Type 1 diabetes
Open accessAbstract
Type 1 diabetes is a chronic autoimmune disease characterised by insulin deficiency and resultant hyperglycaemia. Knowledge of type 1 diabetes has rapidly increased over the past 25 years, resulting in a broad understanding about many aspects of the disease, including its genetics, epidemiology, immune and β-cell phenotypes, and disease burden. Interventions to preserve β cells have been tested, and several methods to improve clinical disease management have been assessed. However, wide gaps still exist in our understanding of type 1 diabetes and our ability to standardise clinical care and decrease disease-associated complications and burden. This Seminar gives an overview of the current understanding of the disease and potential future directions for research and care.
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73 of 121 cited sources checked · 29 supported · 1 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
A cure for type 1 diabetes remains elusive.
“a cure for type 1 diabetes remains elusive.1,2”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“Although survival and patient health have improved considerably, particularly in the past 25 years, a cure for type 1 diabetes remains elusive.1,2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked - Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
- Premisecitation
At diagnosis, people with type 1 diabetes have reduced β-cell function compared with healthy controls.
“At diagnosis, people with type 1 diabetes have reduced β-cell function compared with healthy controls.61”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [61] Greenbaum, 2009, Preservation of β-cell function in autoantibody-positive youth with diabetes, Diabetes Care source
The Results (page unavailable) show that among autoantibody-positive youth studied within one year of diagnosis, 31.2% had fasting C-peptide at or above the healthy-adolescent 5th percentile, supporting generally lower β-cell function relative to that reference population. The study does not measure function precisely at diagnosis, and its findings in youth do not establish the claim for all people with type 1 diabetes. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Metformin has not been shown effective in people younger than 18 years who are overweight or obese and have type 1 diabetes.
“it has not been shown to be effective in people younger than 18 years who are overweight or obese and have type 1 diabetes.86”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [86] Libman, 2015, Effect of metformin added to insulin on glycemic control among overweight/obese adolescents with type 1 diabetes: a randomized clinical trial, JAMA source
The Abstract reports that adding metformin to insulin did not improve glycemic control after six months in overweight adolescents with type 1 diabetes. But the unqualified claim that it has not been shown effective overlooks favorable results for insulin dose and measures of adiposity. The trial also included participants up to age 19.6, rather than exclusively people younger than 18. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Metformin is the most commonly prescribed drug for type 1 diabetes patients with insulin resistance.
“Metformin, an insulin sensitiser, is the most commonly prescribed drug for people with type 1 diabetes who have insulin resistance”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [86] Libman, 2015, Effect of metformin added to insulin on glycemic control among overweight/obese adolescents with type 1 diabetes: a randomized clinical trial, JAMA source
The Introduction (page not provided) describes metformin’s glucose-lowering mechanisms, and the Abstract describes a trial of metformin added to insulin in overweight adolescents with type 1 diabetes. But our copy says metformin is commonly used for type 2 diabetes; it does not establish that metformin is the most commonly prescribed drug for people with type 1 diabetes and insulin resistance. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The Diabetes Control and Complications Trial and the follow-up Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications trial convincingly showed that achieving and maintaining glucose concentrations as close to those seen in people without diabetes as possible leads to a reduction in microvascular and cardiovascular type 1 diabetes complications.
“This trial and the follow-up observational Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications trial convincingly showed that achieving and maintaining glucose concentrations as close to those seen in people without diabetes as possible leads to a reduction in microvascular and cardiovascular type 1 diabetes complications.82”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [81] 1993, The effect of intensive treatment of diabetes on the development and progression of long-term complications in insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, N Engl J Med source
- cites [82] Nathan, 2014, The diabetes control and complications trial/epidemiology of diabetes interventions and complications study at 30 years: overview, Diabetes Care source
- Premisecitation
Off-label use of metformin, GLP-1 receptor agonists, DPP-4 inhibitors, and SGLT2 inhibitors in type 1 diabetes is less than 5% of patients.
“metformin, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have also been used of-label; however, fewer than 5% of patients use these medications.85”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [85] Lyons, 2017, Use of adjuvant pharmacotherapy in type 1 diabetes: international comparison of 49,996 individuals in the prospective diabetes follow-up and T1D exchange registries, Diabetes Care source
- Premisecitation
When sensitive C-peptide measurements are performed, 30-80% of people with long-term type 1 diabetes are found to be insulin microsecretors.
“When sensitive C-peptide measure ments are performed, 30–80% of people with long-term type 1 diabetes are found to be insulin microsecretors.64–67”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 4 sources checked- cites [64] Davis, 2015, Prevalence of detectable C-peptide according to age at diagnosis and duration of type 1 diabetes, Diabetes Care source
- cites [65] Oram, 2014, The majority of patients with long-duration type 1 diabetes are insulin microsecretors and have functioning beta cells, Diabetologia source
- cites [66] Oram, 2015, Most people with long-duration type 1 diabetes in a large population-based study are insulin microsecretors, Diabetes Care source
The Results (page not available in our copy) report detectable C-peptide in 80% of participants with long-duration type 1 diabetes, but very low levels in 52%. The Abstract Conclusions distinguish the majority who were insulin microsecretors from others with clinically relevant secretion. Thus the paper supports frequent microsecretion with sensitive measurement, but not the claim that 80% were microsecretors. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [67] Rother, 2009, Effects of exenatide alone and in combination with daclizumab on β-cell function in long-standing type 1 diabetes, Diabetes Care source
The Results (C-peptide secretion) report detectable C-peptide in 85% of 40 screened participants with long-standing type 1 diabetes, using an assay with a detection limit of 0.05 ng/ml (Methods, Assays). This supports the point that sensitive testing finds residual insulin secretion, but this paper reports 85%, not the claimed 30–80% range. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Seroconversion to two or more serum autoantibodies in children is associated with an 84% risk of clinical type 1 diabetes by age 18 years.
“Most people with a single autoantibody do not progress to type 1 diabetes, but seroconversion to the presence of two or more serum autoantibodies in children is associated with an 84% risk of clinical type 1 diabetes by the age of 18 years (figure 2A).16”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] Ziegler, 2013, Seroconversion to multiple islet autoantibodies and risk of progression to diabetes in children, JAMA source
The Results (Children With Multiple Islet Autoantibodies; page not provided) report an 84.2% risk of type 1 diabetes at 15 years after seroconversion in children with multiple islet autoantibodies. That is not an 84% risk by age 18: the paper measures this figure from seroconversion, not from birth. (LLM, conf=0.91)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Persistent C-peptide secretion was associated with reduced development of retinopathy, nephropathy, and hypoglycaemia in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial.
