Fruit and vegetable intake and the risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality - a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies
Open accessAbstract
Background: Questions remain about the strength and shape of the dose-response relationship between fruit and vegetable intake and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and mortality, and the effects of specific types of fruit and vegetables. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to clarify these associations. Methods: PubMed and Embase were searched up to 29 September 2016. Prospective studies of fruit and vegetable intake and cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality were included. Summary relative risks (RRs) were calculated using a random effects model, and the mortality burden globally was estimated; 95 studies (142 publications) were included. Results: For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary RR per 200 g/day was 0.92 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90-0.94, I 2 = 0%, n = 15] for coronary heart disease, 0.84 (95% CI: 0.76-0.92, I 2 = 73%, n = 10) for stroke, 0.92 (95% CI: 0.90-0.95, I 2 = 31%, n = 13) for cardiovascular disease, 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.99, I 2 = 49%, n = 12) for total cancer and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.93, I 2 = 83%, n = 15) for all-cause mortality. Similar associations were observed for fruits and vegetables separately. Reductions in risk were observed up to 800 g/day for all outcomes except cancer (600 g/day). Inverse associations were observed between the intake of apples and pears, citrus fruits, green leafy vegetables, cruciferous vegetables, and salads and cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality, and between the intake of green-yellow vegetables and cruciferous vegetables and total cancer risk. An estimated 5.6 and 7.8 million premature deaths worldwide in 2013 may be attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively, if the observed associations are causal. Conclusions: Fruit and vegetable intakes were associated with reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and all-cause mortality. These results support public health recommendations to increase fruit and vegetable intake for the prevention of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and premature mortality.
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TL;DR
This systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of 95 prospective studies found that higher fruit and vegetable intake was associated with lower risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer, and all-cause mortality. Risk reductions were observed up to 800 g/day for most outcomes but only up to 600 g/day for total cancer.
Key findings
- For fruits and vegetables combined, summary RRs per 200 g/day were 0.92 (95% CI 0.90–0.94) for coronary heart disease, 0.84 (0.76–0.92) for stroke, 0.92 (0.90–0.95) for cardiovascular disease, 0.97 (0.95–0.99) for total cancer, and 0.90 (0.87–0.93) for all-cause mortality.
- Reductions in risk were observed up to 800 g/day for all outcomes except total cancer, where no further reductions were observed above 600 g/day.
- Inverse associations were reported for apples/pears, citrus fruits, green leafy vegetables, cruciferous vegetables, and salads with cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality, and for green-yellow vegetables and cruciferous vegetables with total cancer risk.
- An estimated 5.6 and 7.8 million premature deaths worldwide in 2013 may be attributable to fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively, if the observed associations are causal.
Methods
- Systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies; PubMed and Embase were searched up to 29 September 2016, including 95 studies (142 publications).
- Summary relative risks were calculated using a random-effects model (DerSimonian and Laird), with linear dose-response analyses using Greenland and Longnecker methods and nonlinear analyses using restricted cubic splines.
- Attributable fractions were estimated using relative risks from nonlinear dose-response analyses, prevalence data from the World Health Survey, and mortality data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.
Limitations
- The paper states heterogeneity was low for coronary heart disease, moderate to high for stroke, cardiovascular disease, and total cancer, and high for all-cause mortality; heterogeneity may reflect differences in populations, follow-up, dietary assessment, and adjustment factors.
- The paper states residual confounding cannot be entirely excluded, and measurement error and regression dilution bias may have attenuated observed risk estimates.
- The paper states there were no prospective cohort data from some regions, including Africa, West Asia, South and Latin America, and that attributable-fraction estimates depend on assumptions of causality, lack of confounding, and generalizability.
- The text also makes evident that subtype analyses often included few studies, with potential for selective reporting and publication of subtypes significantly associated with risk.
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- Findingown data
There was a 28% reduction in the relative risk of stroke at 500 g/day of vegetables.
“28% reduction in the relative risk at 500 g/day of vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fruit juice intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis.
“apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, beta-carotene-rich fruits and vegetables and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables showed inverse associations with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For vegetables, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for coronary heart disease was 0.84 (95% CI 0.79-0.90, I2 = 61%).
“0.84 (95% CI: 0.79–0.90, I2 = 61%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for coronary heart disease was 0.92 (95% CI 0.90-0.94, I2 = 0%, n = 15).
“For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary RR per 200 g/day was 0.92 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90–0.94, I2 = 0%, n = 15] for coronary heart disease”
- Also stated in: § Coronary heart disease · plain
“The summary RR per 200 g/day was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.90–0.94, I2 = 0%) for fruits and vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Coronary heart disease · plain
- Findingown data
Beta-carotene-rich fruit and vegetable intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis.
“apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, beta-carotene-rich fruits and vegetables and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables showed inverse associations with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
There was a 20% reduction in the relative risk of stroke at 200-350 g/day of fruits.
“20% reduction in the relative risk at 200–350 g/day of fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Green leafy vegetable intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis.
“apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, beta-carotene-rich fruits and vegetables and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables showed inverse associations with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Citrus fruit intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis.
“apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, beta-carotene-rich fruits and vegetables and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables showed inverse associations with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for total cancer was 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.99, I2 = 49%, n = 12).
“0.97 (95% CI: 0.95–0.99, I2 = 49%, n = 12) for total cancer”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was no evidence of a nonlinear association between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease (P for nonlinearity = 0.30).
“There was no evidence of a nonlinear association for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.30”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was a 33% reduction in the relative risk of stroke at intakes of 800 g/day of fruits and vegetables.
“There was a 33% reduction in the relative risk at intakes of 800 g/day of fruits and vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for all-cause mortality was 0.90 (95% CI 0.87-0.93, I2 = 83%, n = 15).
“0.90 (95% CI: 0.87–0.93, I2 = 83%, n = 15) for all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for stroke was 0.82 (95% CI 0.74-0.90, I2 = 73%).
“0.82 (95% CI: 0.74–0.90, I2 = 73%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Vitamin C-rich fruit and vegetable intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis.
“apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, beta-carotene-rich fruits and vegetables and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables showed inverse associations with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was a 24% reduction in the relative risk of coronary heart disease at an intake of 800 g/day of fruits and vegetables.
“there was a 24% reduction in the relative risk at an intake of 800 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for stroke was 0.84 (95% CI 0.76-0.92, I2 = 73%, n = 10).
