Ozone pollution: A Major health hazard worldwide
Open accessAbstract
Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) released into the atmosphere can react in the presence of solar irradiation, leading to ozone formation in the troposphere. Historically before clean air regulations were implemented to control NOx and VOCs, ozone concentrations were high enough to exert acute effects such as eye and nose irritation, respiratory disease emergencies, and lung function impairment. At or above current regulatory standards, day-to-day variations in ozone concentrations have been positively associated with asthma incidence and daily non-accidental mortality rate. Emerging evidence has shown that both short-term and long-term exposures to ozone, at concentrations below the current regulatory standards, were associated with increased mortality due to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. The pathophysiology to support the epidemiologic associations between mortality and morbidity and ozone centers at the chemical and toxicological property of ozone as a strong oxidant, being able to induce oxidative damages to cells and the lining fluids of the airways, and immune-inflammatory responses within and beyond the lung. These new findings add substantially to the existing challenges in controlling ozone pollution. For example, in the United States in 2016, 90% of noncompliance to the national ambient air quality standards was due to ozone whereas only 10% was due to particulate matter and other regulated pollutants. Climate change, through creating atmospheric conditions favoring ozone formation, has been and will continue to increase ozone concentrations in many parts of world. Worldwide, ozone is responsible for several hundreds of thousands premature deaths and tens of million asthma-related emergency room visits annually. To combat ozone pollution globally, more aggressive reductions in fossil fuel consumption are needed to cut NOx and VOCs as well as greenhouse gas emissions. Meanwhile, preventive and therapeutic strategies are needed to alleviate the detrimental effects of ozone especially in more susceptible individuals. Interventional trials in humans are needed to evaluate the efficacy of antioxidants and ozone-scavenging compounds that have shown promising results in animal studies.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This narrative review synthesizes evidence that tropospheric ozone, formed photochemically from NOx and VOCs, is a worldwide health hazard causing respiratory and emerging cardiovascular and CNS effects, with concentrations rising in many regions despite declines in the US and Western Europe. It argues that adverse effects occur below current regulatory standards, that climate change will worsen ozone burdens, and that more aggressive precursor emission cuts plus antioxidant/scavenger strategies are needed.
Key findings
- Ozone exposure is associated with respiratory effects (airway inflammation, aggravated asthma, emphysema, COPD), likely asthma development, and premature death, with stronger evidence for respiratory than other mortality; children are at increased risk. In the US in 2016, 90% of non-compliance with national ambient air quality standards was due to ozone versus 10% for particulate matter and other pollutants, and 100.6 million people (nearly one in three) lived in counties exceeding the 70 ppb NAAQS in 2017.
- Despite US reductions in NOx (61%) and VOCs (54%) from 1980–2017 and a 32% decrease in national average daily max 8-h ozone, global background ozone is rising: Mt Waliguan Observatory on the Tibetan Plateau showed increases of 0.2–0.3 ppb per year during spring and autumn (1994–2013). In the North China Plain, a 40% PM2.5 reduction from 2013–2017 was partly responsible for an ozone increase of 1–3 ppb per year.
- Climate change is projected to increase ozone: warming alone may increase ozone-standard exceedance days across the eastern US by 68% by 2050; the 95th percentile of daily 8-h max ozone is predicted to rise from 79 ppb in 2012 to 87 ppb in 2050; and climate change alone is estimated to add 0.43 ppb (95% CI: 0.14–0.75) to average ozone in 19 southeastern US urban communities in the 2040s versus 2000.
- Global mortality estimates vary widely: a 6% increase in premature deaths attributable to ozone from 1990 (143,000) to 2010 (152,000); 700,000 ± 300,000 respiratory mortalities in 2000; 254,000 COPD deaths in 2015; 316,000 respiratory deaths in China; ~23,500 in the EU. Ozone was linked to an estimated 9–23 million (8–20% of total) asthma-related emergency room visits globally, and DALYs lost of 6.3 ± 3.0 million years in 2000 and 4.1 (95% CI: 1.6–6.8) million years from COPD alone in 2015. A 5 ppb increase in long-term ozone was associated with 0.25 year (95% CI: −0.30 to −0.19) lower life expectancy in males and 0.21 year (95% CI: −0.25 to −0.17) in females.
- Mechanistically, ozone as a strong oxidant induces oxidative damage and immune-inflammatory responses; Koren et al. found acute exposure (0.4 ppm for 2 h) produced an 8.2-fold increase in polymorphonuclear leukocytes in BAL fluid. Emerging evidence links ozone to cardiovascular mortality, hemostatic markers, and CNS effects including neurodegenerative disorders.
Methods
- Narrative review (no primary data collection); the paper synthesizes atmospheric chemistry, exposure/dosimetry considerations, epidemiological and toxicological evidence, and regulatory context.
- Draws on cited studies including controlled human exposure trials, animal/rodent studies, cohort studies (e.g., American Cancer Society cohort, US Medicare population of 60 million older adults, 2000–2012), multicity time-series studies, and climate/ozone projection modeling.
- No systematic search strategy, inclusion criteria, or meta-analytic pooling is described.
Limitations
- Stated: the relatively large gap in mortality estimates across studies is due to uncertainties and inconsistency in the concentration–effect relationship and ozone exposure assessment; estimates were based on respiratory effects alone due to uncertainties in cardiovascular evidence; epidemiological evidence is limited for a causal relationship between chronic exposure and mortality/morbidity; determining the best measure of long-term ozone exposure is challenging given diurnal and seasonal variation; co-exposure to PM2.5 may affect repair of ozone damage.
- Evident from the text: as a narrative review without a stated systematic search or quality appraisal, selection of cited evidence may be non-exhaustive; several cited findings are projections or model-based rather than observed outcomes; the paper notes null findings in some European studies on long-term ozone and cardiovascular mortality, indicating inconsistency in the evidence base.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 92 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Premisecitation
Observations made at a rural site (Dadianzi) 100 km northeast Beijing showed a steady increase in annual averages of the 8-h daily max ozone concentrations from 2004 to 2015.
“observations made at a rural site (Dadianzi) 100 km northeast Beijing showed a steady increase in annual averages of the 8-h daily max ozone concentrations from 2004 to 2015 (13).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Ma, 2016, Significant increase of surface ozone at a rural site, north of eastern China, Atmos Chem Phys source
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- Premisenone given
The predominant source of tropospheric ozone is photochemical reactions involving VOCs and NOx.
“The predominant source of tropospheric ozone, however, is the photochemical reactions involving volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx), mainly comprised of NO2 and nitric oxide (NO).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
A 40% reduction in PM2.5 from 2013 to 2017 in the North China Plain was partly responsible for an increasing ozone trend (at 1-3 ppb per year) during 2013-2017 observed in megacity clusters of eastern China.