“This finding is noteworthy because in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial68,69 persistent C-peptide secretion was associated with reduced development of retinopathy, nephropathy, and hypoglycaemia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [68] Lachin, 2014, Impact of C-peptide preservation on metabolic and clinical outcomes in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial, Diabetes source
The Results (Intensive Therapy, 1–5-Year Duration; page unavailable) associate higher entry C-peptide with less retinopathy progression and severe hypoglycemia. Nephropathy risk was lower among responders, but the difference was not statistically significant. The Discussion (page unavailable) says C-peptide was principally measured at entry and that longitudinal associations could not be examined, so the paper does not establish an association for persistent secretion over time. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [69] Steffes, 2003, β-cell function and the development of diabetes-related complications in the diabetes control and complications trial, Diabetes Care source
- Premisecitation
Over 90% of people with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes have measurable antibodies against specific β-cell proteins, including insulin, glutamate decarboxylase, islet antigen 2, zinc transporter 8, and tetraspanin-7.
“Over 90% of people with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes have measurable antibodies against specific β-cell proteins, including insulin, glutamate decarboxylase, islet antigen 2, zinc transporter 8, and tetraspanin-7.14”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] McLaughlin, 2016, Identification of tetraspanin-7 as a target of autoantibodies in type 1 diabetes, Diabetes source
The introduction (Takedown, p. 4) identifies insulin, glutamate decarboxylase, IA-2, and zinc transporter 8 as major autoantigens; the paper also confirms tetraspanin-7 as an autoantibody target (Takedown, p. 2). It does not establish that over 90% of newly diagnosed people have measurable antibodies to these proteins. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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Analysis of pancreatic sections from individuals with long-term type 1 diabetes shows the presence of residual β cells decades after diagnosis.
“However, analysis of pancreatic sections from individuals with long-term type 1 diabetes show the presence of residual β cells decades after diagnosis.62,63”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
The pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes results from a complex interaction between the pancreatic β-cell and innate and adaptive immune systems.
“The pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes results from a complex interaction between the pancreatic β-cell and innate and adaptive immune systems (figure 3).47”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [47] Hull, 2017, Regulatory T cell dysfunction in type 1 diabetes: what's broken and how can we fix it?, Diabetologia source
- Premisecitation
In a Type 1 Diabetes Exchange clinic registry study of over 25,000 people with type 1 diabetes (mean age 23 years), the prevalence of autoimmune disease was 27%.
“A study101 from the Type 1 Diabetes Exchange clinic registry noted the prevalence of autoimmune disease was 27% in a population of over 25 000 people with type 1 diabetes with a mean age of 23 years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [101] Hughes, 2016, Autoimmune diseases in children and adults with type 1 diabetes from the T1D exchange clinic registry, J Clin Endocrinol Metab source
- Premisecitation
Setting more aggressive HbA1c targets is associated with achieving lower HbA1c.
“Although setting more aggressive targets is associated with achieving lower HbA1c,97”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [97] Clements, 2013, Lower A1c among adolescents with lower perceived A1c goal: a cross-sectional survey, Int J Pediatr Endocrinol source
The Conclusions report a general trend in adolescents with type 1 diabetes: a lower perceived A1c goal was associated with a lower achieved A1c. The study measured adolescents’ perceived goals, not the effect of setting more aggressive targets; the comparison reported in Results did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.07). (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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These calculators estimate 10-year risk of microvascular and macrovascular complications.
“These calculators can be used to predict 10-year risk for microvascular and macrovascular complications.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [129] Hippisley-Cox, 2015, Development and validation of risk prediction equations to estimate future risk of blindness and lower limb amputation in patients with diabetes: cohort study, BMJ source
The Discussion says the paper's equations predict 10-year risks of blindness and lower-limb amputation in people with diabetes. It does not say these calculators predict macrovascular complications; the Introduction describes cardiovascular and stroke risk as assessed by other tools. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [130] Hippisley-Cox, 2017, Development and validation of QRISK3 risk prediction algorithms to estimate future risk of cardiovascular disease: prospective cohort study, BMJ source
The Results > Validation section reports predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk. Methods > Outcomes defines the outcome as coronary heart disease, ischaemic stroke, or transient ischaemic attack. These support prediction of macrovascular complications, but the paper does not establish prediction of microvascular complications. (LLM, conf=0.90)
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A worse quality of life predicts later worse glycaemic control.
“Furthermore, poor quality of life is predictive of subsequent poor glycaemic control.133”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [133] Hilliard, 2013, How poorer quality of life in adolescence predicts subsequent type 1 diabetes management and control, Patient Educ Couns source
- Premisecitation
Observational evidence indicates that worse diabetes control does not lower the chance of severe hypoglycaemia.
“Observational studies suggest poor diabetes control does not reduce the risk of severe hypoglycaemia.113”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [113] Haynes, 2017, Severe hypoglycemia rates are not associated with HbA1c: a cross-sectional analysis of 3 contemporary pediatric diabetes registry databases, Pediatr Diabetes source
The Results report no inverse relationship between HbA1c and severe hypoglycemia rates across three registry cohorts, supporting the claim's direction. The Discussion specifies that these were youth with type 1 diabetes; the citing sentence leaves that population restriction unstated and could be read as applying to diabetes generally. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Repeated low glucose episodes make unawareness and later severe hypoglycaemia more likely by lowering the glucose threshold for counter-regulatory responses.
“Recurrent hypoglycaemia results in an increased likelihood of hypoglycaemia unawareness and subsequent severe hypoglycaemic events, since recurrent hypoglycaemia reduces the glucose concentration that triggers the counter-regulatory responses to return to euglycaemia.106”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [106] Seaquist, 2013, Hypoglycemia and diabetes: a report of a workgroup of the American Diabetes Association and the Endocrine Society, Diabetes Care source
- Premisecitation
A later TrialNet study of low-dose oral insulin in similar autoantibody-positive people also failed.
“the Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Network completed a trial144 of low-dose oral insulin in a second cohort of individuals who were autoantibody positive with similar insulin autoantibody profiles, but this trial was also negative.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [144] 2017, Effect of oral insulin on prevention of diabetes in relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes: a randomized clinical trial, JAMA source
- Premisecitation
CGM and other advanced diabetes technologies allow HbA1c to reach target without raising severe hypoglycaemia risk.
“with CGM and other advanced diabetes technologies HbA1c can be lowered into the target range without increasing the risk of severe hypoglycaemia.114”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [114] Karges, 2017, Glycated hemoglobin A1c as a risk factor for severe hypoglycemia in pediatric type 1 diabetes, Pediatr Diabetes source
The Discussion says that children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes may be able to achieve optimal HbA1c targets without increased severe hypoglycemia risk. It does not establish that CGM or other advanced technologies enable this: the authors explicitly say that which devices or treatment approaches contributed remains unresolved. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.89)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Kidney disease from diabetes progressively raises overall macrovascular risk.
