Cited by 188Phytoestrogen effects and researchEstrogen and related hormone effectsMenopause: Health Impacts and Treatments

Soy, Red Clover, and Isoflavones and Breast Cancer: A Systematic Review

Open access
Fritz, Heidi, Seely, Dugald, Flower, Gillian, Skidmore, Becky, Fernandes, Rochelle, Vadeboncoeur, Sarah, Kennedy, Deborah, Cooley, Kieran +4 more·2013·PLoS ONE

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Soy and red clover isoflavones are controversial due to purported estrogenic activity and possible effects on breast cancer. We conducted a systematic review of soy and red clover for efficacy in improving menopausal symptoms in women with breast cancer, and for potential impact on risk of breast cancer incidence or recurrence. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and AMED from inception to March 2013 for human interventional or observational data pertaining to the safety and efficacy of soy and red clover isoflavones in patients with or at risk of breast cancer. RESULTS: Of 4179 records, we included a total of 131 articles: 40 RCTs, 11 uncontrolled trials, and 80 observational studies. Five RCTs reported on the efficacy of soy for hot flashes, showing no significant reductions in hot flashes compared to placebo. There is lack of evidence showing harm from use of soy with respect to risk of breast cancer or recurrence, based on long term observational data. Soy intake consistent with that of a traditional Japanese diet (2-3 servings daily, containing 25-50mg isoflavones) may be protective against breast cancer and recurrence. Human trials show that soy does not increase circulating estradiol or affect estrogen-responsive target tissues. Prospective data of soy use in women taking tamoxifen does not indicate increased risk of recurrence. Evidence on red clover is limited, however existing studies suggest that it may not possess breast cancer-promoting effects. CONCLUSION: Soy consumption may be associated with reduced risk of breast cancer incidence, recurrence, and mortality. Soy does not have estrogenic effects in humans. Soy intake consistent with a traditional Japanese diet appears safe for breast cancer survivors. While there is no clear evidence of harm, better evidence confirming safety is required before use of high dose (≥ 100 mg) isoflavones can be recommended for breast cancer patients.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This systematic review of 131 human studies found no evidence that soy increases breast cancer risk or recurrence; soy intake consistent with a traditional Japanese diet may be protective, while evidence for red clover is limited. Soy did not show clear estrogenic effects in humans, but high-dose isoflavone supplements lack safety confirmation.

Key findings

  • Of 4179 records, 131 articles were included: 40 RCTs, 11 uncontrolled trials, and 80 observational studies. Five RCTs of soy for hot flashes showed no significant reductions compared with placebo.
  • Observational data: 32 of 44 case-control studies associated higher soy consumption with lower primary breast cancer risk, breast cancer mortality, or improved prognostic markers; among studies reporting odds ratios, 11 of 19 (58%) soy food/protein studies and 9 of 16 (56%) soy isoflavone studies showed significant inverse relationships. No case-control study showed harm.
  • Prospective studies: 2 of 5 (40%) recurrence studies and 4 of 7 (57%) survival studies showed protective effects. Human trials found soy did not increase circulating estradiol or affect estrogen-responsive target tissues, and no RCT showed a significant increase in circulating estrogens.
  • Red clover evidence was limited to two RCTs using 40 mg Promensil®; these found no significant changes in hot flash score (p=0.88), daily hot flashes (p=0.41), mammographic density, or endometrial thickness. Soy intake consistent with a traditional Japanese diet (2–3 servings daily, 25–50 mg isoflavones) may be protective, but better evidence is required before high-dose (≥100 mg) isoflavones can be recommended.

Methods

  • Systematic review; searched MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and AMED from inception to March 2013 for human interventional or observational data on soy and red clover isoflavones in patients with or at risk of breast cancer.
  • 4179 records were screened; 131 articles were included. Data were extracted independently in duplicate; RCTs were assessed with the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and observational studies with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale.
  • Findings could not be pooled due to heterogeneity; individual study results were displayed graphically via forest plots, with an informal assessment of qualitative incoherence.

Limitations

  • The paper states that data could not be pooled due to heterogeneity, that long-term interventional data are lacking, and that RCTs under 2 years are unlikely to reveal serious adverse effects or soy–tamoxifen interactions.
  • The paper states that red clover evidence is limited and that better evidence confirming safety is required before high-dose (≥100 mg) isoflavones can be recommended for breast cancer patients.
  • Evident from the text: protective effects for breast cancer incidence, recurrence, and mortality rely on observational data; case-control studies showed stronger protective associations than prospective studies, and hot flash trials may be confounded by tamoxifen use and placebo effect.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1371/journal.pone.0081968

Cites

194 of 194 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

95 of 231 cited sources checked · 42 supported · 5 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Findingown data

    Of seven prospective studies examining survival, four (57%) showed protective effects on breast cancer mortality or mortality in breast cancer patients.

    “Of seven studies examining survival [94,96,98,100,101,106,112], four (57%) showed protective effects on breast cancer mortality or mortality in breast cancer patients [94,96,101,112].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim4 of 7 sources checked
    • cites [94] HB Kang, 2012, Study on soy isoflavone consumption and risk of breast cancer and survival, Asian Pac J Cancer Prev source
    • cites [96] YF Zhang, 2012, Positive effects of soy isoflavone food on survival of breast cancer patients in China, Asian Pac J Cancer Prev source
    • cites [98] SM Boyapati, 2005, Soyfood intake and breast cancer survival: a followup of the Shanghai Breast Cancer Study, Breast Cancer Res Treat source
    • cites [100] BJ Caan, 2011, Soy food consumption and breast cancer prognosis, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source

      The Results report a trend toward lower all-cause mortality with greater soy intake among breast cancer survivors (p for trend=0.02). But the reduction in the highest-intake group was not statistically significant, and the Discussion calls the association ‘suggested.’ This supports including the study as evidence of a possible protective association, but ‘showed protective effects’ overstates its finding. (LLM, conf=0.84)

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    • cites [101] BN Fink, 2007, Dietary flavonoid intake and breast cancer survival among women on Long Island, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source
    • cites [106] X Kang, 2010, Effect of soy isoflavones on breast cancer recurrence and death for patients receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy, CMAJ source

      The Menopausal status section reports no association between soy isoflavone intake and death in postmenopausal patients, with similar results for breast-cancer-specific mortality. The paper reports a lower risk of recurrence, not a protective effect on mortality. Its single cohort also cannot establish the citing sentence’s four-of-seven count. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

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    • cites [112] XO Shu, 2009, Soy food intake and breast cancer survival, JAMA source
  • Findingown data

    Of five prospective studies reporting on recurrence, two (40%) showed protective effects.

    “Of five studies reporting on recurrence [97,100,103,106,112], two (40%) showed protective effects [106,112].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim4 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [97] HD Woo, 2012, Differential influence of dietary soy intake on the risk of breast cancer recurrence related to HER2 status, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [100] BJ Caan, 2011, Soy food consumption and breast cancer prognosis, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source

      The Results (page unavailable) say soy isoflavone intake was unrelated to the risk of a second breast cancer event and that no intake level showed a significant decrease in risk. The paper discusses a possible protective association with mortality, not recurrence, so it does not support counting this study among those showing a protective effect on recurrence. (LLM, conf=0.89)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

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    • cites [103] N Guha, 2009, Soy isoflavones and risk of cancer recurrence in a cohort of breast cancer survivors: the Life After Cancer Epidemiology study, Breast Cancer Research and Treatment source
    • cites [106] X Kang, 2010, Effect of soy isoflavones on breast cancer recurrence and death for patients receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy, CMAJ source
    • cites [112] XO Shu, 2009, Soy food intake and breast cancer survival, JAMA source
  • Findingcitation

    Of eight nested case-control studies assessing risk of breast cancer, one showed significantly reduced risk associated with higher plasma genistein.