“A recent study showed that a 40% reduction in PM2.5 from 2013 to 2017 in the North China Plain was partly responsible for an increasing ozone trend (at 1–3 ppb per year) during the period of 2013–2017 observed in megacity clusters of eastern China (6).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Li, 2019, Anthropogenic drivers of 2013–2017 trends in summer surface ozone in China, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Premisecitation
By the year 2050, warming alone may increase by 68% the number of ozone-standard exceedance days across the eastern United States.
“it is predicted that by the year 2050, warming alone may increase by 68% the number of ozone-standard exceedance days across the eastern United States (7).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Bell, 2007, Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities, Clim Change source
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- Premisecitation
Global average ozone concentrations are increasing.
“evidence suggests that global average ozone concentrations are increasing.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Premisecitation
In 2017, 100.6 million people nationwide (or nearly one in every three people) lived in U.S. counties where ozone levels exceeded the NAAQS standard of 70 ppb.
“100.6 million people nationwide (or nearly one in every three people) lived in U.S. counties where ozone levels exceeded the NAAQS standard of 70 ppb in 2017”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] Guenther, 2000, Natural emissions of non-methane volatile organic compounds, carbon monoxide, and oxides of nitrogen from North America, Atmosph Environ. source
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- Premisecitation
Average ozone concentration across 19 urban communities in southeastern United States would increase by 0.43 ppb (95% CI: 0.14-0.75) during the 2040s compared to 2000 due to climate change alone.
“estimated an increase of 0.43 ppb (95% CI: 0.14–0.75) in average ozone concentration during the 2040s compared to 2000 due to climate change alone (9).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Chang, 2010, Impact of climate change on ambient ozone level and mortality in southeastern United States, Int J Environ Res Public Health source
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- Interpretationreasoning
Climate change can prolong the ozone season.
“Climate change can also prolong the ozone season.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Ozone measured at Mt Waliguan Observatory on the Tibetan Plateau over the period of 1994-2013 has shown an increasing trend at 0.2-0.3 ppb per year during spring and autumn.
“ozone measured at Mt Waliguan Observatory (a global “background” site) on the Tibetan Plateau over the period of 1994–2013 has shown an increasing trend at 0.2–0.3 ppb per year during spring and autumn (11).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] Xu, 2018, Long-term trends of surface ozone and its influencing factors at the Mt Waliguan GAW station, China-Part 2: the roles of anthropogenic emissions and climate variability, Atmos Chem Phys source
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- Premisecitation
Ground-level ozone concentrations measured in some monitoring sites in China showed an increasing trend in the past several years.
“ground-level ozone concentrations measured in some monitoring sites in China showed an increasing trend in the past several years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
There was a 32% decrease in national average of daily maximum 8-h averages of ozone measured at 200 monitoring sites across the United States.
“Consequently, there was a 32% decrease in national average of daily maximum 8-h averages of ozone measured at 200 monitoring sites across the United States3.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] Guenther, 2000, Natural emissions of non-methane volatile organic compounds, carbon monoxide, and oxides of nitrogen from North America, Atmosph Environ. source
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- Interpretationcitation
NOx and VOCs emitted in more populous regions can undergo long-range transport and affect background ozone level.
“However, this demonstrates that NOx and VOCs emitted in more populous regions can undergo long-range transport and affect “background” ozone level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] Xu, 2018, Long-term trends of surface ozone and its influencing factors at the Mt Waliguan GAW station, China-Part 2: the roles of anthropogenic emissions and climate variability, Atmos Chem Phys source
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- Premisenone given
PM2.5 can serve as a sink of free radicals responsible for ozone formation.
“More importantly, particulate matter (e.g., particles with an aerodynamic diameter equal to or smaller than 2.5 μm, noted as PM2.5) can serve as a sink of free radicals responsible for ozone formation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
From 1980 to 2017, total national emissions of NOx and VOCs in the United States were reduced by 61 and 54%, respectively.
“From 1980 to 2017, total national emissions of NOX and VOCs were reduced by 61 and 54%, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
Epidemiological studies have found that ozone concentrations averaged over a longer period (such as 8 h instead of 1 h) within a day are a more health-relevant indicator of ozone exposure.
“Epidemiological studies have found that ozone concentrations averaged over a longer period (such as 8 h instead of 1 h) within a day are a more health-relevant indicator of ozone exposure.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If the WHO-recommended 8-h limit of 50 ppb is used, there would be even more people living in places with ozone exceeding the health-based limit.
“If the WHO-recommended 8-h limit of 50 ppb is used, there would be even more people living in places with ozone exceeding the health-based limit.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
The 95th percentile for daily 8-h maximum ozone over most of the United States would increase from 79 ppb in 2012 to 87 ppb in 2050.
“it is predicted that the 95th percentile for daily 8-h maximum ozone would increase from 79 ppb in 2012 to 87 ppb in 2050 (8).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Pfister, 2014, Projections of future summertime ozone over the US. JGR: atmospheres source
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- Premisenone given
Short-term and long-term exposures to ozone at concentrations below current regulatory standards are associated with increased mortality due to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.
“Emerging evidence has shown that both short-term and long-term exposures to ozone, at concentrations below the current regulatory standards, were associated with increased mortality due to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
A warming climate favors the formation and accumulation of ozone through increased atmospheric stability (air stagnation) and increased atmospheric temperatures.
“a warming climate favors the formation and accumulation of ozone in the atmosphere mainly through two physicochemical mechanisms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The increase in summertime ozone in northeastern China was attributed to changes in anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors as well as reductions in PM2.5 concentrations.
“This increase was attributed to changes in anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors as well as reductions in PM2.5 concentrations as described earlier.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Li, 2019, Anthropogenic drivers of 2013–2017 trends in summer surface ozone in China, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Interpretationcitation
Occurrences of a drying and warming fall in the future may lead to an extension of the ozone season from summer to fall in regions with significant biogenic VOC emissions.
“This finding suggests that occurrences of a drying and warming fall in the future may lead to an extension of the ozone season from summer to fall in the regions with significant biogenic VOC emissions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] Zhang, 2016, Climate-driven ground-level ozone extreme in the fall over the Southeast United States, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Premisecitation
The current WHO Air Quality Guidelines for ambient ozone is 100 μg/m3 (~50 ppb) measured as 8-h maximum moving average within a day.
“The current WHO Air Quality Guidelines for ambient (outdoor) ozone is 100 μg/m3 (~50 ppb) measured as 8-h maximum moving average within a day1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] McDonald, 2018, Volatile chemical products emerging as largest petrochemical source of urban organic emissions, Science. source
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- Premisecitation
An analysis of ground-level ozone concentrations measured at nearly 1,000 sites across China found an increasing trend of summertime ozone in northeastern China from 2013 to 2017.
