetic associations are unlikely to account for many common disease genome-wide association signals. PLoS Biol. 9, e1000580 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Psychiatric disorders are polygenic.
“Psychiatric disorders are polygenic.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Polygenicity may be a general feature of complex biomedical diseases.
“Polygenicity may be a general feature of complex biomedical diseases. 128,129”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [128] Orozco, G., Barrett, J. C. & Zeggini, E. Synthetic associations in the context of genome-wide association scan signals. Hum. Mol. Genet. 19, R137–R144 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [129] Lander, E. S. Initial impact of the sequencing of the human genome. Nature 470, 187–197 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The evidence is strong that many genes are involved in the etiology of AD, ALC, ASD, BIP, NIC, and SCZ.
“The evidence is strong that many genes are involved in the etiology of AD (currently evidence of rare exonic, rare SV, and common variation), ALC (currently evidence of common variation), ASD (currently evidence of de novo exonic variation and SV), BIP (currently evidence of common variation), NIC (currently evidence of common variation), and SCZ (currently evidence of rare SV and common variation”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Projections for ASD and SCZ suggest that variation at hundreds of different genes will ultimately be shown to be involved.
“Projections for ASD and SCZ suggest that variation at hundreds of different genes will ultimately be shown to be involved. 58,80,85”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [58] Need, A. C. et al. Exome sequencing followed by large-scale genotyping suggests a limited role for moderately rare risk factors of strong effect in schizophrenia. Am. J. Hum. Genet. (in the press). In the largest study yet reported, the authors report exome resequencing of 166 cases with schizophrenia enriched for strong family histories of illness and treatment non-response. No definitive associations were identified: this intriguing finding makes the 'many Mendelians' model of this disorder far less tenable.
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [80] Betancur, C. Etiological heterogeneity in autism spectrum disorders: more than 100 genetic and genomic disorders and still counting. Brain Res. 1380, 42–77 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
These results are consistent with suggestions that the "missing heritability" is merely hidden.
“These results are consistent with suggestions that the “missing heritability” 133 is merely hidden. 132”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [132] Davies, G. et al. Genome-wide association studies establish that human intelligence is highly heritable and polygenic. Mol. Psychiatry 16, 996–1005 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisenone given
Currently we do not possess a comprehensive enumeration of loci associated with any psychiatric disorder.
“currently we do not now possess a comprehensive enumeration of loci associated with any psychiatric disorder (i.e., the “parts list”), regardless of where genetic variation might lie in the allelic spectrum-effect size space.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
There have been unequivocal successes for many psychiatric disorders in gaining insight into biology.
“For this primary goal, there have been unequivocal successes for many psychiatric disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Most discoveries in psychiatric genetics to date are from GWAS and SV evaluation.
“Most discoveries in psychiatric genetics to date are from GWAS and SV evaluation (both often based on the use of GWAS chips)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
For SCZ, the conceptualization that polygenic basis is manifest in pathways is supported by risk profile findings and miR-137 results.
“For SCZ, this conceptualization is supported by the risk profile findings for SCZ, and by the miR-137 results that hint at an underlying regulatory network.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
For ASD, typical patterns of cortical gene expression in frontal and temporal cortex have been found to be attenuated in ASD cases compared to controls.
“For ASD, typical patterns of cortical gene expression in frontal and temporal cortex have been found to be attenuated in ASD cases compared to controls”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [90] Ma, D. et al. A genome-wide association study of autism reveals a common novel risk locus at 5p14.1. Ann. Hum. Genet. 73, 263–273 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
An empirically-derived gene expression module that is under-expressed in ASD was found to be enriched for known ASD susceptibility genes and genetic association signals.
“and an empirically-derived gene expression module that is under-expressed in ASD was found to be enriched for known ASD susceptibility genes and genetic association signals. 90”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [90] Ma, D. et al. A genome-wide association study of autism reveals a common novel risk locus at 5p14.1. Ann. Hum. Genet. 73, 263–273 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Historically, psychiatric research has been underfunded in comparison to public health impact (with the possible exception of AD).
“historically, psychiatric research has ben underfunded in comparison to public health impact (with the possible exception of AD). 141–144”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [141] Yang, J., Wray, N. R. & Visscher, P. M. Comparing apples and oranges: equating the power of case–control and quantitative trait association studies. Genet. Epidemiol. 34, 254–257 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [142] Gross, C. P., Anderson, G. F. & Powe, N. R. The relation between funding by the National Institutes of Health and the burden of disease. New Engl. J. Med. 340, 1881–1887 (1999). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [143] Aoun, S., Pennebaker, D. & Pascal, R. To what extent is health and medical research funding associated with the burden of disease in Australia? Aust. N. Z. J. Public Health 28, 80–86 (2004). source
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- cites [144] Gillum, L. A. et al. NIH disease funding levels and burden of disease. PLoS ONE 6, e16837 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The presence of such background variation complicates identification of disease-relevant variants.
“and the presence of such variation complicates identification of disease-relevant variants.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The initial concern that increased signal from combining multiple samples in GWAS meta-analysis would be negated by "noise" due to inter-site differences has not been borne out in practice.