“For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary RR per 200 g/day was 0.92 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90–0.94, I2 = 0%, n = 15] for coronary heart disease, 0.84 (95% CI: 0.76–0.92, I2 = 73%, n = 10) for stroke”
- Also stated in: § Stroke · plain
“The summary RR per 200 g/day was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.76–0.92, I2 = 73%) for fruits and vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Stroke · plain
- Findingown data
For fruits and vegetables combined, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for cardiovascular disease was 0.92 (95% CI 0.90-0.95, I2 = 31%, n = 13).
“0.92 (95% CI: 0.90–0.95, I2 = 31%, n = 13) for cardiovascular disease”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of a nonlinear association between fruit and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables, and total stroke (P for nonlinearity < 0.0001 for all).
“There was evidence of a nonlinear association between fruit and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables, and total stroke, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Apples/pears intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis.
“apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, beta-carotene-rich fruits and vegetables and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables showed inverse associations with coronary heart disease in the high vs low analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for coronary heart disease was 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.94, I2 = 44%).
“0.90 (95% CI: 0.86–0.94, I2 = 44%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For vegetables, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day for stroke was 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.96, I2 = 63%).
“0.87 (95% CI: 0.79–0.96, I2 = 63%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High intake of apples/pears is inversely associated with total stroke risk.
“high intakes of apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juice, green leafy vegetables and pickled vegetables were inversely associated with total stroke risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For haemorrhagic stroke, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day increase in vegetable intake was 0.76 (95% CI 0.55-1.06, I2 = 42%).
“0.76 (95% CI: 0.55–1.06, I2 = 42%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, most of the reductions in risk occurred at lower levels of intake.
“with most of the reductions in risk at lower levels of intake”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, the summary relative risk for fruit and vegetable intake combined was 0.90 (95% CI 0.87-0.93, I2 = 83%).
“The summary RR was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87–0.93, I2 = 83%) for fruits and vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, the summary relative risk for fruit intake was 0.87 (95% CI 0.82-0.92, I2 = 79%).
“0.87 (95% CI: 0.82–0.92, I2 = 79%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High intake of fruit juice is inversely associated with total stroke risk.
“high intakes of apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juice, green leafy vegetables and pickled vegetables were inversely associated with total stroke risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, there was a 25% reduction in relative risk at an intake of 600 g/day for vegetables.
“There were 31%, 19% and 25% reductions in the relative risk with intakes of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables combined, and at 600 g/day for fruits, and for vegetables, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For haemorrhagic stroke, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day increase in fruit intake was 0.66 (95% CI 0.50-0.86, I2 = 57%).
“0.66 (95% CI: 0.50–0.86, I2 = 57%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of nonlinearity for vegetables and cardiovascular disease, Pnonlinearity = 0.04.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001, for fruits and vegetables (Figure 4b; Supplementary Table 14), and fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001, (Figure 4d; Supplementary Table 15), and for vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.04 (Figure 4f; Supplementary Table 15)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Tomato intake was inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the dose-response analysis.
“tomatoes were inversely associated with coronary heart disease in the dose-response analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of citrus fruits is inversely associated with ischaemic stroke risk.
“For ischaemic stroke26,109–111,121,146,150,162,164 there was evidence that intake of citrus fruits, citrus fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For ischaemic stroke, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day increase in vegetable intake was 0.86 (95% CI 0.76-0.97, I2 = 55%).
“0.86 (95% CI: 0.76–0.97, I2 = 55%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High intake of citrus fruits is inversely associated with total stroke risk.
“high intakes of apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juice, green leafy vegetables and pickled vegetables were inversely associated with total stroke risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, the summary relative risk for fruit intake was 0.96 (95% CI 0.94-0.99, I2 = 52%).
“0.96 (95% CI: 0.94–0.99, I2 = 52%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High versus low intake of tinned fruits is positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High versus low intake of carrots is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For vegetables and cardiovascular disease, the association was approximately linear.
“although for vegetables the association was approximately linear”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
High intake of green leafy vegetables is inversely associated with total stroke risk.
“high intakes of apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juice, green leafy vegetables and pickled vegetables were inversely associated with total stroke risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, the summary relative risk for vegetable intake was 0.87 (95% CI 0.82-0.92, I2 = 82%).
“0.87 (95% CI: 0.82–0.92, I2 = 82%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In nonlinear dose-response analysis, cruciferous vegetables are inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, there was a 28% reduction in relative risk at an intake of 600 g/day for vegetables.
“There were 28%, 27% and 28% reductions in relative risk at intakes of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables and fruits, and 600 g/day of vegetables, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of green leafy vegetables is inversely associated with ischaemic stroke risk.
“For ischaemic stroke26,109–111,121,146,150,162,164 there was evidence that intake of citrus fruits, citrus fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, the summary relative risk for fruit and vegetable intake combined was 0.92 (95% CI 0.90-0.95, I2 = 31%).
“The summary RR was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.90–0.95, I2 = 31%) for fruits and vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of grapes is inversely associated with total stroke risk in the dose-response analysis.
“intake of grapes was also inversely associated with total stroke in the dose-response analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the analysis of vegetables and cardiovascular disease, there was a stronger association among studies with mortality as the outcome compared with studies with incidence as the outcome, Pheterogeneity = 0.03.
“in the analysis of vegetables and cardiovascular disease there was a stronger association among studies with mortality as the outcome compared with studies with incidence as the outcome, Pheterogeneity = 0.03”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of citrus fruit juices is inversely associated with ischaemic stroke risk.
“For ischaemic stroke26,109–111,121,146,150,162,164 there was evidence that intake of citrus fruits, citrus fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the analysis of fruits and vegetables and all-cause mortality, there was a weaker association among studies that adjusted for red and processed meat intake compared to studies with such adjustment, Pheterogeneity < 0.0001.
“In the analysis of fruits and vegetables and all-cause mortality there was a weaker association among the studies that adjusted for red and processed meat intake compared to studies with such adjustment, Pheterogeneity < 0.0001”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Green-yellow vegetables are significantly inversely associated with total cancer risk.
“there were significant inverse associations between cruciferous vegetables and green-yellow vegetables and total cancer risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, the summary relative risk for vegetable intake was 0.90 (95% CI 0.87-0.93, I2 = 12%).
“0.90 (95% CI: 0.87–0.93, I2 = 12%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, there were stronger reductions in risk at lower levels of intake.
“with stronger reductions in risk at lower levels of intake”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, the summary relative risk for vegetable intake was 0.96 (95% CI 0.93-0.99, I2 = 55%).
“0.96 (95% CI: 0.93–0.99, I2 = 55%) for vegetables”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the analysis of fruits and vegetables and cardiovascular disease, there was a weaker association among studies with adjustment for body mass index than among studies without such adjustment, Pheterogeneity = 0.03.