“a recent analysis of ground-level ozone concentrations measured at nearly 1,000 sites across China also found an increasing trend of summertime ozone in northeastern China from 2013 to 2017 (6).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Li, 2019, Anthropogenic drivers of 2013–2017 trends in summer surface ozone in China, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Premisecitation
Ozone during the fall reached the summer level in several Octobers in the 2000s and in 2010 over the southeastern United States, attributed to enhanced emissions of biogenic isoprene from water-stressed plants under a drying and warming condition.
“However, ozone during the fall reached the summer level in several Octobers in the 2000s and in 2010 over the southeastern United States. This was attributed to enhanced emissions of biogenic isoprene (a VOC precursor of ozone) from water-stressed plants under a drying and warming condition (10).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] Zhang, 2016, Climate-driven ground-level ozone extreme in the fall over the Southeast United States, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Premisereasoning
In summer months, daily air quality reports in recent years have often shown more days when the ozone standard was exceeded than when PM2.5 or other regulated pollutants exceeded the standards in many cities of China.
“in summer months, daily air quality reports released to the public in recent years have often shown more days when the ozone standard was exceeded than when PM2.5 or other regulated pollutants exceeded the standards in many cities of China.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Ozone-induced neutrophil influx in human peripheral airways was partly mediated by IL-8.
“Krishna et al. further confirmed that ozone-induced neutrophil influx in human peripheral airways was partly mediated by IL-8 (38).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] Krishna, 1998, Effects of 0.2 ppm ozone on biomarkers of inflammation in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid and bronchial mucosa of healthy subjects, Eur Respir J source
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- Premisecitation
Based on the 2013 US EPA Integrated Science Assessment for Ozone, the national ambient air quality standard for 8-h daily max ozone was revised from 75 to 70 ppb in 2015.
“Based on this assessment, the national ambient air quality standard for 8-h daily max ozone was revised from 75 to 70 ppb in 2015.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Bell, 2007, Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities, Clim Change source
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- Premisecitation
Long-term exposures to ozone have been associated with lower lung function and deteriorated or abnormal lung development in children.
“Long-term exposures to ozone have been associated with lower lung function and deteriorated or abnormal lung development in children (31, 32).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [31] Gauderman, 2004, The effect of air pollution on lung development from 10 to 18 years of age, N Engl J Med source
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- cites [32] Gauderman, 2002, Association between air pollution and lung function growth in southern California children: results from a second cohort, Am J Respir Crit Care Med source
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- Premisereasoning
In leaky buildings and for buildings with windows frequently open, indoor concentrations can reach >70% outdoor concentrations.
“In contrast, for leaky buildings and for building with windows frequently open, indoor concentrations can reach >70% outdoor concentrations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
A meta-analysis of 53 studies showed a weak but significant association between ozone and hospital admission and mortality from stroke.
“A meta-analysis of 53 studies showed a weak but significant association between ozone and hospital admission and mortality from stroke (41).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] Shah, 2015, Short term exposure to air pollution and stroke: systematic review and meta-analysis, BMJ. source
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- Premisenone given
Outdoor ozone concentrations exhibit a substantial seasonal variation in most of the places.
“Second, outdoor ozone concentrations exhibit a substantial seasonal variation in most of the places.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
VOC emissions in China have remained relatively unchanged from 2013 to 2017.
“However, VOC emissions have remained relatively unchanged.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Li, 2019, Anthropogenic drivers of 2013–2017 trends in summer surface ozone in China, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Premisecitation
Ozone can cause adverse respiratory effects such as difficulty of breathing and inflammation of the airways in the general population.
“Ozone can cause adverse respiratory effects such as difficulty of breathing (e.g., shortness of breath and pain when taking a deep breath) and inflammation of the airways in the general population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Increased exposure to ambient ozone has been associated with increased levels of hemostatic markers, including fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor, and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1.
“Increased exposure to ambient ozone has been associated with increased levels of hemostatic markers, including fibrinogen (48–50), von Willebrand factor (49), and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (48).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [48] Chuang, 2007, The effect of urban air pollution on inflammation, oxidative stress, coagulation, and autonomic dysfunction in young adults, Am J Respir Crit Care Med. source
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- cites [49] Liao, 2005, Association of criteria pollutants with plasma hemostatic/inflammatory markers: a population-based study, J Expo Anal Environ Epidemiol. source
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- cites [50] Steinvil, 2008, Short-term exposure to air pollution and inflammation-sensitive biomarkers, Environ Res. source
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- Premisecitation
Warm-season averages have often been used in epidemiological studies, assuming that the health risk associated with lower-level ozone in cold months is negligible.
“warm-season averages have often been used (14, 15), assuming that the health risk associated with lower-level ozone in cold months is negligible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [14] Turner, 2016, Long-term ozone exposure and mortality in a large prospective study, Am J Respir Crit Care Med source
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- cites [15] Malley, 2017, Updated global estimates of respiratory mortality in adults >/ = 30 years of age attributable to long-term ozone exposure, Environ Health Perspect source
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- The authors state this as an assumption: The health risk associated with lower-level ozone in cold months is negligible.
- Premisecitation
In addressing exposure to low-level concentrations, 24-h average may be another relevant measure of daily exposure, at least for certain outcomes.
“In addressing exposure to low-level concentrations (such as concentrations below the current air quality standard), however, 24-h average may be another relevant measure of daily exposure, at least for certain outcomes (21–24).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [21] Day, 2017, Association of ozone exposure with cardiorespiratory pathophysiologic mechanisms in healthy adults, JAMA Intern Med source
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- cites [22] Di, 2017, Association of short-term exposure to air pollution with mortality in older adults, JAMA. source
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- cites [23] Dai, 2018, Age-dependent effect of ambient ozone on emergency asthma hospitalizations in Hong Kong, J Allergy Clin Immunol source
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- cites [24] Sun, 2018, Acute effect of multiple ozone metrics on mortality by season in 34 Chinese counties in 2013–2015, J Intern Med source
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- Premisecitation
Ozone continues to damage the lungs even when the symptoms have disappeared.
“Ozone continues to damage the lungs even when the symptoms have disappeared.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] McDonald, 2018, Volatile chemical products emerging as largest petrochemical source of urban organic emissions, Science. source
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- Premisecitation
Anthropogenic emissions of NOx decreased substantially in most urban areas of China (a 21% nationwide reduction) from 2013 to 2017.
“anthropogenic emissions of NOx have decreased substantially in most urban areas of China (a 21% nationwide reduction) from 2013 to 2017 (6).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Li, 2019, Anthropogenic drivers of 2013–2017 trends in summer surface ozone in China, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. source
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- Premisenone given
Since the 2013 EPA assessment was released, several studies conducted in North America further confirmed significant positive associations, robust to controlling for co-pollutants, between short-term ozone exposure and one or more of the following mortality classifications: cardiovascular, dysrhythmia, cardiometabolic, and ischemic heart disease.