“An initial concern regarding GWAS meta-analysis was that increased signal from combining multiple samples would be negated by “noise” due to inter-site differences. This theoretical concern has not been borne out in practice, as illustrated above with the examples in SCZ, 58 BIP, 59 smoking behavior, 92 alcohol consumption, 100 and AD. 35,36”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
T2DM and breast cancer loci identified in European samples tend to replicate in samples of East Asian ancestry.
“For example, T2DM and breast cancer loci identified in European samples tend to replicate in samples of East Asian ancestry. 150,151”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [150] Sullivan, P. F. The Psychiatric GWAS Consortium: big science comes to psychiatry. Neuron 68, 182–186 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [151] Waters, K. M. et al. Consistent association of type 2 diabetes risk variants found in Europeans in diverse racial and ethnic groups. PLoS Genet. 6, e1001078 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
If 1% of cases are caused by fully penetrant mutations in a single gene with no background confounding variation, then observing 10 deleterious mutations in 1,000 cases and 0 in 1,000 controls would not stand out in test statistics from 20,000 genes.
“More quantitatively, if 1% of cases are caused by fully penetrant mutations in a single gene with no background confounding variation, then observing 10 deleterious mutations in 1,000 cases and 0 in 1,000 controls would not stand out in test statistics from 20,000 genes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
More realistic scenarios (including locus heterogeneity, incomplete penetrance, and background variation) will substantially erode the signal.
“More realistic scenarios (including locus heterogeneity, incomplete penetrance, and background variation) will substantially erode the signal.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Owing to chance, a researcher would expect to find a functional exonic mutation - possibly in a gene with intriguing biology - in one case sample and none of their control samples.
“Thus, owing to chance, a researcher would expect to find a functional exonic mutation – possibly in a gene with intriguing biology – in one case sample and none of their control samples.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 49
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 20
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationOne report found more rare SV in SCZ cases (odds ratio, OR=1.15), particularly for large deletions (OR=3.6).
“One report found more rare SV in SCZ cases (odds ratio, OR=1.15), particularly for large deletions (OR=3.6). 48”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [48] International Schizophrenia Consortium. Rare chromosomal deletions and duplications increase risk of schizophrenia. Nature 455, 237–241 (2008). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationEstimates from two different methods indicated that the risk profile component for SCZ contributes between a quarter and a third of the overall variance in liability to SCZ, a substantial fraction of the 65-81% heritability of SCZ.
“Finally, estimates from two different methods indicated that the risk profile component for SCZ contributes between a quarter and a third of the overall variance in liability to SCZ, 69,130 a substantial fraction of the 65–81% heritability of SCZ. 179,180”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [69] Yue, W. H. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies a susceptibility locus for schizophrenia in Han Chinese at 11p11.2. Nature Genet. 43, 1228–1231 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [130] Kim, Y., Zerwas, S., Trace, S. E. & Sullivan, P. F. Schizophrenia genetics: where next? Schizophr. Bull. 37, 456–463 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [179] Sullivan, P. F., Kendler, K. S. & Neale, M. C. Schizophrenia as a complex trait: evidence from a meta-analysis of twin studies. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 60, 1187–1192 (2003). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [180] Lichtenstein, P. et al. Common genetic influences for schizophrenia and bipolar disorder: a population-based study of 2 million nuclear families. Lancet 373, 234–239 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationDe novo SV may be relevant in BIP (OR=4.8), particularly in cases with earlier ages of onset (OR=6.3).
“De novo SV may be relevant in BIP (OR=4.8), particularly in cases with earlier ages of onset (OR=6.3). 53”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [53] Malhotra, D. et al. High frequencies of de novo CNVs in bipolar disorder and schizophrenia. Neuron 72, 951–963 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIn SCZ, 9,394 cases and 12,462 controls were combined in a single analysis and the top 81 statistically independent loci from that analysis were then tested in over 8,000 cases. The mega-analysis identified seven significant loci.
“In SCZ, 9,394 cases and 12,462 controls were combined in a single analysis and the top 81 statistically independent loci from that analysis were then tested in over 8,000 cases. The mega-analysis identified seven significant loci (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Need, A. C. et al. Exome sequencing followed by large-scale genotyping suggests a limited role for moderately rare risk factors of strong effect in schizophrenia. Am. J. Hum. Genet. (in the press). In the largest study yet reported, the authors report exome resequencing of 166 cases with schizophrenia enriched for strong family histories of illness and treatment non-response. No definitive associations were identified: this intriguing finding makes the 'many Mendelians' model of this disorder far less tenable.
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationTwo small exome sequencing studies reported rates of putatively functional mutations that exceeded null expectations in SCZ cases, although the rate of de novo point mutations was not elevated in cases and specific genes were not identified.