“Diabetic nephropathy, whether manifesting as microalbuminuria, macroalbuminuria, or a reduced glomerular filtration rate progressively augments the overall risk of macrovascular complications.118”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [118] Groop, 2009, The presence and severity of chronic kidney disease predicts all-cause mortality in type 1 diabetes, Diabetes source
The Results (Chronic kidney disease and mortality in type 1 diabetes; page unavailable) show progressively higher all-cause mortality across albuminuria stages and an independent association between reduced GFR and mortality. The Cohort characteristics table also shows more established macrovascular disease in groups with more severe kidney disease. But the paper does not show that nephropathy progressively raises the risk of new macrovascular complications; its follow-up outcome was death, not incident macrovascular events. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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Rates of severe hypoglycaemic events have been decreasing over time.
“Notably, rates of severe hypoglycaemic events have been decreasing over time104”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [104] O'Connell, 2011, Reducing rates of severe hypoglycemia in a population-based cohort of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes over the decade 2000–2009, Diabetes Care source
- Premisecitation
Trials of antigen therapy with different GAD protein forms have had mixed results, mostly negative.
“Antigen-based trials have used various forms of glutamate decarboxylase (GAD) protein, which have shown mixed but mostly negative results.139–141”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [139] Beam, 2017, GAD vaccine reduces insulin loss in recently diagnosed type 1 diabetes: findings from a Bayesian meta-analysis, Diabetologia source
The Introduction reports mixed trial findings: two studies had non-significant primary endpoints, while the third had a non-significant primary endpoint but significant secondary results. That supports the characterization of trial results as mixed and mostly negative on primary endpoints. However, the Methods say the trials used the same study drug with different dosing regimens, not different GAD protein forms; the Discussion also concludes that a small positive biological effect is highly likely. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [140] Ludvigsson, 2014, GAD-treatment of children and adolescents with recent-onset type 1 diabetes preserves residual insulin secretion after 30 months, Diabetes Metab Res Rev source
- cites [141] Wherrett, 2011, Antigen-based therapy with glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) vaccine in patients with recent-onset type 1 diabetes: a randomised double-blind trial, Lancet source
The Research in context panel reports that this GAD-alum trial found no effect, while an earlier GAD vaccine trial suggested benefit in a small subgroup. That supports mixed results, but the paper does not establish that trials used different GAD protein forms or that GAD trials were mostly negative overall. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Research has found further non-glycaemic factors that raise complication risk.
“Several studies127–130 have identified additional non-glycaemic risk factors for the development of complications.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 4 sources checked- cites [127] Secrest, 2011, Associations between socioeconomic status and major complications in type 1 diabetes: the Pittsburgh epidemiology of diabetes complication (EDC) study, Ann Epidemiol source
- cites [128] Huxley, 2015, Risk of all-cause mortality and vascular events in women versus men with type 1 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol source
- cites [129] Hippisley-Cox, 2015, Development and validation of risk prediction equations to estimate future risk of blindness and lower limb amputation in patients with diabetes: cohort study, BMJ source
- cites [130] Hippisley-Cox, 2017, Development and validation of QRISK3 risk prediction algorithms to estimate future risk of cardiovascular disease: prospective cohort study, BMJ source
The Results tables report associations between several non-glycaemic factors and future cardiovascular disease, supporting the claim for that outcome. The paper studies cardiovascular events in a general cohort, however, rather than complications broadly or their development specifically among people with diabetes. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The drug categories that preserve C-peptide include rituximab, teplizumab, otelixizumab, abatacept, and alefacept.
“These drugs include a monoclonal antibody against the B-cell CD20 receptor (rituximab),147 monoclonal antibodies against the T-cell CD3 receptor (teplizumab148,149 and otelixizumab150), cytotoxic T-lymphocyte protein 4 (CTLA4)-immunoglobulin-mediated co-stimulatory blockade with abatacept,151 and alefacept,152”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 4 sources checked- cites [147] Pescovitz, 2009, Rituximab, B-lymphocyte depletion, and preservation of beta-cell function, N Engl J Med source
- cites [148] Herold, 2009, Treatment of patients with new onset type 1 diabetes with a single course of anti-CD3 mAb teplizumab preserves insulin production for up to 5 years, Clin Immunol source
- cites [149] Herold, 2002, Anti-CD3 monoclonal antibody in new-onset type 1 diabetes mellitus, N Engl J Med source
- cites [150] Keymeulen, 2005, Insulin needs after CD3-antibody therapy in new-onset type 1 diabetes, N Engl J Med source
- Premisecitation
Fear of low blood sugar is common, especially among families of very young children with type 1 diabetes.
“Fear of hypoglycaemia is a prevalent issue, particularly for the families of very young children with type 1 diabetes.132”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [132] Van Name, 2018, Nighttime is the worst time: parental fear of hypoglycemia in young children with type 1 diabetes, Pediatr Diabetes source
- Premisecitation
Most individuals with type 1 diabetes do not achieve these HbA1c targets.
“however, most individuals do not achieve these targets.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [94] 2018, 6. Glycemic targets: standards of medical care in diabetes-2018, Diabetes Care
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [95] Rewers, 2014, ISPAD clinical practice concensus guidelines 2014. Assessment and monitoring of glycemic control in children and adolescents with diabetes, Pediatric Diabetes source
The Health care priorities section says consistently achieving HbA1c below the target range may be very difficult, and the Rewers et al. section says adolescents are the farthest from achieving HbA1c <7.5%. These passages support difficulty meeting targets, but they do not establish that most individuals with type 1 diabetes fail to meet them; the paper focuses on children and adolescents. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [96] 2013, Canadian Diabetes Association 2013 clinical practice guidelines for the prevention and management of diabetes in Canada. Introduction, Can J Diabetes
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Diabetes may cause acute and chronic neurocognitive changes, including cognitive decline affecting psychomotor speed, cognitive flexibility, attention, and visual perception.
“People with diabetes might also have both chronic and acute neurocognitive changes that include decline in cognitive function with detrimental effects on psychomotor speed, cognitive flexibility, attention, and visual perception.121,122”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [121] Gaudieri, 2008, Cognitive function in children with type 1 diabetes: a meta-analysis, Diabetes Care source
The Results (page unavailable) report slightly lower psychomotor speed, attention/executive function, and visual-motor integration scores in children with type 1 diabetes than in controls. The claim extends those findings to people with diabetes generally and to both acute and chronic changes; the paper does not establish those distinctions or specifically report cognitive flexibility. Its Limitations section also cautions that causal inference is problematic. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [122] Tonoli, 2014, Type 1 diabetes-associated cognitive decline: a meta-analysis and update of the current literature, J Diabetes source
- Premisecitation
Lower education and income are linked to higher risks of both microvascular and macrovascular complications.
“Low levels of education and income have been associated with high risks of both micro-vascular and macrovascular complications.127”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [127] Secrest, 2011, Associations between socioeconomic status and major complications in type 1 diabetes: the Pittsburgh epidemiology of diabetes complication (EDC) study, Ann Epidemiol source
- Premisecitation
Neurocognitive changes have been associated with microvascular and macrovascular alterations, brain structural changes, neuronal loss, and cerebral atrophy.