“Since the 2013 EPA assessment was released, several studies conducted in North America further confirmed significant positive associations, robust to controlling for co-pollutants, between short-term ozone exposure and one or more of the following mortality classifications: cardiovascular, dysrhythmia, cardiometabolic, and ischemic heart disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
In airtight buildings with doors and windows closed, indoor ozone levels are typically smaller than 20% of outdoor levels.
“In airtight buildings with doors and windows closed, indoor ozone levels are typically smaller than 20% of outdoor levels.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Using outdoor concentration as a surrogate for ozone exposure would lead to greater overestimation of exposure for people living or working in more airtight buildings than for those living in less airtight buildings.
“using outdoor concentration as a surrogate for ozone exposure would lead to greater overestimation of exposure for people living or working in more airtight buildings than for those living in less airtight buildings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
Immune-inflammatory responses to ozone may spill over to the circulatory system, which may help explain emerging evidence on the cardiovascular and neuronal effects of ozone.
“These immune-inflammatory responses to ozone may “spill over” to the circulatory system, which may help explain emerging evidence on the cardiovascular and neuronal effects of ozone.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
Children, older adults, and people who are active outdoors (especially outdoor workers) are more vulnerable to ozone exposure.
“children, older adults, and people who are active outdoors (especially outdoor workers) are more vulnerable to ozone exposure.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Ozone exposure makes the lungs more susceptible to infection.
“Ozone exposure makes the lungs more susceptible to infection.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] McDonald, 2018, Volatile chemical products emerging as largest petrochemical source of urban organic emissions, Science. source
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- Premisereasoning
Ambient ozone causes oxidative damages to the cells and the lining fluids of the airways, thereby inducing immune-inflammatory responses in the lung.
“As a potent oxidizing gas, ambient ozone is well-known to cause oxidative damages to the cells and the lining fluids of the airways, thereby inducing immune-inflammatory responses in the lung.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Ozone exposure resulted in significant neutrophilic inflammation, reflected with increased levels of myeloperoxidase in the supernatant of induced sputum samples from healthy subjects.
“Ozone exposure resulted in significant neutrophilic inflammation, reflected with increased levels of myeloperoxidase (MPO) in the supernatant of induced sputum samples from healthy subjects (39, 40).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [39] Fahy, 1995, Analysis of induced sputum after air and ozone exposures in healthy subjects, Environ Res source
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- cites [40] Holz, 2010, SCH527123, a novel CXCR2 antagonist, inhibits ozone-induced neutrophilia in healthy subjects, Eur Respir J source
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- Premisenone given
Accumulating evidence suggests that there may not exist a threshold ozone concentration below which the risk is zero.
“However, accumulating evidence suggests that there may not exist a threshold ozone concentration below which the risk is “zero.””
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
These respiratory effects can aggravate lung diseases such as asthma, emphysema, and chronic bronchitis (COPD).
“These effects can aggravate lung diseases such as asthma, emphysema, and chronic bronchitis [chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Long-term exposure to ozone is associated with increased cardiovascular mortality.
“A recent cohort study by Lim et al. further confirmed this association between long-term exposure to ozone and increased cardiovascular mortality (45).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [14] Turner, 2016, Long-term ozone exposure and mortality in a large prospective study, Am J Respir Crit Care Med source
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- cites [45] Lim, 2019, Long-term exposure to ozone and cause-specific mortality risk in the U.S, Am J Respir Crit Care Med source
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- Premisecitation
Long-term exposure to ozone is likely to be one of many causes of asthma development.
“Long-term exposure to ozone is likely to be one of many causes of asthma development.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Deleterious effects of ozone exposure on the central nervous system are emerging.
“Additionally, deleterious effects of ozone exposure on the central nervous system (CNS) are emerging (64, 65).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [64] Martínez-Lazcano, 2013, The effects of ozone exposure and associated injury mechanisms on the central nervous system, Rev Neurosci. source
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- cites [65] Croze, 2018, Ozone atmospheric pollution and Alzheimer's disease: from epidemiological facts to molecular mechanisms, J Alzheimers Dis. source
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- Interpretationreasoning
Disease burden attributable to ozone is expected to continue to rise in the future.
“Disease burden attributable to ozone is expected to continue to rise in the future for two reasons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
A 5 ppb (10 μg/m3) increase in long-term ozone concentration was associated with 0.25 year (95% CI: −0.30 to −0.19) lower life expectancy in males.
“a study found that a 5 ppb (10 μg/m3) increase in long-term ozone concentration was associated with 0.25 year (95% CI: −0.30 to −0.19) lower life expectancy in males”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [78] Li, 2016, Long-term exposure to ozone and life expectancy in the United States, 2002 to 2008, Medicine. source
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- Premisecitation
Short-term exposure to ambient ozone was associated with higher non-accidental and cardiovascular mortality in a large multicity study in China.
“A large multicity study in China showed that short-term exposure to ambient ozone was associated with higher non-accidental and cardiovascular mortality (20).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [20] Yin, 2017, Ambient ozone pollution and daily mortality: a nationwide study in 272 Chinese cities, Environ Health Perspect source
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- Premisecitation
Ozone exposure resulted in the activation of apoptotic death in rat hippocampus mediated by endoplasmic reticulum stress.
“Rodríguez et al. showed that ozone exposure resulted in the activation of apoptotic death in rat hippocampus mediated by endoplasmic reticulum stress (68).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [68] Rodriguez-Martinez, 2016, The effect of chronic ozone exposure on the activation of endoplasmic reticulum stress and apoptosis in rat hippocampus, Front Aging Neurosci. source
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- Premisereasoning
These estimates were based on respiratory effects alone, due to uncertainties associated with the current evidence on the cardiovascular effects.
“These estimates were based on respiratory effects alone, due to uncertainties associated with the current evidence on the cardiovascular effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
An analysis of national databases found a positive association between increase in long-term ozone concentrations and an increased risk of respiratory diseases and death.
“For example, an analysis of national databases found a positive association between increase in long-term ozone concentrations and an increased risk of respiratory diseases and death (44).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [44] Jerrett, 2009, Long-term ozone exposure and mortality, N Engl J Med source
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- Premisenone given
Ozone concentration is on the rise in many parts of the world.
“The first is the fact that ozone concentration is on the rise in many parts of the world as described earlier.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Rats chronically exposed to ozone exhibited deficits in learning and memory loss associated with deafferentation in hippocampus-related neurons.