“Two small exome sequencing studies 56,57 reported rates of putatively functional mutations that exceeded null expectations in SCZ cases (although the rate of de novo point mutations was not elevated in cases and specific genes were not identified).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [56] Girard, S. L. et al. Increased exonic de novo mutation rate in individuals with schizophrenia. Nature Genet. 43, 860–863 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [57] Xu, B. et al. Exome sequencing supports a de novo mutational paradigm for schizophrenia. Nature Genet. 43, 864–868 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationFor BIP, the discovery phase consisted of 7,481 cases and 9,250 controls with follow-up of 34 statistically independent loci in around 4,500 cases. Two loci exceeded genome-wide significance.
“For BIP, the discovery phase consisted of 7,481 cases and 9,250 controls with follow-up of 34 statistically independent loci in around 4,500 cases. Two loci exceeded genome-wide significance (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [59] Schizophrenia Psychiatric Genome-Wide Association Study Consortium. Genome-wide association study identifies five new schizophrenia loci. Nature Genet. 43, 969–976 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationLarge SVs are present in 5-10% of ASD cases, and the number of ASD SVs could total 130-234.
“Large SVs are present in 5–10% of ASD cases, and the number of ASD SVs could total 130–234. 80”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [80] Betancur, C. Etiological heterogeneity in autism spectrum disorders: more than 100 genetic and genomic disorders and still counting. Brain Res. 1380, 42–77 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationThere are now replicated data that vulnerability to SCZ is influenced by common genetic variation in hundreds of different loci, and this vulnerability partially overlaps that for BIP.
“There are now replicated data that vulnerability to SCZ is influenced by common genetic variation in hundreds of different loci, and this vulnerability partially overlaps that for BIP. 69”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [69] Yue, W. H. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies a susceptibility locus for schizophrenia in Han Chinese at 11p11.2. Nature Genet. 43, 1228–1231 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationPredicted targets of miR-137 were significantly enriched for smaller GWAS p-values (p<0.01), and four of the genes that achieved genome-wide significance contain verified miR-137 binding sites.
“Supporting the hypothesis that this association implicates MIR137, predicted targets of miR-137 were significantly enriched for smaller GWAS p-values (p<0.01), and four of the genes that achieved genome-wide significance contain verified miR-137 binding sites. 63”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [63] Bemis, L. T. et al. MicroRNA-137 targets microphthalmia-associated transcription factor in melanoma cell lines. Cancer Res. 68, 1362–1368 (2008). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationThere are three instances of ASD cases with de novo deletions of 16p11.2 who also had an affected sibling without this deletion along with similar observations for SV in 1q21.1 and 17p12.
“Intriguingly, there are three instances of ASD cases with de novo deletions of 16p11.2 who also had an affected sibling without this deletion 157–159 along with similar observations for SV in 1q21.1 and 17p12. 158”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [157] Ott, J. Analysis of Human Genetic Linkage (Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, 1999). source
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- cites [158] Weiss, L. A. et al. Association between microdeletion and microduplication at 16p11.2 and autism. N. Engl. J. Med. 358, 667–675 (2008). source
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- cites [159] Szatmari, P. et al. Mapping autism risk loci using genetic linkage and chromosomal rearrangements. Nature Genet. 39, 319–328 (2007). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingcitation5.8% of ASD probands had ≥1 rare de novo SV versus 1.7% of their unaffected siblings (OR=3.5), and this difference was more pronounced for SV that intersected genes.
“For example, 5.8% of ASD probands had ≥1 rare de novo SV versus 1.7% of their unaffected siblings (OR=3.5), and this difference was more pronounced for SV that intersected genes. 80”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [80] Betancur, C. Etiological heterogeneity in autism spectrum disorders: more than 100 genetic and genomic disorders and still counting. Brain Res. 1380, 42–77 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationThe components of the Fagerstrom Test for Nicotine Dependence had heritabilities ranging from relatively high to near zero with important common environmental effects.
“As part of the TAG consortium, 92 we determined that the components of the Fagerstrom Test for Nicotine Dependence (a measure of NIC) had heritabilities ranging from relatively high to near zero with important common environmental effects.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [92] American Psychiatric Association. Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (American Psychiatric Association, 1994).
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThere are now multiple high-confidence SV, rare exonic variants (currently only for ASD, AD, and ALC), and an increasing number of robustly significant and replicated common variants.
“Specifically, there are now multiple high-confidence SV (Table 2), rare exonic variants (currently only for ASD, AD, and ALC), and an increasing number of robustly significant and replicated common variants (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenFor SCZ, there are no known Mendelian variants, and power analyses can exclude common variants of modest effect (genotypic relative risk > 1.5 for allele frequencies > 0.1).
“There are no known Mendelian variants, and power analyses can exclude common variants of modest effect (genotypic relative risk > 1.5 for allele frequencies > 0.1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor SCZ, there are multiple SVs that are rare, strong, but non-specific risk factors, and 17 common variant associations of subtle effects.
“There are multiple SVs that are rare, strong, but non-specific risk factors (Table 2), and 17 common variant associations of subtle effects (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe 10 loci identified to date account for ~20% of the total variation in risk or ~33% of the risk attributable to genetic effects, with the major contribution being from APOE.