    “Of eight studies assessing risk of breast cancer, one showed significantly reduced risk associated with higher plasma genistein [90].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [90] M Verheus, 2007, Plasma phytoestrogens and subsequent breast cancer risk, J Clin Oncol source
  • Findingcitation

    One prospective study found lower risk of recurrence among post-menopausal patients, HR 0.67 (95%CI 0.54-0.85).

    “The fifth study reported results by pre- and post- menopausal status only; this study found lower risk of recurrence among post-menopausal patients, HR 0.67 (95%CI 0.54-0.85) only [106].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [106] X Kang, 2010, Effect of soy isoflavones on breast cancer recurrence and death for patients receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy, CMAJ source
  • Findingcitation

    Of four prospective studies reporting risk for the overall study population, one (25%) found significantly decreased risk of breast cancer recurrence or longer disease-free survival associated with higher soy intake.

    “Four studies reported risk for the overall study population (Figure S4 ), of which one (25%) found significantly decreased risk of breast cancer recurrence or longer disease-free survival (defined as combined relapse or death related to breast cancer) associated with higher soy intake [112].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [112] XO Shu, 2009, Soy food intake and breast cancer survival, JAMA source
  • May combine two claims. 57
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 4
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 4
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    Findingcitation

    Of 11 prospective cohort studies reporting on risk of primary breast cancer, one (9%) showed soy isoflavone intake was associated with overall reduced risk, while the remaining studies showed no associations.

    “Of 11 studies reporting on risk of primary breast cancer, one (9%) showed that soy isoflavone intake was associated with overall reduced risk of breast cancer [116], while the remaining studies showed no associations [99,104,105,107-109,111,113-115,117].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim7 of 10 sources checked
    • cites [116] S Yamamoto, 2003, Soy, isoflavones, and breast cancer risk in Japan, J Natl Cancer Inst source
    • cites [99] TM Brasky, 2010, Specialty supplements and breast cancer risk in the VITamins And Lifestyle (VITAL) Cohort, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source

      The Abstract Results and Results sections report no association between soy-containing supplement use and breast cancer risk, supporting this paper's place among the studies cited for a null finding. The study measured soy supplement use, however, not soy isoflavone intake specifically, so it does not fully support that description of the exposure. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [104] M Hedelin, 2008, Dietary phytoestrogens are not associated with risk of overall breast cancer but diets rich in coumestrol are inversely associated with risk of estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor negative breast tumors in Swedish women, J Nutr source
    • cites [105] PL Horn-Ross, 2002, Recent diet and breast cancer risk: the California Teachers Study (USA), Cancer Causes Control source
    • cites [107] L Keinan-Boker, 2004, Dietary phytoestrogens and breast cancer risk, Am J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [108] TJ Key, 1999, Soya foods and breast cancer risk: a prospective study in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan, Br J Cancer source

      The Results (p. 3) report no significant association between tofu or miso soup consumption and breast cancer risk, supporting this paper's placement among the studies with no observed association. The Discussion (p. 8) says the questionnaire could not estimate soya isoflavone intake, so the paper does not directly support the claim about isoflavone intake. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [109] SA Lee, 2009, Adolescent and adult soy food intake and breast cancer risk: results from the Shanghai Women's Health Study, Am J Clin Nutr source

      The Results (Table 2) report an inverse association between isoflavone intake and overall breast cancer risk, but the overall trend was not statistically significant. The Abstract reports a significant reduction specifically for premenopausal breast cancer, not for breast cancer overall. This source therefore supports a reduced-risk finding only with that narrower qualification. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [111] K Nishio, 2007, Consumption of soy foods and the risk of breast cancer: findings from the Japan Collaborative Cohort (JACC) Study, Cancer Causes Control source

      The indexed copy for this DOI contains an erratum about boron and prostate cancer (Cancer Causes & Control 18:583–584), not the stated soy-food cohort study. Searches for soy isoflavones and reduced breast-cancer risk found no relevant passage, so the finding attributed to [116] cannot be checked against our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [113] MS Touillaud, 2006, No association between dietary phytoestrogens and risk of premenopausal breast cancer in a French cohort study, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention source
    • cites [114] RC Travis, 2008, A prospective study of vegetarianism and isoflavone intake in relation to breast cancer risk in British women, International Journal of Cancer source

      The cited paper reports the opposite of the finding attributed to it. In “Isoflavone intake and breast cancer risk,” it finds no association between dietary isoflavone intake and breast cancer risk; the reported hazard ratios for moderate and high intake do not show an overall reduction. (LLM, conf=0.92)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Among all studies, there was report of only one case of breast cancer recurrence that occurred in a soy-allocated subject; and two new cases of breast cancer and one case of endometrial cancer among soy allocated subjects compared to five in control subjects.

    “Amongst all the studies, there was report of only one case of breast cancer recurrence that occurred in a soy-allocated subject [142]; and two new cases of breast cancer and one case of endometrial cancer among soy allocated subjects compared to five in the control subjects [132,145,147,160].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [142] E Nikander, 2004, Effects of phytoestrogens on bone turnover in postmenopausal women with a history of breast cancer, Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism source
    • cites [132] FM Steinberg, 2011, Clinical outcomes of a 2-y soy isoflavone supplementation in menopausal women, Am J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [145] G Maskarinec, 2004, Effects of a 2-year randomized soy intervention on sex hormone levels in premenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source
    • cites [147] G Maskarinec, 2002, A randomized isoflavone intervention among premenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention
    • cites [160] SA Khan, 2012, Soy isoflavone supplementation for breast cancer risk reduction: a randomized phase II trial. Cancer, Prev Res (Phila Pa) source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 1 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    The Atkinson trial was assessed as having low risk of bias in approximately half of the categories but failed to provide adequate information to assess selection bias, detection bias, and attrition bias.

    “The trial by Atkinson was assessed as having low risk of bias in approximately half of the categories but failed to provide adequate information to assess for selection bias, detection bias, and attrition bias [165].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source

      The Methods (Intervention and randomization; Mammographic density) describe random-number generation, who handled randomization, and blinding of researchers, participants, and radiologists. The Results (Withdrawals and baseline data) give the number and reasons for withdrawals and compare withdrawals between groups. The paper does not make the cited risk-of-bias assessment, and its reporting runs contrary to the claim that it lacked adequate information on detection and attrition bias. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Caan et al reported a trend toward decreased risk of death among tamoxifen users with intake of total isoflavones ≥6.3mg per day (median 26.7mg), HR 0.26 (0.06-1.01, ptrend=0.05), and also among women with ER+ or PR+ status, HR 0.31 (0.10-0.98, ptrend=0.07), but this was not significant.

    “Caan et al reported a trend toward decreased risk of death among tamoxifen users with intake of total isoflavones ≥6.3mg per day (median 26.7mg), HR 0.26 (0.06-1.01, ptrend=0.05), and also among women with ER+ or PR+ status, HR 0.31 (0.10-0.98, ptrend=0.07), but this was not significant [100].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [100] BJ Caan, 2011, Soy food consumption and breast cancer prognosis, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

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  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In that prospective study, a similar association was found for ER+/PR+ patients and for those on anastrozole.

    “A similar association was found for ER+/ PR+ patients and for those on anastrozole [106].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [106] X Kang, 2010, Effect of soy isoflavones on breast cancer recurrence and death for patients receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy, CMAJ source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Eight of 12 (67%) studies examining high soy food or protein and six of seven (86%) studies examining high soy isoflavones reported inverse associations between soy and breast cancer risk.