“their development has been linked with both microvascular and macrovascular changes and changes in brain structure, neuronal loss, and cerebral atrophy.123,124”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [123] Nunley, 2015, White matter hyperintensities in middle-aged adults with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes, Neurology source
The Results and Discussion (page not supplied) link white matter hyperintensities, a brain structural finding, with slower information processing in middle-aged adults with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes. The paper does not establish the claimed links with macrovascular changes, neuronal loss, or cerebral atrophy. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [124] Seaquist, 2015, The impact of diabetes on cerebral structure and function, Psychosom Med source
In “Impact of Longstanding Type 1 Diabetes” (page unavailable), the paper links white-matter microstructure with a cognitive-test score and reports changes in cortical thickness. The Introduction (page unavailable) reports brain atrophy, while a further passage says the neurochemical findings may indicate neuronal loss or dysfunction. Our copy does not establish the claimed links with microvascular or macrovascular alterations, and neuronal loss is presented as a possibility rather than a demonstrated finding. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The QDiabetes and QRISK3 online tools were built using prospective general practice data from 803,044 people with diabetes, including 44,440 with type 1 diabetes.
“Two examples are the QDiabetes129 and QRISK3130 web calculators that were developed with a prospective general practice dataset of 803 044 people with diabetes (44 440 with type 1 diabetes).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [129] Hippisley-Cox, 2015, Development and validation of risk prediction equations to estimate future risk of blindness and lower limb amputation in patients with diabetes: cohort study, BMJ source
The Results (Overall study population) give 454,575 patients in the derivation cohort and 142,419 and 206,050 in two validation cohorts, totaling 803,044. Table 1 (Baseline characteristics) gives 44,430 patients with type 1 diabetes across those cohorts, not 44,440. The web calculator is documented, but the 803,044 figure includes validation patients rather than only patients used to develop its equations. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [130] Hippisley-Cox, 2017, Development and validation of QRISK3 risk prediction algorithms to estimate future risk of cardiovascular disease: prospective cohort study, BMJ source
The Methods (Study design and data source) confirm that QRISK3 was developed using prospective general-practice data, and the Discussion (Type 1 diabetes) confirms that it can calculate risk for people with type 1 diabetes. But the Results (Study population) report 7,889,803 people in the derivation cohort, not a cohort of 803,044 people with diabetes; the baseline-characteristics table lists 21,677 with type 1 diabetes in that cohort, not 44,440. This paper does not establish the claim about QDiabetes. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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At insulin's discovery, the University of Toronto granted a free licence to manufacture it.
“When insulin was discovered, the University of Toronto freely licensed the right to manufacture the drug;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [172] Greene, 2015, Why is there no generic insulin? Historical origins of a modern problem, N Engl J Med source
The “Insulin’s Origins” section says the Toronto team licensed insulin-production rights to numerous companies. It does not say those licences were free of charge, and it places the patent and subsequent licensing after insulin’s 1921 discovery, not at the time of discovery. Our copy provides no page number for this passage. (LLM, conf=0.85)
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- Premisecitation
In resource-limited settings, people still die from lack of insulin access.
“yet, people in resource-limited environments continue to die because they have no access to insulin.172”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [172] Greene, 2015, Why is there no generic insulin? Historical origins of a modern problem, N Engl J Med source
The opening section says insulin is too expensive for many uninsured patients and describes diabetes before insulin as a fatal affliction. It does not report that people currently die because they lack insulin access in resource-limited settings; its discussion of present-day access focuses on North America (The Paradox of Incremental Innovation; page not provided). (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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Pilot studies found early and lasting benefit from low-dose anti-thymocyte globulin plus granulocyte colony-stimulating factor.
“low-dose anti-thymocyte globulin in combination with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor has shown early and sustained efficacy in pilot studies153,154”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [153] Haller, 2016, Antithymocyte globulin plus G-CSF combination therapy leads to sustained immunomodulatory and metabolic effects in a subset of responders with established type 1 diabetes, Diabetes source
The Introduction and Conclusions (page numbers not supplied) report preservation of β-cell function for 12 months with low-dose ATG plus G-CSF. The Conclusions report sustained immunomodulatory effects at 24 months, but the difference in β-cell function versus placebo was no longer statistically significant. Thus, the paper does not establish sustained metabolic efficacy for the pilot cohort as a whole. (LLM, conf=0.89)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [154] Haller, 2015, Anti-thymocyte globulin/G-CSF treatment preserves β cell function in patients with established type 1 diabetes, J Clin Invest source
- Premisecitation
Even without insulin independence, a small amount of islet graft function can prevent severe life-threatening hypoglycaemia.
“Even if insulin independence is not achieved, severe life-threatening hypoglycaemia can be prevented with minimal islet transplant function.162,163”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Ongoing trials are testing agents that worked against β-cell stress in mouse diabetes models.
“several ongoing trials are testing drugs that have successfully targeted β-cell stress responses in mouse models of diabetes.170”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [170] Bone, 2017, Combination immunotherapy for type 1 diabetes, Curr Diab Rep source
The Single immunotherapies section reports that imatinib protected β cells in mouse models and was being tested in a phase II trial. The Concluding Remarks report that imatinib suppresses β-cell ER stress and that a trial of the ER-stress–alleviating drug TUDCA was underway. The paper does not establish that several drugs in ongoing trials had each successfully targeted β-cell stress responses in mouse diabetes models. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
CGM and intermittently viewed CGM devices for at-home use have accuracy similar to capillary blood glucose monitors.
“continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and intermittently viewed CGM devices for at-home patient use with minimally invasive devices have become available, which have similar accuracy to capillary blood glucose monitors.91”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [91] Bailey, 2015, Clinical accuracy of a continuous glucose monitoring system with an advanced algorithm, J Diabetes Sci Technol source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Premisecitation
A 2018 meta-analysis suggests SGLT2 inhibitors are safe in type 1 diabetes.
“A 2018 meta-analysis of these inhibitors suggests they are safe,87”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [87] El Masri, 2018, Safety and efficacy of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors in type 1 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Diabetes Res Clin Pract source
- Interpretationreasoning
The increases in type 1 diabetes incidence cannot be explained by genetic changes, implicating environmental or behavioural factors, or both.
“These increases cannot be explained by genetic changes, implicating environmental or behavioural factors, or both.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The greatest observed increases in type 1 diabetes incidence are among children younger than 15 years, particularly those younger than 5 years.
“The greatest observed increases in incidence of type 1 diabetes are among children younger than 15 years, particularly in those younger than 5 years.33”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [33] Chobot, 2017, Updated 24-year trend of type 1 diabetes incidence in children in Poland reveals a sinusoidal pattern and sustained increase, Diabet Med source
- Premisecitation
Genome-wide association studies have identified over 60 additional non-HLA loci associated with type 1 diabetes risk.