“the 10 loci identified to date account for ~20% of the total variation in risk or ~33% of the risk attributable to genetic effects, with the major contribution being from APOE”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [33] Harold, D. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies variants at CLU and PICALM associated with Alzheimer's disease. Nature Genet. 41, 1088–1093 (2009). source
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- cites [34] Lambert, J. C. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies variants at CLU and CR1 associated with Alzheimer's disease. Nature Genet. 41, 1094–1099 (2009). source
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- cites [35] Hollingworth, P. et al. Common variants at ABCA7, MS4A6A/MS4A4E, EPHA1, CD33 and CD2AP are associated with Alzheimer's disease. Nature Genet. 43, 429–435 (2011). source
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- cites [36] Naj, A. C. et al. Common variants at MS4A4/MS4A6E, CD2AP, CD33 and EPHA1 are associated with late-onset Alzheimer's disease. Nature Genet. 43, 436–441 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisenone givenThese advances have mostly been via genome-wide association (GWAS) and structural variation (SV) studies.
“These advances have mostly been via genome-wide association (GWAS) and structural variation (SV) studies”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenNone of these SVs is fully penetrant, and nearly all appear to be non-specific as risk is often increased for SCZ, ASD, developmental delay, mental retardation, epilepsy, somatic dysmorphism, and extremes of body mass and head size.
“None is fully penetrant, and nearly all appear to be non-specific as risk is often increased for SCZ, ASD, developmental delay, mental retardation, epilepsy, somatic dysmorphism, and extremes of body mass and head size.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningA sign test for consistency between the mega-analysis and follow-up stage was highly significant, implying that many of the 81 top loci include true risk loci but that power was insufficient.
“A sign test for consistency between the mega-analysis and follow-up stage was highly significant, implying that many of the 81 top loci include true risk loci but that power was insufficient.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Need, A. C. et al. Exome sequencing followed by large-scale genotyping suggests a limited role for moderately rare risk factors of strong effect in schizophrenia. Am. J. Hum. Genet. (in the press). In the largest study yet reported, the authors report exome resequencing of 166 cases with schizophrenia enriched for strong family histories of illness and treatment non-response. No definitive associations were identified: this intriguing finding makes the 'many Mendelians' model of this disorder far less tenable.
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationFor BIP, there are reports of increased and similar SV burden in cases versus controls.
“For BIP, there are reports of increased 51–53 and similar SV burden in cases versus controls 54,55”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 5 sources checked- cites [51] Zhang, D. et al. Singleton deletions throughout the genome increase risk of bipolar disorder. Mol. Psychiatry 14, 376–380 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [52] Priebe, L. et al. Genome-wide survey implicates the influence of copy number variants (CNVs) in the development of early-onset bipolar disorder. Mol. Psychiatry 17, 421–432 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [53] Malhotra, D. et al. High frequencies of de novo CNVs in bipolar disorder and schizophrenia. Neuron 72, 951–963 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [54] Grozeva, D. et al. Rare copy number variants: a point of rarity in genetic risk for bipolar disorder and schizophrenia. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 67, 318–327 (2010). source
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- cites [55] McQuillin, A. et al. Analysis of genetic deletions and duplications in the University College London bipolar disorder case control sample. Eur. J. Hum. Genet. 19, 588–592 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThis implies that sample sizes are insufficient and that additional loci can be discovered in larger samples.
“This implies that sample sizes are insufficient and that additional loci can be discovered in larger samples.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThis suggests the discovery sample was insufficiently large to identify many true risk loci at even nominal levels of significance: adding more SNPs contributed more genetic signal than noise.
“This suggests the discovery sample was insufficiently large to identify many true risk loci at even nominal levels of significance: adding more SNPs contributed more genetic signal than noise.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe same set of markers also discriminated BIP cases from controls indicating substantial genetic contributions between SCZ and BIP.
“Remarkably, the same set of markers also discriminated BIP cases from controls indicating substantial genetic contributions between SCZ and BIP.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [69] Yue, W. H. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies a susceptibility locus for schizophrenia in Han Chinese at 11p11.2. Nature Genet. 43, 1228–1231 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe evidence for association in the extended MHC region is compelling but high gene density and exceptionally high linkage disequilibrium complicate the identification of specific sequence variation.
“The evidence for association is compelling but high gene density and exceptionally high linkage disequilibrium complicate the identification of specific sequence variation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationASD mutations with very high penetrance are exceptional (i.e., Rett syndrome mutations in MECP2 and CDKL5), and Mendelian diseases enriched for ASD have far less than complete penetrance (e.g., Fragile X syndrome and tuberous sclerosis).
“Indeed, ASD mutations with very high penetrance are exceptional (i.e., Rett syndrome mutations in MECP2 and CDKL5), and Mendelian diseases enriched for ASD have far less than complete penetrance (e.g., Fragile X syndrome and tuberous sclerosis). 78”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [78] Stahl, E. A. et al. Bayesian inference analyses of the polygenic architecture of rheumatoid arthritis. Nature Genet. 44, 483–489 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationASD has been noted as a comorbid feature of >100 single gene, Mendelian medical genetic syndromes, although the penetrance and confidence of the clinical associations are variable.
