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Biased assimilation and attitude polarization: The effects of prior theories on subsequently considered evidence
Abstract
People who hold strong opinions on complex social issues are likely to examine relevant empirical evidence in a biased manner. They are apt to accept "confirming" evidence at face value while subjecting "discontinuing " evidence to critical evaluation, and as a result to draw undue support for their initial positions from mixed or random empirical findings. Thus, the result of exposing contending factions in a social dispute to an identical body of relevant empirical evidence may be not a narrowing of disagreement but rather an increase in polarization. To test these assumptions and predictions, subjects supporting and opposing capital punishment were exposed to two purported studies, one seemingly confirming and one seemingly disconfirming their existing beliefs about the deterrent efficacy of the death penalty. As predicted, both proponents and opponents of capital punishment rated those results and procedures that confirmed their own beliefs to be the more convincing and probative ones, and they reported corresponding shifts in their beliefs as the various results and procedures were presented. The net effect of such evaluations
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“All of these mechanisms, which are sometimes grouped under the general rubric of ‘myside bias’111–113, can contribute to issue polarization, insofar as individuals often become more extreme in their opinions after selectively processing the evidence on specific topics such as capital punishment, immigration, healthcare policy or climate change114,115.”
From Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022) · cites this paper as [114]
In the citing paper
“When the study was consistent with participants' prior beliefs, they thought it was better conducted and more convincing regardless of the specific design (concurrent versus panel) of the study.Moreover, reading a mixed bag of evidence-one study supporting and one study contradicting their beliefs-led participants to report becoming more confident in the validity of their beliefs about the deterre”
From The psychology of self-defense: Self-affirmation theory (2006) · cites this paper as Lord et al. (1979)
In the citing paper
“In the no-aYrmation control condition, our findings mirrored those of Lord et al. (1979).Participants found flaws in the methodology of the studies that contradicted their political beliefs, they suspected bias on the part of the authors of the report, and they persisted in their attitudes about capital punishment.”
From The psychology of self-defense: Self-affirmation theory (2006) · cites this paper as Lord et al. (1979)
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Metadata
- Authors
- Lord, C. G., Ross, L., & Lepper, M. R.
- Affiliations
- Stanford University (US)
- ORCID
- Lord, Charles G.
- Venue
- Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
- Published
- 1979-11
- Volume
- 37
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2098-2109
- ISSN
- 0022-3514 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-1315
- OpenAlex
- W2028211630
- Cited by
- 4,583
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2026: 134 · 2025: 144 · 2024: 216 · 2023: 206 · 2022: 193 · 2021: 284 · 2020: 317 · 2019: 288 · 2018: 207 · 2017: 185 · 2016: 165 · 2015: 166 · 2014: 185 · 2013: 137 · 2012: 147
- FWCI
- 40.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Statistical and Nonlinear Physics › Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
- Keywords
- biased assimilation, attitude polarization, confirmation bias, belief updating, evidence evaluation, death penalty, social disputes, belief revision
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