    “Eight of 12 (67%) studies examining high soy food or protein [45,46,61,64,72,77,78,81] and six of seven (86%) studies examining high soy isoflavones [42,43,45,75,77,81] reported inverse associations between soy and breast cancer risk.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim5 of 10 sources checked
    • cites [45] YY Zhu, 2011, Relationship between soy food intake and breast cancer in China, Asian Pac J Cancer Prev
    • cites [46] YA Cho, 2010, Effect of dietary soy intake on breast cancer risk according to menopause and hormone receptor status, Eur J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [61] MK Kim, 2008, Dietary intake of soy protein and tofu in association with breast cancer risk based on a case-control study, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [64] HP Lee, 1992, Risk factors for breast cancer by age and menopausal status: a case-control study in Singapore, Cancer Causes and Control source
    • cites [72] T Suzuki, 2008, Effect of soybean on breast cancer according to receptor status: a case-control study in Japan, Int J Cancer source

      The Results (page not supplied) report an inverse association between soybean-product intake and overall breast cancer risk, so this paper supports its inclusion among the soy-food studies reporting an inverse association. The Assessment of soybean intake section describes measuring soy foods, not isoflavone intake. This paper also does not establish the citing sentence’s counts of eight of 12 and six of seven studies. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [77] AH Wu, 2002, Adolescent and adult soy intake and risk of breast cancer in Asian-Americans, Carcinogenesis source
    • cites [78] AH Wu, 2009, Dietary patterns and breast cancer risk in Asian American women, Am J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [81] C Zhang, 2010, Soy product and isoflavone intake and breast cancer risk defined by hormone receptor status, Cancer Sci source
    • cites [42] BA Boucher, 2013, Use of isoflavone supplements is associated with reduced postmenopausal breast cancer risk, Int J Cancer source

      The section “Comparison with studies examining isoflavones from foods” says three meta-analyses suggest reduced breast cancer risk, including stronger inverse associations among high-isoflavone consumers. It also says individual study results are inconsistent. It does not report the claimed counts of 8 of 12 soy food or protein studies and 6 of 7 soy isoflavone studies, or their percentages. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [43] Q Wang, 2011, Soy isoflavones, CYP1A1, CYP1B1, and COMT polymorphisms, and breast cancer: a case-control study in southwestern China, DNA Cell Biol source
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingcitation

    Two additional prospective survival studies showed no significant effects.

    “Two additional studies showed no significant effects [98,106].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [98] SM Boyapati, 2005, Soyfood intake and breast cancer survival: a followup of the Shanghai Breast Cancer Study, Breast Cancer Res Treat source
    • cites [106] X Kang, 2010, Effect of soy isoflavones on breast cancer recurrence and death for patients receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy, CMAJ source

      The Menopausal status section reports no association between soy isoflavone intake and death, and no association with recurrence or death among premenopausal patients. But it also reports a significantly lower recurrence risk among postmenopausal patients with the highest intake, so describing this study as showing no significant effects is too broad. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Baseline mean number of hot flashes per day was 2.1 +/- 2.7 in the treatment group and 2.5 +/- 3.0 in the control group.

    “Baseline mean number of hot flashes per day was 2.1 +/-2.7 for the treatment group and 2.5 +/-3.0 in the control group.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source

      The Methods (Menopausal symptoms; page unavailable) say participants recorded daily hot flushes at baseline, and the Results (Hot flushes and menopausal symptoms; page unavailable) refer to Table 3. Searches for the claimed means and standard deviations did not find those figures in our copy, so the specific baseline comparison cannot be verified. (LLM, conf=0.72)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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    Findingcitation

    Powles reported adverse effects, most commonly breast abnormality, skin-related symptoms, and other minor adverse events, which were equally distributed between red clover and placebo groups.

    “Powles reported adverse effects, which most commonly included breast abnormality, “skin related symptoms” (not described), and other minor adverse events, however these were equally distributed between red clover and placebo groups [166].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [166] TJ Powles, 2008, Red clover isoflavones are safe and well tolerated in women with a family history of breast cancer, Menopause Int source

      The retrieved passages contain bibliographic information but no results passage describing adverse effects. Searches for breast abnormalities, skin symptoms, adverse effects, and their distribution between the red-clover and placebo groups found no passage that addresses the claim. (LLM, conf=0.69)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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    Findingcitation

    Atkinson's RCT showed no significant changes in hot flash score (p=0.88) or mean number of daily hot flashes (p=0.41) when groups were compared.

    “Results of the study by Atkinson showed no significant changes in hot flash score (p=0.88) or mean number of daily hot flashes (p=0.41) when groups were compared [165].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source

      The Results section, “Hot flushes and menopausal symptoms” (page unavailable), reports no significant treatment-group effect on the number of hot flushes or the menopausal symptom score. It does not give the claimed p-values of 0.41 and 0.88 for those outcomes; the Methods section describes the score as covering 21 menopausal symptoms, not hot flashes alone. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingcitation

    Of nine RCTs assessing impact of soy on estrogen metabolism via urinary metabolites, five reports of six studies found no significant change in 2-hydroxyestrone, 16α-hydroxyestrone, or 2:16α hydroxyestrone ratio compared to control.

    “Of these, five reports of six studies found no significant change in 2-hydroxyestrone, 16α-hydroxyestrone, or 2:16α hydroxyestrone ratio compared to the control group (p>0.05 for all) [148,149,156,161,164].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [148] G Maskarinec, 2002, The effects of an isoflavone intervention on the urinary excretion of hormone metabolites in premenopausal women, IARC Sci Publ
    • cites [149] BD Brown, 2002, Types of dietary fat and soy minimally affect hormones and biomarkers associated with breast cancer risk in premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [156] MC Martini, 1999, Effects of soy intake on sex hormone metabolism in premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [161] G Maskarinec, 2012, Urinary estrogen metabolites in two soy trials with premenopausal women, Eur J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [164] Y Morimoto, 2012, Urinary estrogen metabolites during a randomized soy trial, Nutr Cancer source

      The Results report no change in 2-hydroxyestrone (p=0.40) and a nonsignificant decrease in 16α-hydroxyestrone (p=0.21). But they report a marginally significant increase in the 2:16α ratio (p=0.05), not p>0.05 for all three outcomes. (LLM, conf=0.90)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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    Findingcitation

    In 5042 breast cancer survivors, roughly half of whom were on tamoxifen, soy protein intake (>15.31 mg/d) was protective against recurrence and death, with HR for recurrence 0.66 (0.52-0.84).

    “Shu et al examined 5042 breast cancer survivors, roughly half of whom were on tamoxifen (n=2262), and found that both soy protein intake (>15.31mg/d) and total isoflavone intake (>62.68mg/d) were protective against recurrence and death, HR recurrence 0.66 (0.52-0.84) for protein, and HR 0.74 (0.59-0.95) for isoflavones [112].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [112] XO Shu, 2009, Soy food intake and breast cancer survival, JAMA source

      The Results report lower mortality and recurrence with higher soy protein intake, including the stated recurrence HR of 0.66 (95% CI 0.52–0.84); they also report the stated isoflavone recurrence HR of 0.74 (0.59–0.95). The Methods say 5,042 women enrolled but 5,033 were analyzed. The cited copy does not substantiate the quoted >15.31 mg/day protein cutoff, and the Discussion describes soy protein intake in grams per day. These are observational associations, not proof that soy intake was protective. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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    Findingcitation

    The WHEL cohort had relatively low soy isoflavone intake (≥6.3 mg total isoflavones) and yielded null results, with an HR for recurrence among tamoxifen users of 0.59 (0.27-1.29).

