The Power of Personality: The Comparative Validity of Personality Traits, Socioeconomic Status, and Cognitive Ability for Predicting Important Life Outcomes
Open accessAbstract
The ability of personality traits to predict important life outcomes has traditionally been questioned because of the putative small effects of personality. In this article, we compare the predictive validity of personality traits with that of socioeconomic status (SES) and cognitive ability to test the relative contribution of personality traits to predictions of three critical outcomes: mortality, divorce, and occupational attainment. Only evidence from prospective longitudinal studies was considered. In addition, an attempt was made to limit the review to studies that controlled for important background factors. Results showed that the magnitude of the effects of personality traits on mortality, divorce, and occupational attainment was indistinguishable from the effects of SES and cognitive ability on these outcomes. These results demonstrate the influence of personality traits on important life outcomes, highlight the need to more routinely incorporate measures of personality into quality of life surveys, and encourage further research about the developmental origins of personality traits and the processes by which these traits influence diverse life outcomes.
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Conscientiousness was a stronger predictor of longevity than any other Big Five trait and a stronger predictor than either IQ or socioeconomic status.
“Conscientiousness was a stronger predictor of longevity than any other Big Five trait and a stronger predictor than either IQ or socioeconomic status.”
From Personality Psychology and Economics (2011) · cites this paper as Roberts, Kuncel, Shiner et al. [2007]
Traits related to Conscientiousness, Openness to Experience, and Agreeableness are associated with longer lives, whereas those related to Neuroticism are associated with shorter life spans.
“In general, traits related to Conscientiousness, Openness to Experience, and Agreeableness are associated with longer lives, whereas those related to Neuroticism are associated with shorter life spans.”
From Personality Psychology and Economics (2011) · cites this paper as Roberts, Kuncel, Shiner et al. [2007]
Most studies in the Roberts et al. meta-analysis control for relevant background factors, including gender and severity of disease.
“Most studies in their meta-analysis control for relevant background factors, including gender and severity of disease.”
From Personality Psychology and Economics (2011) · cites this paper as Roberts, Kuncel, Shiner et al. [2007]
All-cause mortality has consistently been associated with both socioeconomic status and personality traits.
“All-cause mortality has consistently been associated with both socioeconomic status (SES) (1-4) and personality traits (5).”
From Personality, Socioeconomic Status, and All-Cause Mortality in the United States (2010) · cites this paper as [5]
The strength of associations between Conscientiousness and longevity appears comparable to those between longevity and SES and IQ.
“The strength of associations between Conscientiousness and longevity appears comparable to those between longevity and SES and IQ [59].”
From Personality and Longevity: Knowns, Unknowns, and Implications for Public Health and Personalized Medicine (2011) · cites this paper as [59]
The best personality prediction score fell just above the standard correlational upper-limit for behavior to predict personality.
“Our best personality score of fell just above the standard “correlational upper-limit” for behavior to predict personality (a Pearson correlation of to ) [94], [95].”
From Personality, Gender, and Age in the Language of Social Media: The Open-Vocabulary Approach (2013) · cites this paper as [95]
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Evaluating Effect Size in Psychological Research: Sense and Nonsense
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“Analyses of the effects of personality on life outcomes have focused on long-term consequences such as health, relationship success, quality of life, and—that ultimate long-term consequence—longevity (Friedman et al., 1993; Ozer & BenetMartínez, 2006; Roberts et al., 2007).”
BackgroundA meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and academic performance.
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“To consider just one specific example of neuroticism influencing risk for negative life events, a number of longitudinal studies have shown that the neuroticism scores of both partners measured before marriage predict future separation or divorce (Donnellan, Conger, & Bryant, 2004; Karney & Bradbury, 1997; Kelly & Con…”
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Political diversity will improve social psychological science
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Personality Psychology and Economics
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Small Effects: The Indispensable Foundation for a Cumulative Psychological Science
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“A particularly compelling example of this phenomenon is personality, for which effects accumulate over entire lifetimes (Noftle & Robins, 2007; Prentice & Miller, 1992) and across most major life domains, including occupational attainment, social success, personal relationships, financial security, and mortality (Ozer…”
BackgroundTen Surprising Facts About Stressful Life Events and Disease Risk
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“For example, divorce is more common in those whose personality is characterized by greater neuroticism or lesser conscientiousness and agreeableness (Roberts et al. 2007).”
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PISA 2015 Assessment and Analytical Framework
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NEET Youth in the Aftermath of the Crisis
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Self-citationChildhood forecasting of a small segment of the population with large economic burden
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Personality and Health, Subjective Well‐Being, and Longevity
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The Economics and Psychology of Personality TraitsPreprint
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- Authors
- Roberts, B. W., Kuncel, N. R., Shiner, R., Caspi, A., & Goldberg, L. R.
- Affiliations
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
- University of Minnesota (US)
- Colgate University (US)
- Duke University (US)
- Oregon Research Institute (US)
- Venue
- Perspectives on Psychological Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2007-12
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 313-345
- ISSN
- 1745-6916 (ISSN-L)
- 1745-6924
- PMC
- PMC4499872
- OpenAlex
- W2089632658
- Semantic Scholar
- bcbc6fe16b36fc8cbc28967c96039cbec4325875
- Cited by
- 2,361
- References
- 233
- Citations by year
- 2026: 94 · 2025: 108 · 2024: 135 · 2023: 129 · 2022: 132 · 2021: 171 · 2020: 239 · 2019: 168 · 2018: 148 · 2017: 157 · 2016: 180 · 2015: 139 · 2014: 118 · 2013: 97 · 2012: 92
- FWCI
- 55.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Perspectives on Psychological Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (5r01ag020048-24)
- National Institute on Aging (R01-AG020048)
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH049227, R37MH049227, R01MH049414, R01MH045070)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Personality Traits and Psychology
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Cognitive Abilities and Testing
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Psychological Well-being and Life Satisfaction
- Keywords
- personality traits, socioeconomic status, cognitive ability, predictive validity, mortality, divorce, occupational attainment, life outcomes, quality of life survey
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