“In the analysis of fruits and vegetables and cardiovascular disease there was a weaker association among studies with adjustment for body mass index (BMI) than among studies without such adustment, Pheterogeneity = 0.03”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, the summary relative risk for fruit intake was 0.85 (95% CI 0.80-0.91, I2 = 90%).
“0.85 (95% CI: 0.80–0.91, I2 = 90%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, there was a 31% reduction in relative risk at an intake of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables combined.
“There were 31%, 19% and 25% reductions in the relative risk with intakes of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables combined, and at 600 g/day for fruits, and for vegetables, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In nonlinear dose-response analysis, tomatoes are inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
High versus low intake of noncruciferous vegetables is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High versus low intake of apples/pears is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, there was little evidence of further reductions in risk with higher intakes.
“but there was little evidence of further reductions in risk with higher intakes”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Cruciferous vegetables are significantly inversely associated with total cancer risk.
“there were significant inverse associations between cruciferous vegetables and green-yellow vegetables and total cancer risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In nonlinear dose-response analysis, green leafy vegetables are inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, the inverse associations were steeper at lower levels of intake for fruits and vegetables and fruits.
“with steeper inverse associations at lower levels of intake”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For haemorrhagic stroke, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day increase in fruit and vegetable intake combined was 0.88 (95% CI 0.78-0.99, I2 = 0%).
“0.88 (95% CI: 0.78–0.99, I2 = 0%) for fruits and vegetables combined”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables is inversely associated with ischaemic stroke risk.
“For ischaemic stroke26,109–111,121,146,150,162,164 there was evidence that intake of citrus fruits, citrus fruit juices, green leafy vegetables, and vitamin C-rich fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
None of the associations with haemorrhagic stroke were significant.
“none of the associations with haemorrhagic stroke26,109,146,150,164 were significant”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, the summary relative risk for fruit and vegetable intake combined was 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.99, I2 = 49%).
“The summary RR was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95–0.99, I2 = 49%) for fruits and vegetables combined”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, there was a 28% reduction in relative risk at an intake of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables.
“There were 28%, 27% and 28% reductions in relative risk at intakes of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables and fruits, and 600 g/day of vegetables, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of nonlinearity for vegetables and all-cause mortality, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6b; Supplementary Table 18), fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6d; Supplementary Table 18), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6f; Supplementary Table 18), respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For all-cause mortality, there was a 19% reduction in relative risk at an intake of 600 g/day for fruits.
“There were 31%, 19% and 25% reductions in the relative risk with intakes of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables combined, and at 600 g/day for fruits, and for vegetables, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, there was a 12% reduction in relative risk for an intake of 550-600 g/day for vegetables.
“There were 14%, 8% and 12% reductions in the relative risk for intakes of 550–600 g/day for fruits and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables, respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, there was a 14% reduction in relative risk for an intake of 550-600 g/day for fruits and vegetables.
“There were 14%, 8% and 12% reductions in the relative risk for intakes of 550–600 g/day for fruits and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables, respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables and cardiovascular disease, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001, for fruits and vegetables (Figure 4b; Supplementary Table 14), and fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001, (Figure 4d; Supplementary Table 15), and for vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.04 (Figure 4f; Supplementary Table 15)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the analysis of vegetables and all-cause mortality, there was a stronger association among studies without adjustment for smoking than among studies with such adjustment, Pheterogeneity = 0.003.
“in the analysis of vegetables and all-cause mortality there was a stronger association among the studies without adjustment for smoking than among studies with such adjustment, Pheterogeneity = 0.003”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For cardiovascular disease, there was a 27% reduction in relative risk at an intake of 800 g/day for fruits.
“There were 28%, 27% and 28% reductions in relative risk at intakes of 800 g/day for fruits and vegetables and fruits, and 600 g/day of vegetables, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and cardiovascular disease, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001, for fruits and vegetables (Figure 4b; Supplementary Table 14), and fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001, (Figure 4d; Supplementary Table 15), and for vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.04 (Figure 4f; Supplementary Table 15)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and all-cause mortality, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6b; Supplementary Table 18), fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6d; Supplementary Table 18), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6f; Supplementary Table 18), respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer, there was an 8% reduction in relative risk for an intake of 550-600 g/day for fruits.
“There were 14%, 8% and 12% reductions in the relative risk for intakes of 550–600 g/day for fruits and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables, respectively”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High versus low intake of citrus fruits is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk.
“there was evidence that high vs low intake of apples/pears, citrus fruits, carrots and noncruciferous vegetables were inversely associated, and tinned fruits were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk, and in the nonlinear dose-response analysis there was evidence that cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, and tomatoes were inversely associated with risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High intake of pickled vegetables is inversely associated with total stroke risk.
“high intakes of apples/pears, citrus fruits, fruit juice, green leafy vegetables and pickled vegetables were inversely associated with total stroke risk”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Globally in 2013, an estimated 5.4 million premature deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day.
“Globally an estimated 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1.47 million stroke deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5.4 million premature deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day in 2013”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
In nonlinear models, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of all-cause mortality was reduced by 27%.
“In the nonlinear models, there were 16%, 28%, 22%, 13% and 27% reductions in the RR of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality, respectively, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0–40 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of tinned fruits was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality.
“In contrast, intake of tinned fruits was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, the RR of coronary heart disease was reduced by 8-16%.
“There was a 8–16% reduction in the RR of coronary heart disease, 13–18% reduction in the RR of stroke, 8–13% reduction in the RR of cardiovascular disease, 3–4% reduction in the RR of total cancer and 10–15% reduction in the RR of all-cause mortality for each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
When using 800 g/day as the optimal intake, an estimated 660,000 cancer deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day.
“and this increased to 1.34 million coronary heart disease deaths, 2.68 million stroke deaths, 660 000 cancer deaths and 7.8 million deaths from all causes when using 800 g/day as the optimal intake.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
For an intake of 800 g/day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of cardiovascular disease was reduced by 28%.
“whereas an intake of 800 g/day was associated with 24%, 33%, 28%, 14% and 31% reductions in the RR, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
When we conducted subgroup analyses to investigate sources of heterogeneity, we found in general little evidence of heterogeneity between most subgroups.
“However, when we conducted subgroup analyses to investigate sources of the heterogeneity, we found in general little evidence of heterogeneity between most subgroups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For total cancer the lowest risk was observed at an intake of 600 g/day (7.5 servings/day).
“For total cancer the lowest risk was observed at an intake of 600 g/day (7.5 servings/day)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of all-cause mortality.
“In conclusion, we found an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, the RR of all-cause mortality was reduced by 10-15%.