“Bello-Medina et al. found that rats chronically exposed to ozone exhibited deficits in learning and memory loss associated with deafferentation in hippocampus-related neurons (69).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [69] Bello-Medina, 2019, Effect of ozone exposure on dendritic spines of CA1 pyramidal neurons of the dorsal hippocampus and on object-place recognition memory in rats, Neuroscience. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Long-term ozone exposure (3-year averages) has been associated with development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in at-risk critically ill patients, particularly in trauma patients and current smokers.
“Long-term ozone exposure (3-year averages) has been associated with development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in at-risk critically ill patients, particularly in trauma patients and current smokers (77).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [77] Ware, 2016, Long-term ozone exposure increases the risk of developing the acute respiratory distress syndrome, Am J Respir Crit Care Med. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
An estimated 9-23 million (8-20% of total) asthma-related emergency room visits globally were attributable to ozone.
“An estimated 9–23 million (8–20% of total) asthma-related emergency room visits globally were attributable to ozone (74).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [74] Anenberg, 2018, Estimates of the global burden of ambient PM2.5, ozone, and NO2 on asthma incidence and emergency room visits, Environ Health Perspect. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Increased chronic ozone exposure was associated with increased asthma hospital admissions in children.
“Using large hospital records, increased chronic ozone exposure was associated with increased asthma hospital admissions in children (27).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] Lin, 2008, Chronic exposure to ambient ozone and asthma hospital admissions among children, Environ Health Perspect source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Relative to 2000, there will be a 14% increase in global ozone-related mortality.
“Relative to that in 2000, there will be a 14% increase in global ozone-related mortality (75).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [75] Silva, 2017, Future global mortality from changes in air pollution attributable to climate change, Nat Clim Change. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The relatively large gap in the estimates across studies is due to uncertainties associated with and inconsistence in concentration-effect relationship and ozone exposure assessment.
“The relatively large gap in the estimates across studies is due to uncertainties associated with and inconsistence in concentration–effect relationship and ozone exposure assessment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Neurodegenerative disorders, such as Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease, have been linked to ozone exposures in recent epidemiologic studies.
“Neurodegenerative disorders, such as Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Parkinson's disease, have been linked to ozone exposures in recent epidemiologic studies (66, 67).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [66] Jung, 2015, Ozone, particulate matter, and newly diagnosed Alzheimer's disease: a population-based cohort study in Taiwan, J Alzheimers Dis. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [67] Kirrane, 2015, Associations of ozone and PM2. 5 concentrations with Parkinson's disease among participants in the agricultural health study, J Occup Environ Med. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Improved knowledge of ozone effects beyond the lung and improved characterization of chronic effects of long-term exposure will likely add to ozone-associated disease burden that is currently uncounted for.
“The improved knowledge will likely add to ozone-associated disease burden that is currently uncounted for.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Ambient ozone exposure within several minutes can decrease heart rate variability in the healthy elderly subjects.
“Jia et al. showed that ambient ozone exposure within several minutes can decrease heart rate variability in the healthy elderly subjects, suggesting that a dysfunction of cardiac autonomic nervous system may be involved (53).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [53] Jia, 2011, Acute effect of ambient ozone on heart rate variability in healthy elderly subjects, J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Ozone pollution is a worldwide health hazard.
“Ozone pollution is a worldwide health hazard.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Animal studies with high ozone exposures have generated more consistent findings on cardiovascular effects of ozone through altering vascular tone, mRNA for genes encoding thrombogenic factors, and atherogenesis.
“In contrast, animal studies with high ozone exposures have generated more consistent findings on cardiovascular effects of ozone through altering vascular tone (60–62), mRNA for genes encoding thrombogenic factors (63), and atherogenesis (60).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [60] Chuang, 2009, Pulmonary ozone exposure induces vascular dysfunction, mitochondrial damage, and atherogenesis, Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [61] Paffett, 2015, Ozone inhalation impairs coronary artery dilation via intracellular oxidative stress: evidence for serum-borne factors as drivers of systemic toxicity, Toxicol Sci. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [62] Robertson, 2013, CD36 mediates endothelial dysfunction downstream of circulating factors induced by O3 exposure, Toxicol Sci. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [63] Kodavanti, 2010, Vascular and cardiac impairments in rats inhaling ozone and diesel exhaust particles, Environ Health Perspect. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
An estimated increase of 0.43 ppb in average ozone concentration during the 2040s compared to 2000 due to climate change alone would correspond to a 0.01% increase in mortality rate in 19 urban communities in southeastern United States.
“For example, an estimated increase of 0.43 ppb in average ozone concentration, during the 2040s compared to 2000 due to climate change alone, would correspond to a 0.01% increase in mortality rate in 19 urban communities in southeastern United States (9).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Chang, 2010, Impact of climate change on ambient ozone level and mortality in southeastern United States, Int J Environ Res Public Health source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Di et al. analyzed the entire US Medicare population of 60 million older adults from 2000 through 2012 and found a positive association between annual averages of ozone and all-cause mortality rate.
“Di et al. (76) analyzed the entire US Medicare population of 60 million older adults from the years 2000 through 2012 and found a positive association between annual averages of ozone and all-cause mortality rate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [76] Di, 2017, Air pollution and mortality in the Medicare population, N Engl J Med. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Epidemiological evidence is limited to support a causal relationship between chronic ozone exposure and mortality or morbidity.
“Epidemiological evidence is limited to support a causal relationship between the chronic exposure and mortality or morbidity, although progresses have been made in recent years by using large datasets.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The mechanistic understanding appears sufficient to support the use of antioxidants or ozone scavengers to alleviate the ozone effects.
“The mechanistic understanding appears to be sufficient to support the use of antioxidants or ozone scavenger to alleviate the ozone effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The immune-inflammatory responses initiated in the lung are the key in more downstream systemic effects.
- Premisecitation
Rodent studies confirmed that the use of N-acetylcysteine and sulfide salt can help prevent or recover the lung impairment caused by ozone.
“For example, rodent studies confirmed that the use of N-acetylcysteine and sulfide salt can help prevent or recover the lung impairment caused by ozone (82, 83).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [82] Li, 2016, Hydrogen sulfide prevents and partially reverses ozone-induced features of lung inflammation and emphysema in mice, Am J Respir Cell Mol Biol. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [83] Li, 2013, Effects of N-acetylcysteine in ozone-induced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease model, PLoS ONE. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Emerging evidence does not support a threshold for adverse effects of ozone.
“Yet, emerging evidence does not support a threshold for adverse effects of ozone (79, 80).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [79] Bell, 2006, The exposure-response curve for ozone and risk of mortality and the adequacy of current ozone regulations, Environ Health Perspect. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [80] Chen, 2017, Acute effect of ozone exposure on daily mortality in seven cities of Jiangsu Province, China: no clear evidence for threshold, Environ Res. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
Making ozone forecasting available to the general public will enhance the effectiveness of personal protection methods to reduce ozone exposure.