“In addition, ASD has been noted as a comorbid feature of >100 single gene, Mendelian medical genetic syndromes, 79 although the penetrance and confidence of the clinical associations are variable.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [79] Folstein, S. E. & Rosen-Sheidley, B. Genetics of autism: complex aetiology for a heterogeneous disorder. Nature Rev. Genet. 2, 943–955 (2001). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationResults from SGENE+ implicate NRGN (neurogranin) which may act as a calcium sensor.
“Further, results from SGENE+ 60 implicate NRGN (neurogranin) which may act as a calcium sensor. 61”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [60] Psychiatric GWAS Consortium Bipolar Disorder Working Group. Large-scale genome-wide association analysis of bipolar disorder identifies a new susceptibility locus near ODZ4. Nature Genet. 43, 977–983 (2011). These two papers are the largest and most comprehensive GWAS mega-analyses conducted for psychotic disorders. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [61] Stefansson, H. et al. Common variants conferring risk of schizophrenia. Nature 460, 744–747 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationA sign test between the discovery and follow-up results was highly significant, again suggesting insufficient power.
“Similarly, a sign test between the discovery and follow-up results was highly significant, again suggesting insufficient power. 59”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [59] Schizophrenia Psychiatric Genome-Wide Association Study Consortium. Genome-wide association study identifies five new schizophrenia loci. Nature Genet. 43, 969–976 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationmiR-137 is a key regulator of neuronal development with roles in neurogenesis and maturation and is highly expressed at synapses in the cortex and hippocampus.
“miR-137 is a key regulator of neuronal development with roles in neurogenesis and maturation 64,65 and is highly expressed at synapses in the cortex and hippocampus. 66”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [64] Kwon, E., Wang, W. & Tsai, L. H. Validation of schizophrenia-associated genes CSMD1, C10orf26, CACNA1C and TCF4 as miR-137 targets. Mol. Psychiatry 20 Dec 2011 (doi:10.1038/mp.2011.170). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [65] Szulwach, K. E. et al. Cross talk between microRNA and epigenetic regulation in adult neurogenesis. J. Cell Biol. 189, 127–141 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [66] Smrt, R. D. et al. MicroRNA miR-137 regulates neuronal maturation by targeting ubiquitin ligase mind bomb-1. Stem Cells 28, 1060–1070 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningCase-control studies are simpler, and most biases can be surmounted by careful study procedures, but cannot delineate rare inherited from de novo variation.
“Case-control studies are simpler, and most biases can be surmounted by careful study procedures, but cannot delineate rare inherited from de novo variation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationAll three studies noted an increased rate of de novo exonic mutations in older parents, with the mutations generally being of paternal origin.
“Intriguingly, all three studies noted an increased rate of de novo exonic mutations in older parents (with the mutations generally being of paternal origin), 83–85”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenA focus on multiplex pedigrees has led to the identification of specific mutations underlying hundreds of Mendelian disorders (including ASD and AD).
“A focus on multiplex pedigrees has led to the identification of specific mutations underlying hundreds of Mendelian disorders (including ASD and AD).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisereasoningThe 16p11.2 SV associated with ASD and SCZ has been termed a 'mirror image' SV since the deletion and duplication are associated with increased and reduced head and body size.
“The 16p11.2 SV associated with ASD and SCZ has been termed a “mirror image” SV since the deletion and duplication are associated with increased and reduced head and body size.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIt is difficult to understand the clinical features of ASD and SCZ as mirror images and, more importantly, ASD is associated with both 16p11.2 deletions and duplications.
“However, it is difficult to understand the clinical features of ASD and SCZ as mirror images and, more importantly, ASD is associated with both 16p11.2 deletions and duplications.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningSimplex-based ascertainment is tailored to evaluate de novo mutations, and predicated on a model in which disorder with dramatically reduced fecundity and a proven role of de novo SV might be explicable as a series of Mendelian disorders attributable to recent high-penetrance mutations in any of a large number of genes.
“Simplex-based ascertainment is tailored to evaluate de novo mutations, and predicated on a model in which disorder with dramatically reduced fecundity and a proven role of de novo SV might be explicable as a series of Mendelian disorders attributable to recent high-penetrance mutations in any of a large number of genes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningDe novo events must confer risk in multiplex families, as such mutations increase the chance that an individual is affected and increase risk in that person's offspring.
“It has also been pointed out that de novo events must confer risk in multiplex families, as such mutations increase the chance that an individual is affected and increase risk in that person’s offspring.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationFor ALC, the published GWAS are small and no large-scale meta-analysis has been conducted.