“Genome-wide association studies have identified over 60 additional non-HLA loci associated with the risk of type 1 diabetes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Noble, 2015, Immunogenetics of type 1 diabetes: a comprehensive review, J Autoimmun source
- Premisecitation
Using CGM within hybrid closed-loop pump systems that set basal insulin automatically but need users to deliver meal boluses manually leads to large gains in glucose variability and overall glycaemic control.
“When CGM is incorporated into hybrid closed-loop insulin-pump systems that automatically regulate basal infusion rates, but that require manual delivery of meal boluses by trained wearers to cover estimated carbohydrate intakes, substantial improvements in glucose variability and overall glycaemic control are seen (figure 5).93”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [93] Kovatchev, 2018, The artificial pancreas in 2017: the year of transition from research to clinical practice, Nat Rev Endocrinol source
- Premisecitation
The Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 found that neither oral nor parental insulin lowered type 1 diabetes onset in autoantibody-positive individuals.
“The Diabetes Prevention Trial—Type 1, tested whether oral or parental insulin prevented the development of type 1 diabetes in people who were autoantibody positive. Neither approach reduced diabetes development,”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Education, support, and glucose goals that prevent biochemical low glucose while preserving overall metabolic control can improve hypoglycaemia unawareness.
“Hypoglycaemia unawareness can improve with edu cation, support, and glucose targets that are aimed at avoiding biochemical hypoglycaemia, while maintaining overall metabolic control.107”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [107] Little, 2014, Recovery of hypoglycemia awareness in long-standing type 1 diabetes: a multicenter 2 x 2 factorial randomized controlled trial comparing insulin pump with multiple daily injections and continuous with conventional glucose self-monitoring (HypoCOMPaSS), Diabetes Care source
- Premisenone given
In randomised placebo-controlled trials of recent-onset type 1 diabetes, just four drug classes have preserved C-peptide secretion.
“Despite many attempts at immune intervention, only four categories of drugs have shown efficacy in preserving C-peptide secretion in recent onset type 1 diabetes in randomised placebocontrolled trials.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
A trial investigating intranasal insulin observed negative results.
“Negative results were also observed in another trial investigating intranasal insulin.145”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [145] Näntö-Salonen, 2008, Nasal insulin to prevent type 1 diabetes in children with HLA genotypes and autoantibodies conferring increased risk of disease: a double-blind, randomised controlled trial, Lancet source
- Premisecitation
In that trial, subgroup analyses indicated oral insulin might help those with the highest insulin autoantibody titres.
“but subgroup analyses suggested a benefit of oral insulin in individuals with the highest titres of insulin auto-antibodies.142,143”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Puberty seems to speed up complication development in type 1 diabetes.
“Type 1 diabetes during puberty also appears to accelerate the development of complications.117”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [117] Cho, 2014, Puberty as an accelerator for diabetes complications, Pediatr Diabetes source
- Premisecitation
Hypoglycaemic events are associated with adverse effects on cognitive function.
“Hypoglycaemic events are associated with adverse effects on cognitive function,108,109”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Variability in glucose concentrations and glycosylation rates probably contribute to interindividual differences in complications.
“Variability in glucose concentrations (both during the day and longer term) and glycosylation rates also probably have a role in interindividual differences.115,116”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [115] Bergenstal, 2015, Glycemic variability and diabetes complications: does it matter? Simply put, there are better glycemic markers!, Diabetes Care source
- cites [116] Virk, 2016, Association between HbA1c variability and risk of microvascular complications in adolescents with type 1 diabetes, J Clin Endocrinol Metab source
- Premisecitation
The first conclusive link between glycaemic control and complications appeared in 1993.
“the first definitive evidence linking glycaemic control with complication status in 1993.81”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [81] 1993, The effect of intensive treatment of diabetes on the development and progression of long-term complications in insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, N Engl J Med source
- Premisenone given
These drugs' phase 2 trials reached primary or secondary endpoints, defined as better C-peptide area under the curve during a mixed meal tolerance test.
“Although the phase 2 trials of these drugs met their primary or secondary endpoints, defined as an improvement in the C-peptide area-under-the-curve response during a mixed meal tolerance test,”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Shapiro and colleagues' steroid-free Edmonton Protocol demonstrated that islet transplantation can produce insulin independence.
“Shapiro and colleagues’ landmark work, by use of a steroid free Edmonton Protocol,160 showed that islet transplantation could achieve insulin independence”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [160] Shapiro, 2000, Islet transplantation in seven patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus using a glucocorticoid-free immunosuppressive regimen, N Engl J Med source
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 13
- May combine two claims. 18
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe rate of severe hypoglycaemia needing help from another person is 16-20 per 100 person-years.
“Severe hypoglycaemic events requiring treatment assistance from another person occur at rates of 16–20 per 100 person-years;”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [103] Cengiz, 2013, Severe hypoglycemia and diabetic ketoacidosis among youth with type 1 diabetes in the T1D exchange clinic registry, Pediatr Diabetes source
The Results (Severe Hypoglycemia; page unavailable) report that 6.2% of participants had at least one event in 12 months, not a rate of 16–20 events per 100 person-years. The Discussion explicitly says the study counted events involving seizure or loss of consciousness, rather than events merely requiring another person's assistance, and did not report an event rate. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [104] O'Connell, 2011, Reducing rates of severe hypoglycemia in a population-based cohort of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes over the decade 2000–2009, Diabetes Care source
The Abstract Results report a peak of 17.3 severe hypoglycemia events per 100 patient-years in 2001, within the claimed range, but a decline to 5.8 by 2006; they do not support 16–20 as a general rate. The Research Design and Methods section defines an event as one causing loss of consciousness or seizure, not one requiring assistance from another person. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [105] Karges, 2015, Hospital admission for diabetic ketoacidosis or severe hypoglycemia in 31,330 young patients with type 1 diabetes, Eur J Endocrinol source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationType 1 diabetes can occur at any age, with up to 50% of cases occurring in adulthood.
“the disease can occur at any age, with up to 50% of cases occurring in adulthood.7”
- Also stated in: § Diagnosis · plain
“Although traditional definitions classified type 1 diabetes as juvenile onset, the disease can occur at any age, with up to 50% of cases occurring in adulthood.7”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Thomas, 2018, Frequency and phenotype of type 1 diabetes in the first six decades of life: a cross-sectional, genetically stratified survival analysis from UK Biobank, Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol source
- Also stated in: § Diagnosis · plain
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationInsulitis is common and intense in animal models of type 1 diabetes, but it is much rarer and more variable in human beings.
“Although insulitis is common and intense in animal models of type 1 diabetes, it is much rarer and more variable in human beings (figure 3).60”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [60] Campbell-Thompson, 2015, Organ donor specimens: what can they tell us about type 1 diabetes?, Pediatr Diabetes source
The section “Insulitis in the natural history of T1D” (page not provided) reports low proportions of affected islets in human donors and describes variation within and between donors. It does not establish that insulitis is common and intense in animal models, so the comparison is only partly supported. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationGlobally, type 1 diabetes is increasing in incidence and prevalence, with overall annual increases in incidence of about 2-3% per year.