“Making ozone forecasting available to the general public will enhance the effectiveness of such personal protection methods to reduce ozone exposure (81).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [81] Zhang, 2017, Low-level air pollution associated with death: policy and clinical implications, JAMA. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
Relatively less is known about how ozone affects cardiovascular health outcomes.
“Relatively less is known to understand how ozone affects the cardiovascular health outcomes”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
A randomized trial found that a daily supplement of vitamins C and E might provide some protection against acute nasal inflammatory response to ozone in asthmatic children.
“A randomized trial found that a daily supplement of vitamins C and E might provide some protection against acute nasal inflammatory response to ozone in asthmatic children (84).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [84] Sienra-Monge, 2004, Antioxidant supplementation and nasal inflammatory responses among young asthmatics exposed to high levels of ozone, Clin Exp Immunol. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
A 5 ppb (10 μg/m3) increase in long-term ozone concentration was associated with 0.21 year (95% CI: −0.25 to −0.17) lower life expectancy in females.
“and 0.21 year (95% CI: −0.25 to −0.17) in females (78).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [78] Li, 2016, Long-term exposure to ozone and life expectancy in the United States, 2002 to 2008, Medicine. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
If a threshold for adverse effects of ozone exists, it would have to be substantially lower than the current health-based regulatory standards or guidelines.
“Or if a threshold exists, it would have to be substantially lower than the current health-based regulatory standards or guidelines.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The natural fluctuation in ambient ozone concentration makes it challenging to examine chronic effects of short-term and long-term exposures.
“The natural fluctuation in ambient ozone concentration hence makes it challenging to examine chronic effects of short-term and long-term exposures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Some acute ozone effects are reversible.
- Interpretationreasoning
Ozone pollution in developing countries is expected to be a long-term problem.
“For all these challenges, ozone pollution in developing countries is expected to be a long-term problem”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The relationship of ozone production with its precursors is non-linear, so reducing one precursor may not necessarily lead to ozone reduction.
- Rests on an assumption: Even within a metropolitan area, the optimal ratio of NOx to VOCs associated with minimal ozone formation changes from day to day and from upwind to downwind.
- Rests on an assumption: Sources of VOCs can be numerous and hard to characterize.
- Rests on an assumption: Some known sources of VOCs, such as household use of consumer chemicals and biogenic emissions, are difficult to control through regulatory actions.
- Rests on an assumption: Ozone concentrations and spatiotemporal distributions are specific to local meteorological conditions, local sources of NOx and VOCs, and long-range transport of ozone and associated chemical species.
- Rests on an assumption: Aggregative regulatory actions to cut down anthropogenic emissions of NOx and VOCs have not necessarily resulted in sufficient reductions in ozone concentrations in certain areas of the United States.
- Premisecitation
In a controlled human exposure study, healthy adults who received dietary antioxidant supplementation exhibited a significantly smaller ozone-induced reduction in pulmonary function.
“In a control human exposure study (2-h exposure to 400 ppb ozone vs. filtered air), healthy adults who had received a dietary antioxidant supplementation of a mixture of vitamin C, alpha-tocopherol, and vegetable cocktail exhibited a significantly smaller ozone-induced reduction in pulmonary function (85).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [85] Samet, 2001, Effect of antioxidant supplementation on ozone-induced lung injury in human subjects, Am J Respir Crit Care Med. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
In the United States and developed countries with relatively better air quality, further controls of anthropogenic emissions via policy and technological tools are becoming increasingly limited.
“In the United States and developed countries with relatively better air quality, following decades of controls for NOx and VOCs emissions, further controls of anthropogenic emissions via policy, and technological tools are becoming increasingly limited.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Aggregative regulatory actions to cut down anthropogenic emissions of NOx and VOCs have not necessarily resulted in sufficient reductions in ozone concentrations in certain areas of the United States.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 18
- May combine two claims. 18
- The quote only partly states this claim. 2
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenWorldwide, ozone is responsible for several hundreds of thousands of premature deaths and tens of millions of asthma-related emergency room visits annually.
“Worldwide, ozone is responsible for several hundreds of thousands of premature deaths and tens of millions of asthma-related emergency room visits annually.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenAt or above current regulatory standards, day-to-day variations in ozone concentrations are positively associated with asthma incidence and daily non-accidental mortality rate.
“At or above current regulatory standards, day-to-day variations in ozone concentrations have been positively associated with asthma incidence and daily non-accidental mortality rate.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
PremisereasoningVOCs or CO participate in photochemical reactions to produce free radicals that compete with ozone to react with NO, leading to net accumulation of ozone.
“However, VOCs or CO participate in a series of complex photochemical reactions to produce free radicals that compete with ozone to react with NO.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe springtime ozone increase at Mt Waliguan was partly (~60%) attributed to increased stratosphere-to-troposphere transport, whereas rising Asian anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors were the key driver of increasing autumnal ozone at this site.
“The springtime ozone increase was partly (~60%) attributed to increased stratosphere-to-troposphere transport, whereas rising Asian anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors were the key driver of increasing autumnal ozone at this site.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] Xu, 2018, Long-term trends of surface ozone and its influencing factors at the Mt Waliguan GAW station, China-Part 2: the roles of anthropogenic emissions and climate variability, Atmos Chem Phys source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Premisenone givenNOx and VOCs released into the atmosphere react in the presence of solar irradiation, leading to ozone formation in the troposphere.
“Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) released into the atmosphere can react in the presence of solar irradiation, leading to ozone formation in the troposphere.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenIn the United States, the current National Ambient Air Quality Standards for ozone include a 1-h standard at 120 ppb and an 8-h standard at 70 ppb.
“In the United States, the current National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ozone include a 1-h standard (1-h maximum within a day) at 120 ppb and an 8-h standard (8-h daily max) at 70 ppb.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisereasoningOzone, as a strong oxidant, can induce oxidative damages to cells and the lining fluids of the airways and immune-inflammatory responses within and beyond the lung.
“The pathophysiology to support the epidemiologic associations between mortality and morbidity and ozone centers at the chemical and toxicological property of ozone as a strong oxidant, being able to induce oxidative damages to cells and the lining fluids of the airways, and immune-inflammatory responses within and beyond the lung.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenIn the United States in 2016, 90% of non-compliance to the national ambient air quality standards was due to ozone whereas only 10% was due to particulate matter and other regulated pollutants.
“For example, in the United States in 2016, 90% of non-compliance to the national ambient air quality standards was due to ozone whereas only 10% was due to particulate matter and other regulated pollutants.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenClimate change, through creating atmospheric conditions favoring ozone formation, has been and will continue to increase ozone concentrations in many parts of the world.