    “Of the cohort studies, the WHEL cohort exhibited relatively low soy isoflavone intake (≥6.3mg total isoflavones) and yielded null results: HR for recurrence among tamoxifen users was 0.59 (0.27-1.29) [100].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [100] BJ Caan, 2011, Soy food consumption and breast cancer prognosis, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source

      The Discussion describes mean soy intake in WHEL as much lower than in a Chinese cohort, and Data Analyses identifies 6.3–86.9 mg/day as the highest intake category. The Results report no significant association with a second breast cancer event among women who had ever used tamoxifen. The exact HR of 0.59 and 95% CI of 0.27–1.29 are not stated in the available passages, so those figures cannot be verified from our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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    Findingcitation

    Atkinson reported no significant change in FSH: FSH decreased 4.2 IU/L in the red clover group compared with a decrease of 2.9 in the placebo group, p=0.83.

    “FSH decreased 4.2 IU/L in the red clover group compared to a decrease of 2.9 in the placebo group, p=0.83;”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source

      The Results section on oestradiol and gonadotrophins states that treatment group had no significant effect on change in FSH. Our copy does not provide the claimed overall decreases of 4.2 and 2.9 IU/L or P = 0.83; the Results refer to Table 2 but give only genotype-specific FSH changes in the available passage. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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    Findingcitation

    In studies among healthy women, there were no significant changes compared to baseline in endometrial thickness, rates of normal mammogram results, menstrual cycle length, urinary excretion of estrogen, or ratio of urinary estrogen metabolites 2:16 OH-estrone.

    “In studies conducted among healthy women, there were no significant changes compared to baseline in endometrial thickness [118]; rates of normal mammogram results [118]; menstrual cycle length [120-122]; or urinary excretion of estrogen [123] or the ratio of urinary estrogen metabolites 2:16 OH-estrone (E1) [123,124].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 6 sources checked
    • cites [118] S Palacios, 2010, Long-term endometrial and breast safety of a specific, standardized soy extract, Climacteric source
    • cites [120] AH Wu, 2000, Effects of soy foods on ovarian function in premenopausal women, Br J Cancer source
    • cites [121] LJ Lu, 2000, Decreased ovarian hormones during a soya diet: implications for breast cancer prevention, Cancer Res
    • cites [122] LJ Lu, 1996, Effects of soya consumption for one month on steroid hormones in premenopausal women: implications for breast cancer risk reduction, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev
    • cites [123] G Maskarinec, 2005, Urinary sex steroid excretion levels during a soy intervention among young girls: a pilot study, Nutr Cancer source

      The Results report no statistically significant change in total urinary estrogen excretion during the soy intervention (P = 0.87). However, the participants were girls aged 8–14, not adult women. The Materials and Methods list 2- and 16α-hydroxyestrone as measured metabolites, but the Results do not report a change in their ratio. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [124] LA Cohen, 2007, Soy isoflavone intake and estrogen excretion patterns in young women: effect of probiotic administration, In Vivo
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    In Atkinson's study, hot flashes were a secondary endpoint and baseline menopausal symptom severity was already low; menopausal symptoms were not present in all subjects.

    “Nonetheless, it should be noted that this was a secondary endpoint, and that this study included women in whom the severity of menopausal symptoms was already low at baseline; menopausal symptoms were not present in all subjects.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Two of five RCTs assessing menstrual cycle length reported significant increases of 1.8 to 3.5 days in cycle length associated with soy consumption compared to control; remaining studies found no effects.

    “Two of five studies assessing menstrual cycle length reported significant increases of between 1.8 to 3.5 days in cycle length associated with soy consumption compared to control subjects [149,150]; the remaining studies found no effects [147,156,158].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [149] BD Brown, 2002, Types of dietary fat and soy minimally affect hormones and biomarkers associated with breast cancer risk in premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [150] NB Kumar, 2002, The specific role of isoflavones on estrogen metabolism in premenopausal women, Cancer source
    • cites [147] G Maskarinec, 2002, A randomized isoflavone intervention among premenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention
    • cites [156] MC Martini, 1999, Effects of soy intake on sex hormone metabolism in premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [158] C Nagata, 1998, Effect of soymilk consumption on serum estrogen concentrations in premenopausal Japanese women, J Natl Cancer Inst source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    A total of 18 RCTs assessed circulating estrogen levels; 15 of 18 found no significant impact from soy compared to control.

    “A total of 18 RCTs assessed circulating estrogens levels (E1, E2, and/ or E3) Fifteen of 18 studies found no significant impact from soy compared to the control group (p>0.05) [129,132,133,138,140,143,145,147,149,150,155,156,158,160,163].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 10 sources checked
    • cites [129] E Nikander, 2003, A randomized placebo-controlled crossover trial with phytoestrogens in treatment of menopause in breast cancer patients, Obstet Gynecol source
    • cites [132] FM Steinberg, 2011, Clinical outcomes of a 2-y soy isoflavone supplementation in menopausal women, Am J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [133] JM McLaughlin, 2011, Effects of tomato- and soy-rich diets on the igf-I hormonal network: a crossover study of postmenopausal women at high risk for breast cancer, Cancer Prev Res (Phila) source

      The Methods (Measurement; page unavailable) list estradiol as a measured endpoint, and the Results (Soy Arm; page unavailable) identify significant changes in other biomarkers but not estradiol. This supports treating the paper as a soy-intervention study that assessed a circulating estrogen, but it does not establish the claim's count of 18 RCTs or 15 null findings. The study compared measurements before and after its soy arm rather than reporting a soy-versus-control-group result. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [138] EA Pop, 2008, Effects of a high daily dose of soy isoflavones on DNA damage, apoptosis, and estrogenic outcomes in healthy postmenopausal women: A phase I clinical trial, Menopause source
    • cites [140] AH Wu, 2005, A controlled 2-mo dietary fat reduction and soy food supplementation study in postmenopausal women, Am J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [143] A Zittermann, 2004, Short-term effects of high soy supplementation on sex hormones, bone markers, and lipid parameters in young female adults, Eur J Nutr source
    • cites [145] G Maskarinec, 2004, Effects of a 2-year randomized soy intervention on sex hormone levels in premenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source
    • cites [147] G Maskarinec, 2002, A randomized isoflavone intervention among premenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention
    • cites [149] BD Brown, 2002, Types of dietary fat and soy minimally affect hormones and biomarkers associated with breast cancer risk in premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [150] NB Kumar, 2002, The specific role of isoflavones on estrogen metabolism in premenopausal women, Cancer source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    At 12 months, the red clover group had a decrease of -0.8 +/- 2.1 and the control group a decrease of -1.0 +/- 1.8 (p=0.41), which was not significant.

    “There was a comparable decrease of -0.8 +/-2.1 at 12 months for the red clover group and -1.0 +/-1.8 for the control group (p=0.41), which however was not significant.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source

      The Results section on hot flushes and menopausal symptoms (page unavailable) reports no significant treatment-group effect, and the Discussion says symptoms decreased to a similar extent in both groups. Our copy does not show the claimed changes of −0.8 ± 2.1 and −1.0 ± 1.8 or P = 0.41, so those figures cannot be verified. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The most common adverse event associated with soy consumption was mild to moderate gastrointestinal discomfort, usually occurring with comparable frequency in soy and placebo groups.