“Globally, type 1 diabetes is increasing both in incidence and prevalence, with overall annual increases in incidence of about 2–3% per year.29,30”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [29] Maahs, 2010, Epidemiology of type 1 diabetes, Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am source
The Incidence: Temporal Trends section reports a 2.8% average annual increase in type 1 diabetes incidence across studied populations in 57 countries, supporting the approximate 2–3% figure. That estimate concerns children aged 14 or younger, and the cited passages do not establish a global increase in prevalence. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [30] Mayer-Davis, 2017, Incidence trends of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youths, 2002–2012, N Engl J Med source
The Introduction reports that type 1 diabetes incidence has increased worldwide, and the Discussion notes increased prevalence among U.S. youths. The Results report a 1.8% adjusted annual increase in incidence among U.S. youths, not a global increase of 2–3% per year; the paper does not establish a global prevalence trend. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationChildren with type 1 diabetes commonly present with polyuria, polydipsia, and weight loss; approximately one third present with diabetic ketoacidosis.
“Children with type 1 diabetes commonly present with symptoms of polyuria, polydipsia, and weight loss; approximately a third present with diabetic ketoacidosis.6”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Dabelea, 2014, Trends in the prevalence of ketoacidosis at diabetes diagnosis: the SEARCH for diabetes in youth study, Pediatrics source
The Abstract and Discussion (page unavailable in our copy) report that almost one-third of youth with type 1 diabetes present with DKA. The paper refers generally to signs and symptoms of diabetes, but does not identify polyuria, polydipsia, and weight loss as common presenting symptoms. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSurvival and patient health have improved considerably, particularly in the past 25 years.
“Although survival and patient health have improved considerably, particularly in the past 25 years, a cure for type 1 diabetes remains elusive.1,2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] Barnett, 2018, Type 1 diabetes, Lancet source
- cites [2] Skyler, 2018, Hope vs hype: where are we in type 1 diabetes?, Diabetologia source
The Pancreas transplantation section (page unavailable) reports better 10-year survival for patients receiving a combined pancreas–kidney transplant than for those receiving a kidney transplant alone, and describes improving transplant outcomes. It does not establish that survival and health improved considerably for people with type 1 diabetes generally, particularly over the past 25 years. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDiabetic ketoacidosis accounts for 13-19% of type 1 diabetes-related mortality.
“and accounts for 13–19% of type 1 diabetes-related mortality.105,110,111”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [110] Feltbower, 2008, Acute complications and drug misuse are important causes of death for children and young adults with type 1 diabetes: results from the Yorkshire Register of diabetes in children and young adults, Diabetes Care source
The Results report 14 deaths from diabetic ketoacidosis, and Table 3 reports 108 deaths from all causes—about 13%. This supports the lower end of the cited range in this Yorkshire cohort, but the paper does not establish the 19% figure or the full range. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [111] Patterson, 2007, Early mortality in EURODIAB population-based cohorts of type 1 diabetes diagnosed in childhood since 1989, Diabetologia source
The Results (page unavailable) report diabetic ketoacidosis mentioned in 27 of 141 deaths among people with type 1 diabetes, approximately 19%. But only 47 deaths were classified as directly attributable to diabetes; ketoacidosis was mentioned in 27 of those, approximately 57%. The paper therefore supports the 19% figure only for all deaths in the cohort, not a 13–19% range for deaths attributable to diabetes. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationHypoglycaemic events are associated with 4-10% of type 1 diabetes-related deaths.
“and are associated with 4–10% of type 1 diabetes-related deaths.110–112”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [110] Feltbower, 2008, Acute complications and drug misuse are important causes of death for children and young adults with type 1 diabetes: results from the Yorkshire Register of diabetes in children and young adults, Diabetes Care source
- cites [111] Patterson, 2007, Early mortality in EURODIAB population-based cohorts of type 1 diabetes diagnosed in childhood since 1989, Diabetologia source
The Results report five deaths directly ascribed to hypoglycaemia among 47 deaths assessed as directly attributable to diabetes—about 11% in this childhood-onset European cohort. The paper does not report a 4–10% range for diabetes-related deaths or establish that range beyond this cohort. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [112] Skrivarhaug, 2006, Long-term mortality in a nationwide cohort of childhood-onset type 1 diabetic patients in Norway, Diabetologia source
The clinical-review results report 11 deaths classified as due to hypoglycaemia among 103 deaths—about 11%—in a Norwegian cohort with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes. This supports an association with deaths, but the paper does not establish the stated 4–10% range for type 1 diabetes-related deaths generally. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThree diabetes organizations advise an HbA1c goal below 53 mmol/mol (7.0%) for adults and below 58 mmol/mol (7.5%) for children with type 1 diabetes.
“Guidelines from the American Diabetes Association, International Society for Pediatric and Adolescent Diabetes, and Candian Diabetes Association suggest a HbA1c target of less than 53 mmol/mol (7·0%) for adults and less than 58 mmol/mol (7·5%) in paediatric patients with type 1 diabetes;94–96”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [94] 2018, 6. Glycemic targets: standards of medical care in diabetes-2018, Diabetes Care
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [95] Rewers, 2014, ISPAD clinical practice concensus guidelines 2014. Assessment and monitoring of glycemic control in children and adolescents with diabetes, Pediatric Diabetes source
- cites [96] 2013, Canadian Diabetes Association 2013 clinical practice guidelines for the prevention and management of diabetes in Canada. Introduction, Can J Diabetes
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationHypoglycaemic events leading to loss of consciousness or seizure occur at 2-8 per 100 person-years.
“hypoglycaemic events leading to loss of consciousness or seizure occur at a rate of 2–8 per 100 person-years.103–105”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [103] Cengiz, 2013, Severe hypoglycemia and diabetic ketoacidosis among youth with type 1 diabetes in the T1D exchange clinic registry, Pediatr Diabetes source
The Results (Severe Hypoglycemia; page unavailable) report that 6.2% of participants had at least one event involving seizure or loss of consciousness within 12 months. The Discussion explicitly distinguishes that percentage of participants from a rate measured as events per 100 person-years. The source therefore supports the event type and a broadly similar annual frequency, but not the claimed rate of 2–8 events per 100 person-years. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [104] O'Connell, 2011, Reducing rates of severe hypoglycemia in a population-based cohort of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes over the decade 2000–2009, Diabetes Care source
The Research Design and Methods section defines these events as hypoglycemia leading to loss of consciousness or seizure. The reported rate reached 5.8 per 100 patient-years, within the claimed range, but peaked at 17.3; the paper therefore does not support 2–8 as the range for its cohort of children with type 1 diabetes (Abstract, Results; page unavailable). (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [105] Karges, 2015, Hospital admission for diabetic ketoacidosis or severe hypoglycemia in 31,330 young patients with type 1 diabetes, Eur J Endocrinol source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationCardiovascular disease is still the leading cause of early illness and death in type 1 diabetes; data indicate a life expectancy 8-13 years shorter than healthy people.