“Climate change, through creating atmospheric conditions favoring ozone formation, has been and will continue to increase ozone concentrations in many parts of world.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationChildren are at increased risk from ozone exposure, as children have a relatively higher dose per body mass and children's lung is still developing.
“Children are at increased risk from ozone exposure, as children have a relatively higher dose per body mass and children's lung is still developing.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisereasoningUsing 8-h daily max concentration assumes that lower concentrations during the rest of 16 h do not contribute to an adverse effect.
“whereas using 8-h daily max concentration assumes that lower concentrations during the rest of 16 h do not contribute to an adverse effect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Lower concentrations during the rest of 16 h do not contribute to an adverse effect when using 8-h daily max concentration.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationOzone exposure is likely to cause premature deaths, and the evidence is stronger for mortality due to respiratory illnesses than for that due to other diseases.
“Ozone exposure is likely to cause premature deaths, and the evidence is stronger for mortality due to respiratory illnesses than for that due to other diseases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisereasoningUsing 1-h max concentration is to assess the acute effect of peak exposure.
“Using 1-h max concentration is to assess the acute effect of peak exposure,”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationOzone can cause coughing and sore or scratchy throat.
“Ozone can cause coughing and sore or scratchy throat.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] McDonald, 2018, Volatile chemical products emerging as largest petrochemical source of urban organic emissions, Science. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningDecreasing NOx would increase ozone under VOC-limited conditions, which has been the case for many urban areas of China.
“Typically decreasing NOx would increase ozone under VOC-limited conditions, which has been the case for many urban areas of China.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenOutdoor ozone typically exhibits a distinct diurnal pattern with high concentrations during afternoon and early evening hours.
“Third, outdoor ozone typically exhibits a distinct diurnal pattern with high concentrations during afternoon and early evening hours.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationOn high ozone days, there have been increased school absences, increased visits to emergency rooms, and increased hospital admissions.
“On high ozone days, there have been increased school absences, increased visits to emergency rooms, and increased hospital admissions (27–30).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [27] Lin, 2008, Chronic exposure to ambient ozone and asthma hospital admissions among children, Environ Health Perspect source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [28] Strickland, 2010, Short-term associations between ambient air pollutants and pediatric asthma emergency department visits, Am J Respir Crit Care Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [29] Malig, 2016, A time-stratified case-crossover study of ambient ozone exposure and emergency department visits for specific respiratory diagnoses in California (2005-2008), Environ Health Perspect source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [30] Tian, 2018, Association between ambient air pollution and daily hospital admissions for ischemic stroke: a nationwide time-series analysis, PLoS Med source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenOzone is chemically reactive and can be more effectively scavenged by building surfaces.
“First, ozone is chemically reactive and can be more effectively scavenged by building surfaces.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationAn acute exposure to ozone (0.4 ppm for 2 h) resulted in 8.2-fold increase of polymorphonuclear leukocytes in bronchial alveolar lavage fluid and enhanced level of inflammatory mediators in the lower airways of humans.
“A seminal work by Koren et al. demonstrated that an acute exposure to ozone (0.4 ppm for 2 h) resulted in 8.2-fold increase of polymorphonuclear leukocytes (PMN) in bronchial alveolar lavage (BAL) fluid and enhanced level of inflammatory mediators in the lower airways of humans (37).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] Koren, 1989, Ozone-induced inflammation in the lower airways of human subjects, Am Rev Respir Dis source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDisability adjusted life years lost attributable to ozone were estimated to be 6.3 ± 3.0 million years in 2000.
“Disability adjust life years (DALY) lost attributable to ozone were estimated to be 6.3 ± 3.0 million years in 2000 (58)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Brook, 2002, Inhalation of fine particulate air pollution and ozone causes acute arterial vasoconstriction in healthy adults, Circulation. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationOther ozone-associated mortality estimates include 316,000 respiratory deaths in China and ~23,500 in the European Union.
“Other ozone-associated mortality estimates include 316,000 respiratory deaths in China (15) and ~23,500 in the European Union8.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [15] Malley, 2017, Updated global estimates of respiratory mortality in adults >/ = 30 years of age attributable to long-term ozone exposure, Environ Health Perspect source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Pfister, 2014, Projections of future summertime ozone over the US. JGR: atmospheres source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA study reported a 6% increase in premature deaths attributable to ozone globally from 1990 to 2010.
“A study reported a 6% increase in premature deaths attributable to ozone globally from 1990 to 2010 (71), although the estimates (143,000 deaths in 1990 and 152,000 deaths in 2010) seem to be substantially lower than the estimated reported in other studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [71] Lim, 2012, A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010, Lancet. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationChronic exposure to low-dose ozone could enhance systemic and hippocampal Th17/IL-17A immune responses, which may be partly responsible for neurodegenerative effects in rats.
“Chronic exposure to low-dose ozone, on the other hand, could enhance systemic and hippocampal Th17/IL-17A immune responses, which may be partly responsible for neurodegenerative effects in rats (70).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [70] Solleiro-Villavicencio, 2019, Systemic Th17/IL-17A response appears prior to hippocampal neurodegeneration in rats exposed to low doses of ozone, Neurología. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIncreased ambient ozone exposure was associated with increased rate of carotid wall thickness progression and risk of new plaque formation in healthy adults.
“Wang et al. found that increased ambient ozone exposure was associated with increased rate of carotid wall thickness progression and risk of new plaque formation in healthy adults (52).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] Wang, 2019, Long-term exposure to ambient ozone and progression of subclinical arterial disease: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis and air pollution, Environ Health Perspect source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationShort-term exposure to ambient ozone can elevate serum levels of ACE and ET-1, decrease their DNA methylation, and alter the lipid metabolism, which may be partly responsible for increased blood pressure and vascular endothelial disfunction.
“Xia et al. revealed that short-term exposure to ambient ozone can elevate serum levels of ACE and ET-1, decrease their DNA methylation, and alter the lipid metabolism, which may be partly responsible for increased blood pressure and vascular endothelial disfunction (51).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [51] Xia, 2018, Effects of personal short-term exposure to ambient ozone on blood pressure and vascular endothelial function: a mechanistic study based on DNA methylation and metabolomics, Environ Sci Technol. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationExposure to ozone was responsible for 254,000 deaths from COPD alone in 2015.
“In another study, exposure to ozone was responsible for 254,000 deaths from COPD alone in 2015 (73).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [73] Cohen, 2017, Estimates and 25-year trends of the global burden of disease attributable to ambient air pollution: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2015, Lancet. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAnthropogenic ozone was associated with an estimated 700,000 ± 300,000 respiratory mortalities in 2000.