“There was a 8–16% reduction in the RR of coronary heart disease, 13–18% reduction in the RR of stroke, 8–13% reduction in the RR of cardiovascular disease, 3–4% reduction in the RR of total cancer and 10–15% reduction in the RR of all-cause mortality for each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was indication of small-study bias in several of the analyses.
“There was indication of small-study bias in several of the analyses, and we may therefore have slightly overestimated some of the associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, the RR of cardiovascular disease was reduced by 8-13%.
“There was a 8–16% reduction in the RR of coronary heart disease, 13–18% reduction in the RR of stroke, 8–13% reduction in the RR of cardiovascular disease, 3–4% reduction in the RR of total cancer and 10–15% reduction in the RR of all-cause mortality for each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For fruits and vegetables combined, the lowest risk for coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality was observed at 800 g/day (10 servings/day).
“whereas for coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality the lowest risk was observed at 800 g/day (10 servings/day), which was at the high end of the range of intake across studies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For an intake of 800 g/day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of total cancer was reduced by 14%.
“whereas an intake of 800 g/day was associated with 24%, 33%, 28%, 14% and 31% reductions in the RR, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
When using 800 g/day as the optimal intake, an estimated 1.34 million coronary heart disease deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day.
“and this increased to 1.34 million coronary heart disease deaths, 2.68 million stroke deaths, 660 000 cancer deaths and 7.8 million deaths from all causes when using 800 g/day as the optimal intake.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
Globally in 2013, an estimated 560,000 cancer deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day.
“Globally an estimated 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1.47 million stroke deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5.4 million premature deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day in 2013”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
For each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, the RR of stroke was reduced by 13-18%.
“There was a 8–16% reduction in the RR of coronary heart disease, 13–18% reduction in the RR of stroke, 8–13% reduction in the RR of cardiovascular disease, 3–4% reduction in the RR of total cancer and 10–15% reduction in the RR of all-cause mortality for each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fruit and vegetable intake was only weakly associated with overall cancer risk, particularly cancer incidence.
“Fruit and vegetable intake was only weakly associated with overall cancer risk, particularly cancer incidence”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Globally in 2013, an estimated 710,000 coronary heart disease deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day.
“Globally an estimated 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1.47 million stroke deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5.4 million premature deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day in 2013”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
When using 800 g/day as the optimal intake, an estimated 2.68 million stroke deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day.
“and this increased to 1.34 million coronary heart disease deaths, 2.68 million stroke deaths, 660 000 cancer deaths and 7.8 million deaths from all causes when using 800 g/day as the optimal intake.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
Using total cardiovascular disease instead of coronary heart disease and stroke mortality, an estimated 1.25 million cardiovascular disease deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day.
“Alternatively, using total cardiovascular disease instead of coronary heart disease and stroke mortality, an estimated 1.25 and 2.26 million cardiovascular disease deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
In nonlinear models, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of cardiovascular disease was reduced by 22%.
“In the nonlinear models, there were 16%, 28%, 22%, 13% and 27% reductions in the RR of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality, respectively, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0–40 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of coronary heart disease.
“In conclusion, we found an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of cardiovascular disease.
“In conclusion, we found an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For an intake of 800 g/day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of coronary heart disease was reduced by 24%.
“whereas an intake of 800 g/day was associated with 24%, 33%, 28%, 14% and 31% reductions in the RR, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
We found significant inverse associations with overall cancer risk.
“In addition, we found significant inverse associations with overall cancer risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In nonlinear models, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of stroke was reduced by 28%.
“In the nonlinear models, there were 16%, 28%, 22%, 13% and 27% reductions in the RR of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality, respectively, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0–40 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Globally in 2013, an estimated 1.47 million stroke deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day.
“Globally an estimated 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1.47 million stroke deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5.4 million premature deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 g/day in 2013”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
In nonlinear models, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of coronary heart disease was reduced by 16%.
“In the nonlinear models, there were 16%, 28%, 22%, 13% and 27% reductions in the RR of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality, respectively, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0–40 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Several individual types of fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with total cancer (cruciferous vegetables and green-yellow vegetables).
“total cancer (cruciferous vegetables and green-yellow vegetables)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Several individual types of fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with all-cause mortality (apples/pears, berries, citrus fruits, cooked vegetables, cruciferous vegetables, potatoes, and green leafy vegetables/salads).
“all-cause mortality (apples/pears, berries, citrus fruits, cooked vegetables, cruciferous vegetables, potatoes, and green leafy vegetables/salads)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For an intake of 800 g/day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of stroke was reduced by 33%.
“whereas an intake of 800 g/day was associated with 24%, 33%, 28%, 14% and 31% reductions in the RR, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
When using 800 g/day as the optimal intake, an estimated 7.8 million deaths from all causes were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day.
“and this increased to 1.34 million coronary heart disease deaths, 2.68 million stroke deaths, 660 000 cancer deaths and 7.8 million deaths from all causes when using 800 g/day as the optimal intake.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
In nonlinear models, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of total cancer was reduced by 13%.
“In the nonlinear models, there were 16%, 28%, 22%, 13% and 27% reductions in the RR of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality, respectively, for an intake of 500 g of fruits and vegetables per day vs 0–40 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For an intake of 800 g/day vs 0-40 g/day, the RR of all-cause mortality was reduced by 31%.
“whereas an intake of 800 g/day was associated with 24%, 33%, 28%, 14% and 31% reductions in the RR, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Using total cardiovascular disease instead of coronary heart disease and stroke mortality, an estimated 2.26 million cardiovascular disease deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day.
“Alternatively, using total cardiovascular disease instead of coronary heart disease and stroke mortality, an estimated 1.25 and 2.26 million cardiovascular disease deaths were attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The results can be generalized across populations.
- Findingown data
We did not find significant heterogeneity in the association between fruits and vegetables and the outcomes considered by region for the geographical locations for which data were available (North America, Europe, Australia and Asia).
“However, we did not find significant heterogeneity in the association between fruits and vegetables and the outcomes considered by region for the geographical locations for which data were available (North America, Europe, Australia and Asia).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In most of the analyses the reduction in risk was steeper at the lower than at the higher range of fruit and vegetable intake.
“and in most of the analyses the reduction in risk was steeper at the lower than at the higher range of fruit and vegetable intake.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of nonlinearity in all analyses of fruits and vegetables combined, apart from one.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity in all analyses of fruits and vegetables combined, apart from one”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Several individual types of fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with coronary heart disease, stroke or cardiovascular disease (apples/pears, citrus fruits, cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, tomatoes and beta-carotene-rich and vitamin C-rich fruit and vegetables).