“Cardiovascular disease remains the major cause of premature morbidity and mortality, with data119,120 suggesting an 8–13-year shorter life expectancy for people with type 1 diabetes than for healthy individuals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [119] Huo, 2016, Burden of diabetes in Australia: life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy in adults with diabetes, Diabetologia source
- cites [120] Livingstone, 2015, Estimated life expectancy in a Scottish cohort with type 1 diabetes, 2008-2010, JAMA source
The Results (Deaths by Cause; Examination of the Life Expectancy Differential by Age and Cause) identify ischemic heart disease as the most commonly reported cause of death and circulatory disease as the largest contributor to lost life expectancy. The Abstract (Results) reports losses of about 8 years in a preserved-kidney-function subgroup and 11–13 years overall. The paper does not establish cardiovascular disease as a leading cause of morbidity, and its comparator is the general population without type 1 diabetes, not specifically healthy individuals. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationOver the last 25 years, people with type 1 diabetes have seen large drops in microvascular and macrovascular complication risks and better outcomes.
“In the past 25 years, among people with type 1 diabetes the risks of microvascular and macrovascular compli-cations have substantially decreased and outcomes have improved.125,126”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [125] Lachin, 2014, Update on cardiovascular outcomes at 30 years of the diabetes control and complications trial/epidemiology of diabetes interventions and complications study, Diabetes Care source
The Introduction and Conclusions (page not specified) report substantial long-term benefits of intensive treatment for both microvascular disease and cardiovascular outcomes in the DCCT/EDIC participants with type 1 diabetes. They do not establish that complication risks declined over the past 25 years among people with type 1 diabetes generally; the comparison is intensive versus conventional treatment, not a population-wide trend over time. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [126] Fullerton, 2014, Intensive glucose control versus conventional glucose control for type 1 diabetes mellitus, Cochrane Database Syst Rev source
The review’s ‘Why it is important to do this review’ section says that treatment advances have made prospects for people with type 1 diabetes much better than in the past. Its Authors’ conclusions report reduced microvascular complications with tight glucose control, and ‘Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews’ reports a cardiovascular benefit in a follow-up study. It does not establish that both microvascular and macrovascular complication risks substantially declined across the type 1 diabetes population over the past 25 years; the latter section says its own meta-analysis cannot assess major macrovascular outcomes. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPancreas transplantation has been done for more than 50 years and is standard care for patients with end-stage renal failure who need a kidney transplant.
“Pancreas transplants have been performed for over 50 years and have become a standard-of-care treatment in individuals who have developed end-stage renal failure and require kidney transplantation.158”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [158] Lindahl, 2013, Improved patient survival with simultaneous pancreas and kidney transplantation in recipients with diabetic end-stage renal disease, Diabetologia source
The Introduction dates the first pancreas transplant to 1966, consistent with a history of more than 50 years by the time of the citing statement. It calls transplantation an effective option especially for patients with diabetes and end-stage renal disease, but does not establish it as standard care for everyone with end-stage renal failure who needs a kidney transplant; it describes eligibility limits and kidney-only alternatives. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIllness from immunosuppression and scarce donor islets limit how many patients can benefit from islet transplantation.
“Moreover, morbidity associated with immunosuppression and limitations in the supply of donor islets restricts the number of people who can benefit from islet transplantation.161”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [161] Shapiro, 2006, International trial of the Edmonton protocol for islet transplantation, N Engl J Med source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAutologous haemopoietic stem-cell transplantation and autologous T-regulatory cell administration are other novel approaches.
“Other novel approaches include autologous haemopoietic stem-cell transplantation165,166 and autologous T-regulatory cell administration.167–169”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 5 sources checked- cites [165] Cantú-Rodríguez, 2016, Long-term insulin independence in type 1 diabetes mellitus using a simplified autologous stem cell transplant, J Clin Endocrinol Metab source
- cites [166] Couri, 2009, C-peptide levels and insulin independence following autologous nonmyeloablative hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes mellitus, JAMA source
- cites [167] Bluestone, 2015, Type 1 diabetes immunotherapy using polyclonal regulatory T cells, Sci Transl Med source
- cites [168] Marek-Trzonkowska, 2014, Therapy of type 1 diabetes with CD4(+)CD25(high)CD127-regulatory T cells prolongs survival of pancreatic islets—results of one year follow-up, Clin Immunol source
- cites [169] Marek-Trzonkowska, 2012, Administration of CD4+CD25highCD127-regulatory T cells preserves β-cell function in type 1 diabetes in children, Diabetes Care source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationType 1 diabetes is a heritable polygenic disease with identical twin concordance of 30-70%, sibling risk of 6-7%, and a risk of 1-9% for children who have a parent with diabetes.
“Type 1 diabetes is a heritable polygenic disease with identical twin concordance of 30–70%,20 sibling risk of 6–7%, and a risk of 1–9% for children who have a parent with diabetes.21”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenWide gaps remain in understanding type 1 diabetes and in standardising clinical care and reducing disease-associated complications and burden.
“However, wide gaps still exist in our understanding of type 1 diabetes and our ability to standardise clinical care and decrease disease-associated complications and burden.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenKnowledge about type 1 diabetes has grown rapidly in the past 25 years, producing broad understanding of its genetics, epidemiology, immune and β-cell phenotypes, and disease burden.
“Knowledge of type 1 diabetes has rapidly increased over the past 25 years, resulting in a broad understanding about many aspects of the disease, including its genetics, epidemiology, immune and β-cell phenotypes, and disease burden.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationTwo HLA class 2 haplotypes, DR3 and DR4-DQ8, are linked to approximately 50% of type 1 diabetes heritability and are prevalent in white people.
“Two HLA class 2 haplotypes involved in anti gen presentation, HLA DRB1*0301-DQA1*0501-DQ*B10201 (DR3) and HLA DRB1*0401-DQA1*0301-DQB1*0301 (DR4-DQ8), are linked to approximately 50% of disease heritability and are prevalent in white people.24”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Noble, 2015, Immunogenetics of type 1 diabetes: a comprehensive review, J Autoimmun source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationHbA1c is less sensitive for diagnosing type 1 diabetes than fasting or stimulated blood glucose measurements because dysglycaemia progression can be rapid.
“However, since dysglycaemia progression can be rapid in patients with type 1 diabetes, HbA1c is less sensitive for diagnosis than fasting or stimulated blood glucose measurements.5”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] 2018, 2. Classification and diagnosis of diabetes: standards of medical care in diabetes-2018, Diabetes Care
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIncreased frequency of islet-specific autoreactive CD8+ T lymphocytes and decreased regulatory immune function have been associated with type 1 diabetes.