    “The most common adverse event associated with soy consumption was mild to moderate gastrointestinal discomfort, but this usually occurred with comparable frequency in both the soy and the placebo groups [128,130,131,136,142,147,150]; only in one study was there considerable difference in the frequency of GI upset, 47% in the soy group compared to 22% in the control group [130].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 7 sources checked
    • cites [128] CA MacGregor, 2005, A randomised double-blind controlled trial of oral soy supplements versus placebo for treatment of menopausal symptoms in patients with early breast cancer, Eur J Cancer source
    • cites [130] CL Van Patten, 2002, Effect of soy phytoestrogens on hot flashes in postmenopausal women with breast cancer: a randomized, Controlled Clinical Trials - Journal of Clinical Oncology source
    • cites [131] SK Quella, 2000, Evaluation of soy phytoestrogens for the treatment of hot flashes in breast cancer survivors: A North Central Cancer Treatment Group Trial, J Clin Oncol source
    • cites [136] H Marini, 2008, Breast safety and efficacy of genistein aglycone for postmenopausal bone loss: a follow-up study, J Clin Endocrinol Metab source
    • cites [142] E Nikander, 2004, Effects of phytoestrogens on bone turnover in postmenopausal women with a history of breast cancer, Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism source
    • cites [147] G Maskarinec, 2002, A randomized isoflavone intervention among premenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention
    • cites [150] NB Kumar, 2002, The specific role of isoflavones on estrogen metabolism in premenopausal women, Cancer source

      The Results (page unavailable) report that product intolerance involving bloating or nausea led to withdrawal of two women in the soy group and two in the placebo group. That supports comparable frequency for those withdrawals, but the paper does not establish that gastrointestinal discomfort was the most common adverse event, grade it as mild to moderate, or show comparable frequency for all gastrointestinal symptoms. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In 5042 breast cancer survivors, roughly half of whom were on tamoxifen, total isoflavone intake (>62.68 mg/d) was protective against recurrence and death, with HR for recurrence 0.74 (0.59-0.95).

    “Shu et al examined 5042 breast cancer survivors, roughly half of whom were on tamoxifen (n=2262), and found that both soy protein intake (>15.31mg/d) and total isoflavone intake (>62.68mg/d) were protective against recurrence and death, HR recurrence 0.66 (0.52-0.84) for protein, and HR 0.74 (0.59-0.95) for isoflavones [112].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [112] XO Shu, 2009, Soy food intake and breast cancer survival, JAMA source

      The Results report lower mortality and recurrence with higher soy isoflavone intake, including a recurrence HR of 0.74 (95% CI 0.59–0.95). The Study population section says 5,042 women participated, but 5,033 were analyzed. The passages do not establish the stated >62.68 mg/day cutoff or the 2,262 tamoxifen-user count, and the reported association does not establish that isoflavones were protective in a causal sense. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Atkinson reported no significant change in tyrosine kinase: tyrosine kinase increased 1.62 units of activity/μg protein in the red clover group compared with an increase of 0.90 in the placebo group, p=0.16.

    “and tyrosine kinase increased 1.62 units of activity/ µg protein in the red clover group compared to an increase of 0.90 in the placebo group, p=0.16 [165].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    One RCT found consumption of an isoflavone supplement (235mg daily) for six months had no effect on Ki-67 labeling index compared to placebo, although there was a significant decrease in both treatment and placebo groups compared to baseline.

    “On the other hand, a recent study found that consumption of an isoflavone supplement (235mg daily) for six months had no effect on Ki-67 labeling index compared to placebo, although there was a significant decrease in both treatment and placebo groups compared to baseline [160].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [160] SA Khan, 2012, Soy isoflavone supplementation for breast cancer risk reduction: a randomized phase II trial. Cancer, Prev Res (Phila Pa) source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Atkinson reported no significant change in LH: LH decreased 4.0 IU/L in the red clover group compared with a decrease of 4.2 IU/L in the placebo group, p=0.71.

    “LH decreased 4.0 IU/L in the red clover group compared to a decrease of 4.2 IU/L in the placebo group, p=0.71;”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [165] C Atkinson, 2004, Red-clover-derived isoflavones and mammographic breast density: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial [ISRCTN42940165, Breast Cancer Research source

      The Results section on luteinizing hormone reports no significant treatment-group effect on the change in LH. Our copy does not give the claimed decreases of 4.0 and 4.2 IU/L or P = 0.71; the Results refer to Table 2, but those figures are not present in the available passages. The Methods section says LH changes were assessed only in postmenopausal women. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Preclinical evidence shows that under high estrogen concentrations similar to premenopausal levels, soy isoflavones act as ER antagonists, while under low estrogen concentrations comparable to postmenopausal levels, they are ER agonists.

    “Secondly, preclinical evidence has shown that under conditions of high estrogen concentration similar to premenopausal levels, soy isoflavones act as ER antagonists, while under conditions of low estrogen comparable to postmenopausal levels, they are ER agonists [12,181,182].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [12] M Velders, 2010, Estradiol and genistein antagonize the ovariectomy effects on skeletal muscle myosin heavy chain expression via ER-beta mediated pathways, J Steroid Biochem Mol Biol source
    • cites [181] YH Ju, 2006, Genistein stimulates growth of human breast cancer cells in a novel, postmenopausal animal model, with low plasma estradiol concentrations, Carcinogenesis source
    • cites [182] W Qin, 2009, Soy isoflavones have an antiestrogenic effect and alter mammary promoter hypermethylation in healthy premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer source

      The Discussion (page not provided) reports preliminary evidence of an antiestrogenic effect in healthy premenopausal women, supporting one part of the claim. The paper does not establish that ER activity switches with estrogen concentration or that soy isoflavones act as ER agonists under postmenopausal-level estrogen; its discussion of differing effects concerns isoflavone dose and circulating genistein levels, not estrogen levels. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Soy consumption may protect against the development of breast cancer, and less so against breast cancer recurrence and mortality, although this is based on observational data only.

    “Our review suggests that on the contrary, soy consumption may protect against the development of breast cancer [46,75,109,117], and less so, breast cancer recurrence and mortality [106,112], although this is based on observational data only.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim4 of 6 sources checked
    • cites [46] YA Cho, 2010, Effect of dietary soy intake on breast cancer risk according to menopause and hormone receptor status, Eur J Clin Nutr source
    • cites [75] Q Wang, 2010, Polymorphic catechol-O-methyltransferase gene, soy isoflavone intake and breast cancer in postmenopausal women: a case-control study, Chin J Cancer source
    • cites [109] SA Lee, 2009, Adolescent and adult soy food intake and breast cancer risk: results from the Shanghai Women's Health Study, Am J Clin Nutr source

      The Results reported in the Abstract and the Discussion’s summary find an inverse association between soy intake and new breast cancer cases in premenopausal Chinese women. The paper found no significant association for postmenopausal breast cancer, so it does not support the claim without that population qualifier. The separate citations following recurrence and mortality do not attribute those outcomes to this paper. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [117] M Iwasaki, 2008, Plasma isoflavone level and subsequent risk of breast cancer among Japanese women: a nested case-control study from the Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study group, J Clin Oncol source
    • cites [106] X Kang, 2010, Effect of soy isoflavones on breast cancer recurrence and death for patients receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy, CMAJ source

      The Menopausal status section reports an observational association between higher soy isoflavone intake and lower recurrence risk in postmenopausal patients receiving endocrine therapy. It reports no association with death, including breast-cancer mortality, and no association with recurrence among premenopausal patients. This source is cited for recurrence and mortality, not for the separate claim about breast cancer development. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [112] XO Shu, 2009, Soy food intake and breast cancer survival, JAMA source
    • Rests on an assumption: The observational studies' measures of soy intake accurately reflect long-term soy exposure relevant to breast cancer risk.
    • Rests on an assumption: The findings from the included studies are sufficiently representative of women with breast cancer or at risk that they can be generalized to most women.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Some preliminary evidence indicates that isoflavones may have synergistic effects with tamoxifen in cancer models and may reduce the development of tamoxifen resistance.