“We found that several individual types of fruits and vegetables were inversely associated with coronary heart disease, stroke or cardiovascular disease (apples/pears, citrus fruits, cruciferous vegetables, green leafy vegetables, tomatoes and beta-carotene-rich and vitamin C-rich fruit and vegetables)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of total cancer.
“In conclusion, we found an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, the RR of total cancer was reduced by 3-4%.
“There was a 8–16% reduction in the RR of coronary heart disease, 13–18% reduction in the RR of stroke, 8–13% reduction in the RR of cardiovascular disease, 3–4% reduction in the RR of total cancer and 10–15% reduction in the RR of all-cause mortality for each 200 g/day increment in intake of fruit, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Intake of tinned fruits was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease.
“In contrast, intake of tinned fruits was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of stroke.
“In conclusion, we found an inverse association between intake of fruits, vegetables, and fruit and vegetables combined, and the risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
There was evidence of publication bias in some analyses for coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality.
“There was evidence of publication bias in some of the analyses for coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal, the estimated number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 7,800,000 for all-cause mortality.
“Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal we estimated that the number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1 340 000 for coronary heart disease, 2 680 000 for stroke, 2 270 000 for cardiovascular disease, 660 000 for cancer and 7 800 000 for all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Study design and conductown data
Study quality was in general high, as the vast majority of studies were in the group with 7-9 stars.
“The study quality was in general high as the vast majority of studies were in the group with 7–9 stars”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The results persisted in sensitivity analyses excluding one study at a time from each analysis.
“The results persisted in sensitivity analyses excluding one study at a time from each analysis”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal, the estimated number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1,340,000 for coronary heart disease.
“Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal we estimated that the number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1 340 000 for coronary heart disease, 2 680 000 for stroke, 2 270 000 for cardiovascular disease, 660 000 for cancer and 7 800 000 for all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Study design and conductown data
Few studies were included in the nonlinear dose-response analyses of fruit and vegetable subtypes and cardiovascular disease.
“although few studies were included in these analyses”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal, the estimated number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 660,000 for cancer.
“Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal we estimated that the number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1 340 000 for coronary heart disease, 2 680 000 for stroke, 2 270 000 for cardiovascular disease, 660 000 for cancer and 7 800 000 for all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationown data
Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal, the estimated number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 2,680,000 for stroke.
“Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal we estimated that the number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1 340 000 for coronary heart disease, 2 680 000 for stroke, 2 270 000 for cardiovascular disease, 660 000 for cancer and 7 800 000 for all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationown data
Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal, the estimated number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 2,270,000 for cardiovascular disease.
“Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal we estimated that the number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1 340 000 for coronary heart disease, 2 680 000 for stroke, 2 270 000 for cardiovascular disease, 660 000 for cancer and 7 800 000 for all-cause mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationown data
Using 500 g/day as a reference category, the estimated number of premature deaths was 710,000 for coronary heart disease.
“We repeated these calculations using 500 g/day as a reference category and arrived at 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1 470 000 stroke deaths, 1 260 000 cardiovascular disease deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5 400 000 all-cause deaths”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Study design and conductown data
The findings were robust in comprehensive subgroup and sensitivity analyses.
“the robustness of the findings in comprehensive subgroup and sensitivity analyses”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The results from existing cohort studies on all-cause mortality may not be generalizable to sub-Saharan Africa.
“Because the distributions of causes of death differ substantially in sub-Saharan Africa compared with other regions, the results from existing cohort studies on all-cause mortality may not be generalizable to this region.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
We may have slightly overestimated some of the associations due to small-study bias.
“There was indication of small-study bias in several of the analyses, and we may therefore have slightly overestimated some of the associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In the China Kadoorie Cohort Study the HR of cardiovascular death with one daily portion of fresh fruit intake was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.72-0.83) before and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.56-0.72) after correction for regression dilution.
“In the China Kadoorie Cohort Study the HR of cardiovascular death with one daily portion of fresh fruit intake was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.72–0.83) before and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.56–0.72) after correction for regression dilution.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [63] Du, 2016, Fresh Fruit consumption and major cardiovascular disease in China, N Engl J Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
In a sensitivity analysis counting only cause-specific deaths for sub-Saharan Africa, the estimated number of premature deaths globally was 5,240,000 for an intake of 500 g/day and 7,630,000 for an intake of 800 g/day.
“In a sensitivity analysis, we only counted the cause-specific deaths [from coronary heart disease, stroke and total cancer] for sub-Saharan Africa, and arrived at 5 240 000 and 7 630 000 premature deaths globally for an intake of 500 and 800 g/day, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationown data
Using 500 g/day as a reference category, the estimated number of premature deaths was 1,470,000 for stroke.
“We repeated these calculations using 500 g/day as a reference category and arrived at 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1 470 000 stroke deaths, 1 260 000 cardiovascular disease deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5 400 000 all-cause deaths”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationown data
Using 500 g/day as a reference category, the estimated number of premature deaths was 5,400,000 for all-cause mortality.
“We repeated these calculations using 500 g/day as a reference category and arrived at 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1 470 000 stroke deaths, 1 260 000 cardiovascular disease deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5 400 000 all-cause deaths”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationreasoning
The heterogeneity appeared to be driven by differences in the size of the association more than by variation in the presence or absence of an association.
“The heterogeneity appeared to be driven by differences in the size of the association more than by variation in the presence or absence of an association, as most of the studies found inverse associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Using 500 g/day as a reference category, the estimated number of premature deaths was 560,000 for cancer.
“We repeated these calculations using 500 g/day as a reference category and arrived at 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1 470 000 stroke deaths, 1 260 000 cardiovascular disease deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5 400 000 all-cause deaths”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationown data
Using 500 g/day as a reference category, the estimated number of premature deaths was 1,260,000 for cardiovascular disease.
“We repeated these calculations using 500 g/day as a reference category and arrived at 710 000 coronary heart disease deaths, 1 470 000 stroke deaths, 1 260 000 cardiovascular disease deaths, 560 000 cancer deaths and 5 400 000 all-cause deaths”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
- Interpretationreasoning
It seems less likely that residual confounding could entirely explain the observed associations.
“Thus although we cannot entirely rule out the possibility that residual confounding could partly explain the associations, it seems less likely that it could entirely explain the observed associations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 31
- The quote only partly states this claim. 6
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 18
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor fruits, there was a nonlinear association with coronary heart disease (P for nonlinearity < 0.0001), with a 21% reduction in relative risk up to 750-800 g/day.