“Increased frequency of islet-specific autoreactive CD8+ T lymphocytes and decreased regulatory immune function have been associated with type 1 diabetes.50”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [50] Roep, 1990, T-cell clones from a type-1 diabetes patient respond to insulin secretory granule proteins, Nature source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisenone givenType 1 diabetes is now recognised to result from a complex interplay between environmental factors and microbiome, genome, metabolism, and immune systems that vary between individual cases.
“What once seemed like a single autoimmune disorder, with roots in T-cell mediated attack of insulin-producing β cells, is now recognised to result from a complex interplay between environmental factors and microbiome, genome, metabolism, and immune systems that vary between individual cases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationGuidelines for diabetes care include periodic screening for autoimmune diseases, particularly thyroid and coeliac diseases.
“Guidelines for the care of people with diabetes include periodic screening for these diseases, particularly thyroid and coeliac diseases.102”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] 2018, 3. Comprehensive medical evaluation and assessment of comorbidities: standards of medical care in diabetes-2018, Diabetes Care
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn children with established type 1 diabetes, hospital care for diabetic ketoacidosis happens at 1-10 per 100 patient-years.
“Treatment in hospital for diabetic ketoacidosis occurs at a rate of 1–10 per 100 patient-years in paediatric populations with established type 1 diabetes,”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [105] Karges, 2015, Hospital admission for diabetic ketoacidosis or severe hypoglycemia in 31,330 young patients with type 1 diabetes, Eur J Endocrinol source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationCiclosporin did not produce lasting remission, although insulin needs fell while patients were on it.
“Although ciclosporin was unable to induce a durable disease remission, insulin requirements of patients decreased during active treatment, generating enthusiasm that immune modulation could treat type 1 diabetes.134–136”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [134] 1988, Cyclosporin-induced remission of IDDM after early intervention: association of 1 yr of cyclosporin treatment with enhanced insulin secretion, Diabetes source
- cites [135] De Filippo, 1996, Long-term results of early cyclosporin therapy in juvenile IDDM, Diabetes source
- cites [136] Feutren, 1986, Cyclosporin increases the rate and length of remissions in insulin-dependent diabetes of recent onset. Results of a multicentre double-blind trial, Lancet source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn type 1 diabetes, women have higher rates of premature death from any cause and vascular events than men.
“women with type 1 diabetes have been shown to have higher rates of all-cause premature mortality and vascular events than do men with type 1 diabetes.128”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [128] Huxley, 2015, Risk of all-cause mortality and vascular events in women versus men with type 1 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn experienced centres, combined kidney-pancreas transplant can give up to an 80% chance of insulin independence beyond 5 years, though it carries major surgical risk and needs immunosuppression.
“Simultaneous kidney and pancreas transplantation in experienced centres can offer an up to 80% chance of insulin independence for over 5 years, but there is substantial surgical risk, and the requirement of immunosuppression.159”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [159] Gruessner, 2013, The current state of pancreas transplantation, Nat Rev Endocrinol source
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningNo drug has yet produced insulin independence or advanced to a positive phase 3 trial that changed clinical practice.
“no drug has yet been able to induce insulin independence or progressed to a positive phase 3 trial that was translatable into clinical care.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Most people diagnosed with type 1 diabetes do not have a relative with the disease or the highest risk combination of HLA alleles.
“Despite known genetic underpinnings, most people who are diagnosed with type 1 diabetes do not have a relative with the disease or even the highest risk combination of HLA alleles, making attempts at primary disease prevention difficult.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Glycaemic control for most people with type 1 diabetes is not optimised.
“Additionally, despite advances in technology, glycaemic control for most people with type 1 diabetes is not optimised”
The paper relies on this without support.
Many people with type 1 diabetes cannot access modern therapies because of the high costs of even basic care.
“and many cannot access modern therapies because of the high costs of even basic care.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Over time, many residual β cells are lost.
“Over time, many of these residual cells are lost.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Insulin remains the mainstay of therapy for type 1 diabetes.
“Although insulin remains the mainstay of therapy, new insulin analogues with varying onsets and durations of action are widely available.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Type 1 diabetes continues to impose substantial medical, psychological, and financial burden.
“the disease continues to be associated with substantial medical, psychological, and financial burden.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Hyperglycaemia is the primary risk factor for microvascular disease.
“Hyperglycaemia is the primary risk factor for microvascular disease”
The paper relies on this without support.
Reducing HbA1c through intensive diabetes management, particularly early in disease, is associated with about 70% reductions in incidence and slower progression of microvascular disease.
“reducing HbA1c through intensive diabetes management, particularly early during disease, is associated with striking (about 70%) reductions in incidence and slower progression of microvascular disease.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Differences in HbA1c do not fully explain variation in incidence and severity of complications between individuals.
“However, differences in HbA1c do not fully explain the variation in the incidence of complications and the severity of disease between individuals.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The risk of cardiovascular complications does not appear to be as attenuated by intensive blood sugar control as microvascular complications.
“By contrast with microvascular complications, the risk of cardiovascular complications does not appear to be as attenuated by intensive blood sugar control.”
The paper relies on this without support.
For over 30 years, most efforts to cure type 1 diabetes have focused on altering the immune system's attack on β cells.
“For over 30 years, most efforts to cure type 1 diabetes have focused on altering the immune system’s attack on β cells.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Islet transplantation is a low-risk procedure.
“Islet transplantation is a low-risk procedure, with donor islets infused into the liver via the portal vein.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Only a minority of islet transplant recipients achieve durable insulin independence.
“However, only a minority of islet transplant recipients achieve durable insulin independence.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Currently, islet transplantation is used in a small subset of patients with extremely severe hypoglycaemic unawareness.
“Currently, islet transplantation is used in a small subset of patients who have extremely severe hypoglycaemic unawareness.”
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- Authors
- DiMeglio, L. A., Evans-Molina, C., & Oram, R. A.
- Affiliations
- Indiana University School of Medicine (US)
- University of Exeter (GB)
- Corresponding author
- DiMeglio, Linda A
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2018-06
- Volume
- 391
- Issue
- 10138
- Pages
- 2449-2462
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC6661119
- OpenAlex
- W2807893746
- Cited by
- 1,561
- References
- 179
- Citations by year
- 2026: 125 · 2025: 246 · 2024: 261 · 2023: 305 · 2022: 276 · 2021: 174 · 2020: 97 · 2019: 60 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 11.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- IUScholarWorks (Indiana University) (submittedVersion)
- Purdue University Indianapolis (Indiana University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (I01-BX001733)
- Medical Research Council (MC_PC_15047)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK093954)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Diabetes and associated disorders
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
- Keywords
- type 1 diabetes, autoimmune disease, insulin deficiency, hyperglycemia, beta-cell preservation, disease burden, disease complications, clinical management, immunophenotype
- MeSH terms
- B-Lymphocytes, Blood Glucose, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Haplotypes, Glycated Hemoglobin, Humans, Hypoglycemic Agents, Phenotype, Blood Glucose Self-Monitoring
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Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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