“For ALC, the published GWAS are small and no large-scale meta-analysis has been conducted. 93–97”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 5 sources checked- cites [93] Tobacco and Genetics Consortium. Meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies implicate multiple loci for smoking behavior. Nature Genet. 42, 441–447 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [94] Edenberg, H. J. et al. Genome-wide association study of alcohol dependence implicates a region on chromosome 11. Alcohol. Clin. Exp. Res. 34, 840–852 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [95] Bierut, L. J. et al. A genome-wide association study of alcohol dependence. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 107, 5082–5087 (2010). source
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- cites [96] Kendler, K. S. et al. Genomewide association analysis of symptoms of alcohol dependence in the molecular genetics of schizophrenia (MGS2) control sample. Alcohol. Clin. Exp. Res. 35, 963–975 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [97] Heath, A. C. et al. A quantitative-trait genome-wide association study of alcoholism risk in the community: findings and implications. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 513–518 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationVoineagu et al. identified a gene expression module that had attenuated expression in post-mortem brain samples of individuals with ASD and which also had enrichment for GWAS signals.
“Additional support for our recommendation for more GWAS is provided by Voineagu et al. who identified a gene expression module that had attenuated expression in post-mortem brain samples of individuals with ASD and which also had enrichment for GWAS signals. 90”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [90] Ma, D. et al. A genome-wide association study of autism reveals a common novel risk locus at 5p14.1. Ann. Hum. Genet. 73, 263–273 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAssociations to the nicotinic receptor gene region have also been reported for lung cancer.
“Associations to this region have also bee reported for lung cancer. 105,106”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [105] Saccone, N. L. et al. Multiple independent loci at chromosome 15q25.1 affect smoking quantity: a meta-analysis and comparison with lung cancer and COPD. PLoS Genet. 6, e1001053 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [106] Thorgeirsson, T. E. et al. A variant associated with nicotine dependence, lung cancer and peripheral arterial disease. Nature 452, 638–642 (2008). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA provocative finding from 2003 was that risk for MDD might be influenced by a gene-environment interaction with genetic variation near the serotonin transporter.
“A provocative finding from 2003 was that risk for MDD might be influenced by a gene-environment interaction with genetic variation near the serotonin transporter. 110”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [110] Rucker, J. J. et al. Genome-wide association analysis of copy number variation in recurrent depressive disorder. Mol. Psychiatry 1 Nov 2011 (doi:10.1038/mp.2011.144). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenAlmost all other published GWAS with N>11,000 for any disease has found at least one genome-wide significant finding.
“These null results are intriguing as almost all other published GWAS with N>11,000 for any disease has found at least one genome-wide significant finding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe most likely reasons for the null MDD GWAS results are particularly high heterogeneity of MDD and insufficient power arising from its lower heritability.
“The most likely reasons for these results are particularly high heterogeneity of MDD and insufficient power arising from its lower heritability. 108”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [108] Fowler, C. D., Lu, Q., Johnson, P. M., Marks, M. J. & Kenny, P. J. Habenular α5 nicotinic receptor subunit signalling controls nicotine intake. Nature 471, 597–601 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThere is an important component arising from common variation in hundreds of different loci for SCZ, and larger sample sizes are likely to convert many of these to genome-wide significance.
“There is an important component arising from common variation in hundreds of different loci (Box 3), and larger sample sizes are likely to convert many of these to genome-wide significance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe data support multiple novel biological hypotheses (cholesterol metabolism and innate immune response in AD, a network involving miR-137 for SCZ, calcium signaling for BIP and SCZ, and chromatin remodeling for ASD) and reinforce previous hypotheses such as synaptic biology for SCZ and ASD.
“The data support multiple novel biological hypotheses (for example, cholesterol metabolism and the innate immune response in AD, a network involving miR-137 for SCZ, calcium signaling for BIP and SCZ, and chromatin remodeling for ASD) and reinforce previous hypotheses such as synaptic biology for SCZ and ASD).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningFor disorders with sufficient data (AD, BIP, and SCZ), the results are consistent with an allelic spectrum and an etiological role for both rare and common variation.
“For disorders with sufficient data (AD, BIP, and SCZ), the results are consistent with an allelic spectrum and an etiological role for both rare and common variation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe data support both rare and common variant models for psychiatric disorders.
“Although we were initially agnostic 123 we now believe that the data support both positions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationCommon variant SNP effects have been estimated to explain large proportions of the phenotypic heritability for a wide range of diseases: BIP and SCZ; T1DM, T2DM, Crohn's disease, rheumatoid arthritis, celiac disease, and coronary artery disease; and continuous traits (height, intelligence, and body mass).
“Common variant SNP effects have been estimated to explain large proportions of the phenotypic heritability for a wide range of diseases: BIP and SCZ; 69,130 T1DM, T2DM, Crohn’s disease, rheumatoid arthritis, celiac disease, and coronary artery disease; 70,77 and continuous traits (height, intelligence, and body mass). 70,131,132”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 6 sources checked- cites [69] Yue, W. H. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies a susceptibility locus for schizophrenia in Han Chinese at 11p11.2. Nature Genet. 43, 1228–1231 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [130] Kim, Y., Zerwas, S., Trace, S. E. & Sullivan, P. F. Schizophrenia genetics: where next? Schizophr. Bull. 37, 456–463 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [70] International Schizophrenia Consortium. Common polygenic variation contributes to risk of schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Nature 460, 748–752 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [77] Speliotes, E. K. et al. Association analyses of 249,796 individuals reveal 18 new loci associated with body mass index. Nature Genet. 42, 937–948 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [131] Lee, S. et al. Estimating the proportion of variation in susceptibility to schizophrenia captured by common SNPs. Nature Genet. 44, 247–250 (2012). This is a provocative paper showing that liability to SCZ is substantial and distributed among genetic variants across the common variant spectrum and across the genome. The authors suggest that the so-called missing heritability problem is hidden and that the architecture of SCZ is polygenic. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [132] Davies, G. et al. Genome-wide association studies establish that human intelligence is highly heritable and polygenic. Mol. Psychiatry 16, 996–1005 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThere are statistical hints that ADHD and MDD might also be polygenic.