“Nonlinear associations were observed for fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 2d, Supplementary Table 9), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 2f, Supplementary Table 9), with most of the reductions in risk observed at the lower levels of intake, and there was a 21% reduction in relative risk up to 750–800 g/day for fruits and a 30% reduction in the relative risk up to 550–600 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataReductions in risk were observed up to 800 g/day for all outcomes except total cancer, for which no further reductions in risk were observed above 600 g/day.
“Reductions in risk were observed up to 800 g/day for all outcomes except cancer (600 g/day).”
- Also stated in: § Key Messages · plain
“reductions in risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality were observed up to an intake of 800 g/day of fruit and vegetables combined, whereas for total cancer no further reductions in risk were observed above 600 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Key Messages · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor vegetables, there was a nonlinear association with coronary heart disease (P for nonlinearity < 0.0001), with a 30% reduction in relative risk up to 550-600 g/day.
“Nonlinear associations were observed for fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 2d, Supplementary Table 9), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 2f, Supplementary Table 9), with most of the reductions in risk observed at the lower levels of intake, and there was a 21% reduction in relative risk up to 750–800 g/day for fruits and a 30% reduction in the relative risk up to 550–600 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the analysis of fruits and total cancer and all-cause mortality, there was heterogeneity by adjustment for energy intake, with weaker but still significant associations in studies with such adjustment compared to studies without, Pheterogeneity = 0.03 and 0.02, respectively.
“In the analysis of fruits and total cancer and all-cause mortality there was heterogeneity (Pheterogeneity = 0.03 and Pheterogeneity = 0.02, respectively) by adjustment for energy intake, with weaker (but still significant) associations in studies with such adjustment compared to studies without such adjustment”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataThere was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables and total cancer, Pnonlinearity = 0.02.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.02 (Figure 5b; Supplementary Table 16), fruits, Pnonlinearity = 0.02 (Figure 5d; Supplementary Table 17), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.03 (Figure 5f; Supplementary Table 17)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataFor ischaemic stroke, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day increase in fruit and vegetable intake combined was 0.92 (95% CI 0.87-0.97, I2 = 9%).
“The summary RR per 200 g/day was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.87–0.97, I2 = 9%) for fruits and vegetables (Supplementary Figures 7–9, Supplementary Tables 12, 29, available at IJE online)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThere was suggestion of heterogeneity when studies of vegetables and coronary heart disease were stratified by adjustment for physical activity, with weaker but still significant associations among studies with such adjustment, Pheterogeneity = 0.003.
“There was suggestion of heterogeneity when studies of vegetables and coronary heart disease were stratified by adjustment for physical activity, with weaker (but still significant) associations among studies with such adjustment, Pheterogeneity = 0.003, compared to studies without such adjustment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataThere was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables and all-cause mortality, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6b; Supplementary Table 18), fruits, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6d; Supplementary Table 18), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001 (Figure 6f; Supplementary Table 18), respectively”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataThere was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and total cancer, Pnonlinearity = 0.02.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.02 (Figure 5b; Supplementary Table 16), fruits, Pnonlinearity = 0.02 (Figure 5d; Supplementary Table 17), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.03 (Figure 5f; Supplementary Table 17)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataThere was evidence of nonlinearity for vegetables and total cancer, Pnonlinearity = 0.03.
“There was evidence of nonlinearity for fruits and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.02 (Figure 5b; Supplementary Table 16), fruits, Pnonlinearity = 0.02 (Figure 5d; Supplementary Table 17), and vegetables, Pnonlinearity = 0.03 (Figure 5f; Supplementary Table 17)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataFor ischaemic stroke, the summary relative risk per 200 g/day increase in fruit intake was 0.78 (95% CI 0.69-0.89, I2 = 58%).
“0.78 (95% CI: 0.69–0.89, I2 = 58%) for fruits”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Findingown dataThe systematic review included 95 studies (142 publications).
“95 studies (142 publications) were included.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“A total of 142 publications from 95 unique cohort studies were included in the analyses”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Results · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataWe found a slightly stronger association between fruit and vegetable intake and all-cause mortality with reductions in risk observed up to 800 g/day, although the reduction in risk was steepest up to 400 g/day.
“we found a slightly stronger association between fruit and vegetable intake and all-cause mortality with reductions in risk observed up to 800 g/day (or ten servings per day), although the reduction in risk was steepest up to 400 g/day”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataExclusion of studies with a smaller number of cases or deaths or exclusion of outlying studies attenuated the tests for publication bias, but in most cases did not substantially alter the summary estimates.
“However, we found that exclusion of studies with a smaller number cases or deaths or exclusion of outlying studies attenuated the tests for publication bias, but in most cases did not substantially alter the summary estimates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFruit and vegetable intake was as strongly related to overall mortality as it was related to cardiovascular disease, but only modestly associated with cancer.
“An interesting finding in the present meta-analysis is that fruit and vegetable intake was as strongly related to overall mortality as it was related to cardiovascular disease, but only modestly associated with cancer.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor fruits and vegetables combined, the lowest risk for total cancer was observed at an intake of 550-600 g/day (7-7.5 servings/day), with little evidence of further reductions in risk with higher intakes.
“For fruits and vegetables combined the lowest risk was observed at an intake of 550–600 g/day (7–7.5 servings/day) for total cancer, with little evidence of further reductions in risk with higher intakes”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThere was little heterogeneity when studies were stratified by whether the outcome was incidence or mortality of cardiovascular disease or total cancer, although in a few analyses risk estimates were slightly stronger for mortality.
“There was little heterogeneity when studies were stratified by whether the outcome was incidence or mortality of cardiovascular disease or total cancer, although in a few analyses risk estimates were slightly stronger for mortality”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMany studies adjusted for confounding factors, and we found little evidence that the results varied substantially whether or not adjustment for most of these confounders was done.
“Many studies adjusted for these and other confounding factors, and we found little evidence that the results varied substantially whether or not adjustment for most of these confounders was done.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataHeterogeneity was low in the analyses of coronary heart disease, moderate to high for stroke, cardiovascular disease and total cancer and high for all-cause mortality.
“Heterogeneity was low in the analyses of coronary heart disease, moderate to high for stroke, cardiovascular disease and total cancer and high for all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationStudy quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale.
“Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale which awards 0–9 stars based on the selection, comparability and outcome assessment.82”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [82] Wells
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThese results support public health recommendations to increase fruit and vegetable intake for the prevention of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and premature mortality.
“These results support public health recommendations to increase fruit and vegetable intake for the prevention of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and premature mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe mean (median) study quality scores of studies included in the dose-response analysis were 8.0 (8.0), 7.5 (8.0), and 7.7 (8.0) for fruits and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables and coronary heart disease, respectively.