    “Some preliminary evidence indicates that isoflavones may have synergistic effects with tamoxifen in cancer models and may reduce the development of tamoxifen resistance [185,186].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [185] Z Mai, 2007, Genistein sensitizes inhibitory effect of tamoxifen on the growth of estrogen receptor-positive and HER2-overexpressing human breast cancer cells, Mol Carcinog source
    • cites [186] Z Mai, 2007, Soy phytochemicals synergistically enhance the preventive effect of tamoxifen on the growth of estrogen-dependent human breast carcinoma in mice, Carcinogenesis source

      The Discussion reports additive-to-synergistic inhibition of MCF-7 tumor growth in mice when tamoxifen was combined with genistein or soy phytochemical concentrate. It does not report that isoflavones reduce the development of tamoxifen resistance; the resistance references concern other treatments or studies. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Human trials show that soy does not increase circulating estradiol or affect estrogen-responsive target tissues.

    “Human trials show that soy does not increase circulating estradiol or affect estrogen-responsive target tissues.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Circulating estradiol and effects on estrogen-responsive tissues are valid surrogate endpoints for predicting breast cancer risk.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Evidence on red clover is limited, but existing studies suggest it may not possess breast cancer-promoting effects.

    “Evidence on red clover is limited, however existing studies suggest that it may not possess breast cancer-promoting effects.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    There were no case-control studies showing significantly increased risk of breast cancer associated with soy intake.

    “There were no studies showing significantly increased risk of breast cancer associated with soy intake.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    There were no prospective cohort studies indicating a higher risk of breast cancer associated with soy consumption.

    “There were no studies indicating a higher risk of breast cancer associated with soy consumption.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    On subgroup analysis, there was no clear difference in effect based on type of soy exposure, study quality, measure of exposure, or menopausal status.

    “On subgroup analysis, there was no clear difference in effect based on the type of soy exposure (food / protein, or isoflavones), or according to study quality (NOS score), the measure of exposure (recall or measurement of blood or urinary isoflavone levels), or menopausal status (Figures S1-S2 ).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Two of nine (22%) studies examining low-medium soy food/protein intake and zero of three studies examining low-medium soy isoflavone intake found inverse associations.

    “On the other hand, two of nine (22%) and zero of three studies respectively found inverse associations with low-medium intake [44,71].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [44] AK Zaineddin, 2012, The association between dietary lignans, phytoestrogen-rich foods, and fiber intake and postmenopausal breast cancer risk: a German case-control study, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [71] XO Shu, 2001, Soyfood intake during adolescence and subsequent risk of breast cancer among Chinese women, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Grace et al reported a small but significant increase in risk of breast cancer associated with higher serum daidzein and serum and urinary equol levels, indicating 30-45% increased odds with a doubling of daidzein and equol levels.

    “Grace et al reported a small but significant increase in risk of breast cancer associated with higher serum daidzein and serum and urinary equol levels; this was expressed as a log2 odds ratio (associated with doubling of exposure) and as a different measure was not included in the forest plots [88]. Nonetheless, these findings indicated a 30-45% increased odds of breast cancer with a doubling of”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [88] PB Grace, 2004, Phytoestrogen concentrations in serum and spot urine as biomarkers for dietary phytoestrogen intake and their relation to breast cancer risk in European prospective investigation of cancer and nutrition-norfolk, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    In one RCT, vaginal spotting was reported in four subjects in the soy group compared to one in the placebo group, but statistical significance was not reported because of low numbers.

    “In one RCT, vaginal spotting was reported in four subjects in the soy group compared to one in the placebo group, but with such low numbers, the statistical significance of this finding was not reported [130].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [130] CL Van Patten, 2002, Effect of soy phytoestrogens on hot flashes in postmenopausal women with breast cancer: a randomized, Controlled Clinical Trials - Journal of Clinical Oncology source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    One RCT found no change in BRCA 1 and 2 mRNA level due to soy consumption, but there was a decrease over time in the placebo group, yielding a significant difference between groups (p<0.001).

    “One study found no change in BRCA 1 and 2 mRNA level due to soy consumption, however there was a decrease over time in the placebo group, yielding a significant difference between groups (p<0.001) [136].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [136] H Marini, 2008, Breast safety and efficacy of genistein aglycone for postmenopausal bone loss: a follow-up study, J Clin Endocrinol Metab source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    With respect to nipple aspirate volume, one study showed no change while one found a significant increase among premenopausal women only, from 16 to 36 μL.

    “With respect to nipple aspirate volume (NAV), a marker of breast tissue proliferative activity, one study showed no change [126] while one study found a significant increase in NAV among premenopausal women only, from 16 to 36 µL [125].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [126] G Maskarinec, 2008, The relation of soy intake and isoflavone levels in nipple aspirate fluid, Eur J Cancer Prev source
    • cites [125] NL Petrakis, 1996, Stimulatory influence of soy protein isolate on breast secretion in pre- and postmenopausal women, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Case-control studies were much more likely to report significant protective associations between soy intake and risk of breast cancer, while prospective studies were less likely to do so.

    “As shown in Figures 2 and 3 , case control studies were much more likely to report significant protective associations between soy intake and risk of breast cancer, while prospective studies were less likely to do so.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    RCTs noted some improvements in hot flashes over time, but not in comparison to placebo.

    “RCTs noted some improvements over time, but not in comparison to placebo [127-131].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [127] WC Dooley, 2006, Internet based double-blind cross-over clinical trial to test efficacy of high dose isoflavone soy in controlling breast cancer survivor hot flashes, Journal of Clinical Oncology source
    • cites [128] CA MacGregor, 2005, A randomised double-blind controlled trial of oral soy supplements versus placebo for treatment of menopausal symptoms in patients with early breast cancer, Eur J Cancer source
    • cites [129] E Nikander, 2003, A randomized placebo-controlled crossover trial with phytoestrogens in treatment of menopause in breast cancer patients, Obstet Gynecol source
    • cites [130] CL Van Patten, 2002, Effect of soy phytoestrogens on hot flashes in postmenopausal women with breast cancer: a randomized, Controlled Clinical Trials - Journal of Clinical Oncology source
    • cites [131] SK Quella, 2000, Evaluation of soy phytoestrogens for the treatment of hot flashes in breast cancer survivors: A North Central Cancer Treatment Group Trial, J Clin Oncol source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The review found variation according to geographical locale: studies conducted in Asian countries more often reported chemopreventive effects compared to studies in Western countries, which more often reported null results.

    “However we did find variation according to geographical locale; studies conducted in Asian countries more often reported chemopreventive effects compared to studies in Western countries, which more often reported null results.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The review found no effects on circulating estradiol and no measurable effects on estrogen-sensitive target tissues, such as breast tissue density and endometrium.

    “We found no effects on circulating estradiol, and no measurable effects on estrogen-sensitive target tissues, such as breast tissue (density) and endometrium.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Soy consumption may be associated with reduced risk of breast cancer incidence, recurrence, and mortality.

    “Soy consumption may be associated with reduced risk of breast cancer incidence, recurrence, and mortality.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Soy intake consistent with a traditional Japanese diet (2-3 servings daily, containing 25-50mg isoflavones) may be protective against breast cancer and recurrence.

    “Soy intake consistent with that of a traditional Japanese diet (2-3 servings daily, containing 25-50mg isoflavones) may be protective against breast cancer and recurrence.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    CC and CT genotypes may be associated with a small reduction in risk of breast cancer compared to TT: CC vs TT OR 0.92 (95% CI 0.86-0.99), and CC/CT vs TT OR 0.95 (95% CI 0.89-1.00).