“There are statistical hints that ADHD and MDD might also be polygenic.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe knowledge base in psychiatric genetics is vastly greater than five years ago, and the rate of change is unprecedented in the history of the field.
“the knowledge base in psychiatric genetics is vastly greater than five years ago, and the rate of change is unprecedented in the history of the field.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenSV testing is often part of the clinical evaluation of ASD.
“For example, SV testing is often part of the clinical evaluation of ASD”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationIt is possible to provide realistic estimates of power and to predict the number of new associations for each increment in sample size.
“It is possible to provide realistic estimates of power and to predict the number of new associations for each increment in sample size 128,129,140”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [128] Orozco, G., Barrett, J. C. & Zeggini, E. Synthetic associations in the context of genome-wide association scan signals. Hum. Mol. Genet. 19, R137–R144 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [129] Lander, E. S. Initial impact of the sequencing of the human genome. Nature 470, 187–197 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [140] Miller, G. Is pharma running out of brainy ideas? Science 329, 502–504 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe genomic search space is large but finite and so, in theory, elucidating the parts list for a psychiatric disorder could be achieved.
“The genomic search space is large but finite and so, in theory, elucidating the parts list for a psychiatric disorder could be achieved.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The genomic search space is large but finite.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenA comprehensive portrait of genetic architecture does not now exist for any psychiatric disorder.
“A comprehensive portrait of genetic architecture does not now exist for any psychiatric disorder.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThere have been multiple meta-analysis consortia in psychiatric genetics, of which the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium is the largest and most encompassing.
“there have been multiple meta-analysis 146,147 consortia in psychiatric genetics, of which the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (http://pgc.unc.edu) is the largest and most encompassing. 123,148,149”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [123] McClellan, J. & King, M. C. Genomic analysis of mental illness: a changing landscape. JAMA 303, 2523–2524 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [148] de Bakker, P. I., Neale, B. M. & Daly, M. J. Meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies. Cold Spring Harb. Protoc. 2010, pdb.top81 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [149] Psychiatric GWAS Consortium. Genome-wide association studies: history, rationale, and prospects for psychiatric disorders. Am. J. Psychiatry 166, 540–546 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe lifetime cost per person with SCZ is on the order of $US 1.4 million.
“For example, the lifetime cost per person with SCZ is on the order of $US 1.4 million: 145”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [145] Lamarre-Cliche, M., Castilloux, A. M. & LeLorier, J. Association between the burden of disease and research funding by the Medical Research Council of Canada and the National Institutes of Health. A cross-sectional study. Clin. Invest. Med. 24, 83–89 (2001).
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe successful study of any type of genetic variation in complex biomedical diseases requires very large sample sizes.
“The successful study of any type of genetic variation in complex biomedical diseases requires very large sample sizes as a means to cut the Gordian knot posed by genetic architecture, etiological complexity, and phenotypic uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenGenomic technologies routinely posit 105-108 hypotheses, and false positives are a serious concern.
“Genomic technologies routinely posit 105–108 hypotheses, and false positives are a serious concern.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationHumans carry a huge pool of phenotypically-neutral background variation that adds noise to genetic analyses (for example, each person has ~100 loss-of-function variants, most of which are rare in a population).
“Humans carry a huge pool of phenotypically-neutral background variation that adds noise to genetic analyses (for example, each person has ~100 loss-of-function variants, most of which are rare in a population), 152,153”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [152] Easton, D. F. et al. Genome-wide association study identifies novel breast cancer susceptibility loci. Nature 447, 1087–1093 (2007). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [153] MacArthur, D. G. et al. A systematic survey of loss-of-function variants in human protein-coding genes. Science 335, 823–828 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premiseown dataA GWAS co-authorship network graph demonstrates the high connectedness of researchers in the field.
“Indeed, a GWAS co-authorship network graph demonstrates the high connectedness of researchers in the field (Figure S2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe published results for ASD and unpublished data on SCZ suggest these issues will be important and underscore the need for sequencing studies to have the same emphasis on statistical rigor and large sample sizes that has enabled GWAS to realize success for multiple psychiatric disorders.