“The mean (median) study quality scores of the studies included in the dose-response analysis were 8.0 (8.0), 7.5 (8.0), 7.7 (8.0) for fruits and vegetables, fruits, and vegetables and coronary heart disease, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationHeterogeneity between studies was evaluated using Q and I2 statistics.
“Heterogeneity between studies was evaluated using Q and I2 statistics.80”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [80] Higgins, 2002, Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis, Stat Med source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningSubgroup analyses by study characteristics were conducted to explore potential heterogeneity.
“To explore potential heterogeneity we conducted subgroup analyses by study characteristics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe respective mean (median) study quality scores were 7.9 (8.0), 7.7 (8.0), and 7.7 (8.0) for stroke; 7.8 (8.0), 7.7 (8.0), and 7.8 (8.0) for cardiovascular disease; 7.9 (8.0), 8.0 (8.0), and 8.1 (8.0) for total cancer; and 7.7 (8.0), 7.1 (7.0), and 7.5 (8.0) for all-cause mortality.
“The respective means (medians) were 7.9 (8.0), 7.7 (8.0), and 7.7 (8.0) for stroke, 7.8 (8.0), 7.7 (8.0), 7.8 (8.0) for cardiovascular disease, 7.9 (8.0), 8.0 (8.0), and 8.1 (8.0) for total cancer, and 7.7 (8.0), 7.1 (7.0), and 7.5 (8.0) for all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningAn estimated 5.6 and 7.8 million premature deaths worldwide in 2013 may be attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively, if the observed associations are causal.
“An estimated 5.6 and 7.8 million premature deaths worldwide in 2013 may be attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively, if the observed associations are causal.”
- Also stated in: § Key Messages · hedged
“An estimated 5.6 and 7.8 million premature deaths worldwide in 2013 may be attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively, if the observed associations are causal.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and mortality are causal.
- Also stated in: § Key Messages · hedged
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataFruit and vegetable intakes were associated with reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and all-cause mortality.
“Fruit and vegetable intakes were associated with reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenData extraction was conducted by D.A. and checked for accuracy by L.T.F. and N.K.
“The data extraction was conducted by D.A., and was checked for accuracy by L.T.F. and N.K.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe study followed standard criteria for reporting meta-analyses.
“We followed standard criteria for reporting meta-analyses.69”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [69] Moher, 2009, Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataIn analyses of vegetables and all-cause mortality, exclusion of two outlying studies explained the asymmetry in the funnel plots but none of these exclusions materially altered the summary estimates.
“In the analyses of vegetables and all-cause mortality, exclusion of two outlying studies explained the asymmetry in the funnel plots but none of these exclusions materially altered the summary estimates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataExcluding studies with fewer than 150 or fewer than 200 cases or outlying studies attenuated Egger's test in several analyses but did not materially affect the strength of the associations.
“excluding studies with < 150 or < 200 cases or outlying studies attenuated Egger’s test in several of the analyses, but did not materially affect the strength of the associations”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataSensitivity analyses excluding each study at a time from each analysis were conducted to clarify if the results were robust.
“We also conducted sensitivity analyses excluding each study at a time from each analysis to clarify if the results were robust.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataRepeating the nonlinear dose-response analyses using fractional polynomial models generally found similar risk estimates compared with the restricted cubic spline models, although confidence intervals were wider and there was more indication of nonlinearity.
“We also repeated the nonlinear dose-response analyses using fractional polynomial models and in general found similar risk estimates compared with the restricted cubic spline models, although the confidence intervals were wider and there was more indication of nonlinearity”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataIn subgroup analyses stratified by duration of follow-up, outcome type, outcome subtype, sex, geographical location, number of cases, study quality and adjustment for confounding factors, the findings persisted across most subgroups and there was little evidence of heterogeneity between most subgroups.
“In subgroup analyses stratified by duration of follow-up, outcome type (incidence vs mortality), outcome subtype (MI vs. total CHD, or ischemic vs hemorrhagic), sex, geographical location, number of cases, study quality and adjustment for confounding factors, the findings persisted across most subgroups and there was little evidence of heterogeneity between most subgroups”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationSmall-study effects such as publication bias were assessed using Egger's test and by inspection of funnel plots.
“Small-study effects such as publication bias were assessed using Egger’s test81 and by inspection of the funnel plots.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [81] Egger, 1997, Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe authors of six studies were contacted for additional information on fruit and vegetable subtype quantities or data details, and all replied and provided supplementary information.
“We contacted the authors of six studies16,56,61,64,75,76 for information regarding the quantities of consumption for subtypes of fruits and vegetables or for more details of data which were only briefly described in the text, and all replied and provided supplementary information.16,56,61,64,75,76”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenConfounding might exaggerate the observed associations but measurement errors would most likely tend to attenuate the observed associations.
“Confounding might exaggerate the observed associations but measurement errors would most likely tend to attenuate the observed associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenIn the few subgroup analyses where the test for heterogeneity was significant there were often relatively few studies in one of the subgroups, and chance cannot be excluded as an explanation.
“In the few subgroup analyses where the test for heterogeneity was significant there were often relatively few studies in one of the subgroups, and chance can not be excluded as an explanation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataDetailed dose-response analyses allowed us to clarify the strength and shape of the dose-response relationship between fruit and vegetable intake and these outcomes.
“the detailed dose-response analyses which allowed us to clarify the strength and shape of the dose-response relationship between fruit and vegetable intake and these outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe previous meta-analysis found no further benefit above five servings per day (400 g/day).
“whereas the previous meta-analysis found no further benefit above five servings per day (400 g/day).41”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] Wang, 2014, Fruit and vegetable consumption and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe combined number of deaths potentially preventable from coronary heart disease and stroke was larger than for cardiovascular disease, probably because the studies included in each analysis were not the same and because there was a stronger association for stroke mortality than for coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease mortality.
“(The combined number of deaths potentially preventable from coronary heart disease and stroke was larger than for cardiovascular disease probably because the studies included in each analysis were not the same and because there was a stronger association for stroke mortality than for coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease mortality).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe analysis included a large number of studies from various geographical locations and a large number of cases and deaths (up to 43 000 coronary heart disease cases, 47 000 stroke cases, 81 000 cardiovascular disease cases, 112 000 cancer cases and >71 000-94 000 deaths among up to 2.1 million participants) which provided increased statistical power to detect significant associations.
“Strengths of this analysis include the wide search terms used, the large number of studies included from various geographical locations and the large number of cases and deaths (up to 43 000 coronary heart disease cases, 47 000 stroke cases, 81 000 cardiovascular disease cases, 112 000 cancer cases and >71 000–94 000 deaths among up to 2.1 million participants) which provided increased statistical”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe HRs for ischaemic heart disease mortality (per 80 g/day) were 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.99) without correction and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91-0.99) with correction for measurement error in the EPIC study.