    “For instance, CC and CT genotypes may be associated with a small reduction in risk of breast cancer compared to TT: CC vs. TT: OR 0.92, 95%CI 0.86-0.99, and CC/CT vs. TT: OR 0.95, 95%CI 0.89-1.00 [167].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [167] N Li, 2010, Potentially functional polymorphisms in ESR1 and breast cancer risk: a meta-analysis, Breast Cancer Res Treat source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    ESR1 codes for estrogen receptor α, and variations may be associated with risk of breast cancer.

    “ESR1 codes for the estrogen receptor α, and variations may be associated with risk of breast cancer [167].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [167] N Li, 2010, Potentially functional polymorphisms in ESR1 and breast cancer risk: a meta-analysis, Breast Cancer Res Treat source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    RCTs were assessed as having moderate risk of bias, with inadequate reporting of random sequence generation and allocation concealment in 18 and 32 of 43 unique RCTs, respectively.

    “RCTs were assessed as having a moderate risk of bias, with inadequate reporting of random sequence generation and allocation concealment (selection bias) in 18 and 32 of 43 unique RCTs, respectively.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The majority of RCTs showed low risk of performance bias, detection bias, attrition bias, and reporting bias; description of blinding of participants, blinding of outcome assessment, complete outcome data and reporting was adequate in over 88% of the studies.

    “The majority of RCTs showed low risk of performance bias, detection bias, attrition bias, and reporting bias; description of blinding of participants, blinding of outcome assessment, complete outcome data and reporting was adequate in over 88% of the studies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    RCTs of under 2 years duration are unlikely to reveal any serious adverse effects in breast cancer survivors, including possible interactions between soy and tamoxifen.

    “This is a particularly important shortcoming because RCTs of under 2 years duration are unlikely to reveal any serious adverse effects in breast cancer survivors, including possible interactions between soy and tamoxifen.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    According to Imhof, typical in vivo estrogen levels range from 50-400 pM, with even menopausal estrogen levels exceeding 20 pM, the concentration of genistein achieved through supplementation.

    “According to Imhof, typical in vivo estrogen levels range from 50–400 pM, with even menopausal estrogen levels exceeding 20 pM, the concentration of genistein achieved through supplementation [18].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] M Imhof, 2008, Effects of soy isoflavones on 17beta-estradiol-induced proliferation of MCF-7 breast cancer cells, Toxicol In Vitro source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    The review's findings are generally in agreement with the American Cancer Society, suggesting that moderate amounts of soy intake (up to 3 servings per day) are likely safe for consumption by women with breast cancer.

    “Our findings are generally in agreement with those of the American Cancer Society, suggesting that moderate amounts of soy intake (up to 3 servings per day) is likely safe for consumption by women with breast cancer [190].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [190] C Doyle, 2006, Nutrition and physical activity during and after cancer treatment: An American Cancer Society guide for informed choices, CA Cancer J Clin source
    • Rests on an assumption: The findings from the included studies are sufficiently representative of women with breast cancer or at risk that they can be generalized to most women.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Tamoxifen acts primarily through ERα while soy is preferential toward ERβ, which theoretically suggests minimal risk of interaction based on competitive receptor binding, although this has not been tested clinically.

    “Tamoxifen acts primarily through the ERα while soy is preferential toward ERß, which theoretically suggests minimal risk of interaction based on competitive receptor binding, however this has not been tested clinically [176,178].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [176] KF Koehler, 2005, Reflections on the discovery and significance of estrogen receptor beta, Endocr Rev source
    • cites [178] A Clemente, 2011, Bowman-birk inhibitors from legumes and human gastrointestinal health: current status and perspectives, Curr Protein Pept Sci source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Soy does not appear to influence levels of circulating estrogen or exert estrogen-like effects at target tissues.

    “Soy does not appear to influence levels of circulating estrogen or exert estrogen-like effects at target tissues.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In a study of soy and MCF-7 breast cancer cell growth, Imhof et al observed "minor proliferation enhancing effects" that occurred "only at unphysiologically low estrogen levels".

    “In a study of soy and MCF-7 breast cancer cell growth as assessed in the presence and absence of estradiol, Imhof et al observed “minor proliferation enhancing effects” [18] that occurred “only at unphysiologically low estrogen levels” [18].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] M Imhof, 2008, Effects of soy isoflavones on 17beta-estradiol-induced proliferation of MCF-7 breast cancer cells, Toxicol In Vitro source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Hooper found that soy did not significantly affect estradiol, estrone, or sex hormone binding globulin, although among pre-menopausal women there was a significant 20% decrease in LH and FSH (p=0.01, 0.5 respectively).

    “Hooper found that soy did not significantly affect estradiol, estrone, or sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG), although amongst pre-menopausal women there was a significant 20% decrease in LH and FSH (p=0.01, 0.5 respectively) [31].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] JM Wong, 2012, Equol status and blood lipid profile in hyperlipidemia after consumption of diets containing soy foods, Am J Clin Nutr source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Moderate soy consumption appears to be safe and possibly beneficial for most women.

    “In the meantime, since the overall effect of soy, if any, appears to be protective for both breast cancer incidence and recurrence, moderate soy consumption appears to be safe and possibly beneficial for most women.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The absence of observed harm from soy in the reviewed studies is sufficient to conclude that moderate soy consumption is safe for most women.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the breast, ERβ is found in ductal and lobular epithelial cells as well as stromal cells, while ERα is found only in epithelial cells and not stroma.

    “In the breast, ERß is found in ductal and lobular epithelial cells as well as stromal cells, while ERα is found only in epithelial cells and not stroma of the breast [177].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [177] JLY Chen, 2011, Natural products targeting telomere maintenance, MedChemComm source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The in vitro receptor binding activity of genistein, daidzein, equol, and their metabolites is approximately 3% or less that of estradiol for ERα, and 18% or less for ERβ.

    “The in vitro receptor binding activity of genistein, daidzein, equol, and their metabolites is approximately 3% or less that of estradiol for ERα, and 18% or less for ERß [187]”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [187] A Boumendjel, 2011, Targeting the multidrug ABCG2 transporter with flavonoidic inhibitors: In Vitro optimization and in vivo validation, Curr Med Chem source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In post-menopausal women there were no significant effects on any hormone including estradiol and estrone, with a small nonsignificant 14% increase in estradiol based on 21 studies (p=0.07) and a nonsignificant decrease in estrone.

    “In post-menopausal women there were no significant effects on any hormone including estradiol and estrone, with a small nonsignificant 14% increase in estradiol based on 21 studies (p=0.07) and a nonsignificant decrease in estrone.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] JM Wong, 2012, Equol status and blood lipid profile in hyperlipidemia after consumption of diets containing soy foods, Am J Clin Nutr source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The traditional Japanese diet contains between 6-11 g of soy protein and 25-50 mg isoflavones; top percentiles of soy intake in Asian studies consume as much as 20 g soy protein or 100 mg isoflavones per day, while the cut-off for top quartiles of intake among Western populations is in the range of a few hundred micrograms per day.

    “The traditional Japanese diet contains between 6-11g of soy protein and 25-50mg isoflavones; top percentiles of soy intake in Asian studies consume as much as 20g soy protein or 100mg isoflavones per day [188], while the cut off for the top quartiles of intake among Western populations is in the range of a few hundred micrograms (mcg) per day [52,74].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [188] M Messina, 2006, Estimated Asian adult soy protein and isoflavone intakes, Nutr Cancer source
    • cites [52] P Mangtani, 2004, Phyto-oestrogen intake and breast cancer risk in South Asian women in England: findings from a population-based case-control study, Cancer Causes Control source
    • cites [74] MS Touillaud, 2005, Effect of dietary intake of phytoestrogens on estrogen receptor status in premenopausal women with breast cancer, Nutr Cancer source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    ERβ appears to be associated with antiproliferative, anticarcinogenic effects, while ERα is thought to promote carcinogenesis and is the form measured clinically in the treatment of breast cancer patients.