“The published results for ASD 83–85 and unpublished data on SCZ suggest these issues will be important and underscore the need for sequencing studies to have the same emphasis on statistical rigor and large sample sizes that has enabled GWAS to realize success for multiple psychiatric disorders. 154”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [83] Marshall, C. R. et al. Structural variation of chromosomes in autism spectrum disorder. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 82, 477–488 (2008). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [84] Neale, B. M. et al. Patterns and rates of exonic de novo mutations in autism spectrum disorders. Nature 485, 242–245 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [85] O'Roak, B. J. et al. Sporadic autism exomes reveal a highly interconnected protein network of de novo mutations. Nature 485, 246–250 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [154] Durbin, R. M. et al. A map of human genome variation from population-scale sequencing. Nature 467, 1061–1073 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe genetics knowledge base has advanced considerably during the past five years, and results to date contain clear indications that further study will yield greater insight.
“the genetics knowledge base has advanced considerably during the past five years, and results to date contain clear indications that further study will yield greater insight.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Pathway analysis is based on the assumption that risk variants for a disease will converge on sets of genes whose functions are more closely related to each other than to random sets of genes.
“Pathway analysis is based on the assumption that risk variants for a disease will converge on sets of genes whose functions are more closely related to each other than to random sets of genes.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
For rare variants in complex diseases, pathway analysis will by necessity be based on sets of genes whose involvement in disease is unclear (e.g., genes with a single observed de novo exonic deleterious mutation).
“For rare variants in complex diseases, based on recent empirical results for ASD, it is probably reasonable to assume that pathway analysis will by necessity be based on sets of genes whose involvement in disease is unclear (e.g., genes with a single observed de novo exonic deleterious mutation). 83,84”
The paper relies on this without support.
Common variation plays a clear role in other psychiatric disorders.
“given that detailed studies of rare variation currently explain a fraction of risk and that common variation plays a clear role in other psychiatric disorders.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The genomic search space is large but finite.
“The genomic search space is large but finite and so, in theory, elucidating the parts list for a psychiatric disorder could be achieved.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The etiology of ASD is primarily genetic.
“The etiology of ASD is also primarily genetic (Sullivan et al., 2012)”
From Parallel social information processing circuits are differentially impacted in autism (2020) · cites this paper as Sullivan et al., 2012
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Conflicting conclusions about whether ASD risk can be entirely due to rare variants
MajorThe paper says the available evidence cannot establish or rule out a role for common genetic variation in ASD, but later says an architecture consisting entirely of rare variants is inconsistent with the ASD data. The latter conclusion rules out what the former says remains possible.
“It is currently not possible to discern or dismiss a role for common genetic variation in risk for ASD.”
“Hypothesized genetic architectures consisting entirely of rare variants are inconsistent with the data for AD, ASD, BIP, and SCZ (as well as for multiple other complex biomedical diseases).”
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Self-citationAssociation analyses of 249,796 individuals reveal 18 new loci associated with body mass index
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Self-citationSong, J., Bergen, S. E., Kuja‐Halkola, R., Larsson, H., Landén, M., & Lichtenstein, P. (2014) · Bipolar Disorders · doi:10.1111/bdi.12242 · Cited by 163 · see citing works
The complex neurobiology of resilient functioning after childhood maltreatment
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Self-citationA Comprehensive Family-Based Replication Study of Schizophrenia Genes
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Self-citationMajor channels involved in neuropsychiatric disorders and therapeutic perspectives
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Heritability of Perinatal Depression and Genetic Overlap With Nonperinatal Depression
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Self-citationEndophenotypes in Psychopathology Research: Where Do We Stand?
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Why does the magnitude of genotype‐by‐environment interaction vary?
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- Authors
- Sullivan, P. F., Daly, M. J., & O'Donovan, M.
- Affiliations
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Sullivan, Patrick F.
- Venue
- Nature Reviews Genetics
- Published
- 2012-07-10
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 537-551
- ISSN
- 1471-0056 (ISSN-L)
- 1471-0064
- PMC
- PMC4110909
- OpenAlex
- W2017826413
- Semantic Scholar
- 0daf00932712fc6331a171911cea4681ab7a668e
- Cited by
- 1,177
- References
- 209
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 56 · 2024: 37 · 2023: 41 · 2022: 58 · 2021: 68 · 2020: 84 · 2019: 91 · 2018: 103 · 2017: 107 · 2016: 107 · 2015: 127 · 2014: 150 · 2013: 90 · 2012: 21
- FWCI
- 15.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Reviews Genetics (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust
- National Institutes of Health
- Medical Research Council
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH077139, U01MH085520, MH085520, MH077139)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Schizophrenia research and treatment
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genomic variations and chromosomal abnormalities
- Keywords
- mental illness, genetic architecture, genome-wide association study, structural variants, exome sequencing, Alzheimer's disease, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, alcoholism, anorexia nervosa, autism spectrum disorder, bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, nicotine dependence, schizophrenia, genetic aetiology
- MeSH terms
- Alcoholism, Alzheimer Disease, Anorexia Nervosa, Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity, Mental Disorders, Bipolar Disorder, Child, Child Development Disorders, Pervasive, Major Depressive Disorder, Humans, Models, Genetic, Schizophrenia, Tobacco Use Disorder
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