“and the corresponding HRs for ischaemic heart disease mortality (per 80 g/day) were 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95–0.99) and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91–0.99),23 respectively, in the EPIC study.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] Crowe, 2011, Fruit and vegetable intake and mortality from ischaemic heart disease: results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-Heart study, Eur Heart J source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationOur meta-analysis is in general consistent with previous meta-analyses of fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke and mortality.
“Our meta-analysis is in general consistent with previous meta-analyses of fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease,3 stroke4 and mortality,41”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [3] He, 2007, Increased consumption of fruit and vegetables is related to a reduced risk of coronary heart disease: meta-analysis of cohort studies, J Hum Hypertens source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [4] He, 2006, Fruit and vegetable consumption and stroke: meta-analysis of cohort studies, Lancet source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [41] Wang, 2014, Fruit and vegetable consumption and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationBoth measurement error and regression dilution bias may have attenuated the observed risk estimates.
“This suggests that both measurement error and regression dilution bias may have attenuated the observed risk estimates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe observed associations appear to meet several of Bradford-Hill's criteria for causation including consistency of findings in different people and regions (by sex and geographical region), temporality, some evidence of a biological gradient, plausibility, coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings and experimental evidence (on intermediate risk markers).
“The observed associations appear to meet several of Bradford-Hill’s criteria for causation including consistency of findings in different people and regions (by sex and geographical region), temporality, some evidence of a biological gradient, plausibility, coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings and experimental evidence (on intermediate risk markers).190”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [190] Bradford Hill, 1965, The environment and disease: association or causation?, Proc R Soc Med
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe HR for all-cause mortality was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.96-0.98) per 200 g/day of fruit and vegetable intake without correction for measurement error compared with 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91-0.96) with correction for measurement error in the EPIC study.
“The HR for all-cause mortality was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.96–0.98) per 200 g/day of fruit and vegetable intake without correction for measurement error compared with 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91–0.96) with correction for measurement error,75”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [75] Leenders, 2013, Fruit and vegetable consumption and mortality: European Prospective Investigation Into Cancer and Nutrition, Am J Epidemiol source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataSimilar associations were observed when analyses were stratified by geographical regions which have different underlying patterns of diet and other confounding factors, suggesting that unknown confounders are not likely to entirely explain the associations observed.
“In addition, similar associations were observed when analyses were stratified by geographical regions which have different underlying patterns of diet and other confounding factors, suggesting that unknown confounders are not likely to entirely explain the associations observed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe included studies were of high quality.
“the high study quality of the included studies”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and mortality are causal.
“assuming a causal relationship”
“if the observed associations are causal”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The observed associations between fruit and vegetable intake and the health outcomes are causal.
“Under the assumption that the observed associations are causal we estimated that the number of premature deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 800 g/day in 2013 was 1 340 000 for coronary heart disease, 2 680 000 for stroke, 2 270 000 for cardiovascular disease, 660 000 for cancer and 7 800 000 for all-cause mortality”
The authors state this as an assumption.
A causal relationship exists between fruit and vegetable intake and coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality.
“the appropriateness of the estimates of the number of deaths attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 or 800 g/day is dependent on the validity of several assumptions that were made including that of: (i) a causal relationship between fruit and vegetable intake and these outcomes”
The authors state this as an assumption.
There is a lack of confounding in the association between fruit and vegetable intake and the outcomes.
“(ii) lack of confounding”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The results can be generalized across populations.
“(iii) that the results can be generalized across populations.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Dietary patterns low in fruits and vegetables are associated with increased risk for major chronic diseases such as cardiovascular disease and cancer.
“Dietary patterns that are low in fruits and vegetables are generally associated with a number of negative health outcomes, including increased risk for major chronic diseases such as cardiovascular disease and cancer (Aune et al., 2017).”
From Waste watchers: A food waste reduction intervention among households in Arizona (2021) · cites this paper as Aune et al., 2017
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Africa D all-cause percentages and counts imply different death totals
MajorFor Africa D, 122,406 deaths at 8.9% imply about 1.38 million total deaths, whereas 152,326 deaths at 13.5% imply about 1.13 million. Both columns concern all-cause deaths in the same region and year; rounding cannot account for the difference.
“| 8.9 | 122406 | 13.5 | 152326 |”
“All-cause mortality 500 g/d % | All-cause mortality 500 g/d n | All-cause mortality 800 g/d % | All-cause mortality 800 g/d n”
Abstract overstates deaths attributable to intake below 500 g/day
MinorThe abstract reports 5.6 million premature deaths, but the Results report 5.4 million and Table 7 gives 5,381,962, which rounds to 5.4 million.
“An estimated 5.6 and 7.8 million premature deaths worldwide in 2013 may be attributable to a fruit and vegetable intake below 500 and 800 g/day, respectively”
“5 400 000 all-cause deaths (Table 7)”
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“This difference could be explained by the greater number of studies (due to inclusion of studies on cause-speci fi c mortality and overall CVD) included by Aune et al. (Aune et al. 2017).”
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BackgroundInappropriate sinus tachycardia
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- Authors
- Aune, D., Giovannucci, E., Boffetta, P., Fadnes, L. T., Keum, N., Norat, T., Greenwood, D. C., Riboli, E., Vatten, L. J., & Tonstad, S.
- Affiliations
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NO)
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Tisch Cancer Institute (US)
- University of Bergen (NO)
- Harvard University (US)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Oslo University Hospital (NO)
- Corresponding author
- Aune, Dagfinn
- ORCID
- Venue
- International Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2017-02-22
- Volume
- 46
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1029-1056
- ISSN
- 0300-5771 (ISSN-L)
- 1464-3685
- PMC
- PMC5837313
- OpenAlex
- W3006494999
- Cited by
- 2,419
- References
- 323
- Citations by year
- 2026: 169 · 2025: 243 · 2024: 310 · 2023: 286 · 2022: 320 · 2021: 356 · 2020: 343 · 2019: 201 · 2018: 145 · 2017: 44 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 19.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- International Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) (submittedVersion)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- NIH
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Health and Mental Health
- Keywords
- resting heart rate, cardiovascular disease, coronary artery disease, sudden cardiac death, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, stroke, cancer, all-cause mortality, dose-response relationship, J-shaped association
- MeSH terms
- Cardiovascular Diseases, Diet, Fruit, Humans, Mortality, Neoplasms, Prospective Studies, Vegetables, Risk Reduction Behavior
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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