    “This is important because ERß appears to be associated with antiproliferative, anticarcinogenic effects, while ERα is thought to promote carcinogenesis, and is the form measured clinically in the treatment of breast cancer patients [176,177].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [176] KF Koehler, 2005, Reflections on the discovery and significance of estrogen receptor beta, Endocr Rev source
    • cites [177] JLY Chen, 2011, Natural products targeting telomere maintenance, MedChemComm source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    ERα is the receptor used to classify ER-positive breast cancer and the one through which tamoxifen exerts its antiproliferative effects.

    “Moreover, ERα is the receptor used to classify ER positive breast cancer, and the one through which tamoxifen exerts its antiproliferative effects [176,178].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [176] KF Koehler, 2005, Reflections on the discovery and significance of estrogen receptor beta, Endocr Rev source
    • cites [178] A Clemente, 2011, Bowman-birk inhibitors from legumes and human gastrointestinal health: current status and perspectives, Curr Protein Pept Sci source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Observational data suggest that higher soy intake, consistent with a traditional Japanese diet, may be protective against the development of breast cancer as well as breast cancer recurrence and mortality, although clinical studies are needed to confirm this relationship.

    “Observational data suggest that higher soy intake, consistent with that of a traditional Japanese diet, may be protective against the development of breast cancer as well as breast cancer recurrence and mortality, although there is a need for clinical studies to confirm this relationship.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The observational studies' measures of soy intake accurately reflect long-term soy exposure relevant to breast cancer risk.
    • Rests on an assumption: The findings from the included studies are sufficiently representative of women with breast cancer or at risk that they can be generalized to most women.
62 of 62
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Red clover observational studies are limited or expected to be limited, so the review focuses solely on soy for observational evidence.

    “Due to the nature of soy as a commonly consumed food and red clover as a non-dietary item, there were limited observational studies of red clover consumption expected or identified. Therefore these studies focus solely on soy.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Circulating estradiol and effects on estrogen-responsive tissues are valid surrogate endpoints for predicting breast cancer risk.

    “We also assessed the impact of isoflavones on surrogate endpoints for predicting breast cancer risk, including circulating estradiol and effects on estrogen responsive tissues such as the breast, endometrial, and vaginal tissues.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The absence of observed harm from soy in the reviewed studies is sufficient to conclude that moderate soy consumption is safe for most women.

    “In the meantime, since the overall effect of soy, if any, appears to be protective for both breast cancer incidence and recurrence, moderate soy consumption appears to be safe and possibly beneficial for most women.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The observational studies' measures of soy intake accurately reflect long-term soy exposure relevant to breast cancer risk.

    “Although not shown here, we conducted subgroup analysis according to the method of exposure assessment to assess for the possibility of recall bias. Our analysis showed no clear separation however, between studies utilizing food frequency questionnaires, structured interviews, or objective assessments of blood or urinary isoflavone concentrations.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The findings from the included studies are sufficiently representative of women with breast cancer or at risk that they can be generalized to most women.

    “Our findings are generally in agreement with those of the American Cancer Society, suggesting that moderate amounts of soy intake (up to 3 servings per day) is likely safe for consumption by women with breast cancer [190].”
5 of 5

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Conflicting units for the protective soy-protein intake

    Minor

    The interactions section reports the Shu study's soy-protein threshold as greater than 15.31 mg/day, whereas the recurrence section and Table 1 give it as greater than 15.31 g.

  • Study [83] listed as both included in and omitted from the figures

    Minor

    Study [83] appears in the list of case-control studies displayed in Figures 2-3 and in the list said to be omitted because it did not report the required odds ratios and confidence intervals.

  • Conflicting tamoxifen-user count for the Shu cohort

    Minor

    Table 1 gives 2,622 tamoxifen users for the Shu 2009 cohort, whereas the interactions section gives 2,262 for the same cohort of 5,042 survivors.

  • Wrong RCT identified as counted twice

    Minor

    The cited ranges make study [131] the overlap between the five hot-flash RCTs and the 34 safety RCTs, but the text says [129] was counted twice.

  • Conflicting counts of randomized controlled trials

    Minor

    The abstract reports 40 RCTs, consistent with the later counts of 38 soy RCTs and two red-clover RCTs. The risk-of-bias section instead says there were 43 unique RCTs.

5 of 5

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 6

  1. BA Boucher, 2011, Use of supplements containing isoflavones (phytoestrogens) and breast cancer risk: Case control study among women in ontario, Canada. American Journal of Epidemiology Conference: 3rd North American Congress of Epidemiology Montreal, QC Canada. Conference Start: 20110621. Conference End: 20110624, Conference Publication: (var.pagings), 173, S87
  2. BA Boucher, 2011, Phytoestrogen food and supplement intake among women newly diagnosed with breast cancer. American Journal of Epidemiology Conference: 3rd North American Congress of Epidemiology Montreal, QC Canada. Conference Start: 20110621. Conference End: 20110624, Conference Publication: (var.pagings), 173, S87
  3. LN Anderson, 2011, Phytoestrogen intake from foods, during adolescence and adulthood, and the risk of breast cancer by estrogen and progesterone receptor (ERPR) tumor subgroup among Ontario women. American Journal of Epidemiology Conference: 3rd North American Congress of Epidemiology Montreal, QC Canada. Conference Start: 20110621. Conference End: 20110624, Conference Publication: (var.pagings), 173, S312
  4. L Ciotta, 2011, Clinical effects of phytoestrogens&apos; treatment in women in post-menopause. Climacteric Conference: 13th World Congress on the Menopause Rome Italy. Conference Start: 20110608. Conference End: 20110611. Conference, Publication: (varpagings), 14, 192
  5. YH Ju, 2006, Genistein stimulates growth of human breast cancer cells in a novel, postmenopausal animal model, with low plasma estradiol concentrations, Carcinogenesis, 27, 1292, 10.1093/carcin/bgi370 · DOI · Paper page
  6. W Qin, 2009, Soy isoflavones have an antiestrogenic effect and alter mammary promoter hypermethylation in healthy premenopausal women, Nutr Cancer, 61, 238, 10.1080/01635580802404196 · DOI · Paper page

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Fritz, H., Seely, D., Flower, G., Skidmore, B., Fernandes, R., Vadeboncoeur, S., Kennedy, D., Cooley, K., Wong, R., Sagar, S., Sabri, E., & Fergusson, D.
Affiliations
  • Canadian College of Naturopathic Medicine (CA)
  • Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (CA)
  • Juravinski Cancer Centre (CA)
Corresponding author
Seely, Dugald
Venue
PLoS ONE
Published
2013-11-28
Volume
8
Issue
11
Pages
e81968
ISSN
1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2094989997
Cited by
188
References
193
Citations by year
2026: 6 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 17 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 28 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 23 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 1
FWCI
2.20
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • Hospital for Sick Children
  • Canadian Institutes of Health Research
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Phytoestrogen effects and research
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Estrogen and related hormone effects
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Menopause: Health Impacts and Treatments
Keywords
soy isoflavones, breast cancer, breast cancer recurrence, menopausal symptoms, hot flashes, tamoxifen, estrogenic activity, estradiol, Japanese diet, breast cancer survivors, phytoestrogens
MeSH terms
Female, Humans, Isoflavones, Glycine max, Trifolium, Phytoestrogens

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-11-02.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-11-02.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

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