“In one study, for example, anthropogenic ozone was associated with an estimated 700,000 ± 300,000 respiratory mortalities in 2000 (72).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [72] Anenberg, 2010, An estimate of the global burden of anthropogenic ozone and fine particulate matter on premature human mortality using atmospheric modeling, Environ Health Perspect. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe impact would be larger when other ozone effects were considered.
“It is expected that the impact would be larger when other ozone effects were considered.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAn estimated 23.0-40.3 million respiratory-related deaths were attributable to long-term O3 exposure in 2016.
“In addition, an estimated 23.0–40.3 million respiratory-related deaths were attributable to long-term O3 exposure in 2016 (15).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] Malley, 2017, Updated global estimates of respiratory mortality in adults >/ = 30 years of age attributable to long-term ozone exposure, Environ Health Perspect source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIn many parts of the world, ozone concentrations are projected to increase, leading to increases in ozone-associated mortalities and morbidities.
“In many parts of the world, as described above, ozone concentrations are projected to increase, leading to increases in ozone-associated mortalities and morbidities.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDisability adjusted life years lost from COPD alone attributable to ozone were estimated to be 4.1 (95% CI: 1.6-6.8) million years in 2015.
“and 4.1 (95% CI: 1·6–6·8) million years from COPD alone in 2015 (73).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [73] Cohen, 2017, Estimates and 25-year trends of the global burden of disease attributable to ambient air pollution: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2015, Lancet. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). The quote only partly states this claim.
Interpretationnone givenCo-exposure to other air pollutants such as PM2.5 may affect the ability to repair the damage caused by acute ozone exposures.
“The co-exposure may affect the ability to repair the damage caused by acute ozone exposures.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Some acute ozone effects are reversible.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenPredictions of ozone levels in response to changing NOx and VOC concentrations get harder with ozone concentrations approaching their background level.
“Meanwhile, predictions of ozone levels in response to changing NOx and VOC concentrations get harder with ozone concentrations approaching their “background” level.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
The health risk associated with lower-level ozone in cold months is negligible.
“assuming that the health risk associated with lower-level ozone in cold months is negligible”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Lower concentrations during the rest of 16 h do not contribute to an adverse effect when using 8-h daily max concentration.
“using 8-h daily max concentration assumes that lower concentrations during the rest of 16 h do not contribute to an adverse effect”
The paper relies on this without support.
Some acute ozone effects are reversible.
“some of the acute ozone effects are known to be reversible”
The paper relies on this without support.
The relationship of ozone production with its precursors is non-linear, so reducing one precursor may not necessarily lead to ozone reduction.
“Part of the challenges is the “non-linear” relationship of ozone production with its precursors, as reducing one of the precursors may not necessarily lead to ozone reduction.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Even within a metropolitan area, the optimal ratio of NOx to VOCs associated with minimal ozone formation changes from day to day and from upwind to downwind.
“Even within a metropolitan area, the optimal ratio of NOx to VOCs associated with minimal ozone formation changes from day to day (even hour to hour) and from upwind to downwind.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Sources of VOCs can be numerous and hard to characterize.
“Sources of VOCs can be numerous and hard to characterize.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Some known sources of VOCs, such as household use of consumer chemicals and biogenic emissions, are difficult to control through regulatory actions.
“Some known sources, such as household use of consumer chemicals and biogenic emissions, are difficult to control through regulatory actions.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Ozone concentrations and spatiotemporal distributions are specific to local meteorological conditions, local sources of NOx and VOCs, and long-range transport of ozone and associated chemical species.
“Although the fundamental chemistry of ozone formation is clear, ozone concentrations, and spatiotemporal distributions are specific to local meteorological conditions, local sources of NOx and VOCs, and long-range transport of ozone and associated chemical species.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Aggregative regulatory actions to cut down anthropogenic emissions of NOx and VOCs have not necessarily resulted in sufficient reductions in ozone concentrations in certain areas of the United States.
“Based on the history of ozone control in the United States, aggregative regulatory actions to cut down anthropogenic emissions of NOx and VOCs have not necessarily resulted in sufficient reductions in ozone concentrations in certain areas of the United States.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The immune-inflammatory responses initiated in the lung are the key in more downstream systemic effects.
“although the immune-inflammatory responses initiated in the lung are thought to be the key in more downstream systemic effects.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Increased NOx emissions from biofuels could lead to adverse impacts on both the environment and public health because of formation of additional ozone.
“The increased NO x emissions from biofuels could lead to adverse impacts on both the environment and public health because of formation of additional ozone, which is a component of photochemical smog and powerful oxidant [81,82].”
From Investigation of Biofuel as a Potential Renewable Energy Source (2021) · cites this paper as [82]
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Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Global annual ozone death estimates differ by orders of magnitude
MajorThe abstract puts worldwide premature deaths at several hundred thousand annually, but the discussion attributes 23.0-40.3 million respiratory-related deaths to ozone in 2016. These cannot both describe the annual worldwide burden at the stated scale.
“Worldwide, ozone is responsible for several hundreds of thousands of premature deaths and tens of millions of asthma-related emergency room visits annually.”
“In addition, an estimated 23.0–40.3 million respiratory-related deaths were attributable to long-term O3 exposure in 2016 (15).”
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A decade of China’s air quality monitoring data suggests health impacts are no longer declining
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Zhang, Y., Dai, J., Li, Q., Chen, T., Mu, J., Brasseur, G. P., Wang, T., & Xue, L. (2023) · Atmospheric Environment · doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.119917 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
- Authors
- Zhang, J. (., Wei, Y., & Fang, Z.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences (CN)
- Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Zhang, Junfeng (Jim)
- Wei, Yongjie
- Venue
- Frontiers in Immunology
- Publisher
- Frontiers Media SA
- Published
- 2019-10-31
- Volume
- 10
- Pages
- 2518-2518
- ISSN
- 1664-3224 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6834528
- OpenAlex
- W2981938452
- Semantic Scholar
- af6cf2853c494aaf65433b19c213b76f4250fe97
- Cited by
- 828
- References
- 89
- Citations by year
- 2026: 103 · 2025: 165 · 2024: 185 · 2023: 136 · 2022: 121 · 2021: 79 · 2020: 37 · 2019: 1 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 5.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Frontiers in Immunology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Innovative Research Group Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Indoor Air Quality and Microbial Exposure
- Keywords
- tropospheric ozone, ozone pollution, air pollution health effects, nitrogen oxides, volatile organic compounds, asthma, respiratory mortality, cardiovascular mortality, oxidative stress, airway inflammation, immune response, ambient air quality standards, antioxidants, fossil fuel emissions, premature mortality
- MeSH terms
- Air Pollutants, Air Pollution, Animals, Asthma, Humans, Ozone, United States, Global Health
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